Average mortgage rates fell moderately yesterday for the fourth consecutive day. So, it’s been a good week for those rates, and they’re now appreciably lower than they were seven days ago.
Whether that happy experience extends into next week will likely depend almost entirely on Tuesday’s inflation report, the consumer price index (CPI) for February. So, yet again, I’m forced to say mortgage rates next week could go either way. Ask me again late on Tuesday morning.
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Current mortgage and refinance rates
Program
Mortgage Rate
APR*
Change
Conventional 30-year fixed
7.02%
7.04%
-0.08
Conventional 15-year fixed
6.51%
6.54%
+0.05
Conventional 20-year fixed
7.03%
7.05%
Unchanged
Conventional 10-year fixed
6.57%
6.59%
+0.08
30-year fixed FHA
6.15%
6.82%
+0.05
30-year fixed VA
6.43%
6.54%
Unchanged
5/1 ARM Conventional
6.28%
7.35%
-0.01
Rates are provided by our partner network, and may not reflect the market. Your rate might be different. Click here for a personalized rate quote. See our rate assumptions See our rate assumptions here.
Find and lock a low rate
Should you lock a mortgage rate today?
I think it unlikely that the last couple of rate-friendly weeks are the start of the sustained downward trend in mortgage rates that I’ve been predicting for months. However, if next Tuesday’s CPI report turns out to be exceptionally good for those rates, I just might be proved wrong.
But I doubt it. So, my personal rate lock recommendations are now:
LOCK if closing in 7 days
LOCK if closing in 15 days
LOCK if closing in 30 days
LOCK if closing in 45 days
LOCKif closing in 60days
However, with so much uncertainty at the moment, your instincts could easily turn out to be as good as mine — or better. So let your gut and your own tolerance for risk help guide you.
What’s moving current mortgage rates
This week
The economic data published earlier this week suggested that economic growth is slowing at just the right rate. Mortgage rate watchers would like to see it cooling but not enough to trigger a recession.
Typically mortgage rates tend to be lower when the economy is struggling or at least not running too hot.
Some indicators this week pointed to continuing resilience, including the headline figure in yesterday’s jobs report. However, that was balanced out by a very large downward revision to the previous month’s number, and by the report’s other major components being friendly to mortgage rates
Next week’s CPI
So much depends on next Tuesday’s CPI. Only the jobs report rivals its ability to move mortgage rates so far and for so long.
As usual, we want lower numbers on the day than markets are expecting. Wall Street will already have priced into mortgage rates the consensus forecasts. So, it’s the gap between expectations and reality that changes those rates.
There are four main items in the CPI report:
All-items CPI — The amount by which the prices of all surveyed items moved in February. Called just CPI
Core CPI — The all-items CPI after volatile food and energy prices have been stripped out, revealing underlying inflation in February
YOY CPI — The year-over-year CPI will reveal how all surveyed items moved between Mar. 1, 2023 and Feb. 29, 2024
YOY core CPI — The year-over-year core CPI will reveal how all surveyed prices for items excluding food and energy moved between Mar. 1, 2023 and Feb. 29, 2024
Here’s what’s currently expected, according to MarketWatch, for the upcoming February report:
February CPI — Markets are expecting prices for all items to have risen by 0.4%. (0.3% in January report)
February core CPI — Markets are expecting prices for all items excluding those for food and energy to have risen by 0.3%. (0.4% in January report)
YOY CPI — Markets are expecting prices for all items to have risen by 3.1% between Mar. 1, 2023 and Feb. 29, 2024. (3.1% in January report)
YOY core CPI — Markets are expecting prices for all items excluding those for food and energy to have risen by 3.7% between Mar. 1, 2023 and Feb. 29, 2024. (3.9% in January report)
Remember, mortgage rates are more likely to fall if actual figures are lower than the expected ones.
Other important reports next week
The other economic reports are much less likely to move mortgage rates far or for long. But those most likely to do so, in rough order of importance, are:
February retail sales on Thursday — Expected to rise by +0.7% compared to January’s -0.8%
February producer price index (PPI) on Thursday — Expected to hold steady at 0.3%. This measures wholesale and factory-gate prices so changes may turn up in later CPIs
February industrial production on Friday — Expected to rise to 0.0% from a negative in January. Also, capacity utilization, which is expected to inch lower compared to January
February import price index (IPI) on Wednesday — Expected to fall to 0.3% from January’s 0.8%. This measures price changes in foreign-sourced goods and services
Of those, retail sales and the PPI are most likely to affect mortgage rates. But even they rarely move them far or for long.
The Fed
Wall Street currently views most economic reports through the prism of how they’ll affect the Federal Reserve’s decisions on when it will start cutting general interest rates and how often it will do so after that.
That’s why The Wall Street Journal (paywall) yesterday greeted the jobs report with the headline, “Hiring Boom Continues, but Signs of a Cooling Labor Market Boost Rate-Cut Hopes.” In the article beneath it said:
“The Goldilocks report lends credence to the Federal Reserve’s outlook that somewhat lower interest rates could be warranted later this year, potentially providing a boost to markets that have been on a tear to start 2024.
“Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica Bank, summed up Friday’s report with one word: cool. ‘That’s what the Fed wants to see right now,’ he said.
The Fed will next decide on rate policy on Mar. 20. Very few expect it to cut general interest rates that day. But Wall Street hopes it will strongly hint at cuts at the May or June meetings of its rate-setting committee.
Economic reports next week
See above for details about the more important economic reports next week.
In the following list of next week’s reports, only those in bold typically have the potential to affect mortgage rates appreciably. The others probably won’t have much impact unless they contain shockingly good or bad data.
Monday — Nothing
Tuesday — February consumer price index. Also small business optimism index for the same month
Wednesday — Nothing
Thursday — February retail sales. Plus February producer price index. And initial jobless claims for the week ending Mar. 9
Friday — February industrial production and capacity utilization. Also, the February import price index
With the consumer price index, Tuesday is make-or-break day.
Time to make a move? Let us find the right mortgage for you
Mortgage rates forecast for next week
I hate not giving rate forecasts for the following week. But this is the third consecutive Saturday on which I really can’t.
Nobody knows what Tuesday’s CPI will say. And that’s very likely to determine how mortgage rates will move over the next seven days.
How your mortgage interest rate is determined
A bond market generally determines mortgage and refinance rates. It’s the one where trading in mortgage-backed securities takes place.
And that’s highly dependent on the economy. So mortgage rates tend to be high when things are going well and low when the economy’s in trouble. But inflation rates can undermine those tendencies.
Your part
But you play a big part in determining your own mortgage rate in five ways. And you can affect it significantly by:
Shopping around for your best mortgage rate — They vary widely from lender to lender
Boosting your credit score — Even a small bump can make a big difference to your rate and payments
Saving the biggest down payment you can — Lenders like you to have real skin in this game
Keeping your other borrowing modest — The lower your other monthly commitments, the bigger the mortgage you can afford
Choosing your mortgage carefully — Are you better off with a conventional, conforming, FHA, VA, USDA, jumbo or another loan?
Time spent getting these ducks in a row can see you winning lower rates.
Remember, they’re not just a mortgage rate
Be sure to count all your forthcoming homeownership costs when you’re working out how big a mortgage you can afford. So, focus on something called you “PITI.” That stands for:
Principal — Pays down the amount you borrowed
Interest — The price of borrowing
Taxes — Specifically property taxes
Insurance — Specifically homeowners insurance
Our mortgage calculator can help with these.
Depending on your type of mortgage and the size of your down payment, you may have to pay mortgage insurance, too. And that can easily run into three figures every month.
But there are other potential costs. So, you’ll have to pay homeowners association dues if you choose to live somewhere with an HOA. And, wherever you live, you should expect repairs and maintenance costs. There’s no landlord to call when things go wrong!
Finally, you’ll find it hard to forget closing costs. You can see those reflected in the annual percentage rate (APR) that lenders will quote you. Because that effectively spreads them out over your loan’s term, making that rate higher than your straight mortgage rate.
But you may be able to get help with those closing costs and your down payment, especially if you’re a first-time buyer. Read:
Down payment assistance programs in every state for 2023
Mortgage rate methodology
The Mortgage Reports receives rates based on selected criteria from multiple lending partners each day. We arrive at an average rate and APR for each loan type to display in our chart. Because we average an array of rates, it gives you a better idea of what you might find in the marketplace. Furthermore, we average rates for the same loan types. For example, FHA fixed with FHA fixed. The result is a good snapshot of daily rates and how they change over time.
Our goal here at Credible Operations, Inc., NMLS Number 1681276, referred to as “Credible” below, is to give you the tools and confidence you need to improve your finances. Although we do promote products from our partner lenders who compensate us for our services, all opinions are our own.
Average mortgage rates fell moderately for a third consecutive day yesterday. But don’t get too comfortable. The two economic reports that are most consequential for those rates are both due over the next few days. And they could change everything.
First thing, it was looking as if mortgage rates today might fall, perhaps modestly. But that could change later in the day.
Current mortgage and refinance rates
Find your lowest rate. Start here
Program
Mortgage Rate
APR*
Change
Conventional 30-year fixed
7.1%
7.12%
-0.06
Conventional 15-year fixed
6.46%
6.49%
-0.08
Conventional 20-year fixed
7.03%
7.05%
-0.01
Conventional 10-year fixed
6.48%
6.51%
-0.11
30-year fixed FHA
6.11%
6.77%
-0.13
30-year fixed VA
6.43%
6.54%
-0.08
5/1 ARM Conventional
6.29%
7.36%
Unchanged
Rates are provided by our partner network, and may not reflect the market. Your rate might be different. Click here for a personalized rate quote. See our rate assumptions See our rate assumptions here.
Should you lock your mortgage rate today?
Are the steady falls in mortgage rates we’ve been seeing in recent days the start of the sustained downward trend I’ve been predicting? It’s possible. But I doubt it.
I’m not expecting that to begin properly for at least a couple of months and perhaps longer.
So, for now, my personal rate lock recommendations are:
LOCK if closing in 7 days
LOCK if closing in 15 days
LOCK if closing in 30 days
LOCK if closing in 45 days
LOCKif closing in 60days
However, with so much uncertainty at the moment, your instincts could easily turn out to be as good as mine — or better. So, let your gut and your own tolerance for risk help guide you.
>Related: 7 Tips to get the best refinance rate
Market data affecting today’s mortgage rates
Here’s a snapshot of the state of play this morning at about 9:50 a.m. (ET). The data are mostly compared with roughly the same time the business day before, so much of the movement will often have happened in the previous session. The numbers are:
The yield on 10-year Treasury notes ticked down to 4.08% from 4.09%. (Good for mortgage rates. However, yields were rising this morning.) More than any other market, mortgage rates typically tend to follow these particular Treasury bond yields
Major stock indexes were rising this morning. (Bad for mortgage rates.) When investors buy shares, they’re often selling bonds, which pushes those prices down and increases yields and mortgage rates. The opposite may happen when indexes are lower. But this is an imperfect relationship
Oil prices inched down to $78.53 from $78.60 a barrel. (Neutral for mortgage rates*.) Energy prices play a prominent role in creating inflation and also point to future economic activity
Goldprices edged up to $2,174 from $2,158 an ounce. (Neutral for mortgage rates*.) It is generally better for rates when gold prices rise and worse when they fall. Gold tends to rise when investors worry about the economy.
CNN Business Fear & Greed index — increased minimally to 75 from 74 out of 100. (Bad for mortgage rates.) “Greedy” investors push bond prices down (and interest rates up) as they leave the bond market and move into stocks, while “fearful” investors do the opposite. So lower readings are often better than higher ones
*A movement of less than $20 on gold prices or 40 cents on oil ones is a change of 1% or less. So we only count meaningful differences as good or bad for mortgage rates.
