“So all the new permits that are getting [approved], all the new lands that are getting bought now – we’re not going to see anything until 2026-27 at this point,” he said. “So we need five, six years of that market.” US mortgage rates last week topped 7% for the first time in a month, … [Read more…]
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) this week announced a new product proposal for government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) Freddie Mac that would allow the agency to purchase certain single-family, closed-end second mortgages.
This would offer borrowers an alternative way to access their home equity without surrendering a first mortgage with a more favorable interest rate than is currently available.
The proposal, published in the Federal Register, recognizes that existing borrowers “face limited options” if they seek to access equity on their primary residence, particularly if they have a mortgage rate from a loan originated during the low-rate environment of the COVID-19 pandemic.
“[A] traditional cash-out refinance today may pose a significant financial burden, as it requires a refinancing of the entire outstanding loan balance at a new, and likely much higher, interest rate,” FHFA said in its proposal. “Homeowners may also use second mortgages to access the equity in their homes, [where] only the smaller, second mortgage would be subject to the current market rate, as the original terms of the first mortgage would remain intact.”
Second mortgages are also typically offered at a lower interest rate than certain alternative products like personal loans, so Freddie Mac’s proposal is to purchase “certain closed-end second mortgage loans from primary market lenders” that are already approved to sell mortgages to Freddie Mac, the proposal states.
“In a closed-end second mortgage loan, the borrower’s funds are fully disbursed when the loan closes, the borrower repays over a set time schedule, and the mortgage is recorded in a junior lien position in the land records,” FHFA stated. “Freddie Mac has indicated that the primary goal of this proposed new product is to provide borrowers a lower cost alternative to a cash-out refinance in higher interest rate environments.”
FHFA Director Sandra Thompson explained that such options are needed in the current mortgage rate environment.
“The proposed activity is intended to provide homeowners with a cost-effective alternative for accessing the equity in their homes,” Thompson said in an announcement of the proposal. “Reviewing and considering comments from the public will be a critical component of our review as the agency exercises its statutory responsibility to evaluate new enterprise products.”
This is specifically designed to benefit consumers during the high rate environment, the agency said.
“In the current mortgage interest rate environment, a closed-end second mortgage may provide a more affordable option to homeowners than obtaining a new cash-out refinance or leveraging other consumer debt products,” the proposal explained. “A significant portion of borrowers have low interest rate first mortgages, and the proposal would allow those homeowners to retain this beneficial interest rate on the first mortgage and avoid resetting to a higher rate through a cash-out refinance.”
The Federal Housing Enterprises Financial Safety and Soundness Act of 1992, as amended by the Housing and Economic Recovery Act (HERA) of 2008, requires the GSEs to provide advance notice to FHFA of any potential actions or products they aim to pursue. This notice demonstrates that FHFA is fulfilling its mandate and seeks public comments on the proposal.
The comment period lasts 30 days from the publication of the proposal in the Federal Register, making May 16, 2024, the end of the comment period. Interested parties can submit comments to the agency on its website or via email.
Editorial Note: We earn a commission from partner links on Forbes Advisor. Commissions do not affect our editors’ opinions or evaluations.
As we head into peak home-buying season, signs of life have begun to spring up in the housing market.
Even so, still-high mortgage rates and home prices amid historically low housing stock continue to put homeownership out of reach for many.
Moreover, the National Association of Realtors agreed to a monumental $418 million settlement on March 15 following a verdict favoring home sellers in a class action lawsuit. Still subject to court approval, the settlement requires changes to broker commissions that will upend the buying and selling model that has been in place for years.
Housing Market Forecast for 2024
Elevated mortgage rates, out-of-reach home prices and record-low housing stock are the perennial weeds that experts say hopeful home buyers can expect to contend with this spring—and beyond.
“The housing market is likely to continue to face the dual affordability constraints of high home prices and elevated interest rates in 2024,” said Doug Duncan, senior vice president and chief economist at Fannie Mae, in an emailed statement. “Hotter-than-expected inflation data and strong payroll numbers are likely to apply more upward pressure to mortgage rates this year than we’d previously forecast.”
Despite ongoing affordability hurdles, Fannie Mae forecasts an increase in home sales transactions compared to last year. Experts also anticipate a slower rise in home prices this year compared to recent years, but price fluctuations will continue to vary regionally and depend strongly on local market supply.
U.S. home prices declined in January for the third consecutive month due to high borrowing costs, according to the latest S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index. But prices year-over-year jumped 6%—the fastest annual rate since 2022.
Chief economist at First American Financial Corporation Mark Fleming predicts a “flat stretch” ahead.
“If the 2020-2021 housing market was too hot, then the 2023 market was probably too cold, but 2024 won’t yet be just right,” Fleming said in his 2024 forecast.
Will the Housing Market Finally Recover in 2024?
For a housing recovery to occur, several conditions must unfold.
“For the best possible outcome, we’d first need to see inventories of homes for sale turn considerably higher,” says Keith Gumbinger, vice president at online mortgage company HSH.com. “This additional inventory, in turn, would ease the upward pressure on home prices, leveling them off or perhaps helping them to settle back somewhat from peak or near-peak levels.”
And, of course, mortgage rates would need to cool off—which experts say is imminent despite rates edging back up toward 7%. For the week ending April 11, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate stood at 6.88%, according to Freddie Mac.
