Uncommon Knowledge
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After formally endorsing plans for an ambitious new Bay Area City in Solano County this week, Vacaville’s vice mayor is in the hot seat after it was revealed that he had earlier sought to associate his home loan business with the developer’s campaign for the project known as California Forever.
Through his real estate license, Vice Mayor Greg Ritchie and owner of Citizens Financial Home Loans filed two fictitious business names or “Doing Business As” titles as “California Forever Home Loans” and “California Forever Homes,” in January, according to The Mercury News.
Ritchie has faced some backlash over his support of the project on social media. Members of the California ForNever Facebook group advised in a post that Vacaville residents should reach out to their City Council representatives to voice concerns over Ritchie’s affiliation with the project.
In an attempt to address the filings, Ritchie’s informational website, California Forever Home Loans, now redirects inquiries to a personal message from the vice mayor acknowledging the filings by saying he was “energized … by the forward thinking proposal by California Forever to supply $400M in downpayment assistance specifically for Solano and Travis families as part of their East Solano Plan. It is an unprecedented benefit for working families across Solano County.”
The original content on the website was removed because Ritchie said it caused confusion since “the project is still a few years from building homes.”
“I want to make one thing crystal clear — neither my company nor myself have any economic relationship or interest in California Forever,” Ritchie goes on to say in his online message. “I have also not received any donations or political contributions for my endorsement. My endorsement was given purely based on my professional and personal belief that this is a good project that will help thousands of Solano families reach the dream of homeownership.”
Ritchie could not be reached for comment by The Times.
On Tuesday, the Bay Area tech leaders behind the California Forever campaign held a news conference to announce that they had turned over more than 20,000 voter signatures to the Solano County registrar in support of putting the issue before local voters. If the county validates at least 13,062 of those signatures, the measure would go before voters in November, seeking to amend zoning codes to allow the residential project to be built on agricultural land.
Backers tout the project as an innovative way to create more affordable housing in close proximity to the Bay Area. The designs calls for transforming 18,000 acres now dedicated to ranching and wind farms into a community of 50,000 residents that would grow, over time, to as many as 400,000. The project promises 15,000 higher-paying jobs in manufacturing and technology, as well as parks, bike lanes and a solar farm.
“Solano voters have made their first decision, and they have made it loud and clear,” said Jan Sramek, a former Goldman Sachs trader who is chief executive of California Forever. “People from all walks of life, all parts of the county are all saying the same thing. They are saying, ‘Yes, we want to have a say in the future of this place that we love.’”
Along with Sramek, backers of the project include LinkedIn co-founder Reid Hoffman, venture capitalist Marc Andreessen, and Patrick and John Collison, who founded the payment-processing company Stripe.
Even if the measure is certified for the November ballot and voters approve it, the project faces a number of challenges and regulatory hurdles. Chief among those are additional approvals, including from the federal government, and the specter of lawsuits from environmental groups that have signaled they intend to take the nascent effort to court.
Source: latimes.com
Top U.S. loan officer Timothy Potempa has departed Dallas-based multichannel lender OneTrust Home Loans to join E Mortgage Capital, bringing his team of about 40 people and more than $300 million in annual production to the company headquartered in California.
“I’ve been in the industry since I was 18, so this year will be 22 years, and I’ve only been in five companies,” Potempa said in an interview. “The transition just became along the lines of the team’s ability to have a product suite and technology.”
According to Scotsman Guide, Potempa was the No. 7 loan officer in the country last year with a mortgage production volume of $326.5 million. His portfolio is concentrated on purchase loans (98% of the total volume in 2023) for first-time homebuyers. Potempa mainly focuses on the government lending space, which represents 60% of his total volume, he said.
Potempa had a joint venture with OneTrust from March 2022 to March 2024. But according to him, the firm has invested in new construction, land, and condominiums in a challenging mortgage market.
A representative at OneTrust declined to comment on Potempa’s departure.
OneTrust has had some recent leadership changes. In February, it announced the hiring of James Hecht, former head of production and executive vice president for national retail lending at Newrez, as its CEO. Co-founders Josh Erskine and Shane Erskine pivoted to the respective roles of CEO and president at Warp Speed Holdings.
Potempa brought his team of 38 professionals — including processors, business development staff, support staff and about 15 loan officers — to E Mortgage on March 25. He expects the group to close about $400 million in mortgages this year, representing about 15% of the company’s total.
“The beginning of the year started a little slower, and that’s just because we’re transitioning to a new company,” Potempa said. “The goal is $400 million this year and then $500 million for next year.”
E Mortgage charges Potempa’s team an upfront fee of $595 per funded loan, and he’s responsible for marketing, lead generation and other costs. Migrating to the new company will allow him to explore the wholesale side of the industry for the first time.
Before OneTrust, he worked at Wells Fargo, Nova Home Loans and Fairway Independent Mortgage Corp.
“With retail, you’re under a mortgage banker; you know the product set because you’re all in-house,” he said. “In wholesale, you can shop and sell the loan to a multitude of investors. Right now, we have 200 different investors.”
Regarding the macro landscape, Potempa said that higher mortgage rates and elevated costs related to homeownership are impacting affordability. On Wednesday, his team’s 30-year rate on a U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) loan for borrowers with no points and a 660 credit score was 6.25%, while conventional mortgages were at a 6.75% rate.
In this context, borrowers getting mortgages are “somebody in their mid-30s who has been saving, or move-up buyers for work, divorce or whatever reason,” Potempa said. His team is “still getting 300 to 400 leads a day from people raising their hands wanting to inquire about buying a house,” he added.
Source: housingwire.com
While Des Moines may not be the first city that pops into your mind when you think about Iowa, it probably should be. As the capital and most populous city in the state, there’s somewhere for everyone to feel right at home in Des Moines.
Des Moines is one of those rare cities that provides the convenience and opportunities of a larger city while maintaining the community feel of a smaller town. With that in mind, it’s no wonder why so many people are clamoring to find an apartment in Des Moines.
Let’s take some time to dive into ten of the top things Des Moines is known for and see why folks from all over are falling in love with this midwestern gem.
Drake University is a small, private university in Des Moines. Known as a cornerstone of Des Moines, Drake is renowned for its law school and journalism program. Student life on the campus is strong, anchored by the famous Drake Relays which bring athletes and spectators from across the globe to Des Moines every spring.
The Blue Ribbon Bacon Festival humorously claims “bacon-oisseurs” from near and far. What started as a quirky idea has grown into one of the most beloved events in Des Moines. The festival celebrates all things bacon with tastings, contests, and live entertainment.
One of the most appealing aspects of Des Moines is its low cost of living. Residents enjoy affordable housing, utilities, and transportation costs, all of which are well below the national average. This makes it an attractive place for young professionals, families, and retirees looking to stretch their savings further.
A local favorite, Smitty’s Tenderloin Shop is famous for its breaded pork tenderloins, a must-try Iowa specialty. This no-frills eatery has been serving up these oversized sandwiches for decades.
On a sunny day, you can find outdoorsy types exploring Des Moines’ extensive network of trails, which spans over 800 miles. These well-maintained paths are perfect for biking, jogging, and walking. Whether it’s along the Des Moines River or through scenic parks, these trails are a refreshing escape into the great outdoors.
The 80/35 Music Festival is a highlight of the summer in Des Moines. Showcasing a mix of well-known and emerging artists across multiple stages, it’s a real can’t-miss. This two-day event celebrates a range of musical genres and the communities that support them.
The Des Moines Art Center has an impressive collection of modern art, paintings, sculptures, and mixed media installations. With free admission, it invites art lovers to explore works by renowned and contemporary artists in an inspiring setting.
Held in the historic Court District, the Des Moines Farmers’ Market is an awesome event that draws thousands every Saturday from May to October. With over 300 vendors peddling fresh produce, artisan goods, and prepared foods, it’s a vital part of the weekend for many Des Moines locals.
The Iowa State Capitol, with its striking gold dome, is more than just the seat of Iowa’s government. It’s a point of pride for Des Moines. Tours of this grand building offer insights into Iowa’s history and legislative process and can be scheduled easily online.
The Greater Des Moines Botanical Garden is a beautifully designed and meticulously maintained indoor-outdoor garden. This sweet spot educates visitors about botany and gardening while also serving as a peaceful retreat for reflection.
