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The median monthly housing payment for U.S. homebuyers rose to a record $2,775 during the four-week period ending April 14, up 11% year over year, according to a Redfin report.
The recent hotter-than-expected inflation reading sent mortgage rates upward. On Thursday, HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center showed the average 30-year fixed rate for conventional loans at 7.31%, up from 7.19% a week earlier.
Additionally, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell made statements at the Washington Forum on Tuesday that indicate there will be no rate cuts anytime soon because the economy and the labor market continue to run hot and inflation has remained sticky.
Furthermore, the median price for all types of existing homes rose to $393,500 in March, an increase of 4.8% from the median price of $375,300 in the same month last year, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR).
Despite the challenging housing market, demand isn’t fading. Mortgage applications, for instance, increased for the second week in a row on the back of a strong economy.
According to Chen Zhao, Redfin’s economic research lead, some house hunters are eager to buy now as they fear a further increase in mortgage rates. Meanwhile, others have grown accustomed to elevated rates and have accordingly factored the inflated rates into their home purchase budget.
“Home sales are slower than usual, but there are still people buying and selling because if not now, when?” Connie Durnal, a Redfin Premier agent in Dallas, said in a news release. “I’ve had a few prospective buyers touring homes for the last several years, since mortgage rates started going up, and they wish they would have bought last year because prices and rates are even higher now.
“My advice to them: If you can afford to and you find a house you love, buy now. There’s no guarantee that rates will come down soon.”
At the end of March, NAR reported that total housing inventory sat at 1.11 million units, up 4.7% from February and up 14.4% from one year ago.
Source: housingwire.com
Homes in Rocklin, California, on Tuesday, Dec. 6, 2022.
David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images
The average rate on the popular 30-year fixed mortgage crossed over 7% on April 1, according to Mortgage News Daily, and it just kept going. It now sits right around 7.5%, the highest level since mid-November of last year.
Rates hit their highest level in a few decades last October, causing home sales to grind to a halt. Builders jumped to buy down rates for their customers and managed to do better than existing home sellers.
Rates then fell through mid-January to the mid-6% range and held there into February, causing a surge in home sales. But then they began rising again.
“By mid-February, a pick-up in inflation reset expectations, putting mortgage rates back on an upward trend, and more recent data and comments from Fed Chair [Jerome] Powell have only underscored inflation concerns,” said Danielle Hale, chief economist for Realtor.com. “Sales data over the next few months is likely to reflect the impact of now-higher mortgage rates.”
Even with rates higher, however, mortgage applications to purchase a home rose 5% last week compared with the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index. Demand was still 10% lower than the same week one year ago, even with rates now 70 basis points higher than they were a year ago.
“Despite these higher rates, application activity picked up, possibly as some borrowers decided to act in case rates continue to rise,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s chief economist.
That may be short-lived, however, as affordability weakens even further. While there is more supply on the market now than there was a year ago, it is still at a very low level historically. That has caused homes to move faster as the competition increases. Anyone waiting for rates to drop significantly may be waiting for a while.
“Recent economic data shows that the economy and job market remain strong, which is likely to keep mortgage rates at these elevated levels for the near future,” said Bob Broeksmit, MBA’s president and CEO.
Source: cnbc.com
Not too long ago, getting a mortgage meant a lot of paperwork, visits to the bank, and waiting weeks or more for underwriter approval. But the way we apply for mortgages is changing fast, thanks to the digital world we live in.
You can apply for a mortgage online quickly and easily, adding layers of convenience to what used to be a tedious and harrowing experience. Applying for a mortgage online is becoming more popular because it’s convenient, quick, and easy.
As with so many other facets of life, the internet has made the mortgage process simpler and friendlier. With a few clicks, you can start the journey to owning your dream home.
In this article, we’re going to look at the pros and cons of applying for a mortgage online. Whether you’re buying your first home or thinking about refinancing, it’s important to know how the online mortgage process works. By the end, you’ll have a better idea of whether an online mortgage is right for you and how to handle the process.
