Affiliate links for the products on this page are from partners that compensate us (see our advertiser disclosure with our list of partners for more details). However, our opinions are our own. See how we rate mortgages to write unbiased product reviews.
In 2024, homebuyers can expect lower mortgage rates, higher home prices, and a lot more competition.
Hopeful buyers should start preparing as early as possible by saving money and paying down debt to improve credit scores.
Look into affordable mortgage programs and down payment assistance to boost affordability.
Thanks for signing up!
Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you’re on the go.
After watching mortgage rates hit two-decade highs and inventory plummet last year, many hopeful homebuyers are eager to get off the sidelines and into a home.
While 2024 is expected to be a better year for the housing market in many respects, a lot of buyers are still going to struggle to find affordability. If you’re planning to buy a house this year, here’s what you need to know about housing market predictions in 2024, and how you can prepare.
Home price predictions 2024
Experts generally expect home prices to increase in 2024.
Low home inventory is a chronic problem in the US. This has generally kept home prices up, even as mortgage rates peaked near 8% and homebuying demand plummeted last year. Demand is expected to increase this year, so even if home prices were to drop in 2024, they likely wouldn’t fall enough to significantly improve affordability on their own.
Mortgage rate predictions 2024
Here’s where we’ll probably find more affordability in 2024: mortgage rates. Though they’re still relatively high, experts predict we’ll see mortgage rates go down in 2024. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is generally expected to end up near 6% by the end of the year.
Fannie Mae believes 30-year fixed rates could inch down to the mid-to-upper 6% range during the buying season — which typically lasts from spring through early fall — and reach 6.4% by the end of 2024
The MBA’s forecast is slightly less aggressive, predicting that mortgage rates could hover in the 6.3% to 6.6% range during the peak homebuying season before falling to 6.1% to close out 2024
NAR predicts rates will be in the mid-6% range for the homebuying season and drop to 6.1% in the last quarter of the year
Whether mortgage rates actually trend down in 2024, and by how much, depends in part on the path the Federal Reserve takes in its fight against inflation.
The Fed has indicated that it may start cutting the federal funds rate this year, which would remove a lot of upward pressure off of mortgage rates and allow them to fall more substantially. But inflation has remained a bit higher than expected in recent months, so we might have to wait longer for a Fed rate cut. This means mortgage rates might not fall in time for the peak homebuying season.
Will the housing market crash in 2024?
Because home prices have increased so dramatically in recent years, doomsayers believe that the housing market is in a bubble, and it’s only a matter of time before it bursts and the market crashes. But it’s actually pretty unlikely that will happen.
One of the main reasons we’re unlikely to see the housing market crash in 2024 has to do with housing inventory. The US simply does not have enough homes to meet demand, which is keeping prices steady.
Of course, no one has a crystal ball. If demand were to plummet, home prices could start falling. A severe recession could cause this to happen, for example. But even with a recession, it’s not a given that the housing market would crash as a result.
When will the housing market crash?
The fact is, it’s hard to predict a housing market crash. Right now, the conditions aren’t right for one — even though demand is low, supply remains even lower. And demand is expected to improve this year, while supply will likely remain a chronic problem for years to come.
What this means for 2024 homebuyers
If you’re hoping to buy a house this year, you’ll want to start planning now. This year is likely to be better for buyers than 2023 was in many ways, but it’s also going to be more challenging when it comes to prices and competition.
Lower mortgage rates will undoubtedly improve affordability for borrowers, but with that will come increased demand. This will keep home prices high and likely push them up even further. Finding a home in your price range may become even trickier, and you may need to make a lot of offers on homes before you get one accepted.
How to prepare to buy a house in 2024: 5 tips
Here’s what you should be doing now to prepare for homeownership in 2024.
1. Get your finances ready now
Because home prices are likely to remain high, you’ll want to take advantage of lower mortgage rates by making sure you get the lowest rate you can.
One of the faster methods to get your credit score up is to lower your credit utilization. This will also decrease your debt-to-income ratio, which is another factor mortgage lenders look at when considering what rate to give you.
J.R. Russell, head of direct to consumer mortgage lending at Citi Mortgages, says homebuyers should consider paying off credit card balances to improve their scores ahead of the 2024 homebuying season.
“If you’re trying to pay off or pay down some credit cards, start with the cards or credit lines with the highest interest rates first,” Russell says. “Then, pay off the balances that are smallest. The good news is that if you do this, you’ll improve your debt load and your credit score.”
2. Look for affordable mortgages and other first-time homebuyer assistance
The key to affording homeownership for many buyers in 2024 will be utilizing mortgages geared toward first-time homebuyers and combining them with grants or other forms of down payment assistance.
“If you’re not sure that your down payment will be sufficient, take time to understand all of the available products that you may be eligible for through the FHA or VA, your bank, or other local institutions,” Russell says. “These programs may grant you access to down payment assistance and low-to-moderate income programs, among other game-changing resources.”
Conventional loans allow down payments as low as 3%, while FHA loans allow 3.5% down payments. USDA and VA loans allow no down payment.
Look into lenders that offer special mortgage programs that come with additional assistance. Rocket Mortgage, for example, offers a ONE+ mortgage that allows borrowers to put down just 1%, with the lender providing a 2% grant.
Bank of America mortgages, another popular lender for first-time buyers, offers a couple of different forms of down payment assistance.
3. Time your purchase right
There probably won’t be a single “best time” to buy in 2024, because that depends on each buyer’s priorities — so it’s important that you figure out yours.
If getting the lowest rate possible is most important to you, you’ll want to wait until later this year to buy, possibly until the second half of 2024. But if you’re looking to avoid competition, buying within the next few months might be a better bet. Plus, you could always plan to refinance later on as rates drop.
4. But don’t rush
“If rates do start to moderate and the market does seem to become more favorable to buying in 2024, it will likely stay this way for a while,” Russell says. “If that’s the case, I encourage you to take your time! Don’t put pressure on yourself to make any potentially hasty decisions on what may be your biggest asset and the largest financial decision of your life.”
Though it’s still a while away, forecasts generally expect mortgage rates to continue falling in 2025. If you don’t feel ready to buy by the time the 2024 buying season rolls around, there’s nothing wrong with waiting a bit to continue saving and working on your credit.
5. Build your savings
Whether you’re padding your mortgage down payment savings or contributing to your emergency fund, tucking away some extra cash now is vital if you plan on buying a home soon.
When you buy a house, you’ll need enough cash to cover both your down payment and closing costs, which can amount to between 3% and 6% of the loan amount. While many mortgage programs allow low down payments, the more you can put down, the better your interest rate will likely be. Plus, offers with larger down payments are often more attractive to home sellers, giving you a competitive edge in what will likely be a tough market.
Homeownership is also often more expensive than many first-time buyers realize, especially in the first year. Having some extra money set aside for unexpected costs will help ensure you don’t go into debt when your first big housing expense comes along.
Housing market predictions 2024 FAQs
Experts expect mortgage rates to drop in 2024, and 30-year fixed rates could end the year closer to 6%.
There probably won’t be a housing recession in 2024 based on current expectations, as limited inventory is likely to push prices up further. Expect to see higher prices, lower mortgage rates, and more buyers in 2024.
In general, 2024 should be a better year to buy a house compared to 2023, but it will still be tough due to increased competition and higher prices.
The home décor furnishing industry is anticipated to grow due to the growing influence of social media and the increase in the penetration of the e-commerce sector. North American regional market share is attributed to highly developed and varied design styles and offerings of home decoration products.
Newark, Jan. 01, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — As per the report published by The Brainy Insights, the global home decor furnishing market is expected to grow from USD 630.03 Billion in 2022 to USD 923.67 Billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 3.90% during the forecast period 2023-2032.
The Home Decor Furnishing market is growing as the demand for the product is growing, and consumers are looking for luxurious products to decorate their homes, especially with furniture, hardwood flooring, and wooden floors. Also, there is a huge opportunity for sustainable, economical, and environmentally friendly products.
Download Report Sample (230+ Pages PDF with Insights) at: https://www.thebrainyinsights.com/enquiry/sample-request/13879
Competitive Strategy
To enhance their market position in the global Home Decor Furnishing market, the key players are now focusing on adopting the strategies such as product innovations, mergers & acquisitions, recent developments, joint ventures, collaborations, and partnerships.
• In January 2023: Mannington Mills, Inc. launched its new dwelling collections, including broadloom carpets that provide comfort to all living areas. This launching of collections expands the organisation’s market share in the flooring segment, which eventually expands its market share in the Home Decor Furnishing market.
Market Growth & Trends
Expensive and premium items provide spiritual and aesthetic satisfaction and also add value and decoration to the home and the people who are living in. Home décor product sales have increased, and consumers have gradually started preferring online channels for buying products, especially after the pandemic. It has opened the window for the small home décor furnishing brands. The market is becoming more in demand due to rapid industrialization and urbanization. The home’s decoration easily shows the buyer’s lifestyle preference, and these people thus want to buy good aesthetic products. These home decor products can be used for several purposes, such as enhancing the aesthetic appeal of a home, decorating the apartment, and furnishing. Due to globalization, the consumer can easily access a large array of products used in home decor. One of the factors which are expanding the market is the growing disposable income of the people due to the urbanization process, which also increased the number of households. There is also the demand for personalized and unique home interiors with changes in consumer lifestyles and preferences. The millennial and Gen-Z populations are tech-savvy, and most use social media. Recent trends suggest that social media culture will continue to be crucial in shaping home décor product trends. Social media has given platforms to interior designers to showcase their work all across the world. Leading social media platforms such as Pinterest, Instagram, and Houzz have led these designers to share their designs globally and inspire people to design their living spaces and homes.
Inquiry Before Buying: https://www.thebrainyinsights.com/enquiry/buying-inquiry/13879
Key Findings
• In 2022, furniture segment dominated the market with the largest market share of 45.55% and market revenue of USD 286.98 Billion.
The product segment is divided into furniture, textile, flooring and others. In 2022, furniture segment dominated the market with the largest market share of 45.55% and market revenue of USD 286.98 Billion. This market share is high because there is a high preference for wooden furniture with aesthetic looks and premium quality.
• In 2022, the indoor segment dominated the market with the largest market share of 86.42% and market revenue of USD 544.47 Billion.
