Mortgage rates have climbed five weeks in a row and are now at their highest levels since the week before Thanksgiving.
The average rate on the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rose to 7.32% in the week ending May 2, according to rates provided to NerdWallet by Zillow. It was an increase of nine basis points over the previous week. (A basis point is one one-hundredth of a percentage point.) It marked the highest level since mid-November.
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Mortgage rates rose for the fifth consecutive week, but so far it has had limited influence on this year’s spring home purchase season, Freddie Mac commented.
The 30-year fixed rate mortgage increased by 5 basis points this week to 7.22%, tying a level last seen at the end of November, the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey found.
For April 25, the 30-year FRM was at 7.17%, while for the same week in 2023, it averaged 6.39%.
For the 15-year FRM, the average rose three basis points, to 6.47%, from 6.44% and a year ago at this time, the 15-year it averaged 5.76%.
“With two months left of this historically busy period, potential homebuyers will likely not see relief from rising rates anytime soon,” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, said in a press release. “However, many seem to have acclimated to these higher rates, as demonstrated by the recently released pending home sales data coming in at the highest level in a year.”
According to LenderPrice data posted late morning on Thursday on the National Mortgage News website, the 30-year FRM was at 7.36%, nearly 10 basis points lower than it was at the same time last week, 7.457%.
One of the elements in pricing mortgages, the 10-year Treasury yield, has remained elevated, even though it was down from one week ago, when on April 25, it peaked at 4.74%. By April 29, it closed at 4.61%.
This reflects market conditions following the Federal Open Market Committee’s decision at its April/May meeting not to change short-term rates. Investors, who once thought a June cut was likely, have backed off that position.
Rates are likely to remain in the 7% range in the future, said Richard Martin, director, real estate lending solutions for analytics firm Curinos, which also tracks mortgage rate data. He added that while he expects rates to fall a bit by the end of the year, he is a little more bearish than Fannie Mae’s latest outlook.
In terms of the impact on mortgage rates, the Fed’s decision was anticipated and already priced in.
“I like to characterize it as no one predicted the level and pace of increases no one’s going to predict the level and paces of decreases,” Martin said. If the FOMC was to cut rates, it would likely be closer to the end of the year.
On April 30, the first day of the FOMC meeting, the yield moved higher again, by a little over 7 basis points to just shy of 4.68%. However, the next day, it went down to 4.60%.
As of mid-morning on Thursday, the 10-year yield was almost 4 basis points higher.
Where mortgage rates currently are makes the environment tough for mortgage originators and title underwriters, but is good for companies that are “servicing-heavy,” said Bose George in a commentary issued after the FOMC meeting.
“Despite the headwinds around mortgage volumes, stable home price appreciation should remain a positive for mortgage credit,” George said.
Martin expects rates to hold in the current range, as does Redfin’s economic research lead Chen Zhao.
“The Fed meeting is unlikely to push mortgage rates down — but the good news is that it won’t push them up, either, which could have happened if the Fed took 2024 rate cuts off the table,” Zhao said in a press release. “Even though housing costs shouldn’t climb much more, they will remain elevated for the foreseeable future, which could push more buyers away.”
Martin is leaning towards a mild recession occurring in the future, noting the U.S. economy is not yet out of the woods.
The 10-year Treasury is just one influence on mortgage pricing; the other is the primary-secondary market spreads related to securitization activity.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell noted that the Fed will reinvest any proceeds from mortgage-backed securities run-off over $35 billion into Treasuries. That translates into lower purchase activity
“While this is in line with market expectations, we think this will continue to be negative technical for agency MBS,” George said.
It is not just those spreads that could influence pricing, Martin said, noting the record per-loan production losses originators suffered last year.
Homebuyers are still suffering from interest rate shock, said Jeremy Sicklick, CEO of real estate firm HouseCanary. “With mortgage rates creeping over 7%, many buyers and sellers alike seem to be holding out for rate cuts in the months ahead before jumping into the housing market,” Sicklick said in a press release.
HouseCanary data found the median price of all single-family listings rose 3.2% over a year ago, while closed listings rose 8%.
“With high mortgage rates and surging home prices tamping down market activity, we expect to see a subdued spring buying season continue throughout May, despite inventory increases,” Sicklick declared.
But besides higher rates, the problems around inventory and affordability remain.
“I think we’ve got to solve for those in concert,” Martin said. “Lower rates will help but I don’t think it’s enough to really materially move that needle.”
Mortgage rates have climbed five weeks in a row and are now at their highest levels since the week before Thanksgiving.
The average rate on the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rose to 7.32% in the week ending May 2, according to rates provided to NerdWallet by Zillow. It was an increase of nine basis points over the previous week. (A basis point is one one-hundredth of a percentage point.) It marked the highest level since mid-November.
Rates rise as inflation plateaus
The 30-year mortgage has risen 63 basis points in five weeks. That’s unusual. When mortgage rates go up, they usually climb unhurriedly, like they’re taking the stairs. But they hopped an elevator a little more than a month ago. Inflation is the culprit.