The mortgage industry has shifted dramatically from traditional, in-person processes to digital applications. Here’s a brief look at this evolution and the current trends in the United States.
Traditionally, getting a mortgage meant visiting a bank, dealing with lots of paperwork, and waiting weeks for approval. It was a process filled with face-to-face meetings and manual document handling. In contrast, the online mortgage process is faster and simpler. You can apply from anywhere, upload documents electronically, and get quicker responses.
This move towards digital applications has been driven by a demand for convenience and speed. The rise of technology in finance and changes in consumer behavior have played significant roles. The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated this trend, as remote and digital services became essential.
In the U.S., online mortgage applications are now a popular choice, especially among younger homebuyers who prefer digital interactions. Many mortgage lenders offer online options, and some operate exclusively online. This trend is driven by the ease of comparing rates, quicker application processes, and the overall convenience of handling things digitally.
The shift towards online mortgage applications brings several advantages. Here’s a look at the key benefits:
While there are many benefits to applying for a mortgage online, there are also some drawbacks to consider. Here are the main cons:
Before diving into the online mortgage application process, there are several factors you should consider:
When you’re ready to apply for a mortgage online, keep these tips in mind for a smooth and secure experience:
By following these tips, you can apply for a mortgage online more confidently and securely. Remember, being prepared and informed is key to a successful and stress-free mortgage application experience.
Applying for a mortgage online comes with a unique set of pros and cons. It offers convenience, speed, and the ability to easily compare options, but it also requires a comfort level with technology and lacks the personalized service of traditional methods.
Before deciding, consider your own financial situation, your comfort with technology, and the credibility of the online lenders you select. By weighing these factors carefully, you can make a choice that best suits your individual needs and circumstances in your journey towards homeownership. If you decide to use an online lender, heed the tips above to get through the process securely and effectively.
Source: crediful.com
Mortgage demand receded for the third consecutive week despite slightly lower mortgage rates. Mortgage applications decreased by 0.6% on a seasonally adjusted basis during the week ending March 29, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly mortgage applications survey.
“Mortgage rates moved lower last week, but that did little to ignite overall mortgage application activity,” Joel Kan, MBA’s vice president and deputy chief economist, said in a statement. “Elevated mortgage rates continued to weigh down on home buying. Purchase applications were unchanged overall, although FHA purchases did pick up slightly over the week. Refinance applications decreased to fall 5% below last year’s pace.”
As of March 26, the 30-year fixed rate on HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center stood at 7.16%, up from 7.07% one week earlier. At the same time one year ago, the 30-year fixed rate averaged 6.53%. Meanwhile, the 15-year fixed rate averaged 6.51% on March 26, up from 6.5% one week earlier.
Both purchase and refinance activity decreased during the week. Purchase loan application volume dropped by 1% from one week earlier. Meanwhile, refinance volume fell by 2% from the prior week.
The MBA survey shows that the average mortgage rate for 30-year fixed loans with conforming balances ($766,550 or less) decreased to 6.91%, down from 6.93% last week. Meanwhile, rates on jumbo loans (balances greater than $766,550) decreased week over week to 7.06%, down from 7.14%.
The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) share of total applications decreased to 11.7% last week, down from 12% the week before. The U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) share climbed to 12.1%, up from 12% the week before. And the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) share remained unchanged at 0.5%.
The MBA survey, conducted weekly since 1990, covers more than 75% of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications.
Source: housingwire.com
By Aarthi Swaminathan
The U.S. 15-year mortgage rate is at the lowest level in two months, industry group says
The numbers: The U.S. housing market is feeling a chill once again as home buyers pull back on applying for mortgages with rates staying near 7%.
Yet some buyers are finding rates in the low 6% range by turning to 15-year fixed-rate mortgages instead of the traditional 30-year loan.
