The median monthly housing payment for U.S. homebuyers rose to a record $2,775 during the four-week period ending April 14, up 11% year over year, according to a Redfin report.
The recent hotter-than-expected inflation reading sent mortgage rates upward. On Thursday, HousingWire’s Mortgage Rates Center showed the average 30-year fixed rate for conventional loans at 7.31%, up from 7.19% a week earlier.
Additionally, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell made statements at the Washington Forum on Tuesday that indicate there will be no rate cuts anytime soon because the economy and the labor market continue to run hot and inflation has remained sticky.
Furthermore, the median price for all types of existing homes rose to $393,500 in March, an increase of 4.8% from the median price of $375,300 in the same month last year, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR).
Despite the challenging housing market, demand isn’t fading. Mortgage applications, for instance, increased for the second week in a row on the back of a strong economy.
According to Chen Zhao, Redfin’s economic research lead, some house hunters are eager to buy now as they fear a further increase in mortgage rates. Meanwhile, others have grown accustomed to elevated rates and have accordingly factored the inflated rates into their home purchase budget.
“Home sales are slower than usual, but there are still people buying and selling because if not now, when?” Connie Durnal, a Redfin Premier agent in Dallas, said in a news release. “I’ve had a few prospective buyers touring homes for the last several years, since mortgage rates started going up, and they wish they would have bought last year because prices and rates are even higher now.
“My advice to them: If you can afford to and you find a house you love, buy now. There’s no guarantee that rates will come down soon.”
At the end of March, NAR reported that total housing inventory sat at 1.11 million units, up 4.7% from February and up 14.4% from one year ago.
LED light strips give Bilal the ick because they tend to look cheap, when that is not the desired effect. “They do not look expensive, they don’t look high-end, they don’t feel like elevated decor,” he says. “They literally just feel like you ordered an LED strip off Amazon and stuck it to your wall. And that’s exactly what it is.”
Vivien of Posh Pennies is particularly averse to battery-operated sconces, detesting the fact that they require remotes and batteries, and that they eventually stop getting used because they require recharging. “If you’re serious about where you want your light, then get it wired, pop in a smart bulb, put it on a schedule, and call it a day! So worth it,” the interior design blogger and YouTuber explains. Bilal agrees that smart light bulbs are a much better alternative, especially if you’re looking for the ability to easily change the mood of a room with lighting.
Focusing on the screen, rather than the big picture of your space
As sharing interior design on social media gains more and more traction, and we become accustomed to seeing beautiful rooms on the reg, it can be tempting to focus only on what looks good onscreen. Imani Keal, a design blogger who specializes in renter-friendly decor and DIY, often wonders what’s going on beyond the frame of a quirky DIY space she sees on TikTok. “They sometimes don’t show the project in the context of the rest of the room or apartment, and it’s often because that project only looks good from one angle or as a vignette,” she explains.
It’s important to make sure a fun project actually works with the rest of your living space, rather than just conforming to the latest trend. “The purpose of creating a beautiful space is so that it looks and feels warm and welcoming in real life and on the internet, not just in five-second clips,” she adds. Garrett Le Chic fully agrees. As an interior designer, he’s all about making updates to your home that are consistent with its architecture.
“Renovating to change the style of your house in the long term doesn’t always make the most sense because it just requires a lot more effort, a lot more money, a lot more work than is really necessary,” he says. “When, if you took the core elements, the backbone of what the architectural style of your house is, and you apply that, it works better in the long term.”
Bland dust-collecting decor
There’s nothing like a good knickknack or piece of art to really liven up a room. With so many affordable online and brick-and-mortar home-goods stores, it’s easier than ever to find what you need to add in a space. This is both a blessing as a curse, as it means that now more than ever, there’s a plethora of mass-produced items with no personality taking up space and collecting dust over time.
On the subject of word art, Phoenix has one question: “Who is buying this?” He continues, “I know the ‘Live, Love, Laugh’ signs of the early 2000s have faded out, but now it’s like very weird quotes on boards that people are spending between 10 and 20 dollars on. The amount of staged homes that I’ve seen from real estate agents that have those too.”
Residential Construction Fall and Builder Confidence Flattens in Uncertain Rate Environment
While builder confidence in the market for new residential construction improved in March, it remained flat in April and residential construction numbers showed a decline in momentum as well.
Residential construction starts, which had surged in February, gave back all of those gains in March. The U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) report that construction began at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.321 million housing units during the month, a decline of 14.7 percent from February’s level of 1.549 million units. Starts were 4.3 percent lower than their level in March 2023.
Single-family starts fell 12.4 percent to an annual rate of 1.022 million and multifamily starts dived 20.8 percent to 290,000 units. The two categories were down 21.2 percent and 43.7 percent respectively year-over-year.
Permits also declined. The annual rate was 4.3 percent lower at 1.458 million units compared to 1.523 million in February. Permits increased 1.5 percent on an annual basis. Single-family authorizations dropped from 1.032 million to 973,000, a 5.7 percent decline. This was still a 17.4 percent improvement from March of last year. Multifamily permits were unchanged at 433,000 units, down 22.1 percent year-over-year.
Analysts polled by Econoday had forecast starts at 1,480 million and permits at 1.510 million, substantially overshooting both numbers.
The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) said the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) broke a four-month string of gains this month, remaining at the 51 level, unchanged from March, but still above the key breakeven point of 50.
Robert Deitz, NAHB’s chief economist, said the flat reading suggests the potential for demand growth is there, but buyers appear to be waiting until there is more clarity on the direction of rates. “With the markets now adjusting to rates being somewhat higher due to recent inflation readings, we still anticipate the Federal Reserve will announce future rate cuts later this year, and that mortgage rates will moderate in the second half of 2024,” he said.
The HMI gauges builder perceptions of current single-family home sales and sales expectations for the next six months as “good,” “fair” or “poor” and asks builders to rate traffic of prospective buyers as “high to very high,” “average” or “low to very low.” Scores for each component are then used to calculate a seasonally adjusted index where any number over 50 indicates that more builders view conditions as good than poor.
The HMI index charting current sales conditions in April and the index gauging buyer traffic each increased 1 point to 57 and 35, respectively. The component measuring sales expectations in the next six months fell 2 points to 60.
Looking at the three-month moving averages for regional HMI scores, the Northeast increased 4 points to 63, the Midwest gained 5 points to 46, the South rose 1 point to 51 and the West registered a 4-point gain to 47.
The April survey also showed that 22 percent of builders cut home prices this month, down from 24 percent in March and 36 percent in December 2023, while the average price reduction held steady at 6 percent for the 10th straight month. Fifty-seven percent of builders used some form of sales incentives. The share was 60 percent in March.