Caveats about markets and rates
Before the pandemic, post-pandemic upheavals, and war in Ukraine, you could look at the above figures and make a pretty good guess about what would happen to mortgage rates that day. But that’s no longer the case. We still make daily calls. And are usually right. But our record for accuracy won’t achieve its former high levels until things settle down.
So, use markets only as a rough guide. Because they have to be exceptionally strong or weak to rely on them. But, with that caveat, mortgage rates today look likely to move downward. However, be aware that “intraday swings” (when rates change speed or direction during the day) are a common feature right now.
Find your lowest rate. Start here
What’s driving mortgage rates today?
Today
This morning, we finally saw the February jobs report (aka the employment situation report). And it might prove less bad for mortgage rates than one might fear.
Yesterday, I described the report’s three headline figures. Here they are again with this morning’s actual figures shown in bold:
Nonfarm payrolls (the number of new jobs created that month) — Today’s actual: 275,000. Markets were expecting that to be 198,000, well down from January’s 353,000
Unemployment rate — Today’s actual: 3.9%. Markets were expecting that to be 3.7%, unchanged from January
Average hourly wages — Today’s actual: 0.1%. Markets were expecting a 0.2% rise, much lower than January’s 0.6% increase
You can see that the unemployment rate and average hourly earnings numbers would typically be good for mortgage rates. But markets tend to react to nonfarm payrolls primarily. And The Wall Street Journal (paywall) reported the data under the headline, “Hiring Boom Continues With 275,000 Jobs Added.”
Still, the news wasn’t as dire as it could have been: Two out of three ain’t bad. So, I’m hoping that markets won’t punish mortgage rates too badly.
One caveat on today’s report — and other important ones. Markets don’t always respond in the ways we’ve come to expect. Sometimes, there’s a delayed reaction. Other times, investors might discover something hidden in the minutiae of the report that changes their response. And, occasionally, they just act perversely.
Next week
Just as this week has been dominated by this morning’s jobs report, next week is likely to pivot on Tuesday morning’s consumer price index (CPI).
We’re also due February’s retail sales figures on Wednesday and various inflation and other reports. But the CPI’s likely to rule next week.
Don’t forget you can always learn more about what’s driving mortgage rates in the most recent weekend edition of this daily report. These provide a more detailed analysis of what’s happening. They are published each Saturday morning soon after 10 a.m. (ET) and include a preview of the following week.
Recent trends
According to Freddie Mac’s archives, the weekly all-time lowest rate for 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages was set on Jan. 7, 2021, when it stood at 2.65%. The weekly all-time high was 18.63% on Sep. 10, 1981.
Freddie’s Mar. 7 report put that same weekly average at 6.88% down from the previous week’s 6.94%. But note that Freddie’s data are almost always out of date by the time it announces its weekly figures.
Expert forecasts for mortgage rates
Looking further ahead, Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) each has a team of economists dedicated to monitoring and forecasting what will happen to the economy, the housing sector and mortgage rates.
And here are their rate forecasts for the four quarters of 2024 (Q1/24, Q2/24 Q3/24 and Q4/24).
The numbers in the table below are for 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages. Fannie’s were updated on Feb. 12 and the MBA’s on Feb. 20.
Forecaster
Q1/24
Q2/24
Q3/24
Q4/24
Fannie Mae
6.5%
6.3%
6.1%
5.9%
MBA
6.9%
6.6%
6.3%
6.1%
Of course, given so many unknowables, both these forecasts might be even more speculative than usual. And their past record for accuracy hasn’t been wildly impressive.
Important notes on today’s mortgage rates
Here are some things you need to know:
Typically, mortgage rates go up when the economy’s doing well and down when it’s in trouble. But there are exceptions. Read ‘How mortgage rates are determined and why you should care’
Only “top-tier” borrowers (with stellar credit scores, big down payments, and very healthy finances) get the ultralow mortgage rates you’ll see advertised
Lenders vary. Yours may or may not follow the crowd when it comes to daily rate movements — though they all usually follow the broader trend over time
When daily rate changes are small, some lenders will adjust closing costs and leave their rate cards the same
Refinance rates are typically close to those for purchases.
A lot is going on at the moment. And nobody can claim to know with certainty what will happen to mortgage rates in the coming hours, days, weeks or months.
Find your lowest mortgage rate today
You should comparison shop widely, no matter what sort of mortgage you want. Federal regulator the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau found in May 2023:
“Mortgage borrowers are paying around $100 a month more depending on which lender they choose, for the same type of loan and the same consumer characteristics (such as credit score and down payment).”
In other words, over the lifetime of a 30-year loan, homebuyers who don’t bother to get quotes from multiple lenders risk losing an average of $36,000. What could you do with that sort of money?
Verify your new rate
Mortgage rate methodology
The Mortgage Reports receives rates based on selected criteria from multiple lending partners each day. We arrive at an average rate and APR for each loan type to display in our chart. Because we average an array of rates, it gives you a better idea of what you might find in the marketplace. Furthermore, we average rates for the same loan types. For example, FHA fixed with FHA fixed. The end result is a good snapshot of daily rates and how they change over time.
How your mortgage interest rate is determined
Mortgage and refinance rates vary a lot depending on each borrower’s unique situation.
Factors that determine your mortgage interest rate include:
Overall strength of the economy — A strong economy usually means higher rates, while a weaker one can push current mortgage rates down to promote borrowing
Lender capacity — When a lender is very busy, it will increase rates to deter new business and give its loan officers some breathing room
Property type (condo, single-family, town house, etc.) — A primary residence, meaning a home you plan to live in full time, will have a lower interest rate. Investment properties, second homes, and vacation homes have higher mortgage rates
Loan-to-value ratio (determined by your down payment) — Your loan-to-value ratio (LTV) compares your loan amount to the value of the home. A lower LTV, meaning a bigger down payment, gets you a lower mortgage rate
Debt-To-Income ratio — This number compares your total monthly debts to your pretax income. The more debt you currently have, the less room you’ll have in your budget for a mortgage payment
Loan term — Loans with a shorter term (like a 15-year mortgage) typically have lower rates than a 30-year loan term
Borrower’s credit score — Typically the higher your credit score is, the lower your mortgage rate, and vice versa
Mortgage discount points — Borrowers have the option to buy discount points or ‘mortgage points’ at closing. These let you pay money upfront to lower your interest rate
Remember, every mortgage lender weighs these factors a little differently.
To find the best rate for your situation, you’ll want to get personalized estimates from a few different lenders.
Verify your new rate. Start here
Are refinance rates the same as mortgage rates?
Rates for a home purchase and mortgage refinance are often similar.
However, some lenders will charge more for a refinance under certain circumstances.
Typically when rates fall, homeowners rush to refinance. They see an opportunity to lock in a lower rate and payment for the rest of their loan.
This creates a tidal wave of new work for mortgage lenders.
Unfortunately, some lenders don’t have the capacity or crew to process a large number of refinance loan applications.
In this case, a lender might raise its rates to deter new business and give loan officers time to process loans currently in the pipeline.
Also, cashing out equity can result in a higher rate when refinancing.
Cash-out refinances pose a greater risk for mortgage lenders, so they’re often priced higher than new home purchases and rate-term refinances.
Check your refinance rates today. Start here
How to get the lowest mortgage or refinance rate
Since rates can vary, always shop around when buying a house or refinancing a mortgage.
Comparison shopping can potentially save thousands, even tens of thousands of dollars over the life of your loan.
Here are a few tips to keep in mind:
1. Get multiple quotes
Many borrowers make the mistake of accepting the first mortgage or refinance offer they receive.
Some simply go with the bank they use for checking and savings since that can seem easiest.
However, your bank might not offer the best mortgage deal for you. And if you’re refinancing, your financial situation may have changed enough that your current lender is no longer your best bet.
So get multiple quotes from at least three different lenders to find the right one for you.
2. Compare Loan Estimates
When shopping for a mortgage or refinance, lenders will provide a Loan Estimate that breaks down important costs associated with the loan.
You’ll want to read these Loan Estimates carefully and compare costs and fees line-by-line, including:
Interest rate
Annual percentage rate (APR)
Monthly mortgage payment
Loan origination fees
Rate lock fees
Closing costs
Remember, the lowest interest rate isn’t always the best deal.
Annual percentage rate (APR) can help you compare the ‘real’ cost of two loans. It estimates your total yearly cost including interest and fees.
Also, pay close attention to your closing costs.
Some lenders may bring their rates down by charging more upfront via discount points. These can add thousands to your out-of-pocket costs.
3. Negotiate your mortgage rate
You can also negotiate your mortgage rate to get a better deal.
Let’s say you get loan estimates from two lenders. Lender A offers the better rate, but you prefer your loan terms from Lender B. Talk to Lender B and see if they can beat the former’s pricing.
You might be surprised to find that a lender is willing to give you a lower interest rate in order to keep your business.
And if they’re not, keep shopping — there’s a good chance someone will.
Fixed-rate mortgage vs. adjustable-rate mortgage: Which is right for you?
Mortgage borrowers can choose between a fixed-rate mortgage and an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM).
Fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) have interest rates that never change unless you decide to refinance. This results in predictable monthly payments and stability over the life of your loan.
Adjustable-rate loans have a low interest rate that’s fixed for a set number of years (typically five or seven). After the initial fixed-rate period, the interest rate adjusts every year based on market conditions.
With each rate adjustment, a borrower’s mortgage rate can either increase, decrease, or stay the same. These loans are unpredictable since monthly payments can change each year.
Adjustable-rate mortgages are fitting for borrowers who expect to move before their first rate adjustment, or who can afford a higher future payment.
In most other cases, a fixed-rate mortgage is typically the safer and better choice.
Remember, if rates drop sharply, you are free to refinance and lock in a lower rate and payment later on.
How your credit score affects your mortgage rate
You don’t need a high credit score to qualify for a home purchase or refinance, but your credit score will affect your rate.
This is because credit history determines risk level.
Historically speaking, borrowers with higher credit scores are less likely to default on their mortgages, so they qualify for lower rates.
For the best rate, aim for a credit score of 720 or higher.
Mortgage programs that don’t require a high score include:
Conventional home loans — minimum 620 credit score
FHA loans — minimum 500 credit score (with a 10% down payment) or 580 (with a 3.5% down payment)
VA loans — no minimum credit score, but 620 is common
USDA loans — minimum 640 credit score
Ideally, you want to check your credit report and score at least 6 months before applying for a mortgage. This gives you time to sort out any errors and make sure your score is as high as possible.
If you’re ready to apply now, it’s still worth checking so you have a good idea of what loan programs you might qualify for and how your score will affect your rate.
You can get your credit report from AnnualCreditReport.com and your score from MyFico.com.
How big of a down payment do I need?
Nowadays, mortgage programs don’t require the conventional 20 percent down.
In fact, first-time home buyers put only 6 percent down on average.
Down payment minimums vary depending on the loan program. For example:
Conventional home loans require a down payment between 3% and 5%
FHA loans require 3.5% down
VA and USDA loans allow zero down payment
Jumbo loans typically require at least 5% to 10% down
Keep in mind, a higher down payment reduces your risk as a borrower and helps you negotiate a better mortgage rate.
If you are able to make a 20 percent down payment, you can avoid paying for mortgage insurance.
This is an added cost paid by the borrower, which protects their lender in case of default or foreclosure.
But a big down payment is not required.
For many people, it makes sense to make a smaller down payment in order to buy a house sooner and start building home equity.
Verify your new rate. Start here
Choosing the right type of home loan
No two mortgage loans are alike, so it’s important to know your options and choose the right type of mortgage.
The five main types of mortgages include:
Fixed-rate mortgage (FRM)
Your interest rate remains the same over the life of the loan. This is a good option for borrowers who expect to live in their homes long-term.
The most popular loan option is the 30-year mortgage, but 15- and 20-year terms are also commonly available.
Adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM)
Adjustable-rate loans have a fixed interest rate for the first few years. Then, your mortgage rate resets every year.
