Mortgage rates continued their upward trend this week, nearing 7% and piling on the unaffordability crisis that threatens to dampen the typical spring buying frenzy.
Freddie Mac’s latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey released Thursday showed that the average rate on the benchmark 30-year fixed mortgage climbed to 6.9% this week, up from 6.77% last week. The average rate on a 30-year loan was 6.50% a year ago.
The rate on the 15-year fixed mortgage also increased, averaging 6.29% after coming in last week at 6.12%. One year ago, the rate on the 15-year fixed note averaged 5.76%.
REAL ESTATE EXPERT’S ADVICE TO HOMEBUYERS: ‘DON’T BUY’ YOUR AMERICAN DREAM HOME NOW
“Historically, the combination of a vibrant economy and modestly higher rates did not meaningfully impact the housing market,” Freddie Mac chief economist Sam Khater said in a statement. “The current cycle is different than historical norms, as housing affordability is so low that good economic news equates to bad news for homebuyers, who are sensitive to even minor shifts in affordability.”
Buying activity tends to pick up in the spring following slower winter months, but elevated rates and sky-high home prices have stalled the housing market as more would-be buyers and sellers are priced out or opting not to move.
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HAVE KIDS? GOOD LUCK BUYING A HOUSE THIS YEAR
“Recent surges in new listing activities suggested that we might have a busy spring ahead,” said Realtor.com economist Jaiyi Xu. “However, the recent increase in mortgage rates has the potential to slow the market by disrupting the plans of many buyers, especially in a market where a significant number of consumers are anticipating lower mortgage rates, not higher.”
Robert Frick, a corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, says rates are climbing because the futures markets have temporarily lost faith in the Federal Reserve cutting the federal funds rate soon, and in a “higher for longer” scenario that means higher mortgage rates, too.
“But market expectations can turn on a dime, and are always just one Fed meeting or data drop away from shifting,” Frick told FOX Business. “We saw that mortgage rates around 7% in January actually boosted existing home sales, and if rates fall below 6% this year, as many forecast, home sales volume should accelerate.”
Original article source: Mortgage rates rise again, threatening to slow spring housing market
Mortgage originators who seek success in 2024 need to move with confidence and adaptability. To reach strategic goals for the year ahead — and avoid being left behind — here are four strategies for originators to consider.
1. Identify potential market impact
The mortgage market is feast or famine, with origination volumes varying between high and low extremes. Mortgage originators chasing ambitious goals for the year must be vigilant in monitoring the factors that impact markets.
Originators learned this harsh lesson when the COVID-19 era brought historically low interest rates and record-high loan volumes, quickly followed by almost two years of spiking interest rates as inflation rose and volumes rapidly declined. Given the cyclical nature of the mortgage market, the industry seems to be moving beyond these challenges with a more normalized market in 2024.
If the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates as expected, the industry anticipates an uptick in transactions as buyers and sellers become more active. By incorporating this outlook into their strategic planning, mortgage originators may better anticipate changes, adapt their client service, and meet their goals.
2. Refuse to play the waiting game
Some originators chose the path of inaction in 2023, waiting for mortgage rates to drop, while others found success by adapting and exploring opportunities to take in new or different clients.
Regardless of the market’s unpredictable nature and the direction of mortgage rates in 2024, taking a passive approach will result in significant setbacks in origination volume. The upcoming year promises great potential for lower rates, whether through enhancing marketing strategies or offering differentiated product solutions and remaining on the sidelines is not a productive option.
3. Evolve offerings with market demand
Innovation in the mortgage market still exists. Many originators hope to take advantage of a potential refinancing wave that may come with rate cuts. But they can also open new channels for success by looking outside of traditional products. This year, originators should take a look at the needs of today’s prospective homebuyers and what’s trending in the market. Analyzing the details of market demand will help originators identify how they can better serve clients with unique financial backgrounds through niche products like non-QM loans.
4. Work with a trusted partner
A trusted partner can be an asset for mortgage originators navigating markets’ volatility. Deep-seated experience and robust industry relationships are often critical when business is tight, and getting something wrong could risk losing not just a client but a future referral. The right partner can strategically guide originators, whether through offering diversified loan opportunities or engaging in nuanced conversations with real estate agents and potential clients.
In pursuing their goals for 2024, mortgage originators must not be complacent. Only by analyzing and adapting to the changing mortgage landscape, and by proactively seeking partnerships and solutions, can originators successfully grow their business.
Tom Hutchens is the executive vice president of production for Angel Oak Mortgage Solutions.
The VA home loan: Unbeatable benefits for veterans
For many who qualify, VA home loans are some of the best mortgages available.
Verify your VA loan eligibility. Start here
Backed by the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs, VA loans are designed to help active-duty military personnel, veterans and certain other groups become homeowners at an affordable cost.
The VA loan asks for no down payment, requires no mortgage insurance, and has lenient rules about qualifying, among many other advantages.
Here’s everything you need to know about qualifying for and using a VA loan.
In this article (Skip to…)
Top 10 VA loan benefits
1. No down payment on a VA loan
Most home loan programs require you to make at least a small down payment to buy a home. The VA home loan is an exception.
Verify your VA loan eligibility. Start here
Rather than paying 5%, 10%, 20% or more of the home’s purchase price upfront in cash, with a VA loan you can finance up to 100% of the purchase price.
The VA loan is a true no-money-down home mortgage opportunity.
2. No mortgage insurance for VA loans
Typically, lenders require you to pay for mortgage insurance if you make a down payment that’s less than 20%.
This insurance — which is known as private mortgage insurance (PMI) for a conventional loan and a mortgage insurance premium (MIP) for an FHA loan — would protect the lender if you defaulted on your loan.
VA loans require neither a down payment nor mortgage insurance. That makes a VA-backed mortgage very affordable upfront and over time.
3. VA loans have a government guarantee
There’s a reason why the VA loan comes with such favorable terms.
The federal government guarantees these loans — meaning a portion of the loan amount will be repaid to the lender even if you’re unable to make monthly payments for whatever reason.
This guarantee encourages and enables private lenders to offer VA loans with exceptionally attractive terms.
4. You can shop for the best VA loan rates
VA loans are neither originated nor funded by the VA. They are not direct loans from the government. Furthermore, mortgage rates for VA loans are not set by the VA itself.
Instead, VA loans are offered by U.S. banks, savings-and-loans institutions, credit unions, and mortgage lenders — each of which sets its own VA loan rates and fees.
This means you can shop around and compare loan offers and still choose the VA loan that works best for your budget.
5. VA loans don’t allow a prepayment penalty
A VA loan won’t restrict your right to sell the property partway through your loan term.
There’s no prepayment penalty or early-exit fee no matter within what time frame you decide to sell your home.
Furthermore, there are no restrictions regarding a refinance of your VA loan.
You can refinance your existing VA loan into another VA loan via the agency’s Interest Rate Reduction Refinance Loan (IRRRL) program, or switch into a non-VA loan at any time.
6. VA mortgages come in many varieties
A VA loan can have a fixed rate or an adjustable rate. In addition, you can use a VA loan to buy a house, condo, new-built home, manufactured home, duplex, or other types of properties.
Or, it can be used for refinancing your existing mortgage, making repairs or improvements to your home, or making your home more energy-efficient.
The choice is yours. A VA-approved lender can help you decide.
Verify your VA loan eligibility. Start here
7. It’s easier to qualify for VA loans
Like all mortgage types, VA loans require specific documentation, an acceptable credit history, and sufficient income to make your monthly payments.
But, compared to other loan programs, VA loan guidelines tend to be more flexible. This is made possible because of the VA loan guarantee.
The Department of Veterans Affairs genuinely wants to make the loan process easier for military members, veterans, and qualifying military spouses to buy or refinance a home.
8. VA loan closing costs are lower
The VA limits the closing costs lenders can charge to VA loan applicants. This is another way that a VA loan can be more affordable than other types of loans.
Money saved on closing costs can be used for furniture, moving costs, home improvements, or anything else.
9. The VA offers funding fee flexibility
VA loans require a “funding fee,” an upfront cost based on your loan amount, your type of eligible service, your down payment size, and other factors.
Funding fees don’t need to be paid in cash, though. The VA allows the fee to be financed with the loan, so nothing is due at closing.
And, not all VA borrowers will pay it. VA funding fees are normally waived for veterans who receive VA disability compensation and for unmarried surviving spouses of veterans who died in service or as a result of a service-connected disability.
10. VA loans are assumable
Most VA loans are “assumable,” which means you can transfer your VA loan to a future home buyer if that person is also VA-eligible.
