Living with family members can be both a comforting and challenging experience, especially when those family members happen to be siblings. As adults, the dynamics change, and considerations extend beyond just familial bonds. When siblings decide to live together and potentially invest jointly, a unique set of opportunities and obstacles arise. Let’s delve into the pros and cons of such an arrangement.
Enjoying our content? Subscribe to our free weekly newsletter to get real estate market insights, news, and reports straight to your inbox.
Pros
Shared Financial Responsibilities: Pooling resources with siblings can ease the burden of financial responsibilities. Whether it’s splitting rent, utilities, or groceries, dividing costs can lead to significant savings for all parties involved.
Greater Purchasing Power: When siblings join forces to invest, they can leverage their combined financial resources to access opportunities that might be out of reach individually. This could include purchasing a larger property, investing in stocks, or starting a business together.
Built-In Support System: Living with siblings means having a built-in support system readily available. Whether it’s help with chores, emotional support during tough times, or simply having someone to share a meal with, the presence of siblings can provide a sense of comfort and security.
Shared Goals and Values: Siblings often share similar upbringings, values, and life goals, which can facilitate smoother decision-making processes when it comes to investments and lifestyle choices. Aligning on common objectives can lead to a more cohesive living and investing experience.
Potential for Long-Term Wealth Building: By combining resources and investing strategically, siblings can work towards building long-term wealth for themselves and future generations. Real estate investments, for example, can appreciate over time, providing a valuable asset for the family.
Cons
Conflict and Tension: Living with siblings can sometimes lead to conflicts over finances, household responsibilities, or personal space. Differing lifestyles and personalities may clash, potentially causing tension within the household and complicating investment decisions.
Dependency Issues: Dependence on siblings for financial support or decision-making can hinder individual autonomy and personal growth. It’s essential to strike a balance between mutual support and independence to avoid feelings of resentment or overreliance.
Risk of Financial Disputes: Entering into joint investments with siblings carries the risk of financial disputes and disagreements. Differences in risk tolerance, investment preferences, or future plans may lead to conflicts regarding asset management and distribution of profits.
Limited Privacy: Sharing a living space with siblings means sacrificing some level of privacy. While it can foster closeness and bonding, it may also restrict personal freedom and make it challenging to carve out individual spaces within the home.
Uncertain Future Dynamics: Life is unpredictable, and circumstances can change over time. Siblings may experience shifts in career paths, relationships, or financial situations that impact their living arrangements and investment plans. Anticipating and adapting to these changes requires open communication and flexibility.
Are you looking to own property? Give us a call today! Our experienced real estate agents are here to help!
It’s a bit of a tricky morning in the bond market when it comes to reconciling the data with the market movement. At face value the headlines make a better case for lower rates with GDP at 1.6 vs 2.5, wholesale inventories missing big and Jobless Claims not too far from forecast. But the devil is in the details–specifically, the details inside the quarterly GDP data. GDP will be reported 3 times for Q1. Today was the first of those and as such, the PCE price data component offers a bit of a sneak peek at tomorrow’s PCE inflation data.
GDP is not a hugely important report, but PCE inflation is. With all that in mind, the PCE component in today’s data was 3.7 vs 3.4. In a world where a 0.1 beat/miss can cause massive volatility for the bond market, that’s a huge beat. Bonds will likely be feeling extra defensive until and unless tomorrow’s Core PCE number tells a slightly less dramatic story.
Stocks haven’t loved the data either, due to the implications for the Fed’s rate outlook. The following isn’t the pattern normally associated with stocks and bonds, but it is prevalent at times when the market is actively refining its outlook for the Fed Funds Rate.
In the slightly bigger picture, this morning’s weakness constitutes the first significant break above the 4.65 level and it breathes a bit more life into the uptrend that had dominated the month of April (the one that looked to be defeated by the 4.65 ceiling.
I want to sell you a piece of The Best Interest. It’s $100 per share.
I also guarantee it will be worth $110 tomorrow. Yes, an instant 10% profit in just one day. The guarantee is part of my magical powers. It’s my hypothetical, after all. It’s truly zero risk.
Hopefully we all agree my offer would instantly sell out. Every $100 share would sell because the idea of a risk-free, 1-day return of 10% is too good to pass up. As Warren Buffett would say, “I’m selling a dollar for 90 cents.”
That’s demand. As in “supply and demand.” The outrageous demand for $100 shares would catch my eye. Demand demands higher prices. Would people buy them for $101? Or more? The answer is: “Of course.”
So I’d raise the price to $101, then $102, etc. At each stop, the demand for guaranteed 1-day returns (9%, 8%, or even lower) would still be high. Rinse and repeat, the demand justifies higher and higher prices. But eventually, we’d hit an equilibrium where the size of the 1-day guaranteed return would be on par with other options in the investment universe. The demand would level off, as would the appropriate price.
For example, the overnight U.S. Treasury rate is 5.33% as of this writing (that’s an annualized rate), which equates to a 0.014% return per day. If my shares of The Best Interest are guaranteed to sell for $110 tomorrow AND the guarantee (a.k.a. the risk) is on par with that of U.S. Treasury notes, then we should discount my shares down 0.014% to about $109.98 today.
The more guaranteed an investment’s return, the closer that return will resemble the US Treasury’s risk-free rate. The less guaranteed a return, the more we, as investors, need to demand a larger reward.
That’s a fundamental tenet of investing. The logic works in reverse, too: the larger the reward we seek, the less guaranteed any return will be.
US Treasury notes are the baseline. The return is guaranteed over a short timeline, with the full faith and credit of the US government. It’s considered the closest thing to a guarantee in the investment universe. Therefore, US Treasury note returns are lower than any risk-bearing asset.
When we move up the risk spectrum to stocks, we expect a larger return. But must accept more volatility and the realistic probablitity that our investment will lose money, especially over short timelines.
If stocks were as guaranteed as bonds, stocks would have the same return as bonds. We don’t want that! We want more returns. The only way we’ll get there is by stomaching more risk. That’s the risk premium.
To visualize this idea, we need to overlay the following two graphs on top of one another. More risk equates to more expected return, but also to a significantly wider range of potential outcomes, including negative outcomes.
When novice investors say, “I want high returns, but only if it’s low risk,” they ask for the impossible.