The core consumer price index stood at 5.6% year-over-year in March 2023. Six months later, core inflation had slowed to 4.1%. It looked like inflation was steadily moving toward the Federal Reserve‘s goal of 2% after the Fed had raised short-term interest rates 11 times in a year and a half.
But since last fall, progress on inflation has stalled. From October to March (the last inflation report available), core inflation dropped from 4% to 3.8%.
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No Fed rate cuts for a while
Even the Fed expressed frustration about inflation’s persistence. “In recent months, there has been a lack of further progress toward the Committee’s 2% inflation objective,” the central bank said in a statement May 1 at the conclusion of its monetary policy meeting. That might seem like a mild-mannered assertion, but in the buttoned-up world of the Fed, it’s the equivalent of banging one’s head against the desk.
At a news conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell was asked repeatedly if the central bank will be compelled to raise short-term interest rates again to restrain inflation. He said a rate hike is unlikely. But he said he’s not in a hurry to cut the federal funds rate, either. “We want to be confident that inflation is moving … sustainably down to 2%,” he said.
The Fed doesn’t set mortgage rates — financial markets do — but the central bank exerts a strong influence. This outlook wasn’t news to financial markets. Investors know that inflation is lingering. Markets concluded more than a month ago that the Fed wouldn’t cut rates in the near future. That’s when mortgage rates embarked on this multiweek rise.
Transactions rise along with rates
Home buyers and sellers might be growing accustomed to these interest rates, prompting them to get on with their lives by making and accepting offers for real estate.
About 93,000 homeowners listed their homes for sale last week, according to Mike Simonsen, president of Altos Research, a real estate analytics firm. “That’s much more than in any week in the entire last year,” he said in his weekly YouTube commentary. He added that 76,000 offers were accepted last week, “more than any week in 2023.”
Increases in listings and sales reflect multiple motivations: Some sellers and buyers may have wanted to act before mortgage rates climb even higher, while others might have given up on the prospect of lower rates anytime soon, prompting them to take action. It’s best to avoid timing the market and instead to buy or sell a home based on one’s needs. The bottom line is that houses continue to change hands, even with mortgage rates above 7%.
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Today’s 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 7.77% while a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage is 6.98%. Rates on 30-year jumbo mortgages are 7.73%.
*Data accurate as of April 30, 2024, the latest data available.
30-year fixed mortgage rates
According to data from Curinos, mortgage rates for a 30-year fixed-rate loan sit at 7.77%. This means they’ve risen from 7.65% last week. Last month, rates were at 7.37%, putting today’s rates significantly higher and up from 5.95% last year.
The 30-year fixed-rate average today is 1.36 percentage points below the 52-week high of 9.13% and 2.14 percentage points higher than the 52-week low of 5.63%.
At the current 30-year fixed rate, you’ll pay about $716 each month for every $100,000 you borrow — up from around $708 last week.
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15-year fixed mortgage rates
The mortgage rates for 15-year fixed loans inched up today to 6.98% from 6.88% last week. Today’s rate is up from last month’s 6.54% and up from a year ago when it was 5.35%.
At the current 15-year fixed rate, you’ll pay about $896 each month for every $100,000 you borrow, up from about $893 last week.
30-year jumbo mortgage rates
The mortgage rates for 30-year jumbo loans rose today to 7.73% from 7.43% last week. This is up from last month’s 7.31% and up from 5.79% last year.
At the current 30-year jumbo rate, you’ll pay around $713 each month for every $100,000 you borrow, up from about $709 last week.
Methodology
To determine average mortgage rates, Curinos uses a standardized set of parameters. For conventional mortgages, the calculations are based on an owner-occupied, one-unit property with a loan amount of $350,000. For jumbo mortgages, the loan amount is $766,550. These calculations assume an 80% loan-to-value ratio, a credit score of 740 or higher and a 60-day lock period.
Frequently asked questions (FAQs)
If you opt for a rate lock, you can typically do so for 30 to 60 days, depending on the lender. In some cases, you might be able to lock in your rate for up to 120 days.
Keep in mind that while some lenders allow you to lock in a mortgage rate for free, you’ll likely have to pay a fee for a longer lock period. This fee generally ranges from 0.25% to 0.5% of your loan amount. You could also be charged a fee if you want to extend the lock period — usually 0.375% of the loan amount.
If you’re not planning on keeping a home for a long time, an ARM could be the better option — especially if fixed-rate loans have much higher rates at the time. This is because ARMs tend to have lower rates to start than fixed-rate mortgages, though your rate can increase over time.
While a fixed-rate loan will have the same rate throughout the entire term, an ARM will start with a fixed rate for a set amount of time and then switch to a variable rate that can change for the remainder of your loan term. For example, a 5/1 ARM will have a fixed rate for five years (the “5” in 5/1), then switch to a variable rate that can change once a year (the “1” in 5/1).
Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of factors, including the overall economy, inflation and the actions of the Federal Reserve. Mortgage lenders then set their loan rates based on these economic elements.
The rate you’re offered on a mortgage will also depend not only on the lender but also on your credit score, income, debt-to-income (DTI) ratio and other parts of your financial profile.