On an unadjusted basis, the Census/HUD report shows housing starts in March are estimated at 110,900 including 87,100 single-family units. The totals in February were 110,100 and 81,700. There were 123,500 permits issued during the month compared to 119,100 in February. The single-family totals rose from 79,400 to 84,300.
Homes were completed during the month at an annual rate of 1.469 million units. This was a decline of 13.5 percent from February and 13.9 percent from the previous March. Single-family completions dropped 10.5 percent and were 8.5 percent lower than a year earlier while multifamily completions were down 19.9 percent.
For the year to date (YTD) housing starts total 318,800, up 1.3 percent from the same period in 2023. Single-family starts have risen 27.1 percent to 239,100 while multifamily starts have fallen by 38.0 percent to 76,400 units.
YTD permits are up 3.8 percent, entirely due to a 24.9 percent increase in single-family permits which helped offset a drop of 25.2 percent in the multifamily sector.
Completions total 347,300 thus far in 2024, an increase of 4.3 percent from 2023. There have been 5.8 percent fewer single-family homes completed but multifamily completions have risen 27.4 percent.
At the end of the reporting period, there were 1.646 million homes under construction, 689,000 of which were single-family homes. in addition, there were 273,000 permits available 141,000 for single-family houses.
Starts dropped by double digits in three of the four major regions and permits also drifted lower.
Starts In the Northeast were down 36.0 percent compared to February and 56.8 percent on an annual basis. Permits dropped 20.8 percent but increased 8.1 percent for the year.
In the Midwest, starts were down 23.0 percent for the month but were 18.0 percent above the March 2023 pace. Permits dropped 14.7 percent from February and 3.4 percent on an annual basis.
The South’s starts fell by 17.8 percent and 11.0 percent from February and from March 2023, respectively. Permits fell 0.6 percent but increased by 0.4 for the year.
The only positive changes were in the West, up 7.1 and 48.1 percent for the month and year. Permitting increased 5.1 percent and 4.1 percent from the two earlier periods.
Our goal here at Credible Operations, Inc., NMLS Number 1681276, referred to as “Credible” below, is to give you the tools and confidence you need to improve your finances. Although we do promote products from our partner lenders who compensate us for our services, all opinions are our own.
Home equity loan
Home equity line of credit (HELOC)
Interest rate
Fixed
Variable
Monthly payment amount
Fixed
Variable
Closing costs and fees
Yes
Yes, might be lower than other loan types
Repayment period
Typically 5-30 years
Typically 10-20 years
FAQ
What is a rate lock?
Interest rates on mortgages fluctuate all the time, but a rate lock allows you to lock in your current rate for a set amount of time. This ensures you get the rate you want as you complete the homebuying process.
What are mortgage points?
Mortgage points are a type of prepaid interest that you can pay upfront — often as part of your closing costs — for a lower overall interest rate. This can lower your APR and monthly payments.
What are closing costs?
Closing costs are the fees you, as the buyer, need to pay before getting a loan. Common fees include attorney fees, home appraisal fees, origination fees, and application fees.
If you’re trying to find the right mortgage rate, consider using Credible. You can use Credible’s free online tool to easily compare multiple lenders and see prequalified rates in just a few minutes.
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) this week announced a new product proposal for government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) Freddie Mac that would allow the agency to purchase certain single-family, closed-end second mortgages.
This would offer borrowers an alternative way to access their home equity without surrendering a first mortgage with a more favorable interest rate than is currently available.
The proposal, published in the Federal Register, recognizes that existing borrowers “face limited options” if they seek to access equity on their primary residence, particularly if they have a mortgage rate from a loan originated during the low-rate environment of the COVID-19 pandemic.
“[A] traditional cash-out refinance today may pose a significant financial burden, as it requires a refinancing of the entire outstanding loan balance at a new, and likely much higher, interest rate,” FHFA said in its proposal. “Homeowners may also use second mortgages to access the equity in their homes, [where] only the smaller, second mortgage would be subject to the current market rate, as the original terms of the first mortgage would remain intact.”
Second mortgages are also typically offered at a lower interest rate than certain alternative products like personal loans, so Freddie Mac’s proposal is to purchase “certain closed-end second mortgage loans from primary market lenders” that are already approved to sell mortgages to Freddie Mac, the proposal states.
“In a closed-end second mortgage loan, the borrower’s funds are fully disbursed when the loan closes, the borrower repays over a set time schedule, and the mortgage is recorded in a junior lien position in the land records,” FHFA stated. “Freddie Mac has indicated that the primary goal of this proposed new product is to provide borrowers a lower cost alternative to a cash-out refinance in higher interest rate environments.”
FHFA Director Sandra Thompson explained that such options are needed in the current mortgage rate environment.
“The proposed activity is intended to provide homeowners with a cost-effective alternative for accessing the equity in their homes,” Thompson said in an announcement of the proposal. “Reviewing and considering comments from the public will be a critical component of our review as the agency exercises its statutory responsibility to evaluate new enterprise products.”
This is specifically designed to benefit consumers during the high rate environment, the agency said.
“In the current mortgage interest rate environment, a closed-end second mortgage may provide a more affordable option to homeowners than obtaining a new cash-out refinance or leveraging other consumer debt products,” the proposal explained. “A significant portion of borrowers have low interest rate first mortgages, and the proposal would allow those homeowners to retain this beneficial interest rate on the first mortgage and avoid resetting to a higher rate through a cash-out refinance.”
The Federal Housing Enterprises Financial Safety and Soundness Act of 1992, as amended by the Housing and Economic Recovery Act (HERA) of 2008, requires the GSEs to provide advance notice to FHFA of any potential actions or products they aim to pursue. This notice demonstrates that FHFA is fulfilling its mandate and seeks public comments on the proposal.
The comment period lasts 30 days from the publication of the proposal in the Federal Register, making May 16, 2024, the end of the comment period. Interested parties can submit comments to the agency on its website or via email.
Mortgage rates jumped for all types of loans compared to a week ago, according to data compiled by Bankrate. Rates for 30-year fixed, 15-year fixed, 5/1 ARMs and jumbo loans edged higher.
While mortgage rates are still on track to gradually come down this year, the path might be bumpy. Lenders price mortgages based on many variables, but overall, fixed mortgage rates follow the 10-year Treasury yield, which moves as investor appetite fluctuates with the state of the economy and Federal Reserve decisions.
The Fed indicated it’d cut rates in 2024, but policymakers held off at its latest meeting, citing the need for more promising economic data. The Fed has been working to bring inflation back to its 2 percent target since 2022.
“The Fed is not in a hurry to start cutting interest rates as the progress toward 2 percent inflation has encountered some turbulence,” says Greg McBride, CFA, chief financial analyst for Bankrate.