Nevertheless, weakening demand overall pushed the market composite index – a measure of mortgage application volume – down in the last week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) on Wednesday.
The market index fell 0.6% to 195.6 for the week ending March 29 from a week ago. A year ago, the index stood at 217.9.
Key details: The purchase index – which measures mortgage applications for the purchase of a home – fell 0.1% from a week ago.
The refinance index fell 1.6%.
The average contract rate for the 30-year mortgage for homes sold for $766,550 or less was 6.91% for the week ending March 29. That’s down from 6.93% from the week before.
The rate for jumbo loans, or the 30-year mortgage for homes sold for over $766,550, was 7.06%, down from 7.14% a week ago.
The average rate for a 30-year mortgage backed by the Federal Housing Administration was 6.74%, down from 6.75% a week ago.
The 15-year fell to 6.35% from 6.46% from the previous week. The 15-year fixed was at the lowest level in two months, the MBA said.
The rate for adjustable-rate mortgages was up to 6.37%, from 6.27% last week.
The big picture: Home buyers are putting off buying a home due to elevated mortgage rates straining how much they can afford.
Even though for-sale inventory has shown signs of rising in recent weeks, demand isn’t picking up, which means that sales activity will not pick up as quickly.
To be sure, the data does not fully capture buyer demand as some are buying homes without mortgages. A third of home buyers paid for their home purchases with cash in February, as real-estate brokerage Redfin notes.
What the MBA said: “Elevated mortgage rates continued to weigh down on home buying,” Joel Kan, vice president and deputy chief economist at the MBA, said in a statement. “Purchase applications were unchanged overall, although [Federal Housing Administration] purchases did pick up slightly over the week.”
-Aarthi Swaminathan
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Source: morningstar.com
Mortgage loans refinancing declined for the week ending March 22, contributing to a drop in home loans applications even as interest rates decelerated, data from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) showed on Wednesday.
The Refinance Index fell 2 percent from the prior week and was 9 percent lower compared to a year ago. Overall, mortgage applications dropped by 0.7 percent at a time when the 30-year fixed rate mortgage ticked down to 6.93 percent from the prior week’s 6.97 percent.
“Mortgage application activity was muted last week despite slightly lower mortgage rates. The 30-year fixed rate edged lower to 6.93 percent, but that was not enough to stimulate borrower demand,” Joel Kan, MBA’s vice president and deputy chief economist, said in a statement shared with Newsweek.
Read more: What is Mortgage Refinancing and How Does It Work?
The drop in refinancing applications comes as the housing market has been in flux nationwide.
Borrowing costs for home loans jumped to their highest since the turn of the century last year, peaking at about 8 percent in the fall. That jump in mortgage rates was sparked by the Federal Reserve hiking rates to their highest in more than two decades as policymakers moved to tighten financial conditions to battle soaring inflation. Expectations that the central bank will start lowering those rates has helped bring mortgage rates down.
Recent data suggests that buyers are still looking for lower borrowing costs. New home sales declined in February, amid high mortgage rates that economists say depressed activity as the housing market enters its busy Spring season.
Kan said on Wednesday that still elevated mortgage rates are still keeping buyers on the sidelines.
“Purchase applications were essentially unchanged, as homebuyers continue to hold out for lower mortgage rates and for more listings to hit the market,” he noted.
Kan suggest limited housing inventory is also proving to be a hindrance to the market.
“Lower rates should help to free up additional inventory as the lock-in effect is reduced, but we expect that will only take place gradually, as we forecast that rates will move toward 6-percent by the end of the year,” he said. “Similarly, with rates remaining elevated, there is very little incentive right now for rate/term refinances.”
Read more: Best Mortgage Lenders
The lock-in effect was particularly acute in the existing homes market. Most homeowners have low mortgage rates which has discouraged them from putting their properties in the market if that means they may have to acquire a new home with borrowing costs closer to 7 percent. About 90 percent of homeowners own mortgages that are under 6 percent, according to real estate platform Redfin.