Blueprint is an independent publisher and comparison service, not an investment advisor. The information provided is for educational purposes only and we encourage you to seek personalized advice from qualified professionals regarding specific financial decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Jamie Young is Lead Editor of loans and mortgages at USA TODAY Blueprint. She has been writing and editing professionally for 12 years. Previously, she worked for Forbes Advisor, Credible, LendingTree, Student Loan Hero, and GOBankingRates. Her work has also appeared on some of the best-known media outlets including Yahoo, Fox Business, Time, CBS News, AOL, MSN, and more. Jamie is passionate about finance, technology, and the Oxford comma. In her free time, she likes to game, play with her two crazy cats (Detective Snoop and his girl Friday), and try to keep up with her ever-growing plant collection.
Megan Horner is editorial director at USA TODAY Blueprint. She has over 10 years of experience in online publishing, mostly focused on credit cards and banking. Previously, she was the head of publishing at Finder.com where she led the team to publish personal finance content on credit cards, banking, loans, mortgages and more. Prior to that, she was an editor at Credit Karma. Megan has been featured in CreditCards.com, American Banker, Lifehacker and news broadcasts across the country. She has a bachelor’s degree in English and editing.
Ashley Harrison is a USA TODAY Blueprint loans and mortgages deputy editor who has worked in the online finance space since 2017. She’s passionate about creating helpful content that makes complicated financial topics easy to understand. She has previously worked at Forbes Advisor, Credible, LendingTree and Student Loan Hero. Her work has appeared on Fox Business and Yahoo. Ashley is also an artist and massive horror fan who had her short story “The Box” produced by the award-winning NoSleep Podcast. In her free time, she likes to draw, play video games, and hang out with her black cats, Salem and Binx.
Fort Wayne is a growing Midwestern city with a lot to offer. From one-of-a-kind festivals to innovative breweries, the city has options for anyone looking to find a home in the Fort Wayne area.
As the second-largest city in Indiana, Fort Wayne has developed a distinctive identity through its kind people and unique attractions. Whether you’re exploring its scenic parks, tasting its local flavors, or meeting the people, there’s always something memorable to discover.
Below is a list of ten of the top things that Fort Wayne is known for so you can see a whole new side of this Midwestern gem.
1. Fort Wayne Children’s Zoo
Fort Wayne Children’s Zoo is a family-friendly spot in the heart of the city. Known for its well-maintained animal exhibits and child-friendly activities, the zoo spans over 40 acres and houses hundreds of animals from around the world. It’s particularly famous for its African Safari journey where children can get up close with giraffes and zebras.
2. Johnny Appleseed Festival
Each year, Fort Wayne pays homage to John Chapman, better known as Johnny Appleseed, with a festival that transports visitors back to the 1800s. The Johnny Appleseed Festival features period crafts, food, and music, celebrating the legendary figure who planted apple trees across the United States. This event has historical reenactments that offer a glimpse into the pioneer life.
3. Fort Wayne TinCaps
The Fort Wayne TinCaps, a Minor League Baseball team affiliated with the San Diego Padres, play their games at the modern Parkview Field. This ballpark is a centerpiece of downtown Fort Wayne and has a fantastic family-friendly atmosphere. The name “TinCaps” references the tin pot that Johnny Appleseed famously wore on his head, linking the team to local lore.
4. Fort Wayne’s Famous Coney Island
Since opening its doors in 1914, Fort Wayne’s Famous Coney Island has been a landmark for classic American cuisine. Known for its coney dogs, the nostalgia-inducing diner transports patrons back in time with its vintage décor.
5. Science Central
Science Central is a hands-on science museum located in a former power plant. It has over 200 exhibits ranging from a high-rail bike to a giant slide that teaches physics through play. Science Central is instrumental in providing STEM education in a fun environment, making it a must-visit for families and school groups looking to ignite a passion for science.
6. Mad Anthony Brewing Company
Named after the fiery General “Mad” Anthony Wayne, whom the city is also named after, Mad Anthony Brewing Company is a cornerstone of Fort Wayne’s craft beer scene. This brewery is famed for its unique selection of beers and a vibrant atmosphere. Whether you’re trying the seasonal specialties or the year-round favorites, Mad Anthony’s embodies the spirit of innovation and community in every pint.
7. The Embassy Theatre
The historic Embassy Theatre is a beautifully restored vaudeville house that is now one of Fort Wayne’s prime venues for performing arts. Hosting a range of events from Broadway shows to concerts and films, the Embassy Theatre remains a true hub for the arts in Indiana.
8. Allen County Public Library
The Allen County Public Library houses one of the largest genealogy collections in the nation. Its expansive archives attract researchers from all over the country, making it a center for historical study. The library’s commitment to community enrichment through educational programs and resources makes it a pillar of Fort Wayne society.
9. Lakeside Park & Rose Garden
Lakeside Park & Rose Garden is one of Fort Wayne’s most picturesque places. With beautifully landscaped gardens, a reflective pond, and a massive display of over 2,000 roses, it’s a real hotspot for photographers.