For now, the Fed expects to issue three rate cuts in 2024. When that happens, the rates on a variety of financial products, including mortgages, should follow suit.
Whether mortgage rates move up or down, though, it’s tough to time the market. Often, the decision to buy a home comes down to needs. Depending on your situation, it might make sense to take a higher rate now and hope to refinance later — buying a home at today’s prices rather than a higher price in the future, while building equity that much sooner.
Rates last updated April 15, 2024.
The rates listed above are averages based on the assumptions here. Actual rates displayed across the site may vary. This story has been reviewed by Suzanne De Vita. All rate data accurate as of Monday, April 15th, 2024 at 7:30 a.m.
30-year mortgage rate climbs, +0.08%
Today’s average rate for the benchmark 30-year fixed mortgage is 7.05 percent, up 8 basis points from a week ago. A month ago, the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage was lower, at 6.90 percent.
At the current average rate, you’ll pay $668.66 per month in principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow. That’s $5.37 higher compared with last week.
15-year mortgage rate moves higher, +0.16%
The average rate for a 15-year fixed mortgage is 6.54 percent, up 16 basis points over the last week.
Monthly payments on a 15-year fixed mortgage at that rate will cost approximately $873 per $100,000 borrowed. The bigger payment may be a little harder to find room for in your monthly budget than a 30-year mortgage payment, but it comes with some big advantages: You’ll come out several thousand dollars ahead over the life of the loan in total interest paid and build equity much faster.
5/1 ARM rate increases, +0.02%
The average rate on a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage is 6.58 percent, up 2 basis points over the last 7 days.
Adjustable-rate mortgages, or ARMs, are mortgage loans that come with a floating interest rate. To put it another way, the interest rate will change at regular intervals, unlike fixed-rate mortgages. These loan types are best for people who expect to refinance or sell before the first or second adjustment. Rates could be substantially higher when the loan first adjusts, and thereafter.
While borrowers shunned ARMs during the pandemic days of super-low rates, this type of loan has made a comeback as mortgage rates have risen.
Monthly payments on a 5/1 ARM at 6.58 percent would cost about $637 for each $100,000 borrowed over the initial five years, but could increase by hundreds of dollars afterward, depending on the loan’s terms.
The average rate for the benchmark jumbo mortgage is 7.21 percent, up 12 basis points from a week ago. Last month on the 15th, the average rate for jumbo mortgages was below that at 7.04 percent.
At today’s average jumbo rate, you’ll pay principal and interest of $679.47 for every $100,000 you borrow. That’s up $8.11 from what it would have been last week.
Refinance rates
30-year fixed-rate refinance increases, +0.08%
The average 30-year fixed-refinance rate is 7.07 percent, up 8 basis points from a week ago. A month ago, the average rate on a 30-year fixed refinance was lower at 6.85 percent.
At the current average rate, you’ll pay $670.01 per month in principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow. That’s an increase of $5.38 over what you would have paid last week.
Where are mortgage rates heading?
With mortgage rates buffeted by many factors, it’s impossible to predict exactly when they’ll rise or fall. With the Fed still aiming for three rate cuts this year, it’s possible we’ll see lower rates sooner rather than later.
Keep in mind: The rates on 30-year mortgages mostly follow the 10-year Treasury, which shifts continuously as economic conditions dictate, while the cost of variable-rate home loans mirror the Fed’s moves.
These broader factors influence overall rate movement. As a borrower, you could be quoted a higher or lower rate compared to the trend.
What today’s rates mean for your mortgage
While mortgage rates change daily, it’s unlikely we’ll see rates back at 3 percent anytime soon. If you’re shopping for a mortgage now, it might be wise to lock your rate when you find an affordable loan. If your house-hunt is taking longer than anticipated, revisit your budget so you’ll know exactly how much house you can afford at prevailing market rates.
You could save serious money on interest by getting at least three loan offers, according to Freddie Mac research. You don’t have to stick with your bank or credit union, either. There are many types of mortgage lenders, including online-only and local, smaller shops.
“All too often, some [homebuyers] take the path of least resistance when seeking a mortgage, in part because the process of buying a home can be stressful, complicated and time-consuming,” says Mark Hamrick, senior economic analyst for Bankrate. “But when we’re talking about the potential of saving a lot of money, seeking the best deal on a mortgage has an excellent return on investment. Why leave that money on the table when all it takes is a bit more effort to shop around for the best rate, or lowest cost, on a mortgage?”
More on current mortgage rates
Methodology
Bankrate displays two sets of rate averages that are produced from two surveys we conduct: one daily (“overnight averages”) and the other weekly (“Bankrate Monitor averages”).
The rates on this page represent our overnight averages. For these averages, APRs and rates are based on no existing relationship or automatic payments.
Learn more about Bankrate’s rate averages, editorial guidelines and how we make money.
Two-thirds of business owners who are mothers say creating generational wealth for their children is a major reason they launched their business, according to a survey of 1,000 mothers and business owners conducted for SoFi in March 2024. Nearly half (48%) also expect their kids to take over some day, intending to pass the business onto the next generation.
Even so, nearly half (42%) of entrepreneurs who are mothers feel they are treated differently by society than entrepreneurs who are fathers.
According to the latest Census data, women own 13.8 million businesses across the U.S., employing 10 million workers and generating $3.9 trillion in revenue. Those businesses make up 39.1% of all U.S. businesses, a 13.6% increase from 2019 to 2023, according to the Small Business Administration.
Many entrepreneurs who are mothers – or mompreneurs, a term that was coined in the 1990s – have a long-term plan to grow their business, with 86% of those who have another job saying they want to devote themselves full-time to their own company eventually. More than half are actively working to educate their children on being entrepreneurs themselves.
The challenges in finding a balance between work and home are genuine, however, with mompreneurs feeling shortchanged on both sleep and time to spend with family and friends. And two-thirds feel judged by others for pursuing their entrepreneurial goals while being a parent to begin with.
Source: Based on a survey conducted between March 18-24 2024, of 1,000 female business owners aged 18 and over who have at least one child and live in the U.S.
Young Children and Businesses?
Our survey showed 29% of the respondents said their oldest child was 6 to 10 years old when they started their business, followed by 15% saying their oldest child was a teenager between 13 and 18. Another 14% started their business when their oldest child was just 3 to 5 years old.
A majority (74%) of our respondents were married or living with a partner, and most of the respondents had one child or two. As for the children’s ages, 51% had kids between 5 and 13, and 34% had teenagers between 13 and 18.
Among our survey respondents, the largest age group (37%) was 35 to 44 and the second largest (27%) was 25 to 34. As for education, the largest group (33%) had a university degree, but those who had a high school degree (28%) came in a close second.
