Mortgage rates came down across all terms from a week ago, according to rate data collected by Bankrate. Rates for 30-year fixed, 15-year fixed, 5/1 ARMs and jumbo loans all receded.
While it’s expected that rates will gradually come down this year, the path might be bumpy.
At its Jan. 31 meeting, the Federal Reserve announced it would hold off changing rates, but could cut rates in the future. At their March 20th meeting, the Fed will update their outlook on rates. Rate changes affect many areas of the economy, including the 10-year Treasury, a key benchmark for fixed-rate mortgages.
“Where the 10-Year Treasury yield goes, mortgage rates will follow,” says Ken Johnson of Florida Atlantic University. “In roughly the last two months, the 10-year Treasury yield is up 50 basis points. Depending on the source, the 30-year mortgage rate is up 48 basis points. Treasurys’ path remains a coin toss at this point.”
Rates accurate as of March 14, 2024.
The rates listed here are averages based on the assumptions indicated here. Actual rates displayed on-site may vary. This story has been reviewed by Suzanne De Vita. All rate data accurate as of Thursday, March 14th, 2024 at 7:30 a.m.
30-year mortgage rate declines, -0.18%
Today’s average rate for the benchmark 30-year fixed mortgage is 6.84 percent, a decrease of 18 basis points from a week ago. A month ago, the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage was higher, at 7.25 percent.
At the current average rate, you’ll pay principal and interest of $654.59 for every $100,000 you borrow. That’s a decline of $12.06 from last week.
The popular 30-year mortgage has a number of advantages:
Lower monthly payment: Compared to a shorter term, such as 15 years, the 30-year mortgage offers lower, more affordable payments spread over time.
Stability: With a 30-year fixed mortgage, you lock in a set principal and interest payment, making it easier to plan your housing expenses for the long term. Remember: Your monthly housing payment can change if your homeowners insurance premiums and property taxes go up or, less likely, down.
Buying power: With lower payments, you might qualify for a larger loan amount or a more expensive home.
Flexibility. Lower monthly payments can free up some of your monthly budget for other goals, like building an emergency fund, contributing to retirement or college tuition, or saving for home repairs and maintenance.
15-year mortgage rate drops, -0.14%
The average rate you’ll pay for a 15-year fixed mortgage is 6.42 percent, down 14 basis points from a week ago.
Monthly payments on a 15-year fixed mortgage at that rate will cost around $867 per $100,000 borrowed. The bigger payment may be a little more difficult to find room for in your monthly budget than a 30-year mortgage payment, but it comes with some big advantages: You’ll come out several thousand dollars ahead over the life of the loan in total interest paid and build equity much more rapidly.
5/1 ARM moves lower, -0.11%
The average rate on a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage is 6.35 percent, falling 11 basis points from a week ago.
Adjustable-rate mortgages, or ARMs, are home loans that come with a floating interest rate. In other words, the interest rate will change at regular intervals, unlike fixed-rate mortgages. These loan types are best for people who expect to refinance or sell before the first or second adjustment. Rates could be materially higher when the loan first adjusts, and thereafter.
While borrowers shunned ARMs during the pandemic days of super-low rates, this type of loan has made a comeback as mortgage rates have risen.
Monthly payments on a 5/1 ARM at 6.35 percent would cost about $622 for each $100,000 borrowed over the initial five years, but could climb hundreds of dollars higher afterward, depending on the loan’s terms.
Current jumbo mortgage rate retreats, -0.12%
The average jumbo mortgage rate is 6.94 percent, a decrease of 12 basis points from a week ago. Last month on the 14th, the average rate for jumbo mortgages was greater than 6.94 at 7.31 percent.
At today’s average rate, you’ll pay a combined $661.28 per month in principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow. That’s $8.06 lower, compared with last week.
Mortgage refinance rates
30-year fixed-rate refinance trends down, -0.20%
The average 30-year fixed-refinance rate is 6.84 percent, down 20 basis points since the same time last week. A month ago, the average rate on a 30-year fixed refinance was higher at 7.27 percent.
At the current average rate, you’ll pay $654.59 per month in principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow. That represents a decline of $13.40 over what it would have been last week.
Where are mortgage rates going?
With inflation still above the Fed’s 2 percent goal and the job market holding strong, the Fed isn’t likely to cut rates at its March meeting.
“The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in the first half of this year, in my view,” says Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the National Association of Realtors, “but rate cuts of three, four or even five rounds will be possible in the second half of the year as rent measures will be much more well-behaved.”
The rates on 30-year mortgages mostly follow the 10-year Treasury, which shifts continuously as economic conditions dictate, while the cost of variable-rate home loans mirror the Fed’s moves.
These broader factors influence overall rate movement. As a borrower, you could be quoted a higher or lower rate compared to the trend.
What today’s rates mean for you and your mortgage
While mortgage rates change daily, it’s unlikely we’ll see rates back at 3 percent anytime soon. If you’re shopping for a mortgage now, it might be wise to lock your rate when you find an affordable loan. If your house-hunt is taking longer than anticipated, revisit your budget so you’ll know exactly how much house you can afford at prevailing market rates.
Keep in mind: You could save thousands over the life of your mortgage by getting at least three loan offers, according to Freddie Mac research. You don’t have to stick with your bank or credit union, either. There are many types of mortgage lenders, including online-only and local, smaller shops.
“All too often, some [homebuyers] take the path of least resistance when seeking a mortgage, in part because the process of buying a home can be stressful, complicated and time-consuming,” says Mark Hamrick, senior economic analyst for Bankrate. “But when we’re talking about the potential of saving a lot of money, seeking the best deal on a mortgage has an excellent return on investment. Why leave that money on the table when all it takes is a bit more effort to shop around for the best rate, or lowest cost, on a mortgage?”
More on current mortgage rates
Methodology
Bankrate displays two sets of rate averages that are produced from two surveys we conduct: one daily (“overnight averages”) and the other weekly (“Bankrate Monitor averages”).
The rates on this page represent our overnight averages. For these averages, APRs and rates are based on no existing relationship or automatic payments.
Learn more about Bankrate’s rate averages, editorial guidelines and how we make money.
Average mortgage rates climbed moderately last Friday. Indeed, they rose on every business day last week. However, that followed a week of mainly falls. And those rates begin this morning close to where they were at the start of March.
First thing, it was looking as if mortgage rates today barely move. But that could change later in the day.
Current mortgage and refinance rates
Find your lowest rate. Start here
Program
Mortgage Rate
APR*
Change
Conventional 30-year fixed
7.12%
7.13%
+0.02
Conventional 15-year fixed
6.62%
6.65%
+0.03
Conventional 20-year fixed
7.15%
7.17%
+0.04
Conventional 10-year fixed
6.64%
6.66%
Unchanged
30-year fixed FHA
6.49%
7.17%
+0.01
30-year fixed VA
6.61%
6.72%
+0.02
5/1 ARM Conventional
6.28%
7.38%
Unchanged
Rates are provided by our partner network, and may not reflect the market. Your rate might be different. Click here for a personalized rate quote. See our rate assumptions See our rate assumptions here.
Should you lock your mortgage rate today?
I doubt we’ll see mortgage rates enter a consistent downward trend much before the summer, and possibly later.
So, for now, my personal rate lock recommendations remain:
LOCK if closing in 7 days
LOCK if closing in 15 days
LOCK if closing in 30 days
LOCK if closing in 45 days
LOCKif closing in 60days
However, with so much uncertainty at the moment, your instincts could easily turn out to be as good as mine — or better. So, let your gut and your own tolerance for risk help guide you.