10. DeBrand Fine Chocolates
DeBrand Fine Chocolates is a luxurious chocolate company based in Fort Wayne, known for its high-quality confections and beautiful presentation. A tour of DeBrand offers insights into the chocolate-making process and ends with a tasting of their exquisite creations. This chocolatier is a favorite for locals and visitors looking for a sweet treat or a gourmet gift.
(Bloomberg) –As delinquencies on multifamily mortgages pile up, lenders who had bundled those borrowings into securitizations known as commercial real estate collateralized loan obligations are racing to stave off trouble.
To keep the share of bad loans from spiking too high — a development that would cut the issuers off from the fees they collect on the CRE CLOs — they’ve been furiously buying them back. The lenders acquired $520 million of delinquent credit in the first quarter, a 210% increase on the same period last year, according to estimates by JPMorgan Chase.
It’s the latest sign of strain among the $79 billion of loans packaged into CRE CLOs, a market which grew in prominence in recent years as Wall Street financed syndicators who bought up apartment complexes with the intention of renovating them and boosting rents. When interest rates surged, many borrowers whose floating-rate loans were bundled into the securitizations were caught off guard and began falling behind on their payments.
To buy the defaulted loans, some lenders have been borrowing the money from banks and other third parties using what are known as warehouse lines, a type of revolving credit facility. It’s surprising they haven’t had more trouble accessing that debt given how quickly loans seemed to be deteriorating in quality heading into this year, said JPMorgan strategist Chong Sin.
“The reason these managers are engaged in buyouts is to limit delinquencies,” he said. “The wild card here is, how long will financing costs remain low enough for them to do that?”
One reason they have is that risk premiums, or spreads, on commercial real estate loans have tightened materially since last November. As a result, even with a more hawkish tone on the path of rates, the all-in cost of financing is still lower than where it was late last year. Still, there’s no guarantee it will remain that way.
“If the outlook for the Fed shifts materially to hikes or no rate cuts for a while, that might lead to a sharp increase in delinquencies, which can stifle issuers’ ability to buy out loans,” said Anuj Jain, a strategist at Barclays Plc, who expects buyouts to continue as distress increases in the sector.
Market Surge
CRE CLO issuance surged to $45 billion in 2021, a 137% increase from two years earlier, when buyers of apartment blocks sought to profit from the wave of workers moving to the Sun Belt from big cities. Three-year loans would give them time to complete upgrades and refinance, the thinking went.
Fast forward to today and the debt underpinning many of the bonds is coming due for repayment at a time when there’s less appetite for real estate lending, insurance costs have skyrocketed and monetary policy remains tight. Hedges against borrowing cost increases are also expiring and cost significantly more to purchase now.
Those blows helped increase multifamily assets classed as distressed to almost $10 billion at the end of March, a 33% rise since the end of September, according to data compiled by MSCI Real Assets.
“There was so much capital flowing into that space to real estate operators and developers, and that led to a lot of reckless lending,” said Vik Uppal, chief executive officer at commercial real estate lender Mavik Capital Management., who avoided the space.
The pain is now filtering through to the CRE CLO market. The distress rate for loans that were bundled into these bonds rose past 10% at the end of March, according to CRED iQ, compared with 1.7% in July last year.
The firm defines distress as any loan that’s been moved to a special servicer or is 30 days or more delinquent. Some other data providers prefer to wait until payments are 60 days or more overdue before using that classification.
Short Sellers
The outlook for the sector has caused short sellers, who borrow stock and sell it with the intention of buying it back at a lower price, to target lenders who used CRE CLOs. That’s because the issuers own the equity portion of the securities, so take the first losses when loans sour.
Short interest in Arbor Realty Trust stood above 37% on Monday, the highest level on record, according to data compiled by S&P Global Market Intelligence.
“The multifamily CRE CLO market was not prepared for rate volatility,” said Fraser Perring, the founder of Viceroy Research, which is betting against Arbor. “The result is significant distress.”
Arbor Realty declined to comment. Reached by phone on Tuesday, billionaire Leon Cooperman said that Arbor founder Ivan Kaufman has been “a good steward of my capital” and had correctly seen the need to position the company defensively more than a year ago.
CRE CLOs appealed to some investors because the issuers tend to have more skin in the game than issuers of commercial mortgage-backed securities. Critics argue the products contain loans of lower quality than you’d find in a CMBS, where loans are typically fixed rate so are, in theory at least, less exposed to interest rate hikes.
“These vehicles are a way for borrowers that need speculative financing that they often can’t get from elsewhere,” said Andrew Park, an analyst at nonprofit group Americans for Financial Reform. “CRE CLOs package the reject loans from CMBS.”
“We just really heavily speak to that in the preapproval process, making sure they understand the temporariness of the rate, the importance of the rate,” he said. “We talk about permanent buydowns, we talk about adjustable-rate mortgages, we talk about the future opportunities to refinance and having reduced cost to refinance. “We talk about the … [Read more…]
Historically speaking, mortgage rates have remained relatively low since the Great Recession, with some fluctuation at times due to market conditions. As a result, a generation of homebuyers has become accustomed to a low 30-year fixed-rate mortgage.