Living in the Present, Envisioning a Better Future
A majority of the mompreneurs in this survey said desires for financial independence and personal growth motivated them to launch their own business.
So has being a mother made it harder or easier to run a business? Survey respondents said being a parent enhanced their entrepreneurial skills in a myriad ways:
• Improved problem-solving skills: 60%
• Enhanced multitasking abilities: 51%
• Increased empathy and understanding: 46%
• Greater resilience in the face of challenges: 46%
Two-thirds of respondents (66%) said creating generational wealth for their children was a big reason for launching their business.
And nearly half (48%) said they are confident their children will take over their business eventually. Many mompreneurs are already phasing in their kids when it comes to learning about business.
When asked how they involve their children in entrepreneurial activities, the respondents answered this way (multiple selections were possible):
• Educating them about entrepreneurship: 55%
• Introducing them to the business environment: 43%
• Assigning age-appropriate tasks related to the business: 41%
• Including them in decision-making processes: 31%
Work-Life Balance: Can It Be Found?
Running a business and raising children are tasks that are hard enough, but nearly two-thirds (62%) of survey respondents said they have another job in addition to the business they own. Interestingly, 50% of those with household incomes under $100K don’t have a different job aside from their business, compared to 17% of those with household incomes of over $100K.
Incredibly, for those who had a full-time or part-time job apart from their own small business, 26% still spent between 20 and 30 hours per week on their own company.
Something has to give, timewise, and our survey broke it down. When asked what they have to sacrifice to balance entrepreneurship and parenthood, this is what our respondents said (multiple selections were possible):
• Sleep: 48%
• Spending time with friends and family: 48%
• Hobbies: 38%
• Exercise: 28%
• Diet: 21%
• None of the above – I don’t have to make any sacrifices: 16%
Asked what challenges female entrepreneurs who have children face, they answered as follows (multiple selection were possible):
• Balancing work and family time: 58%
• Balancing multiple roles: 42%
• Managing stress and burnout: 40%
• Access to funding or financial resources: 38%
• Overcoming societal expectations about mothers who start their own businesses: 26%
• Navigating discrimination or bias: 18%
Having help at home in the form of a partner or other adults can go a long way, but 37% of respondents, the largest group, said it was mostly them alone left with the mental load of home responsibilities. However, an even split between the respondent and their partner came in a close second at 35%.
When the mompreneurs did get help, the percentages broke down in interesting ways.
Here’s how partners and extended family members offered support (multiple selections were possible):
• Assisting with childcare during work hours: 30%
• Providing emotional support: 20%
• Collaborating on business-related tasks: 16%
• Helping with housework: 14%
• Offering financial assistance: 11%
In terms of stress relief, respondents said they balanced self-care with roles as parent and entrepreneur:
• Participating in hobbies or leisure activities: 51%
• Scheduled breaks and downtime: 47%
• Regular exercise or physical activity: 45%
• Seeking professional help or counseling: 40%
Gender Disparities Revealed
While women-owned businesses are more prevalent in America than ever before, our respondents said that they experience inequity.
More than two in five respondents (42%) said they felt that entrepreneurs who are mothers are treated differently than entrepreneurs who are fathers. Only one in five (21%) said they thought mothers and fathers who owned business were treated equally.
More than 60% of mompreneurs said they felt “judged by others for pursuing entrepreneurial goals while being a parent.”
Making matters worse, the respondents said that this disapproval came into play if they sought financial support to grow their business.
When asked if they felt that being an entrepreneur and parent has affected their access to venture capital or other forms of financial support for their business, they answered:
• Yes: 43%
• No: 34%
• I haven’t tried to secure additional funding for my business: 21%
The Takeaway
Women own 13.8 million businesses in the United States, making up 39.1% of all businesses. Their numbers keep growing, yet nearly half of these mompreneurs feel society treats them differently than owners who are fathers, and balancing work and home is a challenge.
If you’re seeking financing for your business, SoFi can help. On SoFi’s marketplace, you can shop top providers today to access the capital you need. Find a personalized business financing option today in minutes.
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Average mortgage rates edged higher yesterday. It was a modest increase by any standards but tiny by comparison with Wednesday’s big jump.
First thing, it was looking as if mortgage rates today could fall. But that could change later in the day.
Current mortgage and refinance rates
Find your lowest rate. Start here
Our table is having technical problems. But we’re working hard to fix them.
Program
Mortgage Rate
APR*
Change
30-year fixed VA
7.222%
7.262%
+0.05
Conventional 20-year fixed
7.007%
7.058%
+0.07
Conventional 10-year fixed
6.51%
6.584%
+0.09
Conventional 30-year fixed
7.127%
7.173%
+0.07
30-year fixed FHA
7.056%
7.1%
+0.09
Conventional 15-year fixed
6.64%
6.713%
+0.1
5/1 ARM Conventional
6.785%
7.888%
+0.08
Rates are provided by our partner network, and may not reflect the market. Your rate might be different. Click here for a personalized rate quote. See our rate assumptions See our rate assumptions here.
Should you lock your mortgage rate today?
Markets have turned gloomy over the prospects of the Federal Reserve cutting general interest rates over the next few months. And that’s been pushing mortgage rates higher.
So, for now, my personal rate lock recommendations remain:
LOCK if closing in 7 days
LOCK if closing in 15 days
LOCK if closing in 30 days
LOCK if closing in 45 days
LOCKif closing in 60days
However, with so much uncertainty at the moment, your instincts could easily turn out to be as good as mine — or better. So, let your gut and your own tolerance for risk help guide you.
>Related: 7 Tips to get the best refinance rate
Market data affecting today’s mortgage rates
Here’s a snapshot of the state of play this morning at about 9:50 a.m. (ET). The data are mostly compared with roughly the same time the business day before, so much of the movement will often have happened in the previous session. The numbers are:
The yield on 10-year Treasury notes fell to 4.50% from 4.55%. (Good for mortgage rates.) More than any other market, mortgage rates typically tend to follow these particular Treasury bond yields
Major stock indexes were falling this morning. (Good for mortgage rates.) When investors buy shares, they’re often selling bonds, which pushes those prices down and increases yields and mortgage rates. The opposite may happen when indexes are lower. But this is an imperfect relationship
Oil prices increased to $87.42 from $85.57 a barrel. (Bad for mortgage rates*.) Energy prices play a prominent role in creating inflation and also point to future economic activity
Goldprices climbed to $2,414 from $2,361 an ounce. (Good for mortgage rates*.) It is generally better for rates when gold prices rise and worse when they fall. Because gold tends to rise when investors worry about the economy.
