Editorial Note: We earn a commission from partner links on Forbes Advisor. Commissions do not affect our editors’ opinions or evaluations.
Currently, the current average mortgage rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage is 7.30%, compared to 7.29% a week ago.
For borrowers who want to pay off their home faster, the average rate on a 15-year fixed mortgage is 6.44%, up 0.09 percentage points from the previous week.
Homeowners who want to lock in a lower rate by refinancing should compare their existing mortgage rate with current market rates to make sure it’s worth the cost to refinance.
Current Mortgage Rates for January 9, 2024
30-Year Mortgage Rates
Borrowers will pay more in interest this week as the average rate on a 30-year mortgage is 7.30% compared to a rate of 7.29% a week ago.
The annual percentage rate (APR), which includes the interest and all of the lender fees, on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage is 7.19%. The APR was 7.22% last week.
If your mortgage is $100,000 and you have a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage with the current rate of 7.30%, you will pay about $686 per month in principal and interest (taxes and fees not included), the Forbes Advisor mortgage calculator shows. That’s around $146,806 in total interest over the life of the loan.
15-Year Mortgage Rates
The average interest rate on a 15-year mortgage (fixed-rate) sits at 6.44%. This same time last week, the 15-year fixed-rate mortgage was at 6.35%.
The APR on a 15-year fixed is 6.37%. It was 6.30% this time last week.
At today’s interest rate of 6.44%, a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage would cost approximately $868 per month in principal and interest per $100,000. You would pay around $56,177 in total interest over the life of the loan.
Jumbo Mortgage Rates
On a 30-year jumbo, the average interest rate is 7.20%, higher than it was at this time last week. The average rate was 7.18% at this time last week.
Borrowers with a 30-year fixed-rate jumbo mortgage with today’s interest rate of 7.20% will pay $679 per month in principal and interest per $100,000. That means that on a $750,000 loan, the monthly principal and interest payment would be around $5,090 and you’d pay approximately $1.08 million in total interest over the life of the loan.
How Much House Can I Afford?
Buying a house is a huge purchase and can put a big dent in your savings. Before you start looking, it’s important to calculate how much house you can afford and you’re willing to spend.
Not only do you want to consider your income and debt, but you also want to factor in emergency savings and any long-term financial goals such as retirement or college.
These are some basic financial factors that go into home affordability:
Income
Debt
Debt-to-income ratio (DTI)
Down payment
Credit score
How Are Mortgage Rates Determined?
Home loan borrowers can qualify for better mortgage rates by having good or excellent credit, maintaining a low debt-to-income (DTI) ratio and pursuing loan programs that don’t charge mortgage insurance premiums or similar ongoing charges that increase the loan’s annual percentage rate (APR).
Comparing rates from different mortgage lenders is an excellent starting point. You may also compare conventional, first-time homebuyer and government-backed programs like FHA and VA loans, which have different rates and fees.
For the most part, several economic factors influence the trajectory of rates for new home loans. The recent Federal Reserve rate hikes don’t directly cause mortgage rates to rise but have indirectly caused the interest rates for many long-term loans to increase. Rates are more likely to decrease when the Fed pauses or decreases its benchmark Federal Funds Rate.
Further, the inflation rate and the general state of the economy directly impact interest rates. High inflation and a strong economy typically signal higher rates. Cooling consumer demand or inflation may help rates decrease.
What Is the Best Type of Mortgage Loan?
As you compare lenders, consider getting rate quotes for several loan programs. In addition to comparing rates and fees, these programs can have flexible down payment and credit requirements that make qualifying easier.
Conventional mortgages are likely to offer competitive rates when you have a credit score between 670 and 850, although it’s possible to qualify with a minimum score of 620. This home loan type also doesn’t require annual fees when you have at least 20% equity and waive PMI.
Several government-backed programs are better when you want to make little or no down payment:
FHA loans. Borrowers with a credit score above 580 only need to put 3.5% down and applicants with credit scores ranging from 500 to 579 are only required to make a 10% down payment with FHA loans.
VA loans. Servicemembers, veterans and qualifying spouses don’t need to make a down payment when the sales price is less than the home’s appraisal value. VA loan credit requirements vary by lender.
USDA loans. Applicants in eligible rural areas can buy or build a home with no money down using a USDA loan. Moderate-income borrowers can qualify for a 30-year fixed-rate term through the Guaranteed Loan Program. Further, buyers with a very low or low income can receive a 33-year term and payment assistance is available through the agency’s Direct Loans program. Credit requirements differ by lender.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
What is a good mortgage rate?
A competitive mortgage rate currently ranges from 6% to 8% for a 30-year fixed loan. Several factors impact mortgage rates, including the repayment term, loan type and borrower’s credit score.
How to get a lower mortgage interest rate?
Comparing lenders and loan programs is an excellent start. Borrowers should also strive for a good or excellent credit score between 670 and 850 and a debt-to-income ratio of 43% or less.
Further, making a minimum down payment of 20% on conventional mortgages can help you automatically waive private mortgage insurance premiums, which increases your borrowing costs. Buying discount points or lender credits can also reduce your interest rate.
How long can you lock in a mortgage rate?
Most rate locks last 30 to 60 days and your lender may not charge a fee for this initial period. However, extending the rate lock period up to 90 or 120 days is possible, depending on your lender, but additional costs may apply.
Stephanie Horan is a lead data analyst for the MarketWatch Guides Team, specializing in home buying and personal finance. Beginning her career in asset management and transitioning to data journalism, Stephanie is a Certified Educator of Personal Finance (CEPF®). She is passionate about translating data to provide digestible insights for a broad audience. Her studies have been featured in CNBC, Bloomberg and the New York Times, among many others.
Edited By:
Andrew Dunn
Andrew Dunn is a veteran journalist with more than a decade of experience in the business and finance arena. Before joining our team, Andrew was a reporter and editor at North Carolina news organizations including The Charlotte Observer and the StarNews in Wilmington. In those roles, his work was cited numerous times by the North Carolina Press Association and the Society of Business Editors and Writers. Andrew completed the business journalism certificate program from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Editor’s Note: Parts of this story were auto-populated using data from Curinos, a mortgage research firm that collects data from more than 250 lenders. For more details on how we compile daily mortgage data, check out our methodology here.
Mortgage rates rose slightly in the first week of 2024, with the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increasing by 0.10 percentage points, according to data from Curinos analyzed by MarketWatch Guides.
This slight increase took place in the midst of mixed economic signals. The Labor Department reported that employers added 216,000 jobs in December, exceeding economists’ expectations, while the stock market had a rocky start to the beginning of the year. Through last Friday, the S&P is down roughly 1% year-to-date.
Economists with the Mortgage Bankers Association are still confident that rates will fall over the coming months. The next Federal Reserve meeting is scheduled for the end of January, and though rates may be held steady at that meeting, the board previously indicated that they expect three rate cuts throughout the year.
Here are today’s average mortgage rates:
30-year fixed mortgage rate: 7.18%
15-year fixed mortgage rate: 6.41%
5/6 ARM mortgage rate: 6.90%
Jumbo mortgage rate: 7.03%
Current Mortgage Rates
Product
Rate
Last Week
Change
30-Year Fixed Rate
7.18%
7.19%
-0.01
15-Year Fixed Rate
6.41%
6.38%
+0.03
5/6 ARM
6.90%
6.94%
-0.04
7/6 ARM
7.11%
7.11%
0.00
10/6 ARM
7.19%
7.19%
0.00
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo
7.03%
7.08%
-0.05
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA
6.84%
6.90%
-0.06
30-Year Fixed Rate VA
6.85%
6.87%
-0.02
Disclaimer: The rates above are based on data from Curinos, LLC. All rate data is accurate as of Wednesday, January 10, 2024. Actual rates may vary.
>> View historical mortgage rate trends
Mortgage Rates for Home Purchase
30-year fixed-rate mortgages are down, -0.01
The average 30-year fixed-mortgage rate is 7.18%. Since the same time last week, the rate is down, changing -0.01 percentage points.
At the current average rate, you’ll pay $677.43 per month in principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow. You’re paying less compared to last week when the average rate was 7.19%.
15-year fixed-rate mortgages are up, +0.03
The average rate you’ll pay for a 15-year fixed-mortgage is 6.41%, an increase of+0.03 percentage points compared to last week.
Monthly payments on a 15-year fixed-mortgage at a rate of 6.41% will cost approximately $866.17 per $100,000 borrowed. With the rate of 6.38% last week, you would’ve paid $864.52 per month.
5/6 adjustable-rate mortgages are down,-0.04
The average rate on a 5/6 adjustable rate mortgage is 6.90%, a decrease of-0.04 percentage points over the last seven days.
Adjustable-rate mortgages, commonly referred to as ARMs, are mortgages with a fixed interest rate for a set period of time followed by a rate that adjusts on a regular basis. With a 5/6 ARM, the rate is fixed for the first 5 years and then adjusts every six months over the next 25 years.
Monthly payments on a 5/6 ARM at a rate of 6.90% will cost approximately $658.60 per $100,000 borrowed over the first 5 years of the loan.
Jumbo loan interest rates are down, -0.05
The average jumbo mortgage rate today is 7.03%, a decrease of-0.05 percentage points over the past week.
Jumbo loans are mortgages that exceed loan limits set by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) and funding criteria of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. This generally means that the amount of money borrowed is higher than $726,200.
Product
Monthly P&I per $100,000
Last Week
Change
30-Year Fixed Rate
$677.43
$678.11
-$0.68
15-Year Fixed Rate
$866.17
$864.52
+$1.65
5/6 ARM
$658.60
$661.28
-$2.68
7/6 ARM
$672.71
$672.71
$0.00
10/6 ARM
$678.11
$678.11
$0.00
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo
$667.32
$670.68
-$3.36
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA
$654.59
$658.60
-$4.01
30-Year Fixed Rate VA
$655.26
$656.59
-$1.33
Note: Monthly payments on adjustable-rate mortgages are shown for the first five, seven and 10 years of the loan, respectively.
Factors That Affect Your Mortgage Rate
Mortgage rates change frequently based on the economic environment. Inflation, the federal funds rate, housing market conditions and other factors all play into how rates move from week-to-week and month-to-month.
But outside of macroeconomic trends, several other factors specific to the borrower will affect the mortgage interest rate. They include:
Financial situation: Mortgage lenders use past financial decisions of borrowers as a way to evaluate the risk of loaning money.
Loan amount and structure: The amount of money that bank or mortgage lender loans and its structure (including both the term and whether its a fixed-rate or adjustable-rate).
Location: Mortgage rates vary by where you are buying a home. Areas with more lenders, and thus more competition, may have lower rates. Foreclosure laws can also impact a lender’s risk, affecting rates.
Whether borrowers are first-time homebuyers: Oftentimes first-time homebuyer programs will offer new homeowners lower rates.
