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Apache is functioning normally

December 10, 2023 by Brett Tams

It’s that time of year again. December is the final call for (most) annual tax issues, and the topic of tax-loss harvesting rears its head. Let’s break down the basics and ask an important question: is tax-loss harvesting more than a simple fad?

Before answering the critical question (“Is tax-loss harvesting worth it?“), let’s baseline ourselves with some basics.

What is Tax-Loss Harvesting, and Why Bother?

Tax-loss harvesting is a strategic investment practice where investors sell assets at a capital loss to offset other capital gains. This minimizes taxable income. This technique is commonly employed to optimize investment portfolios and enhance after-tax returns.

Here’s a primer on capital losses, capital gains, and the entire capital gains tax structure.

Why bother tax-loss harvesting in the first place?

You might have assets in your portfolio with unrealized losses. Selling those assets turns that lame asset into a “tool” in your toolbox. That tool can neutralize taxes, lowering this year’s tax bill. Not bad, right?!

Losses can even neaturalize future year tax bills! Any unused losses this year are tracked on your tax returns and, eventually, can be used to cancel a future year’s capital gain.

But there’s more to the story. We’ll get into those details later.

The Wash Sale Rule

Tax-loss harvesting has a limitation. When you sell an asset at a loss, a 30-day look back and a 30-day look forward period bookend that sale. If, during those 61 days (30+1+30), you bought a “substantially identical” asset in any account**, then your capital loss doesn’t count.

The wash sale rule prevents manipulating a stock portfolio to accelerate the recognition of tax losses or defer the recognition of tax gains.

**This is a huge detail many people miss. The Wash Sale Rule looks at all investing accounts from which an owner controls or benefits.

If you execute tax-loss harvesting in your taxable account by selling an S&P 500 index fund at loss, then you cannot trade materially similar S&P 500 index funds in any accounts (IRA, 401(k), HSA, 529, etc) during the 61-day wash sale window. This even includes innocuous occurences, like a previously held S&P 500 fund paying out a dividend which is automatically reinvested.

If you’re going to tax-loss harvest, you need awareness of all your investing accounts.

If you plan on tax-loss harvesting, you must know the wash sale rule.

When is Tax-Loss Harvesting Worth It?

When misused, tax-loss harvesting can be a net-zero or even harmful activity. Let’s talk through some good and bad examples.

Good: Tax-Loss Harvesting to Offset a Liquidation Event

Perhaps you’re selling a business or a second home (primary homes typically don’t suffer capital gains taxes) and facing a significant capital gain from that sale. Tax-loss harvesting makes sense here.

Why?

In this scenario, you’re making the sale anyway. You might as well seek out ways of saving money. You’re fundamentally reallocating your net worth away from the real estate or business to something new (perhaps a stock/bond investment portfolio).

The gains and losses are from different pools of money, which permanently offset one another. This is good. But as we’ll see later, this isn’t always the case.

Example:

  • You sell a business for a $500,000 (long-term) capital gain.
  • As it happens, the S&P 500 index fund holdings in your taxable account are down $100,000 from where you bought them (also long-term).
  • You sell all of the S&P position, realizing a $100,000 loss.
  • That loss offsets $100,000 of the business gains.
  • Now you only have to pay taxes against $400,000 of gains (likely saving at a 23.8% Federal rate, or saving ~$23,800)
  • You re-invest the $100,000 proceeds of the S&P 500 fund in a similar but not materially identical manner. “Similar” because we want to maintain our overall portfolio allocation. But “not materially identical” because we don’t want to violate the wash sale rule. A good candidate here would be an “Total US Stock Market Index Fund” to replace our S&P fund.
  • You invest the business proceeds (less remaining capital gains taxes) according to your financial plan.

Good: Offsetting Income (Usually)

You can use tax losses to offset up to $3000 in annual earned income. This is an excellent use of tax-loss harvesting (usually).

The reason is tax-rate arbitrage.

Many taxpayers have a Federal tax rate of 22% or higher. Every dollar of income they can offset results in a 22% (or greater) savings. Meanwhile, harvesting tax losses usually creates a 15% capital gain in the future (we’ll discuss how and why this is below).