It was an action-packed week for the housing and mortgage market. Wednesday’s Fed announcement was the highlight, but we also got several economic reports that caused rate volatility. Thankfully, it was mostly the good kind.
The week got off to a slightly stronger start with Monday’s only major rate news being updated borrowing estimates from the Treasury Department. Why would such a thing matter?
Treasuries largely dictate day to day interest rate momentum in the U.S. because they are abundant, simple, and as close to risk-free as it gets. As such, Treasuries are the universal yardstick for all other debt in the U.S., including MBS, the mortgage-backed securities that have the most direct impact on mortgage rates. This is why Treasury yields and mortgage rates correlate so well over time.
Treasuries can take cues from several sources. One of the biggest is the change in the outright level of supply. In other words, how much more debt is the U.S. government issuing in the upcoming quarter? If that number is higher than expected, it puts upward pressure on rates. Monday’s news from Treasury was fairly palatable and roughly in line with market expectations, which allowed rates to stay steady.
Things changed on Tuesday when the Employment Cost Index (ECI) data came out. This is one of several reports that the Fed has mentioned as being important to the rate outlook recently. Higher numbers mean higher rates, all other things being equal. This week’s installment showed Q1 costs at 1.2, up from 0.9 in Q4 and well above the market consensus of 1.0. Rates hit the highest levels of the week as a result, both in terms of Treasury yields and mortgage rates.
Things changed on Wednesday. The morning economic data did no harm, but didn’t necessarily deserve much credit for turning things around. Those honors went to the Fed Announcement in the afternoon–specifically: Fed Chair Powell’s press conference.
Markets already knew the Fed wouldn’t change rates at this meeting, so the focus was likely to be on Powell anyway. Expectations were more varied as to how he might address the recent inflation data, but we knew he’d have to be less convinced than last time when it comes to 2024 rate cut prospects.
Unsurprisingly, Powell acknowledged that what had looked like one month of noise earlier in the year was now an undeniable and unwelcome shift in progress toward lower inflation. Nonetheless, he expects progress to get back on track in the coming months and for the Fed’s next move to be a cut instead of a hike.
Markets also appreciated his clarification on political matters. Many analysts have suggested the Fed won’t be able to cut rates until December because it risks looking like a political move if it happens before November’s election. But Powell was clear in saying the Fed would take whatever monetary policy action it deemed appropriate whenever the data suggested it. In other words, if inflation were to begin falling in a more meaningful way in the next several months and if the economy began to falter, we would not have to wait several more months for the Fed to deliver some rate relief.
With that, momentum had shifted in favor of lower rates for the week. There was some follow-through on Thursday, but even better gains on Friday after the latest monthly jobs report came out weaker than expected. Job creation fell to its lowest level since October, and that’s in line with the lowest since covid lockdowns. It was also well below the forecast consensus (175k versus 243k).
Historically, 175k is a solid number, but everything’s relative. Rates typically fall when the job count undershoots the forecast by that much and Friday was no exception. 10yr Treasury yields and mortgage rates ended the week at the lowest levels since April 9th. Traders further lowered their outlook for the end-of-year Fed Funds Rate, once again pricing in at least one full cut this year.
On the housing data front, the week’s most notable releases were the two leading national price indices from FHFA and Case Shiller. Both were much higher than forecast for the month of February, showing annual growth of 7.0% and 7.3% respectively.
From here, the calendar is comparatively much more quiet until the biggest economic report of the month on April 15: the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This is the broad inflation index that has been at the scene of many crimes against the world of interest rates. Reactions have been big enough that it’s not uncommon to see rate momentum fizzle sideways as traders wait for the next inflationary shoe to drop.
Source: mortgagenewsdaily.com
Treasury securities are like the rock-solid foundation of the financial world. In essence, they are IOUs that the U.S. government offers to investors in order to borrow money. There are various types, each with unique characteristics, including Treasury bonds, bills, and notes.
Since they are seen as extremely safe investments, those seeking financial stability frequently choose them. Let’s examine Treasury securities in more detail and see why they are important.
In essence, Treasury securities are loans made by investors to the United States government. Treasury bonds, Treasury bills, and Treasury notes are the three primary varieties. Purchasing one of these securities is equivalent to making a fixed-term loan to the government that may last anywhere from a few days to thirty years.
The government agrees to reimburse you for your initial investment (the principal) plus interest in exchange. The Treasury yield, which is this interest rate, is used as a standard by which other interest rates in the economy are measured. Because they are backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government, Treasury securities are typically considered to be among the safest investments available.
The United States government issues Treasury bonds, which are long-term debt instruments with maturities of ten years or longer. Purchasing a Treasury bond is akin to making a fixed-term loan to the government, typically for a duration of 20 or 30 years. In exchange, you get interest payments from the government every six months until the bond matures, at which time you are paid the bond’s whole face value.
Since the U.S. government backs Treasury bonds with its full faith and credit, they are among the safest investments available. Additionally, they are quite liquid, making it simple to buy and sell them on the open market. Investors looking for a dependable means of capital preservation and a consistent income source frequently utilize Treasury bonds.
The U.S. government issues both Treasury bonds and U.S. Savings Bonds, but there are a few significant distinctions between the two.
U.S. Savings Bonds normally have shorter periods, typically between 20 and 30 years, while Treasury bonds typically have longer maturities, ranging from 10 to 30 years. Interest on Treasury bonds is paid semi-annually, whereas interest on U.S. Savings Bonds is paid monthly and compounded semi-annually.
Another difference is that U.S. Savings Bonds are offered at a discount to face value and earn a fixed rate of interest over time, whereas Treasury bonds are sold at face value and pay a fixed interest rate.
While U.S. Savings Bonds are frequently bought by individuals as a means of saving for short- or medium-term financial goals, such as retirement or schooling expenses, Treasury bonds are typically purchased by institutional investors and individuals seeking long-term investment possibilities. Both kinds of bonds are offered by the U.S. government and are low-risk investment options, but they have different uses and meet various demands from investors.
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The United States government issues medium-term debt securities called Treasury notes, which have maturities of two to ten years. Essentially, investors who buy Treasury notes are making a fixed-term loan to the government. Until the note matures and the investor obtains the full face value of the note, the government pays them interest every six months in exchange.
Since they are backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government, Treasury notes are thought to be less risky than many other investment options. Investors seeking a compromise between the short-term flexibility of Treasury bills and the long-term stability of Treasury bonds frequently choose them.
In addition to the ease of buying and selling on the open market, Treasury notes are extremely liquid, which makes them a preferred option for investors looking to combine flexibility and security in their investment portfolios.
In the financial world, the 10-year Treasury yield is very important since it is a key benchmark for other interest rates throughout the economy. The yield on a 10-year Treasury bond is the annual return that an investor can expect. As such, it reflects investor sentiment regarding future economic conditions, inflation expectations, and monetary policy outlook.
Variations in the yield on the 10-year Treasury note have the potential to impact not only corporate borrowing rates but also mortgage rates, vehicle loan rates, and consumer borrowing costs.
Additionally, it has an impact on the value of other financial assets since investors weigh their future returns against the comparatively safe yields of Treasury securities when valuing stocks and bonds. As a crucial indicator of general market mood and economic conditions, central banks and policymakers regularly monitor movements in the 10-year Treasury yield to assess the state of the economy and modify monetary policies accordingly.
The U.S. government issues Treasury bills, sometimes known as T-bills, which are short-term debt securities with maturities of one year or less.
In essence, investors who buy Treasury bills are making a short-term loan to the government. Treasury bills don’t pay interest on a regular basis like Treasury bonds and notes do. Rather, they are offered to investors at a price below face value, with the entire face amount due upon the bill’s maturity.
Since they are guaranteed by the full faith and credit of the United States government, Treasury bills tend to be considered some of the least-risky investments on the market. Because of their high liquidity and minimal risk, investors frequently utilize them as a short-term cash management tool or as a means of preserving capital.
Treasury notes are an essential part of the economy since they act as a base for a variety of financial transactions and as a benchmark for short-term interest rates.
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Investors can benefit from investing in Treasury securities because of their consistent yields and low relative risk. Treasury securities are attractive to people who value capital preservation over large returns, particularly those who are approaching retirement or want to protect their resources. Treasury securities are a popular choice among conservative investors and those with low risk tolerance.