Lenders: Banks, credit unions and online lenders all may offer slightly different rates depending on their internal determination.
How To Shop for the Best Mortgage Rate
Comparison shopping for a mortgage can be overwhelming, but it’s shown to be worth the effort. Homeowners may be able to save between $600 and $1,200 annually by shopping around for the best rate, researchers found in a recent study by Freddie Mac. That’s why we put together steps on how to shop for the best mortgage rate.
1. Check credit scores and credit reports
A borrower’s credit situation will likely determine the type of mortgage they can pursue, as well as their rate. Conventional loans are typically only offered to borrowers with a credit score of 620 or higher, while FHA loans may be the best option for borrowers with a FICO score between 500 and 619. Additionally, individuals with higher credit scores are more likely to be offered a lower mortgage interest rate.
Mortgage lenders often review scores from the three major credit bureaus: Equifax, Experian and TransUnion. By viewing your scores ahead of lenders considering you for a loan, you can check for errors and even work to improve your score by paying down balances and limiting new credit cards and loans.
2. Know the options
There are four standard mortgage programs: conventional, FHA, VA and USDA. To get the best mortgage rate and increase your odds of approval, it’s important for potential borrowers to do their research and apply for the mortgage program that best fits their financial situation.
The table below describes each program, highlighting minimum credit score and down payment requirements.
Though conventional mortgages are most common, borrowers will also need to consider their repayment plan and term. Rates can be either fixed or adjustable and terms can range from 10 to 30 years, though most homeowners opt for a 15- or 30-year mortgage.
3. Compare quotes across multiple lenders
Shopping around for a mortgage goes beyond comparing rates online. We recommend reaching out to lenders directly to see the “real” rate as figures listed online may not be representative of a borrower’s particular situation. While most experts recommend getting quotes from three to five lenders, there is no limit on the number of mortgage companies you can apply with. In many cases, lenders will allow borrowers to prequalify for a mortgage and receive a tentative loan offer with no impact to their credit score.
After gathering your loan documents – including proof of income, assets and credit – borrowers may also apply for pre-approval. Pre-approval will let them know where they stand with lenders and may also improve negotiating power with home sellers.
4. Review loan estimates
To fully understand which lender is offering the cheapest loan overall, take a look at the loan estimate provided by each lender. A loan estimate will list not only the mortgage rate, but also a borrower’s annual percentage rate (APR), which includes the interest rate and other lender fees such as closing costs and discount points.
By comparing loan estimates across lenders, borrowers can see the full breakdown of their possible costs. One lender may offer lower interest rates, but higher fees and vice versa. Looking at the loan’s APR can give you a good apples-to-apples comparison between lenders that takes into account both rates and fees.
5. Consider negotiating with lenders on rates
Mortgage lenders want to do business. This means that borrowers may use competing offers as leverage to adjust fees and interest rates. Many lenders may not lower their offered rate by much, but even a few basis points may save borrowers more than they might think in the long run. For instance, the difference between 6.8% and 7.0% on a 30-year, fixed-rate $100,000 mortgage is roughly $5,000 over the life of the loan.
Expert Forecasts for Mortgage Rates
With mortgage interest rates climbing steadily throughout the first half of 2023 and exceeding 7%, prospective homeowners may be wondering: Will there be any relief going forward? Some experts are optimistic.
Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) project that rates will fall going into 2024 and throughout next year. In fact, the MBA predicts that rates will end 2024 at 6.1%.
More Mortgage Resources
Methodology
Every weekday, MarketWatch Guides provides readers with the latest rates on 11 different types of mortgages. Data for these daily averages comes from Curinos, LLC, a leading provider of mortgage research that collects data from more than 250 lenders. For more details on how we compile daily mortgage data, check out our comprehensive methodology here.
Editor’s Note: Before making significant financial decisions, consider reviewing your options with someone you trust, such as a financial adviser, credit counselor or financial professional, since every person’s situation and needs are different.
Mortgage interest rates inched up this week, following nine straight declines totaling a decrease of 118 basis points (1.18%).
The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage (FRM) rose from 6.61% on Dec. 28 to 6.62% on Jan. 4, according to Freddie Mac.
“Given the expectation of rate cuts this year from the Federal Reserve, as well as receding inflationary pressures, we expect mortgage rates will continue to drift downward as the year unfolds,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.
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In this article (Skip to…)
Will mortgage rates go down in January?
Mortgage rates fluctuated significantly in 2023, with the average 30-year fixed rate going as low as 6.09% on Feb. 2 and as high as 7.79% on Oct. 26, according to Freddie Mac.
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The range can be largely attributed to the Federal Reserve’s ongoing fight against inflation, juxtaposed with uncertainty in the banking sector sparked by Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse. However, with duress permeating the financial market and the fallout from U.S. debt ceiling talks, the Fed may continue making hikes to bring interest rates down.
With the economy likely heading into a recession, it’s possible we’ve already seen the peak of this rate cycle. Of course, interest rates are notoriously volatile and could tick back up on any given week.
Experts from CoreLogic, Home Qualified, Realtor.com and others weigh in on whether 30-year mortgage rates will climb, fall, or level off in January.
Expert mortgage rate predictions for January
Craig Berry, branch manager at Acopia Home Loans
Prediction: Rates will moderate
“As inflation is the no. 1 item on the Federal Reserve’s radar right now, the Feds may choose not to lower the federal funds rate until inflation comes down. And, while Fed rate cuts aren’t a must-have in order for mortgage rates to come down, interest rates are affected by the federal funds rate.
The Feds continue to seek a balance between inflation and maximum employment so as not to cause significant damage to the economy which could trigger a recession. Recent momentum has been positive, and as long inflation cooperates, mortgage rates may see a slight decline in January. However, it isn’t likely that we’ll see significant drops to longer-term rates until we get further into 2024.”
Ralph DiBugnara, president at Home Qualified
Prediction: Rates will fall
“Rates finally shifted down some in December and stabilized lower. U.S. payrolls came in lower than anticipated, unemployment was up and building of new homes was down. These are good signs that inflation may have reached its peak and could trigger a lowering of rates. I expect the Fed to stay neutral for the time being and possibly through the first quarter of the year with possible cuts coming only if we see a drastic shift in the economy. For January, I believe the average 30-year fixed will land at 7.125% and the 15-year fixed will be 6.75%.”
Selma Hepp, chief economist at CoreLogic
Prediction: Rates will fall
“Mortgage rates should continue to decline, albeit very gradually and given there are no surprises with inflation. We should see rates fall below 7% mark.”
Hannah Jones, senior economic research analyst at Realtor.com
Prediction: Rates will fall
“If inflation and employment data continue to show signs of slowing, mortgage rates are likely to ease in January, though at a slower clip than in recent weeks. As incoming data confirms that the economy is indeed cooling, the upward pressure on mortgage rates will continue to let up and buyers will enjoy lower rates than in recent months.
However, if inflation or employment data come in stronger than expected, we could see rates pick up steam once again. Investors expect the Fed to hold steady at the current target rate in next week’s meeting, which would signal the Committee’s confidence in the current policy stance to bring inflation down to the target 2%. As inflation reaches the target level, mortgage rates will continue to drift lower.”
Jess Kennedy, COO at Beeline
Prediction: Rates will fall
“We expect rates to continue to ease as we kick off 2024. You can see the signaling of a rate cut from the Fed in many ways. For example, it is harder to find long-term CDs at the higher interest rates we were seeing 45-60 days ago). Publicly traded companies are also seeing their stock prices move higher on the expectation of rate relief in 2024. All these signs signal rates start to tick down even ahead of an official rate cut.”
Odeta Kushi, deputy chief economist at First American
Prediction: Rates will fall
“In light of favorable trends in inflation and labor market data, the Federal Reserve appears to be on a path towards its goals, although achieving its 2% inflation target will take some time. Consequently, the Fed is expected to maintain a restrictive stance, which will keep mortgage rates elevated. However, given slowing inflation and a cooling labor market, and barring any unforeseen developments, modest reductions in mortgage rates are possible in January.”
Rick Sharga, CEO at CJ Patrick Company
Prediction: Rates will fall
“With inflation moving in the right direction, wage growth slowing, and the jobs market softening a bit, it seems likely that the Federal Reserve has finished rate hikes for this cycle. That, coupled with weakening bond yields, should create an environment where mortgage rates can start a gradual, but steady decline throughout 2024. January rates for 30-year fixed-rate loans will probably straddle 7% — ranging from 7.1% to about 6.9% as the market finds its footing to begin the year.”
Mortgage interest rates forecast next 90 days
As inflation ran rampant in 2022, the Federal Reserve took action to bring it down and that led to the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage spiking in 2023.
Find your lowest mortgage rate. Start here
With inflation gradually cooling, the Fed adjusted its policies with smaller and skipped hikes. Additionally, the economy showing signs of slowing has many experts believing mortgage interest rates will gradually descend in 2024.
Of course, rates could rise on any given week or if another global event causes widespread uncertainty in the economy.
Mortgage rate predictions for 2024
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.62%% as of Jan. 4, according to Freddie Mac. All five major housing authorities we looked at project 2024’s first quarter average to finish above that.
The National Association of Home Builders sits at the low end of the group, predicting the average 30-year fixed interest rate to settle at 7.04% for Q1. Meanwhile, Fannie Mae had the highest forecast of 7.6%.
Housing Authority
30-Year Mortgage Rate Forecast (Q1 2024)
National Association of Home Builders
6.77%
Wells Fargo
6.85%
Fannie Mae
7.00%
Mortgage Bankers Association
7.00%
National Association of Realtors
7.50%
Average Prediction
7.02%
Current mortgage interest rate trends
Mortgage rates came down for the ninth consecutive week.
The average 30-year fixed rate increased from 6.61% on Dec. 28 to 6.62% on Jan. 4 The average 15-year fixed mortgage rate fell, going from 5.93% to 5.89%.
Get started shopping for mortgage rates
Month
Average 30-Year Fixed Rate
December 2022
6.36%
January 2023
6.27%
February 2023
6.26%
March 2023
6.54%
April 2023
6.34%
May 2023
6.43%
June 2023
6.71%
July 2023
6.84%
August 2023
7.07%
September 2023
7.20%
October 2023
7.62%
November 2023
7.44%
December 2023
6.82%
Source: Freddie Mac
After hitting record-low territory in 2020 and 2021, mortgage rates climbed to a 23-year high in 2023. Many experts and industry authorities believe they will follow a downward trajectory into 2024. Whatever happens, interest rates are still below historical averages.
Dating back to April 1971, the fixed 30-year interest rate averaged around 7.8%, according to Freddie Mac. So if you haven’t locked a rate yet, don’t lose too much sleep over it. You can still get a good deal, historically speaking — especially if you’re a borrower with strong credit.
Just make sure you shop around to find the best lender and lowest rate for your unique situation.