However, when mortgage rates finally go on the descent, Gumbinger says don’t hope they cool too quickly. Rapidly falling rates could create a surge of demand that wipes away any inventory gains, causing home prices to rebound.
“Better that rate reductions happen at a metered pace, incrementally improving buyer opportunities over a stretch of time, rather than all at once,” Gumbinger says.
He adds that mortgage rates returning to a more “normal” upper 4% to lower 5% range would also help the housing market, over time, return to 2014-2019 levels. Yet, Gumbinger predicts it could be a while before we return to those rates.
Nonetheless, Kuba Jewgieniew, CEO of Realty ONE Group, a real estate brokerage company, is optimistic about a recovery this year.
“[W]e’re definitely looking forward to a better housing market in 2024 as interest rates start to settle around 6% or even lower,” says Jewgieniew.
NAR Settlement Rocks the Residential Real Estate Industry
Following years of litigation, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) has agreed to pay $418 million to settle a series of antitrust lawsuits filed in 2019 on behalf of home sellers.
The plaintiffs claimed that the leading national trade association for real estate brokers and agents “conspired to require home sellers to pay the broker representing the buyer of their homes in violation of federal antitrust law.”
Though the landmark settlement is subject to court approval, most consider it a done deal.
The settlement requires NAR to enact new rules, including prohibiting offers of broker compensation on multiple listing services (MLS), the private databases that allow local real estate brokers to publish and share information about residential property listings. The rule is set to take effect in mid-July, once the settlement receives judge approval.
Moreover, sellers will no longer be required to pay buyer broker commissions and real estate agents participating in the MLS must establish written representation agreements with their buyer clients.
NAR denies any wrongdoing and maintains that its current policies benefit buyers and sellers. The organization believes it’s not liable for seller claims related to broker commissions, stating that it has never set commissions and that commissions have always been negotiable.
How Will the New Rules Impact the Buying and Selling Process?
Per the settlement’s terms, the costs associated with buying and selling a home are set to change dramatically.
“The primary things that will change are the decoupling of the seller commission and the buyer commission in the MLS,” says Rita Gibbs, a Realtor at Realty One Group Integrity in Tucson. “It’s gonna cause some chaos.”
While sellers will no longer be able to offer broker compensation in the MLS, there’s no rule prohibiting off-MLS negotiations. Because of this, Gibbs suspects buyers and sellers will continue offering broker compensation off the MLS.
The Department of Justice confirmed it will permit listing brokers to display compensation details on their websites. However, buyer agents will need to undergo the tedious task of visiting countless broker websites to find who’s offering what.
Michael Gorkowski, a Virginia-based real estate agent with Compass, is also trying to figure out how to manage the potential ruling.
“We often work with buyers for many months and sometimes years before they find exactly what they’re looking for,” Gorkowski says. “So in a case where a seller isn’t offering a co-broker commission, we will have to negotiate that the buyer pays an agreed-upon commission prior to starting their search.”
The Changes Will Impact These Home Buyers Most
“In the short term, it is absolutely going to injure buyers, especially FHA and VA buyers,” Gibbs says. “With rare exception, these buyers are not in a position to pay for their own agent.”
Gibbs says that if sellers don’t offer compensation, many buyers who can’t otherwise afford to pay a broker will choose to go unrepresented.
Gorkowski notes that veterans taking out VA loans face a unique challenge under the new rules. “[P]er the VA requirements, buyers cannot pay so it must be negotiated with the seller for now.”
As a result, NAR is calling on the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs to revise its policies prohibiting VA buyers from paying broker commissions. Even so, there’s skepticism that the federal government will be able to implement changes in time for the July deadline.
Gibbs and Gorkowski are among the many agents especially concerned about first-time home buyers. After July, first-time and VA buyers will be required to sign a buyer-broker agreement stating that they will compensate their broker—but Gibbs says many won’t have the means to do so.
In this situation, agents would likely only show buyers homes where sellers are offering compensation.
“This is a very troubling situation,” Gorkowski says.
Housing Inventory Forecast for 2024
With many homeowners “locked in” at ultra-low interest rates or unwilling to sell due to high home prices, demand continues to outpace housing supply—and likely will for a while—even as some homeowners may finally be forced to sell due to major life events such as divorce, job changes or a growing family.
“I don’t expect to see a meaningful increase in the supply of existing homes for sale until mortgage rates are back down in the low 5% range, so probably not in 2024,” says Rick Sharga, founder and CEO of CJ Patrick Company, a market intelligence and business advisory firm.
Housing stock remains near historic lows—especially entry-level supply—which has propped up demand and sustained ultra-high home prices. Here’s what the latest home values look like around the country.
Yet, some hopeful housing stock signs have begun to sprout:
Existing inventory is showing signs of loosening as impatient buyers and sellers have begun to accept the reality of mortgage rates oscillating between 6% and 7%.
Home-builder outlook also continues to get sunnier, trending back up amid declining mortgage rates and better building conditions.
The most recent National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), which tracks builder sentiment, saw a fourth consecutive monthly rise, surpassing a crucial threshold with an increase from 48 to 51 in March. A reading of 50 or above means more builders see good conditions ahead for new construction.
At the same time, new single-family building permits ticked up 1% in February—the 13th consecutive monthly increase—according to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD).