If such an investment existed—just like my initial offering of shares of The Best Interest, a guaranteed 10% overnight—hungry investors would devour it. Their demand would spike the investment’s price. That higher price would squeeze away the expected return until the investment’s risk/reward profile reached equilibrium with the rest of the investable universe.
Anyone who, for example, guarantees the returns of stocks is fundamentally mistaken. This includes J.L. Collins 🙂
We can speak in probabilities and suggest that, over long timelines, stocks will probably have strong returns. But that’s not a guarantee. There’s risk involved. And that very risk is the only reason why stocks’ probable strong returns exist in the first place! Whoa! Circular!
Risk and reward. Demand and price. These ideas are intrinsically linked, and every intelligent investor needs to understand that.
Thank you for reading! If you enjoyed this article, join 8000+ subscribers who read my 2-minute weekly email, where I send you links to the smartest financial content I find online every week.
-Jesse
Want to learn more about The Best Interest’s back story? Read here.
Looking for a great personal finance book, podcast, or other recommendation? Check out my favorites.
Was this post worth sharing? Click the buttons below to share!
Were the good old days really all that good? Sure, when mortgage rates were below 3%, it was a lot cheaper to purchase a house, but we were also in the middle of a global pandemic.
At the start of 2021, the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage was 2.65%, according to data from Freddie Mac. During the homebuying boom of 2020 and 2021, the number of borrowers taking out new mortgages reached a more than two-decade high.
Over the past two years, a combination of high mortgage rates, low housing inventory and sluggish wage growth has crippled affordability for homebuyers.
While many are holding out for mortgage rates to fall, it’s unlikely we’ll see 2% mortgage rates any time soon. In fact, experts hope we don’t.
A return to that kind of low-rate environment would indicate major problems in the economy, said Alex Thomas, senior research analyst at John Burns Research and Consulting.
Mortgage rates typically fall during a recession. But a recession also comes with widespread unemployment, increased debt, investment losses and overall financial instability.
In today’s housing market, homebuyers should have realistic expectations. Experts predict mortgage rates to inch closer to 6% by the end of the year as inflation cools and the Federal Reserve starts to cut interest rates. Record-low mortgage rates aren’t in the cards again, and that’s likely for the best.
Mortgage rates change every day. Experts recommend shopping around to make sure you’re getting the lowest rate. By entering your information below, you can get a custom quote from one of CNET’s partner lenders.
About these rates: Like CNET, Bankrate is owned by Red Ventures. This tool features partner rates from lenders that you can use when comparing multiple mortgage rates.
How did mortgage rates drop below 3% in the first place?
Economic uncertainty and market volatility — whether during an election cycle or a pandemic — impact the direction of mortgage rates. It’s often said that bad news for the economy is good news for mortgage rates, and vice versa.
A significant lever for mortgage rates is the federal funds rate, which the Fed keeps low when it needs to stimulate economic growth. For example, during the 2008 financial crisis, the Fed slashed that benchmark rate to zero to bolster the economy. When there were signs of recovery in 2015, the central bank started raising interest rates again, sending mortgage rates into the 4% to 5% range until 2020.
The COVID-19 pandemic sparked another economic crisis. To incentivize people to borrow and spend money — and avoid a prolonged recession — the Fed once again cut the federal funds rate to near zero and pumped money into the economy by purchasing government bonds and mortgage-backed securities. Mortgage interest rates fell quickly, bottoming out in the mid-2% range in 2021.
But the combination of supply shocks, record-low rates and an extreme increase in money supply from government stimulus helped send prices way up, according to Erin Sykes, chief economist at NestSeekers International.
In early 2022, the Fed had a new problem on its hands: inflation.
💰 Federal Reserve monetary policy
In a recession, the Federal Reserve tries to spur economic growth through quantitative easing, a monetary policy that consists of cutting the federal funds rate to encourage lending and borrowing to consumers, and increasing its purchase of government-backed bonds and mortgage-backed securities.
If the Fed needs to slow the economy down and reduce the money supply in financial markets, it does opposite: quantitative tightening. By increasing the federal funds rate and tapering its bond-buying programs, the central bank raises the cost of borrowing money, which puts upward pressure on longer-term interest rates, like 30-year fixed mortgage rates.
What caused mortgage rates to surge again?
With prices surging in 2022, the Fed’s main tool was to adjust interest rates, making credit more expensive and disincentivizing borrowing. As a result of a string of aggressive rate hikes, the federal funds rate went from near zero to a range of 5.25% to 5.5%, where it’s remained since last summer. Average mortgage rates skyrocketed, peaking past 8% last October.
Although inflation has gone down, the Fed isn’t ready to start lowering rates just yet. The central bank would like to see evidence of a weaker economy (including consistently lower inflation and higher unemployment) before making any adjustments to its monetary policy.
📈 How the Fed impacts mortgage rates
Though the Federal Reserve doesn’t directly set mortgage rates, it controls the federal funds rate, a short-term interest rate that determines what banks charge each other to borrow money. When the federal funds rate moves up, it impacts longer-term interest rates, like 30-year fixed mortgage rates, as banks raise interest rates on home loans to keep their profit margins intact.
Why won’t mortgage rates move toward 2% again?
Economists and housing market experts agree that mortgage rates will fall over the next several years, but not below 3%.
When mortgage rates hit their record lows just a few years ago, the federal funds rate was near zero. As the Fed starts cutting rates later this year, the plan is to do so slowly and incrementally. Barring another major economic shock, the Fed projects the federal funds rate will take only modest adjustments down.
In the most recent policy meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell remarked that the federal funds rate “will not go back down to the very low levels that we saw” during the financial crisis, suggesting that the economy can adapt to a more “neutral” benchmark rate range of between 2.4% to 3.8% in the long run, i.e., less tightening, but not too much easing from the current range of 5.25% to 5.5%.
The Fed would be forced to lower rates close to zero only if there were a dramatic economic shock, such as a pandemic or recession, said Selma Hepp, chief economist at CoreLogic. In that case, if the central bank started purchasing government bonds and mortgage-backed securities again, there’s a possibility mortgage rates could return to those record lows.