Mortgage rate trends by loan type
Many mortgage shoppers don’t realize there are different types of rates in today’s mortgage market. But this knowledge can help home buyers and refinancing households find the best value for their situation.
Find your lowest mortgage rate. Start here
Which mortgage loan is best?
The best mortgage for you depends on your financial situation and your goals.
For instance, if you want to buy a high-priced home and you have great credit, a jumbo loan is your best bet. Jumbo mortgages allow loan amounts above conforming loan limits, which max out at $ in most parts of the U.S.
On the other hand, if you’re a veteran or service member, a VA loan is almost always the right choice. VA loans are backed by the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs. They provide ultra-low rates and never charge private mortgage insurance (PMI). But you need an eligible service history to qualify.
Conforming loans and FHA loans (those backed by the Federal Housing Administration) are great low-down-payment options.
Conforming loans allow as little as 3% down with FICO scores starting at 620. FHA loans are even more lenient about credit; home buyers can often qualify with a score of 580 or higher, and a less-than-perfect credit history might not disqualify you.
Finally, consider a USDA loan if you want to buy or refinance real estate in a rural area. USDA loans have below-market rates — similar to VA — and reduced mortgage insurance costs. The catch? You need to live in a ‘rural’ area and have moderate or low income to be USDA-eligible.
Mortgage rate strategies for January 2024
Mortgage rates displayed their famous volatility in 2023. Uncertainty in the banking sector led to downtrends, but ongoing inflation battles, Fed hikes and a hot job market drove growth.
Find your lowest mortgage rate. Start here
At its September and November meetings, the central bank held off on a rate hike, preferring to see if the economy would keep cooling organically. In December, the FOMC skipped a hike and projected cuts for 2024. As always, the committee said it would adjust its policies as necessary — which could mean additional hikes or possibly none at all.
Here are just a few strategies to keep in mind if you’re mortgage shopping in the coming months.
Be ready to move quickly
Indecision can lead to failure or missed opportunities. That holds true in home buying as well.
Although the housing market is becoming more balanced than the recent past, it still favors sellers. Prospective borrowers should take the lessons learned from the last few years and apply them now even though conditions are less extreme.
“Taking too long to decide to make an offer can lead to paying more for the home at best and at worst to losing out on it entirely. Buyers should get pre-approved (not pre-qualified) for their mortgage, so that the seller has some certainty about the deal closing. And be ready to close quickly — a long escrow period will put you at a disadvantage.
And it’s definitely not a bad idea to work with a real estate agent who has access to “coming soon” properties, which can give a buyer a little bit of a head start competing for the limited number of homes available,” said Rick Sharga.
Buyer demand is lower than a typical year, but the market usually heats up in spring and summer. Being decisive (and prepared) should only play to your advantage.
Shopping around isn’t only for the holidays
Since interest rates can vary drastically from day to day and from lender to lender, failing to shop around likely leads to money lost.
Lenders charge different rates for different levels of credit scores. And while there are ways to negotiate a lower mortgage rate, the easiest is to get multiple quotes from multiple lenders and leverage them against each other.
“For potential home buyers, it’s important to get quotes from multiple lenders for a mortgage, as rates can vary dramatically, especially during such a volatile period,” said Odeta Kushi.
As the mortgage market slows due to lessened demand, lenders will be more eager for business. While missing out on the rock-bottom rates of 2020 and 2021 may sting, there’s always a way to use the market to your advantage.
How to shop for interest rates
Rate shopping doesn’t just mean looking at the lowest rates advertised online because those aren’t available to everyone. Typically, those are offered to borrowers with great credit who can put a down payment of 20% or more.
The rate lenders actually offer depends on:
Your credit score and credit history
Your personal finances
Your down payment (if buying a home)
Your home equity (if refinancing)
Your loan-to-value ratio (LTV)
Your debt-to-income ratio (DTI)
To figure out what rate a lender can offer you based on those factors, you have to fill out a loan application. Lenders will check your credit and verify your income and debts, then give you a ‘real’ rate quote based on your financial situation.
You should get three to five of these quotes at a minimum, then compare them to find the best offer. Look for the lowest rate, but also pay attention to your annual percentage rate (APR), estimated closing costs, and ‘discount points’ — extra fees charged upfront to lower your rate.
This might sound like a lot of work. But you can shop for mortgage rates in under a day if you put your mind to it. And shaving just a few basis points off your rate can save you thousands.
Compare mortgage and refinance rates. Start here
Mortgage interest rate FAQ
What are current mortgage rates?
Current mortgage rates are averaging 6.62% for a 30-year fixed-rate loan and 5.89% for a 15-year fixed-rate loan, according to Freddie Mac’s latest weekly rate survey. Your individual rate could be higher or lower than the average depending on your credit score, down payment, and the lender you choose to work with, among other factors.
Will mortgage rates go down next week?
Mortgage rates could decrease next week (Jan. 8-12, 2024) if the mortgage market takes a cautious approach to a possible recession. However, rates could rise if lenders account for the Federal Reserve taking measures to counteract inflation or if a global event brings economic uncertainty.
Will mortgage interest rates go down in 2024?
If inflation continues to dissipate and the economy cools or goes into a recession, it’s likely mortgage rates will decrease in 2024. Although, it’s important to remember that interest rates are notoriously volatile and are driven by many factors, so they can rise during any given week.
Will mortgage interest rates go up in 2024?
Mortgage rates may continue to rise in 2024. High inflation, a strong housing market, and policy changes by the Federal Reserve have all pushed rates higher in 2022 and 2023. However, if the U.S. does indeed enter a recession, mortgage rates could come down.
What is the lowest mortgage rate right now?
Freddie Mac is now citing average 30-year rates in the 7% range. If you can find a rate in the 5s or 6s, you’re in a very good position. Remember that rates vary a lot by borrower. Those with perfect credit and large down payments may get below-average interest rates, while poor-credit borrowers and those with non-QM loans could see much higher rates. You’ll need to get pre-approved for a mortgage to know your exact rate.
Will there be a housing crash?
For the most part, industry experts do not expect the housing market to crash in 2023. Yes, home prices are over-inflated. But many of the risk factors that led to the 2008 crash are not present in today’s market. Low inventory and massive buyer demand should keep the market propped up next year. Plus, mortgage lending practices are much safer than they used to be. That means there’s not a subprime mortgage crisis waiting in the wings.
What is the lowest mortgage rate ever?
At the time of this writing, the lowest 30-year mortgage rate ever was 2.65%. That’s according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey, the most widely used benchmark for current mortgage interest rates.
Should I lock my rate now or wait?
Locking your rate is a personal decision. You should do what’s right for your situation rather than trying to time the market. If you’re buying a home, the right time to lock a rate is after you’ve secured a purchase agreement and shopped for your best mortgage deal. If you’re refinancing, you should make sure you compare offers from at least three to five lenders before locking a rate. That said, rates are rising. So the sooner you can lock in today’s market, the better.
Is now a good time to refinance?
That depends on your situation. It’s a good time to refinance if your current mortgage rate is above market rates and you could lower your monthly mortgage payment. It might also be good to refinance if you can switch from an adjustable-rate mortgage to a low fixed-rate mortgage; refinance to get rid of FHA mortgage insurance; or switch to a short-term 10- or 15-year mortgage to pay off your loan early.
Is it worth refinancing for 1 percent?
It’s often worth refinancing for 1 percentage point, as this can yield significant savings on your mortgage payments and total interest payments. Just make sure your refinance savings justify your closing costs. You can use a mortgage calculator or speak with a loan officer to crunch the numbers.
How do I shop for mortgage rates?
Start by choosing a list of three to five mortgage lenders that you’re interested in. Look for lenders with low advertised rates, great customer service scores, and recommendations from friends, family, or a real estate agent. Then get pre-approved by those lenders to see what rates and fees they can offer you. Compare your offers (Loan Estimates) to find the best overall deal for the loan type you want.
What are today’s mortgage rates?
Mortgage rates are rising, but borrowers can almost always find a better deal by shopping around. Connect with a mortgage lender to find out exactly what rate you qualify for.
Time to make a move? Let us find the right mortgage for you
1Today’s mortgage rates are based on a daily survey of select lending partners of The Mortgage Reports. Interest rates shown here assume a credit score of 740. See our full loan assumptions here.
Secured credit cards are a credit-building solution for people with bad or limited credit. Approval for a secured credit card is largely based on one’s ability to put up the cash deposit, usually $200-$300, which becomes the card’s credit limit.
But a deposit requirement can present financial hardship. Cardholders get the full deposit back when they close the account or upgrade to another card from the same issuer, but not everyone can afford to tie up cash indefinitely.
Some financial technology companies are offering solutions for limited liquidity: asset-secured cards. Credit limits on these cards are backed by collateral like fine jewelry, a car or home equity. As such, credit lines on asset-secured cards can be higher, and interest rates may be lower, compared with a traditional secured card.
As asset-secured cards have solved one problem, they’ve created a few more. Some of these cards require cardholders to send away their collateral items or car title. A bigger credit line means more spending power but could also lead to bigger debt. Plus, defaulting on these cards could result in the loss of something essential to one’s livelihood.
Brian Riley, director of credit advisory services and co-head of payments at Javelin Strategy & Research asks, “Do you really want to put everything at risk in a credit card?”
For the right person, the benefits of asset-secured cards could outweigh the risks. But they’re not for everyone. “These products aren’t necessarily bad, but enter into them with eyes wide open,” Riley says.
Trying to get approved for a card?
Create a NerdWallet account for insight on your credit score and personalized recommendations for the right card for you.
Lower interest rates
Credit card interest rates have risen as the Federal Reserve has hiked the federal funds rate to fight inflation. As of August 2023, the average interest rate on interest-accruing cards was 22.77%. This financial environment gives some asset-secured cards instant appeal.
“The advantage of these products is the lower interest rate,” says Jessica Duncan, assistant vice president of research and insights at Competiscan, a market research company. “If they’re putting a balance on the card, it’s revolving at 8% rather than 26%.” For example, the card from fintech Aven that’s backed by home equity has interest rates as low as 7.99%.
If you’re carrying a credit card balance from month to month, a single-digit interest rate can make debt payoff more manageable. But if you pay your bill in full each month, the card’s annual percentage rate doesn’t matter since you’ll never be charged interest.
Higher credit limit or higher credit score?
With asset-secured credit cards, the collateral item’s value determines the credit limit. For people who own something valuable but don’t have a high credit score, these cards could unlock credit lines typically reserved for those with good to excellent credit. James Savoldelli, founder and CEO of Pesto, the fintech behind the card secured by items like jewelry, says that cardholders have put up collateral worth $20,000.
For some, a big credit line is a lifeline that covers expenses when cash runs dry. But for others, it can be a debt trap. Traditional secured cards mitigate the risk of overspending by imposing credit limits, often at a few thousand dollars. That’s by design: Cards secured by small cash deposits aren’t financing tools; they’re meant to help people build credit through responsible use.
