Uncommon Knowledge
Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.
President Joe Biden has proposed an annual tax credit that would give Americans $400 a month for the next two years to put towards their mortgages.
Addressing the affordability crisis in the housing market in his State of the Union address on Thursday, Biden said: “I know the cost of housing is so important to you. Inflation keeps coming down, and mortgage rates will come down as well.
“But I’m not waiting. I want to provide an annual tax credit that will give Americans $400 a month for the next two years as mortgage rates come down, to put towards their mortgage when they buy their first home, or trade up for a little more space.”
Home prices skyrocketed during the pandemic, driven by relatively low mortgage rates, high demand and low inventory. At their peak, the median listed price for a home in the U.S. reached $465,000 in June 2022, according to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED).
While the housing market experienced a price correction between late summer 2022 and spring 2023, prices remain historically high, propped up by lingering low supply. In June 2023, the median listed price for a home in the U.S. was $448,000. As of January 2024, this was $409,500, according to data from FRED.
While home prices have stayed high for the past three years, a rise in mortgage rates driven by the Federal Reserve’s aggressive hike rate campaign last year has led to many aspiring homebuyers being completely squeezed out of the market. In December last year, the reserve said that it would have stopped rising rates, but mortgages are yet to significantly come down.
High mortgage rates, together with the historic shortage of homes in the U.S.—due to the fact that the country hasn’t built enough homes to meet demand since the housing crash of 2008—have contributed to the current affordability crisis.
In late 2023, J.P. Morgan said that, based on then-current trends, housing affordability could be restored in 3.5 years. Newsweek contacted J.P. Morgan for comment by email on Friday morning.
Biden is now calling on Congress to provide a one-year tax credit of up to $10,000 to middle-class families who sell their starter home—a home below the median home price of the area where it is located—to another owner or occupant. The White House said that this proposal could help nearly 3 million American families.
On Friday, Biden’s announcement on the tax credit was met with a standing ovation and roaring applause by Democratic lawmakers, while about half of the House stayed seated.
The president also mentioned other measures to address the housing affordability crisis in the U.S. These included down-payment assistance for first-generation homeowners, tax credit to build more housing, and lowering costs by building and preserving millions of homes.
“My administration is also eliminating title insurance on federally backed mortgages,” Biden told lawmakers on Friday.
“When you refinance your home, you can save $1,000 or more as a consequence. We’re cracking down on big landlords who break antitrust laws by price-fixing and driving up rents. We’ve cut red tape, so builders can get federal financing,” the president said among the cheering of some lawmakers.
Update, 3/8/24, 8 a.m. ET: The headline on this article was updated.
Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.
Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.
Source: newsweek.com
Mutual funds and index funds are similar in many ways, but there are some key differences that investors need to understand to effectively implement them into an investment strategy. Those differences might include investing style, associated fees and taxes, and how they work.
The choice between an index fund and an actively managed mutual fund can be a hard one, especially for investors who are unsure of the distinction. The differences between index funds and other mutual funds are actually few — but may be important, depending on the investor.
Index funds and mutual funds are similar in many ways, but they do differ in some others, such as how they work, associated costs, and investment style.
💡 Quick Tip: How to manage potential risk factors in a self-directed investment account? Doing your research and employing strategies like dollar-cost averaging and diversification may help mitigate financial risk when trading stocks.
Index funds are a type of mutual fund, interestingly enough. Index funds are distinguished by their investing approach: Index funds invest in an index, and only change the securities they hold when the index changes, or to realign their holdings to better match the index they invest in.
Rather than rely on a portfolio manager’s instincts and experience, an index fund tracks a particular index. There are benchmark indexes across all of the different asset classes, including stocks, bonds, currencies, and commodities. As an example, the S&P 500® Index tracks the stocks of 500 of the leading companies in the United States.
An index fund aims to mirror the performance of a given benchmark index by investing in the same companies with similar weights. With these funds, it’s not about beating the market, it’s about tracking it, and as such, index funds typically follow a passive investment strategy, known as a buy-and-hold strategy.
A mutual fund is an investment that holds a collection — or portfolio — of securities, such as stocks and bonds. The “mutual” part of the name has to do with the structure of the fund, in that all of its investors mutually combine their funds in this one shared portfolio.
Mutual funds are also called ’40 Act funds, as they were created in 1940 by an act of Congress that was designed to correct some of the investment abuses that led to the Stock Market Crash of 1929. It created a regulatory framework for offering and maintaining mutual funds, including requirements for filings, service charges, financial disclosures, and the fiduciary duties of investment companies.
To get people to invest, the portfolio managers of a given mutual fund offer a unique investment perspective or strategy. That could mean investing in tech stocks, or only investing in the fund manager’s five best ideas, or investing in a few thousand stocks at once, or only in gold-mining stocks, and so on.
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There may be different associated costs with index funds and mutual funds as well.
Mutual-fund managers generally charge investors a management fee, which comes from the assets of the fund. Those fees vary widely, but an active manager will generally charge more, as they have to pay the salaries of analysts, researchers, and the stock pickers themselves. Passive managers of index funds, on the other hand, simply have to pay to license the use of an index.
An actively-managed mutual fund may charge an expense ratio (which includes the management fee) of 0.5% to 0.75%, and sometimes as high as 1.5%. But for index funds, that expense ratio is typically much lower — often around 0.2%, and as low as 0.02% for some funds.
The two also differ on a basic level in that index funds are a passive investing vehicle and mutual funds are typically actively managed. That means that investors who want to take a hands-off approach may find index funds a more suitable choice, whereas investors who want a guiding hand in their portfolio may be more attracted to mutual funds.
Mutual Funds vs. Index Funds: Key Differences |
|
---|---|
Mutual Funds | Index Funds |
Overseen by a fund manager | Track a market index |
May have higher associated costs | Typically has lower associated costs |
Active investing | Passive investing |
There’s no telling whether an index or mutual fund is better for you — it’ll depend on specific factors relevant to your specific situation and goals.
When deciding how to invest, everyone has their own unique approach. If an investor believes in the expertise and human touch of a fund manager or team of professionals, then an actively managed fund like a mutual fund may be the right fit. While no one beats the market every year, some funds can potentially outperform the broader market for long stretches.
But for those individuals who want to invest in the markets and not think about it, then the broad exposure — and lower fees — offered by index funds may make more sense. Investing in index funds tends to work best when you hold your money in the funds for a longer period of time, or use a dollar-cost-average strategy, where you invest consistently over time to take advantage of both high and low points.
💡 Quick Tip: Did you know that opening a brokerage account typically doesn’t come with any setup costs? Often, the only requirement to open a brokerage account — aside from providing personal details — is making an initial deposit.
Index funds and mutual funds are similar investment vehicles, but there are some key differences which include how they’re managed, costs associated with them, and how they function at a granular level.
The choice between index funds and other mutual funds is one with decades of debate behind it. For individuals who prefer the expertise of a hands-on professional or team buying and selling assets within the fund, a mutual fund may be preferred. For investors who’d rather their fund passively track an index — without worrying about “beating the market” — an index fund might be the way to go.
Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an investment account with SoFi Invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, but other fees apply (full fee disclosure here).
For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.
Actively-managed funds, such as mutual funds, tend to underperform the market as a whole over time. That’s to say that most of the time, a broad index fund may be more likely to outperform a mutual fund.
The types of funds that investors prefer to invest in depends completely on their own financial situation and investment goals. But some investors may prefer index funds over mutual funds due to their hands-off, passive approach and lower associated costs.
Mutual funds may be riskier than index funds, but it depends on the specific funds being compared — mutual funds do tend to be more expensive than index funds, and tend to underperform the market at large, too.
SoFi Invest®
INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE
SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below:
Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.
Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.
Investment Risk: Diversification can help reduce some investment risk. It cannot guarantee profit, or fully protect in a down market.
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Source: sofi.com
While each investor may have their own approach to investing, there are some best practices that have been honed over time by those with years of experience.