The application segment is divided into indoor and outdoor. In 2022, the indoor segment dominated the market with the largest market share of 86.42% and market revenue of USD 544.47 Billion. Furniture that can be folded and of multiple uses is broadly preferred in the home’s indoor space.
• In 2022, the offline segment dominated the market with the largest market share of 70.56% and market revenue of USD 444.55 Billion.
The distribution channel segment is divided into offline and online. In 2022, the offline segment dominated the market with the largest market share of 70.56% and market revenue of USD 444.55 Billion. Customers are found to prefer shopping offline for furniture and home décor items.
Regional Segment Analysis of the Home Decor Furnishing Market:
• North America (U.S., Canada, Mexico) • Europe (Germany, France, U.K., Italy, Spain, Rest of Europe) • Asia-Pacific (China, Japan, India, Rest of APAC) • South America (Brazil and the Rest of South America) • The Middle East and Africa (UAE, South Africa, Rest of MEA)
The North America region occurred as the largest market for the global Home Decor Furnishing industry, with a market share of 33.21% and a market value of around USD 209.23 Billion in 2022. This market share is attributed to highly developed and varied design styles and offerings of home decoration products in the region. Most of the consumers in this region prefer functional and beautiful design elements for their décor items, and there is a growing demand for green and sustainable design. Asia Pacific region has shown the fastest growth for the Home Decor Furnishing market as there is rapid urbanization happening in emerging economies like India and China.
Browse the full report with Table of Contents and List of Figures: https://www.thebrainyinsights.com/report/home-decor-furnishing-market-13879
Key players operating in the global Home Decor Furnishing market are:
• Ashley Furniture Industries, LLC. • Inter IKEA Holding B.V. • Forbo Management SA • Armstrong World Industries, Inc • Mannington Mills, Inc. • Kimball International Inc. • Duresta Upholstery Ltd. • Mohawk Industries, Inc. • MillerKnoll, Inc. • Shaw Industries Group, Inc.
This study forecasts revenue at global, regional, and country levels from 2019 to 2032. The Brainy Insights has segmented the global Home Decor Furnishing market based on below mentioned segments:
Global Home Decor Furnishing Market by Product:
• Furniture • Textile • Flooring • Others
Global Home Decor Furnishing Market by Application:
• Indoor • Outdoor
Global Home Decor Furnishing Market by Distribution Channel:
• Offline • Online
Inquire for Customized Data: https://www.thebrainyinsights.com/enquiry/request-customization/13879
About the report:
The global Home Decor Furnishing market is analysed based on value (USD Billion). All the segments have been analysed on global, regional and country basis. The study includes the analysis of more than 30 countries for each segment. The report offers in-depth analysis of driving factors, opportunities, restraints, and challenges for gaining the key insight of the market. The study includes porter’s five forces model, attractiveness analysis, raw material analysis, supply, demand analysis, competitor position grid analysis, distribution and marketing channels analysis.
About The Brainy Insights:
The Brainy Insights is a market research company that provides actionable insights through data analytics to companies to improve their business acumen. They have a robust forecasting and estimation model to meet the client’s objectives of high-quality output within a short period. They provide both customized (client-specific) and syndicate reports. Their repository of syndicate reports is diverse across all the categories and sub-categories across domains. Their customized solutions meet the client’s requirements whether they are looking to expand or planning to launch a new product in the global market.
Contact Us
Avinash D Head of Business Development Phone: +1-315-215-1633 Email: [email protected] Web: http://www.thebrainyinsights.com
Looking solely at the end of day trading levels in the bond market, we could conclude that we are once again deprived of any meaningful motivations for momentum. That’s partially true in the sense that today’s events were not “top tier.” Nonetheless, we can still make a case for some relevance. After all, bonds were definitely stronger ahead of this morning’s data. The initial weakness could be coincidental, but the 9:45am reaction to the PMI data was fairly clear in terms of volume and volatility. That’s interesting considering it was mostly in line with forecasts. Some analysts suggested the focus was on the “confidence” metric at a 22 month high in the services sector and that’s a fair take if we’re trying to justify the reaction. In the bigger picture, we’re waiting on next Friday’s PCE data (more like waiting on Monday since the bond market is closed next Friday).
Philly Fed Index
3.2 vs -2.3 f’cast, 5.2 prev
Philly Fed Prices
3.7 vs 16.6 prev
Jobless Claims
210k vs 215k f’cast, 212k prev
Continued Claims
1807k vs 1803k prev
S&P Services PMI
51.7 vs 52.0 f’cast, 52.3 prev
S&P Manufacturing PMI
52.5 vs 51.7 f’cast, 52.2 prev
Existing Home Sales
4.38m vs 3.94m f’cast, 4.0m prev
08:41 AM
After econ data, 10yr up to 4.247 (still down 3 bps on the day). MBS still up 5 ticks (.16) on the day.
09:58 AM
MBS are now down 2 ticks (.06) on the day and 10yr yields are unchanged at 4.277.
01:40 PM
Flat since 10am. MBS unchanged and 10yr half a bp higher at 4.281
03:45 PM
Still flat near unchanged levels. MBS up 1 tick (.03) and 10yr unchanged at 4.277.
Download our mobile app to get alerts for MBS Commentary and streaming MBS and Treasury prices.
Mortgage rates are expected to go down sometime in 2024, but the decline probably won’t start in March. Instead, mortgage rates are likely to remain about the same because the economy hasn’t cooled off enough yet to cause them to fall.
When the economy grows robustly, and plenty of jobs are created, prices tend to go up. And when those three factors coexist, they combine to push interest rates higher. That’s what happened in February, and it’s unlikely that we’ll see a reversal of those trends in March.
A strong February leads into March
Rates went up in February, with the average rate on the 30-year mortgage at 6.78% in Freddie Mac’s weekly survey, up from 6.64% in January.
The culprit was a collection of strong economic data, released in February, that showed that the economy was running hot in late 2023 and into January. The overall economy grew at a 3.2% annual rate in the final three months of 2023. In January, the economy created a net 353,000 jobs and the core consumer price index accelerated. These signs of stronger-than-expected economic growth caused mortgage rates to rise in February.
Mortgage rates are unlikely to fall until there are unmistakable signs, for a few months in a row, that the economy is slowing down. We almost certainly won’t see those signs in March, despite two years’ toil by the Federal Reserve.
Eyes on the Fed
In an effort to slow the economy and get inflation under control, the Federal Reserve raised the overnight federal funds rate by 5.25 percentage points from March 2022 to July 2023. Inflation declined, as intended. The core CPI fell from 6.6% in September 2022 to 3.9% in January.
But inflation hasn’t fallen enough. The Fed’s goal is to reduce inflation to a 2% annual rate. The central bank will keep a floor under interest rates until inflation is unambiguously on the way to that 2% target. The Fed isn’t eager to cut the federal funds rate anytime soon.
This commitment was underscored by the title of a speech given Feb. 22 by Fed governor Christopher J. Waller: “What’s the Rush?”
Waller, who is a member of the Fed’s rate-setting Open Market Committee, said in his speech that the central bank must wait to verify that inflation is genuinely cooling off, “and this means there is no rush to begin cutting interest rates to normalize monetary policy.”
Usually Fed policymakers speak enigmatically, but sometimes they make themselves perfectly clear. That’s what Waller did with that speech. He sent an unmistakable signal that the Fed wouldn’t cut the federal funds rate at its March 20 meeting. With a rate cut off the table, there’s not much room for mortgage rates to fall in March.
Waller did say that he expects the Fed to cut short-term rates this year, but added, “the risk of waiting a little longer to ease policy is lower than the risk of acting too soon and possibly halting or reversing the progress we’ve made on inflation.” Therefore, there’s no rush.
Other mortgage rate forecasts
Fannie Mae, the Mortgage Bankers Association and National Association of Realtors predict that mortgage rates will gradually descend in 2024, to around 6% in the final three months of the year.
However, if the Fed keeps the federal funds rate unchanged through the first half of the year, don’t be surprised if forecasts are revised upward.
Looking back at February’s prediction
At the beginning of the month, I predicted that “mortgage rates might not change much in February.” Contrary to the prediction, mortgage rates did change in February: They started to rise in the first week and kept going up most of the month.
But the forecast served a purpose if it persuaded anyone to avoid waiting in vain for mortgage rates to fall in February.
I explained that rates “might remain relatively unchanged until markets believe the Fed is about to loosen monetary policy by cutting the federal funds rate.” That didn’t happen in February and it’s not going to happen in March.
Average mortgage rates edged higher yesterday. Unfortunately, it was the sixth consecutive business day on which they’ve risen.
Earlier this morning, markets were signaling that mortgage rates today might barely move. However, these early mini-trends frequently alter speed or direction as the hours pass.
Current mortgage and refinance rates
Find your lowest rate. Start here
Program
Mortgage Rate
APR*
Change
Conventional 30-year fixed
7.15%
7.17%
Unchanged
Conventional 15-year fixed
6.57%
6.61%
-0.04
Conventional 20-year fixed
7.16%
7.19%
+0.02
Conventional 10-year fixed
6.63%
6.66%
-0.05
30-year fixed FHA
6.51%
7.19%
Unchanged
30-year fixed VA
6.61%
6.72%
-0.03
5/1 ARM Conventional
6.3%
7.39%
Unchanged
Rates are provided by our partner network, and may not reflect the market. Your rate might be different. Click here for a personalized rate quote. See our rate assumptions See our rate assumptions here.
Should you lock your mortgage rate today?
Tomorrow’s Federal Reserve events (see below) could make a big difference to mortgage rates in the near and medium terms. But, right now, I’m pessimistic about our seeing a sustained downward trend until the summer. And some wonder if the fall might be a more realistic timeframe.
So, for now, my personal rate lock recommendations remain:
LOCK if closing in 7 days
LOCK if closing in 15 days
LOCK if closing in 30 days
LOCK if closing in 45 days
LOCKif closing in 60days
However, with so much uncertainty at the moment, your instincts could easily turn out to be as good as mine — or better. So, let your gut and your own tolerance for risk help guide you.