That goal seems secondary when it comes to some asset-secured cards. Pesto says it wants to give you fast access to credit; Yendo, the company behind the card secured by a vehicle, says it’s helping “people [who] need extra money to make ends meet.”
Plus, a bigger credit line won’t, on its own, lift one’s credit score. Accounts that have revolving balances and near-maxed out credit lines can drag scores down. Since some of these asset-secured cards report to at least one of the three major credit bureaus, that type of credit activity will be captured on a credit report.
Any credit card can help consumers improve their credit, but it may be harder to do with an asset-secured card.
Collateral loss
Credit card defaults are serious matters that can result in damaged credit, among other consequences, but defaulting on an asset-secured card may have worse outcomes.
Depending on the collateral backing the card, cardholders could lose their car or home due to default. Jordan Miller, CEO and co-founder of Yendo, and Savoldelli both say that their companies want to help cardholders avoid default and have procedures in place to assist those in danger of doing so. Still, defaults are bound to happen. “[The economy] is so volatile now,” Riley says. “If unemployment goes to 10%, it’ll affect a lot of people’s ability to repay.”
Asset-secured cards are a better gateway to credit and low interest rates than options from a pawnshop or car title loan, which also require collateral. It’s also true that unequal access to credit is a problem in the U.S. Whether the answer to that problem is asset-secured cards is for consumers to decide.
“You have to question the why, you have to question the alternatives. There are plenty of alternatives that would forestall you from putting your house or Rolex up as collateral,” Riley says.
This article was written by NerdWallet and was originally published by The Associated Press.
If you’re financing a home with a mortgage, ensuring you get the best possible rate is one of the smartest financial moves you can make.
While it takes some legwork, the pay off is hard to argue with. Shaving even a fraction of a point from your rate can save you hundreds of dollars each month and tens of thousands over the life of the loan.
For example, with a $400,000 mortgage, dropping from a 7% to a 6.5% rate would save you almost $50,000 in interest over a 30-year term—roughly enough to pay for a year of private college.
Mortgage rates change constantly—and differ across mortgage companies. Here’s how to take advantage of those facts, compare current mortgage rates and get the best deal.
Current mortgage rates: How high are average mortgage rates right now?
WEEK ENDING
AVERAGE 30-YEAR FIXED RATE
AVERAGE 15-YEAR FIXED RATE
Dec. 28, 2023
6.61%
5.93%
Dec. 21, 2023
6.67%
5.95%
Dec. 14, 2023
6.95%
6.38%
Dec. 7, 2023
7.03%
6.29%
Nov. 30, 2023
7.22%
6.56%
Freddie Mac
Mortgage rates continued to cool in December, though averages remain high compared to recent years. According to mortgage-purchaser Freddie Mac, the average rate on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages fell from 7.22% at the start of the month to 6.61% today.
Rates dropped thanks to the Federal Reserve, which indicated cuts to its federal-funds rate—which mortgage rates generally follow—are likely come 2024. “This was a positive for mortgage rates, as we have seen them drop to a several-months low,” says Scott Haymore, who heads up mortgage pricing at TD Bank.
The drop in rates has spurred a modest increase in affordability for homebuyers. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, the average new mortgage payment is now $2,137, down about $60 compared to November.
Still, rates are also a far cry from the record-low of 2.65% that came during the pandemic.
AVERAGE RATE
DATE
Current rate
6.61%
Dec. 28, 2023
This time last year
6.42%
Dec. 29, 20222
Highest point in last decade
7.79%
Oct. 26, 2023
All-time high
18.53%
Oct. 16, 1981
All-time low
2.65%
Jan 7, 2021
Freddie Mac
Where are mortgage rates headed?
Mortgage rates are influenced by many factors, including the economy, investments into mortgage-backed securities, the Treasury bond market, inflation and, perhaps most important in recent years, moves by the Federal Reserve.
Between March 2022 and July 2023, the Fed increased the federal-funds rate—the rate at which banks can borrow money—11 times. And over that period, 30-year mortgage rates jumped from under 4% to over 7%. (To be clear: The Fed doesn’t directly set mortgage rates. Its federal-funds rate and mortgage rates tend to move in the same direction, though.)
The Fed has recently been easing off those rate hikes, opting to keep rates as-is at the last three meetings. If inflation keeps dropping—it fell to 3.1% in November—Fed officials expect to make three potential rate cuts next year, though nothing is set in stone. This would likely mean further drops in mortgage rates, too.
MBA currently projects the average 30-year mortgage rate will fall to 6.1% by the end of 2024. Mortgage purchaser Fannie Mae expects rates to drop to 6.5% by year’s end. Both would be an improvement, but according to Haymore, it won’t do much for overall housing affordability.
“Housing inventory remains low and affordability is an issue for many potential homebuyers,” Haymore says. “Those challenges will continue—even with rates falling.”
How are mortgage rates set?
While the Fed influences mortgage rates, it is only one piece of the puzzle. Other external factors play a role, too—as do the details of your financial situation and loan choice.
Here’s what you need to know about what determines your mortgage rate.
External factors
The overall state of the economy is a big contributor to the path of mortgage rates. When the economy is strong, rates tend to be higher. When the economy sputters, rates drop.
“Interest rates often will rise or fall based on the strength of the economy, and ironically, bad news can be good news for lower interest rates,” says Bill Banfield, an executive at lender Rocket Mortgage.
This is due in part to how economic conditions impact investment activity. When there are geopolitical concerns or the economy is wavering, investors tend to flock to safer investments—which include things such as Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities. This pushes the yields on those securities down (yields fall when bond prices rise), taking mortgage rates down with them.
“When there is high demand for mortgage-backed securities, the prices of those MBS increase, which in turn can lower mortgage interest rates,” says Tanya Blanchard, founder of mortgage brokerage Madison Chase Capital Advisors. “This is because investors are willing to accept lower returns on their investments when the prices of MBS are high.”
Finally, inflation factors in, too—and not just because of the Fed reaction. It also increases the costs for lenders to originate loans, which drives their prices higher as well.
Personal factors
Your personal finances will factor into your interest rate as well. First, there’s your credit score. Mortgage lenders use this number to gauge your risk as a borrower—or how likely you are to default on your loan. The lower your score, the higher the rate you’ll need to pay to compensate for the perceived risk.
“Credit score is a very important consideration when applying for a mortgage,” Banfield says. “If someone has a proven track record of being responsible with their finances, they’ll be more likely to get a mortgage and a better rate.”
The size of your down payment is important, too. A larger down payment means you have more to lose, which hopefully discourages you from defaulting. Smaller down payments, on the other hand, mean more risk for the lender and higher rates for you as a result.
Loan-specific factors
Last but not least, the type of mortgage loan you choose will also influence your rate. Loans backed by the government, such as Federal Housing Administration-backed FHA loans and Veterans Affairs-backed VA loans, tend to have lower rates than conventional or jumbo loans since they come with the federal government’s protection. Shorter-term loans (15 years, for example) also have lower rates than longer-term ones (30 years).
As Goodwin explains, “While a shorter-term loan will come with a higher monthly payment, it could save you thousands on interest in the long run.”
How, when and why to compare mortgage rates from different lenders
Because every lender has different overhead costs, operating capacities and appetite for risk, mortgage rates can vary significantly from one company to the next. That’s why it’s important to consider several lenders before choosing where to get your loan.
Freddie Mac recommends getting at least four quotes (it could save you an average of $1,200 a year, apparently). Just make sure you’re not only going by the rates a lender advertises on their website or on third-party sites.
“Looking at advertised rates alone is not a good way to shop around,” Goodwin says. “Lenders typically display the lowest rates they offer as a headline to attract leads, but the actual rate you may be offered can vary dramatically depending on your own financial situation and the kind of loan you’re looking for.”
Many advertised rates also include mortgage points—meaning you would need to pay an extra upfront fee to snag it.
To get a rate that is truly a reflection of what you would pay as a borrower, you need to apply for preapproval. You’ll have to fill out an application and agree to a credit check for this. Once you’re done, you’ll get a loan estimate that will detail the total loan amount you are likely to qualify for, plus your interest rate and expected closing costs—or the fees required to originate, underwrite and close on your loan. Be sure to look at the APR, too—the annual percentage rate. This reflects the total annual cost of the loan, considering both your rate and any fees.
Be warned, though: The rates you’re quoted aren’t guaranteed until you lock your rate. A rate lock guarantees your interest rate for a set period—usually only 30 to 60 days, depending on the lender. You’ll typically do this once you’ve found a home and have a contract in place.
How to calculate your mortgage costs
Comparing mortgage offers might seem tedious, but financially, it’s usually worthwhile. Even a small change in rate can have a big impact on your monthly payment and long-term interest costs.
You can use a mortgage calculator to break down the exact costs or use your loan estimate. This should detail your monthly payment, your interest rate and your total interest paid in five years.
See the difference that incremental rate changes can make on the cost of a 30-year, $400,000 home loan below:
RATE
MONTHLY PAYMENT
INTEREST OVER 30 YEARS
5%
$2,147
$373,023
5.25%
$2,208
$395,173
5.50%
$2,271
$417,616
5.75%
$2,334
$440,344
6%
$2,398
$463,352
6.25%
$2,462
$486,632
6.50%
$2,528
$510,177
6.75%
$2,594
$533,981
7%
$2,661
$558,035
Keep in mind that most mortgage loans are amortized, meaning the total costs are calculated and then paid in even payments across the loan term. With these loans, you’ll pay more interest upfront and less toward the end of the term. For example, your first payment at 6% would see $2,000 go toward interest, while your final payment would have just $11.93.
“At the beginning of the loan term, the majority of the monthly payment will go toward interest,” says Colleen Bara, a lending executive with Key Bank. “As the loan is paid down, more of the monthly payment is allocated toward the pay-down of the principal balance.”
This means if you sell your home quickly after taking out your loan, you likely won’t have paid down your balance much—and may not make much from the home, profit-wise. If this is a concern, making an extra payment each year you’re in the house can help.
“Make one extra principal payment yearly and you can shave off approximately seven years of interest,” Blanchard says.
More on Mortgages
The advice, recommendations or rankings expressed in this article are those of the Buy Side from WSJ editorial team, and have not been reviewed or endorsed by our commercial partners.
The average rate for a 15-year fixed-rate refinance saw growth this week, while 30-year fixed refinance rates slumped. The average rate on 10-year fixed refinance shrank.
30-year fixed refinance: 7.00%
15-year fixed refinance: 6.36%
10-year fixed refinance: 6.07%
Mortgage rates have been dropping since early November but remain relatively high, so millions of homeowners are staying put until rates ease more. But with the Federal Reserve taking its third consecutive pause from its aggressive rate-hike policy and promising three rate cuts throughout 2024, the opportunity to refinance might come sooner rather than later.