Your rate and payment can rise or fall annually depending on how the broader interest rate trends.
ARMs are ideal for borrowers who expect to move prior to their first rate adjustment (usually in 5 or 7 years).
For those who plan to stay in their home long-term, a fixed-rate mortgage is typically recommended.
Jumbo mortgage
A jumbo loan is a mortgage that exceeds the conforming loan limit set by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
In 2023, the conforming loan limit is $726,200 in most areas.
Jumbo loans are perfect for borrowers who need a larger loan to purchase a high-priced property, especially in big cities with high real estate values.
FHA mortgage
A government loan backed by the Federal Housing Administration for low- to moderate-income borrowers. FHA loans feature low credit score and down payment requirements.
VA mortgage
A government loan backed by the Department of Veterans Affairs. To be eligible, you must be active-duty military, a veteran, a Reservist or National Guard service member, or an eligible spouse.
VA loans allow no down payment and have exceptionally low mortgage rates.
USDA mortgage
USDA loans are a government program backed by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. They offer a no-down-payment solution for borrowers who purchase real estate in an eligible rural area. To qualify, your income must be at or below the local median.
Bank statement loan
Borrowers can qualify for a mortgage without tax returns, using their personal or business bank account. This is an option for self-employed or seasonally-employed borrowers.
Portfolio/Non-QM loan
These are mortgages that lenders don’t sell on the secondary mortgage market. This gives lenders the flexibility to set their own guidelines.
Non-QM loans may have lower credit score requirements, or offer low-down-payment options without mortgage insurance.
Choosing the right mortgage lender
The lender or loan program that’s right for one person might not be right for another.
Explore your options and then pick a loan based on your credit score, down payment, and financial goals, as well as local home prices.
Whether you’re getting a mortgage for a home purchase or a refinance, always shop around and compare rates and terms.
Typically, it only takes a few hours to get quotes from multiple lenders — and it could save you thousands in the long run.
Time to make a move? Let us find the right mortgage for you
Current mortgage rates methodology
We receive current mortgage rates each day from a network of mortgage lenders that offer home purchase and refinance loans. Mortgage rates shown here are based on sample borrower profiles that vary by loan type. See our full loan assumptions here.
After you apply for a mortgage, keep your eye out for the Loan Estimate, an official document from the lender.
Reading and comparing Loan Estimates from different lenders will help you understand the terms and costs of getting a home loan.
What is a Loan Estimate?
A Loan Estimate is a three-page government-mandated document that spells out the terms of a mortgage offer. To get a Loan Estimate you must provide a lender your name, income amount and Social Security number as well as the address of the property you want to buy, an estimated value of the property and the requested loan amount. Once you’ve applied with this information, the lender has three business days to provide a Loan Estimate.
Although you don’t have to give more information about your finances at this stage, the Loan Estimate will be more accurate with the more details you provide, such as the amount of debt you carry and the type of mortgage you’re interested in.
Reading a Loan Estimate
A Loan Estimate details the terms of your loan, including:
Expenses, with clear “yes” or “no” answers to important questions, such as whether each amount can increase after closing, whether your loan includes a prepayment penalty or a balloon payment and which expenses are included in your escrow account.
The projected monthly mortgage payment, including taxes, insurance and other assessments.
Information on services you can, and cannot, shop for — such as pest inspections, survey fees and the home appraisal.
The lender must give a new Loan Estimate if key information changes. For example, the loan offer may change and require a new Loan Estimate if the property appraisal comes in lower than expected. Or a new Loan Estimate might be necessary if your credit standing changes and you no longer qualify for the terms of the original loan offer.
Comparing Loan Estimates
The Loan Estimate also offers data that can help you compare loan offers from multiple lenders. The information to compare includes the total costs of third-party services, the annual percentage rate — your interest rate including fees — and the amount of interest you’ll pay over the loan term, expressed as a percentage of your total loan amount.
One important section to look for is at the top of Page 2, on the left-hand side of the page. That’s where you’ll see “Loan Costs” and “A. Origination Charges.” You’ll find two types of charges here:
Lender fees can have several different names, including “application fee” or “underwriting fee,” as shown. You’ll want to compare these origination fees among the lenders you are shopping.
Discount points are prepaid interest that you have the option of paying to reduce your interest rate. In the example below, an annotated screenshot from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s website, it’s shown as “.25% of Loan Amount (Points).” For more detail, go to the CFPB website and click through all three pages of the sample Loan Estimate.
It’s a good idea to apply with a few lenders and compare Loan Estimates line by line to see which is the best deal.
See the final terms in the Closing Disclosure
After choosing a lender, you’ll go through the full mortgage underwriting process. The lender will order an appraisal of the property and may request more documentation of your finances. After final loan approval, you’ll get the Closing Disclosure. This document gives the final terms and costs of your loan, including the specific amount you’ll need to pay at closing.
You’ll receive the Closing Disclosure at least three business days before your scheduled loan closing. Use this time to review the document for any changes, comparing your Closing Disclosure with the previously received Loan Estimate side by side. Call the lender if you have any questions.
Many or all of the products and brands we promote and feature including our ‘Partner Spotlights’ are from our partners who compensate us. However, this does not influence our editorial opinion found in articles, reviews and our ‘Best’ tables. Our opinion is our own. Read more on our methodology here.
Comparing mortgage rates is key to keeping your mortgage costs lower. It’s also why you should shop around if you’re looking for a new mortgage deal. Whether you’re ready to compare mortgages right now or want to keep tabs on the latest mortgage rates in the UK, everything you need is here.
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How to get the best mortgage rates and deals
Mortgage rates vary depending on the type of mortgage you’re looking for, your financial situation and your credit score. But when we talk about getting the best mortgage rate, it’s important to find the best rate among the mortgage deals that suit you and your circumstances.
Mortgage fees and the features you want in a mortgage should always be considered alongside the mortgage rate when making mortgage comparisons and shopping around for any mortgage deal.
If you’re in any way unsure or want help finding the best mortgage deal for you we recommend you seek mortgage advice.
Are mortgage rates going down?
Mortgage rates have mainly been rising in the past week, continuing the upward trend seen during much of February. The average rate on two-year fixed-rate mortgages increased to 5.15% in the week to 28 February, rising from 5.08% a week earlier, according to Rightmove. At the same time, the average rate on five-year fixed-rate mortgages increased to 4.80%, up from 4.72%.
Many of the big UK lenders have increased the cost of their fixed-rate mortgages in recent weeks. However, average rates remain lower than at the beginning of the year, due to the significant rate cuts seen during the mortgage rate price war in January.
Some experts are predicting that more mortgage rate rises may be on the way. This is mainly because of expectations that the Bank of England base rate may need to stay higher for longer, to get inflation down.
What are current UK mortgage rates?
The average two-year fixed-rate mortgage rate, if you have a 25% deposit or equity, increased to 4.99% over the past week, up from 4.90%, while the average rate on a similar five-year fixed-rate mortgage rose to 4.70%, from 4.61%. If you have a smaller deposit or equity of 5%, the average two-year fixed rate remained unchanged at 5.79%, while the average five-year rate increased to 5.38%, from 5.35%. All rates are according to Rightmove as at 28 February 2024.
Latest average two-year fixed-rate mortgage rates
Loan to value (LTV)
21 February 2024
28 February 2024
Week-on-week change
⇩ ⇧
60% LTV
4.50%
4.62%
+0.12%
⇧
75% LTV
4.90%
4.99%
+0.09%
⇧
85% LTV
5.08%
5.14%
+0.06%
⇧
90% LTV
5.31%
5.38%
+0.07%
⇧
95% LTV
5.79%
5.79%
No change
⇔
Latest average five-year fixed-rate mortgage rates
Loan to value (LTV)
21 February 2024
28 February 2024
Week-on-week change
⇩ ⇧
60% LTV
4.19%
4.30%
+0.11%
⇧
75% LTV
4.61%
4.70%
+0.09%
⇧
85% LTV
4.67%
4.73%
+0.06%
⇧
90% LTV
4.86%
4.93%
+0.07%
⇧
95% LTV
5.35%
5.38%
+0.03%
⇧
Data sourced from Rightmove/Podium. Correct as at 28 February 2024.
Average rates are based on 95% of the mortgage market and products with a fee of around £999.
What mortgage do I need?
If you’re looking for a mortgage, you’ll usually fall into one of the following categories of mortgage borrower.
If you’ve never owned a home before, you’ll usually need a first-time buyer mortgage. Knowing that you’re just starting out, the deposit requirements on most first-time buyer mortgages are generally small. You should also be able to find mortgage deals where upfront fees are kept to a minimum. However, mortgage rates for first-time buyers tend to be higher than if you’re already on the property ladder. This is because you’re likely to require a larger loan relative to the value of your property – so borrow at a higher loan-to-value (LTV) – making you a riskier proposition in the eyes of lenders. As it’s your first mortgage, lenders also have less to go on when trying to assess your reliability as a mortgage borrower.
If you already have a mortgage but want to switch to a new one, you are looking to remortgage. You may want to remortgage because your current fixed-rate or discounted term is at an end and you don’t want to move on to your lender’s standard variable rate (SVR), which may be higher. Other reasons you may remortgage include to raise funds to pay for home improvements, or because falling interest rates or a rise in the value of your home means remortgaging could save you money. If you’ve built equity in your property since taking out your current mortgage, it may be possible to borrow at a lower LTV for your new mortgage – and the lower your LTV, the lower mortgage rates tend to be.
If you already have a mortgage but are moving home, you may be able to take your current mortgage with you – this is called porting. Alternatively, you may want to arrange a new mortgage altogether, either with your current lender or a different one. Whichever option you’re considering, it’s important to weigh up the costs of either porting or exiting your existing deal, along with any potential fees you may need to pay on a new mortgage deal.
If you’re buying a property to rent out to tenants, you’ll be looking for a buy-to-let mortgage. You’ll normally need a larger deposit for a buy-to-let mortgage than you would for a residential mortgage, and buy-to-let mortgage rates tend to be higher too. Lenders will also want to see that the rental income you expect to receive will more than cover your monthly repayments.
How mortgage rates work
Mortgage rates are the interest rate you pay to a lender on the mortgage balance you have outstanding. The lower your mortgage rate, the lower your monthly mortgage repayments tend to be, and vice versa.
Different types of mortgage
The type of mortgage you take out can affect the mortgage rate you pay, and whether it may change going forward.
Fixed-rate mortgage
A fixed-rate mortgage guarantees that your mortgage rate, and therefore your monthly repayments, won’t change during the set fixed-rate period that you choose.
This can help with budgeting and means you are protected against a rise in mortgage costs if interest rates begin to increase. However, you’ll miss out if interest rates start to fall while you are locked into a fixed-rate mortgage.
Variable rate mortgages
With a variable rate mortgage, your mortgage rate has the potential to rise and fall and take your monthly repayments with it. This may work to your advantage if interest rates decrease, but means you’ll pay more if rates increase. Variable rate mortgages can take the form of:
a tracker mortgage, where the mortgage rate you pay is typically set at a specific margin above the Bank of England base rate, and will automatically change in line with movements in the base rate.
a standard variable rate, or SVR, which is a rate set by your lender that you’ll automatically move on to once an initial rate period, such as that on a fixed-rate mortgage, comes to an end. SVRs tend to be higher than the mortgage rates on other mortgages, which is why many people look to remortgage to a new deal when a fixed-rate mortgage ends.
a discount mortgage, where the rate you pay tracks a lender’s SVR at a discounted rate for a fixed period.
Offset mortgages
With an offset mortgage, your savings are ‘offset’ against your mortgage amount to reduce the interest you pay. You can still access your savings, but won’t receive interest on them. Offset mortgages are available on either a fixed or variable rate basis.
Interest-only mortgages
An interest-only mortgage allows you to make repayments that cover the interest you’re charged each month but won’t pay off any of your original mortgage loan amount. This helps to keep monthly repayments low but also requires that you have a repayment strategy in place to pay off the full loan amount when your mortgage term ends. Interest-only mortgages can be arranged on either a fixed or variable rate.