That’s not to say that one investing strategy is right and another is wrong, or that any strategy is more likely to succeed than another. When it comes to putting your money in the market, there are no guarantees and no crystal balls. But understanding some basic guidelines that have stood the test of time can be beneficial.
Following are a few fundamentals that hold true for many people in many situations. Bearing these in mind won’t guarantee any outcomes, but they can help you manage risk, investing costs, and your own emotions.
In general, the longer your investments remain in the market, the greater the odds are that you might see positive returns. That’s because long-term investments benefit from time in the market, not timing the market.
Meaning: The markets inevitably rise and fall. So the sooner you invest, and the longer you keep your money invested, the more likely it is that your investments can recover from any volatility or downturns.
In addition, if your investments do see a gain, those earnings generate additional earnings over time, and then those earnings generate earnings, potentially increasing your returns. This is similar to the principle of compound interest.
One of the easiest ways to build up an investment account is by automatically contributing a certain amount to the account at regular intervals over time. If you have a 401(k) or other workplace retirement account you likely already do this via paycheck deferrals. However, most brokerages allow you to set up automatic, repeating deposits in other types of accounts as well.
Investing in this way also allows you to take advantage of a strategy called dollar-cost averaging, which helps reduce your exposure to volatility. Dollar cost averaging is when you buy a fixed dollar amount of an investment on a regular cadence (e.g. weekly or monthly).
The goal is not to invest when prices are high or low, but rather to keep your investment steady, and thereby avoid the temptation to time the market. That’s because with dollar cost averaging (DCA) you invest the same dollar amount each time, so that when prices are lower, you buy more; when prices are higher, you buy less.
💡 Quick Tip: If you’re opening a brokerage account for the first time, consider starting with an amount of money you’re prepared to lose. Investing always includes the risk of loss, and until you’ve gained some experience, it’s probably wise to start small.
If you have access to a workplace retirement account and your employer provides a match, contribute at least enough to get your full employer match. That’s a risk-free return that you can’t beat anywhere else in the market, and it’s part of your compensation that you should not leave on the table.
Recommended: Investing 101 Guide
By creating a diversified portfolio with a variety of types of investments across a range of asset classes, you may be able to reduce some of your investment risk.
Portfolio diversification involves investing your money across a range of different asset classes — such as stocks, bonds, and real estate — rather than concentrating all of it in one area. Studies have shown that by diversifying the assets in your portfolio, you may offset a certain amount of investment risk and thereby improve returns.
Taking portfolio diversification to the next step — further differentiating the investments you have within asset classes (for example, holding small-, medium-, and large-cap stocks, or a variety of bonds) — may also be beneficial.
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No matter whether you’re taking an active, passive, or automatic approach to investing, you’re going to have to pay some fees to managers or brokers. For example, if you buy mutual or exchange-traded funds, you will typically pay an annual fee based on that fund’s expense ratio.
Fees can be one of the biggest drags on investment returns over time, so it’s important to look carefully at the fees that you’re paying and to occasionally shop around to see if it’s possible to get similar investments for lower fees.
When markets go down, it can feel like the world is ending. New investors might find themselves pondering questions like How can investments lose so much value so quickly? Will they ever go back up? What should I do?
During the crash of early 2020, for example, $3.4 trillion in wealth disappeared from the S&P 500 index alone in a single week. And that’s not counting all of the other markets around the world. But over the next two years, investors saw big gains as markets hit record highs.
The takeaway? Investments fluctuate over time and managing your emotions is as important as managing your portfolio. If you have a long time horizon, you may not need to be overly concerned with how your portfolio is performing day to day. It’s often wiser to stick with your plan, and don’t impulsively buy or sell just because the weather changes, so to say.
💡 Quick Tip: Newbie investors may be tempted to buy into the market based on recent news headlines or other types of hype. That’s rarely a good idea. Making good choices shouldn’t stem from strong emotions, but a solid investment strategy.
Like fees, the taxes that you pay on investment gains can significantly eat away at your profits. That’s why tax-advantaged accounts, those types of investment vehicles that allow you to defer taxes, or eliminate them entirely, are so valuable to investors.
The tax-advantaged accounts that you can use will depend on your workplace benefits, your income, and state regulations, but they might include:
• Workplace retirement accounts such as 401(k), 403(b), etc.
• Health Savings Accounts (HSAs)
• Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs), including Roth IRAs, SEP IRAs, SIMPLE IRAs, etc.
• 529 Accounts (college savings accounts)
Recommended: Benefits of Health Savings Accounts
Once you’ve nailed down your asset allocation, or how you’ll proportion out your portfolio to various types of investments, you’ll want to make sure your portfolio doesn’t stray too far from that target. If one asset class, such as equities, outperforms others that you hold, it could end up accounting for a larger portion of your portfolio over time.
To correct that, you’ll want to rebalance once or twice a year to get back to the asset allocation that works best for you. If rebalancing seems like too much work, you might consider a target-date fund or an automated account, which will rebalance on your behalf.
While all of the above rules are important, it’s also critical to know your own personality and your ability to handle the volatility inherent in the market. If a steep drop in your portfolio is going to cause you extreme anxiety — or cause you to make knee-jerk investing decisions – then you might want to tilt your portfolio more conservatively.
Ideally, you’ll land on an asset allocation that takes into account both your risk tolerance and the amount of risk that you need (and are able) to take in order to meet your investment goals.
If, on the other hand, you get a thrill out of market ups and downs (or have other assets that make it easier for you to stomach short-term losses), you might consider taking a more aggressive approach to investing.
The rules outlined above are guidelines that can help both beginner and experienced investors build a portfolio that helps them meet their financial goals. While not all investors will follow all of these rules, understanding them provides a solid foundation for creating the strategy that works best for you.
Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an investment account with SoFi Invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, but other fees apply (full fee disclosure here).
Invest with as little as $5 with a SoFi Active Investing account.
SoFi Invest®
INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE
SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below:
Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.
Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.
Investment Risk: Diversification can help reduce some investment risk. It cannot guarantee profit, or fully protect in a down market.
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Source: sofi.com
People have been screaming about a housing bubble crash on social media sites for over 12 years. The truth is, U.S. housing credit looks very different than in 2005, 2006, 2007 or 2008. Homeowners have actually never looked better and the data from the Federal Reserve‘s Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit shows why.
Homeowners are not the people we need to be concerned about this time. Renters, younger renter households and those with lower FICO scores are the ones showing credit stress today. Homeowners, on the other hand, are sitting pretty and are the envy of the world.
After 2010, the qualified mortgage laws came into play and all the exotic loan debt structures in the system, especially in the run-up in demand from 2002 to 2005, disappeared. This means housing should only show financial stress when people lose their jobs and cannot pay their mortgages — not because the loan structures are a ticking time bomb.
As shown below, we saw massive credit stress in the data from 2005 to 2008, all before the job loss recession happened. It was there for everyone to see and read. Now, that same chart shows that homeowners don’t have credit stress. So, for those still saying housing is in a bubble: Where’s the beef?
From the report: About 40,000 individuals had new foreclosure notations on their credit reports, mostly unchanged from the previous quarter. New foreclosures have stayed very low since the CARES Act moratorium was lifted.
When I speak at events around the country and put up this chart, I always say, what a beautiful-looking chart! That’s because after 2010, people got 30-year fixed mortgages and every year, as their wages rose, their cash flow versus the debt cost of their home got better. Then add three refinancing waves in 2012, 2016 and 2020-2021, and you can see why homeowners are in a good spot.
During inflationary periods, wages grow faster than usual, so housing debt costs much less. Also, people live in their homes longer and longer as they age and their yearly income lowers their housing costs. One note on this subject: we had an explosion of households with FICO scores of 740+ during COVID-19. A lot of rookie economists said this was FICO score inflation. But the data has been the same since 2010: we just originated more loans during this time — purchases and refinances — so the data didn’t get better, it stayed roughly the same.