That’s especially true for homeowners who bought homes with rates near or above 8%. “The best bet there is to keep an eye on day-to-day rate changes and have a game plan on how to capitalize on a big enough drop,” said Matt Graham of Mortgage News Daily.
About these rates: Like CNET, Bankrate is owned by Red Ventures. This tool features partner rates from lenders that you can use when comparing multiple mortgage rates.
Today’s refinance rates
In today’s high-rate environment, refinancing is less attractive. Rates are currently between 6% and 7%, but your personal interest rate will depend on your credit history, financial profile and application.
Here are the average refinance rates provided by lenders across the US. We track refinance rate trends using data collected by Bankrate:
Today’s refinance interest rates
Product
Rate
A week ago
Change
30-year fixed refi
7.16%
7.17%
-0.01
15-year fixed refi
6.36%
6.34%
+0.02
10-year fixed refi
6.07%
6.13%
-0.06
Rates as of December 27, 2023.
What does it mean to refinance?
When you refinance your mortgage, you take out another home loan that pays off your initial mortgage. With a traditional refinance, your new home loan will have a different term and/or interest rate. With a cash-out refinance, you’ll tap into your equity with a new loan that’s bigger than your existing mortgage balance, allowing you to pocket the difference in cash.
Refinancing can be a great financial move if you score a low rate or can pay off your home loan in less time, but consider whether it’s the right choice for you. Reducing your interest rate by 1% or more is an incentive to refinance, allowing you to cut your monthly payment significantly. But today’s mortgage market conditions aren’t ideal. If you decide to refinance, compare rates, fees and the annual percentage rate — which reflects the total cost of borrowing — from different lenders to find the best deal.
30-year fixed-rate refinance
For 30-year fixed refinances, the average rate is currently at 7.16%, a decrease of 1 basis point from what we saw one week ago. (A basis point is equivalent to 0.01%.) A 30-year fixed refinance will typically have lower monthly payments than a 15-year or 10-year refinance, but it will take you longer to pay off and typically cost you more in interest over the long term.
15-year fixed-rate refinance
For 15-year fixed refinances, the average rate is currently at 6.36%, an increase of 2 basis points from what we saw the previous week. Though a 15-year fixed refinance will most likely raise your monthly payment compared to a 30-year loan, you’ll save more money over time because you’re paying off your loan quicker. Also, 15-year refinance rates are typically lower than 30-year refinance rates, which will help you save more in the long run.
10-year fixed-rate refinance
For 10-year fixed refinances, the average rate is currently at 6.07%, a decrease of 6 basis points over last week. A 10-year refinance typically has the lowest interest rate but the highest monthly payment of all refinance terms. A 10-year refinance can help you pay off your house much quicker and save on interest, but make sure you can afford the steeper monthly payment.
What is influencing the direction of refinance rates?
When mortgage rates hit historic lows during the pandemic, there was a refinancing boom, as homeowners nabbed lower interest rates on their home loans. But with current rates, refinancing might not actually save you money.
Though refinancing activity has picked up recently, the overall level of refinance applications is still very low compared to early 2021. Mortgage rates are expected to go down throughout 2024.
Reasons to refinance
Homeowners usually refinance to save money, but there are other reasons to do so. Here are the most common reasons homeowners refinance:
To get a lower interest rate: If you can secure a rate that’s at least 1% lower than the one on your current mortgage, it could make sense to refinance.
To switch the type of mortgage: If you have an adjustable-rate mortgage and want greater security, you could refinance to a fixed-rate mortgage.
To eliminate mortgage insurance: If you have an FHA loan that requires mortgage insurance, you can refinance to a conventional loan once you have 20% equity.
To change the length of a loan term: Refinancing to a longer loan term could lower your monthly payment. Refinancing to a shorter term will save you interest in the long run.
To tap into your equity through a cash-out refinance: If you replace your mortgage with a larger loan, you can receive the difference in cash to cover a large expense.
To take someone off the mortgage: In case of divorce, you can apply for a new home loan in just your name and use the funds to pay off your existing mortgage.
How to find the best refinance rate
The rates advertised online often require specific conditions for eligibility. Your personal interest rate will be influenced by market conditions as well as your specific credit history, financial profile and application. Having a high credit score, a low credit utilization ratio and a history of consistent and on-time payments will generally help you get the best interest rates. To get the best refinance rates, make your application as strong as possible by getting your finances in order, using credit responsibly and monitoring your credit regularly. And don’t forget to speak with multiple lenders and shop around.
Refinancing can be a great move if you get a good rate or can pay off your loan sooner, but consider whether it’s the right choice for you at the moment.
Both 15-year fixed and 30-year fixed refinances saw their mean rates slump this week. The average rates for 10-year fixed refinances also slumped.
30-year fixed refinance: 7.01%
15-year fixed refinance: 6.36%
10-year fixed refinance: 6.09%
Mortgage rates have been dropping since early November but remain relatively high, so millions of homeowners are staying put until rates ease more. But with the Federal Reserve taking its third consecutive pause from its aggressive rate-hike policy and promising three rate cuts throughout 2024, the opportunity to refinance might come sooner rather than later.
That’s especially true for homeowners who bought homes with rates near or above 8%. “The best bet there is to keep an eye on day-to-day rate changes and have a game plan on how to capitalize on a big enough drop,” said Matt Graham of Mortgage News Daily.
About these rates: Like CNET, Bankrate is owned by Red Ventures. This tool features partner rates from lenders that you can use when comparing multiple mortgage rates.
Refinance rates for homeowners
In today’s high-rate environment, refinancing is less attractive. Rates are currently between 6% and 7%, but your personal interest rate will depend on your credit history, financial profile and application.
Here are the average refinance rates provided by lenders across the US. We track refinance rate trends using data collected by Bankrate:
Today’s refinance rates
Product
Rate
A week ago
Change
30-year fixed refi
7.17%
7.21%
-0.04
15-year fixed refi
6.36%
6.45%
-0.09
10-year fixed refi
6.09%
6.20%
-0.11
Rates as of December 26, 2023.
What does it mean to refinance?
When you refinance your mortgage, you take out another home loan that pays off your initial mortgage. With a traditional refinance, your new home loan will have a different term and/or interest rate. With a cash-out refinance, you’ll tap into your equity with a new loan that’s bigger than your existing mortgage balance, allowing you to pocket the difference in cash.
Refinancing can be a great financial move if you score a low rate or can pay off your home loan in less time, but consider whether it’s the right choice for you. Reducing your interest rate by 1% or more is an incentive to refinance, allowing you to cut your monthly payment significantly. But today’s mortgage market conditions aren’t ideal. If you decide to refinance, compare rates, fees and the annual percentage rate — which reflects the total cost of borrowing — from different lenders to find the best deal.
30-year fixed-rate refinance
The average 30-year fixed refinance rate right now is 7.17%, a decrease of 4 basis points from what we saw one week ago. (A basis point is equivalent to 0.01%.) A 30-year fixed refinance will typically have lower monthly payments than a 15-year or 10-year refinance, but it will take you longer to pay off and typically cost you more in interest over the long term.
15-year fixed-rate refinance
For 15-year fixed refinances, the average rate is currently at 6.36%, a decrease of 9 basis points over last week. Though a 15-year fixed refinance will most likely raise your monthly payment compared to a 30-year loan, you’ll save more money over time because you’re paying off your loan quicker. Also, 15-year refinance rates are typically lower than 30-year refinance rates, which will help you save more in the long run.
10-year fixed-rate refinance
The current average interest rate for a 10-year refinance is 6.09%, a decrease of 11 basis points from what we saw the previous week. A 10-year refinance typically has the lowest interest rate but the highest monthly payment of all refinance terms. A 10-year refinance can help you pay off your house much quicker and save on interest, but make sure you can afford the steeper monthly payment.
What is influencing the direction of refinance rates?
When mortgage rates hit historic lows during the pandemic, there was a refinancing boom, as homeowners nabbed lower interest rates on their home loans. But with current rates, refinancing might not actually save you money.
Though refinancing activity has picked up recently, the overall level of refinance applications is still very low compared to early 2021. Mortgage rates are expected to go down throughout 2024.
When to consider a mortgage refinance
Homeowners usually refinance to save money, but there are other reasons to do so. Here are the most common reasons homeowners refinance:
To get a lower interest rate: If you can secure a rate that’s at least 1% lower than the one on your current mortgage, it could make sense to refinance.
To switch the type of mortgage: If you have an adjustable-rate mortgage and want greater security, you could refinance to a fixed-rate mortgage.
To eliminate mortgage insurance: If you have an FHA loan that requires mortgage insurance, you can refinance to a conventional loan once you have 20% equity.
To change the length of a loan term: Refinancing to a longer loan term could lower your monthly payment. Refinancing to a shorter term will save you interest in the long run.
To tap into your equity through a cash-out refinance: If you replace your mortgage with a larger loan, you can receive the difference in cash to cover a large expense.
To take someone off the mortgage: In case of divorce, you can apply for a new home loan in just your name and use the funds to pay off your existing mortgage.
How to find personalized refinance rates
The rates advertised online often require specific conditions for eligibility. Your personal interest rate will be influenced by market conditions as well as your specific credit history, financial profile and application. Having a high credit score, a low credit utilization ratio and a history of consistent and on-time payments will generally help you get the best interest rates. To get the best refinance rates, make your application as strong as possible by getting your finances in order, using credit responsibly and monitoring your credit regularly. And don’t forget to speak with multiple lenders and shop around.
Refinancing can be a great move if you get a good rate or can pay off your loan sooner, but consider whether it’s the right choice for you at the moment.
Our goal here at Credible Operations, Inc., NMLS Number 1681276, referred to as “Credible” below, is to give you the tools and confidence you need to improve your finances. Although we do promote products from our partner lenders who compensate us for our services, all opinions are our own.
The interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is 6.375% as of December 26, which is unchanged from Friday. Additionally, the interest rate on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage is 5.875%, which is 0.500 percentage points higher than Friday.
With mortgage rates changing daily, it’s a good idea to check today’s rate before applying for a loan. It’s also important to compare different lenders’ current interest rates, terms, and fees to ensure you get the best deal.
Rates last updated on December 26, 2023. Rates are based in Texas and the assumptions are shown here. Actual rates may vary. Credible, a personal finance marketplace, has 5,000 Trustpilot reviews with an average star rating of 4.7 (out of a possible 5.0).
How do mortgage rates work?
When you take out a mortgage loan to purchase a home, you’re borrowing money from a lender. In order for that lender to make a profit and reduce risk to itself, it will charge interest on the principal — that is, the amount you borrowed.
Expressed as a percentage, a mortgage interest rate is essentially the cost of borrowing money. It can vary based on several factors, such as your credit score, debt-to-income ratio (DTI), down payment, loan amount, and repayment term.
After getting a mortgage, you’ll typically receive an amortization schedule, which shows your payment schedule over the life of the loan. It also indicates how much of each payment goes toward the principal balance versus the interest.
