The FHA insures mortgages that are issued by banks, non-banks, credit unions, and other lenders. The main reason for this insurance is to protect lenders if there is a default on the loan. Because of this setup, FHA lenders can offer more favorable terms to borrowers who would otherwise have more difficulty qualifying for a … [Read more…]
“Persistently high inflation and the recent spike in lending rates will trigger a correction in the UK (Aa3 negative) housing market,” Moody’s Investor Service said in a report.
Matt Cardy | Getty Images News | Getty Images
LONDON – The U.K.’s biggest bank temporarily withdrew mortgage deals via broker services on Thursday, as the effect of higher interest rates ripples through the British housing market.
HSBC told CNBC Friday that it was reviewing the situation regularly, but did not specify whether the new deals would differ from its previous offerings. Higher rates are a possibility, given that the Bank of England is continuing to increase interest rates.
It comes eight months after hundreds of mortgage deal offers were pulled in one day after market chaos at the time sparked concerns about rising base rates.
In a statement issued Friday, HSBC said: “We occasionally need to limit the amount of new business we can take each day via brokers. All products and rates for existing customers are still available, and we continue to review the situation regularly.”
The banking group said the protocol was in order to ensure it meets “customer service commitments” and stressed that it remains open to new mortgage business.
The HSBC decision comes as analysts expect mortgage rates to soar and housing prices to plummet in response to the increased base rate.
A large number of fixed-rate mortgage deals is set to expire this year, leaving homeowners vulnerable to the impact of interest rate hikes, according to economic research company Capital Economics.
The organization made an upward revision to its mortgage rate forecasts, which showed borrowers would be “subject to a larger interest rate shock than … previously envisaged.”
“Those coming to the end of a 2-year fix will see a particularly large increase in the cost of their mortgage. While those refinancing a 5-year fix this month may see their mortgage rate jump from 2.1% to 4.9%, those on a 2-year fix will see an increase from 1.4% to 5.2%,” Capital Economics said in a note published Thursday.
There are also warnings that house prices will tumble in the next two years, with credit ratings agency Moody’s forecasting a 10% decline.
“Persistently high inflation and the recent spike in lending rates will trigger a correction in the UK (Aa3 negative) housing market,” Moody’s Investor Service said in a report.
The Halifax House Price Index showed that U.K. house prices were flat in May after a 0.4% fall in April, while the average U.K. property now costs £286,532 ($360,000).
In February, U.K. house prices experienced their sharpest contraction since November 2012, according to building society Nationwide.
Prices tumbled 1.1% year-on-year, logging their first annual decline since June 2020.
The Bank of England raised its interest rate to 4.5% from 4.25% as the central bank attempts to tackle high inflation that currently sits well above the 2% target, at 8.7%.
The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development predicts the U.K. will have the highest inflation rate out of all advanced economies this year.
Lenders and homeowners will be watching the central bank closely for its next base rate decision on June 22. It is widely expected the bank will agree its thirteenth consecutive increase.
Source: cnbc.com
In 2019, one out of every 100 homes were purchased by an iBuyer, short for instant buyer, per a new report from real estate brokerage Redfin.
While it doesn’t sound like iBuying is catching on, consider the fact that the number is up nearly double from 0.6% in 2018.
And about 10 times higher than it was back in 2016, when virtually nobody sold their home via an iBuyer service.
Also recognize that iBuying at scale is a very novel concept, and a business that big household names have just recently got involved in.
Some of the larger names in the space include Offerpad, Opendoor, RedfinNow, and Zillow Offers.
Simply put, an iBuyer will purchase your home for a fee somewhat similar to what a real estate agent would charge, only to rehab it and list it weeks or months later to a new buyer.
The advantage is you don’t need to find an agent, list it, stage it, hold open houses, and deal with uncertainty from prospective buyers.
In essence, you can consider these iBuyers institutional home flippers.
If they streamline their operations enough to lower costs, they might grow even more popular and eventually displace thousands of real estate agents.
While iBuyers still account for a tiny piece of the overall pie, they snagged a whopping 7.3% share of home sales in Raleigh, North Carolina last year.