» MORE: Should I get an interest-only or repayment mortgage?
How rate changes could affect your mortgage payments
Depending on the type of mortgage you have, changes in mortgage rates have the potential to affect monthly mortgage repayments in different ways.
Fixed-rate mortgage
If you’re within your fixed-rate period, your monthly repayments will remain the same until that ends, regardless of what is happening to interest rates generally. It is only once the fixed term expires that your repayments could change, either because you’ve moved on to your lender’s SVR, which is usually higher, or because you’ve remortgaged to a new deal, potentially at a different rate.
Tracker mortgage
With a tracker mortgage, your monthly repayments usually fall if the base rate falls, but get more expensive if it rises. The change will usually reflect the full change in the base rate and happen automatically, but may not if you have a collar or a cap on your rate. A collar rate is one below which the rate you pay cannot fall, while a capped rate is one that your mortgage rate cannot go above.
Standard variable rate mortgage
With a standard variable rate mortgage, your mortgage payments could change each month, rising or falling depending on the rate. SVRs aren’t tied to the base rate in the same way as a tracker mortgage, as lenders decide whether to change their SVR and by how much. However, it is usually a strong influence that SVRs tend to follow, either partially or in full.
» MORE: How are fixed and variable rate mortgages different?
Mortgage Calculators
Playing around with mortgage calculators is always time well-spent. Get an estimate of how much your monthly mortgage repayments may be at different loan amounts, mortgage rates and terms using our mortgage repayment calculator. Or use our mortgage interest calculator to get an idea of how your monthly repayments might change if mortgage rates rise or fall.
Can I get a mortgage?
Mortgage lenders have rules about who they’ll lend to and must be certain you can afford the mortgage you want. Your finances and circumstances are taken into account when working this out.
The minimum age to apply for a mortgage is usually 18 years old (or 21 for a buy-to-let mortgage), while there may also be a maximum age you can be when your mortgage term is due to end – this varies from lender to lender. You’ll usually need to have been a UK resident for at least three years and have the right to live and work in the UK to get a mortgage.
Checks will be made on your finances to give lenders reassurance you can afford the mortgage repayments. You’ll need to provide proof of your earnings and bank statements so lenders can see how much you spend. Any debts you have will be considered too. If your outgoings each month are considered too high relative to your monthly pay, you may find it more difficult to get approved for a mortgage.
Lenders will also run a credit check to try and work out if you’re someone they can trust to repay what you owe. If you have a good track record when it comes to managing your finances, and a good credit score as a result, it may improve your chances of being offered a mortgage.
If you work for yourself, it’s possible to get a mortgage if you are self-employed. If you receive benefits, it can be possible to get a mortgage on benefits.
Mortgages for bad credit
It may be possible to get a mortgage if you have bad credit, but you’ll likely need to pay a higher mortgage interest rate to do so. Having a bad credit score suggests to lenders that you’ve experienced problems meeting your debt obligations in the past. To counter the risk of problems occurring again, lenders will charge you higher interest rates accordingly. You’re likely to need to source a specialist lender if you have a poor credit score or a broker that can source you an appropriate lender.
What mortgage can I afford?
Getting an agreement or decision in principle from a mortgage lender will give you an idea of how much you may be allowed to borrow before you properly apply. This can usually be done without affecting your credit score, although it’s not a definite promise from the lender that you will be offered a mortgage.
You’ll also get a good idea of how much mortgage you can afford to pay each month, and how much you would be comfortable spending on the property, by looking at your bank statements. What is your income – and your partner’s if it’s a joint mortgage – and what are your regular outgoings? What can you cut back on and what are non-negotiable expenses? And consider how much you would be able to put down as a house deposit. It may be possible to get a mortgage on a low income but much will depend on your wider circumstances.
» MORE: How much can I borrow for a mortgage?
Joint mortgages
Joint mortgages come with the same rates as those you’ll find on a single person mortgage. However, if you get a mortgage jointly with someone else, you may be able to access lower mortgage rates than if you applied on your own. This is because a combined deposit may mean you can borrow at a lower LTV where rates tend to be lower. Some lenders may also consider having two borrowers liable for repaying a mortgage as less risky than only one.
The importance of loan to value
Your loan-to-value (LTV) ratio is how much you want to borrow through a mortgage shown as a percentage of the value of your property. So if you’re buying a home worth £100,000 and have a £10,000 deposit, the mortgage amount you need is £90,000. This means you need a 90% LTV mortgage.
The LTV you’re borrowing at can affect the interest rate you’re charged. Mortgage rates are usually lower at the lowest LTVs when you have a larger deposit.
What other mortgage costs, fees and charges should you be aware of?
It’s important to take into account the other costs you’re likely to face when buying a home, and not just focus on the mortgage rate alone. These may include:
Stamp duty
Stamp duty is a tax you may have to pay to the government when buying property or land. At the time of publication, if you’re buying a residential home in England or Northern Ireland, stamp duty only becomes payable on properties worth over £250,000. Different thresholds and rates apply in Scotland and Wales, and if you’re buying a second home. You may qualify for first-time buyer stamp duty relief if you’re buying your first home.
» MORE: Stamp duty calculator
Mortgage deposit
Your mortgage deposit is the amount of money you have available to put down upfront when buying a property – the rest of the purchase price is then covered using a mortgage. Even a small deposit may need to be several thousands of pounds, though if you have a larger deposit this can potentially help you to access lower mortgage rate deals.
Mortgage fees
Among the charges and fees which are directly related to mortgages, and the process of taking one out, you may need to pay:
Sometimes also referred to as the completion or product fee, this is a charge paid to the lender for setting up the mortgage. It may be possible to add this on to your mortgage loan although increasing your debt will mean you will be charged interest on this extra amount, which will increase your mortgage costs overall.
This is essentially a charge made to reserve a mortgage while your application is being considered, though it may also be included in the arrangement fee. It’s usually non-refundable, meaning you won’t get it back if your application is turned down.
This pays for the checks that lenders need to make on the property you want to buy so that they can assess whether its value is in line with the mortgage amount you want to borrow. Some lenders offer free house valuations as part of their mortgage deals.
You may want to arrange a house survey so that you can check on the condition of the property and the extent of any repairs that may be needed. A survey should be conducted for your own reassurance, whereas a valuation is for the benefit of the lender and may not go into much detail, depending on the type requested by the lender.
Conveyancing fees cover the legal fees that are incurred when buying or selling a home, including the cost of search fees for your solicitor to check whether there are any potential problems you should be aware of, and land registry fees to register the property in your name.
Some lenders apply this charge if you have a small deposit and are borrowing at a higher LTV. Lenders use the funds to buy insurance that protects them against the risk your property is worth less than your mortgage balance should you fail to meet your repayments and they need to take possession of your home.
If you get advice or go through a broker when arranging your mortgage, you may need to pay a fee for their help and time. If there isn’t a fee, it’s likely they’ll receive commission from the lender you take the mortgage out with instead, which is not added to your costs.
These are fees you may have to pay if you want to pay some or all of your mortgage off within a deal period. Early repayment charges are usually a percentage of the amount you’re paying off early and tend to be higher the earlier you are into a mortgage deal.
Government schemes to help you buy a home
There are several government initiatives and schemes designed to help you buy a home or get a mortgage.
95% Mortgage Guarantee Scheme
The mortgage guarantee scheme aims to persuade mortgage lenders to make 95% LTV mortgages available to first-time buyers with a 5% deposit. It is currently due to finish at the end of June 2025.
Shared Ownership
The Shared Ownership scheme in England allows you to buy a share in a property rather than all of it and pay rent on the rest. Similar schemes are available in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.
Help to Buy
The Help to Buy equity loan scheme, designed to help buyers with a smaller deposit, is still available in Wales, but not in England, Scotland and Northern Ireland.
Forces Help to Buy
The Forces Help to Buy Scheme offers eligible members of the Armed Forces an interest-free loan to help buy a home. The loan is repayable over 10 years.
First Homes Scheme
Eligible first-time buyers in England may be able to get a 30% to 50% discount on the market value of certain properties through the First Homes scheme.
Right to Buy
Under this scheme, eligible council tenants in England have the right to buy the property they live in at a discount of up to 70% of its market value. The exact discount depends on the length of time you’ve been a tenant and is subject to certain limits. Similar schemes are available in Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland, while there is also a Right to Acquire scheme for housing association tenants.
Lifetime ISAs
To help you save for a deposit, a Lifetime ISA will see the government add a 25% bonus of up to £1,000 per year to the amount you put aside in the ISA.
How to apply for a mortgage
You may be able to apply for a mortgage directly with a bank, building society or lender, or you may need or prefer to apply through a mortgage broker. You’ll need to provide identification documents and proof of address, such as your passport, driving license or utility bills.
Lenders will also want to see proof of income and evidence of where your deposit is coming from, including recent bank statements and payslips. It will save time if you have these documents ready before you apply.
» MORE: Best mortgage lenders
Would you like mortgage advice?
Taking out a mortgage is one of the biggest financial decisions you’ll ever make so it’s important to get it right. Getting mortgage advice can help you find a mortgage that is suitable to you and your circumstances. It also has the potential to save you money.
If you think you need mortgage advice, we’ve partnered with online mortgage broker London & Country Mortgages Ltd (L&C) who can offer you fee-free advice.
Key mortgage terms explained
Loan to value (LTV)
Your loan-to-value ratio is the amount you wish to borrow through a mortgage expressed as a percentage of the value of the property you’re buying.
Initial interest rate
This is the interest rate you’ll pay when you’re still within the initial fixed-rate period of a mortgage deal.
Initial interest rate period
This is the period of time your initial interest rate will last, before your lender switches you over to its SVR.
Annual Percentage Rate of Charge (APRC)
The APRC is a single percentage figure designed to help you compare the annual cost of different mortgage deals.
Annual overpayment allowance (AOA)
This is the amount a lender will let you overpay on your mortgage each year without being charged a fee.
Early Repayment Charge (ERC)
This is a charge you may need to pay if you want to pay off some or all of your mortgage earlier than you agreed with your lender.
Mortgage term
A mortgage term is the full period of time over which the mortgage contract is taken out for – it should not be confused with the deal term. At the end of the term you will have paid off the full debt or all of the interest depending on what type of mortgage you took.
The current average rate on a five-year fixed-rate mortgage for a 10% deposit or equity is 4.93%, up from 4.86% a week earlier. For an equivalent two-year fixed-rate mortgage, the average rate of 5.38% has increased from 5.31%. If you have a 40% deposit/equity, the average five-year fixed rate is 4.30%, up from 4.19% a week earlier, while the average two-year fixed rate is 4.62%, rising from 4.50%. All rates are according to Rightmove as at 28 February 2024.
A mortgage rate is the interest rate a lender charges on the mortgage amount that you borrow. Mortgage interest rates may be fixed, guaranteeing that they will remain the same for a certain length of time, or variable, meaning it may fluctuate.
Mortgage providers regularly review the mortgage rates that they offer to take into account the costs involved with funding its lending activities, their latest priorities in terms of target borrowers, and wider conditions in the market. As a result, when searching for a new mortgage, it’s always a good idea to consider various lenders and take the time to compare different mortgages. Crucially, you need to bear in mind that a deal offering the best mortgage rate may not necessarily be the one that is most suitable for you. The mortgage rate is important, but at the same time, you need to consider other factors, such as the charges and fees attached to a mortgage, the type of mortgage that you need, and the mortgage term that you want.
While mortgage rates have been rising in recent weeks, many commentators still expect to see mortgage rates fall across 2024 as a whole.
The next move in the Bank of England base rate, which currently sits at 5.25%, is widely forecast to be down. But with inflation remaining unchanged in January, and wage growth easing by less than expected, some experts predict the first rate cut may not be made until September. Towards the end of 2023, some believed the rate could begin falling in March.