>Related: 7 Tips to get the best refinance rate
Market data affecting today’s mortgage rates
Here’s a snapshot of the state of play this morning at about 9:50 a.m. (ET). The data are mostly compared with roughly the same time the business day before, so much of the movement will often have happened in the previous session. The numbers are:
The yield on 10-year Treasury notes held steady again at 4.32%. (Neutral for mortgage rates. However, yields were rising this morning.) More than any other market, mortgage rates typically tend to follow these particular Treasury bond yields
Major stock indexes were mixed this morning. (Neutral for mortgage rates.) When investors buy shares, they’re often selling bonds, which pushes those prices down and increases yields and mortgage rates. The opposite may happen when indexes are lower. But this is an imperfect relationship
Oil prices increased to $83.18 from $81.35 a barrel. (Bad for mortgage rates*.) Energy prices play a prominent role in creating inflation and also point to future economic activity
Goldprices inched down to $2,156 from $2,159 an ounce. (Neutral for mortgage rates*.) It is generally better for rates when gold prices rise and worse when they fall. Because gold tends to rise when investors worry about the economy.
CNN Business Fear & Greed index — dropped to 69 from 75 out of 100. (Good for mortgage rates.) “Greedy” investors push bond prices down (and interest rates up) as they leave the bond market and move into stocks, while “fearful” investors do the opposite. So, lower readings are often better than higher ones
*A movement of less than $20 on gold prices or 40 cents on oil ones is a change of 1% or less. So we only count meaningful differences as good or bad for mortgage rates.
Caveats about markets and rates
Before the pandemic, post-pandemic upheavals, and war in Ukraine, you could look at the above figures and make a pretty good guess about what would happen to mortgage rates that day. But that’s no longer the case. We still make daily calls. And are usually right. But our record for accuracy won’t achieve its former high levels until things settle down.
So, use markets only as a rough guide. Because they have to be exceptionally strong or weak to rely on them. But, with that caveat, mortgage rates today look likely to hold close to steady. However, be aware that “intraday swings” (when rates change speed or direction during the day) are a common feature right now.
Find your lowest rate. Start here
What’s driving mortgage rates today?
Tomorrow
I covered yesterday the three Federal Reserve events due early tomorrow afternoon:
2 p.m. Eastern — Rate announcement and report publications
2 p.m. Eastern — Summary of Economic Projects publication. This occurs only quarterly and includes a dot plot
I’ll brief you more fully on those tomorrow morning. That way you’ll know what to look out for before it’s too late to act.
Personally, I’m not very hopeful about the impact of the Fed’s events on mortgage rates. Of course, I can’t be sure what they’ll bring. But recent economic data has likely reinforced the central bank’s natural caution. And I suspect that it may signal later and fewer cuts in general interest rates this year than markets have been expecting.
If I’m right, that could be seriously bad for mortgage rates. So, let’s hope I’m wrong.
Today and later in the week
I’ll be surprised if today’s economic reports move mortgage rates much. They cover February’s housing starts and building permits. It’s not that those data are unimportant. However, they rarely attract the attention of the investors who largely determine mortgage rates.
We have to wait until Thursday for a couple of reports that sometimes affect mortgage rates. They’re two March purchasing managers’ indexes (PMIs) from S&P. One is for the services sector and the other covers manufacturing. I’ll brief you on those tomorrow morning.
Don’t forget you can always learn more about what’s driving mortgage rates in the most recent weekend edition of this daily report. These provide a more detailed analysis of what’s happening. They are published each Saturday morning soon after 10 a.m. (ET) and include a preview of the following week.
Recent trends
According to Freddie Mac’s archives, the weekly all-time lowest rate for 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages was set on Jan. 7, 2021, when it stood at 2.65%. The weekly all-time high was 18.63% on Sep. 10, 1981.
Freddie’s Mar. 14 report put that same weekly average at 6.74% down from the previous week’s 6.88%. But note that Freddie’s data are almost always out of date by the time it announces its weekly figures.
Expert forecasts for mortgage rates
Looking further ahead, Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) each has a team of economists dedicated to monitoring and forecasting what will happen to the economy, the housing sector and mortgage rates.
And here are their rate forecasts for the four quarters of 2024 (Q1/24, Q2/24 Q3/24 and Q4/24).
The numbers in the table below are for 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages. Fannie’s were updated on Feb. 12 and the MBA’s on Feb. 20.
Forecaster
Q1/24
Q2/24
Q3/24
Q4/24
Fannie Mae
6.5%
6.3%
6.1%
5.9%
MBA
6.9%
6.6%
6.3%
6.1%
Of course, given so many unknowables, both these forecasts might be even more speculative than usual. And their past record for accuracy hasn’t been wildly impressive.
Important notes on today’s mortgage rates
Here are some things you need to know:
Typically, mortgage rates go up when the economy’s doing well and down when it’s in trouble. But there are exceptions. Read ‘How mortgage rates are determined and why you should care’
Only “top-tier” borrowers (with stellar credit scores, big down payments, and very healthy finances) get the ultralow mortgage rates you’ll see advertised
Lenders vary. Yours may or may not follow the crowd when it comes to daily rate movements — though they all usually follow the broader trend over time
When daily rate changes are small, some lenders will adjust closing costs and leave their rate cards the same
Refinance rates are typically close to those for purchases.
A lot is going on at the moment. And nobody can claim to know with certainty what will happen to mortgage rates in the coming hours, days, weeks or months.
Find your lowest mortgage rate today
You should comparison shop widely, no matter what sort of mortgage you want. Federal regulator the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau found in May 2023:
“Mortgage borrowers are paying around $100 a month more depending on which lender they choose, for the same type of loan and the same consumer characteristics (such as credit score and down payment).”
In other words, over the lifetime of a 30-year loan, homebuyers who don’t bother to get quotes from multiple lenders risk losing an average of $36,000. What could you do with that sort of money?
Verify your new rate
Mortgage rate methodology
The Mortgage Reports receives rates based on selected criteria from multiple lending partners each day. We arrive at an average rate and APR for each loan type to display in our chart. Because we average an array of rates, it gives you a better idea of what you might find in the marketplace. Furthermore, we average rates for the same loan types. For example, FHA fixed with FHA fixed. The end result is a good snapshot of daily rates and how they change over time.
How your mortgage interest rate is determined
Mortgage and refinance rates vary a lot depending on each borrower’s unique situation.
Factors that determine your mortgage interest rate include:
Overall strength of the economy — A strong economy usually means higher rates, while a weaker one can push current mortgage rates down to promote borrowing
Lender capacity — When a lender is very busy, it will increase rates to deter new business and give its loan officers some breathing room
Property type (condo, single-family, town house, etc.) — A primary residence, meaning a home you plan to live in full time, will have a lower interest rate. Investment properties, second homes, and vacation homes have higher mortgage rates
Loan-to-value ratio (determined by your down payment) — Your loan-to-value ratio (LTV) compares your loan amount to the value of the home. A lower LTV, meaning a bigger down payment, gets you a lower mortgage rate
Debt-To-Income ratio — This number compares your total monthly debts to your pretax income. The more debt you currently have, the less room you’ll have in your budget for a mortgage payment
Loan term — Loans with a shorter term (like a 15-year mortgage) typically have lower rates than a 30-year loan term
Borrower’s credit score — Typically the higher your credit score is, the lower your mortgage rate, and vice versa
Mortgage discount points — Borrowers have the option to buy discount points or ‘mortgage points’ at closing. These let you pay money upfront to lower your interest rate
Remember, every mortgage lender weighs these factors a little differently.
To find the best rate for your situation, you’ll want to get personalized estimates from a few different lenders.
Verify your new rate. Start here
Are refinance rates the same as mortgage rates?
Rates for a home purchase and mortgage refinance are often similar.
However, some lenders will charge more for a refinance under certain circumstances.
Typically when rates fall, homeowners rush to refinance. They see an opportunity to lock in a lower rate and payment for the rest of their loan.
This creates a tidal wave of new work for mortgage lenders.
Unfortunately, some lenders don’t have the capacity or crew to process a large number of refinance loan applications.
In this case, a lender might raise its rates to deter new business and give loan officers time to process loans currently in the pipeline.
Also, cashing out equity can result in a higher rate when refinancing.
Cash-out refinances pose a greater risk for mortgage lenders, so they’re often priced higher than new home purchases and rate-term refinances.
Check your refinance rates today. Start here
How to get the lowest mortgage or refinance rate
Since rates can vary, always shop around when buying a house or refinancing a mortgage.
Comparison shopping can potentially save thousands, even tens of thousands of dollars over the life of your loan.
Here are a few tips to keep in mind:
1. Get multiple quotes
Many borrowers make the mistake of accepting the first mortgage or refinance offer they receive.
Some simply go with the bank they use for checking and savings since that can seem easiest.
However, your bank might not offer the best mortgage deal for you. And if you’re refinancing, your financial situation may have changed enough that your current lender is no longer your best bet.
So get multiple quotes from at least three different lenders to find the right one for you.
2. Compare Loan Estimates
When shopping for a mortgage or refinance, lenders will provide a Loan Estimate that breaks down important costs associated with the loan.
You’ll want to read these Loan Estimates carefully and compare costs and fees line-by-line, including:
Interest rate
Annual percentage rate (APR)
Monthly mortgage payment
Loan origination fees
Rate lock fees
Closing costs
Remember, the lowest interest rate isn’t always the best deal.
Annual percentage rate (APR) can help you compare the ‘real’ cost of two loans. It estimates your total yearly cost including interest and fees.
Also, pay close attention to your closing costs.
Some lenders may bring their rates down by charging more upfront via discount points. These can add thousands to your out-of-pocket costs.
3. Negotiate your mortgage rate
You can also negotiate your mortgage rate to get a better deal.
Let’s say you get loan estimates from two lenders. Lender A offers the better rate, but you prefer your loan terms from Lender B. Talk to Lender B and see if they can beat the former’s pricing.
You might be surprised to find that a lender is willing to give you a lower interest rate in order to keep your business.
And if they’re not, keep shopping — there’s a good chance someone will.
Fixed-rate mortgage vs. adjustable-rate mortgage: Which is right for you?
Mortgage borrowers can choose between a fixed-rate mortgage and an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM).
Fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) have interest rates that never change unless you decide to refinance. This results in predictable monthly payments and stability over the life of your loan.