Near the beginning of the loan term, you’ll spend more money on interest and less on the principal balance. As you approach the end of the repayment term, you’ll pay more toward the principal and less toward interest.
Your mortgage interest rate can be either fixed or adjustable. With a fixed-rate mortgage, the rate will be consistent for the duration of the loan. With an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM), the interest rate can fluctuate with the market.
Keep in mind that a mortgage’s interest rate is not the same as its annual percentage rate (APR). This is because an APR includes both the interest rate and any other lender fees or charges.
Mortgage rates change frequently — sometimes on a daily basis. Inflation plays a significant role in these fluctuations. Interest rates tend to rise in periods of high inflation, whereas they tend to drop or remain roughly the same in times of low inflation. Other factors, like the economic climate, demand, and inventory can also impact the current average mortgage rates.
To find great mortgage rates, start by using Credible’s secured website, which can show you current mortgage rates from multiple lenders without affecting your credit score. You can also use Credible’s mortgage calculator to estimate your monthly mortgage payments.
What determines the mortgage rate?
Mortgage lenders typically determine the interest rate on a case-by-case basis. Generally, they reserve the lowest rates for low-risk borrowers — that is, those with a higher credit score, income, and down payment amount. Here are some other personal factors that may determine your mortgage rate:
Location of the home
Price of the home
Your credit score and credit history
Loan term
Loan type (e.g., conventional or FHA)
Interest rate type (fixed or adjustable)
Down payment amount
Loan-to-value (LTV) ratio
DTI
Other indirect factors that may determine the mortgage rate include:
Current economic conditions
Rate of inflation
Market conditions
Housing construction supply, demand, and costs
Consumer spending
Stock market
10-year Treasury yields
Federal Reserve policies
Current employment rate
How to compare mortgage rates
Along with certain economic and personal factors, the lender you choose can also affect your mortgage rate. Some lenders have higher average mortgage rates than others, regardless of your credit or financial situation. That’s why it’s important to compare lenders and loan offers.
Here are some of the best ways to compare mortgage rates and ensure you get the best one:
Shop around for lenders: Compare several lenders to find the best rates and lowest fees. Even if the rate is only lower by a few basis points, it could still save you thousands of dollars over the life of the loan.
Get several loan estimates: A loan estimate comes with a more personalized rate and fees based on factors like income, employment, and the property’s location. Review and compare loan estimates from several lenders.
Get pre-approved for a mortgage: Pre-approval doesn’t guarantee you’ll get a loan, but it can give you a better idea of what you qualify for and at what interest rate. You’ll need to complete an application and undergo a hard credit check.
Consider a mortgage rate lock: A mortgage rate lock lets you lock in the current mortgage rate for a certain amount of time — often between 30 and 90 days. During this time, you can continue shopping around for a home without worrying about the rate changing.
Choose between an adjustable- and fixed-rate mortgage: The interest rate type can affect how much you pay over time, so consider your options carefully.
One other way to compare mortgage rates is with a mortgage calculator. Use a calculator to determine your monthly payment amount and the total cost of the loan. Just remember, certain fees like homeowners insurance or taxes might not be included in the calculations.
Here’s a simple example of what a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage might look like versus a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage:
15-year fixed-rate
Loan amount: $300,000
Interest rate: 6.29%
Monthly payment: $2,579
Total interest charges: $164,186
Total loan amount: $464,186
30-year fixed-rate
Loan amount: $300,000
Interest rate: 6.89%
Monthly payment: $1,974
Total interest charges: $410,566
Total loan amount: $710,565
Pros and cons of mortgages
If you’re thinking about taking out a mortgage, here are some benefits to consider:
Predictable monthly payments: Fixed-rate mortgage loans come with a set interest rate that doesn’t change over the life of the loan. This means more consistent monthly payments.
Potentially low interest rates: With good credit and a high down payment, you could get a competitive interest rate. Adjustable-rate mortgages may also come with a lower initial interest rate than fixed-rate loans.
Tax benefits: Having a mortgage could make you eligible for certain tax benefits, such as a mortgage interest deduction.
Potential asset: Real estate is often considered an asset. As you pay down your loan, you can also build home equity, which you can use for other things like debt consolidation or home improvement projects.
Credit score boost: With on-time payments, you can build your credit score.
And here are some of the biggest downsides of getting a mortgage:
Expensive fees and interest: You could end up paying thousands of dollars in interest and other fees over the life of the loan. You will also be responsible for maintenance, property taxes, and homeowners insurance.
Long-term debt: Taking out a mortgage is a major financial commitment. Typical loan terms are 10, 15, 20, and 30 years.
Potential rate changes: If you get an adjustable rate, the interest rate could increase.
How to qualify for a mortgage
Requirements vary by lender, but here are the typical steps to qualify for a mortgage:
Have steady employment and income: You’ll need to provide proof of income when applying for a home loan. This may include money from your regular job, alimony, military benefits, commissions, or Social Security payments. You may also need to provide proof of at least two years’ worth of employment at your current company.
Review any assets: Lenders consider your assets when deciding whether to lend you money. Common assets include money in your bank account or investment accounts.
Know your DTI: Your DTI is the percentage of your gross monthly income that goes toward your monthly debts — like installment loans, lines of credit, or rent. The lower your DTI, the better your approval odds.
Check your credit score: To get the best mortgage rate possible, you’ll need to have good credit. However, each loan type has a different credit score requirement. For example, you’ll need a credit score of 580 or higher to qualify for an FHA loan with a 3.5% down payment.
Know the property type: During the loan application process, you may need to specify whether the home you want to buy is your primary residence. Lenders often view a primary residence as less risky, so they may have more lenient requirements than if you were to get a secondary or investment property.
Choose the loan type: Many types of mortgage loans exist, including conventional loans, VA loans, USDA loans, FHA loans, and jumbo loans. Consider your options and pick the best one for your needs.
Prepare for upfront and closing costs: Depending on the loan type, you may need to make a down payment. The exact amount depends on the loan type and lender. A USDA loan, for example, has no minimum down payment requirement for eligible buyers. With a conventional loan, you’ll need to put down 20% to avoid private mortgage insurance (PMI). You may also be responsible for paying any closing costs when signing for the loan.
How to apply for a mortgage
Here are the basic steps to apply for a mortgage, and what you can typically expect during the process:
Choose a lender: Compare several lenders to see the types of loans they offer, their average mortgage rates, repayment terms, and fees. Also, check if they offer any down payment assistance programs or closing cost credits.
Get pre-approved: Complete the pre-approval process to boost your chances of getting your dream home. You’ll need identifying documents, as well as documents verifying your employment, income, assets, and debts.
Submit a formal application: Complete your chosen lender’s application process — either in person or online — and upload any required documents.
Wait for the lender to process your loan: It can take some time for the lender to review your application and make a decision. In some cases, they may request additional information about your finances, assets, or liabilities. Provide this information as soon as possible to prevent delays.
Complete the closing process: If approved for a loan, you’ll receive a closing disclosure with information about the loan and any closing costs. Review it, pay the down payment and closing costs, and sign the final loan documents. Some lenders have an online closing process, while others require you to go in person. If you are not approved, you can talk to your lender to get more information and determine how you can remedy any issues.
How to refinance a mortgage
Refinancing your mortgage lets you trade your current loan for a new one. It does not mean taking out a second loan. You will also still be responsible for making payments on the refinanced loan.
You might want to refinance your mortgage if you:
Want a lower interest rate or different rate type
Are looking for a shorter repayment term so you can pay off the loan sooner
Need a smaller monthly payment
Want to remove the PMI from your loan
Need to use the equity for things like home improvement or debt consolidation (cash-out refinancing)
The refinancing process is similar to the process you follow for the original loan. Here are the basic steps:
Choose the type of refinancing you want.
Compare lenders for the best rates.
Complete the application process.
Wait for the lender to review your application.
Provide supporting documentation (if requested).
Complete the home appraisal.
Proceed to closing, review the loan documents, and pay any closing costs.
FAQ
What is a rate lock?
Interest rates on mortgages fluctuate all the time, but a rate lock allows you to lock in your current rate for a set amount of time. This ensures you get the rate you want as you complete the homebuying process.
What are mortgage points?
Mortgage points are a type of prepaid interest that you can pay upfront — often as part of your closing costs — for a lower overall interest rate. This can lower your APR and monthly payments.
What are closing costs?
Closing costs are the fees you, as the buyer, need to pay before getting a loan. Common fees include attorney fees, home appraisal fees, origination fees, and application fees.
If you’re trying to find the right mortgage rate, consider using Credible. You can use Credible’s free online tool to easily compare multiple lenders and see prequalified rates in just a few minutes.
Most people in the US have at least one credit card. These cards are a popular, convenient way to pay for items as you go about your day, tapping and swiping. They can also allow you to buy items that you can’t afford to pay for in one fell swoop, such as airfare to Hawaii or a new laptop.
But they have downsides, too; perhaps most notably, their high interest rates. At the end of 2023, one analysis found that the average interest rate was nudging close to 25%; two years earlier, the rate was hovering around 15%. That’s a considerable increase.
Here, you’ll learn more about how and why credit card payments can balloon as interest rates rise. You’ll also read advice on keeping your credit card in check, which can benefit your financial wellness.
How Interest Is Calculated
If you’re confused by all of the fine print that accompanies a credit card offer or the thought of an annual percentage rate (APR) calculation makes you wince, you probably aren’t the only one. To understand how rising rates can affect your credit card payment, it helps to understand a bit about how credit card interest is calculated.
• First, there are two types of consumer loans: installment loans and revolving credit. A mortgage, student loan, or car loan are all examples of installment loans. With an installment loan, the borrower is loaned an amount of money (called the principal), plus interest to be paid back over a designated amount of time.
• Revolving credit, on the other hand, is not a loan disbursed in one lump sum, but is a certain amount of credit to be used by the borrower continuously, up to a designated limit. A credit card is revolving credit. A borrower’s monthly payment is determined by how much of the available credit they are using at any given time; therefore, minimum payments may change from month to month.
Installment credit is sometimes easier than revolving credit to understand and calculate. First, installment loans often come with fixed rates, which means that the interest rate doesn’t change (unless you miss payments). For example, the rate on a federal student loan or a 30-year fixed mortgage won’t change, even if government-set interest rates shoot to the sun.
Revolving credit almost often has a variable rate, which means that the interest rate applied to the credit balance fluctuates.
The average rate on credit cards is quoted as an annual percentage rate, or an APR. The APR is the approximate interest rate that a borrower will pay in one year. Why approximate? The prime rate could fluctuate based on when the Fed changes the federal fund target rate. 💡 Quick Tip: Need help covering the cost of a wedding, honeymoon, or new baby? A SoFi personal loan can help you fund major life events — without the high interest rates of credit cards.