>Related: 7 Tips to get the best refinance rate
Market data affecting today’s mortgage rates
Here’s a snapshot of the state of play this morning at about 9:50 a.m. (ET). The data are mostly compared with roughly the same time the business day before, so much of the movement will often have happened in the previous session. The numbers are:
The yield on 10-year Treasury notes held steady at 4.32%. (Neutral for mortgage rates. However, yields were rising this morning.) More than any other market, mortgage rates typically tend to follow these particular Treasury bond yields
Major stock indexes were rising this morning. (Bad for mortgage rates.) When investors buy shares, they’re often selling bonds, which pushes those prices down and increases yields and mortgage rates. The opposite may happen when indexes are lower. But this is an imperfect relationship
Oil prices increased to $81.35 from $80.62 a barrel. (Bad for mortgage rates*.) Energy prices play a prominent role in creating inflation and also point to future economic activity
Goldprices inched down to $2,159 from $2,162 an ounce. (Neutral for mortgage rates*.) It is generally better for rates when gold prices rise and worse when they fall. Because gold tends to rise when investors worry about the economy.
CNN Business Fear & Greed index — nudged up to 75 from 71 out of 100. (Bad for mortgage rates.) “Greedy” investors push bond prices down (and interest rates up) as they leave the bond market and move into stocks, while “fearful” investors do the opposite. So, lower readings are often better than higher ones
*A movement of less than $20 on gold prices or 40 cents on oil ones is a change of 1% or less. So we only count meaningful differences as good or bad for mortgage rates.
Caveats about markets and rates
Before the pandemic, post-pandemic upheavals, and war in Ukraine, you could look at the above figures and make a pretty good guess about what would happen to mortgage rates that day. But that’s no longer the case. We still make daily calls. And are usually right. But our record for accuracy won’t achieve its former high levels until things settle down.
So, use markets only as a rough guide. Because they have to be exceptionally strong or weak to rely on them. But, with that caveat, mortgage rates today look likely to hold close to steady. However, be aware that “intraday swings” (when rates change speed or direction during the day) are a common feature right now.
Find your lowest rate. Start here
What’s driving mortgage rates today?
The Fed
The Federal Reserve’s rate-setting body (the Federal Open Market Committee or FOMC) begins a two-day meeting tomorrow. And a flurry of events is scheduled for the following afternoon.
Almost nobody expects an announcement of a cut in general interest rates on Wednesday. But events that afternoon include:
2 p.m. Eastern — Rate announcement and report publications
2 p.m. Eastern — Summary of Economic Projects publication. This occurs only quarterly and includes a dot plot
These FOMC documents and the news conference may provide new insights into how the Fed’s thinking on future cuts to general interest rates is evolving. So, markets globally will be paying the closest attention to every word written and uttered.
And there is huge potential for Wednesday’s Fed events to move mortgage rates.
I covered this in last Saturday’s weekend edition. And I’ll brief you in more detail again on Wednesday morning so you’ll know what to look out for.
Other influences on mortgage rates this week
Most of the economic reports on this week’s calendar are unlikely to affect mortgage rates. It’s not impossible. But they cover areas of the economy that rarely interest the bond investors who largely determine those rates.
Today’s lone report is a good example. It’s the home builder confidence index for February, which came in as expected. I don’t recall the last time that had a perceptible influence on mortgage rates. And the same goes for tomorrow’s housing starts and building permits, also for February.
The two reports that might move mortgage rates this week are both March purchasing managers’ indexes (PMIs) from S&P. One covers the services sector and the other manufacturing.
They’re both expected to show purchasing activity slowing modestly. But I’ll brief you more fully on what to expect on Wednesday.
Friday has no scheduled economic reports. However, three Fed speakers, including Chair Jerome Powell, have speaking engagements that day. Those could be an opportunity to reinforce messages communicated on Wednesday and to correct any misunderstandings. So, they could have an impact on mortgage rates.
Don’t forget you can always learn more about what’s driving mortgage rates in the most recent weekend edition of this daily report. These provide a more detailed analysis of what’s happening. They are published each Saturday morning soon after 10 a.m. (ET) and include a preview of the following week.
Recent trends
According to Freddie Mac’s archives, the weekly all-time lowest rate for 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages was set on Jan. 7, 2021, when it stood at 2.65%. The weekly all-time high was 18.63% on Sep. 10, 1981.
Freddie’s Mar. 14 report put that same weekly average at 6.74% down from the previous week’s 6.88%. But note that Freddie’s data are almost always out of date by the time it announces its weekly figures.
Expert forecasts for mortgage rates
Looking further ahead, Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) each has a team of economists dedicated to monitoring and forecasting what will happen to the economy, the housing sector and mortgage rates.
And here are their rate forecasts for the four quarters of 2024 (Q1/24, Q2/24 Q3/24 and Q4/24).
The numbers in the table below are for 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages. Fannie’s were updated on Feb. 12 and the MBA’s on Feb. 20.
Forecaster
Q1/24
Q2/24
Q3/24
Q4/24
Fannie Mae
6.5%
6.3%
6.1%
5.9%
MBA
6.9%
6.6%
6.3%
6.1%
Of course, given so many unknowables, both these forecasts might be even more speculative than usual. And their past record for accuracy hasn’t been wildly impressive.
Important notes on today’s mortgage rates
Here are some things you need to know:
Typically, mortgage rates go up when the economy’s doing well and down when it’s in trouble. But there are exceptions. Read ‘How mortgage rates are determined and why you should care’
Only “top-tier” borrowers (with stellar credit scores, big down payments, and very healthy finances) get the ultralow mortgage rates you’ll see advertised
Lenders vary. Yours may or may not follow the crowd when it comes to daily rate movements — though they all usually follow the broader trend over time
When daily rate changes are small, some lenders will adjust closing costs and leave their rate cards the same
Refinance rates are typically close to those for purchases.
A lot is going on at the moment. And nobody can claim to know with certainty what will happen to mortgage rates in the coming hours, days, weeks or months.
Find your lowest mortgage rate today
You should comparison shop widely, no matter what sort of mortgage you want. Federal regulator the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau found in May 2023:
“Mortgage borrowers are paying around $100 a month more depending on which lender they choose, for the same type of loan and the same consumer characteristics (such as credit score and down payment).”
In other words, over the lifetime of a 30-year loan, homebuyers who don’t bother to get quotes from multiple lenders risk losing an average of $36,000. What could you do with that sort of money?
Verify your new rate
Mortgage rate methodology
The Mortgage Reports receives rates based on selected criteria from multiple lending partners each day. We arrive at an average rate and APR for each loan type to display in our chart. Because we average an array of rates, it gives you a better idea of what you might find in the marketplace. Furthermore, we average rates for the same loan types. For example, FHA fixed with FHA fixed. The end result is a good snapshot of daily rates and how they change over time.
How your mortgage interest rate is determined
Mortgage and refinance rates vary a lot depending on each borrower’s unique situation.