Adjustable-rate loans have a low interest rate that’s fixed for a set number of years (typically five or seven). After the initial fixed-rate period, the interest rate adjusts every year based on market conditions.
With each rate adjustment, a borrower’s mortgage rate can either increase, decrease, or stay the same. These loans are unpredictable since monthly payments can change each year.
Adjustable-rate mortgages are fitting for borrowers who expect to move before their first rate adjustment, or who can afford a higher future payment.
In most other cases, a fixed-rate mortgage is typically the safer and better choice.
Remember, if rates drop sharply, you are free to refinance and lock in a lower rate and payment later on.
How your credit score affects your mortgage rate
You don’t need a high credit score to qualify for a home purchase or refinance, but your credit score will affect your rate.
This is because credit history determines risk level.
Historically speaking, borrowers with higher credit scores are less likely to default on their mortgages, so they qualify for lower rates.
So, for the best rate, aim for a credit score of 720 or higher.
Mortgage programs that don’t require a high score include:
Conventional home loans — minimum 620 credit score
FHA loans — minimum 500 credit score (with a 10% down payment) or 580 (with a 3.5% down payment)
VA loans — no minimum credit score, but 620 is common
USDA loans — minimum 640 credit score
Ideally, you want to check your credit report and score at least 6 months before applying for a mortgage. This gives you time to sort out any errors and make sure your score is as high as possible.
If you’re ready to apply now, it’s still worth checking so you have a good idea of what loan programs you might qualify for and how your score will affect your rate.
You can get your credit report from AnnualCreditReport.com and your score from MyFico.com.
How big of a down payment do I need?
Nowadays, mortgage programs don’t require the conventional 20 percent down.
Indeed, first-time home buyers put only 6 percent down on average.
Down payment minimums vary depending on the loan program. For example:
Conventional home loans require a down payment between 3% and 5%
FHA loans require 3.5% down
VA and USDA loans allow zero down payment
Jumbo loans typically require at least 5% to 10% down
Keep in mind, a higher down payment reduces your risk as a borrower and helps you negotiate a better mortgage rate.
If you are able to make a 20 percent down payment, you can avoid paying for mortgage insurance.
This is an added cost paid by the borrower, which protects their lender in case of default or foreclosure.
But a big down payment is not required.
For many people, it makes sense to make a smaller down payment in order to buy a house sooner and start building home equity.
Verify your new rate. Start here
Choosing the right type of home loan
No two mortgage loans are alike, so it’s important to know your options and choose the right type of mortgage.
The five main types of mortgages include:
Fixed-rate mortgage (FRM)
Your interest rate remains the same over the life of the loan. This is a good option for borrowers who expect to live in their homes long-term.
The most popular loan option is the 30-year mortgage, but 15- and 20-year terms are also commonly available.
Adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM)
Adjustable-rate loans have a fixed interest rate for the first few years. Then, your mortgage rate resets every year.
Your rate and payment can rise or fall annually depending on how the broader interest rate trends.
ARMs are ideal for borrowers who expect to move prior to their first rate adjustment (usually in 5 or 7 years).
For those who plan to stay in their home long-term, a fixed-rate mortgage is typically recommended.
Jumbo mortgage
A jumbo loan is a mortgage that exceeds the conforming loan limit set by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
In 2023, the conforming loan limit is $726,200 in most areas.
Jumbo loans are perfect for borrowers who need a larger loan to purchase a high-priced property, especially in big cities with high real estate values.
FHA mortgage
A government loan backed by the Federal Housing Administration for low- to moderate-income borrowers. FHA loans feature low credit score and down payment requirements.
VA mortgage
A government loan backed by the Department of Veterans Affairs. To be eligible, you must be active-duty military, a veteran, a Reservist or National Guard service member, or an eligible spouse.
VA loans allow no down payment and have exceptionally low mortgage rates.
USDA mortgage
USDA loans are a government program backed by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. They offer a no-down-payment solution for borrowers who purchase real estate in an eligible rural area. To qualify, your income must be at or below the local median.
Bank statement loan
Borrowers can qualify for a mortgage without tax returns, using their personal or business bank account as evidence of their financial circumstances. This is an option for self-employed or seasonally-employed borrowers.
Portfolio/Non-QM loan
These are mortgages that lenders don’t sell on the secondary mortgage market. And this gives lenders the flexibility to set their own guidelines.
Non-QM loans may have lower credit score requirements or offer low-down-payment options without mortgage insurance.
Choosing the right mortgage lender
The lender or loan program that’s right for one person might not be right for another.
Explore your options and then pick a loan based on your credit score, down payment, and financial goals, as well as local home prices.
Whether you’re getting a mortgage for a home purchase or a refinance, always shop around and compare rates and terms.
Typically, it only takes a few hours to get quotes from multiple lenders. And it could save you thousands in the long run.
Time to make a move? Let us find the right mortgage for you
Current mortgage rates methodology
We receive current mortgage rates each day from a network of mortgage lenders that offer home purchase and refinance loans. Those mortgage rates shown here are based on sample borrower profiles that vary by loan type. See our full loan assumptions here.
Well, so much for mortgage rates falling just in time for the spring home buying season.
While many expected interest rates to be lower by now, they’ve proven to be pretty sticky at current levels.
At last glance, the 30-year fixed is still hovering close to 7%, albeit better than October 2023 when it was around 8%.
But there was hope we’d see rates in the 6% range by now and maybe even lower if the Fed had cut rates earlier.
Interestingly, rates are actually pretty well aligned with the 2024 mortgage rate predictions made at the end of last year.
The likes of Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association pegged the popular loan program at 7% for the first quarter of 2024. And that’s pretty much where we stand today.
The bad news is they’ve now indicated that it could take longer for rates to fall to more agreeable levels.
Fannie Mae Has Adjusted Its Mortgage Rate Forecast Higher for 2024 and 2025
In Fannie Mae’s March forecast, they noted that their “interest rate forecast has been upgraded.”
And not upgraded in a good way. Upgraded as in expect higher mortgage rates for the foreseeable future.
Just how bad is it? Well, after making adjustments a month earlier, they’ve since made upgrades of four-tenths and five-tenths, for the years 2024 and 2025, respectively.
This puts the 30-year fixed at an average of 6.6% in 2024 and 6.2% in 2025. In other words, no sub-6% mortgage rate for the next two years! Ouch!
In January, their forecast called for a 5.8% 30-year fixed in the fourth quarter of 2024, and a relatively low 5.5% by the end of 2025.
Freddie Mac Also Expects Mortgage Rates to Stay Above 6.5% in the First Half of 2024
Meanwhile, Freddie Mac released a new outlook that calls for mortgage rates to remain high through at least the first half of 2024.
They noted that 30-year mortgage rates will stay above 6.5% through the second quarter of 2024.
It’s unclear what happens after that, but there’s not a lot of optimism at the moment.
This should translate to lower mortgage volume, with rate and term refinance activity hard to come by.
And purchase activity also constrained by things like a continued lack of for-sale supply and mortgage rate lock-in.
However, they do expect home prices to increase by about 2.5% in 2024 and another 2.1% 2025.
Whether this keeps up with inflation is another story…
Why Aren’t Mortgage Rates Coming Down?
Simply put, the economy continues to run too hot. As a rule of thumb, good economic news leads to higher interest rates. And vice versa.
The reason is a strong economy typically results to inflation, which is bad for bond prices and mortgage-backed securities.
That price pressure requires higher yields, which translates to higher mortgage rates. So if you want lower rates, you kind of need to root for economic strife.
Due to this robust economy, the Federal Reserve has maintained its restrictive monetary policy.
While there were expectations of a series of rate cuts in 2024, including one as early as this March, the Fed balked today.
And there’s a chance rate cuts will remain elusive for the time being.
Ultimately, inflation continues to run high and unemployment remains low. Until that changes, the Fed won’t “pivot” and cut rates. They’ll simply stay the course.
While the Fed doesn’t directly control mortgage rates, their long-term policy decisions can dictate the direction of 10-year treasury yields and also 30-year mortgage rates.
Until economic conditions worsen, don’t expect the Fed to pivot and begin cutting its own federal funds rate.
Perhaps It’s Better to Say Mortgage Rates Will Be Elevated for Longer
There’s a popular phrase “higher for longer,” in reference to the Fed’s monetary policy needing to remain restrictive for a longer period of time to reach its goals.
When it comes to mortgage rates, perhaps it’s more accurate to say “elevated for longer.” That is to say they won’t necessarily go higher from their current levels.
But they may remain at these higher levels for longer than originally anticipated. So it’s not like we’ll necessarily see mortgage rates move up from here.
Or that they’ll go back to those scary 8% rates seen in October 2023. But they could linger in this unpleasant range throughout 2024. And maybe even into 2025.
This may make that date the rate, marry the house thing hard to achieve
If you recall when mortgage rates were super low, many forecasts called for higher rates year in and year out.
Yet each year, the forecasts proved to be incorrect as rates reached new all-time lows and stayed at/near those levels for much longer than expected.
Sadly, the same thing is possible now, just the other way around. So instead of rates doing what the forecasters expect, they’ll continue to remain sticky high.
The funny part is the economists will be wrong in both instances. Wrong about them rising for many years. And possibly wrong again about them falling back down to earth.
Builder confidence rose for the fourth straight month and residential construction stats may now be trying to catch up. Both construction permits and housing starts rose in February compared to both January and February 2023 levels.
The U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) said new residential construction began on a seasonally adjusted pace of 1.521 million units last month. This is 10.7 percent higher than the 1.374 million units reported in January and 5.9 percent more than the level a year earlier.
Single-family starts rose 11.6 percent for the month to a rate of 1.129 million units and were up 35.2 percent year-over-year while multifamily starts increased by 8.5 percent. They retreated however by 35.9 percent on an annual basis.
On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, construction started on 108,100 units during the month, 79,200 of which were single-family houses. The January numbers were 97,400 and 69,700 respectively.
Permitting also increased, although not as dramatically. Authorizations were at a seasonally adjusted level of 1.518 million, 1.9 percent higher than the 1.489 million estimate the previous month. The year-over-year change was +2.4 percent.
Single-family permits were up 1.0 percent to 1.031 million, 29.5 percent higher than a year earlier. Multifamily permits increased 2.4 percent but lagged the prior February by 32.8 percent.