Assumable loans can be a huge benefit when you sell your home — especially in a rising mortgage rate environment.
If your home loan has today’s low rate and market rates rise in the future, the assumption features of your VA become even more valuable.
VA loan rates
The VA loan is viewed as one of the lowest-risk mortgage types available on the market.
Verify your VA loan eligibility. Start here
This safety allows banks to lend to veteran borrowers at lower interest rates.
Today’s VA loan rates*
Loan Type
Current Mortgage Rate
VA 30-year FRM
% (% APR)
Conventional 30-year FRM
% (% APR)
VA 15-year FRM
% (% APR)
Conventional 15-year FRM
% (% APR)
*Current rates provided daily by partners of the Mortgage Reports. See our loan assumptions here.
VA rates are more than 25 basis points (0.25%) lower than conventional rates on average, according to data collected by mortgage software company Ellie Mae.
Most loan programs require higher down payment and credit scores than the VA home loan. In the open market, a VA loan should carry a higher rate due to more lenient lending guidelines and higher perceived risk.
Yet the result of the Veterans Affairs efforts to keep veterans in their homes means lower risk for banks and lower borrowing costs for eligible veterans.
VA mortgage calculator
Eligibility
Am I eligible for a VA home loan?
Contrary to popular belief, VA loans are available not only to veterans, but also to other classes of military members.
Find and lock a low VA loan rate today. Start here
The list of eligible VA borrowers includes:
Active-duty service members
Members of the National Guard
Reservists
Surviving spouses of veterans
Cadets at the U.S. Military, Air Force or Coast Guard Academy
Midshipmen at the U.S. Naval Academy
Officers at the National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration.
A minimum term of service is typically required.
Minimum service required for a VA mortgage
VA home loans are available to active-duty service members, veterans (unless dishonorably discharged), and in some cases, surviving family members.
To be eligible, you need to meet one of these service requirements:
You’ve served 181 days of active duty during peacetime
You’ve served 90 days of active duty during wartime
You’ve served six years in the Reserves or National Guard
Your spouse was killed in the line of duty and you have not remarried
Your eligibility for the VA home loan program never expires.
Veterans who earned their VA entitlement long ago are still using their benefit to buy homes.
The VA loan Certificate of Eligibility (COE)
What is a COE?
In order to show a mortgage company you are VA-eligible, you’ll need a Certificate of Eligibility (COE). Your lender can acquire one for you online, usually in a matter of seconds.
Verify your VA home loan eligibility. Start here
How to get your COE (Certificate of Eligibility)
Getting a Certificate of Eligibility (COE) is very easy in most cases. Simply have your lender order the COE through the VA’s automated system. Any VA-approved lender can do this.
Alternatively, you can order your certificate yourself through the VA benefits portal.
If the online system is unable to issue your COE, you’ll need to provide your DD-214 form to your lender or the VA.
Does a COE mean you are guaranteed a VA loan?
No, having a Certificate of Eligibility (COE) doesn’t guarantee a VA loan approval.
Your COE shows the lender you’re eligible for a VA loan, but no one is guaranteed VA loan approval.
You must still qualify for the loan based on VA mortgage guidelines. The guarantee part of the VA loan refers to the VA’s promise to the lender of repayment if the borrower defaults.
Qualifying for a VA mortgage
VA loan eligibility vs. qualification
Being eligible for VA home loan benefits based on your military status or affiliation doesn’t necessarily mean you’ll qualify for a VA loan.
You still have to qualify for a VA mortgage based on your credit, debt, and income.
Verify your VA loan eligibility. Start here
Minimum credit score for a VA loan
The VA has established no minimum credit score for a VA mortgage.
However, many VA mortgage lenders require minimum FICO scores of 620 or higher — so apply with many lenders if your credit score might be an issue.
Even VA lenders that allow lower credit scores don’t accept subprime credit.
VA underwriting guidelines state that applicants must have paid their obligations on time for at least the most recent 12 months to be considered satisfactory credit risks.
In addition, the VA usually requires a two-year waiting period following a Chapter 7 bankruptcy or foreclosure before it will insure a loan.
Borrowers in Chapter 13 must have made at least 12 on-time payments and secure the approval of the bankruptcy court.
Verify your VA loan home buying eligibility. Start here
VA loan debt-to-income ratios
The relationship of your debts and your income is called your debt-to-income ratio, or DTI.
VA underwriters divide your monthly debts (car payments, credit cards, and other accounts, plus your proposed housing expense) by your gross (before-tax) income to come up with your debt-to-income ratio.
For instance:
If your gross income is $4,000 per month
And your total monthly debt is $1,500 (including the new mortgage, property taxes and homeowners insurance, plus other debt payments)
Then your DTI is 37.5% (1500/4000=0.375)
A DTI over 41% means the lender has to apply additional formulas to see if you qualify under residual income guidelines.
VA residual income rules
VA underwriters perform additional calculations that can affect your mortgage approval.
Factoring in your estimated monthly utilities, your estimated taxes on income, and the area of the country in which you live, the VA arrives at a figure which represents your “true” costs of living.
It then subtracts that figure from your income to find your residual income (e.g. your money “left over” each month).
Think of the residual income calculation as a real-world simulation of your living expenses.
It is the VA’s best effort to ensure that military families have a stress-free homeownership experience.
Here is an example of how residual income works, assuming a family of four which is purchasing a 2,000 square-foot home on a $5,000 monthly income.
Future house payment, plus other debt payments: $2,500
Monthly estimated income taxes: $1,000
Monthly estimated utilities at $0.14 per square foot: $280
This leaves a residual income calculation of $1,220.
Now, compare that residual income to for a family of four:
Northeast Region: $1,025
Midwest Region: $1,003
South Region: $1,003
West Region: $1,117
The borrower in our example exceeds VA’s residual income standards in all parts of the country.
Therefore, despite the borrower’s debt-to-income ratio of 50%, the borrower could get approved for a VA loan.
Verify your VA loan eligibility. Start here
Qualifying for a VA loan with part-time income
You can qualify for this type of financing even if you have a part-time job or multiple jobs.
You must show a 2-year history of making consistent part-time income, and stability in the number of hours worked. The lender will make sure any income received appears stable. See our complete guide to getting a mortgage when you’re self-employed or work part-time.
VA funding fees and loan limits
About the VA funding fee
The VA charges an upfront fee to defray the costs of the program and make it sustainable for the future.
Veterans pay a lump sum that varies depending on the loan purpose and down payment amount.
The fee is normally wrapped into the loan. It does not add to the cash needed to close the loan.
Find out if you qualify for a VA loan. Start here
VA home purchase funding fees
Type of Military Service
Down Payment
Fee for First-Time Use
Fee for Subsequent Use
Active Duty, Reserves, and National Guard
None
2.3%
3.6%
5% or more
1.65%
1.65%
10% or more
1.4%
1.4%
VA cash-out refinance funding fees
Type of Military Service
Fee for First-Time Use
Fee for Subsequent Uses
Active Duty, Reserves, and National Guard
2.3%
3.6%
VA streamline refinances (IRRRL) & assumptions
Type of Military Service
Fee for First-Time Use
Fee for Subsequent Uses
Active Duty, Reserves, and National Guard
0.5%
0.5%
Manufactured home loans not permanently affixed
Type of Military Service
Fee for First-Time Use
Fee for Subsequent Uses
Active Duty, Reserves, and National Guard
1.0%
1.0%
VA loan limits in 2024
VA loan limits have been repealed, thanks to the Blue Water Navy Vietnam Veterans Act of 2019.
There is no maximum amount for which a home buyer can receive a VA loan, at least as far as the VA is concerned.
However, private lenders may set their own limits. So check with your lender if you are looking for a VA loan above local conforming loan limits.
Verify your VA loan eligibility. Start here
Eligible property types
Houses you can buy with a VA loan
VA mortgages are flexible about what types of property you can and can’t purchase. A VA loan can be used to buy a:
Detached house
Condo
New-built home
Manufactured home
Duplex, triplex or four-unit property
Find out if you qualify for a VA loan. Start here
You can also use a VA mortgage to refinance an existing loan for any of those types of properties.
VA loans and second homes
Federal regulations limit loans guaranteed by the Department of Veterans Affairs to “primary residences” only.
However, “primary residence” is defined as the home in which you live “most of the year.”
Therefore, if you own an out-of-state residence in which you live for more than six months of the year, this other home, whether it’s your vacation home or retirement property, becomes your official “primary residence.”
For this reason, VA loans are popular among aging military borrowers.