From the report: The median credit score for newly originated mortgages was flat at 770, while the median credit score of newly originated auto loans was one point higher than last quarter at 720.
When the next job loss recession hits, we should all expect credit stress in housing to start rising. Every month, people get fired and can’t find work right away. This is why jobless claims are never zero and we have a constant amount of 30-60 days late every month. However, since we are working from near record lows in credit delinquency data and the homeowners’ households are in such good financial shape, the credit stress data won’t be like what we saw in 2008.
Over 40% of homes in America don’t even have a mortgage, and we have a lot of nested equity, so if worst comes to worst, many homeowners who bought homes from 2010-2020 have a ton of equity and can sell. Remember, the foreclosure process typically will take 9-18 months from start to finish, meaning that homes come to market as market supply due to the legal process we have in-housing. This is very unlike 2008, where we had four years of credit stress building up in the system.
From the report: Early delinquency transition rates for mortgages increased by 0.2 percentage point yet remain low by historic standards.
Hopefully, between the charts and the explanations, you can see why it’s not housing 2008. However, we do see credit stress in the data for younger households and those with lower FICO scores. The people that Jerome Powell says he wants to help at each meeting are showing credit stress.
The Fed missed the housing bubble credit stress when it was apparent in the run-up to 2008, and now they’re turning a blind eye to those who aren’t homeowners by keeping policy too restrictive, due to some devotion to a 1970s inflation model that doesn’t exist today. Or, as I’ve said since 2022, they’re old and slow. It’s the nature of the beast.
Source: housingwire.com
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Nearly 215 million U.S. drivers carry car insurance, and many may ask themselves, “Why is my car insurance so high?” If you’re one of those Americans, know that there are ways you can take control of the situation and reduce your insurance premiums.
We’ll guide you through why your car insurance may be higher than normal and ways you can proactively work to lower the costs.
Most insurance providers consider your credit score when determining insurance rates. Maintaining a good credit score can help individuals maintain a lower insurance premium. However, those with poor credit scores often need to pay more since they are seen as being higher risk.
Factors that impact your FICO® credit score include:
Keep in mind that credit score is only one factor used by insurers to set premiums.
Your driving record can significantly impact your insurance premium costs. Those with clean driving records without any traffic violations or accidents tend to pay lower insurance premiums. However, policyholders who have been in vehicle accidents and accrued traffic violations may pay for higher insurance premiums. Your insurance provider can increase your premium for:
Your insurance may provide safe driver discounts to those with good driving records and who are accident-free for a required period. These discounts can decrease your insurance premiums.
Your insurance rates can be significantly affected by the coverage type and insurance level you opt for. Depending on where you reside, your state has regulations and criteria for minimum policy coverage.
For example, Washington requires drivers to have the following minimum coverage:
Depending on other factors, like your vehicle type and whether it’s leased, you may require additional coverage on top of the minimum state requirements.
Similar to your driving record, you want to keep your claim history as unscathed as possible. However, accidents happen, whether they result from your actions or those of another driver. Multiple filed claims can impact premium costs, especially if they are large claims, like a totaled vehicle. Plus, claims have a long-lasting impact—an at-fault accident can increase your rates for at least three years following the claim.
Insurance premiums can greatly vary by location, especially if you live in a city versus a more rural area. Insurance premiums in each state are affected by various factors, including:
Things like road conditions and crime rates can also impact your auto insurance. For example, If you live in an area with high auto theft rates and poorly planned roads that are prone to cause accidents, you’ll likely be paying higher insurance rates.
When insurers determine insurance premiums, they consider vehicle types. Certain car models have a lower likelihood of ensuring the safety of passengers or cost more to repair in the case of an accident, leading to higher insurance rates.
Vehicles that typically have higher rates are:
Vehicles that typically have lower rates are:
Overall, newer, luxurious, smaller vehicles tend to have more expensive premiums.
Gender can impact your insurance premiums in the majority of states. However, there are states that have banned gender in insurance rating, including:
Your age is another uncontrollable factor that impacts your insurance rates. Your insurer will likely charge you more if you have young drivers under 25 on your insurance policy. This is because they’re viewed as less experienced drivers with a higher risk of filing a claim.
Rates vary across insurance providers. It’s easy to stick to renewing the same policy every year, but you could be losing out on savings by switching insurance companies. Among the leading auto insurance companies across the country, the average annual car insurance rate stands at $1,547 per year. Yet, a driver with identical coverage may pay as little as $1,022 with one company or as much as $2,135.
When you apply for insurance, expect your insurance provider to inquire about your occupation and residence. How often you drive and how much time you spend behind the wheel can increase your insurance premiums.
Those with longer work commutes increase their risk of being in an accident while they’re on the road. If you work in an expensive city and live in the suburbs outside the city to save on housing costs, you could, unfortunately, be paying a higher insurance rate.
Your deductible is the amount you would need to pay if your car is damaged and you file a claim. Your insurance provider pays the remaining total cost to fix your vehicle. For example, if you have a $500 deductible and file a claim for $2,500 in damages, you’ll need to pay the $500 and your insurance will cover the final $2,000.
If you pay for a lower deductible on your policy, there’s more risk for your insurance provider. Therefore, you’ll likely have to pay for higher insurance premiums.
Take a look at your policy add-ons. You may be paying for additional coverage you don’t currently need. Evaluate whether it’s necessary to cover items like:
While some of these additional coverage items can be beneficial, they aren’t essential expenses.
Your car insurance history can impact your insurance premium costs. If you have lapses in your insurance history, periods where you didn’t hold insurance, you can be penalized with higher premiums. Reasons for having gaps in your insurance history include:
You should always have auto insurance when you own a vehicle. Consider acquiring nonowner car insurance if you don’t own a vehicle—it provides coverage when driving cars you don’t own and prevents future premium increases when you do own one.
As noted above, various factors can skyrocket your car insurance costs. Luckily, there are steps you can take to help lower your premiums and keep more money in your pocket.
Your credit score can greatly impact how expensive your premium is. Improving your credit can help you find lower premiums in the future. Actions that can potentially improve a credit score is:
Improving your credit takes time, especially if you have multiple derogatory marks on your report. Be patient and smart while building your credit back up.
Review your current coverage and evaluate whether you’re paying for add-on coverage you don’t need. For example, if you aren’t frequently renting cars, you likely don’t need car rental coverage. If you do rent a car for occasions like a business trip or vacation, your insurance should cover any damage caused to the rented vehicle.
For homeowners, bundling your home and auto policies can help lower your premiums. We recommend comparing bundling quotes from both of the providers before deciding which provider policy to cancel. Not only can you potentially save on both your premiums, but you will also be able to manage these expenses with one provider.
Opting for a higher deductible on your car insurance can help lower your premium rate. Your deductible is what you would pay “out of pocket” in a claim. However, you should be able to pay your deductible in case of an accident. If you increase your deductible too much, your insurance won’t cover smaller damages and repairs.
Has it been a while since your insurance premium was set? Shopping around at different insurance providers is the easiest way to get a lower insurance premium. If it’s time to renew your policy and you have a clean driving record, it may be a good time to compare quotes and see if other providers can provide a lower premium.
Below are frequently asked questions about car insurance expenses and factors.
Your credit score is factored in when your provider calculates your insurance premiums. Those with poorer credit scores (below 580 on the FICO scale and below 601 on the VantageScore® scale) tend to pay higher rates than those with good credit scores. Improving your credit score will help you secure favorable insurance rates and in other financial situations, like when you’re applying for a loan.
There are a few actions you can take to potentially lower your insurance premiums, including:
There are several reasons why auto insurance costs are higher for an expensive vehicle. Luxury cars have more expensive parts, such as high-tech and advanced safety features. Also, if your vehicle is severely damaged and declared totaled, your insurance provider will need to cover the value of your car.