However, without such an upheaval, there’s a floor under how low mortgage rates will go, and it’s highly unlikely they’ll ever drop to their 2020-2021 levels.
“With the Federal Reserve ending quantitative easing and stepping out of the market for mortgage-backed securities, rates will settle at a much higher level,” said Matthew Walsh, housing economist at Moody’s Analytics.
Moody’s Analytics predicts mortgage rates will stabilize between 6% and 6.5% over the next few years. That’s high compared with the recent past, yet it’s a historically normal range for mortgage rates.
How can homebuyers adapt to higher mortgage rates?
The housing market is frustrating, but prospective homebuyers are starting to come to terms with this new reality. Following the pandemic, people are moving on with their lives, whether that’s building a family, relocating, downsizing or upgrading.
For some households, that means making room in their budget for a monthly mortgage payment at a 6% or 7% rate.
When you monitor mortgage rate movement, you’re usually looking at national averages determined by weekly rate information provided by lenders. While those rates give a picture of the “typical” mortgage rate, that’s not necessarily the rate you’ll get when applying for a mortgage.
It’s possible to get a better deal on your mortgage.
To qualify for a mortgage, most lenders require you to have a minimum credit score of 620, but lenders offer the lowest mortgage rates to consumers with excellent credit scores, around 740 and above.
You might also consider purchasing mortgage points, also known as discount points. This is an extra fee you pay upfront in exchange for a lower interest rate. Each mortgage point typically costs 1% of the purchase price of a home and will lower your mortgage rate by 0.25%.
A shorter-term loan like a 15-year or 10-year mortgage will have a lower interest rate than a 30-year fixed mortgage. Your monthly payments will be higher with a shorter-term loan because you’re paying the loan off in less time, but you’ll save big on interest.
Buying a home is likely the biggest transaction you’ll make in your lifetime. Regardless of the market, carefully assess your needs and what you can afford.
Uneventfully Weaker Regardless of Durable Goods Data
By:
Matthew Graham
Wed, Apr 24 2024, 4:43 PM
Uneventfully Weaker Regardless of Durable Goods Data
Bonds were weaker in the overnight session on a combination of anxiety over potential sales of US Treasuries in Japan and European economic data. The domestic session brought actual selling of US Treasuries in the form of the 5yr Treasury auction, but the market already knew about that one. The auction was reasonably well received and had no impact on trading levels. Earlier in the morning, Durable Goods came out right in line with expectations and also had essentially no impact. Overnight weakness was maintained throughout the day with most of the momentum being sideways near recent highs yields.
Durable Goods
2.6 vs 2.5 f’cast
last month revised from 1.3 to 0.7
Durables, excluding defense and aircraft
0.2 vs 0.2 f’cast
last month revised from 0.7 to 0.4
09:06 AM
Weaker overnight and little-changed after AM econ data. 10yr yield up 4.1bps at 4.644. MBS down 6 ticks (.19).
10:51 AM
Weakest levels. MBS down 7 ticks (.22) and 10yr up 5.6bps at 4.657
01:04 PM
Boring 5yr auction. No major reaction. MBS down 5 ticks (.16). 10yr up 4.8bps at 4.649.
03:55 PM
Roughly unchanged from the last update and mostly flat since the late AM hours.
Download our mobile app to get alerts for MBS Commentary and streaming MBS and Treasury prices.
Is it any surprise to see a strong reaction to economic data when the phrase “data dependent” has come to unequivocally rule all other approaches to understanding the interest rate outlook? Yes, actually, it can sometimes still be a surprise because data dependency depends on the data being depended upon. In today’s case, we have a report that has been inconsequential more often than not over the past decade, but increasingly relevant in the last 2 years. There could be some debate as to whether that’s due to the gradual increase of acceptance for S&P’s PMI data in a country where ISM has long been the dominant source of PMI data or whether it’s simply due to the bond market’s strong desire for econ data. Either way, it’s a market mover today.
The reaction is so blatantly obvious that it begs the question as to how the underlaying data justifies the move. After all, there wasn’t a huge departure in Indices themselves. We’ll focus on the services side of the economy here, just to keep the chart simple, but the takeaway from Manufacturing is no different.
Broader context is helpful. Today’s move in yields is well within the weekly range and not-at-all meaningful in the bigger picture. In other words, it becomes less impressive the more we zoom out.
Average mortgage rates inched lower yesterday. But all that did was wipe out last Friday’s similarly tiny rise.
Earlier this morning, markets were signaling that mortgage rates today might barely budge. However, these early mini-trends often alter direction or speed as the hours pass.
Current mortgage and refinance rates
Find your lowest rate. Start here
Program
Mortgage Rate
APR*
Change
Conventional 30-year fixed
7.302%
7.353%
+0.01
Conventional 15-year fixed
6.757%
6.836%
+0.01
30-year fixed FHA
7.064%
7.111%
-0.07
5/1 ARM Conventional
6.888%
8.036%
+0.12
Conventional 20-year fixed
7.199%
7.257%
+0.05
Conventional 10-year fixed
6.663%
6.737%
+0.06
30-year fixed VA
7.292%
7.332%
+0.01
Rates are provided by our partner network, and may not reflect the market. Your rate might be different. Click here for a personalized rate quote. See our rate assumptions See our rate assumptions here.
Should you lock your mortgage rate today?
This morning’s Financial Times reports, “While the base case remains a reduction in borrowing costs, the options market shows a 20% probability of an increase.” That means most investors think the Federal Reserve will cut general interest rates this year, but they reckon there’s a 20% chance of the central bank actually hiking them. That’s new and scary.
Although the Fed doesn’t directly determine mortgage rates it has a huge influence on the bond market that does. And I very much doubt mortgage rates will fall consistently before the Fed signals that a cut in general interest rates is imminent. And a Fed rate hike is likely to send mortgage rates much higher: maybe back up to 8% or beyond.
So my personal rate lock recommendations remain:
LOCK if closing in 7 days
LOCK if closing in 15 days
LOCK if closing in 30 days
LOCK if closing in 45 days
LOCKif closing in 60days
However, with so much uncertainty at the moment, your instincts could easily turn out to be as good as mine — or better. So, let your gut and your own tolerance for risk help guide you.
