It’s no secret that interest rates are high. Though that may be good news for savers, it’s a harsh reality if you’re in the market for a new home. After all, high mortgage rates result in high mortgage payments. And, every quarter of a point of mortgage interest could represent thousands of dollars over the life of the loan.
Today’s high interest rates are the result of the Federal Reserve’s work to temper inflation. But with inflation cooling, many experts predict that lower interest rates are on the horizon — a beacon of hope for homebuyers.
But when will mortgage rates start to fall? Will they drop below 5% in 2024? And is it even worth waiting for lower rates to buy a home? Here’s what you need to know.
Don’t wait. Learn more about your mortgage options today.
Will mortgage rates drop to 5% in 2024?
Current 30-year mortgage rates are averaging well over 7%. If it seems like it wasn’t long ago that rates were hovering below 3%, that’s because it wasn’t. Although sub-3% mortgage rates are likely a long way off, what are the chances that rates will fall to 5% in 2024?
Rates are currently high because the Federal Reserve has used increases in the federal funds rate target to combat inflation. That target sets the foundation for interest rates on loans.
The good news is that inflation is cooling, and many experts expect interest rates to move in a downward direction in 2024. Then again, a two-point drop would be significant, and even if rates fall, they’re not likely to get down to 5% within the next year.
After all, the Federal Reserve typically moves slowly when it comes to monetary policy changes. The central bank doesn’t want to shock the market by making moves too quickly.
Why you shouldn’t wait for 5% mortgage rates to buy a home
“Regardless of what the Fed does with respect to rates, I would never advise prospective homebuyers to try to time the market or trajectory of mortgage rates,” says Bob Driscoll, SVP and director of residential lending at Rockland Trust Bank. “Instead, they should focus on the factors they can control, such as the timing that works best for them in their unique financial and life circumstances and the values they are seeking in a home. Assessing these factors will result in a much higher pay-off emotionally for homebuyers in 2024.”
Here are a few other reasons why waiting for mortgage rates to drop could be a mistake:
Find out how affordable a mortgage loan can be now.
You could be waiting for quite a while
As noted, the Federal Reserve typically moves slowly when they make monetary policy changes. As a result, if rates do fall to 5%, it will likely take at least a couple of years to happen, barring some drastic, unexpected economic changes.
Ultimately, chances are you won’t be able to wait too long when it’s time to shop for a new home. You may need to move for a new job or because your lease is ending, or any number of other factors that might come into play. The simple fact is that you may not be able to wait the years it could take for mortgage rates to fall back to, or below, 5%.
Competition may get tougher
The housing market is a competitive one, but it’s not nearly as competitive as it was when interest rates were lower. After all, as interest rates rise, potential buyers leave the market. That means when interest rates fall, more buyers will likely enter the market.
When more buyers enter the market, it will be harder for you to make your offer stand out among the competition. Moreover, the law of supply and demand dictates that prices must rise alongside demand unless growth in supply keeps up — which isn’t likely in the housing market. So, if you wait too long, competition could drive prices higher.
You’re not building equity as you wait
If you don’t own your home, you’re probably renting. After all, you need to live somewhere. But there’s an inherent problem with renting. When you rent your home, you make monthly rent payments, but you don’t build a single dime in equity. As soon as the month is over, the value of your rent payment, at least to you, is spent.
Even if you purchase a home while mortgage interest rates are high, you’ll be building equity in your home with each mortgage payment. That’s equity you can fall back on in the future if times get tough.
Get on track to building equity by finding the right mortgage loan now.
The bottom line
Mortgage rates aren’t likely to fall to 5% any time soon, and waiting for them to do so could be a big mistake. Instead, consider buying a home now and taking advantage of a market with less competition. Then, when interest rates fall to a level you’re comfortable with for the long term, refinance your mortgage to take advantage of lower rates.
Joshua Rodriguez
Joshua Rodriguez is a personal finance and investing writer with a passion for his craft. When he’s not working, he enjoys time with his wife, two kids, three dogs and 10 ducks.
Our experts answer readers’ home-buying questions and write unbiased product reviews (here’s how we assess mortgages). In some cases, we receive a commission from our partners; however, our opinions are our own.
Mortgage rates are set to go down in 2024, but when and how much largely depends on inflation and when the Federal Reserve starts cutting the federal funds rate.
Last week, 30-year mortgage rates averaged 6.26%, though they inched up a big higher toward the end of the week. Many experts believe we could see rates end up near 6% or lower by the end of the year.
But hotter-than-expected economic data could shift that timeline. On Thursday, we’ll see the Consumer Price Index data for December. Inflation has slowed significantly since it peaked in 2022, but it’s still a bit above the Fed’s target rate.
The Fed has indicated it may be ready to cut rates this year, and markets have priced in a possible 25-point cut at the Fed’s meeting in March, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. But stubborn inflation could mean we’ll have to wait until later in the year for the Fed to cut rates, which would likely mean a longer wait for lower mortgage rates as well.
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Mortgage Calculator
Use our free mortgage calculator to see how today’s mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments.
Mortgage Calculator
$1,161 Your estimated monthly payment
Total paid$418,177
Principal paid$275,520
Interest paid$42,657
Paying a 25% higher down payment would save you $8,916.08 on interest charges
Lowering the interest rate by 1% would save you $51,562.03
Paying an additional $500 each month would reduce the loan length by 146 months
By plugging in different term lengths and interest rates, you’ll see how your monthly payment could change.
30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.62% last week, according to Freddie Mac. This is a single basis point increase from the week before.
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is the most common type of home loan. With this type of mortgage, you’ll pay back what you borrowed over 30 years, and your interest rate won’t change for the life of the loan.
The lengthy 30-year term allows you to spread out your payments over a long period of time, meaning you can keep your monthly payments lower and more manageable. The trade-off is that you’ll have a higher rate than you would with shorter terms or adjustable rates.
15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
Average 15-year mortgage rates were 5.89% last week, according to Freddie Mac data, which is a four-basis-point drop from the previous week.
If you want the predictability that comes with a fixed rate but are looking to spend less on interest over the life of your loan, a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage might be a good fit for you. Because these terms are shorter and have lower rates than 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, you could potentially save tens of thousands of dollars in interest. However, you’ll have a higher monthly payment than you would with a longer term.
Are Mortgage Rates Going Up?
Mortgage rates increased throughout most of 2023. But mortgage rates are expected to trend down in the coming months and years.
In the last 12 months, the Consumer Price Index rose by 3.1%. As inflation comes down and the Federal Reserve is able to start cutting the federal funds rate, mortgage rates should fall further as well.
For homeowners looking to leverage their home’s value to cover a big purchase — such as a home renovation — a home equity line of credit (HELOC) may be a good option while we wait for mortgage rates to ease. Check out some of our best HELOC lenders to start your search for the right loan for you.
A HELOC is a line of credit that lets you borrow against the equity in your home. It works similarly to a credit card in that you borrow what you need rather than getting the full amount you’re borrowing in a lump sum. It also lets you tap into the money you have in your home without replacing your entire mortgage, like you’d do with a cash-out refinance.
Current HELOC rates are relatively low compared to other loan options, including credit cards and personal loans.
How Do Fed Rate Hikes Affect Mortgages?
The Fed aggressively raised the federal funds rate in 2022 and 2023 to slow economic growth and get inflation under control. As a result, mortgage rates spiked.
Mortgage rates aren’t directly impacted by changes to the federal funds rate, but they often trend up or down ahead of Fed policy moves. This is because mortgage rates change based on investor demand for mortgage-backed securities, and this demand is often impacted by how investors expect Fed hikes to affect the broader economy.
Now that the Fed has paused hiking rates, mortgage rates have come down a bit. Once the Fed starts cutting rates, which is likely to happen this year, mortgage rates should fall even further.
The information provided on this website does not, and is not intended to, act as legal, financial or credit advice. See Lexington Law’s editorial disclosure for more information.
A credit limit is the maximum amount of money a person can currently borrow from a financial institution.
Credit cards and lines of credit let us borrow funds from banks, credit unions and various companies. Credit limits determine just how much money we can borrow without incurring penalties like overdraft fees. Americans tend to gradually increase their credit limits as they age; Experian® reported that the average credit card limit for Generation Z in 2022 was $11,290, while the average credit limit for Baby Boomers was $40,318 that same year.
“What is a credit limit?” may be such a common question because multiple factors can influence a person’s limit. We’ll explore this question and discuss how to increase your credit limit.
Key takeaways:
Financial institutions largely set credit limits based on a borrower’s credit history.
Credit utilization is based on your credit limit and your available credit.
Regularly practicing good credit habits can increase your limit
Table of contents:
How are credit card limits determined?
Your credit limit is determined by the institution you borrow money from, whether they’re a bank, a credit union or a government agency. Credit limits take several factors into account, including your income and credit score. People with higher credit scores and income are normally approved for higher credit limits because lenders view them as financially responsible people.
