How will a surge in bond yields affect your mortgage, car loans and 401(k)? – USA TODAY
How will a surge in bond yields affect your mortgage, car loans and 401(k)? USA TODAY
How will a surge in bond yields affect your mortgage, car loans and 401(k)? USA TODAY
The 10-year Treasury yield cleared 1.5% today for the first time in a year, sparking a broad, deep selloff across the stock market.
Today’s mortgage and refinance rates Average mortgage rates rose yet again yesterday. But it was the smallest increase for a couple of weeks. Is that any consolation? Unfortunately, mortgage rates […]
Mortgage rates WISH they were still at 2.97%–the number conveyed today by Freddie Mac’s weekly survey. Freddie’s data is accurate when it comes to capturing broad trends over time, but can really fall short when the bond market is experiencing elevated volatility. To say that bond market volatility has been elevated recently is an understatement of extreme proportions. Things are happening that haven’t happened in years . Some measures of volatility rival the March 2020 panic surrounding covid, only this time, there’s no catalyst other than the market movement itself. Today was by far the worst of the bunch when it comes to this most recent spate of volatility. Most any mortgage lender added another eighth of a percent to their 30yr fixed rate offerings. Over the course of the past week, most
Posted To: MBS Commentary
Surprisingly Swift Selling in The Bond Market; What's Next? This week has been one of the most surprising selling sprees in bonds in the post-covid era. Just when you think we've surely seen enough selling to bring buyers in, it's right back to new long-term high yields and significantly lower MBS prices. That bounce is coming, to be sure, but it's a risky proposition to bet on it. Moreover, when it happens, it changes nothing about the broader trend toward higher yields that's been intact for more than 6 months. This week just happens to offer a more abrupt adjustment to the pace of that trend. Econ Data / Events Fed MBS Buying 10am, 1130am, 1pm Markit PMI Composite 58.8 vs 58.7 prev Existing Home Sales 6.69m vs 6.61m f'cast, 6.65m prev Market Movement Recap 08:28 AM…(read more)
Mortgage And Refinance Rates Today, Feb. 23 | Rates steady The Mortgage Reports
Rates Surge; Time To Adjust Your Mortgage Game Plan Mortgage News Daily
Today’s mortgage and refinance rates Average mortgage rates rose again yesterday. And the rise was sharper than looked likely first thing that morning. When we say that markets can turn […]
As of today, you’d have to go back to June 2020 to see higher mortgage rates. This is courtesy of an ongoing move in the bond market that has longer-term rates/yields surging higher at the quickest pace since the pandemic began. The broader bond market has actually been signalling this sort of move since late last summer, but it wasn’t an issue for mortgage rates for a variety of reasons. Now that the mortgage market has mostly exhausted its protective cushion against broader bond market volatility, when the broader bond market has a bad day, so do we. It goes without saying that today was bad. Just look at the scoreboard , after all. But it also tried to be good. Bonds battled back from their worst levels quite well by the early afternoon. This was especially true for mortgage-backed bonds
Posted To: MBS Commentary
Yesterday saw yields hold at just slightly lower highs on an intraday basis, thus offering a glimmer of hope for a bond bounce. We discussed the risk that this was a trap, and so far today, it looks like it was. 10yr yields are over 1.4% and UMBS 2.5 coupons are now the only game in town. Where is that giant squid guy from Star Wars when you need him? The bond market weakness is sharper and more relentless than many market watchers anticipated. One common topic of conversation among those hoping for a bounce is the interplay between stocks and bonds. Late 2018 is fresh in our minds with widespread belief that "high rates" precipitated a stock sell-off which, in turn, helped rates move lower. I won't say "that's not what happened," because that dynamic was in play…(read more)