To comply with regulations and reduce risk, institutional investors like banks, insurance firms, and pension funds also set aside a percentage of their portfolio allocation for Treasury securities. Treasury securities are crucial components of diverse investment portfolios and a key part of any investor’s financial plan who is looking for a dependable and safe choice.
There are both benefits and downsides to Treasury Investments:
• Low Relative Risk: Because they are backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government, Treasury securities tend to be less risky than other investment types.
• Guaranteed Yield: They give investors a steady source of income with a guaranteed rate of return – or, as close to a guarantee as an investor is likely going to find.
• Treasury securities are highly liquid, which allows investors flexibility as they can be quickly bought and sold on the secondary market.
• Low Yield: Treasury securities usually have lower yields when compared to alternative investment options like equities or corporate bonds.
• Interest Rate Risk: Interest rate fluctuations can have an impact on Treasury securities. The value of current Treasury securities may decline if interest rates rise.
• Inflation Risk: Although Treasury securities are generally low risk, they might not yield enough returns in the long run to beat inflation, which might reduce one’s purchasing power.
• Market Risk: While unlikely, there’s a chance that shifts in investor sentiment or market disruptions could have an impact on the price of Treasury securities.
Individuals can invest in Treasuries with relative ease and accessibility. Investors can buy Treasury securities straight from the U.S. Department of Treasury via website, TreasuryDirect.gov.
Investors can also purchase them via a financial institution, bank, or broker. Mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that contain Treasury securities in their portfolios are another way for people to indirectly invest in Treasury securities.
Bonds, bills, and notes issued by the U.S. government can be directly purchased by individuals by using TreasuryDirect.gov. Without going via a broker or other financial middleman, investors can purchase, manage, and redeem Treasury securities using this online platform.
Treasury auctions, in which the public is offered newly issued securities, can be attended by investors via TreasuryDirect.gov. Investors can enter these auctions with competitive or non-competitive bids to buy Treasury securities at fixed yields or interest rates.
Non-competitive bids accept the yield that is decided by the auction, whereas competitive bids indicate the desired yield. Investors can interact directly with the U.S. Treasury Department to purchase Treasury assets through an open and easily accessible process, giving them more power over their financial choices.
An additional way for investors to obtain these assets is by buying Treasury securities through a bank or broker. Treasury securities can be purchased and held alongside other financial products by investors through the investment services provided by numerous banks and brokerage firms. Financial experts can assist in customizing investing plans to meet the specific needs and objectives of each investor.
Purchasing through a bank or broker may provide access to a greater selection of investment options, including Treasury bills, notes, and bonds with different maturities and yields. Although there can be commissions or transaction costs associated with this approach, investors benefit from the ease of having all of their investment accounts combined into one location.
Purchasing Treasury securities via a bank or broker provides investors with ease, flexibility, and individualized assistance in creating a diverse investment portfolio.
Investors can buy Treasury Securities in a convenient way through ETFs and mutual funds that hold bonds, bills, and notes. Investors can benefit from professional management and experience choosing and overseeing Treasury securities within the fund’s portfolio by making an investment in these funds.
Mutual funds and ETFs provide liquidity, enabling investors to buy and sell shares on the open market at any time. Investors can easily modify their exposure to Treasury securities in response to shifting market conditions or investing goals.
Mutual funds and ETFs often have lower expense ratios than actively managed funds, so investing in Treasury securities using this method can be an affordable way to access a diverse portfolio of Treasury securities.
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Since they are subject to unique tax laws, investors looking for tax-efficient investment options may find Treasury bonds, bills, and notes appealing. State and local income taxes are not applicable to interest income collected on Treasury securities, but it is subject to federal income tax.
Taxation applies to any capital gains upon the selling of Treasury securities. An investor will have a capital gain that is liable to capital gains tax if they sell a Treasury asset for more money than they paid for it.
On the other hand, the investor can experience a capital loss if they sell the investment for less than what they paid for it. This loss can be applied to offset capital gains and lower their taxable income.
The U.S. Treasury offers a variety of securities in addition to Treasury bonds, bills, and notes. By basing the principal value of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) on fluctuations in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), TIPS offer protection against inflation.
By guaranteeing a rate of return, this helps investors maintain their purchasing power over time. Investors are protected against interest rate risk by Floating Rate Notes (FRNs), which have variable interest rates that fluctuate based on changes in market interest rates.
The U.S. Treasury issues savings bonds such as Series I and Series EE that provide people with a convenient and secure long-term means of saving money. Series EE Savings Bonds pay a set rate of interest for a maximum of 30 years, while Series I Savings Bonds protect against inflation.
Treasury securities give investors a range of choices to achieve their financial objectives, including long-term savings, inflation protection, and income generation. In the ever-changing world of financial markets, investors can protect capital, reduce risk, and reach their goals through Treasury bonds, bills, notes, and other securities like TIPS and savings bonds.
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The U.S. Department of the Treasury issues debt obligations known as Treasury securities, which include Treasury bills, notes, and bonds. Because they are backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government, Treasury securities are among the safest investments.
Treasury Bills, Treasury Notes, Treasury Bonds, Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), and Floating Rate Notes (FRNs) are the five categories of marketable securities offered by the U.S. Treasury.
Because the U.S. government completely backs Treasury bonds, there is very little chance that they would default, making them a popular choice for investors looking to avoid risk. Investors need to be aware that interest rate risk exists even with U.S. government bonds.
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Purchasing U.S. Treasury securities are often considered to be a dependable and less-risky way to increase income and grow wealth over time. Building a Treasury ladder can be a smart move for investors looking for a way to maximize profits while controlling interest rate risk. Investing in a Treasury ladder allows investors to spread out the risk and return associated with holding fixed-income securities by buying a sequence of securities with varying maturities.
In this article we delve into the complexities of U.S. Treasury ladders, going over their advantages, construction techniques, and things to think about for investors trying to assemble a reliable and well-rounded portfolio.
An investing strategy known as a “Treasury Bill ladder” involves buying a sequence of Treasury Bills with varying maturities. The United States government issues Treasury Bills, sometimes known as T-bills, which are short-term debt securities with maturities varying from a few days to a year. Investors can spread out the maturity dates of their investments by building a Treasury Bill ladder, which preserves liquidity and generates a consistent income stream.
With this approach, investors can benefit from fluctuating interest rates and make sure that a part of their portfolio is always maturing, giving them flexibility in terms of withdrawal or reinvestment. Treasury Bills are also regarded as some of the least-risky investment options.
A Treasury Bond ladder is similar to a Treasury Bill ladder in that it emphasizes longer-term investing and both involve staggering maturities. The United States government issues Treasury Bonds, which are long-term debt instruments with maturities ranging from 10 to 30 years.
A Treasury Bond ladder works similarly to a Treasury Bill ladder in that it distributes the risk and returns of investing in fixed-income securities by buying bonds with different maturities. Still, there are some significant distinctions between the two approaches. Because they are investments with a longer maturity period than Treasury Bills, Treasury Bonds usually provide greater yields.
Treasury Bond ladders are often favored by investors seeking higher income potential and are willing to accept the associated interest rate risk. Changes in interest rates may have an effect on the market value of Treasury Bonds. Notwithstanding these differences, Treasury Bill and Treasury Bond ladders are equally useful instruments for addressing the varied inclinations and goals of investors while controlling interest rate risk, producing income, and preserving portfolio diversification.
Several important factors must be taken into account while building a Treasury ladder in order to minimize risk and maximize returns.
The first stage is to decide on the ladder’s ideal configuration, which includes the number of rungs and the assets’ staggered maturities. The term “rungs” refers to the individual assets that make up the ladder; based on the investor’s investment horizon and preferences, these securities may include Treasury Bonds, Treasury Notes, or Treasury Bills. By ensuring that a part of the portfolio matures on a regular basis, staggered maturities offer liquidity and flexibility for withdrawal or reinvestment.
To maximize the performance of a Treasury ladder, investors should also take the yield curve and current interest rates into account. Longer-dated securities often provide greater yields in order to offset the duration and interest rate risk. Nonetheless, investors may decide to add assets with shorter maturities to increase liquidity or to capitalize on future changes in interest rates.
When choosing the Treasury securities to include in the ladder, investors should consider their time horizon, investing goals, and risk tolerance. While Treasury Notes and Bonds offer higher returns and are appropriate for longer-term investment objectives, Treasury Bills are best suited for investors with short-term liquidity needs or a conservative risk profile.