Annual revenue
When a borrower applies for credit or asks for a credit limit increase, lenders look at annual revenue. From their perspective, a borrower with more income is more likely to make their payments on time—and vice versa.
Credit score
Credit scores help us qualify for auto loans, mortgage interest rates and credit cards—plus the limits we’ll receive when approved. If you have good credit, then you’ll likely be eligible for high-limit credit cards from the get-go.
Debt-to-income ratio
Lenders can use your debt-to-income ratio to set your credit limit by weighing your monthly debt payments against your total income. A low debt-to-income ratio can prompt lenders to offer higher credit limits since your spending habits show you regularly make responsible financial choices.
Employment status
Your employment status can also affect your credit limit largely due to timing. If you apply for a credit card or ask for a limit increase while you’re seeking a job, you’ll most likely receive a lower limit than you would as a full-time employee.
Credit limit vs. available credit
A person’s credit limit and their available credit are heavily tied together, which can cause people to confuse these two terms. To clarify, your available credit refers to the amount of money you can still borrow after calculating your debt. On the other hand, your credit limit refers to the total amount of money that your lender lets you borrow.
For example, if you have a $10,000 credit limit and spend $5,000, you’ll still have another $5,000 in available credit that you can access during this billing cycle. Your credit utilization ratio is calculated by weighing your available credit against your total credit limit. In this case, your credit utilization would be 50 percent.
How does your credit limit affect your credit score?
Whenever you ask a lender to increase your credit limit, they’ll perform a hard inquiry to review your credit history and help inform their decision. Inquiries briefly cause your score to dip, which is why conventional wisdom recommends not attempting to increase your credit limit right before applying for something vital—like a home or a new car.
Credit limits can also affect your score if you consistently have a high utilization ratio. Credit cards with high limits typically help borrowers maintain lower utilization ratios, which is beneficial for credit health.
What happens if you go over your credit limit?
Exceeding your credit limit can have negative consequences, especially if you do so repeatedly. Some of the drawbacks you might encounter include:
Account review: A lender may review your longtime credit habits, which could potentially lead to a credit limit reduction.
Credit score changes: Credit utilization makes up 30 percent of your FICO® credit score. Repeatedly going over your credit limit could significantly hurt your credit.
Increased interest rates: Depending on your lender’s policies, they may issue a penalty APR on the offending account, which can be much higher than your standard rate.
Overdraft fees: Most lenders will charge a $35 overdraft (or over-the-limit fee) after a specified time period if you don’t pay off your balance.
How to increase your credit limit
If you consistently make your monthly payments on time and keep your utilization low, the credit card issuer may approve your request to increase your limit. But remember to allow six to 12 months before asking. Your issuer probably won’t raise your limit after just one or two months of opening the account or if you’ve been making late payments.
Some credit card issuers will actively increase your limit after they review your account history. Sometimes, they’ll ask you to update your income. If you’ve earned a raise recently, you can provide that information, and the lender may increase your limit. When an issuer reviews your account like this, it does not cause a hard inquiry because you didn’t ask for them to review the account.
Work on your credit with Lexington Law Firm
Credit cards are fantastic resources that can positively impact your life when used responsibly. Even if you get approved for a high credit limit, it’s best to monitor your spending and borrowing habits. Lexington Law Firm offers great services like credit education tools and credit report analysis that may help you with your credit.
Note: Articles have only been reviewed by the indicated attorney, not written by them. The information provided on this website does not, and is not intended to, act as legal, financial or credit advice; instead, it is for general informational purposes only. Use of, and access to, this website or any of the links or resources contained within the site do not create an attorney-client or fiduciary relationship between the reader, user, or browser and website owner, authors, reviewers, contributors, contributing firms, or their respective agents or employers.
Reviewed By
Brittany Sifontes
Attorney
Prior to joining Lexington, Brittany practiced a mix of criminal law and family law.
Brittany began her legal career at the Maricopa County Public Defender’s Office, and then moved into private practice. Brittany represented clients with charges ranging from drug sales, to sexual related offenses, to homicides. Brittany appeared in several hundred criminal court hearings, including felony and misdemeanor trials, evidentiary hearings, and pretrial hearings. In addition to criminal cases, Brittany also represented persons and families in a variety of family court matters including dissolution of marriage, legal separation, child support, paternity, parenting time, legal decision-making (formerly “custody”), spousal maintenance, modifications and enforcement of existing orders, relocation, and orders of protection. As a result, Brittany has extensive courtroom experience. Brittany attended the University of Colorado at Boulder for her undergraduate degree and attended Arizona Summit Law School for her law degree. At Arizona Summit Law school, Brittany graduated Summa Cum Laude and ranked 11th in her graduating class.
Stephanie Horan is a lead data analyst for the MarketWatch Guides Team, specializing in home buying and personal finance. Beginning her career in asset management and transitioning to data journalism, Stephanie is a Certified Educator of Personal Finance (CEPF®). She is passionate about translating data to provide digestible insights for a broad audience. Her studies have been featured in CNBC, Bloomberg and the New York Times, among many others.
Edited By:
Andrew Dunn
Andrew Dunn is a veteran journalist with more than a decade of experience in the business and finance arena. Before joining our team, Andrew was a reporter and editor at North Carolina news organizations including The Charlotte Observer and the StarNews in Wilmington. In those roles, his work was cited numerous times by the North Carolina Press Association and the Society of Business Editors and Writers. Andrew completed the business journalism certificate program from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Editor’s Note: Parts of this story were auto-populated using data from Curinos, a mortgage research firm that collects data from more than 250 lenders. For more details on how we compile daily mortgage data, check out our methodology here.
Mortgage rates rose slightly in the first week of 2024, with the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increasing by 0.10 percentage points, according to data from Curinos analyzed by MarketWatch Guides.
This slight increase took place in the midst of mixed economic signals. The Labor Department reported that employers added 216,000 jobs in December, exceeding economists’ expectations, while the stock market had a rocky start to the beginning of the year. Through last Friday, the S&P is down roughly 1% year-to-date.
Economists with the Mortgage Bankers Association are still confident that rates will fall over the coming months. The next Federal Reserve meeting is scheduled for the end of January, and though rates may be held steady at that meeting, the board previously indicated that they expect three rate cuts throughout the year.
Here are today’s average mortgage rates:
30-year fixed mortgage rate: 7.12%
15-year fixed mortgage rate: 6.41%
5/6 ARM mortgage rate: 6.87%
Jumbo mortgage rate: 7.01%
Current Mortgage Rates
Product
Rate
Last Week
Change
30-Year Fixed Rate
7.12%
7.18%
-0.06
15-Year Fixed Rate
6.41%
6.40%
+0.01
5/6 ARM
6.87%
7.00%
-0.13
7/6 ARM
7.04%
7.15%
-0.11
10/6 ARM
7.15%
7.25%
-0.10
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo
7.01%
7.07%
-0.06
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA
6.78%
6.87%
-0.09
30-Year Fixed Rate VA
6.78%
6.86%
-0.08
Disclaimer: The rates above are based on data from Curinos, LLC. All rate data is accurate as of Friday, January 12, 2024. Actual rates may vary.
>> View historical mortgage rate trends
Mortgage Rates for Home Purchase
30-year fixed-rate mortgages are down, -0.06
The average 30-year fixed-mortgage rate is 7.12%. Since the same time last week, the rate is down, changing -0.06 percentage points.
At the current average rate, you’ll pay $673.38 per month in principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow. You’re paying less compared to last week when the average rate was 7.18%.
15-year fixed-rate mortgages are up, +0.01
The average rate you’ll pay for a 15-year fixed-mortgage is 6.41%, an increase of+0.01 percentage points compared to last week.
Monthly payments on a 15-year fixed-mortgage at a rate of 6.41% will cost approximately $866.17 per $100,000 borrowed. With the rate of 6.40% last week, you would’ve paid $865.62 per month.
5/6 adjustable-rate mortgages are down,-0.13
The average rate on a 5/6 adjustable rate mortgage is 6.87%, a decrease of-0.13 percentage points over the last seven days.
Adjustable-rate mortgages, commonly referred to as ARMs, are mortgages with a fixed interest rate for a set period of time followed by a rate that adjusts on a regular basis. With a 5/6 ARM, the rate is fixed for the first 5 years and then adjusts every six months over the next 25 years.
Monthly payments on a 5/6 ARM at a rate of 6.87% will cost approximately $656.59 per $100,000 borrowed over the first 5 years of the loan.
Jumbo loan interest rates are down, -0.06
The average jumbo mortgage rate today is 7.01%, a decrease of-0.06 percentage points over the past week.
Jumbo loans are mortgages that exceed loan limits set by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) and funding criteria of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. This generally means that the amount of money borrowed is higher than $726,200.