There have been some signs recently that the existing homes market is recovering after struggling mightily last year.
In February, sales of previously owned homes rose by nearly 10 percent.
Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.
Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.
Source: newsweek.com
Purchase applications remained virtually flat (-0.2%), reflecting continued hesitancy among homebuyers who await further rate decreases and more available listings. Refinance activity also declined 2% from the previous week. Read more: Housing market slowdown hits sellers “Lower rates should help to free up additional inventory as the lock-in effect is reduced, but we expect that … [Read more…]
Mortgage demand remained subdued for the second consecutive week despite slightly lower mortgage rates.
Mortgage applications decreased by 0.7% on a seasonally adjusted basis during the week ending March 22, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly mortgage applications survey.
“Purchase applications were essentially unchanged, as homebuyers continue to hold out for lower mortgage rates and for more listings to hit the market,” Joel Kan, MBA’s vice president and deputy chief economist, said in a statement. “Lower rates should help to free up additional inventory as the lock-in effect is reduced, but we expect that will only take place gradually, as we forecast that rates will move toward 6% by the end of the year. Similarly, with rates remaining elevated, there is very little incentive right now for rate/term refinances.”
Both purchase and refinance activity decreased during the week. Purchase loan application volume dropped by 0.2% from one week earlier. Meanwhile, refinance volume fell by 2% from the prior week.
As of Wednesday, the 30-year fixed rate on HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center stood at 7.16%.
The MBA survey shows that the average mortgage rate for 30-year fixed loans with conforming balances ($766,550 or less) decreased to 6.93%, down from 6.97% last week. Meanwhile, rates on jumbo loans (balances greater than $766,550) remained unchanged week over week at 7.14%.
The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) share of total applications decreased to 12% last week, down from 12.1% the week before. The U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) share fell to 12%, down from 12.1% the week before. And the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) share remained unchanged at 0.5%.
The MBA survey, conducted weekly since 1990, covers more than 75% of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications.
Source: housingwire.com
Mortgage rates surged closer to 7% this week, a blow to hopeful homebuyers this spring.
The rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage increased to 6.87% from 6.74% the week prior, according to Freddie Mac. Rates tilted higher as inflation remained hotter than expected, leading to the Fed putting off any potential rate cuts until summer.
The uptick in rates caused some rate-sensitive homebuyers to retreat from the market, as affordability remains a top concern for the entry-level pool. Those looking to refinance also backed away from their plans as the chances of grabbing a lower rate slipped away.
Still, housing experts remain hopeful about the direction of affordability as more inventory trickles into the market.
“The housing market continues to face elevated mortgage rates, high prices, and low for-sale inventory,” said Hannah Jones, senior economic research analyst at Realtor.com. “As the spring season approaches, many buyers and sellers are getting warmed up to enter the housing market.”
As mortgage rates rebounded, both refinance and purchase activity faltered — a recurring theme this season.
The volume of applications to refinance a home fell 3% for the week ending March 15 and was 3% lower than the same week a year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA).
Demand for refinance had gained surprising momentum in the weeks leading up to March 8, with applications up 12%. The sudden jump in activity was due to a larger 24% increase in the government refinance index, the MBA noted, as homeowners who purchased at top rates last year were closely attuned to any opportunity to snatch a lower rate.
But as rates rebounded this week, that window of opportunity closed.
Read more: Mortgage rates hover around 7% — is this a good time to buy a house?
Purchase applicants also retreated from the market, with the volume of applications to buy a home down 1% for the week and 14% lower than the same week a year ago.
“Most homebuyers are sensitive to interest rates, which is why we see mortgage applications increase when rates fall and decline with rates increase,” said Bright MLS chief economist Dr. Lisa Sturtevant.
“However, not all homebuyers are equally sensitive to interest rates,” she added. “The number of cash buyers has increased. In many markets, these cash buyers are not investors but regular home buyers who have accrued significant equity in an existing home that they can roll over into the purchase of a new home.”