Residential Real Estate Stats: Existing, New and Pending Home Sales
Though some housing market data indicates signs of growth are in store this spring home-buying season, persistently high mortgage rates may hinder activity from fully flourishing.
Here’s what the latest home sales data has to say.
Existing-Home Sales
Existing-home sales came to life in February, shooting up 9.5% from the month before, according to the latest data from the NAR. Sales dipped 3.3% from a year ago.
Experts attribute the monthly jump to a bump in inventory.
“Additional housing supply is helping to satisfy market demand,” said Lawrence Yun, chief economist at NAR, in the report.
Existing inventory rose 5.9%—logging 1.07 million unsold homes at the end of February. However, there are still only 2.9 months of inventory at the current sales pace. Most experts consider a balanced market falling between four and six months.
Meanwhile, existing home prices continue to soar to unprecedented heights, reaching $384,500, which marks the eighth consecutive month of yearly price increases and a February median home price record.
New Home Sales
Sales of newly constructed single-family houses ticked down by a nominal 0.3% compared to January, but outpaced February 2023 sales by 5.9%, according to the latest U.S. Census Bureau and HUD data.
Amid a high percentage of homeowners still locked in to low mortgage rates, home builders have been picking up the slack.
“New construction continues to be an outsized share of the housing inventory,” said Dr. Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist at Bright MLS, in an emailed statement.
Sturtevant notes that declining new home prices are coming amid a recent trend of builders introducing smaller and more affordable homes to the market.
The median price for a new home in February was $400,500, down 7.6% from a year ago.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development
Pending Home Sales
NAR’s Pending Homes Sales Index rose 1.6% in February from the month prior even as mortgage rates approached 7% by the end of the month. Pending transactions declined 7% year-over-year.
A pending home sale marks the point in the home sales transaction when the buyer and seller agree on price and terms. Pending home sales are considered a leading indicator of future closed sales.
The Midwest and South saw monthly transaction gains while the Northeast and West saw declines due to affordability challenges in those higher-cost regions.
“While modest sales growth might not stir excitement, it shows slow and steady progress from the lows of late last year,” said Yun, in the report.
Ongoing Affordability Challenges Could Throw Cold Water on Spring Home-Buying Hopes
Though down from its 2023 high of 7.79%, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate in 2024 remains well over 6% amid rising home values. As a result, home buyers continue to face affordability challenges.
According to data from its first-quarter 2024 U.S. Home Affordability Report, property data provider Attom found that median-priced single-family homes remain less affordable than the historical average in over 95% of U.S. counties.
For one, the data uncovered that expenses are eating up more than 32% of the average national wage. Common lending guidelines require monthly mortgage payments, property taxes and homeowners insurance to comprise 28% or less of your gross income.
At the same time, home prices and homeownership expenses continue to outpace wage growth.
Consequently, the latest expense-to-wage ratio is hovering at one of the highest points over the past decade, according to the Attom report, despite some slight affordability improvements over the last two quarters.
“Affording a home remains a financial stretch, or a pipe dream, for so many households,” said Rob Barber, CEO at Attom.
Pro Tips for Buyers and Sellers
Here are some expert tips to increase your chances for an optimal outcome in this tight housing market.
Pro Tips for Buying in Today’s Real Estate Market
Hannah Jones, a senior economic research analyst at Realtor.com, offers this expert advice to aspiring buyers:
Know your budget. Instead of focusing on price, figure out how much you can afford as a monthly payment. Your monthly housing payment is influenced by the price of the home, your down payment, mortgage rate, loan term, home insurance and property taxes.
Be flexible about home size and location. Perhaps your budget is sufficient for a small home in your perfect neighborhood, or a larger, newer home further out. Understanding your priorities and having some flexibility can help you move quickly when a suitable home enters the market.
Keep an eye on the market where you hope to buy. Determine the area’s available inventory and price levels. Also, pay attention to how quickly homes sell. Not only will you be tuned in when something great hits the market, you can feel more confident moving forward with purchasing a well-priced home. A real estate agent can help with this.
Don’t be discouraged. Purchasing a home is one of the largest financial decisions you’ll ever make. Approaching the market confidently, armed with good information and grounded expectations will take you far. Don’t let the hustle of the market convince you to buy something that’s not in your budget, or not right for your lifestyle.
Pro Tips for Selling in Today’s Real Estate Market
Gary Ashton, founder of The Ashton Real Estate Group of RE/MAX Advantage, has this expert advice for sellers:
Research comparable home prices in your area. Sellers need to have the most up-to-date pricing intel on comparable homes selling in their market. Know the market competition and price the home competitively. In addition, understand that in some price points it’s a buyer’s market—you’ll need to be prepared to make some concessions.
Make sure your home is in top-notch shape. Homes need to be in great condition to compete and create a strong “online curb appeal.” Well-maintained homes and attractive front yards are major features that buyers look for.
Work with a local real estate agent. A real estate agent or team with a strong local marketing presence and access to major real estate portals can offer significant value and help you land a great deal.
Don’t put off issues that require attention. Prepare the home by making any repairs or improvements. Removing any objections that buyers may see helps focus the buyer on the positive attributes of the home.
Will the Housing Market Crash in 2024?
Despite some areas of the country experiencing monthly price declines, the likelihood of a housing market crash—a rapid drop in unsustainably high home prices due to waning demand—remains low for 2024.