That was nearly double the 3.9% share reported in 2018, a testament to both the viability of iBuying and the good fit cities like Raleigh present to such companies.
Per Redfin chief economist Daryl Fairweather, places like Raleigh are “iBuyer sweet spots” because they are affordable, have newer housing stock, and are easy to price because many of the homes reside in homogeneous tract neighborhoods.
Raleigh is also a city poised to see home price growth, another important detail iBuyers have to consider when looking to turn a profit.
Lastly, it has been a pilot city for many iBuyers, who aren’t live in all cities across the United States just yet.
Similarly hot was Phoenix, AZ, where iBuyers scooped up 5.9% of homes for sale, followed by Charlotte and Atlanta (tied at 5.2%), and Las Vegas (4.1%).
iBuyers had a market share of 3% or more in 11 markets nationally, and at least 1% share in 21 total markets.
Again, because iBuyers haven’t rolled out to all cities nationwide, the numbers are still a bit scattered and lopsided.
In terms of volume, iBuyers purchased the largest number of properties in Phoenix (5,200+), followed by Atlanta (4,300+) and Houston (2,100+).
iBuyer market share saw its biggest year-over-year increase in Tucson, AZ, where the number rose from 3.1% of homes in the fourth quarter of 2019 from zero a year earlier.
Again, this may reflect companies moving into new markets, but it also shows how quickly they are gaining traction and beating out traditional agents.
The second biggest increase was in Denver, CO, where the iBuyer share rose to 2.7% from 0.4% the year before.
Despite growing popularity, iBuyer market share did fall year-over-year in select markets, including Las Vegas (-3.4%), Phoenix (-1.2%) and Orlando (-1.0%), compared to Q4 2018.
However, Orlando was the only metro area to see its share fall on an annual basis from 2018 to 2019, declining from 2.6% to 2.2%.
As noted, iBuyers tend to be interested in mid-market homes that are easily bought and sold, but there’s still quite a range nationwide.
The most expensive markets in 2019 were Riverside, CA, Denver, CO, and Portland, OR, where these companies purchased homes at a median $391,000, $386,000, and $377,000, respectively.
The cheapest markets included Tucson, AZ, Jacksonville, FL, and Atlanta, GA, where the median was $201,000, $202,000, and $212,000, respectively.
Overall, iBuyers paid a median $269,000 for the homes they purchased, up three percent from 2018, but well below the national median of $306,000 in January.
In every housing market other than Riverside, CA and Orlando, FL, iBuyers paid below the metro-area median.
In terms of unloading the homes once purchased, iBuyers were able to sell homes 15 days faster in 2019 than they did a year earlier, this despite the typical home sale taking two days longer.
iBuyer-owned properties were listed on the market for a median 38 days in 2019, compared to 53 days in 2018.
Meanwhile, a non-iBuyer home spent a median 37 days on the market last year, compared to 35 in 2018.
If iBuyers get better at what they do, it might become a more practical solution for home sellers, assuming these companies pass the savings onto consumers.
Source: thetruthaboutmortgage.com
Millions of Americans would love to become homeowners—if they could only find an affordably priced home to purchase, that is.
Cue the builders. After years of focusing on the more profitable move-up, custom, and luxury homes, they are finally figuring out how to put up starter homes that first-time and other cash-strapped homebuyers can afford.
“Buyers should expect that over the next 12 to 24 months there will be a notable increase in the number of entry-level homes available,” says Ali Wolf, chief economist of Zonda, a building consultancy.
Homebuilders have begun to focus on this group in the wake of rising mortgage interest rates dramatically cooling off the housing market. Many current homeowners who don’t have to trade up into a new home at a higher monthly rate are choosing to stay put.
And that’s left much of the demand for housing coming from first-time and other buyers who aren’t finding the kinds of homes they want on the resale market.
Before the COVID-19 pandemic, about half of all new homes cost $300,000 or less, according to Zonda. However, lumber prices soared over that period and global supply chain snafus led to high prices and long delays in receiving materials, appliances, and other building components. In the first quarter of this year, just 15% of new construction was available at that price range.