Buying a multi-unit home with a VA loan
VA loans allow you to buy a duplex, triplex, or four-plex with 100% financing. You must live in one of the units.
Buying a home with more than one unit can be challenging.
Mortgage lenders consider these properties riskier to finance than traditional, single-family residences, so you’ll need to be a stronger borrower.
VA underwriters must make sure you will have enough emergency savings, or cash reserves, after closing on your house. That’s to ensure you’ll have money to pay your mortgage even if a tenant fails to pay rent or moves out.
The minimum cash reserves needed after closing is six months of mortgage payments (covering principal, interest, taxes, and insurance – PITI).
Your lender will also want to know about previous landlord experience you’ve had, or any experience with property maintenance or renting.
If you don’t have any, you may be able to sidestep that issue by hiring a property management company. But that’s up to the individual lender.
Your lender will look at the income (or potential income) of the rental units, using either existing rental agreements or an appraiser’s opinion of what the units should fetch.
They’ll usually take 75% of that amount to offset your mortgage payment when calculating your monthly expenses.
VA loans and rental properties
You cannot use a VA loan to buy a rental property. You can, however, use a VA loan to refinance an existing rental home you once occupied as a primary home.
For home purchases, in order to obtain a VA loan, you must certify that you intend to occupy the home as your principal residence.
If the property is a duplex, triplex, or four-unit apartment building, you must occupy one of the units yourself. Then you can rent out the other units.
The exception to this rule is the VA’s Interest Rate Reduction Refinance Loan (IRRRL).
This loan, also known as the VA Streamline Refinance, can be used for refinancing an existing VA loan on a home where you currently live or where you used to live, but no longer do.
Check your VA IRRRL eligibility. Start here
Buying a condo with a VA loan
The VA maintains a list of approved condo projects within which you may purchase a unit with a VA loan.
At VA’s website, you can search for the thousands of approved condominium complexes across the U.S.
If you are VA-eligible and in the market for a condo, make sure the unit you’re interested in is approved.
As a buyer, you are probably not able to get the complex VA-approved. That’s up to the management company or homeowner’s association.
If a condo you like is not approved, you must use other financing like an FHA or conventional loan or find another property.
Note that the condo must meet FHA or conventional guidelines if you want to use those types of financing.
Veteran mortgage relief with the VA loan
The U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs, or VA, provides home retention assistance. The VA intervenes when a veteran is having trouble making home loan payments.
The VA works with loan servicers to offer loan options to the veteran, other than foreclosure.
Find out if you qualify for a VA loan. Start here
In fiscal year 2019, the VA made over 400,000 contact actions to reach borrowers and loan servicers. The intent was to work out a mutually agreeable repayment option for both parties.
More than 100,000 veteran homeowners avoided foreclosure in 2019 alone thanks to this effort.
The initiative has saved the taxpayer an estimated $2.6 billion. More importantly, vast numbers of veterans and military families got another chance at homeownership.
When NOT to use a VA loan
If you have good credit and 20% down
A primary advantage to VA home loans is the lack of mortgage insurance.
However, the VA guarantee does not come free of charge. Borrowers pay an upfront funding fee, which they usually choose to add to their loan amount.
The fee ranges from 1.4% to 3.6%, depending on the down payment percentage and whether the home buyer has previously used his or her VA mortgage eligibility. The most common fee is 2.3%.
Find out if you qualify for a VA loan. Start here
On a $200,000 purchase, a 2.3% fee equals $4,600.
However, buyers who choose a conventional mortgage and put 20% down get to avoid mortgage insurance and the upfront fee. For these military home buyers, the VA funding fee might be an unnecessary expense.
The exception: Mortgage applicants whose credit rating or income meets VA guidelines but not those of conventional mortgages may still opt for VA.
If you’re on the “CAIVRS” list
To qualify for a VA loan, you must prove you have made good on previous government-backed debts and that you have paid taxes.
The Credit Alert Verification Reporting System, or “CAIVRS,” is a database of consumers who have defaulted on government obligations. These individuals are not eligible for the VA home loan program.
If you have a non-veteran co-borrower
Veterans often apply to buy a home with a non-veteran who is not their spouse.
This is okay. However, it might not be their best choice.
As the veteran, your income must cover your half of the loan payment. The non-veteran’s income cannot be used to compensate for the veteran’s insufficient income.
Plus, when a non-veteran owns half the loan, the VA guarantees only half that amount. The lender will require a 12.5% down payment for the non-guaranteed portion.
The Conventional 97 mortgage, on the other hand, allows down payments as low as 3%.
Another low-down-payment mortgage option is the FHA home loan, for which 3.5% down is acceptable.
The USDA home loan also requires zero down payment and offers similar rates to VA loans. However, the property must be within USDA-eligible areas.
If you plan to borrow with a non-veteran, one of these loan types might be your better choice.
Explore your mortgage options. Start here
If you apply with a credit-challenged spouse
In states with community property laws, VA lenders must consider the credit rating and financial obligations of your spouse. This rule applies even if he or she will not be on the home’s title or even on the mortgage.
Such states are as follows.
Arizona
California
Idaho
Louisiana
Nevada
New Mexico
Texas
Washington
Wisconsin
A spouse with less-than-perfect credit or who owes alimony, child support, or other maintenance can make your VA approval more challenging.
Apply for a conventional loan if you qualify for the mortgage by yourself. The spouse’s financial history and status need not be considered if he or she is not on the loan application.
Verify your VA loan home buying eligibility. Start here
If you want to buy a vacation home or investment property
The purpose of VA financing is to help veterans and active-duty service members buy and live in their own home. This loan is not meant to build real estate portfolios.
These loans are for primary residences only, so if you want a ski cabin or rental, you’ll have to get a conventional loan.
If you want to purchase a high-end home
Starting January 2020, there are no limits to the size of mortgage a lender can approve.
However, lenders may establish their own limits for VA loans, so check with your lender before applying for a large VA loan.
Spouses and the VA mortgage program
What spouses are eligible for a VA loan?
What if the service member passes away before he or she uses the benefit? Eligibility passes to an unremarried spouse, in many cases.
Find and lock a low VA loan rate today. Start here
For the surviving spouse to be eligible, the deceased service member must have:
Died in the line of duty
Passed away as a result of a service-connected disability
Been missing in action, or a prisoner of war, for at least 90 days
Been a totally disabled veteran for at least 10 years prior to death, and died from any cause
Also eligible are remarried spouses who married after the age of 57, on or after December 16, 2003.
In these cases, the surviving spouse can use VA loan eligibility to buy a home with zero down payment, just as the veteran would have.
VA loan benefits for surviving spouses
Surviving spouses have an additional VA loan benefit, however. They are exempt from the VA funding fee. As a result, their loan balance and monthly payment will be lower.
Surviving spouses are also eligible for a VA streamline refinance when they meet the following guidelines.
The surviving spouse was married to the veteran at the time of death
The surviving spouse was on the original VA loan
VA streamline refinancing is typically not available when the deceased veteran was the only applicant on the original VA loan, even if he or she got married after buying the home.
In this case, the surviving spouse would need to qualify for a non-VA refinance, or a VA cash-out loan.
A cash-out mortgage through VA requires the military spouse to meet home purchase eligibility requirements.
If this is the case, the surviving spouse can tap into the home’s equity to raise cash for any purpose, or even pay off an FHA or conventional loan to eliminate mortgage insurance.
Qualifying if you receive (or pay) child support or alimony
Buying a home after a divorce is no easy task.
If, prior to your divorce, you lived in a two-income household, you now have less spending power and a reduced monthly income for purposes of your VA home loan application.
With less income, it can be harder to meet both the VA Home Loan Guaranty’s debt-to-income (DTI) guidelines and the VA residual income requirement for your area.
Receiving alimony or child support can counteract a loss of income.
Mortgage lenders will not require you to provide information about your divorce agreement’s alimony or child support terms, but if you’re willing to disclose, it can count toward qualifying for a home loan.
Different VA-approved lenders will treat alimony and child support income differently.
Typically, you will be asked to provide a copy of your divorce settlement or other court paperwork to support the alimony and child support payments.
Lenders will then want to see that the payments are stable, reliable, and likely to continue for another 36 months, at least.
You may also be asked to show proof that alimony and child support payments have been made in the past reliably, so that the lender may use the income as part of your VA loan application.
If you are the payor of alimony and child support payments, your debt-to-income ratio can be harmed.
Not only might you be losing the second income of your dual-income households, but you’re making additional payments that count against your outflows.
VA mortgage lenders make careful calculations with respect to such payments.
You can still get approved for a VA loan while making such payments — it’s just more difficult to show sufficient monthly income.