After the ladder is put in place, investors should keep a close eye on it, rebalance the portfolio as needed to preserve the intended asset allocation, and modify the ladder’s maturity structure in response to shifting market conditions.
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Buying T-Bills with varying maturities over a predetermined time frame, like a year, is an example of a T-Bill ladder.
An investor could, for example, build a three-rung T-Bill ladder, where each rung represents a T-Bill with a different maturity date. T-Bills that mature in three months, six months, and nine months, respectively, might be found on the first rung, second rung, and third rung.
By reinvesting the proceeds from each maturing T-Bill into new ones with longer maturities, the investor can preserve the ladder’s structure and create a steady flow of income. By delaying the maturity dates of their investments, this technique helps investors spread out their exposure to reinvestment risk while capturing changing interest rates over time.
An investor would receive interest income of $50 from the first T-Bill after three months, $100 from the second T-Bill after six months, and $150 from the third T-Bill after nine months, for instance, if they initially purchase $10,000 worth of T-Bills with staggered maturities of three, six, and nine months, and each T-Bill offers an annualized yield of 2%.
In order to preserve the ladder’s structure and gradually produce a consistent income stream, the investor may reinvest the principal and interest into further T-Bills upon maturity.
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Purchasing Treasury Bills and Bonds is a simple process that may be carried out via a number of methods.
One popular way is via a brokerage account, where investors can buy Treasury securities through a broker-dealer. Or investors can buy directly from the U.S. Department of the Treasury. Treasury securities are easily accessible through a number of online brokerage platforms, enabling investors to buy and sell them with a few clicks.
Banks and other financial organizations that take part in Treasury auctions are another source for investors to purchase Treasury securities. Investors can place bids for the required quantity and yield at regular auctions held by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for Treasury securities, such as Treasury Bills, notes, and bonds.
Additionally, investors may purchase Treasury securities indirectly by investing in a diverse portfolio of Treasury securities through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or mutual funds with a Treasury concentration. Investors can easily obtain exposure to Treasury securities through these products without having to buy individual bonds or bills.
Creating a Treasury ladder may have certain advantages for investors:
• Possible protection against inflation: Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) within the ladder may help safeguard against the erosive effects of inflation by adjusting the principal value in line with changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
• Revenue and cash flow: Treasury securities offer a steady income stream in the form of interest payments, which can be especially attractive to retirees or those looking for consistent cash flow. In order to provide liquidity for reinvestment or other financial needs, staggered maturities create a steady stream of maturing securities.
• Diversification: Treasury ladders distribute assets across several Treasury security types and maturities, providing diversification and lowering total portfolio risk.
• Security and less risk: Because they pay principal and interest on time by the U.S. government, U.S. Treasury securities are among the least risky investments available.
Bond and Treasury bill ladders are typically regarded as low-risk investment techniques, but investors should be aware of certain potential risks.
Interest rate risk is one of the main risks connected to Treasury securities. Treasury securities’ market value can change inversely with changes in interest rates. This implies that the market value of current Treasury securities may decrease if interest rates rise, possibly resulting in a loss if the investor sells before maturity. On the other hand, investors who retain Treasury securities until maturity may benefit if interest rates decline and the market value of the securities rises.
Reinvestment risk is another thing to think about. Investors must reinvest the revenues from maturing assets into new securities because Treasury ladders feature staggered maturities. Investors may end up investing at lower rates if interest rates have dropped since the first investment, which might affect the ladder’s overall yield. On the other hand, investors might be able to reinvest at higher rates if interest rates have increased, which would raise the ladder’s total yield.
Even though Treasury securities are among the least risky investments available since they are backed by the full faith and credit of the United States government, there is always a small but constant risk of default. The purchase power of the principal and interest payments of Treasury inflation-protected securities (TIPS) can be impacted by changes in inflation, so investors should be aware that TIPS involve an inflation risk.
ETFs that specialize in Treasury securities allow investors to indirectly build up a Treasury ladder. Treasury-focused ETFs offer investors exposure to a variety of Treasury Bills, notes, and bonds by holding a diversified portfolio of Treasury securities with different maturities.
Without having to buy individual assets, investors can obtain a comparable result to a Treasury ladder by investing in these ETFs.
When building a Treasury ladder, investors can benefit from a number of ETF features. They offer diversification over a wide array of Treasury securities, helping reduce credit risk as well as interest rate risk. Also, a wider range of investors can invest in ETFs since they usually have lower investment minimums than buying individual Treasury securities. ETFs also trade on stock exchanges, giving investors flexibility and liquidity to purchase and sell shares at any time during the trading day.
That’s not to say that ETFs don’t, generally, have some downsides, though. ETFs may experience tracking errors, for instance, and have associated trading costs. There may be other types of risk, too – just some things to keep in mind.
Treasury-focused ETFs frequently provide extra characteristics, such as improved yield strategies or inflation protection, to meet the unique requirements and preferences of investors. To make sure that ETFs match their investment goals and risk tolerance, investors should carefully consider the expense ratios and liquidity of the funds before making an investment.
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Building a Treasury ladder may be a tool for investors looking for a way to maximize profits while controlling interest rate risk. And, as noted, investing in a Treasury ladder allows investors to spread out the risk and return associated with holding fixed-income securities.
Overall, the combination of potential inflation protection, minimized interest-rate risk, reliable income, diversification benefits, and lower relative risk make building a Treasury ladder a compelling investment strategy for many investors, particularly those with a conservative risk tolerance or seeking stable returns over time.
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A T-Bill ladder distributes investments over a range of maturity dates, which helps investors diversify their holdings. It can aid in reducing interest rate risk.
Yes, you pay federal taxes on Treasury Bills at your marginal income tax rate, but state and local income taxes do not apply to them.
Depending on the length of term you desire, you can choose between Treasuries and a CD. Treasuries are a preferable option because rates are close enough for both one- to six-month and ten-year maturities. Right now, CDs are paying more for durations of one to five years, and the difference is significant enough to give them the advantage.
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Welcome to NerdWallet’s Smart Money podcast, where we answer your real-world money questions. In this episode:
Explore car buying in 2024, from Carvana’s process to the electric vehicle surge and how to maximize your car’s sale value.
Budgets Beyond the Numbers: How do you manage the emotional aspects of budgeting? What’s the car buying market like in 2024? Hosts Sean Pyles and Elizabeth Ayoola discuss personal budgeting and the future of car buying to help you understand how to navigate financial decisions with confidence. They begin with a discussion of budgeting “beyond the numbers,” with tips and tricks on categorizing expenses into their emotional impacts to make budgeting feel more personal.
Today’s Money Question: Is Carvana a good service? Should you buy an electric vehicle if you’re in the market for a new car? NerdWallet autos writer Shannon Bradley joins hosts Sean Pyles and Sara Rathner to delve deeper into the future of car purchases and the electric vehicle revolution. They explore the evolution of electric vehicles, the current state of the car market for both buyers and sellers, and strategies to get the best deal when selling your vehicle. The conversation aims to provide insights on choosing the right time to buy an electric car, understanding the market dynamics, and ensuring a smooth car selling experience.
Check out this episode on your favorite podcast platform, including:
NerdWallet stories related to this episode:
This transcript was generated from podcast audio by an AI tool.
Sean Pyles:
What’s in a budget? If you look at the 50/30/20 budget, you have your needs, wants along with extra debt payments and savings. But we all know a budget can be much more than that. We get into it this episode. Welcome to NerdWallet’s Smart Money Podcast, where we help you make smarter financial decisions, one money question at a time. I’m Sean Pyles.
Elizabeth Ayoola:
And I’m Elizabeth Ayoola.
Sean Pyles:
This episode we answer a couple listeners’ questions about car buying and selling, including what to know about the electric car market right now. But first, we’re exploring what’s really in a budget beyond the numbers and Elizabeth, this is something that you are especially interested in, right?
Elizabeth Ayoola:
I am, Sean, because budgeting gets a bad rep, but it can be fun too, especially when you have something you really want and are working towards, but it can be equally stressful. I’m not going to deny that.
Sean Pyles:
Totally. When people hear the word budget, they might just think about numbers in a spreadsheet or about restricting themselves from purchasing something that they want. Neither is really fun. And don’t get us wrong, we are still big proponents of having a budget and we think the 50/30/20 budget, where you have half of your income going towards needs, 30% going towards wants and 20% going towards extra debt, payments and savings, can be a really accessible and flexible framework for most people, but it doesn’t get to the more personal parts of our finances. So Elizabeth, you like getting into those deeper parts of a budget and you do this by breaking it into three general categories: something stressful, something exciting, and something confusing. Can you talk about why you are thinking about your budget in this way and what’s the purpose of each category?