Factors that determine your mortgage interest rate include:
Overall strength of the economy — A strong economy usually means higher rates, while a weaker one can push current mortgage rates down to promote borrowing
Lender capacity — When a lender is very busy, it will increase rates to deter new business and give its loan officers some breathing room
Property type (condo, single-family, town house, etc.) — A primary residence, meaning a home you plan to live in full time, will have a lower interest rate. Investment properties, second homes, and vacation homes have higher mortgage rates
Loan-to-value ratio (determined by your down payment) — Your loan-to-value ratio (LTV) compares your loan amount to the value of the home. A lower LTV, meaning a bigger down payment, gets you a lower mortgage rate
Debt-To-Income ratio — This number compares your total monthly debts to your pretax income. The more debt you currently have, the less room you’ll have in your budget for a mortgage payment
Loan term — Loans with a shorter term (like a 15-year mortgage) typically have lower rates than a 30-year loan term
Borrower’s credit score — Typically the higher your credit score is, the lower your mortgage rate, and vice versa
Mortgage discount points — Borrowers have the option to buy discount points or ‘mortgage points’ at closing. These let you pay money upfront to lower your interest rate
Remember, every mortgage lender weighs these factors a little differently.
To find the best rate for your situation, you’ll want to get personalized estimates from a few different lenders.
Verify your new rate. Start here
Are refinance rates the same as mortgage rates?
Rates for a home purchase and mortgage refinance are often similar.
However, some lenders will charge more for a refinance under certain circumstances.
Typically when rates fall, homeowners rush to refinance. They see an opportunity to lock in a lower rate and payment for the rest of their loan.
This creates a tidal wave of new work for mortgage lenders.
Unfortunately, some lenders don’t have the capacity or crew to process a large number of refinance loan applications.
In this case, a lender might raise its rates to deter new business and give loan officers time to process loans currently in the pipeline.
Also, cashing out equity can result in a higher rate when refinancing.
Cash-out refinances pose a greater risk for mortgage lenders, so they’re often priced higher than new home purchases and rate-term refinances.
Check your refinance rates today. Start here
How to get the lowest mortgage or refinance rate
Since rates can vary, always shop around when buying a house or refinancing a mortgage.
Comparison shopping can potentially save thousands, even tens of thousands of dollars over the life of your loan.
Here are a few tips to keep in mind:
1. Get multiple quotes
Many borrowers make the mistake of accepting the first mortgage or refinance offer they receive.
Some simply go with the bank they use for checking and savings since that can seem easiest.
However, your bank might not offer the best mortgage deal for you. And if you’re refinancing, your financial situation may have changed enough that your current lender is no longer your best bet.
So get multiple quotes from at least three different lenders to find the right one for you.
2. Compare Loan Estimates
When shopping for a mortgage or refinance, lenders will provide a Loan Estimate that breaks down important costs associated with the loan.
You’ll want to read these Loan Estimates carefully and compare costs and fees line-by-line, including:
Interest rate
Annual percentage rate (APR)
Monthly mortgage payment
Loan origination fees
Rate lock fees
Closing costs
Remember, the lowest interest rate isn’t always the best deal.
Annual percentage rate (APR) can help you compare the ‘real’ cost of two loans. It estimates your total yearly cost including interest and fees.
Also, pay close attention to your closing costs.
Some lenders may bring their rates down by charging more upfront via discount points. These can add thousands to your out-of-pocket costs.
3. Negotiate your mortgage rate
You can also negotiate your mortgage rate to get a better deal.
Let’s say you get loan estimates from two lenders. Lender A offers the better rate, but you prefer your loan terms from Lender B. Talk to Lender B and see if they can beat the former’s pricing.
You might be surprised to find that a lender is willing to give you a lower interest rate in order to keep your business.
And if they’re not, keep shopping — there’s a good chance someone will.
Fixed-rate mortgage vs. adjustable-rate mortgage: Which is right for you?
Mortgage borrowers can choose between a fixed-rate mortgage and an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM).
Fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) have interest rates that never change unless you decide to refinance. This results in predictable monthly payments and stability over the life of your loan.
Adjustable-rate loans have a low interest rate that’s fixed for a set number of years (typically five or seven). After the initial fixed-rate period, the interest rate adjusts every year based on market conditions.
With each rate adjustment, a borrower’s mortgage rate can either increase, decrease, or stay the same. These loans are unpredictable since monthly payments can change each year.
Adjustable-rate mortgages are fitting for borrowers who expect to move before their first rate adjustment, or who can afford a higher future payment.
In most other cases, a fixed-rate mortgage is typically the safer and better choice.
Remember, if rates drop sharply, you are free to refinance and lock in a lower rate and payment later on.
How your credit score affects your mortgage rate
You don’t need a high credit score to qualify for a home purchase or refinance, but your credit score will affect your rate.
This is because credit history determines risk level.
Historically speaking, borrowers with higher credit scores are less likely to default on their mortgages, so they qualify for lower rates.
So, for the best rate, aim for a credit score of 720 or higher.
Mortgage programs that don’t require a high score include:
Conventional home loans — minimum 620 credit score
FHA loans — minimum 500 credit score (with a 10% down payment) or 580 (with a 3.5% down payment)
VA loans — no minimum credit score, but 620 is common
USDA loans — minimum 640 credit score
Ideally, you want to check your credit report and score at least 6 months before applying for a mortgage. This gives you time to sort out any errors and make sure your score is as high as possible.
If you’re ready to apply now, it’s still worth checking so you have a good idea of what loan programs you might qualify for and how your score will affect your rate.
You can get your credit report from AnnualCreditReport.com and your score from MyFico.com.
How big of a down payment do I need?
Nowadays, mortgage programs don’t require the conventional 20 percent down.
Indeed, first-time home buyers put only 6 percent down on average.
Down payment minimums vary depending on the loan program. For example:
Conventional home loans require a down payment between 3% and 5%
FHA loans require 3.5% down
VA and USDA loans allow zero down payment
Jumbo loans typically require at least 5% to 10% down
Keep in mind, a higher down payment reduces your risk as a borrower and helps you negotiate a better mortgage rate.
If you are able to make a 20 percent down payment, you can avoid paying for mortgage insurance.
This is an added cost paid by the borrower, which protects their lender in case of default or foreclosure.
But a big down payment is not required.
For many people, it makes sense to make a smaller down payment in order to buy a house sooner and start building home equity.
Verify your new rate. Start here
Choosing the right type of home loan
No two mortgage loans are alike, so it’s important to know your options and choose the right type of mortgage.
The five main types of mortgages include:
Fixed-rate mortgage (FRM)
Your interest rate remains the same over the life of the loan. This is a good option for borrowers who expect to live in their homes long-term.
The most popular loan option is the 30-year mortgage, but 15- and 20-year terms are also commonly available.
Adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM)
Adjustable-rate loans have a fixed interest rate for the first few years. Then, your mortgage rate resets every year.
Your rate and payment can rise or fall annually depending on how the broader interest rate trends.
ARMs are ideal for borrowers who expect to move prior to their first rate adjustment (usually in 5 or 7 years).
For those who plan to stay in their home long-term, a fixed-rate mortgage is typically recommended.
Jumbo mortgage
A jumbo loan is a mortgage that exceeds the conforming loan limit set by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
In 2023, the conforming loan limit is $726,200 in most areas.
Jumbo loans are perfect for borrowers who need a larger loan to purchase a high-priced property, especially in big cities with high real estate values.
FHA mortgage
A government loan backed by the Federal Housing Administration for low- to moderate-income borrowers. FHA loans feature low credit score and down payment requirements.
VA mortgage
A government loan backed by the Department of Veterans Affairs. To be eligible, you must be active-duty military, a veteran, a Reservist or National Guard service member, or an eligible spouse.
VA loans allow no down payment and have exceptionally low mortgage rates.