To produce housing more inexpensively, builders downsized the median new-home footprint about 3% year over year, to about 2,270 square feet in the first quarter of this year, according to the National Association of Home Builders. The logic goes that smaller homes on less land typically cost less to construct than larger residences on more acreage. So builders can sell these properties at lower prices.
Townhome construction has also risen as builders can put up more residences on less land. Two years ago, townhomes made up 11.5% of all single-family construction, according to NAHB. It has since risen to 15% in the fourth quarter of 2022.
“Whenever you see an increase in interest rates and a decline in housing affordability, the market shifts a little bit toward somewhat smaller homes,” says NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz.
However, buyers shouldn’t get their hopes up too high.
Builders are expected to erect just 6% more entry-level homes this year compared with last, according to the May homebuilder survey from John Burns Research and Consulting.
“Builders will increase their supply of entry-level homes, but it won’t be enough,” says Dietz. This kind of home “will probably remain undersupplied. That’s frustrating news for first-time buyers.”
Fixing the housing shortage might seem simple: Builders need to put up more homes. But like most things, it’s easier said than done.
In the run-up to the Great Recession, builders erected homes at what seemed like a breakneck pace. But when the housing market went bust in the 2000s, many builders went belly up. Construction workers found other jobs, and sites sat fallow. Even as housing demand has soared over the past decade, builders have struggled to ramp back up. They have also been more cautious this time around, preferring to construct homes they are confident they can sell.
More new construction did go up during the pandemic, and many builders profited from the increase in home prices. But the challenges to putting up more affordable homes aren’t exaggerated.
The shortage of skilled construction workers has persisted, supply chain issues have caused delays and pricier building materials and appliances, and there is a lack of land in many parts of the country. Builders must also contend with zoning restrictions and community opposition to smaller homes. Many local governments also charge builders impact fees, which can total tens of thousands of dollars in some places, to pay for new roads, schools, and water and sewer lines.
Then throw in higher mortgage rates hampering demand for these abodes and a banking crisis that’s likely to make it harder for builders to get loans to erect new homes.
“There is a desire and an acknowledgment of the need for more entry-level housing, but there are also a lot of constraints that prevent that from happening,” says Wolf.
While there is a need for starter homes across the country, not every community will see them rise. Builders will focus on areas where there is more land available and fewer costly regulations. They include states such as Texas and Florida in the Southeast as well as swaths of the Midwest.
Starter homes will still be built in the Northeast and West, but costly land, labor, and regulatory expenses tend to push construction prices out of reach of cost-constrained buyers.
“Where the zoning permits it, you are seeing builders trying to provide more affordable homes,” says Dietz.
(JIM WATSON/AFP via Getty Images)
The trade-off that buyers will face as more affordably priced, new construction goes up for sale is that it likely won’t be as luxurious as new homes have traditionally been.
“The home probably won’t feel particularly premium at a low price point right now,” says Wolf.
More than half of builders are changing things on the exterior or in the interior of their homes to bring down costs, according to the John Burns survey. This could be vinyl countertops instead of granite and carpeting instead of hardwood floors.
About 42% of builders plan to reduce the square footage of the homes they produce, 22% will offer smaller lots, and 20% will construct more attached homes, such as townhomes and duplexes, according to the survey.
For example, the nation’s largest homebuilder, D.R. Horton, is shrinking the average square footage of its homes by 2% in the second quarter of this year to address affordability concerns, according to a company spokesperson.
“When affordability gets stretched, buyers will accept smaller square footage and less expensive finishes in order to purchase a home,” says Devyn Bachman. She is the senior vice president of research and operations at John Burns.
Another tool that builders have at their disposal is buying down mortgage rates. Many have their own financing arms, which allow them to offer buyers savings through temporary and permanent mortgage rate buydowns.
The 2-1 buydown allows buyers to shave 2 percentage points off of their mortgage in their first year of homeownership, 1 percentage point in the second, and then it reverts to whatever the rate was when the borrower took out the loan for the rest of the mortgage. That means if rates are currently 6.5%, borrowers would have a 4.5% rate in the first year, a 5.5% rate in the second, and then the rate would revert to 6.5% for the remaining 28 years of a 30-year fixed-rate loan.