VA loan assumption
What is VA loan assumption?
One benefit for home buyers is that VA loans are assumable. When you assume a mortgage loan, you take over the current homeowner’s monthly payment.
Verify your VA loan home buying eligibility. Start here
That could be a big advantage if mortgage rates have risen since the original owner purchased the home. The buyer would be able to acquire a low-rate, affordable loan — and it could make it easier for the seller to find a willing buyer in a tough market.
VA loan assumption savings
Buying a home via an assumable mortgage loan is even more appealing when interest rates are on the rise.
For example:
Say a seller-financed $200,000 for their home in 2013 at an interest rate of 3.25% on a 30-year fixed loan
Using this scenario, their principal and interest payment would be $898 per month
Let’s assume current 30-year fixed rates averaged 4.10%
If you financed $200,000 at 4.10% for a 30-year loan term, your monthly principal and interest payment would be $966 per month
Additionally, because the seller has already paid four years into the loan term, they’ve already paid nearly $25,000 in interest on the loan.
By assuming the loan, you would save $34,560 over the 30-year loan due to the difference in interest rates. You would also save roughly $25,000 thanks to the interest already paid by the sellers.
That comes out to a total savings of almost $60,000!
How to assume (take on) a VA loan
There are currently two ways to assume a VA loan.
The new buyer is a qualified veteran who “substitutes” his or her VA eligibility for the eligibility of the seller
The new home buyer qualifies through VA standards for the mortgage payment. This is the safest method for the seller as it allows the loan to be assumed knowing that the new buyer is responsible for the loan, and the seller is no longer responsible for the loan
The lender and/or the VA needs to approve a loan assumption.
Loans serviced by a lender with automatic authority may process assumptions without sending them to a VA Regional Loan Center.
For lenders without automatic authority, the loan must be sent to the appropriate VA Regional Loan Center for approval. This loan process will typically take several weeks.
When VA loans are assumed, it’s the servicer’s responsibility to make sure the homeowner who assumes the property meets both VA and lender requirements.
VA loan assumption requirements
For a VA mortgage assumption to take place, the following conditions must be met:
The existing loan must be current. If not, any past due amounts must be paid at or before closing
The buyer must qualify based on VA credit and income standards
The buyer must assume all mortgage obligations, including repayment to the VA if the loan goes into default
The original owner or new owner must pay a funding fee of 0.5% of the existing principal loan balance
A processing fee must be paid in advance, including a reasonable estimate for the cost of the credit report
Find out if you qualify for a VA loan. Start here
Finding assumable VA loans
There are several ways for home buyers to find an assumable VA loan.
Believe it or not, print media is still alive and well. Some home sellers advertise their assumable home for sale in the newspaper, or in a local real estate publication.
There are a number of online resources for finding assumable mortgage loans.
Websites like TakeList.com and Zumption.com give homeowners a way to showcase their properties to home buyers looking to assume a loan.
With the help of the Multiple Listing Service (MLS), real estate agents remain a great resource for home buyers.
This applies to home buyers specifically searching for assumable VA loans as well.
How do I apply for a VA loan?
You can easily and quickly have a lender pull your certificate of eligibility (COE) to make sure you’re able to get a VA loan.
Most mortgage lenders offer VA home loans. So you’re free to shop and compare rates with just about any company that catches your eye.
Getting a VA loan for your new home is similar in many ways to securing any other purchase loan. Once you find an ideal home in your price range, you make a purchase offer, and then undergo VA appraisal and underwriting.
VA appraisal ensures that the home meets its minimum property requirements (MPRs) and is structurally sound and safe for occupancy.
What’s more, VA-specific mortgage lenders are actually some of the highest-rated (and lowest-priced) on the market. Here are a few we’d recommend checking out.
Time to make a move? Let us find the right mortgage for you
Our experts answer readers’ home-buying questions and write unbiased product reviews (here’s how we assess mortgages). In some cases, we receive a commission from our partners; however, our opinions are our own.
The economy has been doing surprisingly well so far this year, and it’s pushing mortgage rates back up.
Average 30-year mortgage rates rose 13 basis points to 6.90% this week, according to Freddie Mac. This is the closest this rate has been to 7% since mid-December.
Average 15-year mortgage rates also increased to 6.29% this week, a 17-point jump.
“Strong incoming economic and inflation data has caused the market to re-evaluate the path of monetary policy, leading to higher mortgage rates,” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, said in a press release. “Historically, the combination of a vibrant economy and modestly higher rates did not meaningfully impact the housing market. The current cycle is different than historical norms, as housing affordability is so low that good economic news equates to bad news for homebuyers, who are sensitive to even minor shifts in affordability.”
Once the Federal Reserve starts lowering the federal funds rate, mortgage rates are expected to go down as well. But the Fed is waiting for more data showing that inflation is coming down sustainably. Based on the data we’ve seen so far, we might not get a Fed cut until later this year.
Currently, investors believe that we won’t see the Fed cut rates until June at the earliest, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. And depending on how inflation continues to trend, we may need to wait even longer.
This means we may be in for a much more subdued homebuying season than what was initially expected. If you’re committed to buying a home this year even if rates remain high, you may benefit from less competition on the market.
But if you’re waiting for rates to drop before you buy, it may be wise to use this time to pad your down payment savings, so when the time comes to jump into the market, you’re able to make strong, competitive offers.
Today’s mortgage rates
Mortgage type
Average rate today
This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on Zillow
Today’s refinance rates
Mortgage type
Average rate today
This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on Zillow
Mortgage Calculator
Use our free mortgage calculator to see how today’s interest rates will affect your monthly payments:
Mortgage Calculator
$1,161Your estimated monthly payment
Total paid$418,177
Principal paid$275,520
Interest paid$42,657
Paying a 25% higher down payment would save you $8,916.08 on interest charges
Lowering the interest rate by 1% would save you $51,562.03
Paying an additional $500 each month would reduce the loan length by 146 months
By clicking on “More details,” you’ll also see how much you’ll pay over the entire length of your mortgage, including how much goes toward the principal vs. interest.
Mortgage Rate Projection for 2024
Mortgage rates started ticking up from historic lows in the second half of 2021 and increased dramatically in 2022 and throughout most of 2023.
Many forecasts expect rates to fall this year now that inflation has been coming down. In the last 12 months, the Consumer Price Index rose by 3.1%, a significant slowdown compared when it peaked at 9.1% in 2022. But we’ll likely need to see more slowing before rates can drop substantially.
For homeowners looking to leverage their home’s value to cover a big purchase — such as a home renovation — a home equity line of credit (HELOC) may be a good option while we wait for mortgage rates to ease. Check out some of our best HELOC lenders to start your search for the right loan for you.
A HELOC is a line of credit that lets you borrow against the equity in your home. It works similarly to a credit card in that you borrow what you need rather than getting the full amount you’re borrowing in a lump sum. It also lets you tap into the money you have in your home without replacing your entire mortgage, like you’d do with a cash-out refinance.
Current HELOC rates are relatively low compared to other loan options, including credit cards and personal loans.
When Will House Prices Come Down?
We aren’t likely to see home prices drop this year. In fact, they’ll probably rise.
Fannie Mae researchers expect prices to increase 3.20% in 2024 and 0.30% in 2025, while the Mortgage Bankers Association expects a 4.10% increase in 2024 and a 3.30% increase in 2024.
Sky high mortgage rates have pushed many hopeful buyers out of the market, slowing homebuying demand and putting downward pressure on home prices. But rates have since eased, removing some of that pressure. The current supply of homes is also historically low, which will likely push prices up.
What Happens to House Prices in a Recession?
House prices usually drop during a recession, but not always. When it does happen, it’s generally because fewer people can afford to purchase homes, and the low demand forces sellers to lower their prices.
How Much Mortgage Can I Afford?
A mortgage calculator can help you determine how much house you can afford. Play around with different home prices and down payment amounts to see how much your monthly payment could be, and think about how that fits in with your overall budget.
Typically, experts recommend spending no more than 28% of your gross monthly income on housing expenses. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn’t exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.
The lower your rate, the more you’ll be able to borrow, so shop around and get preapproved with multiple mortgage lenders to see who can offer you the best rate. But remember not to borrow more than what your budget can comfortably handle.
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) announced on Wednesday the addition of a home repair estimate app to its package of NAR Realtor Benefits for members.
Curbio, a provider of pre-sale home improvement services that requires payment at closing, will provide its “Build Your Own Estimate” mobile app to NAR members, which offers free repair estimates for home inspections upon the upload of a PDF document. Members will also “receive a free digital floor plan with every Curbio project,” according to the announcement.