Now that you know why your car insurance is so high, it’s time to take steps to reduce your premiums. Credit.com can provide you with a free credit score and credit report so you can see where you need to start working on your credit and lowering your premium rates.
If you’re shopping for a new auto loan, Credit.com offers custom that won’t impact your credit. Get prequalified and see your rates today.
Source: credit.com
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Thu, Feb 8 2024, 11:17 AM
Economists have their favorite indices to measure the health of the economy. GDP, if men are buying underwear, CPI, RV shipments, GDP, plastic surgery appointments, PCE, hemlines… tomorrow on The Mortgage Collaborative’s Rundown Skylar Olsen, the Chief Economist of Zillow, will discuss some of this, and more, for 30-45 minutes starting at noon PT, 3PM ET, in “The Rundown”. Meanwhile, lenders are shifting the focus from things they can’t change to things they can: changing regional managers comp plans to incorporate profits instead of volume. Or honing marketing systems now, not when rates drop further and opening up refi opportunities. Or shifting to paying less for a refi and putting the difference into rate sheet pricing. And who’s buying the properties we’re lending on? Women. Okay, that was a bold generalization, but still… (Today’s Commentary podcast can be found here and this week’s is sponsored by Vesta, the new, modern Loan Origination System (LOS) which helps lenders reduce their costs to originate and improve their ability to integrate with new technologies in the ecosystem. Hear an interview with Ally Home’s Glenn Brunker on what’s happening in the housing market and what to expect going into spring homebuying season.)
Lender and Broker Software, Products, and Services
Matic, a digital home insurance platform built for the mortgage industry, recently announced an exclusive partnership with PRMG to extend their marketplace of over 40 A-Rated carriers into PRMG customer offerings. PRMG joins over 100 mortgage lenders, servicers and banks, representing 20 percent of home loans processed in the U.S., that partner with Matic to integrate the insurance shopping experience into the homeownership lifecycle. Now more than ever, mortgage leaders are turning to Matic to help them offer value to customers, generate revenue, and reduce costs in a tough housing market. Mortgage leaders, don’t miss out: book a demo with Matic to discover how to add an ancillary revenue stream that removes friction from the insurance process and keeps customers within your existing systems. And if you’re attending MBA’s Servicing Solutions Conference in two weeks, stop by booth 806 to learn more! Book a demo with Matic.
Only 60 days since launch and already 150+ mortgage originators have signed up to receive daily mandatory bids from MAXEX on bulk pools of Agency-eligible non-owner occupied (NOO) and second home loans. Moreover, we’re currently winning more than 10 percent of the loans bid! Why? Because our unique loan exchange model provides access to competitive pricing from five leading institutional buyers, allows you to underwrite to agency guidelines, and helps you avoid costly Agency LLPAs—all within a single contract and through a single, standardized clearinghouse. This seamlessly integrates with your existing bulk trading process. Visit here to learn more.
We live in a world of autopay, Apple Pay, Venmo, Uber Eats… the list goes on. If borrowers can pay for a pizza online, why are we still asking them to share their credit card info over the phone? Get with the times and collect upfront fees via text with Fee Chaser by LenderLogix.
TPO Products for Broker and Correspondent
“Button Finance is a leading home equity lender specializing in HELOCs and Closed-End Seconds, offering lucrative opportunities for our partners. Correspondent partners can earn 7.85 percent of the loan balance, while brokers can make 5 percent. Additionally, we offer an attractive 3.5 percent Lender Paid Compensation on Texas 50a6 loans. Our services extend to lending against investment properties for brokers, ensuring a broad spectrum of lending solutions. With competitive 8 percent note rates on Closed-End Seconds and no appraisals up to a $250k loan balance, Button Finance is your go-to partner for all home equity lending needs. Email us for more information.”
Eighty percent of homeowners have first mortgage rates less than 4 percent. However, they are sitting on over $10 trillion of tappable equity. HELOC originations provide an outstanding opportunity for lenders and their LOs. Every homeowner receives HELOC solicitations. If it’s not from YOU, then WHO? Depending on YOUR borrowers, this may be the ideal time for them to make home improvements or pay off credit card debt. Or it may be the right time for that dream vacation. NFTYDoor, a division of Homebridge, is a proprietary digital HELOC platform that provides on-demand access to YOUR borrower’s equity. Customers want an experience that is simple and fast, and through NFTYDoor, HELOCs can close in a few days, not weeks or months. Embrace the “Customer for Life” strategy with NFTYDoor’s platform that is 100 percent branded to you. Stay in front of your customers and recapture future business. Contact NFTYDoor today.
STRATMOR and Operations
Forecasters are predicting modest growth in new and existing home sales in 2024, which means we can all look ahead with cautious optimism. Now’s the time to review your operations and prepare for this modest shift back toward normalcy. Senior Operations Executives: STRATMOR Group is hosting its virtual Operations Workshop next week, February 14-16, to help you do just that. Interact with STRATMOR advisors and your peer lenders to discuss improving operational efficiency, overcoming recent challenges and pain points, and current trends in mortgage operations. Contact STRATMOR Group to learn more and sign up.
Conventional Conforming News
The Federal Housing Finance Agency’s 2024 scorecard for the government-sponsored enterprises included a new provision for representations and warranties. “Explore opportunities to harmonize the enterprises’ processes supporting the single-family selling representations and warranties framework, including defect identification, remedies and repurchase alternatives,” the scorecard states.
Fannie Mae’s (FNMA/OTCQB) December 2023 Monthly Summary is now available and contains information about Fannie Mae’s monthly and year-to-date activities for our gross mortgage portfolio, mortgage-backed securities and other guarantees, interest rate risk measures, and serious delinquency rates. There’s also Fannie’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index® (HPSI) which increased to its highest level since March 2022, due primarily to increased consumer confidence in job security and another significant jump in the share of consumers expecting mortgage rates to decrease. An all-time survey-high 36 percent of respondents indicated that they expect mortgage rates to go down in the next 12 months, while 28 percent expect them to go up, and 35 percent expect rates to remain the same. (Seems pretty even to me.)
Fannie Mae is updating the Uniform Loan Delivery Dataset (ULDD) to provide further guidance on implementation and mandate dates associated with the data enhancements included in the ULDD Phase 5 specification published on Sept. 12, 2023. Review the announcement for an overview on the implementation and mandate dates associated with business-critical and UAD 3.6 alignment data enhancements for the Phase 5 data requirements.
Pennymac is aligning with Freddie Mac Bulletin 2023-19, announcing updates to their rental income requirements. The updates are effective with loan deliveries on or after 03/15/2024. Details are available in Pennymac Correspondent Announcement 24-06.
National MI announced updates to the TrueGuide which include the following changes and clarifications: AUS Loans Automated Tools have been updated as follows: Fannie Mae Appraisal Waiver has been updated to reflect the name change to “Value Acceptance.” Fannie Mae Income Calculator for self-employment income has been added as an approved income and asset tool. Non-AUS Loans have been updated as follows: Jumbo and Medical Professional Program loan limit increases. Verbal Verification of Employment updated to align with the GSEs’ requirements. Underwriting Guidelines detailing these changes and clarifications will be posted to nationalmi.com in the near future.
AmeriHome Mortgage Announcement 20240111-CL summarizes previously published changes made during January, additional changes made with this announcement, and recent Agency and regulatory news.
Citizens Correspondent National Bulletin 2024-02 includes information on Value Acceptance + Property Data – DU (Delegated Transactions only). Effective February 1st, Conventional Conforming Updates and Disaster Tax Filing Relief. See the bulletin for additional information and all lock, delivery, and purchase by dates, if required.
Capital Markets
Need a crash course in Assignment of Trade (AOT) executions? In this blog post, Assignment of Trade Executions 101, MCT experts delve into the process of AOT executions, the impact of bid tape AOT on to-be-announced (TBA) positions, and how automation is moving the industry forward. The blog also reviews the cost savings associated with bid tape AOT executions and the MCT Marketplace technology used to complete these transactions. To learn more about MCT Marketplace, view the recent video with MCT’s CEO & President, Curtis Richins. In the video, Mr. Richins reviews key features of MCT Marketplace, opportunities within the platform for buyers and sellers, and a roadmap for the future.