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How Credit Card Interest Rates Change
Generally, when the Fed raises the federal funds rate, it can slow economic growth because it dissuades banks from lending money — and discourages consumers from borrowing at a subsequently higher interest rate. Raising rates is also used as a technique to combat rising inflation.
While this may be a normal and natural part of an economic cycle, rising rates can be frustrating for anyone who is currently carrying a credit card balance.
Credit card interest rates have risen as a result of 11 rate hikes enacted by the Federal Reserve (the Fed) since March 2022. Although the Fed does not control interest rates on credit cards directly, credit card interest rates are often pegged against the prime rate, which changes with the federal funds rate.
What Does a Rising Prime Rate Mean for Credit Card Holders?
A change in interest rates is likely to impact anyone with a variable rate on their credit card balance. When the Fed raises federal funds interest rates, it can be expected that credit card interest rates may follow.
How much would your credit card interest rate increase? It depends on your credit card. Generally, credit cards move in sync with rate hikes, which usually happen in quarter-percent increments.
However, the Fed has said, as of the end of 2023, that they don’t plan to raise rates further in the immediate future.
How to Combat a High Credit Card Bill
Here are some ideas for battling a high credit card bill and potentially paying less in interest over time:
1. Pay More Than the Minimum Payment
If at all possible, pay off as much of your credit card balance as you can each month. Making payments greater than the minimum amount due can help reduce your balance. The faster you can work on reducing the actual principal balance on your credit card, the less interest you’ll likely pay. If you only pay your credit card’s minimum payment, you may wind up in debt longer and paying more interest in the long run.
2. Switch to a Balance Transfer Card
Balance transfer credit cards typically have 0% APR introductory offers lasting for several months to a couple of years. If you’re serious about getting rid of your debt, you could transfer your debt over to one of these cards and then actively work on paying off the debt while you’re not paying interest.
If you do this, make sure to look for a card that has no transfer fee. Beware: If the root of the problem is actually overspending, this will not be a good long-term solution. Sometimes, 0% APR cards have interest rates that jump up dramatically after the trial period is over. And the 0% APR may no longer apply if you make a new purchase on the card.
3. Negotiate a Lower Rate
You might be surprised to find out that a credit card rate can be negotiable. It may be worth giving your credit card company a call and seeing whether they can reduce your rate.
When talking to the person on the other end of the line, explain your situation, be kind to them, and see what happens. Again, this isn’t a permanent solution or a guaranteed outcome, but it could help give you a leg-up on the payback journey.
4. Sign up for Credit Counseling
You might benefit from professional credit counseling to help with your credit card debt. The National Foundation for Credit Counseling (NFCC) is a nonprofit organization that offers free and affordable advice for people who are struggling to manage debt on their own. If you’re unable to envision a path to paying down debt, it could be a good idea to ask for assistance.
5. Consider a Personal Loan
One tactic to consider in an environment where prime interest rates are rising is paying off credit card balances with a fixed-rate unsecured personal loan.
These are sometimes referred to as “debt consolidation loans” and allow a qualified borrower to pay off high-interest debt, such as credit cards, with this lower-rate personal loan. With a fixed-rate personal loan, the rate never changes (as long as payments are made on time), and it helps provide the borrower with a defined plan to pay off the debt.
If you decide to go this route, it’s a good idea to shop around to ensure that you’re getting a fair rate. You can get a personal or debt consolidation loan from banks, credit unions, and online lenders.
To compare estimated personal loan interest charges to credit card interest charges, you can use a tool like a personal loan calculator.
Shopping for a Personal Loan
Each lender sets its own terms for making these types of loans, so be sure to ask lots of questions about rates, terms, and fees.
Think twice before turning to high-interest credit cards. Consider a SoFi personal loan instead. SoFi offers competitive fixed rates and same-day funding. Checking your rate takes just a minute.
SoFi’s Personal Loan was named NerdWallet’s 2023 winner for Best Online Personal Loan overall.
SoFi Loan Products SoFi loans are originated by SoFi Bank, N.A., NMLS #696891 (Member FDIC). For additional product-specific legal and licensing information, see SoFi.com/legal. Equal Housing Lender.
Disclaimer: Many factors affect your credit scores and the interest rates you may receive. SoFi is not a Credit Repair Organization as defined under federal or state law, including the Credit Repair Organizations Act. SoFi does not provide “credit repair” services or advice or assistance regarding “rebuilding” or “improving” your credit record, credit history, or credit rating. For details, see the FTC’s website .
Non affiliation: SoFi isn’t affiliated with any of the companies highlighted in this article.
Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.
Third-Party Brand Mentions: No brands, products, or companies mentioned are affiliated with SoFi, nor do they endorse or sponsor this article. Third-party trademarks referenced herein are property of their respective owners.
For a third day, average mortgage rates barely moved yesterday. But that’s good because it means last week’s big falls remain effectively uneroded.
First thing, it was again looking as if mortgage rates today might fall, perhaps modestly or moderately. However, that could change as the hours pass.
Current mortgage and refinance rates
Find your lowest rate. Start here
Program
Mortgage Rate
APR*
Change
Conventional 30-year fixed
7.125%
7.14%
-0.075
Conventional 15-year fixed
6.385%
6.415%
-0.1
Conventional 20-year fixed
6.975%
7%
-0.045
Conventional 10-year fixed
6.12%
6.145%
-0.065
30-year fixed FHA
5.98%
6.88%
-0.095
30-year fixed VA
6.165%
6.315%
-0.13
5/1 ARM Conventional
6.425%
7.675%
-0.035
Rates are provided by our partner network, and may not reflect the market. Your rate might be different. Click here for a personalized rate quote. See our rate assumptions See our rate assumptions here.
Should you lock your mortgage rate today?
Every day that passes makes a corrective bounce (when mortgage rates rise as markets think they’ve got carried away) less likely. And it reinforces my hope that those rates are in a downward trend that could last well into next year.
So, my personal rate lock recommendations are:
LOCK if closing in 7 days
FLOAT if closing in 15 days
FLOAT if closing in 30 days
FLOAT if closing in 45 days
FLOATif closing in 60days
However, with so much uncertainty at the moment, your instincts could easily turn out to be as good as mine — or better. So let your gut and your own tolerance for risk help guide you.
>Related: 7 Tips to get the best refinance rate
Market data affecting today’s mortgage rates
Here’s a snapshot of the state of play this morning at about 9:50 a.m. (ET). The data are mostly compared with roughly the same time the business day before, so much of the movement will often have happened in the previous session. The numbers are:
The yield on 10-year Treasury notes edged lower to 3.90% from 3.92%. (Good for mortgage rates.) More than any other market, mortgage rates typically tend to follow these particular Treasury bond yields
Major stock indexes were mostly falling this morning. (Good for mortgage rates.) When investors buy shares, they’re often selling bonds, which pushes those prices down and increases yields and mortgage rates. The opposite may happen when indexes are lower. But this is an imperfect relationship
Oil prices climbed to $75.14 from $73.12 a barrel. (Bad for mortgage rates*.) Energy prices play a prominent role in creating inflation and also point to future economic activity
Goldprices held steady at $2,049 an ounce. (Neutral for mortgage rates*.) It is generally better for rates when gold prices rise and worse when they fall. Gold tends to rise when investors worry about the economy.
CNN Business Fear & Greed index — ticked down to 77 from 78. (Good for mortgage rates.) “Greedy” investors push bond prices down (and interest rates up) as they leave the bond market and move into stocks, while “fearful” investors do the opposite. So lower readings are often better than higher ones
*A movement of less than $20 on gold prices or 40 cents on oil ones is a change of 1% or less. So we only count meaningful differences as good or bad for mortgage rates.
Caveats about markets and rates
Before the pandemic, post-pandemic upheavals, and war in Ukraine, you could look at the above figures and make a pretty good guess about what would happen to mortgage rates that day. But that’s no longer the case. We still make daily calls. And are usually right. But our record for accuracy won’t achieve its former high levels until things settle down.
So, use markets only as a rough guide. Because they have to be exceptionally strong or weak to rely on them. But, with that caveat, mortgage rates today look likely to decrease. However, be aware that “intraday swings” (when rates change speed or direction during the day) are a common feature right now.
Find your lowest rate. Start here
What’s driving mortgage rates today?
The Federal Reserve
This morning’s Wall Street Journal (paywall) observed: “After their policy meeting last week, Fed officials released projections of at least three rate cuts [in general interest rates] next year. They have since been flummoxed that investors expect even faster and deeper cuts. The result: Confusion over when and how quickly the Fed might cut as the central bank tries to bring inflation down without a painful recession.”
This could turn into a real issue that could push mortgage rates higher, probably in the new year. Wall Street has a long and inglorious record of hearing what it wants the Fed to say rather than what the Fed actually says. And we’ve seen quite recently examples of sharp rises in mortgage rates when markets’ wishful thinking collides with reality.
Still, last week’s Fed meeting did deliver genuinely good news. And, even if mortgage rates rise when investors face the cold light of dawning reality, I’m optimistic that we’ll keep at least most of the recent gains. Just be aware that the path to lower mortgage rates is unlikely to be smooth.
Today
This morning’s economic reports cover existing home sales in November and consumer confidence in December. They’re both published too late for me to assess their likely impact on markets and mortgage rates.
They could push mortgage rates a little higher or lower, but they rarely move them far or for long.
Tomorrow
Tomorrow brings gross domestic product (GDP) figures for the third quarter of this year. This will be the third and final estimate for this number.
The second estimate put GDP growth at 5.2%, up from 2.1% in the second quarter. MarketWatch says that market expectations for tomorrow’s figure have recently been slightly scaled down to 5.1%.
If the actual number tomorrow is lower than 5.1%, that could drag mortgage rates lower. But, if it’s higher, that could push those rates upward.
Friday
We’re due November’s personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index on Friday. Markets might get nervous if that shows inflation rising more than expected because that could destroy the Fed’s new-found optimism.
More on what to expect from the PCE report tomorrow.
Don’t forget you can always learn more about what’s driving mortgage rates in the most recent weekend edition of this daily report. These provide a more detailed analysis of what’s happening. They are published each Saturday morning soon after 10 a.m. (ET) and include a preview of the following week.
Recent trends
According to Freddie Mac’s archives, the weekly all-time low for mortgage rates was set on Jan. 7, 2021, when it stood at 2.65% for conventional, 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages.
Freddie’s Dec. 14 report put that same weekly average at 6.95%, down from the previous week’s 7.03%. Freddie’s data are almost always out of date by the time it announces its weekly figures.
Expert forecasts for mortgage rates
Looking further ahead, Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) each has a team of economists dedicated to monitoring and forecasting what will happen to the economy, the housing sector and mortgage rates.
And here are their rate forecasts for the current quarter (Q4/23) and the following three quarters (Q1/24, Q2/24 and Q3/24).
The numbers in the table below are for 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages. Fannie’s were updated on Dec. 19 and the MBA’s on Dec. 13.