USDA mortgage
USDA loans are a government program backed by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. They offer a no-down-payment solution for borrowers who purchase real estate in an eligible rural area. To qualify, your income must be at or below the local median.
Bank statement loan
Borrowers can qualify for a mortgage without tax returns, using their personal or business bank account as evidence of their financial circumstances. This is an option for self-employed or seasonally-employed borrowers.
Portfolio/Non-QM loan
These are mortgages that lenders don’t sell on the secondary mortgage market. And this gives lenders the flexibility to set their own guidelines.
Non-QM loans may have lower credit score requirements or offer low-down-payment options without mortgage insurance.
Choosing the right mortgage lender
The lender or loan program that’s right for one person might not be right for another.
Explore your options and then pick a loan based on your credit score, down payment, and financial goals, as well as local home prices.
Whether you’re getting a mortgage for a home purchase or a refinance, always shop around and compare rates and terms.
Typically, it only takes a few hours to get quotes from multiple lenders. And it could save you thousands in the long run.
Time to make a move? Let us find the right mortgage for you
Current mortgage rates methodology
We receive current mortgage rates each day from a network of mortgage lenders that offer home purchase and refinance loans. Those mortgage rates shown here are based on sample borrower profiles that vary by loan type. See our full loan assumptions here.
Another reason why the Fed can let the CRE swoon rip.
By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET.
The multifamily segment of Commercial Real Estate – apartments – is holding up better than office, retail (the Brick-and-Mortar Meltdown since 2017), and lodging, though it’s cracking too with some spectacular defaults over the past 12 months or so. Yet, US banks and thrifts and foreign banks hold only a small-ish portion.
Total mortgages backed by multifamily properties rose by 4.4% year-over-year in Q4, or by $88 billion, to $2.09 trillion, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association, based on its own data, and on data from the Federal Reserve, Trepp, and the FDIC.
Of those mortgages:
US government agencies, US Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs), state and local governments, and state and local government pension funds held 54.8%, or $1.09 trillion.
US banks and thrifts and foreign banks held 29.3%, or $612 billion.
Life insurers held 11.3%, or $235 billion.
Another 3.2%, or $67 billion, had been securitized into CMBS, CDOs, and ABS, and those securities were held by investors.
Other investors, including private pension funds and REITs, held 2%.
The blue line represents federal government backed entities – including MBS issued and guaranteed by those entities, Quite an interesting trend (chart via MBA):
The MBA excludes loans for acquisition, development and construction, and loans collateralized by owner-occupied commercial properties.
For about a year, we’ve been reporting on how non-bank entities, from CMBS holders to PE firms, were on the hook for office and other CRE mortgages, how the biggest losses have hit these investors, particularly the CMBS investors, and not banks. And among the banks that it did hit, there were a slew of foreign banks.
But with the multifamily segment of CRE, it’s mostly federal, state, and local government entities, including their pension funds that are on the hook – meaning the taxpayers are on the hook for 54.8% of all multifamily mortgages.
And the Fed couldn’t care less about taxpayers. The Fed is worried about the banks, not a few individual banks, but about contagion across the banking system triggering a banking panic. But with the 4,026 US banks with $23 trillion in total assets holding only $612 billion in multifamily mortgages – well, that’s less than 3% of their total assets. In other words, the banking system overall isn’t fundamentally threatened by bad multifamily loan.
Even if many of the banks’ $612 billion in multifamily loans default, they’re secured by multifamily buildings with some value, so the losses are going to be only fraction of the $612 billion, spread over 4,026 banks with $23 trillion in total assets.
As always, some smaller banks with concentrated exposure in some markets may eventually topple under defaulted multifamily loans. Fitch thinks 49 tiny banks are heavily exposed to troubled multifamily loans, and some of those banks make topple. In nearly every year, some banks toppled, and it’s just part of the risks in the banking system, and it’s the FDIC’s job to mop up those local messes at investors’ expense.
Enjoy reading WOLF STREET and want to support it? You can donate. I appreciate it immensely. Click on the beer and iced-tea mug to find out how:
Would you like to be notified via email when WOLF STREET publishes a new article? Sign up here.
When it comes to their kids, many of your employees may be willing to put their retirement on the line.
As HR pros focus on workforce planning, understanding the burden that college costs impose on most employees is a key component for successful financial wellness programs.
Paying for college is a daunting challenge, and even financially savvy parents can become overwhelmed and confused by the college financing process. That’s where employer-sponsored education efforts can help. Employers who understand the following common college financing traps can better plan programs to alleviate the stress of paying for college and improve financial wellness overall.
Trap One: Prioritizing Their Children’s Education Over Their Own Retirement
By now, it’s become a financial wellness mantra: Parents should prioritize their retirement savings before saving for or paying for a child’s college education. After all, the thinking goes, students can borrow for education costs, but parents can’t borrow money to pay for retirement. And if parents don’t properly prepare for retirement, their children may end up supporting them in their later years, jeopardizing their future finances.
But with ever-rising tuition costs and the increasing burden of student debt, it may be harder for your employees to follow that tried-and-true advice. The cost of college has more than doubled over the past four decades — and student loan borrowing has risen along with it. Americans collectively owe more than 1.7 trillion in student loan debt, according to the Federal Reserve .
Trying to ease the burden on their children, your employees may be raiding their future. Among people aged 25 to 80 who are saving for both retirement and future college expenses, 58% say they are delaying retirement, and 41% say they have withdrawn money from their own retirement funds to pay for a child’s (or other relative’s) tuition, according to a July 2023 survey by the Society of Actuaries .
When an employee delays retirement to catch up on missed retirement savings or pay off education loans, it can be costly to an organization. What’s more, if paying for college forces an employee to work longer than they want to, the result may be a less productive, less engaged worker.
Recommended: SoFi Survey: The Future of Financial Well-Being at Work
Trap Two: Mismanaging PLUS loans
Parent Loans for Undergraduate Students (PLUS loans) are underwritten by the federal government and allow families to borrow without the same credit checks and other limits imposed on other types of lending. Because these loans are in a parent’s name, your employees may naturally gravitate to them as a way to help their children avoid debt.
But there are drawbacks. Unlike federal student loans, there are no limits on the amount parents can borrow as long as it doesn’t exceed education costs. To qualify for a PLUS loan, parents need only pass a check for an “adverse event” such as a recent bankruptcy filing or foreclosure. There is no consideration of the borrower’s ability to repay the loan. Given the often astronomical costs of attending a four-year college, your employees may quickly find they have taken on more debt than they can comfortably handle.
In addition, PLUS loan interest rates, set by the government each year, are usually significantly higher than student-held federal loans (8.05% for 2023-2024 versus 5.50%) and sometimes higher than some private college loans.
If parents default or consolidate their PLUS loans, or if they receive a forbearance or a deferment, the interest that continues to accrue is capitalized. That means that principal and payments can become even more unaffordable for employees. In addition, if the loans go into default, the government can garnish wages, Social Security checks, and tax refunds.
Recommended: Preparing for College Resource Guide for Parents
Trap Three: Avoiding College Financing at All Costs
Another common mistake lurks on the opposite side of the spectrum. In an effort to avoid college debt of any kind, parents who have some, but not enough, college savings may decide to forego saving for retirement, dip into retirement savings, or use home equity to pay tuition bills as they come.
Withdrawing 401(k) savings can result in significant penalties, taxes, and, importantly, lost principal and earnings. Cash-out home refinancing can lead to higher and perhaps unaffordable mortgage payments. Even putting retirement savings on hold when the year’s tuition is due can translate into large gaps in savings goals, depending on the number and ages of children attending college.