Product
Monthly P&I per $100,000
Last Week
Change
30-Year Fixed Rate
$673.38
$677.43
-$4.05
15-Year Fixed Rate
$866.17
$865.62
+$0.55
5/6 ARM
$656.59
$665.30
-$8.71
7/6 ARM
$667.99
$675.41
-$7.42
10/6 ARM
$675.41
$682.18
-$6.77
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo
$665.97
$670.01
-$4.04
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA
$650.59
$656.59
-$6.00
30-Year Fixed Rate VA
$650.59
$655.93
-$5.34
Note: Monthly payments on adjustable-rate mortgages are shown for the first five, seven and 10 years of the loan, respectively.
Factors That Affect Your Mortgage Rate
Mortgage rates change frequently based on the economic environment. Inflation, the federal funds rate, housing market conditions and other factors all play into how rates move from week-to-week and month-to-month.
But outside of macroeconomic trends, several other factors specific to the borrower will affect the mortgage interest rate. They include:
Financial situation: Mortgage lenders use past financial decisions of borrowers as a way to evaluate the risk of loaning money.
Loan amount and structure: The amount of money that bank or mortgage lender loans and its structure (including both the term and whether its a fixed-rate or adjustable-rate).
Location: Mortgage rates vary by where you are buying a home. Areas with more lenders, and thus more competition, may have lower rates. Foreclosure laws can also impact a lender’s risk, affecting rates.
Whether borrowers are first-time homebuyers: Oftentimes first-time homebuyer programs will offer new homeowners lower rates.
Lenders: Banks, credit unions and online lenders all may offer slightly different rates depending on their internal determination.
How To Shop for the Best Mortgage Rate
Comparison shopping for a mortgage can be overwhelming, but it’s shown to be worth the effort. Homeowners may be able to save between $600 and $1,200 annually by shopping around for the best rate, researchers found in a recent study by Freddie Mac. That’s why we put together steps on how to shop for the best mortgage rate.
1. Check credit scores and credit reports
A borrower’s credit situation will likely determine the type of mortgage they can pursue, as well as their rate. Conventional loans are typically only offered to borrowers with a credit score of 620 or higher, while FHA loans may be the best option for borrowers with a FICO score between 500 and 619. Additionally, individuals with higher credit scores are more likely to be offered a lower mortgage interest rate.
Mortgage lenders often review scores from the three major credit bureaus: Equifax, Experian and TransUnion. By viewing your scores ahead of lenders considering you for a loan, you can check for errors and even work to improve your score by paying down balances and limiting new credit cards and loans.
2. Know the options
There are four standard mortgage programs: conventional, FHA, VA and USDA. To get the best mortgage rate and increase your odds of approval, it’s important for potential borrowers to do their research and apply for the mortgage program that best fits their financial situation.
The table below describes each program, highlighting minimum credit score and down payment requirements.
Though conventional mortgages are most common, borrowers will also need to consider their repayment plan and term. Rates can be either fixed or adjustable and terms can range from 10 to 30 years, though most homeowners opt for a 15- or 30-year mortgage.
3. Compare quotes across multiple lenders
Shopping around for a mortgage goes beyond comparing rates online. We recommend reaching out to lenders directly to see the “real” rate as figures listed online may not be representative of a borrower’s particular situation. While most experts recommend getting quotes from three to five lenders, there is no limit on the number of mortgage companies you can apply with. In many cases, lenders will allow borrowers to prequalify for a mortgage and receive a tentative loan offer with no impact to their credit score.
After gathering your loan documents – including proof of income, assets and credit – borrowers may also apply for pre-approval. Pre-approval will let them know where they stand with lenders and may also improve negotiating power with home sellers.
4. Review loan estimates
To fully understand which lender is offering the cheapest loan overall, take a look at the loan estimate provided by each lender. A loan estimate will list not only the mortgage rate, but also a borrower’s annual percentage rate (APR), which includes the interest rate and other lender fees such as closing costs and discount points.
By comparing loan estimates across lenders, borrowers can see the full breakdown of their possible costs. One lender may offer lower interest rates, but higher fees and vice versa. Looking at the loan’s APR can give you a good apples-to-apples comparison between lenders that takes into account both rates and fees.
5. Consider negotiating with lenders on rates
Mortgage lenders want to do business. This means that borrowers may use competing offers as leverage to adjust fees and interest rates. Many lenders may not lower their offered rate by much, but even a few basis points may save borrowers more than they might think in the long run. For instance, the difference between 6.8% and 7.0% on a 30-year, fixed-rate $100,000 mortgage is roughly $5,000 over the life of the loan.
Expert Forecasts for Mortgage Rates
With mortgage interest rates climbing steadily throughout the first half of 2023 and exceeding 7%, prospective homeowners may be wondering: Will there be any relief going forward? Some experts are optimistic.
Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) project that rates will fall going into 2024 and throughout next year. In fact, the MBA predicts that rates will end 2024 at 6.1%.
More Mortgage Resources
Methodology
Every weekday, MarketWatch Guides provides readers with the latest rates on 11 different types of mortgages. Data for these daily averages comes from Curinos, LLC, a leading provider of mortgage research that collects data from more than 250 lenders. For more details on how we compile daily mortgage data, check out our comprehensive methodology here.
Editor’s Note: Before making significant financial decisions, consider reviewing your options with someone you trust, such as a financial adviser, credit counselor or financial professional, since every person’s situation and needs are different.
Stephanie Horan is a lead data analyst for the MarketWatch Guides Team, specializing in home buying and personal finance. Beginning her career in asset management and transitioning to data journalism, Stephanie is a Certified Educator of Personal Finance (CEPF®). She is passionate about translating data to provide digestible insights for a broad audience. Her studies have been featured in CNBC, Bloomberg and the New York Times, among many others.
Edited By:
Andrew Dunn
Andrew Dunn is a veteran journalist with more than a decade of experience in the business and finance arena. Before joining our team, Andrew was a reporter and editor at North Carolina news organizations including The Charlotte Observer and the StarNews in Wilmington. In those roles, his work was cited numerous times by the North Carolina Press Association and the Society of Business Editors and Writers. Andrew completed the business journalism certificate program from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Editor’s Note: Parts of this story were auto-populated using data from Curinos, a mortgage research firm that collects data from more than 250 lenders. For more details on how we compile daily mortgage data, check out our methodology here.
Mortgage rates rose slightly in the first week of 2024, with the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increasing by 0.10 percentage points, according to data from Curinos analyzed by MarketWatch Guides.
This slight increase took place in the midst of mixed economic signals. The Labor Department reported that employers added 216,000 jobs in December, exceeding economists’ expectations, while the stock market had a rocky start to the beginning of the year. Through last Friday, the S&P is down roughly 1% year-to-date.
Economists with the Mortgage Bankers Association are still confident that rates will fall over the coming months. The next Federal Reserve meeting is scheduled for the end of January, and though rates may be held steady at that meeting, the board previously indicated that they expect three rate cuts throughout the year.
Here are today’s average mortgage rates:
30-year fixed mortgage rate: 7.18%
15-year fixed mortgage rate: 6.41%
5/6 ARM mortgage rate: 6.90%
Jumbo mortgage rate: 7.03%
Current Mortgage Rates
Product
Rate
Last Week
Change
30-Year Fixed Rate
7.18%
7.19%
-0.01
15-Year Fixed Rate
6.41%
6.38%
+0.03
5/6 ARM
6.90%
6.94%
-0.04
7/6 ARM
7.11%
7.11%
0.00
10/6 ARM
7.19%
7.19%
0.00
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo
7.03%
7.08%
-0.05
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA
6.84%
6.90%
-0.06
30-Year Fixed Rate VA
6.85%
6.87%
-0.02
Disclaimer: The rates above are based on data from Curinos, LLC. All rate data is accurate as of Wednesday, January 10, 2024. Actual rates may vary.
>> View historical mortgage rate trends
Mortgage Rates for Home Purchase
30-year fixed-rate mortgages are down, -0.01
The average 30-year fixed-mortgage rate is 7.18%. Since the same time last week, the rate is down, changing -0.01 percentage points.
At the current average rate, you’ll pay $677.43 per month in principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow. You’re paying less compared to last week when the average rate was 7.19%.
15-year fixed-rate mortgages are up, +0.03
The average rate you’ll pay for a 15-year fixed-mortgage is 6.41%, an increase of+0.03 percentage points compared to last week.
Monthly payments on a 15-year fixed-mortgage at a rate of 6.41% will cost approximately $866.17 per $100,000 borrowed. With the rate of 6.38% last week, you would’ve paid $864.52 per month.
5/6 adjustable-rate mortgages are down,-0.04
The average rate on a 5/6 adjustable rate mortgage is 6.90%, a decrease of-0.04 percentage points over the last seven days.