Permits issued during the month totaled 118,300, up from 114,800. Single-family permits increased from 75,900 to 79,300.
Analysts were on target with their forecasts. Those polled by Econoday had consensus estimate of 1.449 million for starts and 1.500 million for permits.
There were an estimated 124,100 residential units completed in February compared to 97,300 in January. Of those, a respective 81,000 and 61,000 were single-family units. On a seasonally adjusted basis, completions increased 19.7 percent from January and 9.6 percent for the year.
The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) said its index measuring home builder perceptions of the new home market climbed back above the key level of 50 this month. The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index rose 3 points to 51, the highest level since July 2023 and the first time it has surpassed the 50 mark since last July. NAHB economist Robert Dietz said builders are responding to the strong demand for housing and mortgage rates which are below the peak reached last fall.
The HMI survey asks builders for their perception of current single-family home sales, sales expectations for the next six months, and current traffic of prospective builders. The scores for each component form an index where any number over 50 indicates that more builders view conditions as good than poor.
All three indices posted gains in March. The HMI index charting current sales conditions increased 4 points to 56, the component measuring sales expectations in the next six months rose 2 points to 62 and the component gauging traffic of prospective buyers increased 2 points to 34.
Dietz also noted that the slightly lower rates are allowing builders to cut back on discounting to boost sales. In March, 24 percent of builders reported cutting home prices, down from 36 percent in December 2023 and the lowest share since July 2023. However, the average price reduction in March held steady at 6 percent for the ninth straight month. Meanwhile, the use of sales incentives is holding firm. Sixty percent of builders offered some form of incentive in March. That share has remained between 58 percent and 62 percent since last September.
Looking at the three-month moving averages for regional HMI scores, the Northeast increased 2 points to 59, the Midwest gained 5 points to 41, the South rose 4 points to 50 and the West registered a 5-point gain to 43.
The Census/HUD report estimates there were 1.666 million residential units under construction at the end of February, 683,000 of them single-family houses. In addition, builders have a backlog of 270,000 permits including 141,000 for single-family residences.
Starts in the Northeast region were down 10.3 percent from January but 16.2 percent higher than the previous February. Permits rose 36.2 percent from January and surged 79.6 percent compared to February 2023.
The Midwest saw gains of 16.4 percent from the prior month and 23.2 percent for the year. Permits increased by 3.8 and 14.9 percent.
Housing starts jumped 15.7 percent and 11.5 percent from the two earlier periods in the South. Permitting dipped by 1.3 percent from January and 5.1 percent for the year.
The West lost ground, with starts falling 7.9 percent and 10.8 percent for the month and the year respectively. Permits were also lower, by 6.8 and 11.2 percent.
Editor’s Note: Parts of this story were auto-populated using data from Curinos, a mortgage research firm that collects data from more than 250 lenders. For more details on how we compile daily mortgage data, check out our methodology here.
Mortgage rates continue to hover around 7%, according to data from Curinos analyzed by MarketWatch Guides. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is 7.38% today, up+0.18 percentage points from last week.
In response to lower rates, mortgage applications rose for the first time in six weeks, according to data released by Freddie Mac on Thursday. A Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) report published Wednesday showed that the volume of FHA loans strongly increased for the previous week, an indicator that first-time home buyers are getting back into the market – a potentially optimistic sign for the spring buying season.
Another potential good omen: Former Federal Reserve official James Bullard said he thinks the likelihood of another rate cut in the near future is strong, given the announcement in February’s job report that the unemployment rate has risen slightly. The Federal Reserve board will meet again next week.
Here are today’s average mortgage rates:
30-year fixed mortgage rate: 7.38%
15-year fixed mortgage rate: 6.69%
5/6 ARM mortgage rate: 7.05%
Jumbo mortgage rate: 7.19%
Current Mortgage Rates
Product
Rate
Last Week
Change
30-Year Fixed Rate
7.38%
7.20%
+0.18
15-Year Fixed Rate
6.69%
6.54%
+0.15
5/6 ARM
7.05%
6.92%
+0.13
7/6 ARM
7.26%
7.08%
+0.18
10/6 ARM
7.30%
7.16%
+0.14
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo
7.19%
7.05%
+0.14
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA
7.12%
6.94%
+0.18
30-Year Fixed Rate VA
7.14%
6.97%
+0.17
Disclaimer: The rates above are based on data from Curinos, LLC. All rate data is accurate as of Tuesday, March 19, 2024. Actual rates may vary.
>> View historical mortgage rate trends
Mortgage Rates for Home Purchase
30-year fixed-rate mortgages are up, +0.18
The average 30-year fixed-mortgage rate is 7.38%. Since the same time last week, the rate is up, changing +0.18 percentage points.
At the current average rate, you’ll pay $691.02 per month in principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow. You’re paying more compared to last week when the average rate was 7.20%.
15-year fixed-rate mortgages are up, +0.15
The average rate you’ll pay for a 15-year fixed-mortgage is 6.69%, an increase of+0.15 percentage points compared to last week.
Monthly payments on a 15-year fixed-mortgage at a rate of 6.69% will cost approximately $881.59 per $100,000 borrowed. With the rate of 6.54% last week, you would’ve paid $873.31 per month.
5/6 adjustable-rate mortgages are up, +0.13
The average rate on a 5/6 adjustable rate mortgage is 7.05%, an increase of+0.13 percentage points over the last seven days.
Adjustable-rate mortgages, commonly referred to as ARMs, are mortgages with a fixed interest rate for a set period of time followed by a rate that adjusts on a regular basis. With a 5/6 ARM, the rate is fixed for the first 5 years and then adjusts every six months over the next 25 years.
Monthly payments on a 5/6 ARM at a rate of 7.05% will cost approximately $668.66 per $100,000 borrowed over the first 5 years of the loan.
Jumbo loan interest rates are up, +0.14
The average jumbo mortgage rate today is 7.19%, an increase of+0.14 percentage points over the past week.
Jumbo loans are mortgages that exceed loan limits set by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) and funding criteria of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. This generally means that the amount of money borrowed is higher than $726,200.
Product
Monthly P&I per $100,000
Last Week
Change
30-Year Fixed Rate
$691.02
$678.79
+$12.23
15-Year Fixed Rate
$881.59
$873.31
+$8.28
5/6 ARM
$668.66
$659.94
+$8.72
7/6 ARM
$682.85
$670.68
+$12.17
10/6 ARM
$685.57
$676.08
+$9.49
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo
$678.11
$668.66
+$9.45
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA
$673.38
$661.28
+$12.10
30-Year Fixed Rate VA
$674.73
$663.29
+$11.44
Note: Monthly payments on adjustable-rate mortgages are shown for the first five, seven and 10 years of the loan, respectively.
Factors That Affect Your Mortgage Rate
Mortgage rates change frequently based on the economic environment. Inflation, the federal funds rate, housing market conditions and other factors all play into how rates move from week-to-week and month-to-month.
But outside of macroeconomic trends, several other factors specific to the borrower will affect the mortgage interest rate. They include:
Financial situation: Mortgage lenders use past financial decisions of borrowers as a way to evaluate the risk of loaning money.
Loan amount and structure: The amount of money that bank or mortgage lender loans and its structure (including both the term and whether its a fixed-rate or adjustable-rate).
Location: Mortgage rates vary by where you are buying a home. Areas with more lenders, and thus more competition, may have lower rates. Foreclosure laws can also impact a lender’s risk, affecting rates.
Whether borrowers are first-time homebuyers: Oftentimes first-time homebuyer programs will offer new homeowners lower rates.
Lenders: Banks, credit unions and online lenders all may offer slightly different rates depending on their internal determination.
How To Shop for the Best Mortgage Rate
Comparison shopping for a mortgage can be overwhelming, but it’s shown to be worth the effort. Homeowners may be able to save between $600 and $1,200 annually by shopping around for the best rate, researchers found in a recent study by Freddie Mac. That’s why we put together steps on how to shop for the best mortgage rate.
1. Check credit scores and credit reports
A borrower’s credit situation will likely determine the type of mortgage they can pursue, as well as their rate. Conventional loans are typically only offered to borrowers with a credit score of 620 or higher, while FHA loans may be the best option for borrowers with a FICO score between 500 and 619. Additionally, individuals with higher credit scores are more likely to be offered a lower mortgage interest rate.
Mortgage lenders often review scores from the three major credit bureaus: Equifax, Experian and TransUnion. By viewing your scores ahead of lenders considering you for a loan, you can check for errors and even work to improve your score by paying down balances and limiting new credit cards and loans.
2. Know the options
There are four standard mortgage programs: conventional, FHA, VA and USDA. To get the best mortgage rate and increase your odds of approval, it’s important for potential borrowers to do their research and apply for the mortgage program that best fits their financial situation.
The table below describes each program, highlighting minimum credit score and down payment requirements.
Though conventional mortgages are most common, borrowers will also need to consider their repayment plan and term. Rates can be either fixed or adjustable and terms can range from 10 to 30 years, though most homeowners opt for a 15- or 30-year mortgage.
3. Compare quotes across multiple lenders
Shopping around for a mortgage goes beyond comparing rates online. We recommend reaching out to lenders directly to see the “real” rate as figures listed online may not be representative of a borrower’s particular situation. While most experts recommend getting quotes from three to five lenders, there is no limit on the number of mortgage companies you can apply with. In many cases, lenders will allow borrowers to prequalify for a mortgage and receive a tentative loan offer with no impact to their credit score.
After gathering your loan documents – including proof of income, assets and credit – borrowers may also apply for pre-approval. Pre-approval will let them know where they stand with lenders and may also improve negotiating power with home sellers.
4. Review loan estimates
To fully understand which lender is offering the cheapest loan overall, take a look at the loan estimate provided by each lender. A loan estimate will list not only the mortgage rate, but also a borrower’s annual percentage rate (APR), which includes the interest rate and other lender fees such as closing costs and discount points.
By comparing loan estimates across lenders, borrowers can see the full breakdown of their possible costs. One lender may offer lower interest rates, but higher fees and vice versa. Looking at the loan’s APR can give you a good apples-to-apples comparison between lenders that takes into account both rates and fees.