The uncertainty makes it even more difficult than usual to predict what may happen to mortgage rates next.
The interest rate is the percentage of a loan amount that a lender charges for borrowing money, whereas the APRC, or annual percentage rate of charge, is a calculation expressed as a percentage that takes into account both the interest rate and associated costs of a mortgage across its lifetime. The aim of the APRC is to help borrowers make meaningful comparisons between mortgage deals.
Taking the time to compare mortgage rates and deals, making sure your credit score is in good shape, saving for a larger deposit and paying off existing debts can all help improve your chances of getting a good mortgage deal.
When looking for a mortgage it is vital that you compare mortgage lenders and the rates and deals on offer. Taking the time to carry out a mortgage comparison can improve your chances of finding the best mortgage for your circumstances.
A mortgage is a loan you take out to help you buy a property you don’t have the money to pay for up front. You may be a first-time buyer, remortgaging, securing a buy to let, or moving to your next home. The amount you need to borrow will depend on the purchase price of the property, and how much you can put down as a deposit or already hold in equity in your current property. The mortgage is secured against the property, which means your home is at risk if you don’t meet the repayments.
With a capital repayment mortgage, your monthly repayments pay off your interest and some of your original loan amount each month, so that everything should be paid off by the time you reach the end of your mortgage term. The alternative to a repayment mortgage is an interest-only mortgage, where you will repay only the interest each month before needing to pay off your original loan amount in its entirety at the end of the mortgage term.
A mortgage term is the period of time you agree with a lender over which you intend to entirely pay off your mortgage and interest. A typical mortgage term in the UK is usually considered to be 25 years, but you may opt for a shorter period or a longer one, if allowed. Some lenders offer mortgage terms of up to 40 years. If you have a longer term, your monthly repayments will be lower, but you’ll pay more interest overall.
The cost of your mortgage will depend on many factors, including how much you borrow, the size of your deposit, the length of your mortgage term, the mortgage rate you’re paying, and whether you can afford to make overpayments. Your mortgage lender must provide you with the full cost of the mortgage before you apply.
» MORE: How much could your mortgage cost you?
Besides making sure your monthly repayments are affordable, there are many other costs associated with arranging a mortgage. These may include arrangement, survey, valuation and mortgage broker fees.
If you’ve previously owned a home and the property you’re buying is worth more than £250,000, stamp duty will be payable as well; if you’re a first-time buyer, stamp duty only becomes payable on properties worth over £425,000.
To get a mortgage as a first-time buyer you’ll usually need at least a 5% deposit and a regular income. Most lenders offer first-time buyer mortgages aimed primarily at those with smaller deposits. First-time buyers may also be able to secure a mortgage with the help of close relatives through a guarantor mortgage.
Some lenders offer buy-to-let mortgages that can be arranged on a property you want to rent out to a tenant, rather than live in yourself. You’ll usually need a larger deposit for a buy-to-let mortgage than for a residential mortgage, and interest rates are often higher. You may also need to already own your own home or have a residential mortgage on another property.
It may be possible to get a mortgage with bad credit but you’ll probably have fewer mortgage deals to choose from and need to pay higher mortgage rates.
You may want to consider remortgaging if your initial fixed-rate period is close to ending and you want to avoid moving on to your lender’s SVR. Choosing to remortgage has the potential to save you money if you find the right mortgage deal.
» MORE: How remortgaging works
It’s always important to think about your plans, particularly when it comes to choosing the type of mortgage that will suit you best. For instance, if you plan to move in perhaps two years, choosing a five-year fixed-rate mortgage may mean you have to pay early repayment charges if you need to get a new mortgage.
Getting an agreement in principle, or AIP, from a lender will give you an idea of how much you may be able to borrow for your mortgage without needing to formally apply. Getting an AIP usually involves a soft credit check, which shouldn’t affect your credit score. However, having an AIP does not guarantee that a lender will offer you a mortgage. An agreement in principle is also sometimes referred to as a decision in principle or a mortgage promise.
Yes, some providers offer halal or Islamic mortgages in the UK. These are compliant with Sharia law and allow people to borrow but not pay interest.
Think carefully before securing other debts against your home. Your home may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on a loan or any other debt secured on it.
Information on this page is a guide. It does not constitute advice, recommendation or suitability to your needs or financial circumstances. Seek qualified mortgage advice before proceeding with a mortgage product.
NerdWallet strives to keep its information accurate and up to date. This information may be different than what you see when you visit a financial institution, service provider or specific product’s site. All financial products and services are presented without warranty. When evaluating products, please review the financial institution’s Terms and Conditions.
Editor’s Note: Parts of this story were auto-populated using data from Curinos, a mortgage research firm that collects data from more than 250 lenders. For more details on how we compile daily mortgage data, check out our methodology here.
Mortgage rates remain above 7%, according to data from Curinos analyzed by MarketWatch Guides. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is 7.35% today, down-0.12 percentage points from last week.
With mortgage rates above 7% and home prices showing no signs of dropping, home affordability has continued to decline, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). An MBA report published last week showed that the median monthly payment for new home purchases in the U.S. increased to $2,134 in January – up 4% from the month before.
Prospective home buyers may see rates drop more substantially this year, however. The Federal Reserve board previously indicated that it expects three rate cuts throughout 2024 and their next meeting is scheduled for March 19-20.
Here are today’s average mortgage rates:
30-year fixed mortgage rate: 7.35%
15-year fixed mortgage rate: 6.70%
5/6 ARM mortgage rate: 6.99%
Jumbo mortgage rate: 7.17%
Current Mortgage Rates
Product
Rate
Last Week
Change
30-Year Fixed Rate
7.35%
7.47%
-0.12
15-Year Fixed Rate
6.70%
6.72%
-0.02
5/6 ARM
6.99%
7.02%
-0.03
7/6 ARM
7.22%
7.24%
-0.02
10/6 ARM
7.32%
7.32%
0.00
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo
7.17%
7.23%
-0.06
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA
7.17%
7.21%
-0.04
30-Year Fixed Rate VA
7.15%
7.23%
-0.08
Disclaimer: The rates above are based on data from Curinos, LLC. All rate data is accurate as of Tuesday, March 05, 2024. Actual rates may vary.
>> View historical mortgage rate trends
Mortgage Rates for Home Purchase
30-year fixed-rate mortgages are down, -0.12
The average 30-year fixed-mortgage rate is 7.35%. Since the same time last week, the rate is down, changing -0.12 percentage points.
At the current average rate, you’ll pay $688.97 per month in principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow. You’re paying less compared to last week when the average rate was 7.47%.
15-year fixed-rate mortgages are down, -0.02
The average rate you’ll pay for a 15-year fixed-mortgage is 6.70%, a decrease of-0.02 percentage points compared to last week.
Monthly payments on a 15-year fixed-mortgage at a rate of 6.70% will cost approximately $882.14 per $100,000 borrowed. With the rate of 6.72% last week, you would’ve paid $883.25 per month.
5/6 adjustable-rate mortgages are down, -0.03
The average rate on a 5/6 adjustable rate mortgage is 6.99%, a decrease of-0.03 percentage points over the last seven days.
Adjustable-rate mortgages, commonly referred to as ARMs, are mortgages with a fixed interest rate for a set period of time followed by a rate that adjusts on a regular basis. With a 5/6 ARM, the rate is fixed for the first 5 years and then adjusts every six months over the next 25 years.
Monthly payments on a 5/6 ARM at a rate of 6.99% will cost approximately $664.63 per $100,000 borrowed over the first 5 years of the loan.
Jumbo loan interest rates are down, -0.06
The average jumbo mortgage rate today is 7.17%, a decrease of-0.06 percentage points over the past week.
Jumbo loans are mortgages that exceed loan limits set by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) and funding criteria of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. This generally means that the amount of money borrowed is higher than $726,200.
Product
Monthly P&I per $100,000
Last Week
Change
30-Year Fixed Rate
$688.97
$697.16
-$8.19
15-Year Fixed Rate
$882.14
$883.25
-$1.11
5/6 ARM
$664.63
$666.65
-$2.02
7/6 ARM
$680.14
$681.50
-$1.36
10/6 ARM
$686.93
$686.93
$0.00
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo
$676.76
$680.82
-$4.06
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA
$676.76
$679.47
-$2.71
30-Year Fixed Rate VA
$675.41
$680.82
-$5.41
Note: Monthly payments on adjustable-rate mortgages are shown for the first five, seven and 10 years of the loan, respectively.
Factors That Affect Your Mortgage Rate
Mortgage rates change frequently based on the economic environment. Inflation, the federal funds rate, housing market conditions and other factors all play into how rates move from week-to-week and month-to-month.
But outside of macroeconomic trends, several other factors specific to the borrower will affect the mortgage interest rate. They include:
Financial situation: Mortgage lenders use past financial decisions of borrowers as a way to evaluate the risk of loaning money.
Loan amount and structure: The amount of money that bank or mortgage lender loans and its structure (including both the term and whether its a fixed-rate or adjustable-rate).
Location: Mortgage rates vary by where you are buying a home. Areas with more lenders, and thus more competition, may have lower rates. Foreclosure laws can also impact a lender’s risk, affecting rates.
Whether borrowers are first-time homebuyers: Oftentimes first-time homebuyer programs will offer new homeowners lower rates.
Lenders: Banks, credit unions and online lenders all may offer slightly different rates depending on their internal determination.
How To Shop for the Best Mortgage Rate
Comparison shopping for a mortgage can be overwhelming, but it’s shown to be worth the effort. Homeowners may be able to save between $600 and $1,200 annually by shopping around for the best rate, researchers found in a recent study by Freddie Mac. That’s why we put together steps on how to shop for the best mortgage rate.
1. Check credit scores and credit reports
A borrower’s credit situation will likely determine the type of mortgage they can pursue, as well as their rate. Conventional loans are typically only offered to borrowers with a credit score of 620 or higher, while FHA loans may be the best option for borrowers with a FICO score between 500 and 619. Additionally, individuals with higher credit scores are more likely to be offered a lower mortgage interest rate.
Mortgage lenders often review scores from the three major credit bureaus: Equifax, Experian and TransUnion. By viewing your scores ahead of lenders considering you for a loan, you can check for errors and even work to improve your score by paying down balances and limiting new credit cards and loans.
2. Know the options
There are four standard mortgage programs: conventional, FHA, VA and USDA. To get the best mortgage rate and increase your odds of approval, it’s important for potential borrowers to do their research and apply for the mortgage program that best fits their financial situation.
The table below describes each program, highlighting minimum credit score and down payment requirements.
Though conventional mortgages are most common, borrowers will also need to consider their repayment plan and term. Rates can be either fixed or adjustable and terms can range from 10 to 30 years, though most homeowners opt for a 15- or 30-year mortgage.
3. Compare quotes across multiple lenders
Shopping around for a mortgage goes beyond comparing rates online. We recommend reaching out to lenders directly to see the “real” rate as figures listed online may not be representative of a borrower’s particular situation. While most experts recommend getting quotes from three to five lenders, there is no limit on the number of mortgage companies you can apply with. In many cases, lenders will allow borrowers to prequalify for a mortgage and receive a tentative loan offer with no impact to their credit score.
After gathering your loan documents – including proof of income, assets and credit – borrowers may also apply for pre-approval. Pre-approval will let them know where they stand with lenders and may also improve negotiating power with home sellers.
4. Review loan estimates
To fully understand which lender is offering the cheapest loan overall, take a look at the loan estimate provided by each lender. A loan estimate will list not only the mortgage rate, but also a borrower’s annual percentage rate (APR), which includes the interest rate and other lender fees such as closing costs and discount points.
By comparing loan estimates across lenders, borrowers can see the full breakdown of their possible costs. One lender may offer lower interest rates, but higher fees and vice versa. Looking at the loan’s APR can give you a good apples-to-apples comparison between lenders that takes into account both rates and fees.