Elizabeth Ayoola:
So I feel like by doing this, it gives our budget some personality, it creates some interesting conversation around our budgets. I think we all know that budgets can be monotonous, so breaking it up like this helps me stay engaged with my budget and also have something to feel excited about. You know what I’m saying, Sean? So the confusing one especially is a chance for me to challenge myself to untangle areas of my budget where I’m winging it or I’m just disorganized and usually I’m winging it or disorganized because I’m overwhelmed and don’t understand something.
Sean Pyles:
This reminds me of a game that I sometimes play with my friends called Rose, Thorn, and Bud. The rose is something good that happened to you, the thorn is as you might expect, something that’s a little bit thornier or unpleasant and the bud is something that is in progress or something that you are excited about. This is kind of like that, but for your finances, it’s a way to categorize items of your budget under broader themes, which can help you process them in that more personal and emotional way. Is that how you think about it too?
Elizabeth Ayoola:
Exactly. You just put it in a fancy way. Thank you, Sean.
Sean Pyles:
Thank you.
Elizabeth Ayoola:
And I also have a new game that I’m playing with my friends because I’m stealing your idea.
Sean Pyles:
Happy to hear it.
Elizabeth Ayoola:
As of recent, I’ve been asking them when I go on girlfriend dates, what’s one thing they hope happens this year? But I’m definitely going to swap it out for your idea.
Sean Pyles:
Oh, I love that. Well, to help our listeners understand this way of thinking about budgeting, Elizabeth, I would love to hear what you are finding stressful, exciting, and confusing in your budget right now?
Elizabeth Ayoola:
As a recovering over sharer, I am definitely going to share that. So let’s start with stressful. Start with the worst, a moving budget. So just please anybody rescue me on a red carpet and make sure you bring a margarita with you because moving is stressing me out. I’m trying to make the move as cost-effective as possible because it’s looking like I’m going to spend a couple of thousand dollars right now and that’s really hurting my feelings.
Sean Pyles:
Yeah, it’s a lot of money.
Elizabeth Ayoola:
So now let’s get into the exciting thing, a love sack. I don’t know if any of our listeners or you, Sean, have heard of love sacks before, but they’re essentially these giant beanbags and in my fantasy of living out the Bohemian dream in my household, I have something like a love sack where I can read books and watch Netflix and do whatever else I want to do on it. So I’ve wanted one for years, but they are pretty pricey. They can start around the $900 range and go up to a thousand dollars, but I am budgeting for that and I’m looking forward to it. The only thing I’m worried about is my son putting his Cheeto hands all over my stuff.
Sean Pyles:
That’s a fair concern. Also, you might want to wait to get that until after you’re moved because that would be just one other thing to haul across state lines.
Elizabeth Ayoola:
Oh fact, I’m definitely not buying that now, so I’m going to buy it once I move. So it’s also giving me more time to save towards it or to budget for it. Another exciting thing I’m also budgeting for is to go to Nigeria. So I am Nigerian for the listeners and I haven’t been since I had my son maybe like four or five years ago, and he’s been asking me to go. That’s kind of what inspired the trip, but it does cost a couple of thousand dollars, so I’m budgeting towards that as well, but excited. And lastly, what is confusing? Balancing business and personal budgets at the same time is very confusing for me right now.
So I’m trying to kind of figure out how much to put towards retirement saving because my expenses just keep changing and I’m also trying to ensure that I don’t commingle, which is when you’re mixing kind of your business finances with your personal because we don’t want the IRS to come knocking. So all these kind of things are just confusing and maybe a little bit stressful as well. Then lastly, my son is going to a private school in August, so my budget is going to change. I’m trying not to be hard on myself because I really like saving big chunks of money and him going to private school might mean I have to save less, but it’s all good.
Sean Pyles:
See, I feel like this really shows how your budget is being enacted to help you meet the short and long-term life goals that we talk about so much on Smart Money and also the various emotions that come with meeting your goals or trying to meet them and the compromises that are just inherent in this conversation you have with yourself and your finances. Also, Elizabeth, last week you said that you were financially boring, and I’m going to say that all of these things are interesting. I’m especially excited about your trip to Nigeria, so let me know how that goes. And also let me know where you land on your savings when your son starts private school.
Elizabeth Ayoola:
Of course, I’m going to share that with you guys, so watch out for that. It has been so long since we’ve been to Nigeria, so we’re looking forward to it. And private school, well all the listeners with kids know that kids swallow up your dollars, but I hope to get a good return on investment on this. So what are yours, Sean? Tell me about your things that are stressful, exciting, confusing.
Sean Pyles:
Okay, well this is where I reveal that I am actually boring. Something stressful is that I’m in the middle of a season of travel right now, which is not boring. It’s very exciting actually. But I went down to San Francisco for a concert a couple of weeks back and I’m about to fly out to the East coast to see some friends in New York and DC and it’s going to be great to see these friends and it was great to see San Francisco again where I lived for many years, but boy, oh boy, traveling is very expensive. It’s much more expensive than working from home day in day out and the adjustment from making my breakfast every morning and having my coffee and a nice little ritual for myself, going from that to spending $20 on the sandwich and a coffee every single morning is a little bit painful and a little bit stressful for my budget, but I’ll make it work.
And then something exciting, this might be a little bit premature because it’s not actually going to happen for nine months, but I’m getting relatively close to paying off my car. I’ve had this car loan since 2020 and I know I took a longer car loan than we typically recommend, but that’s just where my finances were at the time. And I’m kind of lucky to have a pretty affordable car payment. But I am also very excited about having that extra $350 that I pay for my car each month back in my budget, even though I will likely direct most of that into my car savings bucket. Confusing? To be honest, nothing is too confusing for me right now fortunately, but as ever, I am in this continual dialogue with myself and my ADHD impulses that tell me to buy random things that I sincerely do not need. And what’s helped me recently to shake myself from buying things online is just asking what do I expect this thing to do for me? And the answer is usually nothing meaningful. So that helps me break the spell.
Elizabeth Ayoola:
Oh, I love that. And I can relate with you re ADHD. I think in a previous episode I told y’all that I was emotional buying and I’m so glad to update y’all that that has stopped.
Sean Pyles:
Oh, congratulations.
Elizabeth Ayoola:
Thank you. No more random Zara shops every other week. So I’ve been doing pretty good and I can understand what you’re saying, re travel because I have lots of upcoming trips as well and it’s so expensive. But Sean, I’m excited about the car. $350 a month sounds really good to do something else with. And that’s about how much my payment is too. So I’m going to tap into your excitement and hopefully I will be there next year.
Sean Pyles:
Manifesting that for us, yes. Well listener, I hope this exercise has helped you think about your own budget in a new way. Before we get into this episode’s money question segment, let’s check in on our nerdy question of the month, which is what is your weird money habit, behavior, or principle that you live by?
Elizabeth Ayoola:
Here’s one weird money habit that a listener texted us. I just listened to your podcast of a person with dozens of credit cards. I’m one of those individuals too. To be clear though, the only balances I carry are those on temporary 0% promo offers and ones that are paid off monthly. My system is to carry five to six cards in my wallet and rotate them, then return those cards to the bottom of my home credit card stack. Another side gig hobby I do is entering sweepstakes online daily. It’s an easy but exciting activity that can lead to surprise winnings at any given time. My biggest win to date is $24,000 minus taxes, of course. That’s a large chunk of cash.
Sean Pyles:
Oh, that’s an interesting one. Thanks for sharing that. So listener, let us know: what is your weird money habit? Do you only use cash for all of your transactions or are you a hardcore credit card point maximizer?
Elizabeth Ayoola:
Or maybe you have 10 billion bank accounts like Sean. Okay, he just has 10. It’s not 10 billion, it’s just 10.
Sean Pyles:
I didn’t really think that was weird until recently. I was talking with a friend who was considering getting her very first high yield savings account, and she looked at me like I had two heads when I mentioned that I have 10 accounts. So maybe that’s also a good way to think about this. What is something that you do with your finances that seems maybe totally normal to you, but everyone else around you thinks is a little bit off? We want to know.