“[T]he record low supply of houses on the market protects against a market crash,” says Tom Hutchens, executive vice president of production at Angel Oak Mortgage Solutions, a non-QM lender.
Moreover, experts point out that today’s homeowners stand on much more secure footing than those coming out of the 2008 financial crisis, with many borrowers having substantial home equity.
“In 2024, I expect we’ll see home appreciation take a step back but not plummet,” says Orphe Divounguy, senior macroeconomist at Zillow Home Loans.
This outlook aligns with what other housing market watchers expect.
“Comerica forecasts that national house prices will rise 2.9% in 2024,” said Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica Bank, in an emailed statement.
Divounguy also notes that several factors, including Millennials entering their prime home-buying years, wage growth and financial wealth are tailwinds that will sustain housing demand in 2024.
Even so, with fewer homes selling, Dan Hnatkovskyy, co-founder and CEO of NewHomesMate, a marketplace for new construction homes, sees a price collapse within the realm of possibility, especially in markets where real estate investors scooped up numerous properties.
“If something pushes that over the edge, the consequences could be severe,” said Hnatkovskyy, in an emailed statement.
Will Foreclosures Increase in 2024?
In February, total foreclosure filings were down 1% from the previous month but up 8% from a year ago, according to Attom.
“These trends could signify evolving financial landscapes for homeowners, prompting adjustments in market strategies and lending practices,” said Barber, in a report.
Lenders began foreclosure on 22,575 properties in February, up 4% from the previous month and 11% from a year ago. Meanwhile, real estate-owned properties, or REOs, which are homes unsold at foreclosure auctions and taken over by lenders, spiked year-over-year in three states: South Carolina (up 51%), Missouri (up 50%) and Pennsylvania (up 46%).
Despite foreclosure activity trending up nationally and certain areas of the country seeing notable annual increases in REOs, experts generally don’t expect to see a wave of foreclosures in 2024.
“Foreclosure activity is still only at about 60% of pre-pandemic levels … and isn’t likely to be back to 2019 numbers until sometime in mid-to-late 2024,” says Sharga.
The biggest reasons for this, Sharga explains, are the strength of the economy—we’re still seeing low unemployment and steady wage growth—along with excellent loan quality.
Massive home price growth in homeowner equity over the past few years has also helped reduce foreclosures.
Sharga says that some 80% of today’s homeowners have more than 20% equity in their property. So, while there may be more foreclosure starts in 2024—due in part to Covid-era mortgage relief programs phasing out—foreclosure auctions and lender repossessions should remain below 2019 levels.
When Will Be the Best Time To Buy a Home in 2024?
Buying a house—in any market—is a highly personal decision. Because homes represent the largest single purchase most people will make in their lifetime, it’s crucial to be in a solid financial position before diving in.
Use a mortgage calculator to estimate your monthly housing costs based on your down. But if you’re trying to predict what might happen next year, experts say this is probably not the best home-buying strategy.
“The housing market—like so many other markets—is almost impossible to time,“ Divounguy says. “The best time for prospective buyers is when they find a home that they like, that meets their family’s current and foreseeable needs and that they can afford.”
Gumbinger agrees it’s hard to tell would-be homeowners to wait for better conditions.
“More often, it seems the case that home prices generally keep rising, so the goalposts for amassing a down payment keep moving, and there’s no guarantee that tomorrow’s conditions will be all that much better in the aggregate than today’s.”
Divounguy says “getting on the housing ladder” is worthwhile to begin building equity and net worth.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
Will declining mortgage rates cause home prices to rise?
Declining mortgage rates will likely incentivize would-be buyers anxious to own a home to jump into the market. Expect this increased demand amid today’s tight housing supply to put upward pressure on home prices.
What will happen if the housing market crashes?
Most experts do not expect a housing market crash in 2024 since many homeowners have built up significant equity in their homes. The issue is primarily an affordability crisis. High interest rates and inflated home values have made purchasing a home challenging for first-time homebuyers.
Is it smart to buy real estate before a recession?
If you’re in a financial position to buy a home you plan to live in for the long term, it won’t matter when you buy it because you will live in it through economic highs and lows. However, if you are looking to buy real estate as a short-term investment, it will come with more risk if you buy at the height before a recession.
As we approach the mid-2020s, the question on many homeowners’ and potential buyers’ minds is: what will mortgage rates look like in 2025? It’s a crucial question, as even a small fluctuation in rates can significantly impact monthly payments and overall affordability.
Looking ahead, experts offer a range of predictions, reflecting the inherent uncertainty in economic forecasting. Factors such as inflation, economic growth, monetary policy, and global market conditions all play a role in shaping the future of mortgage rates.
A conservative estimate suggests that 30-year fixed mortgage rates could be in the range of 5.5% to 7% by 2025. This prediction takes into account potential economic growth, the Federal Reserve’s likely responses to changing conditions, and the broader real estate market’s status.
Other forecasts are slightly more optimistic, with projections of a gradual decrease in mortgage rates over the next 18 months. For instance, Fannie Mae anticipates rates might slide to 6.0%, Wells Fargo expects around 5.8%, and the Mortgage Bankers Association estimates rates could fall to 5.5% by the final quarter of 2025.