“This collaboration reflects our dedication to equipping NAR members with innovative solutions that cater to the evolving needs of their clients, ensuring a smooth experience for sellers and buyers alike,” said Rhonny Barragan, NAR vice president of strategic alliances in an announcement of the deal.
Second Century Ventures, NAR’s strategic investment division, included Curbio in its “REACH” startup growth program in 2019. Later that year, Curbio won the “pitch battle” segment at NAR’s second annual Innovation, Opportunity & Investment (iOi) summit that took place in Seattle.
“Today’s sellers want to work with real estate agents who offer added value, including the ability to get their home market-ready and spruced up without having to pay upfront,” said Olivia Mariani, CMO at Curbio. “We are thrilled to provide NAR members and their clients with access to our reliable pre-listing home improvements with pay-at-closing terms.”
Founded in 2017, Curbio is based in Potomac, Md. The company also lists Comcast Ventures, Revolution and Camber Creek as investors.
NAR members can navigate to a dedicated page on Curbio’s website to claim their new benefits, and the mobile app is available on both Apple‘s iOS and Google‘s Android operating systems. The company operates within a 40-mile radius of more than 60 major U.S. markets, according to the page.
Our experts answer readers’ home-buying questions and write unbiased product reviews (here’s how we assess mortgages). In some cases, we receive a commission from our partners; however, our opinions are our own.
Mortgage rates rose this week in response to still-warm inflation, and they’ll likely remain elevated until we get more data showing how inflation is trending this year. If inflation remains near current levels or looks like it’s ticking back up, mortgage rates could climb higher.
Average 30-year mortgage rates rose 13 basis points to 6.77% this week, according to Freddie Mac. Average 15-year rates also spiked back up above 6% for the first time since mid-December.
“On the heels of consumer prices rising more than expected, mortgage rates increased this week,” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, said in a press release. “The economy has been performing well so far this year and rates may stay higher for longer, potentially slowing the spring homebuying season. According to our data, mortgage applications to buy a home so far in 2024 are down in more than half of all states compared to a year earlier.”
On Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index rose 3.1% year over year in January, which is more than expected.
Then, on Friday, the latest Producer Price Index report also came in hotter than expected, which markets took as a sign that inflation may remain higher for longer.
The PPI measures wholesale price inflation. It doesn’t often make as big of a splash as the CPI, but at a time when everyone is trying to guess when the Federal Reserve will start cutting rates, any new inflation data is under intense scrutiny.
What does this have to do with mortgage rates? Once the Fed starts lowering its benchmark rate, the federal funds rate, mortgage rates are expected to go down as well.
But this depends on inflation continuing to come down. Fed officials have said that they want to see more data before they consider lowering rates, and if the next few months show that inflation is stagnating, we might have to wait longer before we get a Fed cut.
Currently, investors generally believe that we won’t see the Fed cut rates until June at the earliest, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. And depending on how inflation continues to trend, we may need to wait even longer. This means we might not see mortgage rates fall substantially until the second half of 2024.
Today’s mortgage rates
Mortgage type
Average rate today
This information has been provided by
Zillow. See more
mortgage rates on Zillow
Real Estate on Zillow
Today’s refinance rates
Mortgage type
Average rate today
This information has been provided by
Zillow. See more
mortgage rates on Zillow
Real Estate on Zillow
Mortgage Calculator
Use our free mortgage calculator to see how today’s interest rates will affect your monthly payments:
Mortgage Calculator
$1,161 Your estimated monthly payment
Total paid$418,177
Principal paid$275,520
Interest paid$42,657
Paying a 25% higher down payment would save you $8,916.08 on interest charges
Lowering the interest rate by 1% would save you $51,562.03
Paying an additional $500 each month would reduce the loan length by 146 months
By clicking on “More details,” you’ll also see how much you’ll pay over the entire length of your mortgage, including how much goes toward the principal vs. interest.
Mortgage Rate Projection for 2024
Mortgage rates started ticking up from historic lows in the second half of 2021 and increased dramatically in 2022 and throughout most of 2023.
But many forecasts expect rates to fall this year now that inflation has been coming down. In the last 12 months, the Consumer Price Index rose by 3.1%, a significant slowdown compared when it peaked at 9.1% in 2022.
For homeowners looking to leverage their home’s value to cover a big purchase — such as a home renovation — a home equity line of credit (HELOC) may be a good option while we wait for mortgage rates to ease. Check out some of our best HELOC lenders to start your search for the right loan for you.
A HELOC is a line of credit that lets you borrow against the equity in your home. It works similarly to a credit card in that you borrow what you need rather than getting the full amount you’re borrowing in a lump sum. It also lets you tap into the money you have in your home without replacing your entire mortgage, like you’d do with a cash-out refinance.
Current HELOC rates are relatively low compared to other loan options, including credit cards and personal loans.
When Will House Prices Come Down?
We aren’t likely to see home prices drop this year. In fact, they’ll probably rise.
Fannie Mae researchers expect prices to increase 3.20% in 2024 and 0.30% in 2025, while the Mortgage Bankers Association expects a 4.10% increase in 2024 and a 3.30% increase in 2024.
Sky high mortgage rates have pushed many hopeful buyers out of the market, slowing homebuying demand and putting downward pressure on home prices. But rates have since eased, removing some of that pressure. The current supply of homes is also historically low, which will likely push prices up.
What Happens to House Prices in a Recession?
House prices usually drop during a recession, but not always. When it does happen, it’s generally because fewer people can afford to purchase homes, and the low demand forces sellers to lower their prices.
How Much Mortgage Can I Afford?
A mortgage calculator can help you determine how much house you can afford. Play around with different home prices and down payment amounts to see how much your monthly payment could be, and think about how that fits in with your overall budget.
Typically, experts recommend spending no more than 28% of your gross monthly income on housing expenses. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn’t exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.
The lower your rate, the more you’ll be able to borrow, so shop around and get preapproved with multiple mortgage lenders to see who can offer you the best rate. But remember not to borrow more than what your budget can comfortably handle.
Editor’s Note: Parts of this story were auto-populated using data from Curinos, a mortgage research firm that collects data from more than 250 lenders. For more details on how we compile daily mortgage data, check out our methodology here.
Both 30-year and 15-year fixed mortgage rates were upover the past week, according to Curinos data analyzed by MarketWatch Guides. Today, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage stands at 7.45% and the 15-year fixed rate is 6.73%.
Though the Federal Reserve chose to hold interest rates steady in its first meeting of 2024, recent economic signals for prospective homebuyers continue to be positive. Last week, two promising pieces of economic data were released.
The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) published data on Wednesday showing that mortgage applications increased by 3.7% week-over-week. While this is still lower than a year previously, home-buying activity is trending upward.
Additionally, Fannie Mae’s latest Home Purchase Sentiment Index shows that prospective homebuyers are increasingly optimistic about rates falling this year. The index increased 3.7 points in January, reaching its highest level since March 2022, and the share of consumers expecting mortgage rates to drop over the next 12 months increased from 31% to 36%.
Here are today’s average mortgage rates:
30-year fixed mortgage rate: 7.45%
15-year fixed mortgage rate: 6.73%
5/6 ARM mortgage rate: 7.01%
Jumbo mortgage rate: 7.24%
Current Mortgage Rates
Product
Rate
Last Week
Change
30-Year Fixed Rate
7.45%
7.19%
+0.26
15-Year Fixed Rate
6.73%
6.57%
+0.16
5/6 ARM
7.01%
6.85%
+0.16
7/6 ARM
7.22%
7.07%
+0.15
10/6 ARM
7.37%
7.21%
+0.16
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo
7.24%
7.06%
+0.18
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA
7.24%
6.93%
+0.31
30-Year Fixed Rate VA
7.21%
6.99%
+0.22
Disclaimer: The rates above are based on data from Curinos, LLC. All rate data is accurate as of Monday, February 19, 2024. Actual rates may vary.
>> View historical mortgage rate trends
Mortgage Rates for Home Purchase
30-year fixed-rate mortgages are up, +0.26
The average 30-year fixed-mortgage rate is 7.45%. Since the same time last week, the rate is up, changing +0.26 percentage points.
At the current average rate, you’ll pay $695.79 per month in principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow. You’re paying more compared to last week when the average rate was 7.19%.
15-year fixed-rate mortgages are up, +0.16
The average rate you’ll pay for a 15-year fixed-mortgage is 6.73%, an increase of+0.16 percentage points compared to last week.