Elizabeth Ayoola:
Yes, we do. So tell us your weird money habit by texting us or leaving a voicemail on the Nerd hotline at (901) 730-6373. That’s (901) 730-N-E-R-D. Or you can email us a voice memo at [email protected].
Sean Pyles:
And while you’re at it, send us your money questions too. We know how confusing money can be and we want to help you make smarter financial decisions. And a quick reminder that we are running another book giveaway sweepstakes ahead of our Nerdy Book Club episode.
Elizabeth Ayoola:
Our next club guest is Jake Cousineau, author of How to Adult: Personal Finance for the Real World. The book offers tips to young people on how to get started with managing their money.
Sean Pyles:
To enter for a chance to win our book giveaway, send an email to [email protected] with the subject ‘book sweepstakes’ during the sweepstakes period. Entries must be received by 1159 P.M. Pacific Time on May 17th. Include the following information: your first and last name, email address, zip code, and phone number. For more information, please visit our official sweepstakes rules page. All right, now let’s get into this episode’s money question segment with our co-host, Sara Rathner, after a quick break, stay with us.
We’re back and answering your money questions to help you make smarter financial decisions. This episode we’re taking on a couple questions about cars, how to buy and sell them, and how electric vehicles fit in. And we’re joined by NerdWallet autos writer Shannon Bradley to help us navigate the winding roads of car buying in 2024. Shannon, welcome back to Smart Money.
Shannon Bradley:
Thanks for having me back. Let’s get to the first listener’s question. This comes from a voicemail.
Listener Voicemail:
Hello. The reason I’m calling is we were wondering what do you think about the company Carvana? We’re thinking about selling our vehicle to them because if we maybe try to sell it at a car dealership or something, we’re not really thinking that we’re going to get a good deal for it. But we don’t know as far as us selling a vehicle to them, not us purchasing one from them, if they’re reputable with regards to that. We’ve never used them.
Sean Pyles:
So Shannon, can you start by giving us a quick explanation of how Carvana works?
Shannon Bradley:
Yeah. Carvana is an online only car retailer and they sell and buy used cars only. They also take trade-ins. And based upon the listener’s question, I think the most important thing is that you can request an offer for your car right on the Carvana website as long as it’s a 1992 model or newer. And it’s a pretty simple process. They’re going to ask you for your 17 digit vehicle identification number, more commonly known as your VIN, or your license plate number. They’re going to ask you for mileage, the vehicle condition, vehicle options, and then if you have a loan or a lease on the car, they’ll ask you for information about that too.
Sara Rathner:
So other than Carvana’s iconic car vending machines that you see dotting the landscape in different cities, what makes it different from going to a dealership or to CarMax?
Shannon Bradley:
Well, let’s talk about CarMax first. CarMax is an online retailer too, and they’re very similar to Carvana. I think one of the biggest differences when you sell your car between the two is how you get your car to the retailer. With Carvana, you can finalize the entire sale remotely. They will come to your house, they’ll pick up your car, do the inspection there. You do have to be within one of their service areas, and there could be a small fee depending upon how far you are from their hub. CarMax, on the other hand, they offer pickup, but only at limited locations in four states.
So more than likely you’re going to have to take your car to a CarMax store for inspection. And depending upon where you live, that could be quite a distance. So if you compare these types of online retailers to a dealership, I think two of the biggest differences are convenience and being able to negotiate what’s offered for your car. Again, with Carvana, you can potentially complete the entire process of selling your car right from your home, but when you get an offer from Carvana or CarMax, it’s not negotiable. Whereas if you sell to a dealership, you can attempt to negotiate that offer.
Sean Pyles:
So car buying and selling is a notoriously frustrating process. Are there any common complaints about how Carvana handles this process that maybe are distinct from other ways of buying and selling a car?
Shannon Bradley:
On the selling side, I’m not aware of too many complaints. In fact, it was kind of funny, over the weekend I had a friend on Facebook ask this very question, and so I was monitoring responses of people and they were saying that it was a fast and easy process to sell their car to Carvana. On the buying side, I think the thing is, you have to remember that when you buy a car from Carvana, you can’t test drive it, you can’t inspect it. And on occasion, I’ve heard of people receiving a car that they didn’t feel really matched what was represented online. But I think the thing to keep in mind there is that Carvana offers a seven-day money-back guarantee with a limit of 400 miles. So when you get your car, just take that time to really test drive it and get a very thorough inspection done.
Sean Pyles:
So people go with Carvana because it seems like a really easy way to buy or sell a car and you can potentially just have the car dropped off at your front door. But that doesn’t mean that you still don’t have to do your due diligence and then get that inspection to make sure the car is as good as they are telling you it is.
Shannon Bradley:
Yes, exactly. They will allow you to, I think return up to three vehicles. There is some leeway there. And then the other thing that I was just going to mention, because I think a lot of people have heard about this because there was a lot of media coverage about it. This was in late 2022, early 2023, there was an issue with Carvana buyers. They would buy a car, they didn’t get their title in a timely manner, and so they couldn’t even register and drive the cars. And that’s something that our autos team has been monitoring. It doesn’t seem to be the issue that it has a year ago, but we still recommend for people to ask for proof of title. It’s just given that there were issues a year and a half ago, it’s just not a bad idea to do that.
Sara Rathner:
So our listener, like so many others, is interested in getting a good deal when selling their car. Do we know if places like Carvana offer better or worse deals than other places where you can sell your car?
Shannon Bradley:
Well, when you compare Carvana to CarMax, I’d say that’s kind of a toss-up. I think a lot depends on the vehicle you’re selling. Is it one that the retailer needs in their inventory at that time? And if it is, they may be more inclined to make you a better offer, but that’s why it’s so important to get more than one offer. And then you asked about dealerships. Traditionally you can get more selling your car to an individual, but of course that’s not going to be as easy as selling to someone who’s going to come right to your door and pick it up or even being able to go to the dealership down the road, but dealerships, their offers tend to be the lowest. But again, it depends on the car that you’re selling. Right now we’re seeing that both new and used cars are low inventory for Toyota. So if you have a type of car that a dealer is really needing on their lot, you may be able to negotiate a better deal.
Sean Pyles:
So the car market has been on a wild ride over the past few years, really since the pandemic began. So what is the car market looking like right now both for buyers and sellers?
Shannon Bradley:
Well, I would say wild ride is kind of an understatement. As someone who’s been covering the car market for the last three years, it has been a wild ride. It is not back to where it was before the pandemic. But from a car buyer aspect, several things are improving. For one, inventory is returning to normal. And actually you have some auto manufacturers who have overshot and are overstocked and those particular manufacturers, they’re starting to offer incentives again. We’re hearing you may be able to negotiate below the manufacturer’s suggested retail price, which was really unheard of during the pandemic. And then on the downside, we all know how vehicle prices are still high. I think actually this morning I saw that the average transaction price for a new vehicle is still at $47,000. That’s not small change by any means.
Sean Pyles:
No, it’s a lot of money.
Shannon Bradley:
But you can find deals out there, especially if you’re flexible about what you’re buying. And then leasing has some good deals. And if you buy or lease an EV right now, you could qualify for the federal tax credit of up to $7,500 on top of the other incentives that are out there.
Sara Rathner:
So how about sellers in the current climate? How are things looking for people who are selling their car right now?
Shannon Bradley:
Well, I would say they’re not faring quite as well as the buyers. Depends on what you’re selling, but if you recall, during the pandemic the vehicle shortage meant that individuals were actually selling their cars for a lot more than they paid for them. And with car supplies returning to normal for most manufacturers, selling isn’t what it was during the pandemic. You shouldn’t anticipate a huge profit like we were seeing in the past several years, but you should expect to receive a fair price and you can do that by researching the current market value of your car.
Sean Pyles:
So how can people get the most money for their vehicle?
Shannon Bradley:
Well, I go back to research. Research is key. If I was selling my car right now, I definitely wouldn’t put all of my eggs in one basket. If you get only one offer, which is something a lot of people do, they just don’t want to take the time to get more than one offer, you won’t ever know if there was a better offer out there. And the thing is, nowadays, it’s easy to do your research. You have online pricing guides where you can find estimates like Edmunds or Kelley Blue Book. And as we’ve been discussing, you can request actual offers from sites like Carvana, CarMax or TrueCar. And there’s not any cost or obligation to do that. Something we recently launched at NerdWallet, we can also make an offer on your car. We now have NerdWallet Automotive and you can find that when you Google NerdWallet buy my car.