>Related: 7 Tips to get the best refinance rate
Market data affecting today’s mortgage rates
Here’s a snapshot of the state of play this morning at about 9:50 a.m. (ET). The data are mostly compared with roughly the same time the business day before, so much of the movement will often have happened in the previous session. The numbers are:
The yield on 10-year Treasury notes edged down to 4.6% from 4.64%. (Good for mortgage rates.) More than any other market, mortgage rates typically tend to follow these particular Treasury bond yields
Major stock indexes were rising this morning. (Bad for mortgage rates.) When investors buy shares, they’re often selling bonds, which pushes those prices down and increases yields and mortgage rates. The opposite may happen when indexes are lower. But this is an imperfect relationship
Oil prices decreased to $81.59 from $82.06 a barrel. (Good for mortgage rates*.) Energy prices play a prominent role in creating inflation and also point to future economic activity
Goldprices fell to $2,333 from $2,350 an ounce. (Neutral for mortgage rates*.) It is generally better for rates when gold prices rise and worse when they fall. Because gold tends to rise when investors worry about the economy.
CNN Business Fear & Greed index — climbed to 40 from 33 out of 100. (Bad for mortgage rates.) “Greedy” investors push bond prices down (and interest rates up) as they leave the bond market and move into stocks, while “fearful” investors do the opposite. So, lower readings are often better than higher ones
*A movement of less than $20 on gold prices or 40 cents on oil ones is a change of 1% or less. So we only count meaningful differences as good or bad for mortgage rates.
Caveats about markets and rates
Before the pandemic, post-pandemic upheavals, and war in Ukraine, you could look at the above figures and make a pretty good guess about what would happen to mortgage rates that day. But that’s no longer the case. We still make daily calls. And are usually right. But our record for accuracy won’t achieve its former high levels until things settle down.
So, use markets only as a rough guide. Because they have to be exceptionally strong or weak to rely on them. But, with that caveat, mortgage rates today look likely to be unchanged or close to unchanged. However, be aware that “intraday swings” (when rates change speed or direction during the day) are a common feature right now.
Find your lowest rate. Start here
What’s driving mortgage rates today?
Today
This morning’s two April purchasing managers’ indexes (PMIs) will likely be good for mortgage rates. These “flashes” (initial readings and subject to revision) are both from S&P.
Here are this morning’s actual numbers in bold, alongside the prepublication consensus forecasts, according to MarketWatch, together with the March actual figures:
Services PMI — 50.9 actual; 52 expected; 51.7 in March
Manufacturing PMI — 51.1 actual; 52 expected; 51.9 in March
You can see that the PMIs were worse than expected, which is typically good news for mortgage rates.
Tomorrow
Tomorrow’s durable goods orders for March rarely affect mortgage rates. And they’d need to contain some pretty shocking data to do so tomorrow.
Markets are expecting those orders to have risen by 2.6% in March compared to a 1.3% increase in February. They’ll probably need to be significantly higher than 2.% to exert upward pressure on mortgage rates and appreciably lower to push them downward.
The rest of this week
Nothing has changed since yesterday concerning economic reports due on Thursday and Friday. So, I’ll repeat what I wrote yesterday:
We’re due the first reading of gross domestic product (GDP) for the January-March quarter on Thursday. And that could have a larger effect than PMIs and durable goods orders, depending on the gap between expectations and actuals.
But Friday’s personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index for March is this week’s star report. That’s the Federal Reserve’s favorite gauge of inflation. And it could certainly affect mortgage rates, possibly appreciably.
The next meeting of the Fed’s rate-setting committee is scheduled to start on Apr. 30 and last two days. So, the PCE price index will be the last inflation report it sees before making decisions.
And index that shows inflation cooling could change the mood at that meeting. True, it’s vanishingly unlikely that a cut to general interest rates will be unveiled on May 1 no matter what.
But a PCE price index that shows inflation cooling could help the Fed to move forward with cuts earlier than expected, which should cause mortgage rates to fall. Unfortunately, one that suggests inflation remains hot or is getting hotter could send those rates higher.
I’ll brief you more fully on each potentially significant report on the day before it’s published.
Don’t forget you can always learn more about what’s driving mortgage rates in the most recent weekend edition of this daily report. These provide a more detailed analysis of what’s happening. They are published each Saturday morning soon after 10 a.m. (ET) and include a preview of the following week.
Recent trends
According to Freddie Mac’s archives, the weekly all-time lowest rate for 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages was set on Jan. 7, 2021, when it stood at 2.65%. The weekly all-time high was 18.63% on Sep. 10, 1981.
Freddie’s Apr. 18 report put that same weekly average at 7.1%, up from the previous week’s 6.88%. But note that Freddie’s data are almost always out of date by the time it announces its weekly figures.
Expert forecasts for mortgage rates
Looking further ahead, Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) each has a team of economists dedicated to monitoring and forecasting what will happen to the economy, the housing sector and mortgage rates.
And here are their rate forecasts for the four quarters of 2024 (Q1/24, Q2/24 Q3/24 and Q4/24).
The numbers in the table below are for 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages. Fannie’s were updated on Mar. 19 and the MBA’s on Apr. 18.
Forecaster
Q1/24
Q2/24
Q3/24
Q4/24
Fannie Mae
6.7%
6.7%
6.6%
6.4%
MBA
6.8%
6.7%
6.6%
6.4%
Of course, given so many unknowables, both these forecasts might be even more speculative than usual. And their past record for accuracy hasn’t been wildly impressive.
Important notes on today’s mortgage rates
Here are some things you need to know:
Typically, mortgage rates go up when the economy’s doing well and down when it’s in trouble. But there are exceptions. Read ‘How mortgage rates are determined and why you should care’
Only “top-tier” borrowers (with stellar credit scores, big down payments, and very healthy finances) get the ultralow mortgage rates you’ll see advertised
Lenders vary. Yours may or may not follow the crowd when it comes to daily rate movements — though they all usually follow the broader trend over time
When daily rate changes are small, some lenders will adjust closing costs and leave their rate cards the same
Refinance rates are typically close to those for purchases.
A lot is going on at the moment. And nobody can claim to know with certainty what will happen to mortgage rates in the coming hours, days, weeks or months.