Monthly payments on a 15-year fixed-mortgage at a rate of 6.73% will cost approximately $883.80 per $100,000 borrowed. With the rate of 6.57% last week, you would’ve paid $874.96 per month.
5/6 adjustable-rate mortgages are up,+0.16
The average rate on a 5/6 adjustable rate mortgage is 7.01%, an increase of+0.16 percentage points over the last seven days.
Adjustable-rate mortgages, commonly referred to as ARMs, are mortgages with a fixed interest rate for a set period of time followed by a rate that adjusts on a regular basis. With a 5/6 ARM, the rate is fixed for the first 5 years and then adjusts every six months over the next 25 years.
Monthly payments on a 5/6 ARM at a rate of 7.01% will cost approximately $665.97 per $100,000 borrowed over the first 5 years of the loan.
Jumbo loan interest rates are up, +0.18
The average jumbo mortgage rate today is 7.24%, an increase of+0.18 percentage points over the past week.
Jumbo loans are mortgages that exceed loan limits set by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) and funding criteria of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. This generally means that the amount of money borrowed is higher than $726,200.
Product
Monthly P&I per $100,000
Last Week
Change
30-Year Fixed Rate
$695.79
$678.11
+$17.68
15-Year Fixed Rate
$883.80
$874.96
+$8.84
5/6 ARM
$665.97
$655.26
+$10.71
7/6 ARM
$680.14
$670.01
+$10.13
10/6 ARM
$690.33
$679.47
+$10.86
30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo
$681.50
$669.34
+$12.16
30-Year Fixed Rate FHA
$681.50
$660.61
+$20.89
30-Year Fixed Rate VA
$679.47
$664.63
+$14.84
Note: Monthly payments on adjustable-rate mortgages are shown for the first five, seven and 10 years of the loan, respectively.
Factors That Affect Your Mortgage Rate
Mortgage rates change frequently based on the economic environment. Inflation, the federal funds rate, housing market conditions and other factors all play into how rates move from week-to-week and month-to-month.
But outside of macroeconomic trends, several other factors specific to the borrower will affect the mortgage interest rate. They include:
Financial situation: Mortgage lenders use past financial decisions of borrowers as a way to evaluate the risk of loaning money.
Loan amount and structure: The amount of money that bank or mortgage lender loans and its structure (including both the term and whether its a fixed-rate or adjustable-rate).
Location: Mortgage rates vary by where you are buying a home. Areas with more lenders, and thus more competition, may have lower rates. Foreclosure laws can also impact a lender’s risk, affecting rates.
Whether borrowers are first-time homebuyers: Oftentimes first-time homebuyer programs will offer new homeowners lower rates.
Lenders: Banks, credit unions and online lenders all may offer slightly different rates depending on their internal determination.
How To Shop for the Best Mortgage Rate
Comparison shopping for a mortgage can be overwhelming, but it’s shown to be worth the effort. Homeowners may be able to save between $600 and $1,200 annually by shopping around for the best rate, researchers found in a recent study by Freddie Mac. That’s why we put together steps on how to shop for the best mortgage rate.
1. Check credit scores and credit reports
A borrower’s credit situation will likely determine the type of mortgage they can pursue, as well as their rate. Conventional loans are typically only offered to borrowers with a credit score of 620 or higher, while FHA loans may be the best option for borrowers with a FICO score between 500 and 619. Additionally, individuals with higher credit scores are more likely to be offered a lower mortgage interest rate.
Mortgage lenders often review scores from the three major credit bureaus: Equifax, Experian and TransUnion. By viewing your scores ahead of lenders considering you for a loan, you can check for errors and even work to improve your score by paying down balances and limiting new credit cards and loans.
2. Know the options
There are four standard mortgage programs: conventional, FHA, VA and USDA. To get the best mortgage rate and increase your odds of approval, it’s important for potential borrowers to do their research and apply for the mortgage program that best fits their financial situation.
The table below describes each program, highlighting minimum credit score and down payment requirements.
Though conventional mortgages are most common, borrowers will also need to consider their repayment plan and term. Rates can be either fixed or adjustable and terms can range from 10 to 30 years, though most homeowners opt for a 15- or 30-year mortgage.
3. Compare quotes across multiple lenders
Shopping around for a mortgage goes beyond comparing rates online. We recommend reaching out to lenders directly to see the “real” rate as figures listed online may not be representative of a borrower’s particular situation. While most experts recommend getting quotes from three to five lenders, there is no limit on the number of mortgage companies you can apply with. In many cases, lenders will allow borrowers to prequalify for a mortgage and receive a tentative loan offer with no impact to their credit score.
After gathering your loan documents – including proof of income, assets and credit – borrowers may also apply for pre-approval. Pre-approval will let them know where they stand with lenders and may also improve negotiating power with home sellers.
4. Review loan estimates
To fully understand which lender is offering the cheapest loan overall, take a look at the loan estimate provided by each lender. A loan estimate will list not only the mortgage rate, but also a borrower’s annual percentage rate (APR), which includes the interest rate and other lender fees such as closing costs and discount points.
By comparing loan estimates across lenders, borrowers can see the full breakdown of their possible costs. One lender may offer lower interest rates, but higher fees and vice versa. Looking at the loan’s APR can give you a good apples-to-apples comparison between lenders that takes into account both rates and fees.
5. Consider negotiating with lenders on rates
Mortgage lenders want to do business. This means that borrowers may use competing offers as leverage to adjust fees and interest rates. Many lenders may not lower their offered rate by much, but even a few basis points may save borrowers more than they might think in the long run. For instance, the difference between 6.8% and 7.0% on a 30-year, fixed-rate $100,000 mortgage is roughly $5,000 over the life of the loan.
Expert Forecasts for Mortgage Rates
Mortgage rates have cooled significantly over the past several months. After the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage hit 8% last October, it ended 2023 closer to 7%. In fact, the average for Q4 2023 was 7.3%.
Analysts with Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) both project that rates will fall going into 2024 and throughout next year.
Fannie Mae economists expect rates to drop more quickly, falling below 6% by Q4 2024. Meanwhile, the MBA’s forecast for Q4 2024 is 6.1% and 5.9% for Q1 2025.
More Mortgage Resources
Methodology
Every weekday, MarketWatch Guides provides readers with the latest rates on 11 different types of mortgages. Data for these daily averages comes from Curinos, LLC, a leading provider of mortgage research that collects data from more than 250 lenders. For more details on how we compile daily mortgage data, check out our comprehensive methodology here.
Editor’s Note: Before making significant financial decisions, consider reviewing your options with someone you trust, such as a financial adviser, credit counselor or financial professional, since every person’s situation and needs are different.
Housing starts came in lower than estimates in the first month of the year, as the cold winter dampened activity. New construction starts fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.331 million units, down 14.8% month over month, according to a report released Friday by the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD).
Housing starts in January also fell by 0.7% on an annual basis. Single-family housing starts dropped 4.7% from December to a rate of 1.004 million units. However, they were 22% higher than a year ago, surpassing the 1 million mark for the third straight month. Multifamily starts fell to a rate of 314,000.
The rate at which building permits were issued in January was down 1.5% monthly but up 8.6% annually to a rate of 1.470 million. Notably, the number of single-family authorizations was up 1.6% month over month in January to a rate of 1.015 million units, the highest level since May 2022. Meanwhile, multifamily authorizations were down month over month to a rate of 405,000 units.
Housing completions also sunk compared to December, falling 8.1% to 1.416 million units. Single‐family housing completions fell by 16.3% between December and January, at a rate of 857,000. Meanwhile, multifamily completions came in at a rate of 538,000 in January.
The regions that suffered the most winter storms posted the biggest declines in January. New starts in the Northeast and the Midwest fell 20.6% and 30% month over month, respectively.
Housing inventory remained low in January and new homes still accounted for about 30% of all homes available for sale.
“This spring, there will be more new listings coming onto the market though buyers will still outnumber sellers and there will still be robust demand for new homes,” Bright MLS Chief Economist Lisa Sturtevant said in a statement.
Despite the drop in January, homebuilders are feeling optimistic about the season to come. In fact, homebuilder confidence shot up to a five-month high in February, according to the National Association of Home Builders’ most recent survey.
Southern California’s real estate market is as cold as the snow currently adorning the peaks of its mountains. Interest rates are up. Inventory is down. And deals are few and far between.
In slow markets, the agents at the top — those with experience, connections and plenty of clients — typically maintain a modest but steady stream of business. It’s the agents at the bottom — those just getting into the industry who’ve only managed to close a handful of sales — who starve.
As those agents have grown more desperate for leads, they’re trying alternative ways of finding them. Some are outsourcing the work overseas, and others are turning to AI or automation in a last-ditch attempt to find a seller.