Forecaster
Q4/23
Q1/24
Q2/24
Q3/24
Fannie Mae
7.4%
7.0%
6.8%
6.6%
MBA
7.4%
7.0%
6.6%
6.3%
Of course, given so many unknowables, both these forecasts might be even more speculative than usual. And their past record for accuracy hasn’t been wildly impressive.
Important notes on today’s mortgage rates
Here are some things you need to know:
Typically, mortgage rates go up when the economy’s doing well and down when it’s in trouble. But there are exceptions. Read ‘How mortgage rates are determined and why you should care’
Only “top-tier” borrowers (with stellar credit scores, big down payments, and very healthy finances) get the ultralow mortgage rates you’ll see advertised
Lenders vary. Yours may or may not follow the crowd when it comes to daily rate movements — though they all usually follow the broader trend over time
When daily rate changes are small, some lenders will adjust closing costs and leave their rate cards the same
Refinance rates are typically close to those for purchases.
A lot is going on at the moment. And nobody can claim to know with certainty what will happen to mortgage rates in the coming hours, days, weeks or months.
Find your lowest mortgage rate today
You should comparison shop widely, no matter what sort of mortgage you want. Federal regulator the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau found in May 2023:
“Mortgage borrowers are paying around $100 a month more depending on which lender they choose, for the same type of loan and the same consumer characteristics (such as credit score and down payment).”
In other words, over the lifetime of a 30-year loan, homebuyers who don’t bother to get quotes from multiple lenders risk losing an average of $36,000. What could you do with that sort of money?
Verify your new rate
Mortgage rate methodology
The Mortgage Reports receives rates based on selected criteria from multiple lending partners each day. We arrive at an average rate and APR for each loan type to display in our chart. Because we average an array of rates, it gives you a better idea of what you might find in the marketplace. Furthermore, we average rates for the same loan types. For example, FHA fixed with FHA fixed. The end result is a good snapshot of daily rates and how they change over time.
How your mortgage interest rate is determined
Mortgage and refinance rates vary a lot depending on each borrower’s unique situation.
Factors that determine your mortgage interest rate include:
Overall strength of the economy — A strong economy usually means higher rates, while a weaker one can push current mortgage rates down to promote borrowing
Lender capacity — When a lender is very busy, it will increase rates to deter new business and give its loan officers some breathing room
Property type (condo, single-family, town house, etc.) — A primary residence, meaning a home you plan to live in full time, will have a lower interest rate. Investment properties, second homes, and vacation homes have higher mortgage rates
Loan-to-value ratio (determined by your down payment) — Your loan-to-value ratio (LTV) compares your loan amount to the value of the home. A lower LTV, meaning a bigger down payment, gets you a lower mortgage rate
Debt-To-Income ratio — This number compares your total monthly debts to your pretax income. The more debt you currently have, the less room you’ll have in your budget for a mortgage payment
Loan term — Loans with a shorter term (like a 15-year mortgage) typically have lower rates than a 30-year loan term
Borrower’s credit score — Typically the higher your credit score is, the lower your mortgage rate, and vice versa
Mortgage discount points — Borrowers have the option to buy discount points or ‘mortgage points’ at closing. These let you pay money upfront to lower your interest rate
Remember, every mortgage lender weighs these factors a little differently.
To find the best rate for your situation, you’ll want to get personalized estimates from a few different lenders.
Verify your new rate. Start here
Are refinance rates the same as mortgage rates?
Rates for a home purchase and mortgage refinance are often similar.
However, some lenders will charge more for a refinance under certain circumstances.
Typically when rates fall, homeowners rush to refinance. They see an opportunity to lock in a lower rate and payment for the rest of their loan.
This creates a tidal wave of new work for mortgage lenders.
Unfortunately, some lenders don’t have the capacity or crew to process a large number of refinance loan applications.
In this case, a lender might raise its rates to deter new business and give loan officers time to process loans currently in the pipeline.
Also, cashing out equity can result in a higher rate when refinancing.
Cash-out refinances pose a greater risk for mortgage lenders, so they’re often priced higher than new home purchases and rate-term refinances.
Check your refinance rates today. Start here
How to get the lowest mortgage or refinance rate
Since rates can vary, always shop around when buying a house or refinancing a mortgage.
Comparison shopping can potentially save thousands, even tens of thousands of dollars over the life of your loan.
Here are a few tips to keep in mind:
1. Get multiple quotes
Many borrowers make the mistake of accepting the first mortgage or refinance offer they receive.
Some simply go with the bank they use for checking and savings since that can seem easiest.
However, your bank might not offer the best mortgage deal for you. And if you’re refinancing, your financial situation may have changed enough that your current lender is no longer your best bet.
So get multiple quotes from at least three different lenders to find the right one for you.
2. Compare Loan Estimates
When shopping for a mortgage or refinance, lenders will provide a Loan Estimate that breaks down important costs associated with the loan.
You’ll want to read these Loan Estimates carefully and compare costs and fees line-by-line, including:
Interest rate
Annual percentage rate (APR)
Monthly mortgage payment
Loan origination fees
Rate lock fees
Closing costs
Remember, the lowest interest rate isn’t always the best deal.
Annual percentage rate (APR) can help you compare the ‘real’ cost of two loans. It estimates your total yearly cost including interest and fees.
Also, pay close attention to your closing costs.
Some lenders may bring their rates down by charging more upfront via discount points. These can add thousands to your out-of-pocket costs.
3. Negotiate your mortgage rate
You can also negotiate your mortgage rate to get a better deal.
Let’s say you get loan estimates from two lenders. Lender A offers the better rate, but you prefer your loan terms from Lender B. Talk to Lender B and see if they can beat the former’s pricing.
You might be surprised to find that a lender is willing to give you a lower interest rate in order to keep your business.
And if they’re not, keep shopping — there’s a good chance someone will.
Fixed-rate mortgage vs. adjustable-rate mortgage: Which is right for you?
Mortgage borrowers can choose between a fixed-rate mortgage and an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM).
Fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) have interest rates that never change unless you decide to refinance. This results in predictable monthly payments and stability over the life of your loan.
Adjustable-rate loans have a low interest rate that’s fixed for a set number of years (typically five or seven). After the initial fixed-rate period, the interest rate adjusts every year based on market conditions.
With each rate adjustment, a borrower’s mortgage rate can either increase, decrease, or stay the same. These loans are unpredictable since monthly payments can change each year.
Adjustable-rate mortgages are fitting for borrowers who expect to move before their first rate adjustment, or who can afford a higher future payment.
In most other cases, a fixed-rate mortgage is typically the safer and better choice.
Remember, if rates drop sharply, you are free to refinance and lock in a lower rate and payment later on.
How your credit score affects your mortgage rate
You don’t need a high credit score to qualify for a home purchase or refinance, but your credit score will affect your rate.
This is because credit history determines risk level.
Historically speaking, borrowers with higher credit scores are less likely to default on their mortgages, so they qualify for lower rates.
For the best rate, aim for a credit score of 720 or higher.
Mortgage programs that don’t require a high score include:
Conventional home loans — minimum 620 credit score
FHA loans — minimum 500 credit score (with a 10% down payment) or 580 (with a 3.5% down payment)
VA loans — no minimum credit score, but 620 is common
USDA loans — minimum 640 credit score
Ideally, you want to check your credit report and score at least 6 months before applying for a mortgage. This gives you time to sort out any errors and make sure your score is as high as possible.
If you’re ready to apply now, it’s still worth checking so you have a good idea of what loan programs you might qualify for and how your score will affect your rate.
You can get your credit report from AnnualCreditReport.com and your score from MyFico.com.
How big of a down payment do I need?
Nowadays, mortgage programs don’t require the conventional 20 percent down.
In fact, first-time home buyers put only 6 percent down on average.
Down payment minimums vary depending on the loan program. For example:
Conventional home loans require a down payment between 3% and 5%
FHA loans require 3.5% down
VA and USDA loans allow zero down payment
Jumbo loans typically require at least 5% to 10% down
Keep in mind, a higher down payment reduces your risk as a borrower and helps you negotiate a better mortgage rate.
If you are able to make a 20 percent down payment, you can avoid paying for mortgage insurance.
This is an added cost paid by the borrower, which protects their lender in case of default or foreclosure.
But a big down payment is not required.
For many people, it makes sense to make a smaller down payment in order to buy a house sooner and start building home equity.
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Choosing the right type of home loan
No two mortgage loans are alike, so it’s important to know your options and choose the right type of mortgage.
The five main types of mortgages include:
Fixed-rate mortgage (FRM)
Your interest rate remains the same over the life of the loan. This is a good option for borrowers who expect to live in their homes long-term.
The most popular loan option is the 30-year mortgage, but 15- and 20-year terms are also commonly available.
Adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM)
Adjustable-rate loans have a fixed interest rate for the first few years. Then, your mortgage rate resets every year.
Your rate and payment can rise or fall annually depending on how the broader interest rate trends.
ARMs are ideal for borrowers who expect to move prior to their first rate adjustment (usually in 5 or 7 years).
For those who plan to stay in their home long-term, a fixed-rate mortgage is typically recommended.
Jumbo mortgage
A jumbo loan is a mortgage that exceeds the conforming loan limit set by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
In 2023, the conforming loan limit is $726,200 in most areas.
Jumbo loans are perfect for borrowers who need a larger loan to purchase a high-priced property, especially in big cities with high real estate values.
FHA mortgage
A government loan backed by the Federal Housing Administration for low- to moderate-income borrowers. FHA loans feature low credit score and down payment requirements.
VA mortgage
A government loan backed by the Department of Veterans Affairs. To be eligible, you must be active-duty military, a veteran, a Reservist or National Guard service member, or an eligible spouse.
VA loans allow no down payment and have exceptionally low mortgage rates.
USDA mortgage
USDA loans are a government program backed by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. They offer a no-down-payment solution for borrowers who purchase real estate in an eligible rural area. To qualify, your income must be at or below the local median.
Bank statement loan
Borrowers can qualify for a mortgage without tax returns, using their personal or business bank account. This is an option for self-employed or seasonally-employed borrowers.
Portfolio/Non-QM loan
These are mortgages that lenders don’t sell on the secondary mortgage market. This gives lenders the flexibility to set their own guidelines.
Non-QM loans may have lower credit score requirements, or offer low-down-payment options without mortgage insurance.
Choosing the right mortgage lender
The lender or loan program that’s right for one person might not be right for another.
Explore your options and then pick a loan based on your credit score, down payment, and financial goals, as well as local home prices.
Whether you’re getting a mortgage for a home purchase or a refinance, always shop around and compare rates and terms.
Typically, it only takes a few hours to get quotes from multiple lenders — and it could save you thousands in the long run.
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Current mortgage rates methodology
We receive current mortgage rates each day from a network of mortgage lenders that offer home purchase and refinance loans. Mortgage rates shown here are based on sample borrower profiles that vary by loan type. See our full loan assumptions here.