Find your lowest mortgage rate today
You should comparison shop widely, no matter what sort of mortgage you want. Federal regulator the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau found in May 2023:
“Mortgage borrowers are paying around $100 a month more depending on which lender they choose, for the same type of loan and the same consumer characteristics (such as credit score and down payment).”
In other words, over the lifetime of a 30-year loan, homebuyers who don’t bother to get quotes from multiple lenders risk losing an average of $36,000. What could you do with that sort of money?
Verify your new rate
Mortgage rate methodology
The Mortgage Reports receives rates based on selected criteria from multiple lending partners each day. We arrive at an average rate and APR for each loan type to display in our chart. Because we average an array of rates, it gives you a better idea of what you might find in the marketplace. Furthermore, we average rates for the same loan types. For example, FHA fixed with FHA fixed. The end result is a good snapshot of daily rates and how they change over time.
How your mortgage interest rate is determined
Mortgage and refinance rates vary a lot depending on each borrower’s unique situation.
Factors that determine your mortgage interest rate include:
Overall strength of the economy — A strong economy usually means higher rates, while a weaker one can push current mortgage rates down to promote borrowing
Lender capacity — When a lender is very busy, it will increase rates to deter new business and give its loan officers some breathing room
Property type (condo, single-family, town house, etc.) — A primary residence, meaning a home you plan to live in full time, will have a lower interest rate. Investment properties, second homes, and vacation homes have higher mortgage rates
Loan-to-value ratio (determined by your down payment) — Your loan-to-value ratio (LTV) compares your loan amount to the value of the home. A lower LTV, meaning a bigger down payment, gets you a lower mortgage rate
Debt-To-Income ratio — This number compares your total monthly debts to your pretax income. The more debt you currently have, the less room you’ll have in your budget for a mortgage payment
Loan term — Loans with a shorter term (like a 15-year mortgage) typically have lower rates than a 30-year loan term
Borrower’s credit score — Typically the higher your credit score is, the lower your mortgage rate, and vice versa
Mortgage discount points — Borrowers have the option to buy discount points or ‘mortgage points’ at closing. These let you pay money upfront to lower your interest rate
Remember, every mortgage lender weighs these factors a little differently.
To find the best rate for your situation, you’ll want to get personalized estimates from a few different lenders.
Verify your new rate. Start here
Are refinance rates the same as mortgage rates?
Rates for a home purchase and mortgage refinance are often similar.
However, some lenders will charge more for a refinance under certain circumstances.
Typically when rates fall, homeowners rush to refinance. They see an opportunity to lock in a lower rate and payment for the rest of their loan.
This creates a tidal wave of new work for mortgage lenders.
Unfortunately, some lenders don’t have the capacity or crew to process a large number of refinance loan applications.
In this case, a lender might raise its rates to deter new business and give loan officers time to process loans currently in the pipeline.
Also, cashing out equity can result in a higher rate when refinancing.
Cash-out refinances pose a greater risk for mortgage lenders, so they’re often priced higher than new home purchases and rate-term refinances.
Check your refinance rates today. Start here
How to get the lowest mortgage or refinance rate
Since rates can vary, always shop around when buying a house or refinancing a mortgage.
Comparison shopping can potentially save thousands, even tens of thousands of dollars over the life of your loan.
Here are a few tips to keep in mind:
1. Get multiple quotes
Many borrowers make the mistake of accepting the first mortgage or refinance offer they receive.
Some simply go with the bank they use for checking and savings since that can seem easiest.
However, your bank might not offer the best mortgage deal for you. And if you’re refinancing, your financial situation may have changed enough that your current lender is no longer your best bet.
So get multiple quotes from at least three different lenders to find the right one for you.
2. Compare Loan Estimates
When shopping for a mortgage or refinance, lenders will provide a Loan Estimate that breaks down important costs associated with the loan.
You’ll want to read these Loan Estimates carefully and compare costs and fees line-by-line, including:
Interest rate
Annual percentage rate (APR)
Monthly mortgage payment
Loan origination fees
Rate lock fees
Closing costs
Remember, the lowest interest rate isn’t always the best deal.
Annual percentage rate (APR) can help you compare the ‘real’ cost of two loans. It estimates your total yearly cost including interest and fees.
Also, pay close attention to your closing costs.
Some lenders may bring their rates down by charging more upfront via discount points. These can add thousands to your out-of-pocket costs.
3. Negotiate your mortgage rate
You can also negotiate your mortgage rate to get a better deal.
Let’s say you get loan estimates from two lenders. Lender A offers the better rate, but you prefer your loan terms from Lender B. Talk to Lender B and see if they can beat the former’s pricing.
You might be surprised to find that a lender is willing to give you a lower interest rate in order to keep your business.
And if they’re not, keep shopping — there’s a good chance someone will.
Fixed-rate mortgage vs. adjustable-rate mortgage: Which is right for you?
Mortgage borrowers can choose between a fixed-rate mortgage and an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM).
Fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) have interest rates that never change unless you decide to refinance. This results in predictable monthly payments and stability over the life of your loan.
Adjustable-rate loans have a low interest rate that’s fixed for a set number of years (typically five or seven). After the initial fixed-rate period, the interest rate adjusts every year based on market conditions.
With each rate adjustment, a borrower’s mortgage rate can either increase, decrease, or stay the same. These loans are unpredictable since monthly payments can change each year.
Adjustable-rate mortgages are fitting for borrowers who expect to move before their first rate adjustment, or who can afford a higher future payment.
In most other cases, a fixed-rate mortgage is typically the safer and better choice.
Remember, if rates drop sharply, you are free to refinance and lock in a lower rate and payment later on.
How your credit score affects your mortgage rate
You don’t need a high credit score to qualify for a home purchase or refinance, but your credit score will affect your rate.
This is because credit history determines risk level.
Historically speaking, borrowers with higher credit scores are less likely to default on their mortgages, so they qualify for lower rates.
So, for the best rate, aim for a credit score of 720 or higher.
Mortgage programs that don’t require a high score include:
Conventional home loans — minimum 620 credit score
FHA loans — minimum 500 credit score (with a 10% down payment) or 580 (with a 3.5% down payment)
VA loans — no minimum credit score, but 620 is common
USDA loans — minimum 640 credit score
Ideally, you want to check your credit report and score at least 6 months before applying for a mortgage. This gives you time to sort out any errors and make sure your score is as high as possible.