5. Consider negotiating with lenders on rates
Mortgage lenders want to do business. This means that borrowers may use competing offers as leverage to adjust fees and interest rates. Many lenders may not lower their offered rate by much, but even a few basis points may save borrowers more than they might think in the long run. For instance, the difference between 6.8% and 7.0% on a 30-year, fixed-rate $100,000 mortgage is roughly $5,000 over the life of the loan.
Expert Forecasts for Mortgage Rates
Mortgage rates have cooled significantly over the past several months. After the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage hit 8% last October, it ended 2023 closer to 7%. In fact, the average for Q4 2023 was 7.3%.
Analysts with Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) both project that rates will fall going into 2024 and throughout next year.
Fannie Mae economists expect rates to drop more quickly, falling below 6% by Q4 2024. Meanwhile, the MBA’s forecast for Q4 2024 is 6.1% and 5.9% for Q1 2025.
More Mortgage Resources
Methodology
Every weekday, MarketWatch Guides provides readers with the latest rates on 11 different types of mortgages. Data for these daily averages comes from Curinos, LLC, a leading provider of mortgage research that collects data from more than 250 lenders. For more details on how we compile daily mortgage data, check out our comprehensive methodology here. Editor’s Note: Before making significant financial decisions, consider reviewing your options with someone you trust, such as a financial adviser, credit counselor or financial professional, since every person’s situation and needs are different.
Average mortgage rates just inched lower yesterday. And they were effectively unchanged over the last seven days.
Next week, the direction those rates take will probably hinge almost entirely on Friday’s jobs report and appearances before Congress of the Federal Reserve’s chair. (More on those below.) Of course, nobody knows what they will say. So, once again, I’m forced to say mortgage rates next week could go either way.
Find and lock a low rate
Current mortgage and refinance rates
Program
Mortgage Rate
APR*
Change
Conventional 30-year fixed
7.27%
7.29%
-0.02
Conventional 15-year fixed
6.68%
6.71%
-0.02
Conventional 20-year fixed
7.11%
7.14%
-0.02
Conventional 10-year fixed
6.59%
6.61%
-0.03
30-year fixed FHA
6.31%
6.98%
-0.08
30-year fixed VA
6.64%
6.75%
Unchanged
5/1 ARM Conventional
6.31%
7.39%
Unchanged
Rates are provided by our partner network, and may not reflect the market. Your rate might be different. Click here for a personalized rate quote. See our rate assumptions See our rate assumptions here.
Find and lock a low rate
Should you lock a mortgage rate today?
There’s no such thing as certainty in future mortgage rates. However, the chances of their gently gliding lower in 2024 are good. Unfortunately, it’s looking unlikely that the happy trend will arrive before late spring, and possibly well into the summer.
So, my personal rate lock recommendations are now:
LOCK if closing in 7 days
LOCK if closing in 15 days
LOCK if closing in 30 days
LOCK if closing in 45 days
LOCKif closing in 60days
However, with so much uncertainty at the moment, your instincts could easily turn out to be as good as mine — or better. So let your gut and your own tolerance for risk help guide you.
What’s moving current mortgage rates
Next week’s jobs report
Two monthly economic reports vie for the top spot as the most consequential for mortgage rates. One, the jobs report, is due next Friday. And the other, the consumer price index (CPI), is scheduled for the following Tuesday.
We’ll deal with the CPI next week. But let’s look at what the jobs report (formally called the employment situation report) for February might do.
With almost all economic data, mortgage rates tend to fall when the figures in a report are lower than markets are expecting. One exception crops up in the jobs report. It’s better for mortgage rates when the unemployment rate is higher than expected.
Before each report, analysts come up with a consensus forecast. And many investors trade ahead of publication based on the forecast, pricing it into mortgage rates and assets. So, when the forecast is wrong, investors are left scrambling to buy or sell assets as they rebalance their portfolios to reflect reality. The asset that largely determines mortgage rates is a type of bond called a mortgage-backed security (MBS).
So, let’s see what markets are expecting, according to MarketWatch, from the jobs report:
Nonfarm payrolls (new jobs added during the month) — 210,000 in February, down from 353,000 in January
Unemployment rate — 3.7% in February, unchanged from January
Hourly wages — 0.2% in February, down from 0.6% in January
To be clear, mortgage rates tend to fall when economic data are worse than expected. So, we’d like nonfarm payrolls to be below 210,000, hourly wages to have risen more slowly than 0.2%, and the unemployment rate to be higher than 3.7%.
Chances are, the jobs report will on Friday swamp the effects of all the other economic reports next week. But a few of the lesser ones might cause some volatility earlier in the week.
Other important reports next week
The ones most likely to do so are:
January factory orders on Tuesday — Expected to fall to -3.1% from December’s +0.2%
February purchasing managers’ index (PMI) from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) — Expected to fall slightly
February ADP employment report for the private sector on Wednesday — Expected to rise to 150,000 from 107,000 in January. Sometimes seen as a bellwether for the jobs report
January job openings and labor turnover survey (JOLTS) on Wednesday — Openings are expected to dip slightly to 8.9 million from 9 million in December. A helpful peek under the labor market’s hood
Second reading of productivity during the last quarter of 2023 (Q4/23) on Thursday — Expected to be a shade lower than the first reading at 3.1% compared to 3.2%
We’d need to see big variations from the analysts’ consensus forecasts for these to move mortgage rates far or for long. But any of these might push those rates up or down.
The Fed
Although these and other reports routinely move mortgage rates even when inflation and the Federal Reserve are not front of mind, things are different now. Investors tend to view the data through the prism of how they might affect the Fed’s decisions on the timing and scope of future cuts to general interest rates.
One way they can gauge that is by listening to what top Fed officials say in public. And those have nine speaking engagements next week.
Most importantly, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to provide evidence to Congress next Wednesday and Thursday. His voice is highly influential and his testimony could easily move mortgage rates.
The Fed will next decide on rate policy on Mar. 20. Very few expect it to cut general interest rates that day. But Wall Street hopes it will strongly hint at cuts at the May or June meetings of its rate-setting committee.
Economic reports next week
See above for details about the more important economic reports next week.
In the following list of next week’s reports, only those in bold typically have the potential to affect mortgage rates appreciably. The others probably won’t have much impact unless they contain shockingly good or bad data.
Monday — Nothing
Tuesday — February ISM PMI. Also factory orders for January
Wednesday — Fed Chair Jerome Powell testifies to Congress. Also February’s ADP employment report and January’s JOLTS
Thursday — Fed Chair Jerome Powell testifies to Congress (again). Plus productivity in Q4/23. And initial jobless claims for the week ending Mar. 2
Friday — February jobs report
The jobs report is by far the most important publication next week. But watch out, too, for the Fed chair’s appearances before Congress.
Time to make a move? Let us find the right mortgage for you
Mortgage rates forecast for next week
Once again, mortgage rates are unpredictable next week. Whether they move higher or lower will largely depend on the jobs report (which regularly confounds analysts’ forecasts) and on what Fed Chair Jerome Powell tells Congress.
How your mortgage interest rate is determined
A bond market generally determines mortgage and refinance rates. It’s the one where trading in mortgage-backed securities takes place.
And that’s highly dependent on the economy. So mortgage rates tend to be high when things are going well and low when the economy’s in trouble. But inflation rates can undermine those tendencies.
Your part
But you play a big part in determining your own mortgage rate in five ways. And you can affect it significantly by:
Shopping around for your best mortgage rate — They vary widely from lender to lender
Boosting your credit score — Even a small bump can make a big difference to your rate and payments
Saving the biggest down payment you can — Lenders like you to have real skin in this game
Keeping your other borrowing modest — The lower your other monthly commitments, the bigger the mortgage you can afford
Choosing your mortgage carefully — Are you better off with a conventional, conforming, FHA, VA, USDA, jumbo or another loan?
Time spent getting these ducks in a row can see you winning lower rates.
Remember, they’re not just a mortgage rate
Be sure to count all your forthcoming homeownership costs when you’re working out how big a mortgage you can afford. So, focus on something called you “PITI.” That stands for:
Principal — Pays down the amount you borrowed
Interest — The price of borrowing
Taxes — Specifically property taxes
Insurance — Specifically homeowners insurance
Our mortgage calculator can help with these.
Depending on your type of mortgage and the size of your down payment, you may have to pay mortgage insurance, too. And that can easily run into three figures every month.
But there are other potential costs. So, you’ll have to pay homeowners association dues if you choose to live somewhere with an HOA. And, wherever you live, you should expect repairs and maintenance costs. There’s no landlord to call when things go wrong!
Finally, you’ll find it hard to forget closing costs. You can see those reflected in the annual percentage rate (APR) that lenders will quote you. Because that effectively spreads them out over your loan’s term, making that rate higher than your straight mortgage rate.
But you may be able to get help with those closing costs and your down payment, especially if you’re a first-time buyer. Read:
Down payment assistance programs in every state for 2023
Mortgage rate methodology
The Mortgage Reports receives rates based on selected criteria from multiple lending partners each day. We arrive at an average rate and APR for each loan type to display in our chart. Because we average an array of rates, it gives you a better idea of what you might find in the marketplace. Furthermore, we average rates for the same loan types. For example, FHA fixed with FHA fixed. The result is a good snapshot of daily rates and how they change over time.
Our goal here at Credible Operations, Inc., NMLS Number 1681276, referred to as “Credible” below, is to give you the tools and confidence you need to improve your finances. Although we do promote products from our partner lenders who compensate us for our services, all opinions are our own.
Average mortgage rates edged higher yesterday. Although the change was negligible, it was enough to return them to their recent high, first reached last Thursday. However, they’re still way lower than the near-8% levels seen as recently as last October.
Earlier this morning, markets were signaling that mortgage rates today might barely move. However, these early mini-trends often switch direction or speed as the hours pass.
Current mortgage and refinance rates
Find your lowest rate. Start here
Program
Mortgage Rate
APR*
Change
Conventional 30-year fixed
7.36%
7.37%
+0.01
Conventional 15-year fixed
6.76%
6.79%
Unchanged
Conventional 20-year fixed
7.06%
7.09%
Unchanged
Conventional 10-year fixed
6.65%
6.68%
-0.01
30-year fixed FHA
6.42%
7.11%
+0.03
30-year fixed VA
6.71%
6.83%
-0.01
5/1 ARM Conventional
6.18%
7.32%
-0.01
Rates are provided by our partner network, and may not reflect the market. Your rate might be different. Click here for a personalized rate quote. See our rate assumptions See our rate assumptions here.
Should you lock your mortgage rate today?
Many investors now expect the Federal Reserve to implement its first cut in general interest rates in June. And to make only three modest cuts during 2024.
That’s very different from their expectations at the start of this year. Then, they thought the first cut would be in March followed by five more before Dec. 31.
It’s this shift in expectations, from the optimistic to the realistic, that largely explains why mortgage rates have been moving higher in recent weeks. And it’s my top reason for now thinking that mortgage rates probably won’t begin to trend consistently lower until well into the second (April-June) quarter.
So, for now, my personal rate lock recommendations are:
LOCK if closing in 7 days
LOCK if closing in 15 days
LOCK if closing in 30 days
LOCK if closing in 45 days
LOCKif closing in 60days
However, with so much uncertainty at the moment, your instincts could easily turn out to be as good as mine — or better. So, let your gut and your own tolerance for risk help guide you.