Just getting into a home has become more expensive. Mortgage News Daily, which tracks rates daily, revealed that rates surpassed 7% last week and have remained above that threshold as of March 20.
For first-time homebuyers, in particular, the fluctuation of rates has been a tough blow — especially as inventory of entry-level homes remains scarce and competition for homes within their price point is picking up.
According to the National Association of Realtors, the average price of a previously owned home increased to $384,500 in February, marking the eighth consecutive month of year-over-year price gains. The median price was also 5.7% higher than a year earlier.
“Additional housing supply is helping to satisfy market demand,” said NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun. “Housing demand has been on a steady rise due to population and job growth, though the actual timing of purchases will be determined by prevailing mortgage rates and wider inventory choices.”
Mortgage rates were elevated after data last week showed inflation and payroll numbers came in stronger than expected, which fueled concerns about the timing of the Fed’s plans to issue rate cuts this year.
Federal Reserve officials expect three interest rate cuts this year, which should help ease pressure on overall borrowing costs when they come to pass. However, when those rate cuts will happen remains to be seen.
“There is some uncertainty in the housing market as we head into spring,” said Sturtevant. “The Federal Reserve likely will put off rate cuts until the summer, which suggests that mortgage rates will not come down much in the first half of the year. Buyers and sellers seem to be adjusting to the ‘new normal’ of mortgage rates above 6.5%.”
Still, there’s some hope that buyers will see mortgage rates start to ease sooner rather than later.
“As we enter the spring homebuying season, we still anticipate rates will decrease in the coming months,” said MBA president and CEO Bob Broeksmit.
Gabriella Cruz-Martinez is a personal finance and housing reporter at Yahoo Finance. Follow her on X @__gabriellacruz.
Click here for real estate and housing market news, reports, and analysis to inform your investing decisions.
Source: finance.yahoo.com
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What a difference a month makes: Economists at Fannie Mae no longer expect mortgage rates to fall below 6 percent this year or next and believe that “dual affordability constraints” of high home prices and mortgage rates will also keep 2024 home sales from hitting a previously forecast 5 million mark.
Last month, Fannie Mae’s eight-member forecasting team was projecting that rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages would drop to an average of 5.9 percent by the final three months of the year and that sales of new and existing homes would total 5.0 million.
In their latest monthly housing forecast Tuesday, Fannie Mae’s Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group projected mortgage rates will average 6.4 percent during Q4. While 4.91 million homes are expected to change hands this year, deals will be driven primarily by households that can no longer put off moves due to life events.
“The housing market is likely to continue to face the dual affordability constraints of high home prices and elevated interest rates in 2024,” Fannie Mae Chief Economist Doug Duncan said in a statement. “Hotter-than-expected inflation data and strong payroll numbers are likely to apply more upward pressure to mortgage rates this year than we’d previously forecast, as markets continue to evolve their expectations of future monetary policy.”
Even if mortgage rates stay elevated, sales of new and existing homes are expected to be stronger than last year, although the projected rebound isn’t quite as strong as Fannie Mae had forecast last month.
“We believe an increasing number of transactions will be driven by households who can no longer put off their moves simply due to interest rate lock-in effects because they need to move for life event reasons,” Fannie Mae economists said in commentary accompanying their latest forecast.
Sales of existing homes, which make up the bulk of most real estate agents’ businesses, are now projected to grow by only 3 percent in 2024, to 4.21 million. That’s about 47,000 fewer existing home sales than forecast in February.
Sales of new homes are expected to grow by close to 5 percent this year, to 699,000, which is down 35,000 from last month’s forecast for 734,00 new home sales in 2024.
“While existing sales rose 3.1 percent in January to an annualized pace of 4.0 million, these increases reflected mortgage rates in November and December,” Fannie Mae economists noted. “Pending sales, which lead closings on average by a month or two, fell in January by 4.9 percent, pointing to a likely pullback in February.”