If you’re ready to apply now, it’s still worth checking so you have a good idea of what loan programs you might qualify for and how your score will affect your rate.
You can get your credit report from AnnualCreditReport.com and your score from MyFico.com.
How big of a down payment do I need?
Nowadays, mortgage programs don’t require the conventional 20 percent down.
Indeed, first-time home buyers put only 6 percent down on average.
Down payment minimums vary depending on the loan program. For example:
Conventional home loans require a down payment between 3% and 5%
FHA loans require 3.5% down
VA and USDA loans allow zero down payment
Jumbo loans typically require at least 5% to 10% down
Keep in mind, a higher down payment reduces your risk as a borrower and helps you negotiate a better mortgage rate.
If you are able to make a 20 percent down payment, you can avoid paying for mortgage insurance.
This is an added cost paid by the borrower, which protects their lender in case of default or foreclosure.
But a big down payment is not required.
For many people, it makes sense to make a smaller down payment in order to buy a house sooner and start building home equity.
Verify your new rate. Start here
Choosing the right type of home loan
No two mortgage loans are alike, so it’s important to know your options and choose the right type of mortgage.
The five main types of mortgages include:
Fixed-rate mortgage (FRM)
Your interest rate remains the same over the life of the loan. This is a good option for borrowers who expect to live in their homes long-term.
The most popular loan option is the 30-year mortgage, but 15- and 20-year terms are also commonly available.
Adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM)
Adjustable-rate loans have a fixed interest rate for the first few years. Then, your mortgage rate resets every year.
Your rate and payment can rise or fall annually depending on how the broader interest rate trends.
ARMs are ideal for borrowers who expect to move prior to their first rate adjustment (usually in 5 or 7 years).
For those who plan to stay in their home long-term, a fixed-rate mortgage is typically recommended.
Jumbo mortgage
A jumbo loan is a mortgage that exceeds the conforming loan limit set by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
In 2023, the conforming loan limit is $726,200 in most areas.
Jumbo loans are perfect for borrowers who need a larger loan to purchase a high-priced property, especially in big cities with high real estate values.
FHA mortgage
A government loan backed by the Federal Housing Administration for low- to moderate-income borrowers. FHA loans feature low credit score and down payment requirements.
VA mortgage
A government loan backed by the Department of Veterans Affairs. To be eligible, you must be active-duty military, a veteran, a Reservist or National Guard service member, or an eligible spouse.
VA loans allow no down payment and have exceptionally low mortgage rates.
USDA mortgage
USDA loans are a government program backed by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. They offer a no-down-payment solution for borrowers who purchase real estate in an eligible rural area. To qualify, your income must be at or below the local median.
Bank statement loan
Borrowers can qualify for a mortgage without tax returns, using their personal or business bank account as evidence of their financial circumstances. This is an option for self-employed or seasonally-employed borrowers.
Portfolio/Non-QM loan
These are mortgages that lenders don’t sell on the secondary mortgage market. And this gives lenders the flexibility to set their own guidelines.
Non-QM loans may have lower credit score requirements or offer low-down-payment options without mortgage insurance.
Choosing the right mortgage lender
The lender or loan program that’s right for one person might not be right for another.
Explore your options and then pick a loan based on your credit score, down payment, and financial goals, as well as local home prices.
Whether you’re getting a mortgage for a home purchase or a refinance, always shop around and compare rates and terms.
Typically, it only takes a few hours to get quotes from multiple lenders. And it could save you thousands in the long run.
Time to make a move? Let us find the right mortgage for you
Current mortgage rates methodology
We receive current mortgage rates each day from a network of mortgage lenders that offer home purchase and refinance loans. Those mortgage rates shown here are based on sample borrower profiles that vary by loan type. See our full loan assumptions here.
Granted, there was a possibility that today could have been a rally day for the bond market, but as seen in the overnight trading session, that possibility depended on the escalation of war in the Middle East. There aren’t many other reasons for bonds to push back too much on recent weakness. One of the only other reasons would be Friday position squaring and short covering, but that would be just as much of an indication of ongoing bearishness in bonds. In that sense, holding sideways is possibly the best victory we could have hoped for today. The fact that we’ve avoided Tuesday’s high yields through the end of the week could even signal sideways vibes until May, at which point data and the Fed will let us know the direction of the next big move.
09:38 AM
Initially stronger overnight, but giving up gains since then. 10yr down 1.7bps at 4.609. MBS up 1 tick (.03).
10:27 AM
10yr all the way back to unchanged at 4.627. MBS down 2 ticks (.06)
02:02 PM
Broadly sideways and choppy, but currently unchanged in MBS and 10yr.
04:27 PM
Still sideways. MBS up 1 tick (0.03) and 10yr down half a bp at 4.622
Download our mobile app to get alerts for MBS Commentary and streaming MBS and Treasury prices.
When it comes to saving for retirement, you have many options to choose from. But one that you may not have considered is investing in gold—namely, a gold IRA.
A gold IRA is a simple yet innovative type of individual retirement account (IRA). Instead of the conventional holdings of stocks and bonds, it invests in precious metals, primarily gold, but also in silver and platinum.
Investing in a gold IRA presents a potential opportunity for safeguarding your savings from economic turmoil and expanding the diversity of your asset portfolio. Nevertheless, it’s important to keep in mind that a gold IRA may not be a suitable option for everyone, and a thorough evaluation of your personal financial situation is crucial before making an investment decision.
This article will provide you with a comprehensive understanding of gold IRAs and equip you with the knowledge necessary to make an informed investment choice.
What is a Gold IRA?
A gold IRA, also known as a precious metals IRA, is a type of investment vehicle that gives you the ability to hold physical gold, silver, and other valuable metals. You have the option of funding this account either with pre-taxed money or as a Roth IRA with post-tax funds.
Your savings will not be invested in stocks, bonds, or mutual funds but rather in precious metal coins or bullion, providing a tangible form of investment. The tax rules and procedures for a precious metals IRA are similar to those of any other IRA.
Investing in gold bullion and other precious metals goes beyond just IRAs. Some investors choose to purchase stocks or exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in gold mining companies or precious metal funds. However, the majority of gold investors prefer to keep their investments in physical precious metals.