But with mortgage rates on the rise, it can put a sour taste in the mouths of people trying to join the ranks of homeowners in the country. They may be thinking that they missed an opportunity to buy a home. However, it’s important to look at the history of mortgages and mortgage rates to put the current conditions into context.
The History of Mortgage Rates
The modern history of mortgage lending in the U.S. began in the 1930s with the creation of the Federal Housing Administration. From the 1930s through the 1960s, a combination of government policy and demographic changes made owning a home a normal part of American life. During this time, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage became the standard for home mortgage loans.
When discussing the fluctuation of mortgage rate trends, analysts usually refer to the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. Here’s a look at the trend of these mortgage rates since the 1970s.
The 1970s
Throughout the 1970s, mortgage rates rose steadily, moving from the 7% range into the 13% range. This uptick in rates was due, in part, to the Arab oil embargo, which significantly reduced the oil supply and sent the U.S. into a recession with high inflation — known as stagflation.
As a result, Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker made a bold change in monetary policy by the end of the decade, raising the federal funds rate to combat inflation. Though the Federal Reserve doesn’t directly set mortgage rates, its monetary policy decisions can still impact many financial products, including mortgages.
The 1980s
The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage hit an all-time high in October 1981 when the rates reached 18.63%. The Federal Reserve’s tight monetary policy affected this high borrowing cost and put the economy into a recession. However, inflation was under control by the end of the 1980s, and the economy recovered; mortgage rates moved down to around 10%.
The 1990s and 2000s
Mortgage rates continued a downward trend throughout the 1990s, ending the decade at around 8%. At the same time, the homeownership rate in the U.S. increased, rising from 63.9% in 1994 to 67.1% in early 2000.
Several factors led to a housing crash in the latter part of the 2000s, including a rise in subprime mortgages and risky mortgage-backed securities.
The housing crash led to the Great Recession. To boost the economy, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates to make borrowing money cheaper. Mortgage rates dropped from just below 7% in 2007 to below 5% in 2009.
Recommended: US Recession History: Reviewing Past Market Contractions
The 2010s
Mortgage rates steadily decreased throughout most of the 2010s, staying below 5% for the most part. The Federal Reserve enacted a zero-interest-rate policy and a quantitative easing program to prop up the economy during this time following the Great Recession. This helped keep mortgage rates historically low.
The 2020s
The Federal Reserve reduced the federal funds rate to near-zero levels in March 2020, causing a drop in rates of various financial products. The effects of the fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic pushed mortgage rates below previous historic lows. The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage hit 2.77% in August 2021.
However, with inflation reaching levels not experienced since the early 1980s, the Federal Reserve reversed course. The central bank started to tighten monetary policy in late 2021 and early 2022, which led to a rapid increase in mortgage rates. In May 2022, the average mortgage rate was above 5%. While this was below historical trends, it was the highest rate since 2018. From there, the 30-year fixed rate mortgage crept upward, reaching a high of 7.79% in October 2023 before declining to 7.1% in April 2024.
Recommended: How Inflation Affects Mortgage Interest Rates
First-time homebuyers can prequalify for a SoFi mortgage loan, with as little as 3% down.
Why Do Mortgage Rates Change?
As we can see from looking at interest rate fluctuations, major economic events can significantly impact mortgage rates both in the short and long term. As noted above, this has to do primarily with the Federal Reserve.
Federal Reserve actions influence nearly all interest rates, including mortgages through the prime rate, long-term treasury yields, and mortgage-backed securities. The Federal Reserve sets the federal funds benchmark rate, the overnight rate at which banks lend money to each other.
This rate impacts the prime rate, which is the rate banks use to lend money to borrowers with good credit. Most adjustable short-term rate loans and mortgages use the prime rate to set the base interest rates they can offer to borrowers. So, after the Federal Reserve raises or lowers rates, adjustable short-term mortgage loan rates are likely to follow suit.
Longer-term mortgage rates have also risen and fallen alongside economic and political events with movement in long-term treasury bond yields. In the short term, a Federal Reserve interest rate change can affect mortgage markets as money moves between stocks and bonds, affecting mortgage rates. Longer-term mortgage rates are influenced by Fed rate changes but don’t have as direct an effect as short-term rates.
Recommended: Federal Reserve Interest Rates, Explained
Can Changing Rates Affect Your Existing Mortgage?
If you have a mortgage with a variable interest rate, known as an adjustable-rate mortgage, changing rates can affect your loan payments. With this type of home loan, you may have started with an interest rate lower than many fixed-rate mortgages. That introductory rate is often locked in for an initial period of several months or years.
After that, your interest rate is subject to change — how high and how often depends on the terms of your loan and interest rate fluctuations. These changes are generally tied to the movement of interest rates, but more specifically, which index your adjustable-rate mortgage is linked to, which can be affected by the Fed’s actions.
However, most adjustable-rate mortgages have annual and lifetime rate caps limiting how high your interest rate and payments can change.