These are all understandable mistakes. As we saw above, an overreliance on debt to pay college bills can seriously jeopardize financial well-being. But so, too, can dismissing the strategic use of financial aid and loans to finance college costs.
For instance, your employees may neglect filling out the Free Application for Federal Student Aid (FAFSA), figuring that they earn too much to qualify for federal financial aid. According to Sallie Mae’s How America Pays for College 2023 report, 71% of families filed the FAFSA for the 2022-2023 academic year, down from 86% in 2016-2017.
These parents may not realize that without the FAFSA, the student will not be awarded federal subsidized and unsubsidized loans, which can be attractive for their low rates and, in the case of subsidized loan, help from the government in paying interest.
More importantly, many schools require students to submit a FAFSA to be eligible for merit-based scholarships and grants, even though these funds are awarded according to the student’s academic record and other achievements, not financial need. Merit-based aid does not have to be repaid and is usually awarded to undergraduates for the full four years.
While too much debt is never smart, a prudent and affordable mix of well-structured student debt can help parents avoid sacrificing retirement savings, home equity, and other long-term savings to pay for college now.
Employer-sponsored college financing education and one-on-one college counseling can help ensure parents understand the complexities of financial aid and student borrowing so they can balance long-term and current financial needs and goals.
The Takeaway
Employers who help parents avoid these common college financing traps may help alleviate what is fast becoming one of the largest sources of financial stress in your workforce.
SoFi at Work can help with student loan repayment platforms, extensive education efforts, plus a lending suite of student, graduate student, MBA, and parent loans. For organizations that are looking to help their employees get ahead on their education financing goals, SoFi at Work also offers a 529 College Savings Program, which can be integrated into any payroll system.
Photo credit: iStock/Orbon Alija
Products available from SoFi on the Dashboard may vary depending on your employer preferences.
SoFi Relay offers users the ability to connect both SoFi accounts and external accounts using Plaid, Inc’s service. When you use the service to connect an account, you authorize SoFi to obtain account information from any external accounts as set forth in SoFi’s Terms of Use. SoFi assumes no responsibility for the timeliness, accuracy, deletion, non-delivery or failure to store any user data, loss of user data, communications, or personalization settings. You shall confirm the accuracy of Plaid data through sources independent of SoFi. The credit score provided to you is a VantageScore® based on TransUnion® (the “Processing Agent”) data.
Advisory tools and services are offered through SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser. 234 1st Street San Francisco, CA 94105.
Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.
External Websites: The information and analysis provided through hyperlinks to third-party websites, while believed to be accurate, cannot be guaranteed by SoFi. Links are provided for informational purposes and should not be viewed as an endorsement.
Tax Information: This article provides general background information only and is not intended to serve as legal or tax advice or as a substitute for legal counsel. You should consult your own attorney and/or tax advisor if you have a question requiring legal or tax advice.
My work on housing moves around the 10-year yield and the economics that move that. The growth rate of inflation has fallen a lot on the year-over-year data, but mortgage rates haven’t gone down, which isn’t surprising to me as my mantra has been:“Labor over Inflation.”
For 2024, the 10-year yield running between 3.80%-4.25% looks perfectly normal to me as long as the economic data is firm and the Fed hasn’t pivoted. I can’t see the 10-year yield below 3.37% unless the labor market breaks — meaning jobless claims over 323,000 on the four-week moving average. That means I can’t see mortgage rates going below 6%, especially with the spreads being bad, until the labor market or the economy gets weaker.
However, now we are at the same spot as last year, near the critical 4.34% level and we have the Federal Reserve meeting coming up. This is a big week, as you can see in the chart below.
With mortgage rates above 7% again, we will have to see what the Fed says at this meeting because, in the past few meetings, they have made it clear that policy is restrained and that they don’t want it to get too restrictive. This is what happened last year when the 10-year yield headed to 5% and we had 8% mortgage rates. However, there is a risk of the Fed sounding too hawkish again which would send the 10-year yield higher.
Purchase application data
As mortgage rates have been falling recently, we saw back-to-back weeks of growth in the purchase application data, which aligns with what we saw last year. Remember, we are working from extremely depressed levels in this data line, so the bar is so low that it doesn’t take much to move the needle.
Since November 2023, we have had 10 positive and five negative purchase application prints after making holiday adjustments. Year to date, we have had four positive prints versus five negative prints. Clearly, if mortgage rates can head toward 6% and hold we will get rising demand, but I believe the Federal Reserve wouldn’t be able to sleep at night if more people were buying homes.
Weekly housing inventory data
The one positive story for me in housing this year is that inventory is growing year over year for both active inventory and new listing data. I know it’s not a lot, but growth is growth. The one benefit of higher rates is that inventory can grow in the post-2010 qualified mortgage world as long as higher rates create softness in demand. It hasn’t been a lot of growth historically, but growth is growth.
Last year, the seasonal inventory bottom happened on April 14, which was the the longest time to find a seasonal bottom ever. This means we will show more than normal inventory growth until we get past tax day 2024.
Here is a look at the inventory last week:
Weekly inventory change (March 8-15 ): Inventory rose from 500,579 to 507,160
The same week last year (March 9-16): Inventory rose from 413,199 to 414,967
The all-time inventory bottom was in 2022 at 240,194
The inventory peak for 2023 was 569,898
For some context, active listings for this week in 2015 were 982,639
New listings data
New listings are growing yearly, which is another plus for housing. Last year, II picked up on the trend that new listing data was creating a historical bottom as the data line wasn’t heading lower with higher rates. The growth is a tad lighter than what I was hoping for. But as someone who didn’t buy the mortgage rate lockdown premise that inventory can’t grow with higher rates, this year is a good test case.
Here’s the weekly new listing data for last week over several previous years:
2024: 59,542
2023: 41,415
2022: 54,542
For some historical context, new listing data this week in 2010 was 306,020.
Price-cut percentage
Every year, one-third of all homes take a price cut before selling — this is regular housing activity and this data line is very seasonal. The price-cut percentage can grow when mortgage rates move higher and demand gets hit. When rates fall, they go lower than an average year.
Inventory is higher than last year, and we might have found the bottom already, so as the year progresses, the number of homes taking a price cut should increase. The goal is to see how the mortgage rate variable plays into this data line. This is why this week’s Fed meeting is key, to see if the 10-year yield can break higher, which should increase the price-cut data.
Here’s the percentage of homes that took a price cut before selling last week and how that compares to the same week in previous years:
2024: 31%
2023: 30%
2022: 17%
Week ahead: The Fed and housing data
The Federal Reserve’s language and the dot plot are the two things to watch this week. The dot plot should still show many Fed members having two to three rate cuts in play for 2024, with some going the opposite way from that group. We also will have tons of housing data coming out this week, including the builders’ confidence, housing starts, existing home sales, and Zillow home price data. However, the key is the Fed, Fed and the Fed!
David Peskin, formerly from Senior Lending Network and Reverse Mortgage Funding (RMF), has purchased an ownership stake in top 10 reverse mortgage lender HighTechLending (HTL) and will lead the company’s new pursuits alongside co-owner and COO Erika Macias.
Peskin spoke to RMD about the move. He shed light on why now was the right time to move into an ownership role at the lender, what he hopes to accomplish and the place the reverse mortgage product will continue to play in the company’s pursuits.