Sean Pyles:
Alrighty. Well now let’s turn to the next question, which comes from a listener’s text message. They wrote, what is the fuel of the future? I’ve been researching about buying a new car and they’re saying that cars in the future are going to be electric, but if there’s a new fuel of the future, should I just wait until the new fuel comes out or just buy an electric car now? So Shannon, if you don’t mind, please bring out your crystal ball or industry research and tell us is there a new fuel of the future or does it seem like electric vehicles are the automotive energy of the coming years?
Shannon Bradley:
Well, we’re hearing a lot about research of different alternative fuels like natural gas, propane, or hydrogen fuel cells, which is really just another way of generating electricity. But these are all really in their early stages of development and adoption. So while I think development of various ways to lower vehicle emissions will definitely continue, my crystal ball says that in the near future, the emphasis will still be on EVs.
Sara Rathner:
And is that because EVs have just been around longer and have an advantage in the market over these other fuel types?
Shannon Bradley:
Yes, Sarah, it is. Many people don’t realize that the first electric vehicles were actually introduced in the late 1800s, then they kind of fell by the wayside and interest renewed in the 1970s. So it’s actually taken a long time for us to reach a point where electricity is accepted as a fuel source as it’s becoming today. According to Kelley Blue Book, EVs represent the fastest growing car sales category, and last year nearly 1.2 million U.S. vehicle buyers went electric. We don’t expect that pace to slow down with federal and state legislation as well as so many car makers devoting many resources to the transition to EVs. I just don’t see a quick pivot to other fuel sources that are going to take more time to build that infrastructure and to build that adoption rate.
Sean Pyles:
So the EV market has been developing rapidly over the past few years, but many anxieties that would-be buyers might have around electric vehicles like range, affordability, finding chargers are pretty persistent. Have any of these issues gotten better?
Shannon Bradley:
They have gotten better. For comparison, before 2016, when you’re looking at range, the median range of a new EV was below 100 miles and the top performing option couldn’t travel 300 miles without a charge. Today you can buy an EV that has a 250-mile range for less than $40,000 and the high-end models can have a range of more than 400 miles per charge. When you’re talking about the charging infrastructure, that’s improving too. We now have about 60,000 charging stations across the country, and that’s more than twice the number that we had five years ago. And there are a lot of incentives out there to help with installing home chargers, like from some auto manufacturers or your local electric company.
Sara Rathner:
What about the price of these cars? EVs are generally more expensive than gas powered cars. Is this changing?
Shannon Bradley:
That’s improving too. I think the Tesla price drops have driven other car makers to follow suit. There are a lot of EV incentives out there to help reduce the cost. As I said earlier, you could qualify for the federal tax credit of up to $7,500 and that can usually be stacked with other incentives from car manufacturers, state and local government and electric companies. The U.S. Department of Energy actually has a site, you can find it by searching alternative fuels U.S. Department of Energy, that has a database where you can research all of the various incentives that are available. Late last year, I talked to someone who was an EV buyer in California and he used multiple incentives to knock $8,000 off the price of a Chevy Bolt. And then right now there are a lot of EV leasing deals, and that’s a great option if you’re someone who just isn’t sure that you want to go ahead and buy an EV right now.
Sean Pyles:
Okay. So Shannon, I have to ask you, as a consumer and also someone who writes about this stuff a lot, how are you thinking about electric vehicles? Have you made the jump or are you planning to?
Shannon Bradley:
I haven’t made the leap yet, but it isn’t because I don’t want one. I’m pretty frugal with my money and I bought a gas-powered car right before the pandemic, so I was able to buy it before car prices skyrocketed. And I’m in a fortunate position right now where I’m no longer supporting children. I was receiving, like everyone, stimulus funds during COVID, so I was able to pay down that car and I actually don’t have a car payment right now. I am environmentally conscious. So I think that eventually I will buy or lease an EV, but for right now, I’m enjoying taking a vacation from car payments and putting that money into my retirement savings.
Sean Pyles:
Well, that does sound like a very smart financial decision. I’ll say that. Well, Shannon, thank you so much for joining us on Smart Money.
Shannon Bradley:
Well, thanks for having me.
Sean Pyles:
And that is all we have for this episode. Remember, listener, we are here for you and your money questions. So if you have anything that you want the Nerds to help you out with, call us or text us on the Nerd hotline at (901) 730-6373. That’s (901) 730-N-E-R-D. You can also email us at [email protected]. Also visit nerdwallet.com/podcast for more info on this episode. And remember to follow, rate and review us wherever you’re getting this podcast. This episode was produced by Tess Vigeland who also helped with editing. Sara Brink mixed our audio. And a big thank you to NerdWallet’s editors for all their help.
Sara Rathner:
And here’s our brief disclaimer, we’re not financial or investment advisors. The nerdy info is provided for general educational and entertainment purposes and may not apply to your specific circumstances.
Sean Pyles:
And with that said, until next time, turn to the Nerds.
Source: nerdwallet.com
The average for a 30-year fixed-mortgage is 7.34% today, up 0.02% over the last week. The average rate for a 15-year fixed mortgage is 6.74%, which is a decrease of -0.02% from the same time last week. For a look at mortgage rate movement, see the chart below.
Because inflation data hasn’t been improving, the Federal Reserve has been pushing off rate cuts. Though mortgage rates could still inch down later in the year, housing market predictions change regularly in response to economic data, geopolitical events and more.
Mortgage rates change every day. Experts recommend shopping around to make sure you’re getting the lowest rate. By entering your information below, you can get a custom quote from one of CNET’s partner lenders.
About these rates: Like CNET, Bankrate is owned by Red Ventures. This tool features partner rates from lenders that you can use when comparing multiple mortgage rates.
Each mortgage has a loan term, or payment schedule. The most common mortgage terms are 15 and 30 years, although 10-, 20- and 40-year mortgages also exist. With a fixed-rate mortgage, the interest rate is set for the duration of the loan, offering stability. With an adjustable-rate mortgage, the interest rate is only fixed for a certain amount of time (commonly five, seven or 10 years), after which the rate adjusts annually based on the market. Fixed-rate mortgages are a better option if you plan to live in a home in the long term, but adjustable-rate mortgages may offer lower interest rates upfront.
The 30-year fixed-mortgage rate average is 7.34% today. A 30-year fixed mortgage is the most common loan term. It will often have a higher interest rate than a 15-year mortgage, but you’ll have a lower monthly payment.
Today, the average rate for a 15-year, fixed mortgage is 6.74%. Though you’ll have a bigger monthly payment than a 30-year fixed mortgage, a 15-year loan usually comes with a lower interest rate, allowing you to pay less interest in the long run and pay off your mortgage sooner.
A 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgage has an average rate of 6.74% today. You’ll typically get a lower introductory interest rate with a 5/1 ARM in the first five years of the mortgage. But you could pay more after that period, depending on how the rate adjusts annually. If you plan to sell or refinance your house within five years, an ARM could be a good option.
Over the last few years, high inflation and the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate hikes pushed up mortgage rates from their record lows around the pandemic. Since last summer, the Fed has consistently kept the federal funds rate at 5.25% to 5.5%. Though the central bank doesn’t directly set the rates for mortgages, a high federal funds rate makes borrowing more expensive, including for home loans.
Mortgage rates change daily, but average rates have been moving between 6.5% and 7.5% since late last fall. Today’s homebuyers have less room in their budget to afford the cost of a home due to elevated mortgage rates and steep home prices. Limited housing inventory and low wage growth are also contributing to the affordability crisis and keeping mortgage demand down.
Most housing market experts predict rates will end the year between 6% and 6.5%. Ultimately, a more affordable mortgage market will depend on how quickly the Fed begins cutting interest rates. The central bank could start lowering interest rates in the fall, but it will depend on how the economy fares in the coming months.
Mortgage rates fluctuate for many reasons: supply, demand, inflation, monetary policy, jobs data and market expectations. Homebuyers won’t see lower rates overnight, and it’s unlikely there will ever be a return to the 2-3% mortgage rates we saw between 2000 and early 2022.
“We are expecting mortgage rates to fall to around 6.5% by the end of this year, but there’s still a lot of volatility I think we might see,” said Daryl Fairweather, chief economist at Redfin.