Types of Gold IRAs
There are three main types of gold IRAs: traditional, Roth, and SEP.
Traditional gold IRA: – Traditional gold IRAs are funded with pre-tax dollars and require you to pay income tax on withdrawals in retirement.
Roth gold IRA – Roth IRAs are funded with after-tax dollars and allow for tax-free growth and tax-free withdrawals in retirement.
SEP gold IRA – SEP IRAs are intended for self-employed or small business owners and are funded with pre-tax dollars. Contribution limits are different, and business owners can contribute on behalf of their employees.
The IRS has strict guidelines for the kinds of metals that can be included in a gold IRA. The only precious metals that can be included are gold, silver, platinum, and palladium.
Here is an overview of each of the IRS-approved precious metals, as well as the requirements for each.
1. Gold
To be eligible for inclusion in a self-directed gold IRA, gold coins or bars must adhere to stringent purity standards, with a minimum of 99.5% purity. Any gold that fails to meet this standard will be rejected.
Should the gold pass the purity test, it must be securely stored in an approved depository, which is a specialized facility specifically designed to protect precious metals.
Having a trusted and IRS-approved custodian is also a requirement, who will serve as the trustee of the IRA and oversee the safekeeping of the gold. Some of the most sought-after gold coins and bars for IRAs include:
American Gold Eagle coins
American Gold Buffalo coins
Australian Gold Kangaroo/Nugget coins
Austrian Gold Philharmonic coins
Johnson Matthey Gold bar
Valcambi Gold CombiBar
Canadian Gold Maple Leaf coins
Credit Suisse Gold bars
2. Silver
The purity of silver coins must be at least 99.9% to be eligible for deposit in a gold IRA. The following is a list of silver coins and bars that meet the approval criteria for inclusion in an IRA:
American Silver Eagle coins
Australian Kookaburra Silver coins
Austrian Philharmonic Silver coins
Canadian Silver Maple Leaf coins
Mexican Silver Libertad coins
Johnson Matthey Silver bar
Royal Canadian Mint Silver bar
3. Platinum
Platinum coins and bars must meet or exceed a purity standard of 99.95%. Here is a list of IRA-approved platinum bars and coins to consider:
American Eagle Platinum coins
Australian Koala Platinum coins
Canadian Maple Leaf Platinum coins
Isle of Man Noble coins
4. Palladium
And finally, palladium must meet a purity standard of 99.95% or higher. Here is a list of IRA-approved palladium bars and coins:
Canadian Palladium Maple Leaf coins
Russian Ballerina Palladium coins
Baird Palladium bars
Credit Suisse Palladium bars
If you’re interested in investing in a gold IRA, you need to be mindful of the accepted metals. While there may be other precious metal bars and coins that are sought after by collectors, they may not be eligible for investment within a gold IRA. To ensure you’re making the right investment decisions, it’s best to work with a trusted precious metals company.
To avoid any issues, make sure to double-check with your IRA company before investing in any precious metals you’re unsure about. Here’s a list of metals that are not approved for investment in a gold IRA:
Austrian Corona
Belgian Franc
British Sovereign and Britannia
Chilean Peso
Chinese Panda coins
Dutch Guilder
French 20 Franc
Hungarian Korona
Italian Lira
Mexican Peso
South African Krugerrand
Swiss Franc
Pros and Cons of Gold IRAs
Before investing in a gold IRA, it’s important to weigh the pros and cons. Here are some key factors to consider before making a decision.
Pros
Since the Financial Crisis of 2008, gold IRAs have become a popular investment option for people looking to diversify outside the stock market. Many people believe that gold is a good way to protect yourself against inflation.
And gold IRAs are not as difficult to invest in as they were in the past. Due to increased demand, there are more legitimate gold IRA companies available that will help you buy and manage your gold and precious metals investment.
Cons
One of the biggest downsides to opening a gold IRA is that the startup costs can be high. Plus, gold doesn’t pay dividends or interest, which kind of defeats the purpose of putting it in a tax-advantaged investment.
Plus, many people find it tricky to make withdrawals on gold IRAs, since gold isn’t a liquid asset.
You also need to be sure that you’re working with a reputable company that knows what they’re doing. Otherwise, it’s easy to fall victim to scam artists.
How to Get Started With a Gold IRA
Starting a gold IRA requires opening a self-directed IRA account, which offers greater flexibility in terms of investment options. You’ll be responsible for managing this retirement account, but you’ll need the assistance of a broker for buying gold and securing your assets.
When selecting a custodian, consider a bank, credit union, or brokerage firm that has been approved by a state or federal agency. You may also ask your gold dealer for recommendations on trusted brokers.
Start-Up Costs to Open a Gold IRA
Unlike traditional IRAs, a gold IRA comes with a few extra expenses. Here are some of the most significant expenses you’ll need to know about:
The markup fee: When you buy gold or precious metals, you may have to pay a markup fee. This is a one-time upfront fee, and it will vary based on the vendor you choose.
IRA setup fee: The setup fee is another one-time fee you’ll pay to set up your IRA account. Again, this will vary depending on the broker you choose. However, it will likely be more costly because not every firm deals with gold IRAs.
Custodian fees: You’ll have to pay an annual fee for the custodian who’s managing your gold IRA.
Storage fees: Your gold must be stored in a secure, approved location. For that reason, you’ll have to pay annual storage fees.
Bottom Line
If you seek to diversify your portfolio beyond the stock market, a gold IRA could be a suitable option. Precious metals like gold are often considered secure investments and can act as a safeguard against inflation.
On the other hand, other methods of asset diversification may be more economical and less cumbersome. Some people regard gold as a poor choice for a tax-deferred investment, as it does not produce income.
If you opt for a gold IRA, be sure to thoroughly research your metals dealer and custodian, to ensure the protection of your investment and to steer clear of scams.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is a gold IRA a good investment?
It depends on your personal financial circumstances and investment objectives. While some view gold as a way to hedge against inflation and diversify their portfolio, others may not find value in physically investing in the precious metal. To make an informed decision, it’s crucial to thoroughly examine both the potential risks and benefits before investing in a gold IRA.
How do I set up a gold IRA?