The move to HighTech
In early 2023, Peskin and Eric Ellsworth joined HighTechLending initially as president and EVP of reverse sales, respectively. Their arrival came around the same time as the sudden and unexpected death of Don Currie, the company’s founder and longtime president. Currie had sought to bring both men in and work alongside them, Peskin explained.
“The idea was to work alongside Don and Erika,” Peskin told RMD in an interview. “Don was planning on retiring, and the initial arrangement for me was to buy some of his shares, and then the remaining shares over time. It was very unexpected and sad when Don passed. Don was a great guy whom I had done business with for 10 years and had come to know and trust. Unfortunately when Don passed, it created, I would say, a level of uncertainty in our future with HighTech given that he left all of his shares to his estate which had control over HighTech.”
This put any long-term decisions on hold until Peskin and the company could determine a way forward, but the arrival of 2024 saw the formation of a deal that would effectively continue the original plan, Peskin said.
“The good news is that we finally signed a definitive agreement in January of this year to buy 100% of the estate’s shares,” Peskin said. “And now, we’re simply waiting for regulatory approval. Hopefully, we’ll have that in the next 60 to 90 days.”
Macias remains a shareholder and the COO of the company, and Peskin looks forward to continuing work alongside her.
“She is still an equity owner and she’ll continue to do what she’s been doing,” he said. “She’s been an outstanding partner, we got very lucky to end up in the same place together. We’re very excited to work with her. She’s just been incredible.”
Looking to the future
The closure of RMF was a major shock to the reverse mortgage industry, and when asked about his thoughts on the situation as he takes a leading role at another company he said he is primarily focused on the future.
“I ran the origination side of the business, and was heavily focused on growing our origination platform,” he said. “We had a great team there, and did a great job building an outstanding origination platform. I know people loved working for us, so we’ll build the same culture.”
But Peskin also has a passion for the reverse mortgage market that brought him back into the fold, he explained.
“I’m a big believer in this market, and a bigger believer in solving seniors’ cash flow problems,” he explained. “Because of that, I’m focused on the future, and setting out what I intended to do even before RMF: giving people as many options as possible so they can access their home equity for a safe and secure retirement.”
The question of forward integration
A core takeaway for him is that his previous company was exclusively focused on one product, while HighTech has more product offerings available for its professionals to use.
“One reason I’m excited to purchase HTL is that [at RMF] we only offered reverse mortgages,” he said. “HTL offers a whole suite of products. We think that if you want to properly provide the older homeowners an opportunity to access the equity in the home, you’ve got to offer more than one product. It can’t just be reverse mortgages, it has to be a suite of an overall solution to the customer [that allows them] to let them pick what the best product is for them. And that’s a very big difference.”
A rise in forward mortgage companies are interested in entering the reverse mortgage space.
“Over time, people can learn both products, especially with the use of technology,” he explained. “But I don’t see how you can do [either] without having proper internal support. That’s why it’s so important to have a great support team that knows the diversity of products.”
Older people have a well-documented preference to remain in their homes, but the sentiment around tapping home equity remains low, he recognized.
“I know there are studies saying people don’t want to access the equity in their home, but at the end of the day for a lot of older homeowners, if they want to remain in their home they’re going to have to access their equity. But a reverse mortgage may not be the right product for them.”
Communicating to the industry
Peskin doesn’t expect to make any major changes to HighTech once the deal to buy Currie’s shares is finalized, outside of bringing more people into the fold, he said. He wants the industry to know that the company will be looking to go where older clients feel they need to, which includes a broader product mix than strictly reverse mortgages.
“You’ve got to look at it realistically,” he said. “You need to ask, ‘what do these customers need based on their current situation?’ And if I’ve got products to serve them today, or five-to-ten years from now, then I can build a business around that. I don’t think you can just look at today, you’ve got to look at how to help our loan officers be successful in growing their business.”
The only way to do that, he said, is with products that can meet the needs of both clients while emphasizing the strengths of employees.
“Loan officers need a good diversification of products, and the ability to offer those products,” he said.
Welcome offers make the first year you carry a credit card an especially lucrative one. After that, you’ll earn rewards for your spending, but nothing comes close to that influx of points worth potentially hundreds of dollars upon redemption.
However, a card’s terms and conditions might stop you from getting multiple new cardholder bonuses from the same issuer, which is the case for certain American Express cards. If you open a new AmEx card and earn a welcome bonus, you may not be able to earn a bonus from another AmEx-issued card within the same “family” later on.
Here’s how to navigate AmEx application rules when it comes to restrictions on new cardholder welcome offers.
AmEx card ‘families’
It helps to think of cards that offer similar benefits as “families.” A family of cards has a major thing in common, like what rewards currency they earn (travel points or cash back). They may all be part of a rewards program for a specific airline or hotel brand. Within families, you’ll find different tiers of cards. A more premium card will charge a higher annual fee in exchange for more rewards. A no-annual-fee card provides a lower-cost option, but that card won’t offer as many perks.
AmEx cards fall into several families, each with rules about how many bonuses you can get. If you’re ineligible to get a bonus, you’ll get a notification before your application is processed, so you can decide at that point whether or not to proceed.
These are the AmEx card families.
Membership Rewards cards
A number of AmEx cards earn Membership Rewards points, which can be redeemed for travel (including transfers to airline and hotel partners), statement credits, gift cards or purchases at participating merchants. There are two sub-families within this category:
For travel
The Platinum Card® from American Express: If you had this card before, or other versions of it including the Platinum Card from American Express Exclusively for Charles Schwab, the Platinum Card from American Express Exclusively for Morgan Stanley or previous versions, you may not be able to qualify for a welcome offer by getting it again.
American Express® Gold Card: If you had this card or any versions of The Platinum Card® from American Express before, you may not qualify for a welcome offer.
American Express® Green Card: If you had this card, the American Express® Gold Card or any versions of The Platinum Card® from American Express before, you may not qualify for a welcome offer. (All information about the American Express® Green Card has been collected independently and the card is no longer available through NerdWallet.)
Terms apply.
For everyday purchases
Amex EveryDay® Credit Card: If you had this card or The Amex EveryDay® Preferred Credit Card from American Express before, you may not be eligible for a welcome offer. (All information about the Amex EveryDay® Credit Cardhas been collected independently and the card is no longer available through NerdWallet.)
Terms apply.
Cash-back cards
AmEx issues several cards that earn cash-back rewards. The Blue Cash Preferred® Card from American Express and Blue Cash Everyday® Card from American Express earn elevated rewards in specific spending categories, while the American Express Cash Magnet® Card earns the same rate on all purchases.
American Express Cash Magnet® Card: If you had this card, the Blue Cash Preferred® Card from American Express or the Blue Cash Everyday® Card from American Express before, you may not be eligible for a welcome offer. (All information about the American Express Cash Magnet® Card has been collected independently by NerdWallet.)
Terms apply.
Airline cards
AmEx issues these co-branded Delta cards that earn rewards in the form of Delta SkyMiles:
Delta SkyMiles® Gold American Express Card: If you had this card, the Delta SkyMiles® Reserve American Express Card or the Delta SkyMiles® Platinum American Express Card before, you may not be eligible for a welcome offer.
Delta SkyMiles® Blue American Express Card: If you had this card, the Delta SkyMiles® Reserve American Express Card, Delta SkyMiles® Platinum American Express Card or Delta SkyMiles® Gold American Express Card before, you may not be eligible for a welcome offer.
Terms apply.