“When housing demand pulls back, builders try to provide a more affordable product,” says Dietz.
Source: realtor.com
Freddie Mac announced on Wednesday a new affordable housing program, “HeritageOne,” that is intended to boost homeownership rates in Native American communities.
The program aims to provide affordable financing options for single-family properties on tribal lands found in rural areas of the nation. The goal is to widen homeownership access in these communities.
“With HeritageOne, we are again breaking new ground in our efforts to safely and responsibly expand opportunities in traditionally underserved communities,” said Sonu Mittal, single-family SVP of acquisitions at Freddie Mac. “Our commitment to make home possible for Native American families not only requires long-term planning and prudent execution, but strong partnerships with industry members and tribal leaders. Through this collaboration, we can help create more affordable mortgage options in tribal lands and rural areas.”
The program will also provide financial counseling services and other resources to members of Native American tribes, and will place an emphasis on first-time homebuyers in particular.
“The limited access to affordable mortgage financing options has affected our communities for far too long and it has impacted the ability of our members to build generational wealth through homeownership,” Tawney Brunsch, executive director of Lakota Funds, said. “HeritageOne can help break down these walls, providing greater access to responsible homeownership and broader economic opportunities through financial counseling for our historically underserved communities. We look forward to making HeritageOne widespread in tribal lands.”
Freddie Mac describes Lakota Funds as “the first-ever Native community development financial institution on tribal lands.”
In order to qualify for HeritageOne, at least one borrower who will occupy the property as a primary resident must be enrolled in a federally recognized Native American tribe. Additional information is available by visiting the online portal.
The intention underpinning HeritageOne was previously laid out in Freddie Mac’s “Duty to Serve Plan” for 2022-2024, detailing the organization’s commitment to provide additional housing support to rural Native American communities.
That plan also intends to assist Native Americans with expanded financing for manufactured housing on tribal lands; expanded mortgage financing options through community development financial institutions (CDFIs); and increased affordable rental housing opportunities for Native Americans on tribal lands.
Native American housing issues have been pushed to the forefront by lawmakers in recent months. In May, a group of senators introduced new legislation that would make permanent a U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) pilot program that provides mortgages to Native American communities through partnerships with CDFIs.
The U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) announced in March that it would lower the Native American Direct Loan (NADL) program interest rate from 6% to 2.5% in an effort to make housing loans more affordable for Native American military veterans and to spur use of the underutilized program.
Source: housingwire.com
Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass’ homelessness team is looking to purchase a 15-story hotel in the city’s Westlake neighborhood, the latest big expenditure planned as part of her “Inside Safe” program.
In a memo sent to the council’s Budget, Finance and Innovation Committee, Bass and her team acknowledged they are seeking to acquire the 294-room Mayfair Hotel, which served for two years as interim homeless housing before closing its doors last summer. The building has been listed for nearly $70 million in recent months.
Bass and her team declined to say how much the city has offered, saying the price will be revealed when the transaction goes before the city’s municipal facilities committee next month. They said the hotel would serve as a critical tool in the city’s fight against homelessness, helping to reduce the leasing costs associated with Inside Safe, which has moved about 1,200 people off the street and into hotels, motels and other facilities.
If the city finalizes the purchase, the Mayfair would be a key part of the city’s effort to create “permanent interim housing” — city-owned residential buildings where homeless people can live for up to a year before finding their own apartments.
Under the proposal, the city would provide an array of services on the Mayfair’s ground floor — substance abuse counselors, mental health clinicians and public health workers, Bass said.
“There’s no shortcut to do this. You can warehouse people in a shelter if you want, and they’ll stay there for a couple of days and they’ll be right back out on the street,” Bass said. “We have to think outside of the box, and maybe a little bit outside of the boundaries of what the city is normally doing.”
A broker representing the Mayfair referred questions to Alex Moradi, an executive with the ICO Group of Companies. Moradi did not respond to several requests for comment.
However, Bass’ homelessness team confirmed that the city signed a nonbinding letter of intent with Mayfair Lofts, the hotel’s owner, three weeks ago. That company is affiliated with ICO, according to information provided by the county assessor’s office.