Even with all the selling in the bond markets last Friday after January’s payrolls data came in much stronger than expected, yields have merely moved back to where they had been for most of the year so far. Most security prices are determined by supply and demand, and yesterday witnessed a strong sale of 10-year Treasuries at the record $42 billion 10-year Treasury auction.
But bonds barely budged! Sentiment was dominated by fears surrounding NY Community Bank. Do you remember when the spreads between Treasury securities and MBS “blew out” last March with the banks having to sell MBS? We may see that again with the NYCB possibly selling part or all of Flagstar’s billions in mortgage holdings. In news of interest to loan originators, FNMA’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index recorded another impressive gain for the second straight month to post the highest level since March 2022.
Today’s calendar kicked off with weekly jobless claims (218k, about as expected, 1.871 million continuing claims… the job market continues to be strong). Later are wholesale inventories and sales for December, several Treasury auctions that will be headlined by $25 billion 30-year bonds, Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey, and remarks from Richmond Fed President Barkin. We begin the day with Agency MBS prices about .125-.250 worse, the 10-year yielding 4.13 after closing yesterday at 4.15 percent, and the 2-year is at 4.44.
Jobs and Transitions
“Direct nationwide lender Kwik Mortgage, based out of Parsippany NJ, is hiring Distributed Retail Sales. We have outstanding support, and our platform is built for you, featuring Blend, Encompass, HubSpot, Loan Vision and Optimal Blue! We offer a full suite of correspondent buyers inclusive of Fannie Mae and Freddie is on the table for 2024! From FHA and VA to Non-QM we have it all! We have a very flat leadership structure which means customers are not paying for more and getting less! We invest in our people and our process, and we have 27 years of company owned and operated success! We are always competitively priced. Don’t worry about fulfillment execution we owned and operated one of the best loan fulfillment for pay businesses in the country, Equilibrium Mortgage Solutions! Contact Paul Campbell, EVP of Lending, (760-774-7704), Paul Campbell, LinkedIn! We are connected: a Fannie Mae diverse minority advisory board lender, The Mortgage Collaborative lender board member, MBA Policy, Servicing and Compliance committee participant! A Depository DE&I advisory board member! Get Kwik come join us! NY, NJ, PA, CT, MA, RI originators welcome.”
Stronghill Capital, LLC, an Austin, TX-based Wholesale and Correspondent lender, is NOW HIRING across the country! If you’re a relationship-focused Account Executive with experience in Non-QM and Investor Financing, including multi-family and mixed-use properties, we’d love to speak with you! Stronghill’s Account Executives enjoy open territories, multi-channel opportunities to work with clients as correspondents or brokers, and consistent communication and collaboration with the Executive Leadership team. If you’re looking to join a rapidly-growing, dynamic organization with a focused commitment to growth and expansion in Non-QM, reach out to our SVP of Sales, Matt Brammer at 440.382.3183 to learn more.
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Source: mortgagenewsdaily.com
When you rent a car during your travels, you usually aren’t thinking about what happens if you crash your car. that is, until the agent at the rental car desk paints that worst-case scenario during their collision damage waiver pitch.
Should you pay extra to cover your car in the case of an accident? Not if you hold the Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card.
If you are involved in a fender bender, you can rely on your credit card coverage to pay for damage to your rental car without making a claim against your personal auto insurance.
Although it’s a great idea to use your Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card to book your rental cars, the auto rental collision damage waiver benefit on the card doesn’t cover everything or every trip.
Here’s what you need to know about what the policy covers and how to file a claim.
Every credit card car rental insurance requires you to use the card for your rental transaction and decline the car rental company’s collision damage waiver option. The car rental coverage provided by the Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card is no different.
If you want your Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card car rental insurance to cover your rental car, here’s what you must do:
You must use your Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card to reserve and pay for your entire rental car transaction.
You must decline the car rental company’s collision damage waiver provisions.
Simply being a Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card member isn’t enough — you must use the card to cover your rental transaction and decline the collision damage waiver offered by the rental counter.
Be aware that some rates include collision damage waiver insurance. If you book using one of these rates, you won’t be covered by the Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card car rental insurance on that rental.
The most important thing to understand about Capital One’s car rental insurance is what it covers. It covers only the following types of losses:
Damage to a rental car caused by a collision.
Loss of a rental car due to theft.
While your card’s insurance coverage will reimburse you for damage to your rental car, an accident can also cause damage to another driver’s vehicle or result in bodily injury.
If you injure someone (including yourself) in an accident or if you damage someone else’s vehicle, the Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card car rental insurance won’t cover these losses. Here are some items that are not covered by Capital One’s rental car insurance.
Personal liability.
Loss or theft of personal belongings.
Bodily injuries of any kind to anyone.
Damage to anything other than the rental vehicle.
Wear and tear or mechanical breakdowns.
Most likely, you’ll want travel insurance or personal auto insurance to shield yourself from liability, in case you are involved in an accident that damages someone else’s car or causes an injury.
Finally, Capital One car rental insurance covers rental periods of only 15 or fewer consecutive days within your country of residence. Rentals outside your country of residence are covered up to 31 consecutive days.
Capital One car rental insurance is meant to cover rentals of non-luxury passenger vehicles. The policy will pay only for the actual cash value of cars with a manufacturer’s suggested retail price (MSRP) of up to $75,000 when new, so extremely expensive luxury cars won’t be covered.
If you’re renting a Toyota Corolla, you’re going to be covered. If you want to drive an Aston Martin, you’ll need to find other insurance. Here are some of the types of automobiles that are excluded:
Expensive automobiles with an MSRP of over $75,000 when new.
Antique vehicles that are over 20 years old or have not been manufactured for 10 years.
Vans, other than those designed for small-group transportation and seat up to nine people.
Trucks and vehicles with an open cargo bed.
Two-wheeled vehicles like mopeds, motorcycles and motorbikes.
Limousines.
Recreational vehicles.
Most car rental insurance policies provided by credit cards exclude certain countries from coverage. Your
Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card car rental insurance does not cover rentals in Israel, Jamaica, the Republic of Ireland or Northern Ireland.
Capital One provides rental car damage and theft coverage only to you, the person whose name is embossed on your eligibleCapital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card. You must reserve, pick up and pay for the rental car and be listed as the primary driver.
Additional drivers on the rental car are covered by your Capital One car rental insurance, but you (the cardholder) must be the primary renter of the car.
If you have an accident or your rental car is stolen, you will need to call the car rental benefit administrator to report the incident as soon as possible, regardless of your liability.
Within the U.S., call 800-825-4062. If you’re traveling outside the U.S., you can make a collect call to 804-965-8071. You can also initiate your claim online at https://www.eclaimsline.com/.
🤓Nerdy Tip
Be sure to submit your claim form within 90 days of the date of theft or damage or your claim may be denied. Submit the claim form even if you don’t yet have access to all other requested information.
To prepare to submit your claim, you’ll want to collect documentation that will be needed to process your claim. Here’s what you should collect and be prepared to submit to the benefit administrator.
The accident report form provided by the rental company.
A copy of the front and back of the initial and final rental agreements.
A copy of repair estimates and an itemized repair bill.
At least two photographs of the vehicle.
A police report, if one can be obtained.
A copy of any demand letter you receive from the car rental agency.
You’ll also need to fill out a claim form and submit the above documentation, plus a copy of your credit card billing statement including the rental charge. The benefit administrator may also request additional documentation to validate your claim.
Your claim will usually be processed within 15 days after the benefit administrator has received all requested documentation.
The Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card offers car rental insurance that covers damage to or theft of your rental vehicle when you decline the car rental company’s collision damage waiver insurance and charge the entire rental transaction to your credit card.