Adjustable-rate mortgages, commonly referred to as ARMs, are mortgages with a fixed interest rate for a set period of time followed by a rate that adjusts on a regular basis. With a 5/6 ARM, the rate is fixed for the first 5 years and then adjusts every six months over the next 25 years.
Monthly payments on a 5/6 ARM at a rate of 6.90% will cost approximately $658.60 per $100,000 borrowed over the first 5 years of the loan.
Jumbo loan interest rates are down, -0.05
The average jumbo mortgage rate today is 7.03%, a decrease of-0.05 percentage points over the past week.
Jumbo loans are mortgages that exceed loan limits set by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) and funding criteria of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. This generally means that the amount of money borrowed is higher than $726,200.
Product
Monthly P&I per $100,000
Last Week
Change
30-Year Fixed Rate
$677.43
$678.11
-$0.68
15-Year Fixed Rate
$866.17
$864.52
+$1.65
5/6 ARM
$658.60
$661.28
-$2.68
7/6 ARM
$672.71
$672.71
$0.00
10/6 ARM
$678.11
$678.11
$0.00
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo
$667.32
$670.68
-$3.36
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA
$654.59
$658.60
-$4.01
30-Year Fixed Rate VA
$655.26
$656.59
-$1.33
Note: Monthly payments on adjustable-rate mortgages are shown for the first five, seven and 10 years of the loan, respectively.
Factors That Affect Your Mortgage Rate
Mortgage rates change frequently based on the economic environment. Inflation, the federal funds rate, housing market conditions and other factors all play into how rates move from week-to-week and month-to-month.
But outside of macroeconomic trends, several other factors specific to the borrower will affect the mortgage interest rate. They include:
Financial situation: Mortgage lenders use past financial decisions of borrowers as a way to evaluate the risk of loaning money.
Loan amount and structure: The amount of money that bank or mortgage lender loans and its structure (including both the term and whether its a fixed-rate or adjustable-rate).
Location: Mortgage rates vary by where you are buying a home. Areas with more lenders, and thus more competition, may have lower rates. Foreclosure laws can also impact a lender’s risk, affecting rates.
Whether borrowers are first-time homebuyers: Oftentimes first-time homebuyer programs will offer new homeowners lower rates.
Lenders: Banks, credit unions and online lenders all may offer slightly different rates depending on their internal determination.
How To Shop for the Best Mortgage Rate
Comparison shopping for a mortgage can be overwhelming, but it’s shown to be worth the effort. Homeowners may be able to save between $600 and $1,200 annually by shopping around for the best rate, researchers found in a recent study by Freddie Mac. That’s why we put together steps on how to shop for the best mortgage rate.
1. Check credit scores and credit reports
A borrower’s credit situation will likely determine the type of mortgage they can pursue, as well as their rate. Conventional loans are typically only offered to borrowers with a credit score of 620 or higher, while FHA loans may be the best option for borrowers with a FICO score between 500 and 619. Additionally, individuals with higher credit scores are more likely to be offered a lower mortgage interest rate.
Mortgage lenders often review scores from the three major credit bureaus: Equifax, Experian and TransUnion. By viewing your scores ahead of lenders considering you for a loan, you can check for errors and even work to improve your score by paying down balances and limiting new credit cards and loans.
2. Know the options
There are four standard mortgage programs: conventional, FHA, VA and USDA. To get the best mortgage rate and increase your odds of approval, it’s important for potential borrowers to do their research and apply for the mortgage program that best fits their financial situation.
The table below describes each program, highlighting minimum credit score and down payment requirements.
Though conventional mortgages are most common, borrowers will also need to consider their repayment plan and term. Rates can be either fixed or adjustable and terms can range from 10 to 30 years, though most homeowners opt for a 15- or 30-year mortgage.
3. Compare quotes across multiple lenders
Shopping around for a mortgage goes beyond comparing rates online. We recommend reaching out to lenders directly to see the “real” rate as figures listed online may not be representative of a borrower’s particular situation. While most experts recommend getting quotes from three to five lenders, there is no limit on the number of mortgage companies you can apply with. In many cases, lenders will allow borrowers to prequalify for a mortgage and receive a tentative loan offer with no impact to their credit score.
After gathering your loan documents – including proof of income, assets and credit – borrowers may also apply for pre-approval. Pre-approval will let them know where they stand with lenders and may also improve negotiating power with home sellers.
4. Review loan estimates
To fully understand which lender is offering the cheapest loan overall, take a look at the loan estimate provided by each lender. A loan estimate will list not only the mortgage rate, but also a borrower’s annual percentage rate (APR), which includes the interest rate and other lender fees such as closing costs and discount points.
By comparing loan estimates across lenders, borrowers can see the full breakdown of their possible costs. One lender may offer lower interest rates, but higher fees and vice versa. Looking at the loan’s APR can give you a good apples-to-apples comparison between lenders that takes into account both rates and fees.
5. Consider negotiating with lenders on rates
Mortgage lenders want to do business. This means that borrowers may use competing offers as leverage to adjust fees and interest rates. Many lenders may not lower their offered rate by much, but even a few basis points may save borrowers more than they might think in the long run. For instance, the difference between 6.8% and 7.0% on a 30-year, fixed-rate $100,000 mortgage is roughly $5,000 over the life of the loan.
Expert Forecasts for Mortgage Rates
With mortgage interest rates climbing steadily throughout the first half of 2023 and exceeding 7%, prospective homeowners may be wondering: Will there be any relief going forward? Some experts are optimistic.
Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) project that rates will fall going into 2024 and throughout next year. In fact, the MBA predicts that rates will end 2024 at 6.1%.
More Mortgage Resources
Methodology
Every weekday, MarketWatch Guides provides readers with the latest rates on 11 different types of mortgages. Data for these daily averages comes from Curinos, LLC, a leading provider of mortgage research that collects data from more than 250 lenders. For more details on how we compile daily mortgage data, check out our comprehensive methodology here.
Editor’s Note: Before making significant financial decisions, consider reviewing your options with someone you trust, such as a financial adviser, credit counselor or financial professional, since every person’s situation and needs are different.
In 2023, mortgage rates were up year over year—a trend that continued from 2021. Rising rates from 2021 through 2023 were due to rate hikes introduced by the Federal Reserve as part of economic strategies to try to combat inflation.
Since current mortgage rates can be a huge factor in your ability to get a mortgage and the total cost of owning a home over time, prospective home buyers should educate themselves on this topic. Learn more about mortgage rates, how rates impact your home loan, and how to improve your chances of getting a good rate below.
What Is a Mortgage Rate?
Your mortgage rate is a reflection of the amount of interest you agree to pay a lender on your home loan. There are many mortgage rate structures, including fixed and variable rates. It’s critical to learn more about rate types and discuss the fine print with your mortgage broker or lender so you understand exactly how much your loan might cost.
To demonstrate how mortgage rates work to impact the total cost of your home, consider some hypothetical situations below.
For a fixed-rate, 30-year loan on a $300,000 home with a down payment of $60,000:
Interest Rate
Monthly Payment
Total Loan Cost
5%
$1,552
$463,990
6%
$1,702
$518,605
7%
$1,806
$585,446
8%
$2,025
$635,012
Note that this hypothetical situation takes into account property tax and homeowner’s insurance, which is typically added into the monthly payment. It’s also calculated based on a randomly selected zip code in Virginia. Your location and other factors can change how your monthly payment is calculated.
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Will Mortgage Rates Go Up or Down in 2024?
Mortgage rates rise and fall with the market, changes made by the Federal Reserve and other factors. Here’s a look at some mortgage rate trends to help you understand how the figures have changed historically:
Date for rate reported by Freddie Mac
U.S. 30-year fixed rate
U.S. 15-year fixed rate
U.S. 5/1 adjusted rate
1/10/13
3.40
2.66
2.67
1/9/14
4.51
3.56
3.15
1/8/15
3.73
3.05
2.98
1/7/16
3.97
3.26
3.09
1/12/17
4.12
3.37
3.23
1/11/18
3.99
3.44
3.46
1/10/19
4.45
3.89
3.83
1/9/20
3.64
3.07
3.30
1/7/21
2.65
2.16
2.75
1/13/22
3.45
2.62
2.57
1/12/23
6.33
5.52
not included on report
By mid-2023, rates for a U.S. 30-year fixed rate mortgage averaged over 7%. Most economic experts indicate that rates are expected to go down, at least slightly, through 2024. That’s according to predictions from organizations such as Fannie Mae and the National Association of Realtors.
How Can You Find Out About Current Mortgage Rates?
As you can see, the current mortgage rates at the time this article was written are unlikely to be relevant when you’re ready to get a home loan. You may want to research mortgage rates before you buy a home to understand the market, and you can find current rates by searching for them online. Sources such as Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae are reliable, and major news outlets tend to provide ongoing reporting on interest rates as well.