CNN Business Fear & Greed index — fell to 51 from 54 out of 100. (Good for mortgage rates.) “Greedy” investors push bond prices down (and interest rates up) as they leave the bond market and move into stocks, while “fearful” investors do the opposite. So, lower readings are often better than higher ones
*A movement of less than $20 on gold prices or 40 cents on oil ones is a change of 1% or less. So we only count meaningful differences as good or bad for mortgage rates.
Caveats about markets and rates
Before the pandemic, post-pandemic upheavals, and war in Ukraine, you could look at the above figures and make a pretty good guess about what would happen to mortgage rates that day. But that’s no longer the case. We still make daily calls. And are usually right. But our record for accuracy won’t achieve its former high levels until things settle down.
So, use markets only as a rough guide. Because they have to be exceptionally strong or weak to rely on them. But, with that caveat, mortgage rates today look likely to decrease. However, be aware that “intraday swings” (when rates change speed or direction during the day) are a common feature right now.
Find your lowest rate. Start here
What’s driving mortgage rates today?
Today
Two economic reports are scheduled for this morning.
The March import price index (IPI) landed at 8:30 a.m. Eastern. And that would normally be bad for mortgage rates. Markets had been expecting it to hold steady at 0.3% and it came in at 0.4%.
So, how come mortgage rates were falling first thing? Well, it’s too early to be sure. But those rates often move in the opposite direction after a sharp movement one way or the other. That’s simply markets reflecting on the change and deciding they over-reacted.
This morning’s other report isn’t due until 10 a.m. Eastern. And that means I won’t have time before my deadline to assess its likely impact on markets. They were expecting the preliminary consumer sentiment index for April to improve slightly to 79.9% from 79.4%.
A lower figure may help mortgage rates to fall while a higher one could push them upward. But this is one of those reports that rarely move those rates far unless they contain shockingly good or bad data.
Mortgage rates might also be affected by earnings reports later from three of the biggest U.S. banks, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Citigroup. If they all tell a really positive story, stock market reactions could spill over into the bond market that largely determines mortgage rates.
Next week
We’ve had April’s two most important reports over the last six days. And, taken together, they were pretty bad for mortgage rates.
Next week’s reports aren’t typically as influential by a long way. But a couple of them (retail sales and industrial production) could move mortgage rates higher if they feed markets’ current pessimism over Fed rate cuts — or push them downward if they contradict it.
Don’t forget you can always learn more about what’s driving mortgage rates in the most recent weekend edition of this daily report. These provide a more detailed analysis of what’s happening. They are published each Saturday morning soon after 10 a.m. (ET) and include a preview of the following week.
Recent trends
According to Freddie Mac’s archives, the weekly all-time lowest rate for 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages was set on Jan. 7, 2021, when it stood at 2.65%. The weekly all-time high was 18.63% on Sep. 10, 1981.
Freddie’s Apr. 11 report put that same weekly average at 6.88%, up from the previous week’s 6.82%. But note that Freddie’s data are almost always out of date by the time it announces its weekly figures.
Expert forecasts for mortgage rates
Looking further ahead, Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) each has a team of economists dedicated to monitoring and forecasting what will happen to the economy, the housing sector and mortgage rates.
And here are their rate forecasts for the four quarters of 2024 (Q1/24, Q2/24 Q3/24 and Q4/24).
The numbers in the table below are for 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages. Fannie’s were updated on Mar. 19 and the MBA’s on Mar. 22.
Forecaster
Q1/24
Q2/24
Q3/24
Q4/24
Fannie Mae
6.7%
6.7%
6.6%
6.4%
MBA
6.8%
6.6%
6.3%
6.1%
Of course, given so many unknowables, both these forecasts might be even more speculative than usual. And their past record for accuracy hasn’t been wildly impressive.
Important notes on today’s mortgage rates
Here are some things you need to know:
Typically, mortgage rates go up when the economy’s doing well and down when it’s in trouble. But there are exceptions. Read ‘How mortgage rates are determined and why you should care’
Only “top-tier” borrowers (with stellar credit scores, big down payments, and very healthy finances) get the ultralow mortgage rates you’ll see advertised
Lenders vary. Yours may or may not follow the crowd when it comes to daily rate movements — though they all usually follow the broader trend over time
When daily rate changes are small, some lenders will adjust closing costs and leave their rate cards the same
Refinance rates are typically close to those for purchases.
A lot is going on at the moment. And nobody can claim to know with certainty what will happen to mortgage rates in the coming hours, days, weeks or months.
Find your lowest mortgage rate today
You should comparison shop widely, no matter what sort of mortgage you want. Federal regulator the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau found in May 2023:
“Mortgage borrowers are paying around $100 a month more depending on which lender they choose, for the same type of loan and the same consumer characteristics (such as credit score and down payment).”
In other words, over the lifetime of a 30-year loan, homebuyers who don’t bother to get quotes from multiple lenders risk losing an average of $36,000. What could you do with that sort of money?
Verify your new rate
Mortgage rate methodology
The Mortgage Reports receives rates based on selected criteria from multiple lending partners each day. We arrive at an average rate and APR for each loan type to display in our chart. Because we average an array of rates, it gives you a better idea of what you might find in the marketplace. Furthermore, we average rates for the same loan types. For example, FHA fixed with FHA fixed. The end result is a good snapshot of daily rates and how they change over time.
How your mortgage interest rate is determined
Mortgage and refinance rates vary a lot depending on each borrower’s unique situation.
Factors that determine your mortgage interest rate include:
Overall strength of the economy — A strong economy usually means higher rates, while a weaker one can push current mortgage rates down to promote borrowing
Lender capacity — When a lender is very busy, it will increase rates to deter new business and give its loan officers some breathing room
Property type (condo, single-family, town house, etc.) — A primary residence, meaning a home you plan to live in full time, will have a lower interest rate. Investment properties, second homes, and vacation homes have higher mortgage rates
Loan-to-value ratio (determined by your down payment) — Your loan-to-value ratio (LTV) compares your loan amount to the value of the home. A lower LTV, meaning a bigger down payment, gets you a lower mortgage rate
Debt-To-Income ratio — This number compares your total monthly debts to your pretax income. The more debt you currently have, the less room you’ll have in your budget for a mortgage payment
Loan term — Loans with a shorter term (like a 15-year mortgage) typically have lower rates than a 30-year loan term
Borrower’s credit score — Typically the higher your credit score is, the lower your mortgage rate, and vice versa
Mortgage discount points — Borrowers have the option to buy discount points or ‘mortgage points’ at closing. These let you pay money upfront to lower your interest rate
Remember, every mortgage lender weighs these factors a little differently.
To find the best rate for your situation, you’ll want to get personalized estimates from a few different lenders.