The coverage does not include liability coverage of any kind or cover trips longer than 15 days in your country of residence or 31 days abroad. Be sure to check your card’s Guide to Benefits for coverage details.
You want a travel credit card that prioritizes what’s important to you. Here are our picks for the best travel credit cards of 2024, including those best for:
Source: nerdwallet.com
“OMG I missed it. I should’ve bought two years ago.”
“Am I too late? Are all the good deals gone?”
“Look at how much cheaper it used to be. I’m priced out now.”
“Isn’t my best bet to wait for a crash?”
Oh my dear friend.
Those sound like remarks made today … right?
Well, they’re not.
Those are the remarks I heard in 2015, even everyone was lamenting how much real estate prices had climbed, relative to 2012.
“Damn I should’ve bought back then! It’s too late now. Everything’s expensive again. I’ll just wait for prices to come down.”
I know, that seems silly in hindsight.
But put yourself in the shoes of an aspiring real estate investor in the year 2015. They had been thinking about buying a rental property for a year or two. But they hadn’t. And while they sat on the sidelines, prices skyrocketed.
The chart above covers January 2010 to December 2015.
In 2015, this was a prospective investors’ experience of the last 5 years. They saw home prices dip slightly from 2010 to 2012, and it scared them — “maybe there will be another crash!!” — so they sat on the sidelines.
Then the market boomed from 2012 to 2015, and by the end of that three-year period, they were kicking themselves to “waiting too long.”
“It’s too late!!!!!”
“The good deals are gone!!”
With the Great Recession in such recent memory, they comforted themselves with the idea that they could just kick back and wait for the next housing crash.
Nearly nine years later, they’re still waiting. And missing out on gains.
Here’s what the market did from January 2016 through May 2023:
Up, up, up, up, up.
Sliiiight dip for a few months in late 2022. Then up again.
The people who lamented that they’d “waited too long” and “it’s too late” psyched themselves out. They sidelined themselves. They missed those returns.
You see, pessimists get to make excuses. Pessimists get to validate themselves.
Pessimists get to be right.
Optimists get to be rich.
“The irony is that by trying to avoid the price, investors end up paying double,” Morgan Housel writes in his book, The Psychology of Money.
In that passage, he’s discussing stock investing, but the principle applies to real estate as well. Those who lament that real estate is too expensive, relative to its previous values, are the same people who eagerly buy an index fund without complaining that it, too, is substantially more expensive than it was a few years ago.
I’ve never heard anyone say: “VTSAX is 50 percent more expensive than it was five years ago! It’s too late to buy. The good deals are gone. I’ll wait for the next crash.”
Yet they’ll say that about real estate.
Sure, people might debate whether the stock market is overvalued. But if you’re a long-term investor, you dollar-cost average into the market.
You understand that a share of VTSAX will cost significantly more today than it did five years ago, because, well, assets appreciate over the long-term. That’s the point.
Ideally, real estate investors would be best-off viewing their properties through the same lens through which an index fund investor views their holdings.
Sometimes you’ll buy high. Other times, you might hold through a decline. But over the long-term, based on historic trends, both asset classes (real estate and index funds) significantly rise in value.
Yet often, would-be real estate investors seem to forget historical trends.
When the topic turns to rental properties, many would-be investors sideline themselves because they’re convinced that “I’m too late” and “the good deals are gone.”
Sure, you can’t blindfold yourself, throw a dart at a list of houses, and find one with an amazing cap rate, like you could in 2012.
Sure, you have to actually, erm, what’s that word … WORK.
Good deals are available for those willing to find them.
Back in 2015, I often heard people lament that they were “too late” because real estate prices had risen so much in the past three years. “I should’ve invested in 2012! The run-up has already happened. I’m too late. I’ll wait for the next crash.”
Nearly nine years later, they’re still waiting.
The question is: are you going to be one of those people who says “it’s too late! the good deals are gone!” and then sit on the sidelines for the next 30+ years? Or are you going to train and compete?
If you choose to leave the sidelines and get into the game —
The first step is to understand: It’s not too late.
The prices that existed five years ago are irrelevant.
The only question that matters: “Is this a good deal today?”
It’s easy to substantiate the belief that you’ve missed out on all the good returns — you can see how much home prices have appreciated over the past three years. You can see all the capital appreciation you could have had, if only you’d gotten started sooner.
Just like if you’d bought a ton of index funds in 2018. Or better yet, March 2009.
Assets appreciate.
Sometimes there’s volatility, and they drop a little bit. But historically, in the U.S., major asset classes — including stocks and real estate — have always risen over time.
We seem to have accepted this reality in the world of stock investing. We don’t reflexively lament *not* buying more index funds at 2012 prices.
We might occasionally joke about it — “awww man I shoulda bought Amazon in 1997!” — but we know that when we buy a stock, we’ve evaluating today’s fundamentals. Past is prologue.
When we evaluate stocks, we ask: “Is this stock a wise purchase at today’s price?” But we forget to ask this question when we’re dealing with a tangible asset class like real estate.
Real estate often fills people with fear:
Real estate’s tangibility also makes it an inherently emotionally-charged asset class. We can touch it, smell it, see it, hear its creaks and noises.
And when emotions are involved, we rationalize rather than reason.
“Assuming that something ugly will stay ugly is an easy forecast to make,” Housel writes. “And it’s persuasive, because it doesn’t require imagining the world changing.”
Pessimism is tempting, but it’s also limiting — and its intellectually lazy.
It keeps you broke and uncreative.
Optimism, by contrast, keeps you asking “how can I?” — it keeps you solving problems, rather than lamenting them.
Ask “How can I?” rather than lamenting “I can’t because …” and you’ll find your world switch.
And if you want answers to the above questions, you’ll find them in Your First Rental Property, our flagship course.
— Paula
Source: affordanything.com
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Tue, Jan 9 2024, 8:37 AM
Is it just my imagination or do restaurants no longer have salt and pepper shakers on the tables after COVID? Is it just my imagination or do organizations with initials that begin with “N” have trouble keeping their leadership? In August of 2023 the chief of NAR resigned, last week it was the NRA, and this week it is NAR’s turn again, this time losing Tracy Kasper to blackmail!
Meanwhile, keeping on with real estate news, and realizing that anyone can sue anyone, news came out after Christmas that Zillow, which also owns Zillow Home Loans, is suing rivals over software that schedules property showings.
Agency news
Freddie Mac (FHLMC) and Fannie Mae (FNMA) still have the lion’s share of the applications coming through lenders. What’s going on with their conventional conforming products?
Fannie Mae SVC-2023-06 December Servicing Guide update advises large non-depository sellers/servicers of updates to the frequency of financial reporting requirements and provides other miscellaneous updates.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are equipping lenders with updated resources for Uniform Loan Delivery Dataset (ULDD) Phase 5. Updates include an enhanced ULDD extension schema, featuring Phase 5 extension data points, and updated ULDD FAQs referencing the schema.
Fannie Mae posted the December Appraiser Quality Monitoring (AQM) list.
Pennymac Announcement 23-89 addresses Fannie Mae SEL-2023-09, Rental Income and Self-Employed Borrowers Update.
AmeriHome Mortgage Announcement 20231209-CL summarizes previously published changes made during December, additional changes made with the announcement, and recent Agency and regulatory news.
Mother Nature bats last
Yes, storms are a regular event around the world. For example, the storm hitting the Midwest and Southeast of the United States with blizzard conditions and potential flooding is “normal.”
What isn’t “normal” is 2023 being the hottest year on record, whether it is caused by man or part of a natural cycle over thousands of years. “Climate change deniers” can shrug it off, but when the increased likelihood of major storms, flooding, and forest fires impact mortgage pricing and insurance rates (if you can get insurance at all), and therefore your clients, it is a problem. Or if places like Honduras become unlivable due to the heat and lack of air conditioning, forcing shifts in where populations live, then it matters.