How to Improve Your Chances of Getting a Good Mortgage Rate
Of course, average mortgage interest rates at any given time only provide a baseline from which you can start your financial research. You may end up paying a rate that’s more or less than the average depending on factors such as your creditworthiness and the type of mortgage loan you decide to go with. Here are some tips for improving your chances of getting a good rate.
Improve Your Credit
No matter what the average is, the best mortgage rates tend to be reserved for those with excellent credit. Before you begin the hunt for a new home, order your free credit reports and get a look at your credit score. This reduces the chance of being surprised during the mortgage application process.
Once you have your credit reports, go through them and look for any potential errors. If you see anything that could impact your credit health negatively, such as a misreported balance or a late payment you actually made on time, you can dispute the information. The credit bureaus must investigate disputes, and if the information turns out to be incorrect, they must make edits to your report. That can help improve your credit.
Save for a Bigger Down Payment
When you make a bigger down payment, you reduce how much of the home price a lender has to fund. That creates a lower loan amount, which might help you get a lower rate. In part, this is because the lender has less risk. If you don’t pay the loan as agreed and the lender forecloses on your home, it’s more likely to be able to sell the house and cover its losses.
Choose the Right Mortgage Type
As you can see from the historical rate information in the table above, interest rates are different, given different types of loans and terms. Rates are typically lower on 15-year fixed rate mortgages, for example. However, paying your entire mortgage back over 15 years rather than 30 does mean you’ll pay a much larger monthly payment, so make sure you consider all the financial factors before you make a decision.
Buy Down Your Rate
You may be able to buy down your mortgage rate by paying for discounts up front. This can temporarily or permanently reduce the amount of interest you pay, which could reduce the total cost of your home.
Start Your Mortgage Rate Research Now
Take time to compare your options before you apply for a mortgage loan. You may also want to do the work to get preapproved before you start house shopping, as preapproved buyers tend to be more attractive to sellers during the bidding process.
Personal loan amounts range from $2,000 to $100,000, which may not be enough to buy a regular home but could work if you need a small mortgage for a tiny or mobile home.
Personal loan interest isn’t tax deductible like a mortgage.
You can typically receive faster funding with a personal loan than a mortgage.
With median home sale prices approaching $400,000 at the end of 2023, a personal loan typically won’t give you the borrowing power you need to buy a home compared to a regular mortgage, However, if you’re in the market for a tiny home or a manufactured home, a personal loan may be a great financing choice. If not, a personal loan can help you tidy up your finances so you can qualify for a mortgage to buy your dream home.
Can you use a personal loan to buy a house?
Yes, if you can find a home at a price within standard personal loan amount limits (typically between $2,000 and $100,000) and can afford the payment timeline. That’s probably not enough to buy a regular home, but it may be perfect if you need a small mortgage for a tiny home or a mobile home.
Using a personal loan to buy a tiny home
Personal loans may be the right financing fit to buy tiny homes with prices averaging between $30,000 and $70,000. Mortgage lenders often shy away from loans below $100,000 because they aren’t profitable. In other cases, tiny homes don’t fit minimum property requirements. For example, tiny homes are typically less than 400 square feet, which is less than the Federal Housing Administration’s minimum.
Personal loans are typically unsecured, which means you won’t risk losing your home if you can’t make the payments. One disadvantage of a loan versus a mortgage is you can’t write off personal loan interest because it’s not tax-deductible like mortgage interest.
Using a personal loan to finance a manufactured home
On average, you’ll pay between $86,100 and $158,633 to buy a manufactured home, which means you could use a personal loan to buy one on the lower end of the price range. If you don’t plan to attach your home to land that you own, you may not be able to get mortgage financing, which makes personal loans a good option.
A personal loan may also be cheaper than a chattel loan, an expensive type of financing used to buy mobile homes that aren’t considered real estate.
6 ways you can use a personal loan to buy a house
If you’re buying a standard family home, you can use a personal loan to spruce up your finances to help you qualify for a home loan.
If you’re saddled with multiple credit card payments at high interest rates, you can use a personal loan for debt consolidation to combine them all into one monthly payment. Rates are typically lower than credit cards, and you’ll reduce your credit utilization ratio, which has a major impact on your credit score.
If your scores improve, lower monthly payments could help you qualify for a higher sales price or a better interest rate. Having fewer monthly payments reduces the chances of a late payment, which can really damage your credit score.
You’ll need a credit score of 780 or higher to get the best mortgage interest rates with the lowest closing costs. You could see a big boost to your credit score if you pay off maxed-out credit cards with a debt consolidation loan.
Besides allowing you to qualify for a higher-priced house, a lower interest rate can save you thousands of dollars in interest charges over the life of a 30-year mortgage.
If you took out an auto loan with a short term (12 to 36 months) to buy a new car, the payment will affect your debt-to-income (DTI) ratio, which measures how much total debt you have compared to your income. The higher your DTI ratio, the lower the mortgage amount you can qualify for.
If you’ve found your forever home but have been told your mortgage DTI ratio is too high, consider replacing your short-term auto loan with a longer-term personal loan. Keep in mind that you’ll end up paying more in interest if you choose a longer loan term than the loan you’re paying off.
If you don’t have enough saved up for a down payment for a house, consider putting the savings from steps one and two above into a down payment savings account. The more you put down, the lower your monthly mortgage payment will be. If you can swing a 20% down payment, you’ll avoid monthly mortgage insurance on a conventional mortgage.
Mortgage underwriting guidelines don’t allow you to use money from an unsecured loan like a credit card or personal loan toward your down payment or closing cost requirement to buy a home. However, there is an exception if your loan is secured to an asset like a car.
Mortgage lenders will allow you to use funds from a secured personal loan to qualify if you meet the DTI ratio requirements with the new payment. You’ll also need to provide paperwork to prove you own the asset and document the value of the asset with some third-party service (like Kelly Blue Book for a car loan).
If you’re trying to buy a home in a competitive market, your agent may recommend an all-cash offer, which may involve bidding more than the asking price on the home. If you’re short of funds to make an offer and need a quick path to extra cash, a personal loan may be worth a look.
Many personal loan lenders can get you cash within a day or two, which keeps you in the running against other cash buyers. If you want to pay the personal loan off once you’ve purchased the home, you borrow the funds against your home’s equity with a home equity loan, HELOC or a cash-out refinance.
Pros and cons of using a personal loan to buy a house
Pros
Replace multiple debts with one easy-to-remember monthly payment.
Improve your credit scores by paying off revolving credit card debt.
No assets are required for collateral.
Faster funding times than most mortgage products.
Can use debt consolidation savings to build a down payment fund.
Cons
Payment may affect your DTI ratio.
Rates are often higher than home equity loan and HELOC rates.
Shorter terms mean higher monthly payments than home equity products.
Potential prepayment penalties and high origination fees.
Personal loan interest isn’t tax-deductible for a home purchase.
Can you use a personal loan for a down payment?
The answer is a definite no if it’s an unsecured personal loan. However, as mentioned above, if the personal loan is secured by an asset like a car, collectible, artwork or other asset, then lenders will usually allow the borrowed funds to count toward your down payment. You’ll need to qualify with the extra payment and prove you own the secured asset.
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Barclays and Santander have announced cuts to their mortgage rates, adding to momentum for cheaper UK home loan deals after HSBC and Halifax reduced rates last week.
Santander led its announcement with a sub-4 per cent deal available to new and existing customers with a deposit of at least 40 per cent on a five-year fixed rate mortgage. It said its residential fixed rates would fall by up to 0.82 percentage points from Wednesday.
Barclays will from Wednesday offer a two-year fix at 4.17 per cent, down from 4.62 per cent, for borrowers with a 40 per cent deposit. Its rates will fall by up to 0.5 percentage points across its residential range, and it will offer those with a smaller 25 per cent deposit a two-year rate of 4.2 per cent, down from 4.7 per cent.
The Co-operative Bank slashed rates on Tuesday by more than one percentage point for some deals. Existing customers looking to remortgage can now access a two-year fix starting from 3.85 per cent, while five-year deals start at 3.74 per cent. For new customers the equivalent rates are 4.22 per cent and 3.84 per cent respectively.
The changes follow rate cuts announced last week by HSBC, Halifax and Leeds Building Society across their residential ranges.
Mortgage rates have been falling for several weeks as competition between lenders intensifies. The latest cuts follow a drop in market swap rates in December, after investors predicted a quickening pace of falls in inflation and Bank of England interest rates over the coming year. Lenders use swap rates to guide their pricing of fixed-rate mortgages.
Adrian Anderson, director at broker Anderson Harris, said: “The market is predicting that the base rate might come down quicker than the Bank of England is suggesting . . . Over the short term, I think we’re going to continue to see a reduction in fixed-term pricing from lenders.”