Bass has asked the council to allocate $250 million for Inside Safe, which has targeted encampments in Hollywood, Venice, South Los Angeles and other parts of the city, in next year’s budget. That figure does not include any money that would be needed to purchase the Mayfair. If the sale goes through, the cost of Inside Safe could exceed $300 million for the coming budget year.
A bicyclist rides past the Mayfair Hotel, a 15-story hotel in L.A.’s Westlake neighborhood.
(Jason Armond / Los Angeles Times)
Councilmember Katy Yaroslavsky, who serves on the council’s budget committee, endorsed the idea of purchasing hotels and motels, saying the city will need “thousands and thousands of units” to address its crisis.
Yaroslavsky said her office has tried repeatedly without success to lease hotels and motels in her affluent Westside district. But paying rent to motel owners is also “not a good long-term strategy,” she said.
“The logistics of trying to negotiate one-off [agreements] with hundreds of motel owners puts us in a bad bargaining position,” she said. “When we go one by one, we’re not optimizing our buying power.”
On Wednesday, Bass and Yaroslavsky went to the mayor’s 16th Inside Safe operation, located along a stretch of San Vicente Boulevard in L.A.’s Beverly Grove neighborhood, which is part of Yaroslavsky’s district. Nearly two dozen tents had taken hold on San Vicente’s median strips and other rights of way.
Jeremy Mosley, who had been living on one of those medians, said Wednesday he was ready to make the move. But he sounded unsure about relocating to a motel in South Los Angeles, more than a dozen miles away.
“I want to see what it’s like. Because this does look bad. I know it does,” he said, gesturing to the furniture, tarps and other possessions that occupied the median.
The mayor’s proposed homelessness budget for the coming year lists four separate line items for the acquisition of interim housing, which add up to $73 million. Bass’ team declined to say whether all or a portion of those funds would go toward the Mayfair.
Those funds are not included in the $250 million being requested for Inside Safe.
The Mayfair was the site of a $37-million renovation in 2018 and 2019, according to the property’s real estate listing. In 2020, it became one of several hotels across the city to participate in Project Roomkey, a federally funded program that moved homeless Angelenos off the streets as part of the nation’s response to the outbreak of COVID-19.
City leaders voted to end the Project Roomkey program last year. But several of the locations that participated in the program continue to serve as temporary housing for L.A.’s homeless population.
Last fall, the council voted to keep the Highland Gardens Hotel operating as temporary homeless housing at least through June 30. That facility, located in the Hollywood Hills, offers 72 rooms, or up to 143 beds.
The Mayfair Hotel, a 15-story hotel in the Westlake/MacArthur Park neighborhood of Los Angeles. Mayor Karen Bass’ team is in talks to purchase the building to use as interim homeless housing.
(Jason Armond / Los Angeles Times)
City Administrative Officer Matt Szabo said the hotel will probably remain as interim homeless housing through 2025, at a cost of about $6 million per year. At that facility, leasing costs are about $4,550 per room per month, according to a report to the council. Once social services offered by PATH, or People Assisting The Homeless, are included, the monthly room cost exceeds $7,000.
Councilmember Nithya Raman, who represents the Hollywood Hills, worked to secure Highland Gardens before Bass took office. Bass, for her part, was closely involved in the effort to retain another Project Roomkey hotel, the L.A. Grand in downtown Los Angeles.
The L.A. Grand was originally slated to close as temporary homeless housing on Jan. 31. Bass’ team succeeded in leasing 481 rooms at that facility for an additional year. The monthly cost of a room, which includes not just lodging but also meals, is $154 per night, or nearly $4,700 per month, according to a memo provided to the council last month.
The council would need to sign off on a purchase of the Mayfair. Meanwhile, at least one former Mayfair resident is objecting to the proposed acquisition.
Cynthia “Mama Cat” Trahan, 62, who lived in the Mayfair for about four months, said Project Roomkey staff treated the hotel’s temporary guests with “very little respect,” searching them when they entered the building and sometimes going into their rooms without permission, she said.
Buying the hotel is “just not a good idea,” said Trahan, who now lives in an apartment in Glendale.