By saving 22 cents today and spending 15 cents in the future, taxpayers can arbitrage a net 7% on their $3000 for free. The benefit is even more stark in higher brackets (24%, 32%, 35%). Not bad!

Another common tax arbitrage occurs when an investor might owe capital gains at the 23.8% bracket. Losses can offset those gains (saving 23.8%), likely resulting in a 15% capital gains tax later on. That’s a deal we’d take every time.

Good: Diversifying from Over-Concentration

Uncle Ed bequested 10,000 shares of the ACME Corporation to you in 1990 at $1 each. Now they’re worth $20 each. You own $200,000 of ACME, representing a considerable over-concentration in your portfolio (and a huge capital gain if you try to diversify away from it).

Similar to the business example from above, diversifying away from ACME is something you should be doing anyway. You might as well reduce your capital gains tax while doing so.

Bad/Neutral: Zero’ing Out Gains in Your Portfolio

Perhaps the most common reason I see people tax-loss harvest is to zero out gains inside their portfolio. They have (unrealized) losses on their books and feel the need to use them. So, they think they might as well realize gains in the portfolio, use their losses to negate the gains (and negate this year’s taxes), and then reinvest the proceeds.

I think this is, at best, a neutral use of tax-loss harvesting, not to mention a waste of time. The math explains why.

First, by reinvesting all the proceeds of the transactions, the overall portfolio construction doesn’t change. There’s no fundamental investing benefit (unlike the earlier example of diversifying a concentrated position). And there’s no factor of “I’d be doing this anyway,” like the earlier example of selling a business.

But is there a tax benefit?

No, there’s no net tax benefit. The assets with gains get an increase in cost basis, while the assets with losses get a decrease in cost basis in equal magnitude, leading to zero change in the overall cost basis of the portfolio.

This means that any capital gains you “saved” this year will simply be paid in a future year.

Now, if you think you’ll pay at a lower tax rate in that future year, that’s worthwhile; it’s the tax arbitrage benefit we discussed before. But in most real-life examples I’ve encountered, there’s no arbitrage. It’s just a postponing of the inevitable for no net benefit.

What About the Time Value of Money?

“Postponing the inevitable” might be a good thing in some cases.

Would you rather pay $1000 in taxes today, or $1000 in 10 years? The answer is easy: in 10 years.

The benefit of tax-loss harvesting – simple tax deferral – is technically good. But, in my opinion, only becomes worthwhile at large dollar amounts for long periods of time.

If you’re able to defer $100,000 for 10 years, then go ahead and use tax-loss harvesting. But if you’re deferring $500 for a year, the juice isn’t worth the squeeze.

Other Bad Scenarios

Tax-loss harvesting has other downsides. Some scenarios include:

Losses Must Negate Gains First

When you realize a capital loss, it must be first-and-foremost used to offset capital gains – even if you don’t want it to.

  • You want to use losses to offset regular taxable income? Only if you’ve already offset all your capital gains.
  • You happen to be in the 0% capital gains bracket this year, and so you want to “pay” that 0% tax? Too bad. Your losses negate those gains – a.k.a. your losses were used for zero real benefits.

Without careful tax planning, your tax losses might be wasted.

Death Ends the Conversation

If a taxpayer dies with unused tax losses, the opportunity disappears forever.

Questions of mortality should be thoughtfully considered as part of a long-term tax plan.

Tax-loss harvesting, like all tax planning tactics, should never be considered in a vacuum. There are simply too many complicating factors involved. Instead, tax-loss harvesting is a tool to be used as part of a long-term tax plan.

Thank you for reading! If you enjoyed this article, join 7000+ subscribers who read my 2-minute weekly email, where I send you links to the smartest financial content I find online every week.

-Jesse

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Apache is functioning normally

December 10, 2023 by Brett Tams

Nvidia, best known for manufacturing graphics processing units and integrated circuits, has been a hot topic among investors during the artificial intelligence boom. Here’s what to consider when deciding if Nvidia has a place in your investment portfolio, and how to buy it.