Two clients called him last week to discuss remortgaging temporarily to a variable rate deal in the expectation they could lock in to a lower fixed rate later. But on seeing the higher rates on variable deals, they demurred.
“A lot of people last year took variable trackers in the hope that fixed rates will start to come down and now they have,” Anderson said. “So I do think we’re at that point where it could be the time to switch from tracker margin to a fixed rate. The fix is so much cheaper than variables.”
Mortgage rates may have fallen in recent weeks, but they remain well above the levels on offer before the “mini” Budget of September 2022. Average two-year fixed rates are currently 5.81 per cent, down from a high of 6.86 per cent last summer, according to finance site Moneyfacts, but were at 4.7 per cent on the eve of the “mini” Budget.
Aaron Strutt, a director at broker Trinity Finance, said one factor behind the rate cuts was the falling cost of funding mortgages for banks and building societies, as indicated by swap rates. “The lenders know the only way to get the markets moving again and to boost some of the low lending figures they had last year is to issue cheaper rates,” he said.
The fall in swap rates since December — with two-year rates running at about 4.2 per cent — has opened up an unusual gap with the Bank of England base rate of 5.25 per cent. This is a sign of the extent to which investors expect base rates to fall over the coming years.
With swap rates so far out of kilter with the base rate, though, some brokers questioned how long swaps would continue to decline — and alongside them, mortgage interest rates. Anderson said: “The Bank of England is potentially not going to start reducing base rates until the spring.”
Chris Sykes, technical director at mortgage broker Private Finance, said a number of lenders had yet to reduce rates, so there were likely to be further cuts, though these were unlikely to be “dramatic”. He added that some rates offered in the latest round of cuts were below the relevant swap rate, a highly unusual position for lenders to be in. “This is very rare, so we don’t expect these rates to be around for long.”
There’s cautious optimism in the air among area real estate professionals looking into the 2024 home sales market.
If trends continue, they see mortgage rates going down and listings going up.
The key word is “if.”
“Looking ahead to 2024, we anticipate mortgage interest rates to settle in the 6% range, which will attract even more buyers into the market, especially come spring,” said Jeanette Schneider, president of Re-Max of Southeastern Michigan.
“Current homeowners who held onto their home due to a favorable interest rate may decide their interest rate isn’t worth keeping a home that no longer meets their needs, and that should bring a bit more inventory to the market.”
Adds Karen Kage, chief executive officer of Realcomp II Ltd., Michigan’s largest multiple listing service: “We are hopeful for interest rates to continue to trend downward in the new year and consumer confidence levels to rise. As we stand today and look ahead, those are, perhaps, the biggest factors in determining what we might see in 2024.”
Nationally, industry analysts and veterans offer a range of predictions for the upcoming year. Among those:
• Buying a new home will remain expensive, according to Zillow, while Redfin said the median sale price could retreat by 1% in 2024
• The market will still be challenging for first-time homebuyers, but an influx of new apartment units could help manage inflation, according to Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors
• Sales of existing homes will rebound in 2025, with home-buying costs leveling off in the second half of 2024, according to investment banker Goldman Sachs
• In Michigan, tech startup real estate tracker Houzeo predicted home sellers will return to the market in 2024 and interest rates will stabilize in the second half of the year.
Locally, Schneider predicted a “slight uptick in home sales in 2024, along with a steady, but moderate increase, in home prices.”
“As boomers consider downsizing, we expect to see more cash offers in the market, providing a challenge for first-time buyers,” she said.
The Press & Guide asked area real estate specialists — with a combined experience of more than seven decades — to size up the market for the next year.
Interviewed for this story are:
• Susie Armiak, Realtor, MBA Realty Powered by Real Estate One, Grosse Ile, three years experience as a licensed Realtor and more than 25 years as a residential home builder
• Eric Blaine, associate broker and branch manager, Dearborn Office, Real Estate One, 10 years experience
• Tracey Solomon, Realtor, Re/Max Masters, Davis/Solomon Realty Group, Flat Rock, more than four years experience
• Maria Starkey, Realtor, Starkey Team, MBA Realty, Grosse Ile, 24 years experience. Also contributing: Michael Starkey, Realtor
• Benjamin Welch, associate broker, Century 21 Curran & Oberski, Dearborn Heights, 18 years experience, including owning and operating Street Rock Management (property management) for five years
Susie Armiak
Eric Blaine
Tracey Solomon
Michael and Maria Starkey
Benjamin Welch
Here are edited excerpts of their comments about the year ahead:
Q: Strong demand and tight inventory have defined the real estate market in 2023. How do you see those factors and others shaping the 2024 home sales market?
Armiak: I believe we will continue to see that same trend. Specifically because the higher interests this past year had many sellers/buyers sitting on the fence and new home construction is still behind the demand.
Blaine: Inventory has begun to rise in many markets and is expected to continue that trend in 2024. We expect demand to remain high, as well, and rising inventory will help.
Solomon: Demand is still outpacing supply. Unless this changes, we can expect more of the same seller-weighted market. Election years are historically slower as buyers and sellers may feel unsure about changing economic policy. Post-election, the market typically stabilizes. I suspect that if demand remains high and inventory low, we may not see that expected slowdown. It would be offset by the continued supply/demand pressure.
Starkey: The current market of strong demand and tight inventory is expected to continue into 2024. More buyers than houses continue to be the trend. This is keeping prices in the Downriver market on the high end for homes that are well-maintained and updated. The year ahead will likely continue to be a seller’s market. Homes in need of updating or with deferred maintenance tend to sit on the market longer, resulting in lower noncompeting offers.
Welch: Predicting the 2024 housing market is like forecasting the weather in Michigan – it’s an assumption with a dash of optimism. If interest rates remain the same, the days a home is on the market will continue to increase.
Q: Mortgage interest rates exceeded 7% in 2023. Where do you see mortgage rates in 2024 and how will that affect sales?
Armiak: The most recent Fed meeting stated they would be dropping interest rates three times in 2024 and we are already noticing the benefits of the recently lowered rate, currently at 6.6% for a 30-year fixed rate. (That rate may vary for buyers based on credit score, income and down payment amount.) This rate drop will entice sellers and buyers to make their move. My advice is the sooner the better because it’s going to be crowded in the marketplace once again. Be prepared to make swift and decisive decisions.
Blaine: Rates have held steady for a while and even declined slightly. I expect rates to hold somewhat steady in 2024, allowing more consumers to get off the fence and jump back in the market.
Solomon: Mortgage rates seem to be slowly dropping, which is great news for buyers and sellers. If rates continue to decline, more buyers will enter the market and demand will (again) increase. That will mean a continued shortage of homes and continued pressure on buyers to offer incentives to encourage sellers to accept their offers (fewer contingencies, appraisal guarantees, etc.)
Starkey: Interest rates are anticipated to come down into the 6% range in 2024, which likely will bring more buyers into the market. This may encourage more sellers to list their homes for sale. However, I expect home values will stay steady as demand for homes is expected to continue.
Welch: Increasing interest rates have been a major topic of discussion this year. It appears the Federal Reserve is done with rate hikes and Fannie Mae announced that interest rates could drop into the 6% range by the second quarter. If that happens, I expect a flurry of buyers to hit the market and for home prices to continue to rise.
Q: What is your best advice to potential home sellers for 2024?
Armiak: Connect with an experienced Realtor now to generate your personal marketing strategy. There are multiple items that need to be addressed prior to listing your home. Being prepared will put you in the best position to achieve your goals.
Blaine: It is a great time to sell. Values are up and demand is high.
Solomon: Once you’ve found an agent you trust, listen to their advice. Prepare your home for sale, but don’t overdo it. Timing is everything. Waiting to list until it’s perfect can cost you thousands. Consult your listing agent to prioritize your timing and task list. Utilize a pricing strategy that’s proven effective.
Starkey: Consider taking care of any potential deferred maintenance that could bring down home value. Also, be proactive by having a private home inspection done in advance to address any issues that may come up in a buyer’s private home inspection. This can reduce obstacles throughout the transaction. Last, minimize clutter, reduce excess furnishing that may make the space look smaller and — most importantly — provide a clean home for buyers to tour.
Welch: My advice is to hire a professional so you know all of your options. A professional Realtor will provide guidance, resources and a proven plan to facilitate the sale.
Q: What is your best advice to potential home buyers in 2024?
Armiak: Connect with an experienced Realtor now and begin the pre-approval process with your mortgage lender. It generally takes three months from start to finish. The more prepared you are, the stronger your chances are of getting the home of your dreams. And remember, you can always refinance, but you can’t retrofit the home appreciation value as they continue to rise at an annual rate of 4.7%, per FHFA reports.
Blaine: With value rising — a trend we expect will continue — now is the time to buy before values rise more. Waiting will only cost more and interest rates will not drop enough to help overcome appreciation.