Verify your new rate. Start here
Are refinance rates the same as mortgage rates?
Rates for a home purchase and mortgage refinance are often similar.
However, some lenders will charge more for a refinance under certain circumstances.
Typically when rates fall, homeowners rush to refinance. They see an opportunity to lock in a lower rate and payment for the rest of their loan.
This creates a tidal wave of new work for mortgage lenders.
Unfortunately, some lenders don’t have the capacity or crew to process a large number of refinance loan applications.
In this case, a lender might raise its rates to deter new business and give loan officers time to process loans currently in the pipeline.
Also, cashing out equity can result in a higher rate when refinancing.
Cash-out refinances pose a greater risk for mortgage lenders, so they’re often priced higher than new home purchases and rate-term refinances.
Check your refinance rates today. Start here
How to get the lowest mortgage or refinance rate
Since rates can vary, always shop around when buying a house or refinancing a mortgage.
Comparison shopping can potentially save thousands, even tens of thousands of dollars over the life of your loan.
Here are a few tips to keep in mind:
1. Get multiple quotes
Many borrowers make the mistake of accepting the first mortgage or refinance offer they receive.
Some simply go with the bank they use for checking and savings since that can seem easiest.
However, your bank might not offer the best mortgage deal for you. And if you’re refinancing, your financial situation may have changed enough that your current lender is no longer your best bet.
So get multiple quotes from at least three different lenders to find the right one for you.
2. Compare Loan Estimates
When shopping for a mortgage or refinance, lenders will provide a Loan Estimate that breaks down important costs associated with the loan.
You’ll want to read these Loan Estimates carefully and compare costs and fees line-by-line, including:
Interest rate
Annual percentage rate (APR)
Monthly mortgage payment
Loan origination fees
Rate lock fees
Closing costs
Remember, the lowest interest rate isn’t always the best deal.
Annual percentage rate (APR) can help you compare the ‘real’ cost of two loans. It estimates your total yearly cost including interest and fees.
Also, pay close attention to your closing costs.
Some lenders may bring their rates down by charging more upfront via discount points. These can add thousands to your out-of-pocket costs.
3. Negotiate your mortgage rate
You can also negotiate your mortgage rate to get a better deal.
Let’s say you get loan estimates from two lenders. Lender A offers the better rate, but you prefer your loan terms from Lender B. Talk to Lender B and see if they can beat the former’s pricing.
You might be surprised to find that a lender is willing to give you a lower interest rate in order to keep your business.
And if they’re not, keep shopping — there’s a good chance someone will.
Fixed-rate mortgage vs. adjustable-rate mortgage: Which is right for you?
Mortgage borrowers can choose between a fixed-rate mortgage and an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM).
Fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) have interest rates that never change unless you decide to refinance. This results in predictable monthly payments and stability over the life of your loan.
Adjustable-rate loans have a low interest rate that’s fixed for a set number of years (typically five or seven). After the initial fixed-rate period, the interest rate adjusts every year based on market conditions.
With each rate adjustment, a borrower’s mortgage rate can either increase, decrease, or stay the same. These loans are unpredictable since monthly payments can change each year.
Adjustable-rate mortgages are fitting for borrowers who expect to move before their first rate adjustment, or who can afford a higher future payment.
In most other cases, a fixed-rate mortgage is typically the safer and better choice.
Remember, if rates drop sharply, you are free to refinance and lock in a lower rate and payment later on.
How your credit score affects your mortgage rate
You don’t need a high credit score to qualify for a home purchase or refinance, but your credit score will affect your rate.
This is because credit history determines risk level.
Historically speaking, borrowers with higher credit scores are less likely to default on their mortgages, so they qualify for lower rates.
So, for the best rate, aim for a credit score of 720 or higher.
Mortgage programs that don’t require a high score include:
Conventional home loans — minimum 620 credit score
FHA loans — minimum 500 credit score (with a 10% down payment) or 580 (with a 3.5% down payment)
VA loans — no minimum credit score, but 620 is common
USDA loans — minimum 640 credit score
Ideally, you want to check your credit report and score at least 6 months before applying for a mortgage. This gives you time to sort out any errors and make sure your score is as high as possible.
If you’re ready to apply now, it’s still worth checking so you have a good idea of what loan programs you might qualify for and how your score will affect your rate.
You can get your credit report from AnnualCreditReport.com and your score from MyFico.com.
How big of a down payment do I need?
Nowadays, mortgage programs don’t require the conventional 20 percent down.
Indeed, first-time home buyers put only 6 percent down on average.
Down payment minimums vary depending on the loan program. For example:
Conventional home loans require a down payment between 3% and 5%
FHA loans require 3.5% down
VA and USDA loans allow zero down payment
Jumbo loans typically require at least 5% to 10% down
Keep in mind, a higher down payment reduces your risk as a borrower and helps you negotiate a better mortgage rate.
If you are able to make a 20 percent down payment, you can avoid paying for mortgage insurance.
This is an added cost paid by the borrower, which protects their lender in case of default or foreclosure.
But a big down payment is not required.
For many people, it makes sense to make a smaller down payment in order to buy a house sooner and start building home equity.
Verify your new rate. Start here
Choosing the right type of home loan
No two mortgage loans are alike, so it’s important to know your options and choose the right type of mortgage.
The five main types of mortgages include:
Fixed-rate mortgage (FRM)
Your interest rate remains the same over the life of the loan. This is a good option for borrowers who expect to live in their homes long-term.
The most popular loan option is the 30-year mortgage, but 15- and 20-year terms are also commonly available.
Adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM)
Adjustable-rate loans have a fixed interest rate for the first few years. Then, your mortgage rate resets every year.
Your rate and payment can rise or fall annually depending on how the broader interest rate trends.
ARMs are ideal for borrowers who expect to move prior to their first rate adjustment (usually in 5 or 7 years).
For those who plan to stay in their home long-term, a fixed-rate mortgage is typically recommended.
Jumbo mortgage
A jumbo loan is a mortgage that exceeds the conforming loan limit set by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
In 2023, the conforming loan limit is $726,200 in most areas.
Jumbo loans are perfect for borrowers who need a larger loan to purchase a high-priced property, especially in big cities with high real estate values.
FHA mortgage
A government loan backed by the Federal Housing Administration for low- to moderate-income borrowers. FHA loans feature low credit score and down payment requirements.
VA mortgage
A government loan backed by the Department of Veterans Affairs. To be eligible, you must be active-duty military, a veteran, a Reservist or National Guard service member, or an eligible spouse.
VA loans allow no down payment and have exceptionally low mortgage rates.
USDA mortgage
USDA loans are a government program backed by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. They offer a no-down-payment solution for borrowers who purchase real estate in an eligible rural area. To qualify, your income must be at or below the local median.