“We should be investing in putting people in apartments, not hotel rooms,” she said.
Watch L.A. Times Today at 7 p.m. on Spectrum News 1 on Channel 1 or live stream on the Spectrum News App. Palos Verdes Peninsula and Orange County viewers can watch on Cox Systems on channel 99.
Source: latimes.com
Since the housing bubble burst, many Americans have found their finances underwater. They’re paying on homes that are worth much less than the mortgages against them. More than a few have chosen to walk away from these debts.
Called a “walkaway” or a “strategic default”, deliberately defaulting on your mortgage is becoming more common as the real-estate market continues to struggle. Some experts believe that as many as 20% of homes currently in foreclosure are the result of walkaways: people who had the means to pay their mortgage but chose not to when their life circumstances changed and they found their homes unsellable.
Businesses walk away from bad investments and debts like this all the time, but for an individual to do it takes guts. There’s a huge stigma associated with walking out on your mortgage. Americans feel that there’s something morally wrong with not paying your debts, even when those debts are astronomical or unfair.
As Matt Taibbi puts it in his new book Griftopia:
When you meet people who are losing their homes in this foreclosure crisis, they almost all have the same look of deep shame and anguish. Nowhere else on the planet is it such a crime to be down on your luck, even if you were put there by some of the world’s richest banks, which continue to rake in record profits purely because they got a big fat handout from the government.
That’s why one banker CEO after another keeps going on TV to explain that despite their own deceptive loans and fraudulent paperwork, the real problem is these deadbeat homeowners who won’t pay their…bills. And that’s why most people in this country are so ready to buy that explanation. Because in America, it’s far more shameful to owe money than it is to steal it.
Whether or not you agree with Taibbi’s take on the mortgage crisis, you’ve surely seen that look of shame on the face of anyone you know who’s lost a home to foreclosure. Despite of the social pressure to keep making payments, though, thousands of borrowers are defaulting. The rate of walkaways went from virtually nothing in 2007 to nearly a fifth of foreclosures today. That’s a huge increase.
Given how many homes are underwater these days, it’s probably not surprising that I have a friend who is considering walking out on his mortgage. I get asked for financial help or advice a lot since I started this gig at GRS, but I was clueless on this one. Some quick math revealed that continuing to pay his mortgage makes no financial sense for my friend: The house is worth much less than he owes. He can’t sell it. He no longer lives there; it’s just an albatross around his financial neck.
Still, I thought my friend must have other options, so I called up mortgage expert Keith Gumbinger at HSH.com. Gumbinger had some great suggestions for what to do when you’re facing overwhelming mortgage debt.
Gumbinger agreed that bailing out of a mortgage sometimes makes good financial sense — but the consequences for doing so are steep. “You can certainly walk away and let it go to involuntary foreclosure,” Gumbinger said. “That’s your ultimate hammer. But there are consequences in the rest of your life.” Walking away from a mortgage should be the absolute last resort.
Walkaways face some serious issues:
Before walking out on a mortgage, Gumbinger says you should call your mortgage company. Lenders don’t want you to default on your loan — and stick them with an unwanted house — any more than you want to destroy your credit. They’ll talk to you.
“You should be able to get a reasonable response,” Gumbinger said. This far into the mortgage crisis, most lenders have experienced staff people who do nothing but negotiate loan modifications, short sales, and planned foreclosures with their borrowers. They have clear processes to handle this type of situation. It won’t be fun, but if you stay engaged, you stand to get out of your mortgage with your credit in better shape than a foreclosure would leave it.
Gumbinger warns to carefully document the entire process. Keep notes of who you talked to, and get agreements in writing.
Before you call your lender, decide what outcome you’re after. If you’re looking to keep the property but can’t keep up with the payments, call and talk to your bank about a loan modification. There are federal and private programs to help troubled borrowers get their mortgages adjusted. You may qualify to have your mortgage interest rate reduced as low as 2%, or to have some measure of your debt forgiven so that your monthly payments don’t exceed 31% of your income.