Tennessee Tornadoes: DR-4751-TN. and 4751-DR-TN Amendment 001.
On 12/28/2023, with Amendment No. 1 to DR-4751, FEMA declared federal disaster aid with individual assistance has been made available to three Tennessee counties, Cheatham, Gibson, and Stewart, affected by severe storms and tornadoes on 12/9/2023. See AmeriHome Mortgage Disaster Announcement 20231210-CL for inspection requirements.
Capital markets: pretty quiet out there
Economic data over the past week has highlighted the various effects tighter economic policy has had on different sectors of the economy. Interest rate sensitive areas remain the most strained, but 216k jobs were added during December and the unemployment rate remained at 3.7 percent, which shows labor markets have only moderated slightly. Most new jobs were concentrated in government, healthcare, and leisure and hospitality. November’s JOLTS report showed job openings continue to shrink as demand for labor slowly subsides and the quit rate fell below its pre-pandemic level.
December was also the 14th consecutive month of contraction in the manufacturing sector of the economy, according to the ISM Manufacturing Index. Spending on durable goods has fallen five of the last ten months compared to spending on services which has only dipped once in the past 40 months. However, demand for services is expected to moderate as the economy slows. Construction spending ticked up 0.4 percent in November though most spending was concentrated in single family housing. Multi-family construction spending has lost momentum as vacancy rates have risen.
After a lack of news to open the week (we learned that consumer credit increased by $23.7 billion in November), today’s economic calendar is already under way with the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for December (91.9 versus 90.6, so a slight increase) and the November trade deficit ($63.2 billion, down from the prior month but little changed). Later today brings Redbook same store sales for the week ending January 6 and Treasury auctions headlined by $52 billion 3-year notes. Markets will also receive remarks from Fed Vice Chair of Supervision Barr. We begin the day with Agency MBS prices worse .125 from Monday’s close, the 10-year yielding 4.05 after closing yesterday at 4.00 percent, and the 2-year at 4.38.
Lender and broker services and software
Orion Lending slashed its annual expenses by $300,000 and boosted their conversion rate by 32 percent using Truv’s income and employment verification solution. “Truv transformed our verification process, expanding our reach and cutting costs,” asserts Richard Plummer, EVP of Operations at Orion Lending. Stop Overpaying. Contact TRUV today for your income, employment, insurance, and asset verifications.
“Wish you had a New Year’s resolution you could actually keep in 2024? How about 5? Contact PHH today and get on track to reduce delinquencies, shorten default timelines, resolve more loans in foreclosure, lower subservicing costs and increase customer satisfaction. No other servicer has been more highly decorated with top servicing awards from all three agencies (Fannie, Freddie, and HUD) over the past two years. We can onboard your portfolio (no matter the size) in 90 days or less, and a recent client saw a 70 percent reduction in complaints in the first 6 months after switching to PHH. What are you waiting for? Start 2024 by reaching out to Chris Sabbe today and let PHH help you reach your goals in the new year!”
Maximize your return on every loan with better secondary pricing and industry-leading technology. Now more than ever, lenders need solutions that allow scale while reducing operational costs and increasing revenue per loan. With Maxwell Capital, lenders can access competitive secondary market pricing on a wide array of products, including non-QM and jumbo, and full-service fulfillment support on both wholesale and mini correspondent offerings. Plus, Maxwell Capital customers gain access to Maxwell Point of Sale, a digital mortgage platform with built-in business intelligence to track and benchmark performance. Schedule a call with Maxwell today and start doing more for your bottom line.
“Processor & Underwriter Automation: Zoral’s automation platform delivers amazingly accurate results in record time! Improve processing and underwriting turn times from days to minutes. Zoral analyses, calculates, and compares LOS data to document data. Dynamic notifications and conditions provide your team with a concise roadmap of what is needed on every loan, at every milestone, all the way to CTC. Our engines accurately categorize, analyze, and calculate eligible income from all income sources, including 3rd party providers such as Account Check. Bank statements are analyzed to identify EMD, cash to close, large deposits, recurring debits, and credits etc. For the past 20 years, Zoral has been creating the most advanced, AI powered, automation solutions anywhere in the world. Our proprietary solutions are designed and built in-house and rapidly implemented. Stop messing with headcount at every turn of the market. Zoral’s automation platform will provide the elasticity to handle even the most unpredictable environments. To learn more about our automation solutions for mortgage, contact Peter Sandler.”
As we usher in the Year of the Wood Dragon, a mythical creature thought to signify unprecedented opportunities, the folks at Down Payment Resource (DPR) contend 2024 also will be the Year of Down Payment Assistance, with DPA offering unprecedented opportunities for lenders to qualify more homebuyers. DPR has been in the business since 2008, amassing a national database of 2,200+ verified DPA programs. As the original keepers of all things DPA, DPR makes it easy for lenders to match otherwise qualified applicants to assistance programs across the United States. DPA can help you qualify more buyers, especially LMI and minority buyers, reduce declined loan numbers and make you a strong contender for referrals and repeat business. That’s an unprecedented opportunity for 2024 you shouldn’t pass up. Need more info? Meet with Tani Lawrence at MBA IMB (Feb. 22-24) or schedule a virtual demo.
Partnering with the right subservicer can make the difference in growing your business and staying a step ahead of a dynamic mortgage market. LoanCare®, one of the nation’s top subservicers, can help you better manage and grow your portfolio in 2024 and beyond. We’ve serviced loans for banks, credit unions, independent mortgage companies, and portfolio investors for over 40 years with solutions for any servicing scenario. We’ll be at the MBA IMB Conference in New Orleans Jan. 22-24, contact us to learn why now is the right time to make LoanCare your servicing partner. And don’t miss Jerry McCoy, EVP, Performance Management at LoanCare speak on the conference panel, “Uncover the Hidden Financial Risks & Rewards in Your Servicing,” on Tuesday, January 23 at 1:30 p.m.
Broker & correspondent loan products
“Expanding your Non-QM products and liquidity options with eRESI Mortgage has never been easier. Come see what other eRESI correspondent partners tap into, whether it’s our industry-leading pricing or fast turnaround times, all while gaining direct access to our long-term capital base. Our partners often rely on our experience as a seasoned loan investor with a highly experienced leadership team dedicated solely to your success. We provide access to a streamlined technology platform, a full suite of Non-QM products (including Full Doc, Bank Statement, and DSCR), and a credit team that understands individual needs. We are also thrilled to announce the launch of our Closed-End Second Lien product, allowing borrowers to access their equity without having to refinance their existing loan. To learn how we can help you grow your business, contact your eRESI representative or email our Business Development team to get started (Contact)!”
“Welcome 2024 with AFR Wholesale®, where we see a golden opportunity for prospective homeowners to achieve their dreams. We invite dedicated professionals like you to join us in expanding your business horizons. Why include AFR in your New Year’s resolutions? 1. Empower Borrowers: Our comprehensive suite of services is designed to empower your borrowers, from flexible financing options to personalized support. 2. Grow Your Business: Partnering with AFR means tapping into a wealth of resources and expertise. Our collaborative approach is tailored to support your growth, ensuring you have the tools and support needed to reach new heights. 3. Optimism/Strategic Planning: Making AFR a part of your 2024 journey means joining a community dedicated to success, innovation, and excellence. Let’s make 2024 extraordinary together! Happy New Year! Ready to partner with AFR? Visit www.afrwholesale.com, contact [email protected], or call 1-800- 375-6071 today.”
There is a signalman up in Shasta County, California. He really wants to get a promotion, so he sends a letter to Union Pacific, and they send up an assessor.
He asks him what he would do if two trains were barreling down a track at each other.
The signalman says he would put one train on a passing loop.
“But what if the points are jammed?”
“I would throw the emergency switch”
“But what if the switch is on fire?”
“I would run out and use the lever on the line to switch the train into the passing loop.”
“But what if it was struck by lightning?”
“Then I’d get my uncle Frank.”
“Why?”