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During the record-breaking pandemic market, there were so many transactions that most determined real estate agents were able to make a living. More than 43,000 single-family homes traded hands in L.A. County in 2021, and more than 42,000 were sold in 2022, according to the Multiple Listing Service.
During that time, tens of thousands joined the National Assn. of Realtors, or NAR, with membership swelling to a record 1.6 million in 2022, up 200,000 since 2020. Real estate wasn’t just a solid job; it was a way to leap into a higher tax bracket.
But then the market started to freeze in 2023 as mortgage rates shot up. Only 11,539 single-family homes sold that year, and sales are at a similar pace so far this year.
Some agents are simply calling it quits. In California alone, NAR lost 9,723 members from December 2023 to January 2024 — a 4.75% decline . But even after the drop, California still holds the second-most active Realtors in the nation at 194,964, and they’re all fighting for an extremely small pool of sellers.
At the peak of the pandemic market, Tyler Andrews, 29, tried his hand at real estate in the Inland Empire, thinking he would use his outgoing personality to sell homes as L.A. residents flocked to the area during the pandemic. He got his license and helped a few friends with their house hunts, but ultimately didn’t earn any commission and stopped in 2023.
He’s one of many agents who rushed into real estate hoping for a taste of California’s latest gold rush.
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From the outside, listing a house in a hot market seems like the easiest of get-rich-quick schemes. Homes sell in days, and a 3% agent’s commission on a $1-million sale comes out to $30,000. If you represent both sides of the deal, it turns into $60,000.
But the real estate industry isn’t an easy one to break into. You typically get paid only if you close a sale, and in any market, most homeowners still prefer to go with an agent with experience.
In a hot market, sellers find an agent. In a cold market, agents have to find a seller. The situation is coming to a boil in many areas, such as Leimert Park, where residents have been barraged by agents asking whether they’re interested in putting their homes up for sale.
Cold calling is time consuming — and stressful, considering the ire it draws from those on the receiving end. So some agents are handing that thankless task to machines.
A handful of companies such as Slybroadcast and Salesmsg offer “ringless voicemail,” a robocall-adjacent tool enabling agents to send pre-recorded messages straight to your voicemail box without your phone ever ringing. The messages are often meant to trick you into thinking you missed a call, saying things like, “Sorry I missed you! Give me a call back whenever you get a chance.”
In 2022, the Federal Communications Commission declared the trend a form of robocalling and said it’s illegal if the caller doesn’t have the recipient’s prior consent. But that hasn’t stopped agents from sending out such voicemails to potential clients.
“I don’t have time to cold call all day,” said one real estate agent who asked to remain anonymous due to the potential taboo of using the technology. “I have to find clients somehow, and in a market like this, you have to get creative.”
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The thinking is this: An agent could spend eight hours a day calling every home in a neighborhood to ask whether they want to sell their home. Or they could send out 500 ringless voicemails simultaneously, and those who bother to call back have a better chance of needing the services of a real estate agent.
Andrews said he had heard of other agents trying such technology as the market got colder in 2023, but he never bothered doing it himself because it didn’t seem authentic. It also would’ve been an extra expense — one he didn’t have a budget for.
Mary Thompson has owned her home in Beverly Crest for more than a decade. Over the last year, she’s received multiple ringless voicemails asking whether she wants to list or buy a house.
“I was fooled by the first one. I called back and ended up on the phone with an agent for 15 minutes asking about my plans as a homeowner,” she said. “I don’t bother calling back anymore.”
U.S. consumers received more than 55 billion robocalls in 2023, 5 billion more than the previous year, according to the YouMail Robocall Index. Roughly 15 billion were telemarketing calls, and 8 billion were scams. California consistently ranks as the state with the second-most robocalls, behind only Texas.
As a response to thousands of unwanted call complaints, the FCC has established a Robocall Response Team to combat the influx of robocalls, many of which are targeted toward homeowners.
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Last year, the commission shut down a robocalling campaign from MV Realty, a real estate brokerage that was sending out robocalls with misleading claims about mortgages. A whistleblower from the company told a Seattle news outlet that employees were directed how to use software called PhoneBurner and required to make at least 450 calls per day.
Other companies such as VoiceSpin give agents access to auto-dialing software, which, like it sounds, automatically dials numbers from a list. VoiceSpin claims to use AI and machine learning and enables agents to drop voicemails straight into inboxes, record calls or even use local area codes so you’re more likely to pick up.
In that case, you’d be talking to an agent, but sometimes you might find yourself unwittingly conversing with a robot.
The tech company Ylopo recently uploaded a video showcasing an AI assistant conversing with a potential home buyer planning a move to the North or South Carolina coast. The company said it’s “one of thousands of AI calls being made daily already for Ylopo clients.”
Cinc, a real estate lead generation platform, offers agents an AI-powered digital assistant that purposefully misspells words and uses emojis to make interactions with potential leads appear more human.
The NAR itself offers an AI scriptwriter powered by ChatGPT that analyzes housing trends so that agents can appear more knowledgeable about the market. Agents can even choose the tone: professional, engaging or conversational.
Earlier this month, the FCC continued its fight against robocalling by outlawing robocalls that use AI-generated voices. Since the ruling is so fresh, it’s unclear how companies utilizing the technology will be affected.
In a market as slow as this one, even finding numbers to call becomes a challenge; tech becomes useless if it’s being wasted on the wrong potential clients. So many agents are looking for leads.
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On Fiverr, an online marketplace for freelance services, a glut of listings has popped up offering agents potential leads on prospective buyers or sellers. One of the most prolific is Abhishek Rai, who has racked up more than 3,000 five-star reviews offering leads on motivated sellers, vacant properties or absentee owners since joining the platform in April 2020.
Rai, who’s based in India and uses the handle @virtualguy2020, typically charges $10 for 100 leads, $50 for 650 and $100 for 1,500.
“Real estate agents have demanding schedules, and outsourcing lead generation tasks allows them to focus on other aspects of their business, such as client meetings, property showings, and negotiations,” he said.
Rai has clients across the U.S., including many in Southern California. He added that generating leads is a specialized skill and not every agent has the expertise to find them on their own.
For his leads, he combs through public records, online databases and real estate sources such as property records, tax records and foreclosure listings.
To be clear, the vast majority of agents in Southern California still conduct business the old-fashioned way. But the ones trying new things are often doing so in order to make a living.
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In 2022, Realtors with 16 or more years of experience made a median gross income of $80,700, according to the NAR. But those with two years or less experience made just $9,600.
According to a report from business networking platform Alignable, 31% of real estate firms struggled to pay rent for their office in January.
AI’s subtle invasion of the real estate industry doesn’t necessarily come as a surprise because the technology has pervaded nearly every profession over the last few years. But for an industry that has long relied on human connection — handshakes, open houses, fresh flowers and other personal touches — AI’s cold, sterile seep into housing has become unnerving for some.
“When I do need a real estate agent, I need one that I can connect with,” Thompson said. “I don’t want anything to do with their AI assistant.”
In a standard home purchase scenario, prospective homebuyers apply with a lender to obtain conventional financing to get the new home on their wishlist.
Did you know, however, that there may be another financing option that could possibly benefit both the buyer and the seller under the right circumstances? We’re talking about the Assumable Mortgage.
What Is an Assumable Mortgage?
An assumable mortgage is a special type of home financing that allows a homebuyer to take over (or, assume) the seller’s existing mortgage and all of the terms that come with it, such as the interest rate, current balance, and repayment period. In cases where interest rates have gone up significantly since the seller originally bought and financed the home, this can present a savings opportunity that includes the low interest rate on the mortgage as part of the purchase of the home.
Which Types of Mortgages Are Assumable?
The loans that most often qualify for assumption are VA and FHA loans, which are backed by the federal government. Under certain circumstances conventional mortgages can also be assumable, but the majority of those loans contain a due-on-sale clause requiring the full balance of the loan to be paid upon transfer of property ownership, which makes the loan ineligible for assumption.
How Do Assumable Mortgages Work?
If you’re selling your home and the mortgage on the home is eligible for assumption, you can allow a qualified interested buyer to take over your mortgage as part of the sale of your home.
With the approval of your lender, the buyer would take over all of the responsibilities of your existing mortgage along with the home itself — including the interest rate and monthly payment — which can be significantly lower than the current rates and terms available for new mortgages. All of the terms of the loan would stay as is and simply be transferred over in the buyer’s name. You’ll want to be sure to get a written release of liability signed by both you (the original loan holder) and the lender to remove yourself from any further responsibility on the loan.