If you’re ready to walk away from the mortgage entirely and don’t want to keep the house, talk to your lender about a short sale. In a short sale, you agree to retain possession of the property, keep it in good shape, and sell it on the bank’s behalf. With the bank, you agree on a sale price that reflects the current fair market value of the property, even if that’s much less than what you owe on it.
Note: You probably want an attorney to help you with these negotiations.
Usually, a short sale agreement will have a two- to three-month time limit. After that, you and the bank can negotiate a “planned foreclosure” or “deed in lieu”. Instead of simply walking away and forcing the bank to take costly legal steps to repossess your home, you can give it to them. In exchange for saving them the hassle of taking it, they’ll go easy on you with the legal and financial consequences. Again, use an attorney to negotiate this on your behalf.
Any of these options should bring you a happier ending than simply mailing the bank your keys without a word.
“Because you’ve tried to do the right thing, it does preserve to a greater degree your opportunity to participate in the housing market in the near future,” Gumbinger said. Your credit will still take a hit, but if you do a short sale or planned foreclosure, you may be able to buy another house in two to four years. If you even want to. After being burned by the housing market, many people are happy to become permanent renters.
Source: getrichslowly.org
Mortgage rates are rising, refinances are trending, and older news is looming. Let’s cover all of it in this week’s Mortgage Monday update!
Rates Update
Last week, mortgage rates hit their highest since October 2019 – but let’s rewind a bit. For the week ending February 3, Freddie Mac actually reported generally stable rates from the average lender. Like many experts, they believe our economic recovery following Omicron will result in rate increases; what their weekly survey didn’t account for, however, was last Friday’s market changes.
On February 4, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics released their monthly jobs report for January. In short, things are looking up – there were significant job increases last month even in the face of Omicron – and markets were forced to respond. A return to a better economy will also inevitably mean a return to higher rates, and last week’s mortgage rate increases are already reflecting that.
We’ll likely see Freddie’s PMMS catch up with last week’s rate spike on Thursday. But for now, get in touch with your Total Mortgage loan officer if you’ve been considering a home purchase or refinance. Rates are rising faster than ever and are projected to continue doing so, especially after the Fed’s recent hinting at further increases in March.
Refinances are Trending as Rates Rise
Because rates are rising, refinance numbers are up and trending. In late January, mortgage refinancing accounted for 57.3 percent of applications in The Mortgage Bankers Association’s Refinance Index. As rates rise, the window to refinance at something lower naturally closes; we predict that refi numbers will continue along this trend through February until mortgage rates hit pre-pandemic levels.
In the meantime, our door is always open if you’re looking to refinance. The opportunity to do so is certainly dwindling, so be sure to act fast and get in touch with us. Find your mortgage banker today!
Older, But Still Important News
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced upcoming fee increases for certain Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac home loans. Effective April 1, 2022, upfront fees for these options will have the following increases:
These increases will ultimately depend on each product’s loan-to-value ratio. “High-balance” loans qualify as any that go above the conforming baseline limit introduced on January 1 – more information on that below.
Last month, the borrowing limits for Conventional and Federal Housing Administration (FHA) loan options saw significant increases to help buyers combat rising market prices. The conforming limit for single-unit home loans is now $647,200 – an 18.05 percent increase from last year’s limit. To learn more about these changes and your new borrowing options, get in touch with your Total Mortgage loan officer.
In Closing
So far, 2022 has shown us just how reactive the markets (and mortgage rates) can be. In just a couple of months, rates have gradually shifted to their highest in years – meaning that the historic lows we’ve been used to seeing are now behind us. If homeownership is one of your goals for the year, it would be best to act sooner than later. Contact us at any time to get started!
As always, we’ll continue to monitor mortgage rates, industry news, and more to keep you informed. Enjoy the rest of your week!
Source: totalmortgage.com
Depending on which rate tracker you look at, mortgage rates decreased, moved sideways or increased on a week-over-week basis.
Since June 1, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury moved up 18 basis points to close at 3.78% on Wednesday.
But the spreads remain abnormally wide, and that likely contributed to the divergent movements among different trackers that use different methodology. The normal spread between the 10-year Treasury and the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is between 150 and 200 basis points; no matter which tracker is used, they currently are in the 300 basis point range.
Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which takes in rates on submissions to its Loan Product Advisor automated-underwriting system, reported an 8 basis point decline in the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage to 6.71% for June 8 from 6.79% one week prior. For the same week in 2022, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.23%.
The 15-year FRM fell to 6.07% from 6.18% week-to-week but rose from 4.38% on a year-over-year basis.
“Mortgage rates decreased after a three-week climb,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, in a press release. “While elevated rates and other affordability challenges remain, inventory continues to be the biggest obstacle for prospective home buyers.”
Optimal Blue, a division of Black Knight, reported the 30-year conforming mortgage at 6.746% as of June 7, based on data submitted to its product and pricing engine. That compared with 6.719% on May 31; on June 1 it fell to 6.649% before tracking higher over the following days.
Zillow’s rate tracker, based on offers, was at 6.61% on Thursday morning, unchanged from the morning of June 1, and down one basis point from the previous week’s average.
“After some mild oscillations, mortgage rates are right where they were this time last week as investors await more conclusive signs of progress on inflation and monetary policy,” said Orphe Divounguy, senior macroeconomist at Zillow Home Loans, in a statement issued Wednesday night. “Last week’s stronger-than-expected employment report caused Treasury yields — and mortgage rates that follow them — to increase.”
But the services sector slowed down in May, according to the Institute for Supply Management purchasing managers’ index report. The price component had its weakest reading in two years, which is likely to be seen in the next Consumer Price Index reading.
“Cooling inflation and a general economic slowdown would put downward pressure on long-term interest rates like the 10-year Treasury yield,” Divounguy said.
On Wednesday, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported a 10 basis point decline in the 30-year FRM to 6.81%.
“The housing market has gotten off to a slow start this summer due to higher mortgage rates, low inventory and economic uncertainty,” a Thursday morning statement from MBA President and CEO Bob Broeksmit said. “The labor market continues to be exceptionally strong, which could bring more buyers back into the market once rates move away from their recent highs.”
Divounguy forecasts that mortgage rate movement should remain muted over the next seven days, “but upward bias remains as investors await next week’s CPI inflation report and Federal Open Market Committee forward guidance.”
Source: nationalmortgagenews.com
With high mortgage rates deterring unnecessary borrowing, a whopping one-third of U.S. home buyers are buying homes in cash, the highest share in close to a decade, according to a report Wednesday from Redfin.
In April, 33.4% of buyers across the country dipped into their cash reserves, up from 30.7% from a year ago and the highest level since 2014.
With interest rates at a 15-year high, it’s no surprise that cash purchases are now accounting for a larger share of deals, with buyers who would rely on mortgages shunning the market far more than their cash-spending counterparts.
Case in point, across the 40 most populous U.S. metros the report analyzed, overall home sales were down 41% year over year in April, while all-cash sales logged a smaller 35% decline.
The 30-year fixed-rate stood at 6.79% as of Wednesday, close to November’s high of just over 7%, according to lending giant Freddie Mac.
“A home buyer who can afford to pay in all cash is weighing two potential paths,” Redfin senior economist Sheharyar Bokhari said in the report. “They can use cash to pay for the home and avoid high monthly interest payments, or take out a loan and pay a high mortgage rate. In that case, they could use the money that would have gone toward an all-cash purchase to invest in other assets that offer bigger returns, which could partly cancel out their high mortgage rate.”
Of course cash buyers can still be deterred by high interest rates and may decide that their money is better spent on investments that benefit from higher returns, the report said.
Meanwhile, buyers who can’t afford to pay in all cash “also have two potential—but different—paths,” Bokhari said. “They can avoid a high mortgage rate by dropping out of the housing market altogether, or they can take on a high rate. That discrepancy is the reason the all-cash share is near a decade high even though all-cash purchases have dropped: Affluent buyers have the choice to pay cash instead of dropping out of the market.”
A smaller “but still noteworthy reason” for the increase in all-cash sales is competition among home buyers, the report said. A chronic lack of homes for sale in certain areas is motivating some shoppers to make an all-cash offer to beat out the other potential buyers.
Source: mansionglobal.com