“He’s never seen a train crash!”
Download our mobile app to get alerts for Rob Chrisman’s Commentary.
Source: mortgagenewsdaily.com
This week’s Afford Anything blog post is a well-balanced diet:
The Robert Who Cried Wolf
Famed investor Robert Kiyosaki, author of Rich Dad, Poor Dad, recently caused an internet stir by predicting “the start of the biggest crash in history.”
Of course he did.
Kiyosaki is constantly crying wolf. It’s good for (his) business.
Bad news travels faster than good news.
People who prioritize attention over truth will use that to their advantage. Kiyosaki is a shrewd businessman. He understands the profit potential in strategic pessimism.
But that’s bad news for his followers. Per the law of large numbers, it’s reasonable that some people have kept their cash on the sidelines, rather than investing in the markets, after heeding his warnings. And that has massive lifelong ramifications on their wealth and retirement.
Lesson: Beware of anyone who peddles *negativity bias* in order to stay relevant.
These economic fear-mongerers don’t hold accountability for their track record of wrong predictions.
Their followers are the ones who suffer.
This is why it’s critical to choose your mentors carefully — and it’s precisely why you should never blindly enroll in an online class that’s taught by some random person whose ideas you haven’t vetted.
If you’re curious how often Kiyosaki has made the wrong call, note that Stanford-trained data scientist Nick Maggiulli, our guest on Episode 375 of the Afford Anything podcast, shared this illustration on X:
Pessimism has a visceral appeal. It’s evolutionarily advantageous to be hyper-aware of threats.
Our ancestors didn’t survive the jungle or savanna by appreciating the beautiful flowers. They survived by staying hyper-vigiliant of danger. This explains why negativity bias is so innate, so intrinsic. It’s a survival mechanism.
But in the modern developed world, pessimism keeps us overly conservative. We choose the “safe” major. We take the “steady” job. We tilt too heavily into conservative investments when we’re young, and we panic when our 401k’s start to decline. We avoid real estate investing and starting side businesses because these seem too risky.
Pessimism stifles innovation, entrepreneurship, and creativity. It locks us into mundane careers and middling investments as we muddle through risk-averse lives. In the end, we haven’t endured huge losses, but neither have we *embraced a shot* of winning.
As Episode 284 podcast guest Morgan Housel eloquently said:
“Pessimists get to be right. Optimists get to be rich.”
No, The Fed Lowering Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points Is Not Going to Flood the Market with New Housing Inventory 🙄
A little history lesson:
Once upon a time, in 2008, there was a Great Recession. It scared many investors and homebuilders, and they stopped making new homes.
In the decade that followed the Great Recession, new construction reached its lowest point since the 1960’s.
By 2019, the housing shortage amounted to 3.8 million units. This means there were 3.8 million more families and individuals who wanted a place to live — either to rent or buy — than there were homes available.
Then the pandemic struck. The prices of copper, lumber and other construction items shot through the roof (no pun intended). Builders had to raise home sale prices due to higher materials costs. Prices soared.
In 2020 and 2021, people across the internet cried, “Why are they charging so much more than the home is worth?!” — not realizing that “worth” is a function of the cost of labor + the cost of materials + the premium of scarcity.
And when supply is curtailed — as it was by 3.8 million units as of 2019 — there’s an ample scarcity premium.
Then inflation climbed. The Federal Reserve raised interest rates 11 times during their 2022-2023 cycle, resulting in a rapid escalation of mortgage rates.
This created a “lock-in effect” among existing homeowners. Nobody wants to trade a mortgage with a 3 percent fixed interest rate for an alternate mortgage with a 7 percent rate.
Existing homeowners with a mortgage have a huge incentive to hold.
Sellers who *need* to get rid of their property — for example, because they’re moving to another country — list their homes on the market. But homeowners who simply *want* to upsize or downsize are, for the most part, staying put.
This has created even more housing supply pressure.
Meanwhile, homebuilders — who must borrow money to finance their operations — are seeing the cost of capital skyrocket. Many have curtailed new construction, putting further pressure on the supply pipeline.
So we have a long-running confluence of factors that, piece by piece, keep exacerbating the housing supply crunch.
And this leads to today’s takeaway:
No, this problem will not magically solve itself the moment that the Fed reduces interest rates.
The Fed is meeting today and tomorrow. They’re widely expected to hold rates steady. (They’ll make an official announcement at 2 pm on Wednesday.)
There’s rampant speculation that the Fed will lower interest rates in Q1 or Q2 of next year.
— And —
There seems to be a pervasive myth that once interest rates decline, those “locked-in” homeowners will rush to list their homes for sale, flooding the market with new inventory.
The supply-demand imbalance will tilt in the buyer’s favor, home prices will plummet, and housing will become affordable once again.
Yet that is pure fantasy, disconnected from the data.
Imagine 10 people. Nine of them have mortgage rates that are less than 6 percent. The stat is 91.8 percent of mortgaged homeowners, to be precise.
Wait.
Imagine those same 9 people, the 9 out of 10 who have a sub-6 percent interest rate. Here’s how they break down:
Let me say that again:
Six out of 10 mortgaged homeowners have an interest rate that’s below 4 percent.
Meanwhile:
One-half of mortgaged homeowners (49 percent) say they’d consider listing their home only if interest rates fell below 4 percent, according to a Redfin survey conducted by Qualtrics.
So this myth that if the Fed lowers interest rates, the market will get flooded with new inventory? — That scenario isn’t likely to happen for a long, long, looooong time.
As of Dec 12, 2023, the current average 30-year fixed rate for a buyer with a 740-760 credit score is 7.4 percent. Multiple reductions in interest rates won’t begin to approach the sub-4 percent rates of yesteryear.
The “lock-in effect” will last for longer than you might expect.
Lesson: Don’t wait to buy a home based on speculation about the market. If you have both the money and desire to buy a home, DO IT NOW. Homes are likely going to get more expensive in the future, not less.
How to Not Flush AS MUCH Money Down the Toilet This Holiday Season
Yeah, I know.
The holiday season is custom-built for parting with your money. Every store is promoting sales, discounts, offers. Limited time only.
It’s scarcity on steroids.
Holiday deals tap into the part of our brain that says — “this deal is only available now; I should snag it while I still can.”
Our FOMO creates jobs and drives the economy.
Since holiday spending is human nature, let’s forgo the guilting, shaming and finger-wagging that’s so endemic to the personal finance and FIRE community.
It’s counterproductive. Guilt and shame over holiday spending doesn’t change human behavior, it merely robs the joy from it.
It’s like chowing down a piece of chocolate cake while simultaneously fretting about the sugar.
You’re eating the cake regardless. You may as well enjoy it.
Instead, let’s accept that some degree of holiday spending is normal, and let’s focus on how to find the best deal possible.
Here are four pointers. (If you have more to add, please share these with the Afford Anything community) —
#1: If you’re buying an item at a mid-size company’s website (i.e., a merchant that’s bigger than a mom-and-pop shop, but not a big box retailer like Target or Amazon) — move your cursor near the “back” arrow on the browser.
This is called “exit intent,” and it often triggers pop-ups with discount codes.
#2: For online purchases: Create an account, put an item in your cart, and then leave the website.
This is called “abandoned cart,” and often triggers an automation in which the company emails you a limited-time-offer discount code.
#3: If you’re buying something expensive (over $500 – $1,000 or more), track the price for a few weeks, especially around the holidays. On sites like Wayfair, I’ve seen prices fluctuate daily.
#4: The least useful savings tip: Googling discount / promo codes or pulling these codes from mass aggregator websites.
You may get lucky, but typically 9/10 are expired or don’t work; they just yield a bunch of extra open tabs on your browser.
There’s an enormous selection of third-party websites and browser extensions that claim to help with this, with varying degrees of efficacy.
I’m not going to recommend any specific tools; recommendations are both dynamic and better crowdsourced. Please share your experience with the community.
Source: affordanything.com