If you took out a fixed-rate mortgage, your initial interest rate is locked in for the entire time you have the home loan, even if it takes you 30 years to pay it off.
Recommended: What Is a Good Mortgage Rate?
The Takeaway
If you are in the market to buy a home, it might be tempting to rush and buy when mortgage rates drop a bit, or to put off buying until rates hopefully decrease in the future. However, choosing the perfect time to buy a home based on the ideal rate can be difficult. You’re probably better off letting your need for a home and your personal financial situation drive your decision making. (Do you have a down payment saved up? Is your debt under control?) When it’s time to buy, do your research and choose the best mortgage available for your personal situation.
Looking for an affordable option for a home mortgage loan? SoFi can help: We offer low down payments (as little as 3% – 5%*) with our competitive and flexible home mortgage loans. Plus, applying is extra convenient: It’s online, with access to one-on-one help.
SoFi Mortgages: simple, smart, and so affordable.
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(Bloomberg) — UK house prices fell at the sharpest pace in eight months after the cost of mortgages crept higher, one of the country’s biggest lenders said, underscoring continued cost-of-living pressures on consumers ahead of a general election later this year.
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The figures from Nationwide Building Society followed a scaling back of bets on Bank of England interest rate cuts this year, which pushed up the cost of home loans in markets. That’s strained the ability of people to afford to buy a property and held back a recovery from last year’s slump.
Higher borrowing costs have hurt Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s government in the eyes of voters and reminded voters of the big jump in mortgage rates that Liz Truss triggered during her short term as premier in late 2022. The UK slipped into a recession last year, and the weak recovery so is reflected in the housing market.
“Though mortgage affordability is much better than it was last summer, it remains very stretched relative to historical norms,” said Peter Arnold, chief economist at EY UK. “A strong recovery in house prices and activity is unlikely.”
The Conservatives are defending seats in local authorities including mayors in West Midlands and Tees Valley in key local elections on Thursday. Sunak is widely expected to call a general election in the autumn.
Nationwide estimated house prices fell 0.4% in April after an 0.2% decline the month before. Economists had expected a 0.1% monthly increase. The average cost of a home is now £261,962 ($326,680), which is about 4% below the peak in the summer of 2022.
What Bloomberg Economics Says …
“The shift in the interest rate outlook was the catalyst for the change in sentiment at the start of the year, encouraging buyers to enter the market. However, borrowing costs have risen recently as investors reappraise how far the Bank of England will cut interest rates over concerns about persistent price pressures in both the UK and US. The best-buy five-year fix are above 4.1% having dropped below 4% at the start of the year. That will hit affordability.”
—Niraj Shah, Bloomberg Ecoomics. Click for the REACT.
Home prices have stagnated over the past year, up just 0.6%. That’s much less than the 1.2% gain economists had expected.
“The slowdown likely reflects ongoing affordability pressures, with longer term interest rates rising in recent months, reversing the steep fall seen around the turn of the year,” Robert Gardner, chief economist at Nationwide, said in a report Wednesday.
Nationwide said research it did with Censuswide found that almost half of the prospective first-time buyers looking to secure a home in the next five years have delayed their plans.
“Among this group, the most commonly cited reason for delaying their purchase is that house prices are too high (53%), but it is also notable that 41% said that higher mortgage costs were preventing them from buying,” Nationwide said.
Another 55% of people said they’d be willing to buy in a cheaper area of the country or where they could get a bigger property — half willing to move more than 30 miles away.
The UK housing market has defied expectations of a sharp downturn last year, yet its recovery over the last few months has remained weak. Prospective buyers are still finding it hard to come up with the money for a deposit, while the benchmark lending rate is at a 16-year high.
BOE officials warning of lingering price pressures have pushed up two- and five-year swap rates, used to set the bulk of mortgage products. That suggests households would still be spending a higher share of their incomes on mortgage payments than they did in the decade to 2007, according to Bloomberg Economics.
Nationwide’s figures contrast with more upbeat data from the BOE showing mortgage approvals rose to the highest in 18 months in March. Banks and building societies authorized 61,325 home loans, up from 60,497 in February and the most since September 2022.
Separate data released Tuesday from HM Revenue & Customs, the UK tax authority, showed property transactions climbing for a third month to 84,200 in March.
However, a recent resurgence in borrowing costs has raised questions over whether the recovery can continue. Natwest, Santander and Nationwide all have increased mortgage rates this month in response to rising swap rates, which are used to set the bulk of mortgage products.
For the 1 million households due to refinance fixed-rate mortgages by end of the year, new loans will be pricier than the ones they are currently on.
“Buyers and sellers are starting to accept the new reality of the housing market in the face of current interest rate levels,” said Nathan Emerson, CEO of Propertymark.
–With assistance from Andrew Atkinson.
(Updates with comment and context from first paragraph.)
Getting into gold coin investing can be a smart move for anyone looking to add some shine to their financial strategy. In this guide, we’ll give you the lowdown on different types of gold coins, how to figure out what they’re really worth, and tips for keeping your investment safe and sound.