In the right circumstances, your buyer could save tens of thousands of dollars on an assumed mortgage since they’re effectively grandfathered in on what could be more favorable terms secured when the original loan was obtained. Given this unique benefit, you could potentially leverage that savings to justify a higher asking price for your home.
To illustrate the savings and benefits of this unique transaction, let’s explore an example scenario below from the buyer’s perspective.
Saving Money With an Assumable Mortgage
Let’s say you’re buying a home and you’d like to assume the mortgage on the home, appraised at $230,769 with a current remaining principal loan balance of $203,249. This means you would take over the payments on the remaining $203,249 and enjoy the original terms allotted to the assumed mortgage.
That still leaves $27,520 that must be paid in cash to the seller, which you can settle during the loan assumption transaction, much like a traditional down payment. If you cannot produce that entire cash amount to assume the loan, you may possibly be able to secure an additional personal loan to cover a portion of the difference. Keep in mind, however, that in most cases lenders who provide secondary financing will typically want to make sure that no more than 85 to 90 percent of the total appraised value of the home is being financed.
Here is an example comparison of a standard new FHA mortgage on a home selling for $230,769, versus an assumed FHA mortgage on the same home, with a lower fixed interest rate and five years already paid on the term.
New FHA Mortgage: A new 30-year FHA loan for a home priced and appraised at $230,769, with a principal loan balance of $222,692 (after the buyer put a minimum of 3.5% down, or approximately $8,077) with a fixed interest rate of 6.25%, will result in monthly payments of $1,371.15 (principal and interest only, excluding property taxes and insurance) totaling $493,615.06 over the life of the mortgage.
Assumable Mortgage: The assumption of a 30-year FHA loan with 25 years left on the term for a home selling for $230,769 with a remaining principal balance of $203,249 at the original interest rate of 2.5% results in a monthly payment of $911.81 and an approximate total loan cost of $273,543.07 (paid over 25 years).
New 30-Year FHA Mortgage
Assumable FHA Mortgage
Savings
Principal Loan Balance
$222,692
$203,249
N/A
Interest Rate
6.25%
2.5%
N/A
Down Payment
$8,077
$27,520
N/A
Monthly Payment(s)
$1,371.15
$911.81
$459.34
Total Loan Cost (principal +interest)
$493,615.06
$273,543.07
$220,071.99
Note: The example above does not include mortgage insurance. Mortgage Insurance (MI) may change depending on the LTV. Ask your loan officer for more information.
As illustrated above, if you are able to assume an eligible loan with an interest rate significantly lower than what is available on the market and have the ability to put down the additional cash to cover the equity owned by the seller (or obtain secondary financing), your savings could be substantial.
In the example scenario, your monthly mortgage payments for the 25 years remaining on the assumed loan would be $911.81. Compared to a new FHA loan with a higher market rate, this would result in a monthly savings of $459.34 and $220,071.99 saved over the entire life of your mortgage.
It is also worth noting that the less equity a seller has in their home, the more attractive an assumable mortgage may be to a buyer. For example, if that same assumable loan had an unpaid principal balance of $215,000, you’d only be responsible for a $15,769 difference instead of $27,520.
FHA Assumable Mortgage Requirements
Federal Housing Authority (FHA) loans qualify for assumption because they are free from the restrictions of due-on-sale clauses that are common in conventional mortgages.
Buyers wishing to assume an FHA mortgage must have a minimum credit score of 620, although buyers with scores above 580 may be eligible with additional restrictions. Similar to a conventional loan, your debt-to-income ratio including the assumed loan’s payment, cannot exceed 43% (although in special circumstances it can go as high as 50%).
VA Assumable Mortgage Requirements
The United States Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) has long offered one of the best home loan programs available for qualifying veterans, active military and their dependents.
A few important facts about VA loan assumptions:
As long as the buyer is VA-eligible, the seller’s VA entitlement remains intact.
If a buyer who is not VA-eligible assumes a VA loan, the seller loses their VA entitlement, as it will be tied to that original loan.
Buyers must meet all VA standards for creditworthiness and income, and the assumption must be approved by both the VA and the lender.
All mortgage obligations are assumed by the buyer, up to and including the obligation to repay the VA should the buyer default on the loan.
A “VA funding fee” equal to 0.5% of the current loan balance (only the principal amount) will be charged.
Want to know more about VA mortgages and whether you or a family member qualifies? Discover the special rates and benefits of VA home loans.
All mortgage payments must be current at the time of closing. You should plan to provide funds necessary to clear any outstanding payments before you can assume the loan. Either the buyer or seller can bring the loan to good standing.
Special Circumstances for Assuming a Mortgage
There are several special circumstances in which a buyer or inheritor must assume a mortgage in order to take possession of a home.
May I Assume the Mortgage of an Inherited Home?
Yes. In the unfortunate circumstance of a loved one passing, assuming the mortgage of the home that’s been willed to you would be useful if you wish to keep it in the family or live in it.
Federal law requires lenders to allow heirs to assume the mortgage of an inherited home, regardless of any due-on-sale clause included on the loan. It’s best to seek the advice of an estate attorney to ensure all bases are covered under these circumstances. As you figure out your options, be sure to continue making the regular monthly payments on the mortgage to prevent foreclosure of the property.
Assuming the Mortgage in Case of a Divorce
In the event of a divorce, one party or the other may have been awarded the family home.
If you’re the one keeping the home with a mortgage, you’ll need to qualify with the lender to assume the mortgage under your individual income and credit score, or by showing six months of timely payments you’ve made on your own without the help of your spouse.
Once the awarded party assumes the mortgage, the person who will no longer reside in the home should be released from all liability with the proper signed paperwork, as required by the lender.
May I Assume the Mortgage of a Home in Foreclosure?
Yes. Facing foreclosure is difficult, and a homeowner may want to do anything to prevent it. Allowing another party to assume the mortgage may be a good option.
In this type of purchase scenario, the buyer will need to pay off the entire past due amount before the assumption can occur. Buyers may accomplish this with cash or through a separate loan.
If it’s a Fannie Mae loan in question, Fannie Mae will review the prospective borrower’s financial packet to determine if they can afford the payments on the mortgage. Each investor or insurer will have specific requirements around what is required to complete the assumption.
If you’re set on the property as your ideal home, the default amount isn’t unreasonable, and the interest rate you’re assuming is favorable, then it can be worth the extra cost and effort to secure the loan.
From Applying to Signing on the Dotted Line: Important Facts
If you apply to assume a mortgage, expect to provide all the standard financial information normally required from a lender for a home loan application. This can include pay stubs, bank statements, W2s, and any other means to prove your ability to take over the mortgage.
While many may appreciate that an appraisal isn’t typically required, it might be beneficial to request one. That way you can ensure that the asking price for the home is fair in the current market.
Make sure a title check is performed as well to clear up any possibility of outstanding liens or encumbrances on the property before signing on the dotted line.
While closing costs can be lower with an assumed mortgage, an assumption fee may be charged.
FHA assumption closing costs are typically between 2 and 6 percent of the sale price of the home.
The VA charges a funding fee of 0.5% of the principal loan balance.
If you’re assuming the loan of an inherited property, it may be within your rights to avoid an assumption fee. Be sure to consult with an estate attorney if questions arise.
If you end up borrowing from more than one lender to complete the mortgage assumption, be sure that each lender is informed of all loan activity for the home. Each lender may require slightly different information, so prepare ahead of time for varying requests during the financial evaluation process.
Key Takeaways For Assumable Mortgages
Under the right circumstances, an assumable mortgage can mean thousands in savings for a qualified buyer.
A seller can leverage those savings to attract buyers and increase the asking price for the home.
The lender is the party with the final say over whether a buyer can assume a seller’s current mortgage.
The amount of equity in the home owned by the seller can be a key factor in whether assuming a loan is the right route for a buyer to take.
VA-eligible home sellers should take extra precaution when considering an assumption to protect their VA entitlement.
Is a Mortgage Assumption the Right Move?
The advantages for both sellers and buyers in this type of transaction is clear, as long as the interest rate on the mortgage is lower than what is available on the current market, the equity owned by the seller isn’t too great, and the lender approves of the assumption along with a release of liability to the original borrower on the loan.
If you’re selling your home that you have an FHA or VA mortgage for and the interest rate is lower than what the current market offers, you may want to connect your prospective buyers with your lender to see if an assumption is possible.
Questions about your existing mortgage or looking to buy a home soon? We’re here for you. Connect with a Pennymac Loan Expert to explore your home loan options or get started on a BuyerReady Certification today.