Hotel cards
The Hilton cards provide an exception to some of the rules you see with other AmEx cards. You can’t get a welcome offer on a card if you get that exact same card again, but you can get another card in the Hilton family and be eligible for that card’s offer.
Hilton Honors
Hilton Honors American Express Aspire Card: If you had this card before, you may not be eligible for a welcome offer. (All information about the Hilton Honors American Express Aspire Card has been collected independently and the card is no longer available through NerdWallet.)
Marriott Bonvoy
What you can do
Choose your card carefully
If you can only get one welcome bonus per card family, go for the card with the biggest bonus available. That may mean stomaching a higher annual fee (and the annual fees on some of these cards are no joke), but if you choose a card with other perks you’ll actually use, you can get more value out of the card while you carry it.
You can opt to downgrade the pricier card later on to another member of the family with a lower annual fee if you’d like to keep your account open for a lower cost. You won’t earn another bonus this way, however.
Look for targeted offers
Anecdotally, consumers may receive targeted credit card offers from AmEx without this lifetime language, meaning you may be eligible for another bonus despite carrying another card in that family. These offers arrive randomly, so pay attention to what you get in the mail.
Ask for a retention bonus
If you’re considering canceling a card once the annual fee is due again, call the number on the back of your card and ask about retention offers. You’re shut out of bonuses on other similar AmEx cards, but perhaps a kindly customer service representative can convince you to hold onto the card you have now with a waived annual fee or some extra rewards points.
Nope, not a radio. This ol’ thing is a tissue cover box that makes music from an otherwise boring home essential. The cute retro cover comes in three fun colors and looks so charming in kitchens or bedside tables. Who knew tissues could be so cool?
2
Bold and Bright
Simple Designs Mini Ceramic Globe Table Lamp
2
Bold and Bright
Simple Designs Mini Ceramic Globe Table Lamp
Now 53% Off
In case you didn’t see the under-$10 price tag of this mini lamp, we’d like to call that out off the bat. In addition to its affordability, this extremely giftable light comes in eight colors. There’s also an option to buy an 18-pack for just over $150 if your giftee has a lot of rooms in dire need of some light.
3
For Bath Time All the Time
dodococa Bathtub Soap Dish
3
For Bath Time All the Time
dodococa Bathtub Soap Dish
Now 10% Off
Has anything ever been more on the nose than these bathtub-shaped soap dishes? The quirky little holders look so nostalgic and actually have great use to them since they’ll prevent any gunky build-up from forming on your sink or tub edge. We also recommend storing jewelry, Q-tips, or smaller toiletries in these dishes.
More: Gift This Lego Tiny Plants Set to the Person Who’s Over Roses
Advertisement – Continue Reading Below
4
For the Hostess
Brew To A Tea Porcelain Floral Plates
4
For the Hostess
Brew To A Tea Porcelain Floral Plates
Nothing is more ’70s than a set of porcelain plates. These floral ones exude a groovy dinner in Mom’s (or Grandma’s) kitchen. The set of eight petite plates is perfect for dessert time, whether you’re serving up a group or enjoying some goodies with the family.
Gerard explained that, “after 2023 trends like quiet luxury dethroned 2022’s colorful maximalism, it’s natural that 2024 shoppers want to ease their way back into the funky prints that once brought them joy. Perhaps the retro waves and groovy flowers of the ‘70s are the perfect opportunity to do so.”
5
Acrylic Accessories
upsimples Acrylic Shelves for Wall Storage
5
Acrylic Accessories
upsimples Acrylic Shelves for Wall Storage
Now 17% Off
Somehow, if you find the right shelving, it can transform a space from meh to HELLO! These bold acrylic shelves are the perfect example of an enticing piece of decor that your giftee will obsess over.
The set of four comes with pre-drilled holes so they won’t have to get too down and dirty with assembly, and they can each hold 8 pounds of books, photos, or knickknacks. (If you’re gifting this, include a framed picture of you and the recipient. That way, they’ll have no choice but to hang it up in their home.)
6
A Washable Favorite
Ruggable Iris Apfel Birds of A Feather Green and Peach Rug
6
A Washable Favorite
Ruggable Iris Apfel Birds of A Feather Green and Peach Rug
Our editors love Ruggable for its many eccentric washable rugs. This bird style is screaming grandparent’s living room (in the best way). It’s a quirky centerpiece that dresses up a drab kitchen in no time.
Senior Editor Summer Cartwright has an area rug from the brand and recommends getting a tufted finish for added comfort. “It’s so soft, but the thickness doesn’t hinder any of its machine-washable capabilities.”
Anyone, from your in-laws to your little sibling, would likely love a new runner to enhance their home.
Advertisement – Continue Reading Below
7
Blondie-Approved
Snadinordica Disco Ball Planter
7
Blondie-Approved
Snadinordica Disco Ball Planter
Now 20% Off
I’m not saying that your Swiftie friend needs this disco ball-shaped plant holder. I’m saying that they deserve this disco ball-shaped plant holder (the Mirrorball stans know what I mean).
8
For a Fresh Morning Jump Start
Smeg Retro Drip Filter Coffee Machine
8
For a Fresh Morning Jump Start
Smeg Retro Drip Filter Coffee Machine
I know we just mentioned coffee makers above, but this home decor gift is for a recipient who needs their morning nectar fast and in huge supply. The drip machine can craft up to 10 cups at once, plus it has an auto-start capability that can align with their alarms. Imagine waking up to fresh coffee. Now that’s a good gift.
9
Storage in Style
Mustard Made Lowdown Locker
9
Storage in Style
Mustard Made Lowdown Locker
If your friend or family member is moving into a new home, gift them a piece from Mustard Made to prove that even storage units can be beautiful.
The Lowdown locker comes in vibrant colors like the pictured yellow and works great as a TV stand like our Senior Editor Summer Cartwright uses it for. “It’s a cool-looking piece of furniture that holds SO much more than you’d think.”
Advertisement – Continue Reading Below
10
Aquatic Art
Eangee Home Design Jellyfish Lamp
10
Aquatic Art
Eangee Home Design Jellyfish Lamp
The fact that jellyfish are trending in home decor is something most of us did not have on our Bingo cards (if you did, props!), but seeing how cute this sea creature-inspired lamp is, it makes sense. The green and blue hues combined with gemstone-like tentacles are truly gorgeous. This would make a great gift for your creative best friend who moved into their new space.
11
Removable Decals
Kazova Brown Stripe Arch Wall Decal
11
Removable Decals
Kazova Brown Stripe Arch Wall Decal
Now 20% Off
If your giftee lives in an apartment or rental unit, this removable decal would be a stellar present. It has a funky retro shape to it that looks great when laid against corners, shelves, or doors.
More: The Best Peel-and-Stick Backsplash
12
A Sunny (Side-Up) Mat
Dtdepth Egg Bath Mat
12
A Sunny (Side-Up) Mat
Dtdepth Egg Bath Mat
The perfect bath mat doesn’t exi— never mind. This sunny-side-up egg mat is precisely the kitschy decor piece your giftee needs in their home. It’s under $25 but will certainly bring some laughs and sunshine to their bathroom or even the kitchen sink area, even on rainy days.
Advertisement – Continue Reading Below
13
Pour One Out
The Wine Savant Vintage Petals Glasses
13
Pour One Out
The Wine Savant Vintage Petals Glasses
If you’re looking for a present to give a friend who always hosts dinner parties at their place, this set of glasses will be a home run. The four-piece gift had that trendy vintage feel to it and comes in an adorable pink color that any Barbie fan would love.