To set up a gold IRA account, you will need to find a gold IRA company that specializes in setting up precious metals IRAs. Gold IRA companies will provide you with the necessary paperwork and guidance to open and fund your account.
Are there any restrictions on what types of gold I can hold in my IRA?
Yes, there are specific rules for the types of gold that can be held in a precious metals IRA. The gold must be at least 99.5% pure and must be in the form of coins or bars from an approved refinery or mint. Some common examples of approved gold coins include the American Gold Eagle and the Canadian Gold Maple Leaf.
What is the difference between a traditional IRA, Roth IRA, and SEP IRA?
A traditional IRA is a tax-advantaged account that allows you to contribute pre-tax dollars and potentially receive a tax deduction on your contributions.
A Roth IRA, on the other hand, is a retirement account that accepts post-tax contributions, but all qualified withdrawals, including earnings, are tax-free.
Lastly, a SEP IRA is a retirement savings plan designed for self-employed individuals and small business owners. It enables them to make tax-deductible contributions to a traditional IRA for themselves and their employees.
If you’ve been contributing to a 401(k) or employer-sponsored retirement account for several years but are now leaving your job, you may be wondering what to do with your retirement account. Do you cash out your nest egg and let the money sit in a bank account until you retire?
It may be tempting to have unrestricted access to a lump sum of cash. But unfortunately, holding your retirement in a bank account could cost you a fortune. Furthermore, the small returns generated won’t keep up with inflation and your nest egg will actually lose value.
A more suitable option: a rollover IRA. Keep reading to learn how they work, along with key benefits and how to initiate an IRA rollover.
What is a Rollover IRA?
In a nutshell, a rollover IRA is an account that is designed specifically to hold funds transferred from employer-sponsored retirement plans, including 401(k), 403(b), profit-sharing and Keogh plans.
The purpose of a rollover IRA is to keep the tax-deferred status of those assets. Rollover IRAs also offer several distinct benefits.
What are the benefits of a Rollover IRA?
When you cash out or take distributions from retirement plans, two things happen. For starters, the funds are subject to taxation and the tax deferral benefit goes out the window. And if you haven’t yet reached 59 ½, you’ll also incur a 10% early withdrawal penalty.
However, an IRA rollover allows you to avoid taxation as long as you transfer the funds properly. Even better, you’ll also escape the 10% penalty.
Other benefits:
It’s free. You read that correctly. That are no fees to open a rollover IRA and transfer the funds from your 401(k) or other employer-sponsored plans into the new account.
Low fees. You may have to pay minimal fees to cover brokerage commissions and fund expenses associated with transactions. But there are financial entities, like Schwab, that offer rollover IRAs devoid of annual or maintenance fees.
No rollover limits. Fortunately, you’re allowed to roll over all the funds in your retirement account, regardless of the amount, without incurring a penalty.
Flexible investment options. Most 401(k) plans only allow you to select from a limited pool of assets, typically in the form of mutual funds, to build your portfolio. But with a rollover IRA, you’ll be afforded the opportunity to choose from an array of assets, including stocks, ETFs, and bonds, just to name a few.
Funds can be transferred to a new employer’s plan. If you find employment elsewhere, and they offer a qualifying retirement plan, you will be able to transfer the funds from the rollover IRA to their plan if you choose to. You also have the option to leave the funds where they are.
How to Roll Over a 401K to an IRA
Direct Rollover
To ensure the funds from your 401(k) or other employer-sponsored plan are moved seamlessly, a direct transfer is the preferred option. Selecting this option also minimizes the chances of an error occurring with the transfer. You’ll also avoid having to pay taxes on your nest egg and incurring early withdrawal penalties.
Even better, it’s easy to execute direct transfers. As all you need to do is contact your former employer and request that they transfer the funds to the entity that the rollover IRA will be housed. Expect to complete paperwork on both the sending and receiving end, but it shouldn’t take too much of your time. And once you’ve done your part, the direct transfer of funds will be completed in a brief window of time.
Indirect Rollover
If you prefer to set up the new account on your own, you have the option to do what’s referred to as an indirect rollover. Rather than having your former employer send the funds directly to the new entity that will manage the rollover IRA, you’ll need to obtain the funds via check and set up the account yourself.
Another important consideration: with direct transfers, your employer usually won’t deduct income tax before sending the funds to the company in charge of managing the rollover IRA. But if you take the indirect rollover route, there’s a chance they will, to the tune of 20%.
This means you could find yourself paying this amount out of pocket to avoid incurring additional penalties and fees when opening up a new account. Even worse, you won’t be eligible to recoup the funds until you file your annual tax return.
You should also know that you have 60 days to do so, or you’ll be on the hook for federal income tax and a 10% early withdrawal fee (if you aren’t yet 59 ½ years of age or older). To give yourself the best possible chance of avoiding any issues, promptly deposit the funds and notate your rollover IRA account number on the check.
Furthermore, follow up regularly until the funds are posted to your account, and you’ve confirmed the account is all set.
Other Important Considerations
Annual Rollover Limits: In most instances, you are limited to one rollover per year.
Roth IRAs: If you’re interested in a Roth IRA, you have the option to convert the proceeds from the rollover IRA. However, you will have to pay taxes right away, as Roth IRAs are comprised of post-tax contributions and distributions are tax-free.
See also: What’s the Difference Between a Traditional IRA & a Roth IRA?
Bottom Line
Rollover IRAs are an ideal way to avoid taxation and penalties when you leave your employer and are no longer eligible to participate in their retirement plan. But, if you’re uncertain if your plan is eligible for a rollover IRA, inquire with your plan administrator to determine what options are available to you. You can also view IRS Topic Number 413 for additional guidance.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why would I want to roll over my retirement account?
There are several reasons why you might want to roll over your retirement account. For example, you may want to move your money to a new IRA with lower fees, better investment options, or more flexibility.
Can I roll over any type of retirement account into a rollover IRA?
Yes, you can roll over most types of retirement accounts into a rollover IRA, including 401(k)s, 403(b)s, and traditional IRAs.
How do I choose the right rollover IRA provider?
When choosing a rollover IRA provider, you should consider factors such as fees, investment options, customer service, and the provider’s reputation. You may also want to consider whether the provider offers any additional services, such as financial planning or investment advice.