There’s good and bad news for mortgage rates this week. The good news is rates have continued their slow downward trend, averaging 6.87% on 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages, Freddie Mac reported.

Although this is promising, lowering interest rates is far from the norm. Last week, 30-year mortgages had average rates of 6.95%. However, compared to a year ago when rates averaged 6.67%, this week and last week’s rates are still relatively high. Still, any improvement is better than nothing.

“Mortgage rates fell for the third straight week following signs of cooling inflation and market expectations of a future Fed rate cut,” Freddie Mac Chief Economist Sam Khater explained. “These lower mortgage rates coupled with the gradually improving housing supply bodes well for the housing market. Aspiring homeowners should remember it’s important to shop around for the best mortgage rate as they can vary widely between lenders.”

On top of 30-year rates, 15-year mortgage rates also dipped this week, but still remain above the 6% mark. Interest rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 6.13%, down slightly from last week when they averaged 6.17%.

If you think you’re ready to shop around for a home loan, consider using Credible to help you easily compare interest rates from multiple lenders in minutes.

MOST HOMEOWNERS WOULD RATHER REMODEL THEIR HOME THAN BUY ANOTHER HOME: STUDY

Average Americans must put down over $100,000 to afford monthly mortgage payment

Down payment requirements are increasing across the country for the average prospective homebuyer. Households making a middle class income must put down $127,750 on an average priced home to realistically afford the monthly payments, according to a Zillow study.

This down payment is equivalent to about 35.4% of a $360,000 dollar home, which is the price of a typical U.S. home. A down payment of this size helps buyers pay no more than 30% of their income on mortgage payments.

Just five years ago, many households could afford monthly mortgage payments without paying any down payment for their new home.

“Down payments have always been important, but even more so today,” Zillow Chief Economist Skylar Olsen said. “With so few available, buyers may have to wait even longer for the right home to hit the market, especially now that buyers can afford less. Mortgage rate movements during that time could make the difference between affording that home and not.”

To save up the necessary down payment, it would take many households making a median income, 12 years to save. This assumes putting 10% of their income aside — an unlikely reality for many facing skyrocketing costs in all areas of their lives.

“Saving enough is a tall task without outside help — a gift from family or perhaps a stock windfall,” Olsen said. “To make the finances work, some folks are making a big move across the country, co-buying or buying a home with an extra room to rent out. Down payment assistance is another great resource that is too often overlooked.”

A site like Credible can let you view multiple mortgage lenders and provide you with personalized rates within just minutes, all without impacting your credit.

MILLENNIALS MOST LIKELY TO UNLOCK LOW MORTGAGE RATE TO MOVE: FREDDIE MAC

Desire to buy a home hits an all-time low for prospective buyers

Interest may be lower to a small degree, but prospective buyers don’t seem to be ready to dive back into the buying market. Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index dropped 2.5 points in May to 69.4, signaling that buyers don’t have positive attitudes about buying at the moment.

This drop puts the index at an all-time low. In May, only 14% of consumers believed it’s a good time to buy a new home, down from 20% in April. Consumers still think affordability will remain difficult for most buyers, at least for the foreseeable future.

“Consumer sentiment toward housing declined from its recent plateau, as an increasing share of consumers struggle to find the positives in the current housing market,” said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae senior vice president and chief economist. “While many respondents expressed optimism at the beginning of the year that mortgage rates would decline, that simply hasn’t happened, and current sentiment reflects pent-up frustration with the overall lack of purchase affordability. 

“This is most clearly evidenced by our ‘good time to buy’ component falling to a new survey low this month. On the other hand, homeowners’ perception of home-selling conditions declined only slightly and remains largely positive after a steady increase over the last few months,” Duncan said.

To see if you qualify for a mortgage based on your current credit score and salary, consider visiting Credible, where you can compare multiple mortgage lenders at once.

FREDDIE MAC PROPOSES PRODUCT TO HELP HOMEOWNERS TAP HOME EQUITY WITHOUT LOSING RECORD LOW MORTGAGE RATES

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Source: foxbusiness.com

Apache is functioning normally

Job creation that exceeded expectations in May has reinforced the perception that the Federal Reserve will maintain the same benchmark interest rates at its June meeting and may delay any rate cuts that were planned for this year. This means that mortgage rates are likely to be higher for even longer than previously expected. 

The U.S. economy added 272,000 jobs in May, above the market consensus estimate of 180,000. It was also much higher than the 160,000 jobs delivered the previous month (the April data was revised downward by 15,000) and the 12-month average increase of 232,000, per data released Friday by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

In May, job gains were most notable in industries such as health care (+68,000), government (+43,000), and leisure and hospitality (+42,000). The data shows that the average hourly earnings for private-sector employees grew by 0.4% month over month to $34.91 and were up 4.1% from a year ago. 

Meanwhile, the unemployment rate was 4% (6.6 million unemployed people) in May, compared to 3.7% (6.1 million unemployed people) in the same month last year. That’s the highest level for the jobless rate since January 2022. 

Following the jobs report, the 10-year U.S. Treasury, which historically correlates to mortgage rates, was at 4.42% on Friday morning, up 13 basis since market open. At HousingWire‘s Mortgage Rates Center, the 30-year fixed for conforming loans was at 7.2%.

The CME FedWatch Tool, which measures the likelihood that the Fed will change the federal target rate at upcoming meetings, on Friday showed a 99.4% chance of rates remaining unchanged at the next meeting, compared to 96.2% yesterday. The chances of a rate cut in September went down from 68.7% to 54.4% in the same period.

“Although this report is not uniformly strong, on net, it is showing a job market that is still quite tight, which likely means that the Federal Reserve will continue to hold at its current level of rates, as inflation is unlikely to drop back to target given this pace of wage growth,” Mike Fratantoni, chief economist for the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), said in a statement. 

The MBA forecasts the Fed’s first rate cut in September of this year. Benchmark rates are now between 5.25% and 5.50%.

Lawrence Yun, president of the National Association of Realtors (NAR), said that yearly wage growth of 4.1% is respectable and better than the 3.4% consumer price inflation. But Americans have not shown recognition of an improving economy “due to the fact that the cumulative rise in consumer prices is still higher than the cumulative wage gain of the past four years.” 

“Payroll data is considered much more reliable than household survey data. That is why Wall Street is expecting a further delay in the Fed’s interest rate cut. The mortgage rate looks to be stuck at near 7% average for at least another month,” Yun said in a statement.

Danielle Hale, chief economist at Realtor.com, said this month’s uptick in job creation was “smaller than previous hiring sprees in March 2024 and December 2023.” Overall, the job market “has slowed from previous highs, but appears to be normalizing in a healthy way and should help bolster confidence that monetary policy is having its intended effect.” 

But inflation data is needed to understand the Fed’s next step. 

“Bond traders are anticipating slower growth and lower inflation, which has caused 10-year yields to slide in the last week to lows not seen since late March,” Hale wrote. “If this perspective is confirmed in next week’s data, we could see mortgage rates remain below 7%, a threshold they’ve hovered above and below for the past four weeks, but if the data deviate from this trend, mortgage rates are likely to climb.”  

In an interview with HousingWire earlier this week, Fannie Mae chief economist Doug Duncan said that his team expected new payroll jobs in May to be aligned with April. But he noted that if the figure exceeded 200,000 jobs, “it’s going to take longer for the Fed to act.”

“We have in our forecast [the Fed] cutting 25 basis points for each of the September and December meetings. But if they don’t get three strong months trending the major data in the direction they want, we will take the September number out. The risks, right at the moment, are balanced toward less cuts.” 

Source: housingwire.com