You’ll also get the inside scoop on dealer markups, how to make sure you can cash out when you need to, and the steps to check that your coins are the real deal. Ultimately, we want to empower you with the knowledge to make informed decisions and enhance your investment portfolio with the timeless appeal of gold coins.
Key Takeaways
Gold coins offer investment diversity, with bullion coins being tied to gold content and purity, numismatic coins prized for their rarity and design, and semi-numismatic coins providing both gold value and collectible interest.
Key factors in gold coin investment include understanding premiums over spot price, ensuring liquidity and ease of resale, and selecting appropriate storage options to safeguard the investment.
Investing in gold coins entails choosing reputable dealers to prevent counterfeit risks, understanding tax implications like capital gains, and considering gold coins as a way to diversify and hedge against inflation within an investment portfolio.
The Fundamentals of Investing in Gold Coins
Gold coins, with their gleaming allure and historical significance, offer investors a tangible asset that stands the test of time. They come in various forms, each bearing unique characteristics and investment potential.
From bullion coins valued for their gold content and purity to collectible gold coins prized for their rarity and historical significance, the world of gold coins is as diverse as it is fascinating. As a form of precious metals, these coins, along with silver coins, provide a sense of security and value for investors.
Bullion Coins
Bullion coins, including bullion gold coins, are the go-to choice for those seeking straightforward exposure to gold. Valued based on their gold content and purity rather than historical and artistic considerations, a bullion coin like the Canadian Maple Leaf and American Gold Buffalo offers a direct link to the global gold market. For those interested in other forms of investment, gold bars can also be considered.
Numismatic Coins
For the history buffs and collectors, numismatic coins offer a unique allure. These coins are valued not just for their gold content, but also for their rarity, historical significance, and the artistry of their designs. Their value is less tethered to the spot price of gold, making them less susceptible to short-term market fluctuations.
Semi-Numismatic Coins
Straddling the line between bullion and numismatic coins are semi-numismatic coins. These coins offer both the gold value of bullion coins and the collectible appeal of numismatic coins. Their versatility makes them an attractive choice for a range of investors, from those seeking a straightforward gold investment to collectors looking for unique assets.
Top Gold Coin Options for Investors
There are a wide variety of gold coins to choose from, which can be overwhelming for new investors. However, some standout choices have captured the attention of investors worldwide. Let’s examine three popular gold coin options: the American Gold Eagle, the Canadian Gold Maple Leaf, and the South African Krugerrand.
American Gold Eagle
The American Gold Eagle coin, prominently displaying Lady Liberty and an American bald eagle, not only represents American heritage and freedom but also stands as a testament to the nation’s robust minting capabilities.
Introduced in 1986, these coins are struck in 22-karat gold, which includes a small alloy of copper and silver to ensure durability. Their availability in multiple denominations—1 oz, 1/2 oz, 1/4 oz, and 1/10 oz—makes them accessible to a wide range of investors, from those starting out to seasoned collectors. The blend of historical significance and investment flexibility has cemented their status as a favored option in precious metals markets.
Canadian Gold Maple Leaf
Produced by the Royal Canadian Mint, the Canadian Gold Maple Leaf is globally acclaimed for its .9999 fine gold purity, one of the highest in the market. Launched in 1979, this coin features the sugar maple leaf, a national symbol of Canada, which underscores the country’s appreciation of its natural environment and cultural heritage.
Its cutting-edge security features, like light diffracting patterns of radial lines and micro-engraved laser marks, ensure its authenticity and protect investors. The coin’s combination of high gold content and stunning design makes it not only a secure investment but also a collector’s delight.
South African Krugerrand
The South African Krugerrand is renowned for being the first gold bullion coin available to the general public, introduced in 1967 to help market South African gold. Named after the 19th-century Boer leader and the rand, the national currency, this coin features the image of Paul Kruger on one side and the Springbok gazelle on the other, celebrating South Africa’s rich wildlife and cultural heritage.
Unlike many other gold coins, the Krugerrand is minted from a gold alloy that is 22 karats, or 91.67% gold, with the remainder being copper, giving it a distinctive, more durable rose tint. This combination of affordability, durability, and cultural symbolism makes it a staple in the global gold trade, appealing to both investors and collectors alike.
Factors to Consider When Investing in Gold Coins
Investing in gold coins doesn’t just stop at choosing the right coin. It’s also about understanding the inherent factors that come with it. Let’s explore these key factors: premiums over spot price, liquidity, and storage options.
Premiums and Spot Price
While the spot price of gold is a key factor in determining the price of a gold coin, it’s not the only cost to consider. Premiums over the spot price can significantly impact the overall investment returns. Therefore, it’s essential to understand how premiums work and to be mindful of market trends.
Liquidity and Ease of Sale
One of the key advantages of gold coins is their liquidity. Gold coins are recognized worldwide and can generally be sold in any volume. However, the ease of sale can vary depending on the specific coin and market conditions.
Storage Options
Once you’ve invested in gold coins, you need a safe place to store them. Storage options range from home safes to professional vaulting services. Each comes with its own advantages and costs, and choosing the right one is crucial to the security of your investment.