Solomon: Find an agent you trust and communicate your needs and wants. Be financially prepared; your pre-approval matters. Set a home budget that works for your life, not just your balance sheet. Love to travel? Eat out? Give charitably? Factor that in. Adjust your price point to accommodate. (Yes, I’m suggesting you spend less so you can live more.)
Starkey: Get into the market early. Homes are hitting the market every day — not just in spring. Buyers who get a head start should have less competition than those who wait for more homes to choose from. If potential buyers find a home they love, go for it. If interest rates come down, you can always refinance. There are mortgage companies that offer a “no fee” refinance within the first two years of purchase.
Welch: If you are waiting for interest rates to come down before buying a home, it’s time to rethink your strategy. It is best to buy now because if interest rates drop, the number of buyers competing for the home you want will increase significantly, making it more challenging to buy that home.
Q: What communities do you see as most active for home sales in 2024 and why?
Armiak: I believe all communities will enjoy accelerated activity with the promise of lower interest rates, including those looking for second homes and investment properties. We are already seeing an increase in new listings in what is typically known as a quieter time. However, driving factors will continue to be the usual suspects: marriage, family growth, job change, death and divorce.
Blaine: Southeast Michigan markets, including Dearborn, are going to continue strong sales in 2024.
Solomon: Flat Rock, Woodhaven, Wyandotte and Southgate. All show increased values and searches. “Most active” is a hard metric to use as a measurement. A small community won’t show big sales numbers. However, highly rising values and quick list-to-pending sales dates show they are desirable and likely selling at or above asking with appraisal guarantees. Grosse Ile is a good example.
Starkey: The current market of strong demand and tight inventory is expected to continue into 2024. More buyers than houses continue to be the trend. This is keeping prices in the Downriver market on the high end for homes that are well-maintained and updated. The year ahead will likely continue to be a seller’s market. Homes in need of updating or with deferred maintenance tend to sit on the market longer, resulting in lower noncompeting offers.
Starkey: All Downriver communities will be active for home sales in 2024. The communities with more affordable housing for first-time buyers may see more activity as those buyers get away from renting. Of course, we need homes to come up for sale. Many homeowners are getting older and either moving to warmer climates or looking for less housing maintenance. Investors also like to purchase homes to add to their rental portfolio or to renovate and sell. The “step up” housing may not be as active as many of those homeowners are enjoying 2% to 4% interest rates and are feeling very comfortable with their current housing costs.
Welch: During November in the Downriver area, the number of homes for sale declined by 32% compared with previous months. It’s still a competitive market. With interest floating around 7.5%, there are many buyers just sitting on the bench waiting for rates to come down before they make their move. Imagine what it will be like if, and when, that happens.
Mortgage interest rates inched up this week, following nine straight declines totaling a decrease of 118 basis points (1.18%).
The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage (FRM) rose from 6.61% on Dec. 28 to 6.62% on Jan. 4, according to Freddie Mac.
“Given the expectation of rate cuts this year from the Federal Reserve, as well as receding inflationary pressures, we expect mortgage rates will continue to drift downward as the year unfolds,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.
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Will mortgage rates go down in January?
Mortgage rates fluctuated significantly in 2023, with the average 30-year fixed rate going as low as 6.09% on Feb. 2 and as high as 7.79% on Oct. 26, according to Freddie Mac.
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The range can be largely attributed to the Federal Reserve’s ongoing fight against inflation, juxtaposed with uncertainty in the banking sector sparked by Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse. However, with duress permeating the financial market and the fallout from U.S. debt ceiling talks, the Fed may continue making hikes to bring interest rates down.
With the economy likely heading into a recession, it’s possible we’ve already seen the peak of this rate cycle. Of course, interest rates are notoriously volatile and could tick back up on any given week.
Experts from CoreLogic, Home Qualified, Realtor.com and others weigh in on whether 30-year mortgage rates will climb, fall, or level off in January.
Expert mortgage rate predictions for January
Craig Berry, branch manager at Acopia Home Loans
Prediction: Rates will moderate
“As inflation is the no. 1 item on the Federal Reserve’s radar right now, the Feds may choose not to lower the federal funds rate until inflation comes down. And, while Fed rate cuts aren’t a must-have in order for mortgage rates to come down, interest rates are affected by the federal funds rate.
The Feds continue to seek a balance between inflation and maximum employment so as not to cause significant damage to the economy which could trigger a recession. Recent momentum has been positive, and as long inflation cooperates, mortgage rates may see a slight decline in January. However, it isn’t likely that we’ll see significant drops to longer-term rates until we get further into 2024.”
Ralph DiBugnara, president at Home Qualified
Prediction: Rates will fall
“Rates finally shifted down some in December and stabilized lower. U.S. payrolls came in lower than anticipated, unemployment was up and building of new homes was down. These are good signs that inflation may have reached its peak and could trigger a lowering of rates. I expect the Fed to stay neutral for the time being and possibly through the first quarter of the year with possible cuts coming only if we see a drastic shift in the economy. For January, I believe the average 30-year fixed will land at 7.125% and the 15-year fixed will be 6.75%.”
Selma Hepp, chief economist at CoreLogic
Prediction: Rates will fall
“Mortgage rates should continue to decline, albeit very gradually and given there are no surprises with inflation. We should see rates fall below 7% mark.”
Hannah Jones, senior economic research analyst at Realtor.com
Prediction: Rates will fall
“If inflation and employment data continue to show signs of slowing, mortgage rates are likely to ease in January, though at a slower clip than in recent weeks. As incoming data confirms that the economy is indeed cooling, the upward pressure on mortgage rates will continue to let up and buyers will enjoy lower rates than in recent months.
However, if inflation or employment data come in stronger than expected, we could see rates pick up steam once again. Investors expect the Fed to hold steady at the current target rate in next week’s meeting, which would signal the Committee’s confidence in the current policy stance to bring inflation down to the target 2%. As inflation reaches the target level, mortgage rates will continue to drift lower.”
Jess Kennedy, COO at Beeline
Prediction: Rates will fall
“We expect rates to continue to ease as we kick off 2024. You can see the signaling of a rate cut from the Fed in many ways. For example, it is harder to find long-term CDs at the higher interest rates we were seeing 45-60 days ago). Publicly traded companies are also seeing their stock prices move higher on the expectation of rate relief in 2024. All these signs signal rates start to tick down even ahead of an official rate cut.”
Odeta Kushi, deputy chief economist at First American
Prediction: Rates will fall
“In light of favorable trends in inflation and labor market data, the Federal Reserve appears to be on a path towards its goals, although achieving its 2% inflation target will take some time. Consequently, the Fed is expected to maintain a restrictive stance, which will keep mortgage rates elevated. However, given slowing inflation and a cooling labor market, and barring any unforeseen developments, modest reductions in mortgage rates are possible in January.”
Rick Sharga, CEO at CJ Patrick Company
Prediction: Rates will fall
“With inflation moving in the right direction, wage growth slowing, and the jobs market softening a bit, it seems likely that the Federal Reserve has finished rate hikes for this cycle. That, coupled with weakening bond yields, should create an environment where mortgage rates can start a gradual, but steady decline throughout 2024. January rates for 30-year fixed-rate loans will probably straddle 7% — ranging from 7.1% to about 6.9% as the market finds its footing to begin the year.”
Mortgage interest rates forecast next 90 days
As inflation ran rampant in 2022, the Federal Reserve took action to bring it down and that led to the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage spiking in 2023.
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With inflation gradually cooling, the Fed adjusted its policies with smaller and skipped hikes. Additionally, the economy showing signs of slowing has many experts believing mortgage interest rates will gradually descend in 2024.
Of course, rates could rise on any given week or if another global event causes widespread uncertainty in the economy.
Mortgage rate predictions for 2024
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.62%% as of Jan. 4, according to Freddie Mac. All five major housing authorities we looked at project 2024’s first quarter average to finish above that.
The National Association of Home Builders sits at the low end of the group, predicting the average 30-year fixed interest rate to settle at 7.04% for Q1. Meanwhile, Fannie Mae had the highest forecast of 7.6%.
Housing Authority
30-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast (Q1 2024)
National Association of Home Builders
6.77%
Wells Fargo
6.85%
Fannie Mae
7.00%
Mortgage Bankers Association
7.00%
National Association of Realtors
7.50%
Average Prediction
7.02%
Current mortgage interest rate trends
Mortgage rates came down for the ninth consecutive week.
The average 30-year fixed rate increased from 6.61% on Dec. 28 to 6.62% on Jan. 4 The average 15-year fixed mortgage rate fell, going from 5.93% to 5.89%.