14
For the Coffee Enthusiast
Frieling Double-Walled French Press
14
For the Coffee Enthusiast
Frieling Double-Walled French Press
15
Renaissance Realness
XMGZQ Silver Vase
15
Renaissance Realness
XMGZQ Silver Vase
Does this remind you of someone? Perhaps a queen? More specifically, THE Queen Bee?
Metalic decor pieces are all the rage this year, according to Stanback from Pinterest. “With the Renaissance Tour and Beyoncé encouraging people to wear silver in attendance, that definitely trickled outside of the tour… A lot of Gen Z and millennials are driving hot metal aesthetics into their own home.”
If you’re searching for a home decor gift for a Bey fan, it’s safe to say this set of vases is more than ideal.
Summer Cartwright is senior editor for Best Products and FirstFinds and is based in New York. She has written and edited for sites including Cosmo, People, InStyle, Food & Wine, Real Simple, and StyleCaster. Her interests outside of work include running, eating dessert, and playing with her two cats, Peaky and Polly. She received her master’s degree in magazine writing from New York University, and her bachelor’s degree in public affairs journalism from The Ohio State University.
Bonds are off to a weaker start today, but not in a major way and not due to any interesting developments. In general, there was some optimism heading into yesterday’s CPI and while it briefly seemed to have been justified (in the first few minutes after the data), traders concluded that the Fed would only be more “on hold” when we heard from them next week. Fed Funds Futures agreed:
This week’s Treasury auction cycle also helped explain some of yesterday morning’s weakness as traders positioned for the 10yr auction. Today’s only relevant calendar item is the 30yr bond auction at 1pm. It doesn’t have quite the pedigree of the 10yr auction, but being the last auction of the cycle, it could give way to a shift in tone after 1pm. In general though, bonds have rejected the move toward 4% 10yr yields and are now waiting for Thursday’s econ data as well as next week’s Fed announcement.
National mortgage rates fell on all loan terms compared to a week ago, according to rate data collected by Bankrate. Rates for 30-year fixed, 15-year fixed, 5/1 ARMs and jumbo loans all receded.
While it’s expected that rates will gradually come down this year, there may be some fluctuations.
At its Jan. 31 meeting, the Federal Reserve announced it would hold off changing rates, but could cut rates in the future. At their March 20th meeting, the Fed will update their outlook on rates. Rate fluctuations affect many areas of the economy, including the 10-year Treasury, a key benchmark for fixed-rate mortgages.
“Where the 10-Year Treasury yield goes, mortgage rates will follow,” says Ken Johnson of Florida Atlantic University. “In roughly the last two months, the 10-year Treasury yield is up 50 basis points. Depending on the source, the 30-year mortgage rate is up 48 basis points. Treasurys’ path remains a coin toss at this point.”
Rates last updated March 13, 2024.
The rates listed here are averages based on the assumptions shown here. Actual rates displayed within the site may vary. This story has been reviewed by Suzanne De Vita. All rate data accurate as of Wednesday, March 13th, 2024 at 7:30 a.m.
30-year mortgage rate retreats, -0.21%
Today’s average 30-year fixed-mortgage rate is 6.90 percent, a decrease of 21 basis points from a week ago. A month ago, the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage was higher, at 7.30 percent.
At the current average rate, you’ll pay $658.60 per month in principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow. That represents a decline of $14.11 over what it would have been last week.
Most mortgage lenders defer to the 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage as the go-to for most borrowers because it allows the borrower to disperse payments out over 30 years, keeping their monthly payment lower.
15-year mortgage rate moves lower, -0.16%
The average rate for a 15-year fixed mortgage is 6.49 percent, down 16 basis points over the last week.
Monthly payments on a 15-year fixed mortgage at that rate will cost roughly $871 per $100,000 borrowed. That may put more pressure on your monthly budget than a 30-year mortgage would, but it comes with some big advantages: You’ll come out several thousand dollars ahead over the life of the loan in total interest paid and build equity much more rapidly.
5/1 ARM dips, -0.23%
The average rate on a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage is 6.46 percent, ticking down 23 basis points since the same time last week.
Adjustable-rate mortgages, or ARMs, are mortgage loans that come with a floating interest rate. In other words, the interest rate will change at regular intervals, unlike fixed-rate mortgages. These loan types are best for people who expect to refinance or sell before the first or second adjustment. Rates could be substantially higher when the loan first adjusts, and thereafter.
While borrowers shunned ARMs during the pandemic days of super-low rates, this type of loan has made a comeback as mortgage rates have risen.
Monthly payments on a 5/1 ARM at 6.46 percent would cost about $629 for each $100,000 borrowed over the initial five years, but could increase by hundreds of dollars afterward, depending on the loan’s terms.
Jumbo mortgage moves lower, -0.17%
The average jumbo mortgage rate is 7.04 percent, down 17 basis points since the same time last week. This time a month ago, the average rate for jumbo mortgages was higher at 7.37 percent.
At the current average rate, you’ll pay $667.99 per month in principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow. Compared with last week, that’s $11.48 lower.
Refinance rates
30-year fixed-rate refinance eases, -0.21%
The average 30-year fixed-refinance rate is 6.84 percent, down 21 basis points over the last seven days. A month ago, the average rate on a 30-year fixed refinance was higher at 7.31 percent.
At the current average rate, you’ll pay $654.59 per month in principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow. Compared with last week, that’s $14.07 lower.
Where are mortgage rates going?
With inflation still above the Fed’s 2 percent goal and the job market holding strong, the Fed isn’t likely to cut rates at its March meeting.
“The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in the first half of this year, in my view,” says Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the National Association of Realtors, “but rate cuts of three, four or even five rounds will be possible in the second half of the year as rent measures will be much more well-behaved.”
The rates on 30-year mortgages mostly follow the 10-year Treasury, which shifts continuously as economic conditions dictate, while the cost of variable-rate home loans mirror the Fed’s moves.
These broader factors influence overall rate movement. As a borrower, you could be quoted a higher or lower rate compared to the trend.
What today’s rates mean for your mortgage
While mortgage rates change daily, it’s unlikely we’ll see rates back at 3 percent anytime soon. If you’re shopping for a mortgage now, it might be wise to lock your rate when you find an affordable loan. If your house-hunt is taking longer than anticipated, revisit your budget so you’ll know exactly how much house you can afford at prevailing market rates.
Keep in mind: You could save thousands over the life of your mortgage by getting at least three loan offers, according to Freddie Mac research. You don’t have to stick with your bank or credit union, either. There are many types of mortgage lenders, including online-only and local, smaller shops.
“All too often, some [homebuyers] take the path of least resistance when seeking a mortgage, in part because the process of buying a home can be stressful, complicated and time-consuming,” says Mark Hamrick, senior economic analyst for Bankrate. “But when we’re talking about the potential of saving a lot of money, seeking the best deal on a mortgage has an excellent return on investment. Why leave that money on the table when all it takes is a bit more effort to shop around for the best rate, or lowest cost, on a mortgage?”
More on current mortgage rates
Methodology
Bankrate displays two sets of rate averages that are produced from two surveys we conduct: one daily (“overnight averages”) and the other weekly (“Bankrate Monitor averages”).
The rates on this page represent our overnight averages. For these averages, APRs and rates are based on no existing relationship or automatic payments.
Learn more about Bankrate’s rate averages, editorial guidelines and how we make money.