5. Consider negotiating with lenders on rates
Mortgage lenders want to do business. This means that borrowers may use competing offers as leverage to adjust fees and interest rates. Many lenders may not lower their offered rate by much, but even a few basis points may save borrowers more than they might think in the long run. For instance, the difference between 6.8% and 7.0% on a 30-year, fixed-rate $100,000 mortgage is roughly $5,000 over the life of the loan.
Expert Forecasts for Mortgage Rates
Mortgage rates have cooled significantly over the past several months. After the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage hit 8% last October, it ended 2023 closer to 7%. In fact, the average for Q4 2023 was 7.3%.
Analysts with Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) both project that rates will fall going into 2024 and throughout next year.
Fannie Mae economists expect rates to drop more quickly, falling below 6% by Q4 2024. Meanwhile, the MBA’s forecast for Q4 2024 is 6.1% and 5.9% for Q1 2025.
More Mortgage Resources
Methodology
Every weekday, MarketWatch Guides provides readers with the latest rates on 11 different types of mortgages. Data for these daily averages comes from Curinos, LLC, a leading provider of mortgage research that collects data from more than 250 lenders. For more details on how we compile daily mortgage data, check out our comprehensive methodology here. Editor’s Note: Before making significant financial decisions, consider reviewing your options with someone you trust, such as a financial adviser, credit counselor or financial professional, since every person’s situation and needs are different.
One never knows what one will learn at a mortgage event, like yesterday learning from Lender Toolkit’s Alex K. that Collinsville, Illinois has the largest catsup bottle in the world. (The Collinsville area produces 60 percent of the world’s horseradish root, but I’ll save that tale for another time.) Later today I’ll be leaving Las Vegas, flying from Las Vegas north to Reno while President Joe Biden flies south from Reno to Las Vegas. (I imagine the chow on Air Force One beats whatever Southwest will serve up.) Nevada or nationwide, politics are certainly intertwined with housing, and vice versa. There’s the “Lock-in Effect” produced by government-induced rates. ICE reported that first-time homebuyers made up 55 percent of agency purchase mortgages in 2023, the highest for many years. Meanwhile, heard in the hallways: increasing the pool of qualified first-time home buyers without a corresponding increase in homes they’d buy is pointless… it just jacks up the starter home prices.” From someone else: “Affordable housing initiatives are not really moving the needle. Instead of eligibility at 80 percent of the AMI (area median income), why don’t they make it 50 percent?” (Found here, this week’s podcast is sponsored by Visio Lending. Visio is the nation’s premier lender for buy and hold investors with over 2.5 billion closed loans for single-family rental properties, including vacation rentals. Today’s has an interview with Experian’s Joy Mina on the income and employment verification landscape and the Experian Verify solution.)
Lender and Broker Services, Products, and Software
LoanCare®, a top U.S. mortgage subservicer, has made it easier than ever for homeowners to manage their mortgages with a newly launched, proprietary mobile app: My LoanCare Go. Offering expanded private label branding options, account-based marketing, and tailored communications, My LoanCare Go helps clients enhance their homeowners’ mortgage experience to build lasting relationships. The app is part of LoanCare’s award-winning consumer digital platform, and is available in both English and Spanish for personalized support. Reach out to learn more today!
Horse racing fans know the Kentucky Derby always takes place the first Saturday in May at Churchill Downs in Louisville. While that main event (Derby 150!) is still weeks away, Down Payment Resource (DPR) hopes to see you at The Mortgage Collaborative’s The Mane Event next week in Louisville where its co-sponsoring a Derby-themed opening reception on March 24 and will demonstrate the benefits of down payment assistance for lenders during a partner showcase. Grab your mint julep, jodhpurs, and a festive hat for this always fun “family” affair, and schedule a meeting with the DPR team.
Make your general ledger profitable and run your business more efficiently with Loan Vision and LV-PAM. Instead of “staying alive until ‘25”, with Loan Vision, a software built by the mortgage industry for the mortgage industry, you can “produce more in 24!” Customers on Loan Vision see improvements of 30 percent+ decrease in days to close the books, 20 percent+ reduction in accounting headcount, complete LOS to G/L automation, and improved reporting and visibility. Interested in learning how Loan Vision can help you run a more efficient and profitable company? Contact Carl Wooloff to schedule a call today.
“As spring blooms around us, American Financial Resources, LLC (AFR) is thrilled to announce fresh pricing enhancements that will elevate your experience with us! Our world class capital markets team has been hard at work, crafting innovative strategies to bring you pricing enhancements that will have your originators buzzing. With these changes, we’re paving the way for smoother transactions and more competitive offerings, ensuring that you receive the best possible pricing options tailored to your needs. Visit AFR’s Quick Pricer tool to witness the impact now. The new AFR provides TPOs with top-notch service and exceptional value every step of the way. So, as you revel in the beauty of this vibrant season, take a moment to celebrate the exciting improvements we’re bringing to the table. Here’s to a season filled with growth, prosperity, and flourishing opportunities! Contact us at [email protected], 1-800- 375-6071, visit www.afrwholesale.com or partner with AFR today!”
Mortgage Technology Offerings
There’s no such thing as a “one-size-fits-all” technology solution. Every financial institution is different. And modern banks, credit unions, lenders, and insurance brokers need options that make sense for their businesses, their goals, and their customers or members. The Total Expert Partner Ecosystem is a curated collection of industry-leading partners, thought leaders, and technology providers designed to help you address market challenges, drive growth, and create customers and members for life. Leverage 70+ integrations, strategic relationships with Salesforce and AWS, and a rich library of shared industry knowledge and best practices to develop the strategies that support your business goals and build the tech stack you need to put it in motion. Learn more!
Fully Customize Point-of-Sale Workflows with Maxwell’s New Blueprint Builder. Maxwell is thrilled to introduce an industry-first: the Blueprint Builder, a feature in Maxwell Point of Sale that allows lenders to drive a differentiated mortgage experience, helping them to stand out from the competition. With the Blueprint Builder, mortgage lenders can connect to over 60 third-party integrations to create a tailored workflow suited for their unique needs. Plus, lenders can adapt their digital experiences to the operations processes that work best across their products and channels, without the cost of hiring developers. To learn more about the Blueprint Builder, click here or schedule a call with the Maxwell team.
FHA, VA, Ginnie, USDA, and HECM News
Ginnie Mae’s February issuance included $30 billion of Ginnie Mae II MBS and nearly $894 million of Ginnie Mae I MBS, including nearly $816 million in loans for multifamily housing.
For the 2024 calendar year to date, Ginnie Mae has supported the pooling and securitization of more than 91,000 first-time homebuyer loans!
In the Ginnie Mae All Participants Memorandum (APM) 24-02, Ginnie Mae announced the implementation of new Cybersecurity Incident reporting requirements. These requirements are part of Ginnie Mae’s continued commitment to the security and integrity of all operational systems and critical technology infrastructure related to the issuance and servicing of Ginnie Mae Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS). Effective immediately, Issuers must notify Ginnie Mae of a cyber security incident within 48 hours of detection.
Yes, Ginnie Mae established cybersecurity reporting requirements for program participants on Monday. Effective immediately, Ginnie issuers must notify the agency of any cybersecurity incident within 48 hours after the issue is detected. “Once the notification is received, representatives from Ginnie Mae will contact the designated point of contact to obtain additional information and establish the level of engagement needed depending on the scope and nature of the incident.”
USDA Rural Development SFHD Program posted, effective March 8th, the Fiscal Year (FY) 2024 area loan limits (based on the guidance in Handbook-1-3550, Chapter 5, Paragraph 5.6 A) are available at https://www.rd.usda.gov/files/RD-SFHAreaLoanLimitMap.pdf.
On March 4th, USDA Rural Development SFHD Program posted Advance Notice: Revisions to HB-1-3555, Chapter 15. Copies of the upcoming revisions are available for review on the Loan Origination page of the USDA LINC Training and Resource Library, under the sub-heading “New”.
USDA Rural Development Single-Family Housing Guaranteed Loan Program (SFHGLP) announced a reference sheet for obtaining a payoff and/or release of lien for a USDA Guaranteed Loan Mortgage Recovery Advance (MRA). This reference sheet includes a centralized email address for MRA inquiries and instructions on obtaining a payoff and/or a release of lien for an MRA.
In HECM news, with the Plaza Home Mortgage® Reverse Mortgage, borrowers can enjoy a multitude of benefits, including: No mortgage payment required. No Pre-Pay: Make payments as desired. Non-Recourse Loan: never owe more than the home’s value. Borrowers will maintain title to the home. Borrower’s estate retains all equity. No equity sharing: homeowners keep all future appreciation. Funds are tax free, but always consult your tax advisor. No limitations as to how the money can be used. Younger spouses (under 62) are protected. Closing costs are typically financed in the loan.
Capital Markets
A week that will be rife with central bank policy announcements (see below for some international decisions today) began with a slow retreat in the bond markets and traders paring back their expectations that the Fed will start cutting rates by June. Expectedly, this week will be dominated by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision tomorrow where no change in the fed funds rate (range of 5.25 percent to 5.50 percent) is expected. But we will get a fresh set of economic forecasts along with a new dot plot. The first Fed rate cut is now forecast to come in mid-summer, and fed funds futures are now roughly in-line with the December dot plot, which forecasts three rate cuts this year. Thank goodness. As recently as the end of January, investors were counting on six cuts in 2024.
The Fed has made it clear that policy is restrained and that the Fed presidents don’t want to become too restrictive, but there is a risk that the Fed will sound too hawkish during this meeting which could push bond yields higher. While inflation sits above the Fed’s 2 percent target, it has been trending positively. However, mortgage rates have remained high, currently above 7 percent. With the unemployment rate rising and average hourly earnings growth decelerating, the Fed still believes inflation is likely to cool further in coming months.
Remember that aside from the FOMC, this week is packed with lots of mortgage-related economic data, including the NAHB housing market index yesterday (homebuilder sentiment jumped to an eight-month high in March, fueled by limited resale inventory and lower mortgage rates. A measure of expected sales in the next six months rose to the highest since June), building permits and housing starts today, and existing home sales on Friday.
