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While mortgage rates have seen some dips in recent weeks, rates are still higher than they were a year ago. And though there’s plenty of interest in homeownership, it’s still difficult for most people to afford to purchase a house.
A number of closely followed mortgage rates slumped over the last seven days. 15-year fixed and 30-year fixed mortgage rates both decreased. The average rate of the most common type of variable-rate mortgage, the 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgage, also saw rates trending downward.
High interest rates and house prices, together with limited for-sale inventory, have effectively kept a lid on homebuying demand throughout 2023. That was especially clear when mortgage rates surged past 8% in October, causing new-home sales to fall by 5.6% and existing-home sales to fall by 4.1% from the prior month.
About these rates: Like CNET, Bankrate is owned by Red Ventures. This tool features partner rates from lenders that you can use when comparing multiple mortgage rates.
Once the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage fell below 8% in early November, home loan applications started slowly inching up, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Mortgage interest rates, which are influenced by macroeconomic factors, such as inflation, job growth and the bond market, as well as investor confidence and global events, are always somewhat volatile. But experts note that changing economic conditions, particularly slowing inflation, could help mortgage rates stabilize in 2024.
Today’s average mortgage interest rates
If you’re in the market for a home, check out how today’s mortgage rates compare to last week’s. We use data collected by Bankrate to track rate changes over time. This table summarizes the average rates offered by lenders across the country:
Average mortgage interest rates
Product | Rate | Last week | Change |
---|---|---|---|
30-year fixed | 7.32% | 7.53% | -0.21 |
15-year fixed | 6.74% | 6.80% | -0.06 |
30-year jumbo mortgage rate | 7.39% | 7.59% | -0.20 |
30-year mortgage refinance rate | 7.46% | 7.63% | -0.17 |
Rates as of December 12, 2023.
Where mortgage rates are headed
At the start of the pandemic, mortgage rates were near record lows, around 3%. That all changed as inflation began to surge and the Federal Reserve kicked off a series of aggressive interest rate hikes, which indirectly drove up mortgage rates. Now, 20 months after the Fed’s first increase in March 2022, mortgage rates are well above 7%.
The central bank has kept interest rates steady since late July, but mortgage rates continued to climb until fairly recently. Following the Fed’s November meeting, mortgage rates dropped lower for the first time in months due to a mix of economic factors, including a shift in the 10-year Treasury yield, weaker jobs data and a better-than-expected inflation report.
Any mortgage forecast is simply an estimate, but experts say that improved inflation data and an end to the Fed’s rate-hike cycle could be signaling the start of a slow recovery in home loan rates. Most major housing authorities predict average mortgage rates to return to the 6% range around mid-2024.
“Rates will hold steady in the near term, except in the event of unexpected news or developments,” said Matt Dunbar, senior vice president of Southeast Region at Churchill Mortgage. The Fed, which is in a holding pattern to collect more data, will likely stay the course with a rate pause unless there are unwelcome surprises in the December inflation and jobs reports.
Calculate your monthly mortgage payment
Getting a mortgage should always depend on your financial situation and long-term goals. The most important thing is to make a budget and try to stay within your means. CNET’s mortgage calculator below can help homebuyers prepare for monthly mortgage payments.
What is a good loan term?
When picking a mortgage, remember to consider the loan term, or payment schedule. The most common mortgage terms are 15 years and 30 years, although 10-, 20- and 40-year mortgages also exist. Mortgages can either be fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgages. The interest rates in a fixed-rate mortgage are set for the duration of the loan. The interest rates for an adjustable-rate mortgage are only fixed for a certain amount of time (commonly five, seven or 10 years), after which the rate adjusts annually based on the current interest rate in the market.
When choosing between a fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgage, consider the length of time you plan to live in your home. If you plan on living long-term in a new house, a fixed-rate mortgage may be the better option. Fixed-rate mortgages offer more stability over time compared to adjustable-rate mortgages, but adjustable-rate mortgages may offer lower interest rates upfront. As a result, a growing share of homebuyers are leaning toward ARMs.
30-year fixed-rate mortgages
The 30-year fixed-mortgage rate average is 7.32%, which is a decrease of 21 basis points from seven days ago. (A basis point is equivalent to 0.01%.) A 30-year fixed mortgage, the most common loan term, is a good option if you’re looking to minimize your monthly payment. A 30-year fixed rate mortgage will usually have a lower monthly payment than a 15-year one, but often a higher interest rate.
15-year fixed-rate mortgages
The average rate for a 15-year, fixed mortgage is 6.74%, which is a decrease of 6 basis points from the same time last week. Though you’ll have a bigger monthly payment compared to a 30-year fixed mortgage, a 15-year loan will usually be the better deal if you can afford the monthly payments. You’ll usually be able to get a lower interest rate, pay less interest in the long run and pay off your mortgage sooner.
5/1 adjustable-rate mortgages
A 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgage has an average rate of 6.67%, a downtick of 11 basis points from the same time last week. You’ll typically get a lower interest rate (compared to a 30-year fixed mortgage) with a 5/1 ARM in the first five years of the mortgage. But you could end up paying more after that time, depending on how the rate adjusts with the market rate. For borrowers who plan to sell or refinance their house before the rate changes, an ARM could be a good option. If not, changes in the market may significantly increase your interest rate.
How to find personalized mortgage rates
You can get a personalized mortgage rate by contacting your local mortgage broker or using an online calculator. To find the best home mortgage, take into account your goals and current finances. Be sure to look at the annual percentage rate, or APR, which reflects the mortgage interest rate plus other borrowing charges. By comparing the total cost of borrowing from multiple lenders, you can make a more accurate apples-to-apples comparison.
Your specific mortgage rate will vary based on factors including your down payment, credit score, debt-to-income ratio and loan-to-value ratio. Having a higher down payment, a good credit score, a low DTI and LTV or any combination of those factors can help you get a lower interest rate.
The interest rate isn’t the only factor that affects the cost of your home. Be sure to also consider fees, closing costs, taxes and discount points. You should shop around and talk to several different lenders from local and national banks, credit unions and online lenders to find the best mortgage for you.
Though mortgage rates and home prices are high, the housing market won’t be unaffordable forever. It’s always a good time to save for a down payment and improve your credit score to help you secure a competitive mortgage rate when the time is right for you.
Source: cnet.com