How to Buy Gold Coins Safely and Securely
Investing in gold coins requires careful planning and vigilance. From choosing a reputable dealer to avoiding counterfeit coins and inspecting your purchase upon delivery, let’s explore how to buy gold coins safely and securely.
Choosing a Reputable Dealer
Purchasing gold coins from a well-established dealer is the first step towards a secure investment. A reputable dealer provides high-quality coins and offers invaluable customer support and guidance.
Avoiding Counterfeit Coins
Counterfeit coins pose a significant risk to investors. It’s crucial to understand how to identify counterfeit coins and ensure the authenticity of your purchase. From requesting documentation to conducting physical tests, vigilance is the key to safeguarding your investment.
Delivery and Inspection
The final step of your gold coin purchase is the delivery and inspection of your coins. Upon delivery, be sure to promptly inspect your gold coins to ensure they meet quality and authenticity standards.
Tax Implications and Legal Considerations
Like all investments, gold coins come with their own set of tax implications and legal considerations. From capital gains tax to reporting requirements, it’s crucial to understand these aspects to avoid legal complications and ensure a smooth investment journey.
Capital Gains Tax
Profits from the sale of gold coins are subject to capital gains tax. The rate of this tax can vary depending on the holding period of the coins and the investor’s income level. It’s essential to understand these rates and plan your investments accordingly.
Reporting Requirements
Certain gold coin transactions may be subject to reporting requirements. Be prepared to declare your holdings when necessary and ensure you comply with all applicable regulations.
Legal Ownership
Maintaining accurate records of transactions and ownership is crucial when investing in gold coins. These records not only help establish legal ownership, but are also essential for proper tax reporting.
Diversifying Your Investment Portfolio with Gold Coins
Bringing gold coins into your investment portfolio can add a unique layer of diversification. They can hedge against inflation, balance risk with other investments, and open up opportunities for both long-term and short-term investment strategies.
Hedging Against Inflation
In times of economic uncertainty, physical gold, particularly gold coins, can serve as a protective hedge against inflation. As the cost of living rises, gold coins can help maintain the value of your investment portfolio, safeguarding your purchasing power.
Balancing Risk with Other Investments
Including gold coins in your investment portfolio can help balance risk. The value of gold coins often moves inversely to other asset classes like stocks and bonds, providing a buffer against market volatility.
Long-Term vs. Short-Term Investment Strategies
Whether you’re looking for a long-term investment to weather market fluctuations or a short-term investment influenced by temporary market trends, gold coins can be a fit for your gold investing strategy, making them a viable option for gold investments.
The choice depends on your financial objectives and risk tolerance.
Bottom Line
Investing in gold coins can be a rewarding journey. From understanding the basics to navigating tax implications and legal considerations, it’s a path filled with learning and potential growth. As you progress, remember the importance of diligence, careful planning, and informed decision-making. With the right approach, you can unlock the golden opportunities that await in gold coin investing.
Frequently Asked Questions
How do I determine the authenticity of gold coins?
The authenticity of gold coins can be verified through several methods, including checking for hallmarks, weight and size measurements, and performing sound and magnetism tests. Purchasing from reputable dealers and considering third-party grading and certification can also ensure authenticity.
Can I purchase gold coins from banks?
Some banks do offer gold coins for sale, but availability can vary widely depending on the bank and the country. It’s often more common to purchase gold coins from specialized bullion dealers, coin shops, or online marketplaces.
How does the price of gold affect gold coin values?
The value of gold bullion coins is closely tied to the current market price of gold, known as the spot price. As the price of gold fluctuates, so does the value of gold coins. Numismatic and semi-numismatic coins may also be affected by gold prices, but their value is more influenced by rarity, condition, and historical significance.
Are gold coins a good option for short-term investments?
Gold coins can be a good option for short-term investments if you are knowledgeable about the gold market and current economic conditions. However, due to the premiums over the spot price and potential market volatility, gold coins are generally considered a more stable long-term investment.
How do I store and insure my gold coin collection?
Gold coins should be stored in a secure location, such as a safe deposit box at a bank or a home safe. For insurance, you can add a rider to your homeowner’s insurance policy or obtain a separate policy specifically for valuable items like gold coins. Ensure that your insurance policy covers the full value of your collection.
What impact do market conditions have on gold coin investing?
Market conditions can significantly impact gold coin investing. Economic uncertainty, inflation, and currency devaluation typically increase demand for gold, potentially raising gold coin prices. Conversely, a strong economy might lead to less demand for gold as an investment.
Is it better to invest in gold coins or gold bars?
The choice between investing in gold coins or gold bars depends on your investment goals. Coins are better for those interested in collectability and legal tender value, while bars typically have lower premiums over spot price and may be preferable for those focusing purely on the gold content and investment.
How do I sell my gold coins when I want to cash out?
To sell your gold coins, you can approach coin dealers, precious metal exchanges, online marketplaces, or auction houses. It’s important to research the current gold price and get multiple quotes to ensure you receive a fair price for your coins.