Overnight and ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC decision and updated Summary of Economic Projections, markets will digest the latest monetary policy decisions from the BoJ (it raised rates!) and the Royal Bank of Australia (it’s done hiking rates). Today’s domestic economic calendar is under way with February housing starts and building permits (+10.7 percent, 1.521 million annualized; +1.9 percent, 1.518 million respectively). Expectations were for 1.450 million starts and 1.500 million permits versus 1.331 million starts and 1.489 million permits previously in January. Next up brings Redbook same store sales for the week ending March 16. The U.S. Treasury then announces the auction sizes for short-duration bills before auctioning $75 billion 42-day CMBs, $46 billion 1-year bills, and $13 billion reopened 20-year bonds. We begin the day with Agency MBS prices slightly improved from Monday evening, the 10-year yielding 4.32 after closing yesterday at 4.34 percent, and the 2-year at 4.71.
Jobs
Weichert Financial Services, a leading nationwide Real Estate Affiliated Mortgage Company, is seeking to bring on a VP of Mortgage Servicing. The candidate would oversee the subserving relationship with Dovenmuehle and the technical day to day of the firm’s $2+ Billion servicing portfolio, thus a prior working relationship with DMI and their internal systems would be viewed as a plus. Both Hybrid and Remote candidates for the position would be considered, with headquarters being in New Jersey. If you’re a seasoned mortgage professional with a passion for taking a long standing, well capitalized Mortgage company established in 1980 to the next level, and you’re looking for a great work/life balance, we want to hear from you. Competitive compensation including Health, Dental, 401K, and PTO. Please contact Tim McLaughlin for more details.
While today marks the arrival of Spring, Spring EQ has proudly served as the industry pioneer in home equity solutions for nearly 8 years! Whether you’re a correspondent seller looking for a new partner, or a wholesale broker in search of an expansive suite of home equity products, Spring EQ can help. The need for home equity solutions is surging among borrowers, so make sure your business is prepared to meet this demand by partnering with the experts in home equity at Spring EQ. Interested in a correspondent partnership? Click here. Interested in a wholesale partnership? Click here. Looking for new opportunities in the mortgage industry? Explore Spring EQ job postings and come join a growing team of fun and experienced mortgage professionals! At Spring EQ our primary focus is second mortgages. So, think of us first for all your seconds.
PrimeLending’s One More Sales Coaching Program is transforming LO careers! LOs are discovering their best selves thanks to our exclusive peer-to-peer coaching program. The One More Sales Coaching Program is designed by PrimeLending’s top producers who’ve proven they know what it takes to excel in today’s market. LOs connect, collaborate, and learn from each other in a dynamic small group environment. Graduates walk away having mastered high-impact skills and habits they need to drive better results, such as personal branding, networking, and leveraging technology. The best part? It’s completely free! We’re investing in our LOs and empowering them to take their careers to the next level. Contact Nic Hartke today and join our winning team!
The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) announced that Madisyn Rhone joined the association today as VP of Legislative Affairs responsible for advocating on behalf of MBA’s legislative and policy priorities on Capitol Hill, with a primary focus on Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
Download our mobile app to get alerts for Rob Chrisman’s Commentary.
Share via Social Media:
All social media shares will include the image and link to this page.
Average mortgage rates climbed moderately last Friday. Indeed, they rose on every business day last week. However, that followed a week of mainly falls. And those rates begin this morning close to where they were at the start of March.
First thing, it was looking as if mortgage rates today barely move. But that could change later in the day.
Current mortgage and refinance rates
Find your lowest rate. Start here
Program
Mortgage Rate
APR*
Change
Conventional 30-year fixed
7.12%
7.13%
+0.02
Conventional 15-year fixed
6.62%
6.65%
+0.03
Conventional 20-year fixed
7.15%
7.17%
+0.04
Conventional 10-year fixed
6.64%
6.66%
Unchanged
30-year fixed FHA
6.49%
7.17%
+0.01
30-year fixed VA
6.61%
6.72%
+0.02
5/1 ARM Conventional
6.28%
7.38%
Unchanged
Rates are provided by our partner network, and may not reflect the market. Your rate might be different. Click here for a personalized rate quote. See our rate assumptions See our rate assumptions here.
Should you lock your mortgage rate today?
I doubt we’ll see mortgage rates enter a consistent downward trend much before the summer, and possibly later.
So, for now, my personal rate lock recommendations remain:
LOCK if closing in 7 days
LOCK if closing in 15 days
LOCK if closing in 30 days
LOCK if closing in 45 days
LOCKif closing in 60days
However, with so much uncertainty at the moment, your instincts could easily turn out to be as good as mine — or better. So, let your gut and your own tolerance for risk help guide you.
>Related: 7 Tips to get the best refinance rate
Market data affecting today’s mortgage rates
Here’s a snapshot of the state of play this morning at about 9:50 a.m. (ET). The data are mostly compared with roughly the same time the business day before, so much of the movement will often have happened in the previous session. The numbers are:
The yield on 10-year Treasury notes held steady at 4.32%. (Neutral for mortgage rates. However, yields were rising this morning.) More than any other market, mortgage rates typically tend to follow these particular Treasury bond yields
Major stock indexes were rising this morning. (Bad for mortgage rates.) When investors buy shares, they’re often selling bonds, which pushes those prices down and increases yields and mortgage rates. The opposite may happen when indexes are lower. But this is an imperfect relationship
Oil prices increased to $81.35 from $80.62 a barrel. (Bad for mortgage rates*.) Energy prices play a prominent role in creating inflation and also point to future economic activity
Goldprices inched down to $2,159 from $2,162 an ounce. (Neutral for mortgage rates*.) It is generally better for rates when gold prices rise and worse when they fall. Because gold tends to rise when investors worry about the economy.
CNN Business Fear & Greed index — nudged up to 75 from 71 out of 100. (Bad for mortgage rates.) “Greedy” investors push bond prices down (and interest rates up) as they leave the bond market and move into stocks, while “fearful” investors do the opposite. So, lower readings are often better than higher ones
*A movement of less than $20 on gold prices or 40 cents on oil ones is a change of 1% or less. So we only count meaningful differences as good or bad for mortgage rates.
Caveats about markets and rates
Before the pandemic, post-pandemic upheavals, and war in Ukraine, you could look at the above figures and make a pretty good guess about what would happen to mortgage rates that day. But that’s no longer the case. We still make daily calls. And are usually right. But our record for accuracy won’t achieve its former high levels until things settle down.
So, use markets only as a rough guide. Because they have to be exceptionally strong or weak to rely on them. But, with that caveat, mortgage rates today look likely to hold close to steady. However, be aware that “intraday swings” (when rates change speed or direction during the day) are a common feature right now.
Find your lowest rate. Start here
What’s driving mortgage rates today?
The Fed
The Federal Reserve’s rate-setting body (the Federal Open Market Committee or FOMC) begins a two-day meeting tomorrow. And a flurry of events is scheduled for the following afternoon.
Almost nobody expects an announcement of a cut in general interest rates on Wednesday. But events that afternoon include:
2 p.m. Eastern — Rate announcement and report publications
2 p.m. Eastern — Summary of Economic Projects publication. This occurs only quarterly and includes a dot plot
These FOMC documents and the news conference may provide new insights into how the Fed’s thinking on future cuts to general interest rates is evolving. So, markets globally will be paying the closest attention to every word written and uttered.
And there is huge potential for Wednesday’s Fed events to move mortgage rates.
I covered this in last Saturday’s weekend edition. And I’ll brief you in more detail again on Wednesday morning so you’ll know what to look out for.
Other influences on mortgage rates this week
Most of the economic reports on this week’s calendar are unlikely to affect mortgage rates. It’s not impossible. But they cover areas of the economy that rarely interest the bond investors who largely determine those rates.
Today’s lone report is a good example. It’s the home builder confidence index for February, which came in as expected. I don’t recall the last time that had a perceptible influence on mortgage rates. And the same goes for tomorrow’s housing starts and building permits, also for February.
The two reports that might move mortgage rates this week are both March purchasing managers’ indexes (PMIs) from S&P. One covers the services sector and the other manufacturing.
They’re both expected to show purchasing activity slowing modestly. But I’ll brief you more fully on what to expect on Wednesday.
Friday has no scheduled economic reports. However, three Fed speakers, including Chair Jerome Powell, have speaking engagements that day. Those could be an opportunity to reinforce messages communicated on Wednesday and to correct any misunderstandings. So, they could have an impact on mortgage rates.
Don’t forget you can always learn more about what’s driving mortgage rates in the most recent weekend edition of this daily report. These provide a more detailed analysis of what’s happening. They are published each Saturday morning soon after 10 a.m. (ET) and include a preview of the following week.
Recent trends
According to Freddie Mac’s archives, the weekly all-time lowest rate for 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages was set on Jan. 7, 2021, when it stood at 2.65%. The weekly all-time high was 18.63% on Sep. 10, 1981.
Freddie’s Mar. 14 report put that same weekly average at 6.74% down from the previous week’s 6.88%. But note that Freddie’s data are almost always out of date by the time it announces its weekly figures.
Expert forecasts for mortgage rates
Looking further ahead, Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) each has a team of economists dedicated to monitoring and forecasting what will happen to the economy, the housing sector and mortgage rates.
And here are their rate forecasts for the four quarters of 2024 (Q1/24, Q2/24 Q3/24 and Q4/24).
The numbers in the table below are for 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages. Fannie’s were updated on Feb. 12 and the MBA’s on Feb. 20.
Forecaster
Q1/24
Q2/24
Q3/24
Q4/24
Fannie Mae
6.5%
6.3%
6.1%
5.9%
MBA
6.9%
6.6%
6.3%
6.1%
Of course, given so many unknowables, both these forecasts might be even more speculative than usual. And their past record for accuracy hasn’t been wildly impressive.
Important notes on today’s mortgage rates
Here are some things you need to know:
Typically, mortgage rates go up when the economy’s doing well and down when it’s in trouble. But there are exceptions. Read ‘How mortgage rates are determined and why you should care’
Only “top-tier” borrowers (with stellar credit scores, big down payments, and very healthy finances) get the ultralow mortgage rates you’ll see advertised
Lenders vary. Yours may or may not follow the crowd when it comes to daily rate movements — though they all usually follow the broader trend over time
When daily rate changes are small, some lenders will adjust closing costs and leave their rate cards the same
Refinance rates are typically close to those for purchases.