Bank statement loan
Borrowers can qualify for a mortgage without tax returns, using their personal or business bank account as evidence of their financial circumstances. This is an option for self-employed or seasonally-employed borrowers.
Portfolio/Non-QM loan
These are mortgages that lenders don’t sell on the secondary mortgage market. And this gives lenders the flexibility to set their own guidelines.
Non-QM loans may have lower credit score requirements or offer low-down-payment options without mortgage insurance.
Choosing the right mortgage lender
The lender or loan program that’s right for one person might not be right for another.
Explore your options and then pick a loan based on your credit score, down payment, and financial goals, as well as local home prices.
Whether you’re getting a mortgage for a home purchase or a refinance, always shop around and compare rates and terms.
Typically, it only takes a few hours to get quotes from multiple lenders. And it could save you thousands in the long run.
Time to make a move? Let us find the right mortgage for you
Current mortgage rates methodology
We receive current mortgage rates each day from a network of mortgage lenders that offer home purchase and refinance loans. Those mortgage rates shown here are based on sample borrower profiles that vary by loan type. See our full loan assumptions here.
Affiliate links for the products on this page are from partners that compensate us (see our advertiser disclosure with our list of partners for more details). However, our opinions are our own. See how we rate mortgages to write unbiased product reviews.
Average 30-year mortgage rates are hovering in the high 6% range this week after spiking close to 7% in the wake of the latest inflation report last Wednesday, according to Zillow data.
March’s Consumer Price Index data came in hotter than expected, causing mortgage rates to rise. Until inflation slows further and the Federal Reserve is able to start lowering the federal funds rate, mortgage rates are likely to remain elevated.
Depending on what incoming data shows, we could even see rates tick above 7% for the first time since November 2023.
Next week, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the latest personal consumption expenditures price index. The PCE price index is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation.
If the latest PCE numbers support the narrative that inflation is remaining stubbornly high, mortgage rates could inch up further. But the PCE price index tracks a broader range of good and services than the CPI, so it’s possible this index could show some softening that didn’t appear in the CPI report.
Ultimately, it may take a few more months of data before we see inflation cool enough for the Fed to start cutting rates. Though they were initially pricing in a rate cut at the Fed’s meeting in June, investors are now betting that we won’t get the first cut until September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. This will likely keep mortgage rates elevated throughout the spring and summer. But we could still see them go down later in 2024.
Current Mortgage Rates
Mortgage type
Average rate today
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mortgage rates on Zillow
Real Estate on Zillow
Current Refinance Rates
Mortgage type
Average rate today
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Mortgage Calculator
Use our free mortgage calculator to see how today’s mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. By plugging in different rates and term lengths, you’ll also understand how much you’ll pay over the entire length of your mortgage.
Mortgage Calculator
$1,161 Your estimated monthly payment
Total paid$418,177
Principal paid$275,520
Interest paid$42,657
Paying a 25% higher down payment would save you $8,916.08 on interest charges
Lowering the interest rate by 1% would save you $51,562.03
Paying an additional $500 each month would reduce the loan length by 146 months
Click “More details” for tips on how to save money on your mortgage in the long run.
Mortgage Rates for Buying a Home
30-Year Fixed Mortgage Increase (+0.28%)
The current average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.89%, up 28 points from where it was this time last week, according to Zillow data. This rate is also up compared to a month ago, when it was 6.53%.
At 6.89%, you’ll pay $658 monthly toward principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow.
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is the most common type of home loan. With this type of mortgage, you’ll pay back what you borrowed over 30 years, and your interest rate won’t change for the life of the loan.
20-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Rise (+0.34%)
The average 20-year fixed mortgage rate is 34 points up from where it was last week, and is sitting at 6.64%. This time last month, the rate was 6.22%.
With a 6.64% rate on a 20-year term, your monthly payment will be $754 toward principal and interest for every $100,000 borrowed.
A 20-year term isn’t as common as a 30-year or 15-year term, but plenty of mortgage lenders still offer this option.
The average 15-year mortgage rate is 6.12%, just a single basis point higher than last week. It’s up slightly compared to this time last month, when it was 6.03%.
With a 6.12% rate on a 15-year term, you’ll pay $850 each month toward principal and interest for every $100,000 borrowed.
If you want the predictability that comes with a fixed rate but are looking to spend less on interest over the life of your loan, a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage might be a good fit for you. Because these terms are shorter and have lower rates than 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, you could potentially save tens of thousands of dollars in interest. However, you’ll have a higher monthly payment than you would with a longer term.
7/1 ARM Rates Increase Slightly (+0.11%)
The 7/1 adjustable mortgage rate is up 11 basis points from a week ago, currently at 6.80%. It’s down from a month ago, when it was at 7.02%.
At 6.80%, your monthly payment would be $652 toward principal and interest for every $100,000 borrowed — but only for the first seven years. After that, your payment would increase or decrease annually depending on the new rate.
5/1 ARM Rates Nearly Flat (+0.03%)
The average 5/1 ARM rate is 6.87%, a three-point increase from last week. It’s lower compared to where it was a month ago, when it was 7.06%.
Here’s how a 6.87% rate would affect you for the first five years: You’d pay $657 per month toward principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow.
30-year FHA Rates Go Up (+0.19%)
The average 30-year FHA interest rate is 5.93% today, which is 19 basis points up from last week. This rate was 6.09% a month ago.
At 5.93%, you would pay $595 monthly toward principal and interest for every $100,000 borrowed.
FHA mortgages are good choices if you don’t qualify for a conforming mortgage. You’ll need a 3.5% down payment and 580 credit score to qualify.
30-year VA Rates Jump Above 6% (+0.42%)
The current VA mortgage rate is 6.25%, 42 basis points higher than this time last week. This rate was 5.95% a month ago.
With a 6.25% rate, your monthly payment would be $616 toward principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow.
Mortgage Refinance Rates
30-Year Fixed Refinance Rates Inch Down (-0.08%)
The average 30-year refinance rate is 6.98%, eight basis points lower than last week. It’s also down slightly compared to a month ago, when it was 7.08%.
Here’s how a 6.98% rate would affect your monthly payments: You’d pay $664 toward principal and interest for every $100,000 borrowed.
Refinancing into a 30-year term can land you lower monthly payments, but you’ll ultimately pay more by refinancing into a longer term.
20-Year Fixed Refinance Rates Spike (+1.31%)
The current 20-year fixed refinance rate is 7.69%, which is up 131 basis points compared to a week ago. This rate was 6.53% this time last month.
A 7.69% rate on a 20-year term will result in a $817 monthly payment toward principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow.