Last month, Fannie Mae forecasters were predicting that rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages would fall to 5.9 percent in Q4 2024 and 5.7 percent in Q4 2025. The latest forecast is that rates will make a more gradual descent to 6.0 percent by Q4 2025.
“Strong headline jobs numbers and hotter-than-expected inflation data … led financial markets to price in a less aggressive rate-cutting path by the Federal Reserve,” Fannie Mae economists said in predicting that mortgage rates have less room to come down than previously thought.
While economists with the Mortgage Bankers Association predicted in February that mortgage rates would drop to 5.5 percent by Q4 2025, their March forecast hadn’t been issued Tuesday.
This year’s rally in mortgage rates kicked off with a surprisingly strong jobs report on Feb. 2, which put to rest speculation that the Federal Reserve might begin lowering the short-term federal funds rate in March.
Purchase mortgage applications fell for five consecutive weeks before mortgage rates began to ease again in early March. But more recent inflation data has been pushing mortgage rates higher again since March 11.
The CME FedWatch Tool, which tracks futures market investors’ expectations of the Fed’s next moves, on Tuesday put the odds that the Fed will approve one or more rate cuts by June 12 at just 59.5 percent, down from 76.2 percent on Feb. 16.
But it’s not just when the Fed starts cutting short-term rates, but how deeply it might cut over the next two or three years that’s of importance to investors who fund most mortgages.
“In our view, whether the Fed begins cutting interest rates in June or later in the year is likely to have only a small impact on the macroeconomy and mortgage rates,” Fannie Mae economists said. “In contrast, we believe the market’s expectations of the cumulative change in the fed funds rate over the next two to three years will likely have a more meaningful impact on mortgage rates.”
Unlike the short-term federal funds rate, the Fed doesn’t have direct control over mortgage rates, which are determined largely by investor demand for mortgage-backed securities (MBS). But having purchased trillions of dollars in MBS and Treasurys to keep interest rates low during the pandemic, the Fed does have influence in MBS markets that determine mortgage rates.
“Quantitative tightening” — the Federal Reserve’s ongoing program to trim $35 billion in mortgages from its balance sheet each month — could keep mortgage rates from falling dramatically this year.
When Fed policymakers meet Wednesday, they’re expected to keep their target for the short-term federal funds rate at 5.25 percent to 5.50 percent. But Fannie Mae economists say bond market investors are expecting some discussion of the quantitative tightening policy, which Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller has said is falling short of expectations.
In a March 1 speech, Waller said he’d like to see the Fed reduce its $2.4 trillion in mortgage holdings to zero. But because few homeowners have an incentive to refinance their existing loans, the Fed has been falling short of its target of reducing its MBS holdings by $35 billion a month.
Rather than actively selling MBS, the Fed has been letting those investments roll off its balance sheet passively, by not replacing assets that mature. But that strategy has only been trimming the Fed’s MBS balance sheet by about $15 billion a month.
To hit the $35 billion a month target, the Fed would have to start selling MBS. Even the threat of such a move might push mortgage rates higher, prompting real estate industry groups to plead with the Fed in October to go on record that it would not sell mortgages the central bank bought during the pandemic.
With home prices expected to stay elevated, purchase mortgage originations are expected to post 12 percent growth this year, to $1.367 trillion, a downgrade of $90 billion from last month’s forecast, followed by 13.5 percent growth in 2025, to $1.551 trillion.
“We have downgraded our outlook for purchase originations due to downgrades to the home sales forecast (which in turn stems from a higher mortgage rate outlook), as well as incoming data indicating a continued higher cash share of purchase transactions occurring,” Fannie Mae economists said.
Refinancings are projected to grow 60 percent this year from last year’s anemic levels, to $397 billion, or $62 billion less than forecast in February. Next year Fannie Mae is forecasting another 58 percent increase in refinancing volume, to $626 billion, as lower rates give more homeowners an incentive to refinance.
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Source: inman.com