However, it’s important to note that these predictions come with a degree of uncertainty. The past few years have shown that unprecedented events, such as the pandemic and geopolitical tensions, can rapidly alter the economic landscape. As a result, forecasters often advise caution and suggest that these projections are best viewed as guidelines rather than guarantees.
The consensus among experts is that while rates are expected to peak soon due to high inflation and policy measures, they will likely remain above historical lows. This means that while we may not see the rock-bottom rates of the early 2020s, there is also little expectation of a return to the double-digit rates of the 1980s.
Will Mortgage Rates Decline in 2025?
According to recent analyses and expert predictions, there is a sense of cautious optimism about the potential for mortgage rates to trend downward in 2025. The Mortgage Bankers Association, for instance, has projected that 30-year mortgage rates could fall to around 5.6%. This forecast is based on current market trends and economic indicators, suggesting a silver lining for those hoping for more favorable borrowing conditions.
The current landscape of mortgage rates has been shaped by a variety of factors, including inflation, Federal Reserve policies, and global economic conditions. In the past, rates below 4% were considered competitive, with a historical low point of around 3.75% in 2020 serving as a benchmark for what constitutes a ‘good‘ rate. However, the economic turmoil and policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic have led to fluctuations that defy simple predictions.
Looking ahead, the expectation of a downward trend is influenced by several factors. Economic recovery, inflation expectations, and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy are all expected to play a role in shaping mortgage rates in the coming years. The Federal Reserve, in particular, is anticipated to continue its delicate balancing act, adjusting interest rates to maintain economic stability while fostering growth.
It’s important to note, however, that these predictions are not guaranteed. The financial landscape is complex and subject to change due to unforeseen global events and policy shifts. Therefore, while the projections provide a general direction, individuals should remain vigilant and consult with financial advisors to understand how these trends may affect their personal circumstances.
In summary, while there is hope for a decrease in mortgage rates by 2025, it is crucial for potential borrowers to stay informed and prepared for any outcome. By keeping an eye on economic developments and seeking professional advice, one can navigate the mortgage market with greater confidence and make decisions that align with their financial goals.
CHARLOTTE — Inflation continues to overwhelm many families in the Carolinas, keeping the cost high for things like borrowing money to buy a home, and while you might think that would mean a drop in home prices, realtors in the Charlotte area say they’re seeing the exact opposite.
In Charlotte’s hot housing market, prices haven’t really gone down. Channel 9′s Evan Donovan spoke with realtors who say it’s not like the COVID-19 pandemic, but they’re having to get creative with their buyers.
“She sent me tons of properties, locations, we went to visit them but then I just said let’s build a home,” said Ebony Covington.
She got in the market to buy a home in January, but even with the help of her realtor, she couldn’t find the right fit in an existing home.
“We went to the design center, I was able to pick out exactly what I wanted in my home, inside and outside. It was a celebration every step of the way, and I probably asked a million questions,” Covington told Donovan.
But realtor Bre Gaither says it’s still a seller’s market. The Charlotte are has less than two months of inventory, but a balanced market is around six months of inventory. Gaither says the market is almost as hot as it was during the pandemic.
“We are still seeing multiple offers, we are still seeing bidding wars,” Gaither said. “Homes are being on the market and off the market in less than 24 hours. It’s not as crazy as the $50-60,000 over asking, but I’ve seen $15 to 20 thousand, for sure.”
A report from Rocket Mortgage in March showed the average home price in Charlotte is up nearly $15,000 over last year. In surrounding areas like Matthews, Pineville, and Huntersville, it’s even higher.
Covington says she’s happy to finally own a home that’s exactly how she wanted it.
“The outside is going to be blue. Since [we’re the] first house on the cul-de-sac, we get to choose and no one else can have that home color,” Covington said.
Moving into a new home in 2024 costs a lot more than in the past. According to data from Redfin, the average monthly housing payment just hit an all-time high of more than $2,700. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate as of Thursday is about 6.8%, more than double the rate before the pandemic.
(WATCH: City of Charlotte unveils potential affordable housing developments)
City of Charlotte unveils potential affordable housing developments
If you’re on the hunt for the right pattern to decorate the walls of your home, look no further than Just Wallpaper in Brookfield.
The wallpaper store’s new location at 9219 Broadway Ave. opened to customers Tuesday. Co-owners Julia Hamilton and Kate Sanderson staff the stop themselves Tuesdays through Saturdays, helping customers who walk in or book appointments browse through the thousands of patterns the store has available to personalize their homes and make their spaces feel lived in.
“Don’t decorate your house gray and white for the future owner. Why are you doing that?” Hamilton said. “You live there. Decorate it for you!”
Berwyn Shops, an incubator program for small businesses in Berwyn’s Roosevelt Road corridor, and realized how much demand there was for a walk-in wallpaper store.
“A week into getting our LLC, the person from the [Berwyn Development Corporation] was like, ‘Oh, hey, do you want to get involved in this?’ And the next thing you know, we donated wallpaper to all 12 of the shops, and we have a park bench with our logo on it,” Hamilton said. “Then, people were like, ‘Well, we want to come check the books.’”
While Hamilton said she hadn’t envisioned Just Wallpaper having a storefront, she and Sanderson converted a “little, tiny, tiny office space” in Berwyn — the entire building was smaller than the front room of the store’s current space, Hamilton said — into a shop in June 2022 so they could host customers. In January 2023, they had expanded the store’s hours, accepting walk-in customers two days a week. By September 2023, they were open four days a week for walk-ins.