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Month
Average 30-Year Fixed Rate
December 2022
6.36%
January 2023
6.27%
February 2023
6.26%
March 2023
6.54%
April 2023
6.34%
May 2023
6.43%
June 2023
6.71%
July 2023
6.84%
August 2023
7.07%
September 2023
7.20%
October 2023
7.62%
November 2023
7.44%
December 2023
6.82%
Source: Freddie Mac
After hitting record-low territory in 2020 and 2021, mortgage rates climbed to a 23-year high in 2023. Many experts and industry authorities believe they will follow a downward trajectory into 2024. Whatever happens, interest rates are still below historical averages.
Dating back to April 1971, the fixed 30-year interest rate averaged around 7.8%, according to Freddie Mac. So if you haven’t locked a rate yet, don’t lose too much sleep over it. You can still get a good deal, historically speaking — especially if you’re a borrower with strong credit.
Just make sure you shop around to find the best lender and lowest rate for your unique situation.
Mortgage rate trends by loan type
Many mortgage shoppers don’t realize there are different types of rates in today’s mortgage market. But this knowledge can help home buyers and refinancing households find the best value for their situation.
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Which mortgage loan is best?
The best mortgage for you depends on your financial situation and your goals.
For instance, if you want to buy a high-priced home and you have great credit, a jumbo loan is your best bet. Jumbo mortgages allow loan amounts above conforming loan limits, which max out at $ in most parts of the U.S.
On the other hand, if you’re a veteran or service member, a VA loan is almost always the right choice. VA loans are backed by the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs. They provide ultra-low rates and never charge private mortgage insurance (PMI). But you need an eligible service history to qualify.
Conforming loans and FHA loans (those backed by the Federal Housing Administration) are great low-down-payment options.
Conforming loans allow as little as 3% down with FICO scores starting at 620. FHA loans are even more lenient about credit; home buyers can often qualify with a score of 580 or higher, and a less-than-perfect credit history might not disqualify you.
Finally, consider a USDA loan if you want to buy or refinance real estate in a rural area. USDA loans have below-market rates — similar to VA — and reduced mortgage insurance costs. The catch? You need to live in a ‘rural’ area and have moderate or low income to be USDA-eligible.
Mortgage rate strategies for January 2024
Mortgage rates displayed their famous volatility in 2023. Uncertainty in the banking sector led to downtrends, but ongoing inflation battles, Fed hikes and a hot job market drove growth.
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At its September and November meetings, the central bank held off on a rate hike, preferring to see if the economy would keep cooling organically. In December, the FOMC skipped a hike and projected cuts for 2024. As always, the committee said it would adjust its policies as necessary — which could mean additional hikes or possibly none at all.
Here are just a few strategies to keep in mind if you’re mortgage shopping in the coming months.
Be ready to move quickly
Indecision can lead to failure or missed opportunities. That holds true in home buying as well.
Although the housing market is becoming more balanced than the recent past, it still favors sellers. Prospective borrowers should take the lessons learned from the last few years and apply them now even though conditions are less extreme.
“Taking too long to decide to make an offer can lead to paying more for the home at best and at worst to losing out on it entirely. Buyers should get pre-approved (not pre-qualified) for their mortgage, so that the seller has some certainty about the deal closing. And be ready to close quickly — a long escrow period will put you at a disadvantage.
And it’s definitely not a bad idea to work with a real estate agent who has access to “coming soon” properties, which can give a buyer a little bit of a head start competing for the limited number of homes available,” said Rick Sharga.
Buyer demand is lower than a typical year, but the market usually heats up in spring and summer. Being decisive (and prepared) should only play to your advantage.
Shopping around isn’t only for the holidays
Since interest rates can vary drastically from day to day and from lender to lender, failing to shop around likely leads to money lost.
Lenders charge different rates for different levels of credit scores. And while there are ways to negotiate a lower mortgage rate, the easiest is to get multiple quotes from multiple lenders and leverage them against each other.
“For potential home buyers, it’s important to get quotes from multiple lenders for a mortgage, as rates can vary dramatically, especially during such a volatile period,” said Odeta Kushi.
As the mortgage market slows due to lessened demand, lenders will be more eager for business. While missing out on the rock-bottom rates of 2020 and 2021 may sting, there’s always a way to use the market to your advantage.
How to shop for interest rates
Rate shopping doesn’t just mean looking at the lowest rates advertised online because those aren’t available to everyone. Typically, those are offered to borrowers with great credit who can put a down payment of 20% or more.
The rate lenders actually offer depends on:
Your credit score and credit history
Your personal finances
Your down payment (if buying a home)
Your home equity (if refinancing)
Your loan-to-value ratio (LTV)
Your debt-to-income ratio (DTI)
To figure out what rate a lender can offer you based on those factors, you have to fill out a loan application. Lenders will check your credit and verify your income and debts, then give you a ‘real’ rate quote based on your financial situation.
You should get three to five of these quotes at a minimum, then compare them to find the best offer. Look for the lowest rate, but also pay attention to your annual percentage rate (APR), estimated closing costs, and ‘discount points’ — extra fees charged upfront to lower your rate.
This might sound like a lot of work. But you can shop for mortgage rates in under a day if you put your mind to it. And shaving just a few basis points off your rate can save you thousands.
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Mortgage interest rate FAQ
What are current mortgage rates?
Current mortgage rates are averaging 6.62% for a 30-year fixed-rate loan and 5.89% for a 15-year fixed-rate loan, according to Freddie Mac’s latest weekly rate survey. Your individual rate could be higher or lower than the average depending on your credit score, down payment, and the lender you choose to work with, among other factors.
Will mortgage rates go down next week?
Mortgage rates could decrease next week (Jan. 8-12, 2024) if the mortgage market takes a cautious approach to a possible recession. However, rates could rise if lenders account for the Federal Reserve taking measures to counteract inflation or if a global event brings economic uncertainty.
Will mortgage interest rates go down in 2024?
If inflation continues to dissipate and the economy cools or goes into a recession, it’s likely mortgage rates will decrease in 2024. Although, it’s important to remember that interest rates are notoriously volatile and are driven by many factors, so they can rise during any given week.
Will mortgage interest rates go up in 2024?
Mortgage rates may continue to rise in 2024. High inflation, a strong housing market, and policy changes by the Federal Reserve have all pushed rates higher in 2022 and 2023. However, if the U.S. does indeed enter a recession, mortgage rates could come down.
What is the lowest mortgage rate right now?
Freddie Mac is now citing average 30-year rates in the 7% range. If you can find a rate in the 5s or 6s, you’re in a very good position. Remember that rates vary a lot by borrower. Those with perfect credit and large down payments may get below-average interest rates, while poor-credit borrowers and those with non-QM loans could see much higher rates. You’ll need to get pre-approved for a mortgage to know your exact rate.
Will there be a housing crash?
For the most part, industry experts do not expect the housing market to crash in 2023. Yes, home prices are over-inflated. But many of the risk factors that led to the 2008 crash are not present in today’s market. Low inventory and massive buyer demand should keep the market propped up next year. Plus, mortgage lending practices are much safer than they used to be. That means there’s not a subprime mortgage crisis waiting in the wings.
What is the lowest mortgage rate ever?
At the time of this writing, the lowest 30-year mortgage rate ever was 2.65%. That’s according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey, the most widely used benchmark for current mortgage interest rates.
Should I lock my rate now or wait?
Locking your rate is a personal decision. You should do what’s right for your situation rather than trying to time the market. If you’re buying a home, the right time to lock a rate is after you’ve secured a purchase agreement and shopped for your best mortgage deal. If you’re refinancing, you should make sure you compare offers from at least three to five lenders before locking a rate. That said, rates are rising. So the sooner you can lock in today’s market, the better.
Is now a good time to refinance?
That depends on your situation. It’s a good time to refinance if your current mortgage rate is above market rates and you could lower your monthly mortgage payment. It might also be good to refinance if you can switch from an adjustable-rate mortgage to a low fixed-rate mortgage; refinance to get rid of FHA mortgage insurance; or switch to a short-term 10- or 15-year mortgage to pay off your loan early.
Is it worth refinancing for 1 percent?
It’s often worth refinancing for 1 percentage point, as this can yield significant savings on your mortgage payments and total interest payments. Just make sure your refinance savings justify your closing costs. You can use a mortgage calculator or speak with a loan officer to crunch the numbers.
How do I shop for mortgage rates?
Start by choosing a list of three to five mortgage lenders that you’re interested in. Look for lenders with low advertised rates, great customer service scores, and recommendations from friends, family, or a real estate agent. Then get pre-approved by those lenders to see what rates and fees they can offer you. Compare your offers (Loan Estimates) to find the best overall deal for the loan type you want.
What are today’s mortgage rates?
Mortgage rates are rising, but borrowers can almost always find a better deal by shopping around. Connect with a mortgage lender to find out exactly what rate you qualify for.
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1Today’s mortgage rates are based on a daily survey of select lending partners of The Mortgage Reports. Interest rates shown here assume a credit score of 740. See our full loan assumptions here.