>Related: 7 Tips to get the best refinance rate
Market data affecting today’s mortgage rates
Here’s a snapshot of the state of play this morning at about 9:50 a.m. (ET). The data are mostly compared with roughly the same time the business day before, so much of the movement will often have happened in the previous session. The numbers are:
The yield on 10-year Treasury notes held steady 4.30%. (Neutral for mortgage rates.) More than any other market, mortgage rates typically tend to follow these particular Treasury bond yields
Major stock indexes were falling this morning. (Good for mortgage rates.) When investors buy shares, they’re often selling bonds, which pushes those prices down and increases yields and mortgage rates. The opposite may happen when indexes are lower. But this is an imperfect relationship
Oil prices climbed to $79.34 from $78.19 a barrel. (Bad for mortgage rates*.) Energy prices play a prominent role in creating inflation and also point to future economic activity
Goldprices inched down to $2,042 from $2,044 an ounce. (Neutral for mortgage rates*.) It is generally better for rates when gold prices rise and worse when they fall. Gold tends to rise when investors worry about the economy.
CNN Business Fear & Greed index — increased to 79 from 76 out of 100. (Bad for mortgage rates.) “Greedy” investors push bond prices down (and interest rates up) as they leave the bond market and move into stocks, while “fearful” investors do the opposite. So lower readings are often better than higher ones
*A movement of less than $20 on gold prices or 40 cents on oil ones is a change of 1% or less. So we only count meaningful differences as good or bad for mortgage rates.
Caveats about markets and rates
Before the pandemic, post-pandemic upheavals, and war in Ukraine, you could look at the above figures and make a pretty good guess about what would happen to mortgage rates that day. But that’s no longer the case. We still make daily calls. And are usually right. But our record for accuracy won’t achieve its former high levels until things settle down.
So, use markets only as a rough guide. Because they have to be exceptionally strong or weak to rely on them. But, with that caveat, mortgage rates today look likely to hold steady or close to steady. However, be aware that “intraday swings” (when rates change speed or direction during the day) are a common feature right now.
Find your lowest rate. Start here
What’s driving mortgage rates today?
Today
This morning brought the second reading (of three) of gross domestic product (GDP) during the fourth quarter of last year. And it will likely hardly affect mortgage rates.
Today’s figure showed growth that quarter at 3.2%. Markets had been expecting it to be unchanged from its first reading at 3.3%. And they’d already priced that figure into mortgage rates.
Ten-year Treasury notes edged lower on the news. But mortgage rates didn’t immediately follow, and the difference between the actual figure and market expectations may not be enough to change them.
Tomorrow
We’re due January’s personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index tomorrow. This is the Federal Reserve’s favorite gauge of inflation. So it certainly has the potential to move markets and mortgage rates, not least because it could influence decisions about the timing and scope of the Fed’s future cuts in general interest rates.
Tomorrow brings four key figures: two for the all-items PCE price index and two for the “core” PCE price index. The core figure is the all-items one after volatile food and energy prices have been stripped out, something that supposedly reveals underlying inflation. The Fed focuses on core figures.
There are two figures for each of these indexes. The first shows how prices moved in the month of January. And the second is the year-over-year (YOY) number, which shows how the same prices moved between Feb. 1, 2023 and Jan. 31, 2024.
Tomorrow’s inflation and other data
Here are what markets are expecting tomorrow (with December’s actual figures in brackets):
January all-items PCE price index — 0.3% (0.2 % in December)
January core PCE price index —0.4% (0.2% in December)
YOY all-items PCE price index — 2.4% (2.6 % in December)
YOY core PCE price index —2.8% (2.8% in December)
You can see that markets are expecting a small increase in most of these measures of inflation. And, because they’re expecting them, they’ll have already priced those into mortgage rates. So, if the figures come in as forecast, mortgage rates might barely move.
However, higher-than-expected figures could push those rates upward. Conversely, lower-than-expected ones could drag them downward.
Other economic reports due tomorrow rarely move mortgage rates far or for long, especially when they’re overshadowed by a major report like the PCE price index.
Ten senior Fed officials have speaking engagements tomorrow and on Friday, all after tomorrow’s report. And those could change mortgage rates if enough of them say things that cheer up or depress investors. But we can only wait to hear their remarks.
Don’t forget you can always learn more about what’s driving mortgage rates in the most recent weekend edition of this daily report. These provide a more detailed analysis of what’s happening. They are published each Saturday morning soon after 10 a.m. (ET) and include a preview of the following week.
Recent trends
According to Freddie Mac’s archives, the weekly all-time lowest rate for 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages was set on Jan. 7, 2021, when it stood at 2.65%. The weekly all-time high was 18.63% on Sep. 10, 1981.
Freddie’s Feb. 22 report put that same weekly average at 6.90% up from the previous week’s 6.77%. But note that Freddie’s data are almost always out of date by the time it announces its weekly figures.
Expert forecasts for mortgage rates
Looking further ahead, Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) each has a team of economists dedicated to monitoring and forecasting what will happen to the economy, the housing sector and mortgage rates.
And here are their rate forecasts for the four quarters of 2024 (Q1/24, Q2/24 Q3/24 and Q4/24).
The numbers in the table below are for 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages. Fannie’s were updated on Feb. 12 and the MBA’s on Feb. 20.
Forecaster
Q1/24
Q2/24
Q3/24
Q4/24
Fannie Mae
6.5%
6.3%
6.1%
5.9%
MBA
6.9%
6.6%
6.3%
6.1%
Of course, given so many unknowables, both these forecasts might be even more speculative than usual. And their past record for accuracy hasn’t been wildly impressive.
Important notes on today’s mortgage rates
Here are some things you need to know:
Typically, mortgage rates go up when the economy’s doing well and down when it’s in trouble. But there are exceptions. Read ‘How mortgage rates are determined and why you should care’
Only “top-tier” borrowers (with stellar credit scores, big down payments, and very healthy finances) get the ultralow mortgage rates you’ll see advertised
Lenders vary. Yours may or may not follow the crowd when it comes to daily rate movements — though they all usually follow the broader trend over time
When daily rate changes are small, some lenders will adjust closing costs and leave their rate cards the same
Refinance rates are typically close to those for purchases.
A lot is going on at the moment. And nobody can claim to know with certainty what will happen to mortgage rates in the coming hours, days, weeks or months.
Find your lowest mortgage rate today
You should comparison shop widely, no matter what sort of mortgage you want. Federal regulator the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau found in May 2023:
“Mortgage borrowers are paying around $100 a month more depending on which lender they choose, for the same type of loan and the same consumer characteristics (such as credit score and down payment).”
In other words, over the lifetime of a 30-year loan, homebuyers who don’t bother to get quotes from multiple lenders risk losing an average of $36,000. What could you do with that sort of money?
Verify your new rate
Mortgage rate methodology
The Mortgage Reports receives rates based on selected criteria from multiple lending partners each day. We arrive at an average rate and APR for each loan type to display in our chart. Because we average an array of rates, it gives you a better idea of what you might find in the marketplace. Furthermore, we average rates for the same loan types. For example, FHA fixed with FHA fixed. The end result is a good snapshot of daily rates and how they change over time.
How your mortgage interest rate is determined
Mortgage and refinance rates vary a lot depending on each borrower’s unique situation.
Factors that determine your mortgage interest rate include:
Overall strength of the economy — A strong economy usually means higher rates, while a weaker one can push current mortgage rates down to promote borrowing
Lender capacity — When a lender is very busy, it will increase rates to deter new business and give its loan officers some breathing room
Property type (condo, single-family, town house, etc.) — A primary residence, meaning a home you plan to live in full time, will have a lower interest rate. Investment properties, second homes, and vacation homes have higher mortgage rates
Loan-to-value ratio (determined by your down payment) — Your loan-to-value ratio (LTV) compares your loan amount to the value of the home. A lower LTV, meaning a bigger down payment, gets you a lower mortgage rate
Debt-To-Income ratio — This number compares your total monthly debts to your pretax income. The more debt you currently have, the less room you’ll have in your budget for a mortgage payment
Loan term — Loans with a shorter term (like a 15-year mortgage) typically have lower rates than a 30-year loan term
Borrower’s credit score — Typically the higher your credit score is, the lower your mortgage rate, and vice versa
Mortgage discount points — Borrowers have the option to buy discount points or ‘mortgage points’ at closing. These let you pay money upfront to lower your interest rate
Remember, every mortgage lender weighs these factors a little differently.
To find the best rate for your situation, you’ll want to get personalized estimates from a few different lenders.
Verify your new rate. Start here
Are refinance rates the same as mortgage rates?
Rates for a home purchase and mortgage refinance are often similar.
However, some lenders will charge more for a refinance under certain circumstances.
Typically when rates fall, homeowners rush to refinance. They see an opportunity to lock in a lower rate and payment for the rest of their loan.
This creates a tidal wave of new work for mortgage lenders.
Unfortunately, some lenders don’t have the capacity or crew to process a large number of refinance loan applications.
In this case, a lender might raise its rates to deter new business and give loan officers time to process loans currently in the pipeline.
Also, cashing out equity can result in a higher rate when refinancing.
Cash-out refinances pose a greater risk for mortgage lenders, so they’re often priced higher than new home purchases and rate-term refinances.
Check your refinance rates today. Start here
How to get the lowest mortgage or refinance rate
Since rates can vary, always shop around when buying a house or refinancing a mortgage.
Comparison shopping can potentially save thousands, even tens of thousands of dollars over the life of your loan.
Here are a few tips to keep in mind:
1. Get multiple quotes
Many borrowers make the mistake of accepting the first mortgage or refinance offer they receive.
Some simply go with the bank they use for checking and savings since that can seem easiest.
However, your bank might not offer the best mortgage deal for you. And if you’re refinancing, your financial situation may have changed enough that your current lender is no longer your best bet.
So get multiple quotes from at least three different lenders to find the right one for you.
2. Compare Loan Estimates
When shopping for a mortgage or refinance, lenders will provide a Loan Estimate that breaks down important costs associated with the loan.
You’ll want to read these Loan Estimates carefully and compare costs and fees line-by-line, including:
Interest rate
Annual percentage rate (APR)
Monthly mortgage payment
Loan origination fees
Rate lock fees
Closing costs
Remember, the lowest interest rate isn’t always the best deal.
Annual percentage rate (APR) can help you compare the ‘real’ cost of two loans. It estimates your total yearly cost including interest and fees.
Also, pay close attention to your closing costs.
Some lenders may bring their rates down by charging more upfront via discount points. These can add thousands to your out-of-pocket costs.
3. Negotiate your mortgage rate
You can also negotiate your mortgage rate to get a better deal.
Let’s say you get loan estimates from two lenders. Lender A offers the better rate, but you prefer your loan terms from Lender B. Talk to Lender B and see if they can beat the former’s pricing.
You might be surprised to find that a lender is willing to give you a lower interest rate in order to keep your business.
And if they’re not, keep shopping — there’s a good chance someone will.
Fixed-rate mortgage vs. adjustable-rate mortgage: Which is right for you?
Mortgage borrowers can choose between a fixed-rate mortgage and an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM).
Fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) have interest rates that never change unless you decide to refinance. This results in predictable monthly payments and stability over the life of your loan.
Adjustable-rate loans have a low interest rate that’s fixed for a set number of years (typically five or seven). After the initial fixed-rate period, the interest rate adjusts every year based on market conditions.
With each rate adjustment, a borrower’s mortgage rate can either increase, decrease, or stay the same. These loans are unpredictable since monthly payments can change each year.
Adjustable-rate mortgages are fitting for borrowers who expect to move before their first rate adjustment, or who can afford a higher future payment.
In most other cases, a fixed-rate mortgage is typically the safer and better choice.
Remember, if rates drop sharply, you are free to refinance and lock in a lower rate and payment later on.
How your credit score affects your mortgage rate
You don’t need a high credit score to qualify for a home purchase or refinance, but your credit score will affect your rate.
This is because credit history determines risk level.
Historically speaking, borrowers with higher credit scores are less likely to default on their mortgages, so they qualify for lower rates.
For the best rate, aim for a credit score of 720 or higher.