“Most of what we found is that people were coming into the little shop, and they [were] like, ‘Oh my God, thank God I found you. I’ve been on the internet for three months, I’ve spent $100 on samples, and I still haven’t found the [right] wallpaper. Help me!’” Hamilton said. “That’s where it became, like, ‘OK, this is a shop, and we’ve got to find a real store, and this is real.’ We’re solving a little problem, but we’re solving it.”
When it came time for Just Wallpaper to find a new location, Hamilton said the business’s current space felt right as soon as she saw it. She said Brookfield, too, made sense for Just Wallpaper’s new home due to its proximity to Chicago and its central location among the western suburbs.
“One of the things we learned rather quickly is that our clients that were in the city had no problem coming to Berwyn or Brookfield,” Hamilton said. “It’s not that far. It’s no big deal.”
Since the original Just Wallpaper was in Orland Park, “We have a lot of south suburb clients and people that are willing to drive, and they’re not willing to drive into the city,” she said. “We knew our general client is, you know, from Oak Park to LaGrange … We didn’t want to venture far, and Brookfield ended up being the most perfect.”
Hamilton said wallpaper has had a “really big surge” in popularity since the COVID-19 pandemic.
“We’ve seen it in real estate, but in interior design, [there’s a trend of] just making your space more your own, making it more lived in, making it more personal, and wallpaper’s just like a really easy way to do that,” she said. “It can be a luxury product based on price point, but just like anything else, it can also have a core-basics price point as well.”
While Just Wallpaper is just starting out at its Brookfield location, Hamilton said she and Sanderson have their eyes on the future.
“Not on the immediate horizon, but long-term horizon, I would love — you know, assuming we are thriving in the space, and wallpaper is trending in the way it has been — I would love to open more locations and have it be a retailer for wallpaper,” Hamilton said. “That’s the big dream.”
Mortgage rates surged at a pace seen only one other time since October 2022. The average lender moved up by 0.28%, which is functionally equivalent to the 0.29% seen after the February 2nd jobs report. In fact, today was arguably worse because the Feb 2nd example happened a day after rates hit long-term lows. The implication is that the jump would not have been as big in early Feb if rates weren’t undergoing a correction from those lows.
Hair splitting aside, there just aren’t many past examples of rates rising more than a quarter point in a day. Before covid, it had happened one other time in the past decade.
Translation: it was a rough day for rates. But why?
We’ve been rather incessantly focused on the risks associated with today’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the days and weeks leading up to its release. It ended up exceeding the hype by showing that inflation refuses to head to the lower levels required for a lower interest rate environment. Today is really that simple.
Rates are highly dependent on inflation data at the moment. We’ll get another inflation report tomorrow, but it never operates on the same scale of relevance to rates as CPI. That’s not to say a friendly result wouldn’t help, but the data stands an equal chance to be unfriendly, thus compounding today’s problems as opposed to taking the edge off.
We’ll talk more about longer-term, bigger-picture implications on Friday.
Not too long ago, getting a mortgage meant a lot of paperwork, visits to the bank, and waiting weeks or more for underwriter approval. But the way we apply for mortgages is changing fast, thanks to the digital world we live in.
You can apply for a mortgage online quickly and easily, adding layers of convenience to what used to be a tedious and harrowing experience. Applying for a mortgage online is becoming more popular because it’s convenient, quick, and easy.
As with so many other facets of life, the internet has made the mortgage process simpler and friendlier. With a few clicks, you can start the journey to owning your dream home.
In this article, we’re going to look at the pros and cons of applying for a mortgage online. Whether you’re buying your first home or thinking about refinancing, it’s important to know how the online mortgage process works. By the end, you’ll have a better idea of whether an online mortgage is right for you and how to handle the process.
The Rise of Online Mortgage Applications
The mortgage industry has shifted dramatically from traditional, in-person processes to digital applications. Here’s a brief look at this evolution and the current trends in the United States.
Traditional vs. Online Processes
Traditionally, getting a mortgage meant visiting a bank, dealing with lots of paperwork, and waiting weeks for approval. It was a process filled with face-to-face meetings and manual document handling. In contrast, the online mortgage process is faster and simpler. You can apply from anywhere, upload documents electronically, and get quicker responses.
Why the Shift Happened
This move towards digital applications has been driven by a demand for convenience and speed. The rise of technology in finance and changes in consumer behavior have played significant roles. The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated this trend, as remote and digital services became essential.
Current U.S. Trends
In the U.S., online mortgage applications are now a popular choice, especially among younger homebuyers who prefer digital interactions. Many mortgage lenders offer online options, and some operate exclusively online. This trend is driven by the ease of comparing rates, quicker application processes, and the overall convenience of handling things digitally.
Pros of Applying for a Mortgage Online
The shift towards online mortgage applications brings several advantages. Here’s a look at the key benefits:
Convenience and Accessibility
Applying from anywhere: One of the biggest advantages of online mortgages is the ability to apply from home or on-the-go. This flexibility is a game-changer for many, especially for those with busy schedules or limited access to traditional banks.