15-Year Fixed Refinance Rates Tick Up (+0.15%)
The average 15-year fixed refinance rate is 6.59%, which is 15 points higher compared to last week. It’s also up compared to this time a month ago, when it was at 6.34%.
A 6.59% rate on a 15-year term means you’ll pay $876 each month toward principal and interest for every $100,000 borrowed.
Refinancing into a 15-year term can save you money in the long run, because you’ll get a lower rate and pay off your mortgage faster than you would with a 30-year term. But it could result in higher monthly payments.
7/1 ARM Refinance Rates Drop a Full Percentage Point (-1.12%)
The average 7/1 ARM refinance rate is 6.49%, down 112 points from where it was last week. It’s also down a bit from a month ago, when it was 7.94%.
Refinancing into a 7/1 ARM with a 6.49% rate means your monthly payment toward principal and interest will be $631 for every $100,000 you borrow. This will be the payment for the first seven years, then your rate will change annually unless you refinance again.
5/1 ARM Refinance Rates Fall (-0.76%)
The 5/1 ARM refinance rate is 6.41%, which is lower than it was this time last week. It’s also down a lot compared to this time last month, when it was 7.59%.
A 6.41% rate will result in a monthly payment of $626 toward principal and interest for every $100,000 borrowed. You’ll pay this amount for the first five years of your new mortgage.
The 30-year FHA refinance rate is 5.95%, which is 19 points higher than last week. This rate was 5.49% this time last month.
A 5.95% refinance rate would lead to a $596 monthly payment toward the principal and interest per $100,000 borrowed.
30-Year VA Refinance Rates Inch Up (+0.12)
The average 30-year VA refinance rate is 5.91%, which is up 12 points compared to where it was was last week. This rate was 5.82% a month ago.
At 5.91%, your new monthly payment would be $594 toward principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow.
Are Mortgage Rates Going Down?
Mortgage rates started ticking up from historic lows in the second half of 2021 and increased over three percentage points in 2022. Mortgage rates also rose dramatically in 2023, though they started trending back down toward the end of the year. Though rates have been somewhat elevated recently, they should go down by the end of 2024.
For homeowners looking to leverage their home’s value to cover a big purchase — such as a home renovation — a home equity line of credit (HELOC) may be a good option while we wait for mortgage rates to ease further. Check out some of our best HELOC lenders to start your search for the right loan for you.
A HELOC is a line of credit that lets you borrow against the equity in your home. It works similarly to a credit card in that you borrow what you need rather than getting the full amount you’re borrowing in a lump sum. It also lets you tap into the money you have in your home without replacing your entire mortgage, like you’d do with a cash-out refinance.
Current HELOC rates are relatively low compared to other loan options, including credit cards and personal loans.
Reverse mortgage volume dropped in February compared to the month prior, and new data compiled by Reverse Market Insight (RMI) shows that the primary culprit for the month was retail reverse mortgage originations.
The retail channel volume decrease of 15.7% effectively “masked” a gain of 3.9% posted on the wholesale side of the business, according to RMI. To get a better idea of the dynamics driving this data, RMD spoke with Jon McCue, RMI’s director of client relations, for additional perspective and a breakdown of why business moved this way.
Retail vs. wholesale drop
When asked about why retail suffered a heavier drop for the month, McCue said it could stem from a few different factors.
“I know some companies have gone back to brokering their loans because the volumes are not high enough to support their own staff to compete in the full correspondent space, so I’m sure there is an uptick in part to that,” McCue said. “Outside of that, a one-month decline like this is really too early to weigh in heavily with speculation. If this becomes a trend, then I think that would tell us more.”
Four of the top 10 lenders in the space — South River Mortgage, Goodlife Home Loans, Longbridge Financial and Liberty Reverse Mortgage — managed to post gains for the month. When asked about why the bigger lenders sustained drops in the retail and consumer-direct business channels compared to the wholesale side, McCue said part of it is data visibility.
“Given that the vast majority of brokers in the space only do zero to one loans a month, it is easier to see the significant decreases in the larger players since their volumes are more visible to the entire space,” he said.
“Because of this fact, when there are industry headwinds, we tend to see it first in the larger lenders simply because it is easier to see. However, if we go back to the November and December case number assignments, the writing was sort of on the wall that a month like this was coming.”
That’s because those were the two lowest case number assignment months in all of 2023, McCue said. South River Mortgage does not have a wholesale channel, so its growth was due entirely to retail, but for the other lenders it was a bit more channel-driven, with the exception of Longbridge, he added.
“Longbridge led the wholesale channel in February and was No. 3 in retail, so when combined it gave them a nice boost month over month,” McCue said. “Goodlife was all from their wholesale channel, and Liberty was a little bit of a combined effort as well from both its channels.”
Case numbers, product types
In terms of case numbers, the low-issuance months at the end of 2023 served as a bit of a telegraph, McCue noted.
“Since we are speaking of February endorsements, we need to go back to around the November and December case number assignments, which happened to be the lowest in all of 2023 at just over 2,600 and 2,200 respectively,” he explained.
“With that said, you shouldn’t be too surprised to see endorsements fall off in February. However, ever since the start of the year, we have seen an uptick in case numbers, which correlates to the uptick in activity LOs have been seeing and that [RMD has] reported on.”
Earlier in the year, RMD spoke to reverse mortgage managers and loan officers across the country, who did in fact report a more steady stream of inbound inquiries and product interest. Part of that was also due to an apparent increase in originator sentiment around the HECM for Purchase (H4P) product, which RMI hopes to see more of in the months ahead.
“We are firm believers that the H4P product is prime to take off,” McCue said. “When looking at H4P volumes over the years, interest rates have had very little to do with its success. In fact, the lowest levels of H4P were in the lowest rate environment during the 2020 pandemic as inventory tightened and seniors were not interested in moving given all that was happening.”
Industry perseverance
But other data suggests that seniors may be more willing to move again. He cited the 2024 Generational Trends report from by the National Association of Realtors (NAR), which indicated that the senior demographic made up the second-largest portions of buyers and sellers.
“This tells me [seniors] are moving again, so what are their options? For the right people in this high interest rate environment, an H4P may just be what they need,” McCue said. “And now that the program has gone through some recent changes, it is more closely related to its forward counterpart.”
The reverse mortgage industry, he added, is adding its own brand of perseverance to the table.
“With the rate environment we are in, it is tough, but case number assignments have been on the rise since January, the H4P product got some much needed improvements, and in speaking with LOs, it sounds like they are keeping busy,” McCue said. “Currently, all signs are pointing in the right direction, but that isn’t because of rates. It’s because of the hard work of all the professionals in this space working very hard to help their clients.”