Mortgage programs that don’t require a high score include:
Conventional home loans — minimum 620 credit score
FHA loans — minimum 500 credit score (with a 10% down payment) or 580 (with a 3.5% down payment)
VA loans — no minimum credit score, but 620 is common
USDA loans — minimum 640 credit score
Ideally, you want to check your credit report and score at least 6 months before applying for a mortgage. This gives you time to sort out any errors and make sure your score is as high as possible.
If you’re ready to apply now, it’s still worth checking so you have a good idea of what loan programs you might qualify for and how your score will affect your rate.
You can get your credit report from AnnualCreditReport.com and your score from MyFico.com.
How big of a down payment do I need?
Nowadays, mortgage programs don’t require the conventional 20 percent down.
In fact, first-time home buyers put only 6 percent down on average.
Down payment minimums vary depending on the loan program. For example:
Conventional home loans require a down payment between 3% and 5%
FHA loans require 3.5% down
VA and USDA loans allow zero down payment
Jumbo loans typically require at least 5% to 10% down
Keep in mind, a higher down payment reduces your risk as a borrower and helps you negotiate a better mortgage rate.
If you are able to make a 20 percent down payment, you can avoid paying for mortgage insurance.
This is an added cost paid by the borrower, which protects their lender in case of default or foreclosure.
But a big down payment is not required.
For many people, it makes sense to make a smaller down payment in order to buy a house sooner and start building home equity.
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Choosing the right type of home loan
No two mortgage loans are alike, so it’s important to know your options and choose the right type of mortgage.
The five main types of mortgages include:
Fixed-rate mortgage (FRM)
Your interest rate remains the same over the life of the loan. This is a good option for borrowers who expect to live in their homes long-term.
The most popular loan option is the 30-year mortgage, but 15- and 20-year terms are also commonly available.
Adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM)
Adjustable-rate loans have a fixed interest rate for the first few years. Then, your mortgage rate resets every year.
Your rate and payment can rise or fall annually depending on how the broader interest rate trends.
ARMs are ideal for borrowers who expect to move prior to their first rate adjustment (usually in 5 or 7 years).
For those who plan to stay in their home long-term, a fixed-rate mortgage is typically recommended.
Jumbo mortgage
A jumbo loan is a mortgage that exceeds the conforming loan limit set by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
In 2023, the conforming loan limit is $726,200 in most areas.
Jumbo loans are perfect for borrowers who need a larger loan to purchase a high-priced property, especially in big cities with high real estate values.
FHA mortgage
A government loan backed by the Federal Housing Administration for low- to moderate-income borrowers. FHA loans feature low credit score and down payment requirements.
VA mortgage
A government loan backed by the Department of Veterans Affairs. To be eligible, you must be active-duty military, a veteran, a Reservist or National Guard service member, or an eligible spouse.
VA loans allow no down payment and have exceptionally low mortgage rates.
USDA mortgage
USDA loans are a government program backed by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. They offer a no-down-payment solution for borrowers who purchase real estate in an eligible rural area. To qualify, your income must be at or below the local median.
Bank statement loan
Borrowers can qualify for a mortgage without tax returns, using their personal or business bank account. This is an option for self-employed or seasonally-employed borrowers.
Portfolio/Non-QM loan
These are mortgages that lenders don’t sell on the secondary mortgage market. This gives lenders the flexibility to set their own guidelines.
Non-QM loans may have lower credit score requirements, or offer low-down-payment options without mortgage insurance.
Choosing the right mortgage lender
The lender or loan program that’s right for one person might not be right for another.
Explore your options and then pick a loan based on your credit score, down payment, and financial goals, as well as local home prices.
Whether you’re getting a mortgage for a home purchase or a refinance, always shop around and compare rates and terms.
Typically, it only takes a few hours to get quotes from multiple lenders — and it could save you thousands in the long run.
Time to make a move? Let us find the right mortgage for you
Current mortgage rates methodology
We receive current mortgage rates each day from a network of mortgage lenders that offer home purchase and refinance loans. Mortgage rates shown here are based on sample borrower profiles that vary by loan type. See our full loan assumptions here.
A secured credit card is a bit different than an unsecured credit card. It’s an unsecured card that most of us think of as a traditional credit card. The difference between a secured card and an unsecured card is that a secured card requires a security deposit to get. That deposit is either a down payment on your credit line or your entire credit line.
And because building credit requires having credit to use, secured credit cards are a fabulous way to fill the gap for those that don’t have a credit history or who’ve ended up with a bad or poor credit rating. And roughly 30% of Americans have bad credit or poor credit, which is almost 70 million people
And with poor credit, you can find it difficult or even impossible to get a car loan or mortgage. It can even make getting an apartment lease tough. And it can make getting a traditional credit card tough too. And even if you can get a loan, lease or credit card, your bad credit will cost you in higher interest rates and monthly payments.
There’s no instant cure for bad credit, but you can improve your score with work and careful planning. One of the ways you can improve that score is with a secured credit card.
Are you asking: “What is a secured credit card?” Keep reading for an explanation of what one is and how it can help build or rebuild your credit score and/or credit history.
What Is a Secured Credit Card?
Some credit card issuers offer secured credit cards. These cards are an option for those with less-than-perfect credit scores or no credit history. But, they have a catch. That catch is a required deposit.
OpenSky® Secured Visa® Credit Card
No credit check to apply. Zero credit risk to apply!
Looking to build or rebuild your credit? 2/3 of cardholders receive a 48+ point improvement after making 3 on-time payments
Extend your $200 credit line by getting considered for an unsecured credit line increase after 6 months, no additional deposit required!
Get free monthly access to your FICO score in our mobile application
Build your credit history across 3 major credit reporting agencies: Experian, Equifax, and Transunion
Add to your mobile wallet and make purchases using Apple Pay, Samsung Pay and Google Pay
Fund your card with a low $200 refundable security deposit to get a $200 credit line
Apply in less than 5 minutes with our mobile first application
Choose the due date that fits your schedule with flexible payment dates
Join over 1.2 million cardholders who’ve used OpenSky to build their credit
Need more credit?
When you apply for a secured credit card, the credit card issuer takes a refundable security deposit. That deposit gets you approved for the card and for a small credit line. The credit line is usually small like $200 or $500. But some cards offer higher credit lines—even up to $3,000.
With most secured cards, your security deposit is your credit limit. Your deposit acts as collateral against any payments you might miss and your poor or absent credit rating. Since your deposit equals your total credit limit in most cases, the issuer won’t lose money if you miss a payment.
Secured Vs. Unsecured Credit Cards
The other main form of credit card is an unsecured credit card. Credit card issuers don’t require a deposit when for traditional unsecured credit cards.
You can have a good credit score and still get turned down for an unsecured credit card based. For example, they may turn you down if your annual income isn’t high enough or if you have several other credit cards near their limit
Who Are Secured Credit Cards For?
Secured credit cards are intended for two types of cardholders:
Those who want and need to improve bad credit or poor credit scores
Those who need to start building on a limited or nonexistent credit history
Both of these types of cardholders are challenged with low credit scores.
If you fit into either of the above categories and as a result, you’re having trouble qualifying for a traditional credit card, secured credit cards could be a good solution.
Keep in mind that it’s still possible to be turned down for a secured credit card, particularly if you have a blemish like bankruptcy on your credit history.
How Secured Cards Help You Build Credit?
The major credit bureaus calculate your credit scores. They use many factors in modeling that score. While a secured card can’t fix all the issues that go into your score, like payment history, debt usage, credit history, account mix and credit inquiries, it can help you with most.
One of the big factors in your credit score is the percentage of on-time payments. The higher the percentage the better with 100% being ideal. Issuers that offer secured cards report your payments to the credit bureaus each month the same way they report unsecured credit card payments.
The best way to build your credit with a secured card is to use the card responsibly and make your monthly payments on time, every time. That way, you’ll build a positive payment history on your credit.
There are other ways to use your card to build your credit too.
The credit bureaus also look at how much of your credit you use—called debt usage. If you keep the balance on your secured card low, it helps boost your score. As a general rule, don’t use more than 30% of your credit limit if possible. Even better, use no more than 10%. Thirty percent of $500 is $150. Ten percent is $50. Following that guideline shows you can use credit wisely by not maxing out your card or cards.
Another factor credit bureaus look at is your account mix. You want a healthy mix of accounts. Long-term accounts increase your available credit limit, so they lower your debt usage. They also add to your account mix. Keeping your secured card—even if you’re not using it—is a good idea.
Note though, if you apply for too many credit cards, it can hurt your score. Each application puts a hard inquiry on your credit report. So, find one card and apply and only apply for another if you’re declined. Also, consider applying to cards that don’t check your credit history like the OpenSky® Secured Visa® Credit Card or one that prequalifies you with a credit check like the Merrick Bank Secured Credit Card.
Merrick Bank Secured Credit Card
Choose your own credit line based on how much money you want to put down as a security deposit.
Initial deposits can be from $200 to $3,000. You can increase your credit line at any time by adding additional money to your security deposit, up to $3,000.
After 9 months, we review your account for a credit line increase. No additional deposit required!
Secured Credit Cards are great for people looking to build or rebuild credit and are available to people with all kinds of credit backgrounds.
Unlike a debit card or a pre-paid card, it helps build your credit history. We report your payment history to all three major credit-reporting agencies.
Get your FICO® Credit Score for free each month.
Fraud coverage if your card is lost or stolen. Access your account 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. Get help staying on track with available Auto Pay and account alerts.
Card issued by Merrick Bank, Member FDIC.
Tips for Using a Secured Card Wisely
Getting a secured card is only the first step. You must use the card in a smart manner to get the most benefit from it.
You might find yourself tempted to put the card away and never use it. That approach provides limited value for your credit score. It just shows up on your credit report as available credit.
You want to use the credit, a little, to prove you can use it responsibly. One way you can do that is through occasional small purchases.
For example, you can buy a parent or sibling a small gift they need, such as a blender or microwave. Then you pay that off over the course of a few months or in full at the end of the month.
Pay for minor car maintenance with it, like an oil change. Most oil changes come in under $75, which makes it something you can reasonably pay off in a month or two. You also get something useful and necessary out of the deal.
Don’t use your card for impulse purchases. Your credit limit might cover the cost of a video game or new jacket you want. Give yourself a two-day cooling off period and then ask: “Is that the best use of my credit card?” In most instances, the answer is no. Those kinds of purchases eat up credit you might need for an emergency, without providing much value in return.
Is There a Downside to Secured Cards?
Secured cards can have higher interest rates—dubbed annual percentage rate or APR—than other credit lines, though APRs vary a lot from card to card. There are many secured cards that have better APRs than traditional credit cards—especially rewards credit cards that charge higher interest rates to make up for the rewards you earn.
For example, the Applied Bank® Secured Visa® Gold Preferred® Credit Card at publication time has an ongoing APR of just 9.99% Fixed and the First Progress Platinum Prestige Mastercard® Secured Credit Card an ongoing APR of 15.24% Variable APR for Purchases.
Like any credit card, secured credit cards may charge an annual fee. Fees tend to range from $29 to $50. But, like traditional credit cards, there are secured cards that have no annual fee.
If you’re dreaming of earning points or cash-back with a secured card, you’re out of luck. These cards don’t come with added perks outside of helping you build credit. But, if you use it right and do build your credit, you’ll be on your way to qualifying for a rewards credit card before you know it.
Always make sure you understand exactly what the company offers before you apply. That way you can get a card that better suits your situation.
Parting Thoughts on Secured Credit Cards
You can answer the question, what is a secured credit card, by saying it’s an opportunity to build your credit.
When you can’t get an unsecured credit card, it makes rebuilding your credit more difficult. A secured credit card lets you establish that you can use credit responsibly, make on-time payments and keep an account in good standing.
Credit.com helps consumers by providing practical information about getting and using credit. To help you track your quest for better credit, and to find out where you stand before applying for a new credit card, get your free Experian credit score, right here on Credit.com. Your score includes a free credit report card that helps you track where you stand on payment history, debt usage, credit history, account mix and credit inquiries and how you can improve each area.