Available 24/7: Unlike visiting a traditional bank or mortgage broker, businesses that keep daytime hours, you can apply for a mortgage online at any time, day or night. You can even pause the application process and pick it up again later. If you prefer to handle your financial matters outside of standard banking hours, an online mortgage app makes it possible.
Speed of the Process
Faster applications and approvals: Online systems are designed for speed. From submitting an application to getting approval, the process is significantly quicker compared to traditional methods. This efficiency can be crucial in competitive housing markets.
Real-time updates: Online platforms often provide instant updates and digital communication channels. Stay in the loop with automated notifications, so you know exactly where your application stands. Prospective homebuyers no longer have to deal with the anxiety of waiting for responses.
Easier Comparison Shopping
Rate and term comparisons: Online platforms make it easy to compare mortgage rates and terms from various lenders. This ability to quickly view and compare options can lead to better financial decisions.
Informed decision-making: With online resources, you can research different mortgage products, understand the nuances of each option, and make an informed choice without feeling rushed.
Automation and Efficiency
Automated document handling: Online applications often come with automated systems for document submission and verification, reducing the chance of human error and accelerating the review process.
Streamlined processes: The overall application process is streamlined online, with clear instructions and fewer steps. This saves time and makes the entire experience less daunting for applicants.
Cons of Applying for a Mortgage Online
While there are many benefits to applying for a mortgage online, there are also some drawbacks to consider. Here are the main cons:
Less Personalized Service
Limited face-to-face interaction: Online applications lack the personal touch of meeting with a loan officer. This can be a downside for those who value direct, personal advice.
Challenges in customized advice: Getting tailored advice for unique financial situations can be harder online. This could be a concern for applicants with complex financial backgrounds or specific needs.
Security and Privacy Concerns
Potential data breaches: Applying online involves sharing personal and financial information digitally, which could be vulnerable to cyber threats like data breaches and identity theft.
Verifying lender legitimacy: It can be challenging to ensure the legitimacy of online lenders. You’ll need to be extra diligent researching lenders to avoid scams and fraudulent entities.
Complexity in Handling Unique Cases
Addressing complex financial situations: Online systems may not handle complex financial scenarios as effectively as a human loan officer might. This could be a problem for applicants with non-standard income sources or credit issues.
Automated systems limitations: While efficient, automated processes might not fully understand or accommodate nuanced financial situations, potentially leading to misinterpretation or oversimplification of an applicant’s financial state.
Reliance on Technology
Technical issues: The entire process depends on having a stable internet connection and functioning technology. Any disruptions in these can hinder the application process.
Comfort with technology required: You’ll need to be relatively tech savvy to complete an online mortgage application. This could be a barrier for those less familiar with digital platforms.
What to Consider Before Applying Online
Before diving into the online mortgage application process, there are several factors you should consider:
Assessing your financial situation: Take a close look at your finances, including your income, expenses, debts, and credit score. Understanding where you stand financially will help you determine what you can afford in monthly payments, including loan principal, interest, taxes, and insurance, and what kind of loan terms might be best for you.
Comfort level with technology: Consider how comfortable you are using digital tools and platforms. You’ll need to know how to use websites, upload documents securely, and communicate digitally in a timely manner.
Researching online lenders: It’s crucial to research and verify the credibility of online lenders. Look for reviews, check their credentials, and ensure they are legitimate and trustworthy to avoid scams and security risks.
Tips for Applying for a Mortgage Online
When you’re ready to apply for a mortgage online, keep these tips in mind for a smooth and secure experience:
Ensure a Secure and Informed Process
Use a secure internet connection: Always apply from a secure, private Wi-Fi network. Avoid public Wi-Fi to protect your sensitive personal and financial information.
Understand the application steps: Familiarize yourself with the online application process. Know the stages involved, from initial application to final approval.
Prepare necessary documents: Gather all required documents in advance. This typically includes proof of income, tax returns, bank statements, and credit reports. Having these ready will speed up your application.
Safeguard Your Personal Information
Choose secure platforms: Apply through reputable lenders with secure websites. Look for HTTPS in the web address as a sign of security.
Be cautious with your info: Share your personal and financial details only on the application. Avoid providing sensitive information via email or over the phone, especially if it’s an unsolicited request.
Regularly update your security software: Ensure that your computer or device has the latest security updates and antivirus software. This helps protect against malware and cyber threats.
Effectively Utilize Online Tools
Use online calculators: Leverage online mortgage calculators to estimate your monthly payments, understand interest rates, and determine affordability.
Comparison tools: Take advantage of comparison platforms to compare different mortgage rates and terms from various lenders. This can help you find the best deal suited to your needs.
Educational resources: Many online mortgage platforms offer educational resources. Use these to understand the types of mortgages available, the application process, and other important aspects of home buying.
By following these tips, you can apply for a mortgage online more confidently and securely. Remember, being prepared and informed is key to a successful and stress-free mortgage application experience.
Conclusion
Applying for a mortgage online comes with a unique set of pros and cons. It offers convenience, speed, and the ability to easily compare options, but it also requires a comfort level with technology and lacks the personalized service of traditional methods.
Before deciding, consider your own financial situation, your comfort with technology, and the credibility of the online lenders you select. By weighing these factors carefully, you can make a choice that best suits your individual needs and circumstances in your journey towards homeownership. If you decide to use an online lender, heed the tips above to get through the process securely and effectively.