A lot is going on at the moment. And nobody can claim to know with certainty what will happen to mortgage rates in the coming hours, days, weeks or months.
Find your lowest mortgage rate today
You should comparison shop widely, no matter what sort of mortgage you want. Federal regulator the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau found in May 2023:
“Mortgage borrowers are paying around $100 a month more depending on which lender they choose, for the same type of loan and the same consumer characteristics (such as credit score and down payment).”
In other words, over the lifetime of a 30-year loan, homebuyers who don’t bother to get quotes from multiple lenders risk losing an average of $36,000. What could you do with that sort of money?
Verify your new rate
Mortgage rate methodology
The Mortgage Reports receives rates based on selected criteria from multiple lending partners each day. We arrive at an average rate and APR for each loan type to display in our chart. Because we average an array of rates, it gives you a better idea of what you might find in the marketplace. Furthermore, we average rates for the same loan types. For example, FHA fixed with FHA fixed. The end result is a good snapshot of daily rates and how they change over time.
How your mortgage interest rate is determined
Mortgage and refinance rates vary a lot depending on each borrower’s unique situation.
Factors that determine your mortgage interest rate include:
Overall strength of the economy — A strong economy usually means higher rates, while a weaker one can push current mortgage rates down to promote borrowing
Lender capacity — When a lender is very busy, it will increase rates to deter new business and give its loan officers some breathing room
Property type (condo, single-family, town house, etc.) — A primary residence, meaning a home you plan to live in full time, will have a lower interest rate. Investment properties, second homes, and vacation homes have higher mortgage rates
Loan-to-value ratio (determined by your down payment) — Your loan-to-value ratio (LTV) compares your loan amount to the value of the home. A lower LTV, meaning a bigger down payment, gets you a lower mortgage rate
Debt-To-Income ratio — This number compares your total monthly debts to your pretax income. The more debt you currently have, the less room you’ll have in your budget for a mortgage payment
Loan term — Loans with a shorter term (like a 15-year mortgage) typically have lower rates than a 30-year loan term
Borrower’s credit score — Typically the higher your credit score is, the lower your mortgage rate, and vice versa
Mortgage discount points — Borrowers have the option to buy discount points or ‘mortgage points’ at closing. These let you pay money upfront to lower your interest rate
Remember, every mortgage lender weighs these factors a little differently.
To find the best rate for your situation, you’ll want to get personalized estimates from a few different lenders.
Verify your new rate. Start here
Are refinance rates the same as mortgage rates?
Rates for a home purchase and mortgage refinance are often similar.
However, some lenders will charge more for a refinance under certain circumstances.
Typically when rates fall, homeowners rush to refinance. They see an opportunity to lock in a lower rate and payment for the rest of their loan.
This creates a tidal wave of new work for mortgage lenders.
Unfortunately, some lenders don’t have the capacity or crew to process a large number of refinance loan applications.
In this case, a lender might raise its rates to deter new business and give loan officers time to process loans currently in the pipeline.
Also, cashing out equity can result in a higher rate when refinancing.
Cash-out refinances pose a greater risk for mortgage lenders, so they’re often priced higher than new home purchases and rate-term refinances.
Check your refinance rates today. Start here
How to get the lowest mortgage or refinance rate
Since rates can vary, always shop around when buying a house or refinancing a mortgage.
Comparison shopping can potentially save thousands, even tens of thousands of dollars over the life of your loan.
Here are a few tips to keep in mind:
1. Get multiple quotes
Many borrowers make the mistake of accepting the first mortgage or refinance offer they receive.
Some simply go with the bank they use for checking and savings since that can seem easiest.
However, your bank might not offer the best mortgage deal for you. And if you’re refinancing, your financial situation may have changed enough that your current lender is no longer your best bet.
So get multiple quotes from at least three different lenders to find the right one for you.
2. Compare Loan Estimates
When shopping for a mortgage or refinance, lenders will provide a Loan Estimate that breaks down important costs associated with the loan.
You’ll want to read these Loan Estimates carefully and compare costs and fees line-by-line, including:
Interest rate
Annual percentage rate (APR)
Monthly mortgage payment
Loan origination fees
Rate lock fees
Closing costs
Remember, the lowest interest rate isn’t always the best deal.
Annual percentage rate (APR) can help you compare the ‘real’ cost of two loans. It estimates your total yearly cost including interest and fees.
Also, pay close attention to your closing costs.
Some lenders may bring their rates down by charging more upfront via discount points. These can add thousands to your out-of-pocket costs.
3. Negotiate your mortgage rate
You can also negotiate your mortgage rate to get a better deal.
Let’s say you get loan estimates from two lenders. Lender A offers the better rate, but you prefer your loan terms from Lender B. Talk to Lender B and see if they can beat the former’s pricing.
You might be surprised to find that a lender is willing to give you a lower interest rate in order to keep your business.
And if they’re not, keep shopping — there’s a good chance someone will.
Fixed-rate mortgage vs. adjustable-rate mortgage: Which is right for you?
Mortgage borrowers can choose between a fixed-rate mortgage and an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM).
Fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) have interest rates that never change unless you decide to refinance. This results in predictable monthly payments and stability over the life of your loan.
Adjustable-rate loans have a low interest rate that’s fixed for a set number of years (typically five or seven). After the initial fixed-rate period, the interest rate adjusts every year based on market conditions.
With each rate adjustment, a borrower’s mortgage rate can either increase, decrease, or stay the same. These loans are unpredictable since monthly payments can change each year.
Adjustable-rate mortgages are fitting for borrowers who expect to move before their first rate adjustment, or who can afford a higher future payment.
In most other cases, a fixed-rate mortgage is typically the safer and better choice.
Remember, if rates drop sharply, you are free to refinance and lock in a lower rate and payment later on.
How your credit score affects your mortgage rate
You don’t need a high credit score to qualify for a home purchase or refinance, but your credit score will affect your rate.
This is because credit history determines risk level.
Historically speaking, borrowers with higher credit scores are less likely to default on their mortgages, so they qualify for lower rates.
So, for the best rate, aim for a credit score of 720 or higher.
Mortgage programs that don’t require a high score include:
Conventional home loans — minimum 620 credit score
FHA loans — minimum 500 credit score (with a 10% down payment) or 580 (with a 3.5% down payment)
VA loans — no minimum credit score, but 620 is common
USDA loans — minimum 640 credit score
Ideally, you want to check your credit report and score at least 6 months before applying for a mortgage. This gives you time to sort out any errors and make sure your score is as high as possible.
If you’re ready to apply now, it’s still worth checking so you have a good idea of what loan programs you might qualify for and how your score will affect your rate.
You can get your credit report from AnnualCreditReport.com and your score from MyFico.com.
How big of a down payment do I need?
Nowadays, mortgage programs don’t require the conventional 20 percent down.
Indeed, first-time home buyers put only 6 percent down on average.
Down payment minimums vary depending on the loan program. For example:
Conventional home loans require a down payment between 3% and 5%
FHA loans require 3.5% down
VA and USDA loans allow zero down payment
Jumbo loans typically require at least 5% to 10% down
Keep in mind, a higher down payment reduces your risk as a borrower and helps you negotiate a better mortgage rate.
If you are able to make a 20 percent down payment, you can avoid paying for mortgage insurance.
This is an added cost paid by the borrower, which protects their lender in case of default or foreclosure.
But a big down payment is not required.
For many people, it makes sense to make a smaller down payment in order to buy a house sooner and start building home equity.
Verify your new rate. Start here
Choosing the right type of home loan
No two mortgage loans are alike, so it’s important to know your options and choose the right type of mortgage.
The five main types of mortgages include:
Fixed-rate mortgage (FRM)
Your interest rate remains the same over the life of the loan. This is a good option for borrowers who expect to live in their homes long-term.
The most popular loan option is the 30-year mortgage, but 15- and 20-year terms are also commonly available.
Adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM)
Adjustable-rate loans have a fixed interest rate for the first few years. Then, your mortgage rate resets every year.
Your rate and payment can rise or fall annually depending on how the broader interest rate trends.
ARMs are ideal for borrowers who expect to move prior to their first rate adjustment (usually in 5 or 7 years).
For those who plan to stay in their home long-term, a fixed-rate mortgage is typically recommended.
Jumbo mortgage
A jumbo loan is a mortgage that exceeds the conforming loan limit set by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
In 2023, the conforming loan limit is $726,200 in most areas.
Jumbo loans are perfect for borrowers who need a larger loan to purchase a high-priced property, especially in big cities with high real estate values.
FHA mortgage
A government loan backed by the Federal Housing Administration for low- to moderate-income borrowers. FHA loans feature low credit score and down payment requirements.
VA mortgage
A government loan backed by the Department of Veterans Affairs. To be eligible, you must be active-duty military, a veteran, a Reservist or National Guard service member, or an eligible spouse.
VA loans allow no down payment and have exceptionally low mortgage rates.
USDA mortgage
USDA loans are a government program backed by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. They offer a no-down-payment solution for borrowers who purchase real estate in an eligible rural area. To qualify, your income must be at or below the local median.
Bank statement loan
Borrowers can qualify for a mortgage without tax returns, using their personal or business bank account as evidence of their financial circumstances. This is an option for self-employed or seasonally-employed borrowers.
Portfolio/Non-QM loan
These are mortgages that lenders don’t sell on the secondary mortgage market. And this gives lenders the flexibility to set their own guidelines.
Non-QM loans may have lower credit score requirements or offer low-down-payment options without mortgage insurance.
Choosing the right mortgage lender
The lender or loan program that’s right for one person might not be right for another.
Explore your options and then pick a loan based on your credit score, down payment, and financial goals, as well as local home prices.
Whether you’re getting a mortgage for a home purchase or a refinance, always shop around and compare rates and terms.
Typically, it only takes a few hours to get quotes from multiple lenders. And it could save you thousands in the long run.
Time to make a move? Let us find the right mortgage for you
Current mortgage rates methodology
We receive current mortgage rates each day from a network of mortgage lenders that offer home purchase and refinance loans. Those mortgage rates shown here are based on sample borrower profiles that vary by loan type. See our full loan assumptions here.