Every month brings a new set of inflation and labor data that can influence the direction of mortgage rates, said Odeta Kushi, deputy chief economist at First American Financial Corporation. “Ongoing inflation deceleration, a slowing economy and even geopolitical uncertainty can contribute to lower mortgage rates. On the other hand, data that signals upside risk to inflation may result in higher rates,” Kushi said.
Here’s a look at where some major housing authorities expect average mortgage rates to land.
Getting a mortgage should always depend on your financial situation and long-term goals. The most important thing is to make a budget and try to stay within your means. CNET’s mortgage calculator below can help homebuyers prepare for monthly mortgage payments.
Though mortgage rates and home prices are high, the housing market won’t be unaffordable forever. It’s always a good time to save for a down payment and improve your credit score to help you secure a competitive mortgage rate when the time is right.
Source: cnet.com
Often overshadowed by its twin city, Minneapolis, St. Paul has a charm and history all its own. With its deep roots in the trade and transportation industries, thanks to the Mississippi River, St. Paul has grown into a city with a lot to brag about.
This city isn’t just the state capital; it’s a hotspot for artists, politicians, and entrepreneurs alike. With so much going on, it’s no mystery why people all over are trying to find a home in St. Paul.
Let’s explore ten of the top things St. Paul is known for and see a whole new side of the better half of the Twin Cities.
The Minnesota State Capitol in St. Paul, designed by architect Cass Gilbert, is a functioning seat of government and a masterpiece of Beaux Arts architecture. Completed in 1905, it features the second-largest self-supported marble dome in the world, and its interior is adorned with murals and sculptures that narrate the state’s history. Tours of this landmark provide a deep dive into Minnesota’s legislative process and offer panoramic views of the city from the dome’s observation deck.
The Minnesota History Center is an interactive museum and library that serves as a gateway to the past. Exhibits range from the natural disasters that have shaped the land to the cultural achievements of its people. The center also puts on concerts, lectures, and family days, making it a focal point for learning outside of the classroom.
Home to the NHL’s Minnesota Wild, the Xcel Energy Center is more than just an arena. Since its opening in 2000, it has become a landmark for major concerts and other live performances. This state-of-the-art facility is known for its fan-friendly atmosphere and was once ranked as the best overall sports venue in the U.S. by ESPN.
The Como Park Zoo and Conservatory is a great family-friendly attraction. Zoo admission is free and the conservatory showcases seasonal flower shows and more. Its dedication to conservation and education makes it a respected institution in St. Paul.
Overlooking downtown St. Paul, the Cathedral of Saint Paul is an iconic feature of the city’s skyline. This stunning Roman Catholic cathedral, one of the largest in the U.S., is a magnificent example of the Classical Renaissance style. It hosts thousands of visitors and worshippers who come to admire its detailed architecture and beautiful sacred art.
As the oldest active theater in St. Paul and the longtime home of Garrison Keillor’s “A Prairie Home Companion,” the Fitzgerald Theater holds a special place in the story of St. Paul. Today, it hosts a variety of live performances, including music, comedy, and theater.
Renowned for its dinosaur exhibits and Omnitheater, the Science Museum of Minnesota is a top-notch museum. Its hands-on exhibits cover topics from paleontology to technology and native Minnesotan habitats.
Strolling down Summit Avenue, visitors can admire the longest stretch of Victorian homes in the U.S. This grand avenue is lined with historic mansions built by the elite of the late 19th and early 20th centuries, including the James J. Hill House. The street’s architectural beauty and historical significance make it a popular destination for guided walking tours.
Grand Avenue is a lively street with independent shops, small cafes, and killer restaurants. It’s a favorite for locals looking for a relaxed atmosphere away from the busier downtown area.
Located along the Mississippi River, Harriet Island Regional Park is a haven in the heart of St. Paul. It has walking paths, picnic areas, and a pavilion that hosts public events and festivals throughout the year. The park is a favorite spot for residents and visitors thanks to its spectacular view of the downtown skyline.
Housing experts say mortgage rates are likely to hover in the 7 percent range in May, amid elevated inflation that is keeping the Federal Reserve from reducing borrowing costs.
The high cost of home loans may keep buyers at bay as they await the decline of rates before they can make the leap toward homeownership.
Read more: Find the Lowest Rates From Top Mortgage Lenders
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates starting in March 2022 to its current two-decade high of 5.25 to 5.5 percent, a move geared to fight soaring inflation. This contributed to the push-up of borrowing costs, including for home loans. Inflation is still struggling to cool down to the 2 percent central bank target, which has forced policymakers to retain the high interest rate environment.
The 30-year fixed rate, for the week ending April 19, rose for the third week in a row to 7.24 percent—the highest level since November 2023.
Economic data, particularly around inflation, have come in higher than expected over the last few weeks. In March, inflation jumped to 3.5 percent on a yearly basis, up from 3.2 percent the prior month.
Unless inflation surprises in the coming weeks, mortgage rates are likely to stay in the 7 to 7.5 percent range, according to Realtor.com’s chief economist Danielle Hale. Fed policymakers are set to conclude their latest meeting on May 1, and they are unlikely to change their current stance on rates.
“Of all the data, I think that the inflation, specifically the [Consumer Price Index] out May 15, will have the biggest impact,” Hale told Newsweek. “Inflation and labor market data has come in higher and hotter than expected. This change in the data, which is driving a change in the outlook, has pushed interest rates, including mortgage rates, higher across the board.”
Read more: How to Get a Mortgage
High mortgage rates will depress buyers’ ability to buy homes.
“I expect homebuyers to approach the housing market more tepidly, and sales will reflect that trend,” Hale told Newsweek.
Orphe Divounguy, a senior economist at Zillow Home Loans, echoed Hale’s perspective on what will drive mortgage rates as inflation remains elevated.
“The fact that government borrowing remains high relative to demand for U.S. Treasury bonds is likely to continue to push yields—which mortgage rates follow—elevated,” he told Newsweek. “Looking into May, we can expect more rate volatility as investors and the Fed wait for more conclusive evidence of a return to low, stable and more predictable inflation.”
Buyers are still likely to be waiting for rates to fall but the key to the trajectory of rates will be how inflation performs over the coming months, said Holden Lewis, a home and mortgage expert at NerdWallet.
“Inflation remains stubbornly above the Fed’s target of 2 [percent], and mortgage rates won’t fall significantly until the inflation rate consistently drops for multiple months in a row,” Lewis told Newsweek. “Potential home buyers are holding back and waiting for mortgage rates to decline. The slowdown in home sales will allow the inventory of unsold homes to increase. That won’t stop home prices from going up, but it might slow down the pace of home price increases this summer.”
In May, policymakers from the Fed will reveal their latest rate decision and provide insights on the trajectory of borrowing costs. Also in May, the CPI inflation data reading for April will give insight into how prices are performing, which will give a signal to how rates might unfold over the next few weeks.
For the housing market, one silver lining may come from buyers who have to acquire homes due to personal situations.
Read more: How to Buy a House if You Have Bad Credit
“Purchases are likely to be dominated by movers who feel like they don’t have a choice to wait out higher rates, but rather, they have to move now for personal reasons,” Hale said.
Zillow’s Divounguy suggested that with mortgage rates expected to stay high, lower-priced homes could see escalated competition.
“We continue to expect significant competition this spring, especially for attractive listings on the lower end of the price range. New construction homes are selling well too; they’re available, and builders are offering financial incentives—such as rate buydowns and covering closing costs—to potential home buyers,” he said. “Remember, higher rates mean the home price a buyer can afford is lower, so if you’re shopping for a home in the mid-tier or lower, it’s best to assume you’ll run into some competition.”
Hale suggested that sellers, who can also be buyers, enter the housing market.
“With 80 [percent] of potential sellers having thought about selling for 1 to 3 years, it could be that higher rates are less of a deterrent this year than in the recent past,” she said.
The perspective from lenders appears to be that the 10-year treasury yields, currently at around 4.7 percent, will drop in the coming weeks to 4 percent and narrow the difference between mortgage rates and treasury rates.
“We expect the spread will tighten further by the end of 2024. The combination implies a 30-year fixed mortgage rate mostly unchanged in the coming weeks but eventually moving closer to 6.5 percent by the end of 2024,” Joel Kan, Mortgage Bankers Association’s deputy chief economist, told Newsweek.
Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.
Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.
Source: newsweek.com