Reverse mortgage professionals in Massachusetts will be reliant on their borrowers’ ability to complete their required counseling sessions under the state’s face-to-face mandate following the expiration of a provision temporarily relaxing the standard that expired on April 1.
This is according to prior legislative documents reviewed by RMD and an announcement this week by the National Reverse Mortgage Lenders Association(NRMLA).
In an email update to its members, NRMLA explained that a spending bill containing an amendment that would permanently allow for telephonic and video counseling was approved by both houses of the state’s legislature, but that the addition of new amendments to the Senate version had prolonged the process that would allow it to become law prior to the expiration of the last extension.
The issue has remained a specter over the state’s reverse mortgage business for years. Massachusetts is the only state in the country to require in-person reverse mortgage counseling, a requirement that caused issues and effectively halted its reverse mortgage business during the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Industry professionals and trade organizations — including NRMLA and the regional Massachusetts Mortgage Bankers Association (MMBA) — have urged state leadership to adopt a more permanent solution. It looked as if one would pass last year, but a revision of the budget bill deliberated at that time included an amendment that removed the permanent allowance from a prior version approved by the State House.
Reverse mortgage industry veteran George Downey of The Federal Savings Bank in Braintree, Mass. has been a critical figure in the advocacy for a permanent solution that would allow for remote counseling. While he remains apprehensive about the latest budget bill and whether it will include the desired language in its final form, he also shared that this time feels a bit different when compared to prior recent efforts to address this issue.
In addition to support from NRMLA and other trade associations, Downey said the outreach he and others have done on the issue has felt fruitful.
“We’ve done as much as I think reasonably could be done to get the information to the surface so that the conference committee members, when they were evaluating these various amendments, would have some sense of what this is about and how important it is,” Downey said in an interview. “So, I feel a measure of confidence in that regard. I’ll be optimistic and give us 50% odds.”
Part of the challenge in getting such a provision passed, he said, stems from longtime reputational challenges the reverse mortgage product has had that are difficult to challenge among lawmakers, he explained.
“It’s those old misconceptions, those old biases that carry a lot,” he said. “That’s just speculation on my part, but I’m pretty sure that that was the problem.”
Downey previously explained to RMD that there are only five full-time U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD)-approved counselors serving the state. But the disruption caused by COVID-19 has helped lead lawmakers, regulators and the public to become more aware of how useful remote communication is today.
At the NRMLA Annual Meeting and Expo held last October in Nashville, HUD’s Deputy Assistant Secretary for Housing Counseling David Berenbaum alluded to the challenges in Massachusetts. He elected not to directly comment on them but said that there is no reason for HUD to believe that alternative delivery methods of counseling could not provide quality services.
“Our expectation at HUD is that the quality of the services should be maintained regardless of modality,” he said at the event. “And I do know from my experience in the space that superb housing counseling can happen in many different ways. It’s really the professional offering those services that make all the difference.”
The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA)’s policy advocacy group, the Mortgage Action Alliance (MAA), is urging its members in the state of Massachusetts to support the continued use of remote telephone and video counseling for reverse mortgages in the state following the lapse of an exemption allowing for remote counseling.
“The provision in state law which permitted these forms of consumer counseling on reverse mortgage loans expired on March 31st via sunset,” the call explained. “Importantly, language has been introduced to emergency funding legislation that would restore these forms of counseling and make this flexibility permanent. Importantly, that language was only included in the House passed version of the emergency funding bill.”
Specifically, MAA is calling on its members to contact their representatives in the State House and Senate to urge their support of Sections 11 and 12 of H.4466, the reconciled version of the emergency budget bill.
These two sections modify existing state law to allow for counseling sessions to be conducted “by synchronous real-time video conference or by telephone,” according to the text of the bill.
The differences between the House and Senate versions of the bill are expected to be reconciled this week, according to the MAA notice. According to its most recent update on the website for the Massachusetts legislature, the committee conference implementing the reconciled version was appointed on Mar. 28.
The issue of a face-to-face reverse mortgage counseling provision has remained a specter over the state’s reverse mortgage business for years. Massachusetts is the only state in the country to require in-person reverse mortgage counseling, a requirement that caused issues and effectively halted its reverse mortgage business during the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Since then, there have been multiple efforts to implement and renew time-limited exceptions that allow for phone or video counseling, with certain reverse mortgage professionals within the state working in concert with trade associations to advocate for a permanent solution. While one came close to becoming law in 2023, the necessary language was ultimately not included in a budget bill and another temporary exception was put into place.
That exception expired at the end of the day on Mar. 31, but reverse mortgage industry veteran George Downey of The Federal Savings Bank in Braintree, Mass. — who has been a critical figure in the advocacy for a permanent solution — said it could happen this time.
“We’ve done as much as I think reasonably could be done to get the information to the surface so that the conference committee members, when they were evaluating these various amendments, would have some sense of what this is about and how important it is,” Downey told RMD late last week. “So, I feel a measure of confidence in that regard. I’ll be optimistic and give us 50% odds.”
Last year, MBA President and CEO Bob Broeksmit signaled that the association would be more involved in the reverse mortgage industry in 2024.
“I think that given the demographics of this country and given the record levels of home equity, it makes perfect sense for our members to focus on that product, [and to] make it as strong and sustainable, both for lenders and servicers and of course for the homeowners and their families, as it can be,” Broeksmit said in December.