How to buy Nvidia stock

You can buy Nvidia stock through an online brokerage account. You’ll need to put money in the account, then search for Nvidia stock within the brokerage’s platform.

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1. Do your research into Nvidia

Investing in a top-performing S&P 500 stock might be tempting, but choosing which stock to buy based on how it’s currently performing — or even how it’s performed in the past — won’t tell you everything you need to know.

Make sure you do some qualitative and quantitative research on a company you’re considering investing in to get the full picture. This can mean looking into the company’s leadership, competition and financials.

You’ll also want to think big picture when deciding what stock to pick, like what your investment goals are and if Nvidia might be part of the path toward achieving them.

2. Decide if Nvidia makes sense for you

Stocks are long-term investments. It can be good to prioritize an emergency fund and your short-term financial goals before you consider investing. Short-term financial goals might look like paying down debt, saving money to travel or planning for home improvements.

As a general rule of thumb, it’s recommended that you only invest in stocks with money you won’t use in the next five years — this allows your investment time to survive any market fluctuations.

When it comes to investing, you also don’t want all your eggs in one basket. Having a diverse portfolio of investments means if one type of investment falls, those losses could be offset if a different type of investment rises. So if the majority of the stocks you own fall into the technology category, you might consider investing in something different to reduce the risk of big losses if the technology sector takes a dive.

3. Open a brokerage account

If you don’t have a brokerage account already, you’ll need one to buy Nvidia stock. But opening an account online is quick and simple — it should only take about 15 minutes, and then you’re ready to buy. It’s a good idea to double-check that the online broker you’re signing up for offers the specific investment you’re interested in.

When weighing brokers, look for one that has low or no account fees, requires no account minimum and has positive ratings from users.

If you’re not in the financial position to buy a full share of Nvidia, or you just don’t want a full share, it might be worthwhile to look into brokers that offer fractional shares. This would allow you to buy a portion of Nvidia stock as opposed to a full share. That’s because fractional shares are based on a dollar amount instead of the number of shares.

4. Consider how much to invest in Nvidia

You’ll want to think about how many shares of Nvidia you want to buy and what type of order you want to use.

How many shares of Nvidia you buy is up to you. But you’ll want to consider what kinds of investments you already have and how comfortable you are in your other financial goals before making a decision.

After you’ve decided how many shares to buy, there are a few ways to make your purchase, including market, limit, stop-loss and stop-limit orders. Generally, market orders are the easiest for beginners.

Looking to build your investing portfolio further? The process of buying stocks is generally the same across the board. Check out our full guide on how to buy stocks for more info.

Neither the author nor editor held positions in the aforementioned investments at the time of publication.

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Apache is functioning normally

December 9, 2023 by Brett Tams

All too often we make investing far more complicated than it really is. I was guilty of this when I first started investing back in 1993. Like the search for the Holy Grail, I was convinced that there was a perfect asset allocation plan. And I searched for it. I spent hours upon hours trying to construct the perfect investment plan.

I’ve mellowed a bit since then. I’ve ditched my micro cap value fund for a much simpler asset allocation. It’s not that a micro cap fund, a China ETF, or mortgage REITs are bad investments. Rather, I’m no longer convinced that such asset classes are necessary to achieve my investment goals. I’m also not convinced such a complicated portfolio will outperform a simpler approach.

This Philosophy informs my responses when I receive email from readers about their own investments. They want to know if they should have a small cap value fund, or REITs, or a dividend fund, or dozens of other asset classes in their investment portfolio. This article and podcast is in response to all of those questions and similar emails I’ll certainly receive in the future.

How the Pros See Asset Allocation

There are a number of excellent sources we can turn to for investment ideas. Here are four of them.

Target Date Retirement Funds

The major mutual fund companies offer target date retirement funds. These fund of funds as they are called, split the amount of your investments into several mutual funds. Reviewing exactly which funds these target date investments to use give us insight into the asset allocation chosen by the likes of Fidelity.

Robo Advisors

Much like target date retirement funds, we can also peer into the asset allocation plans of automated investment services. Three of the most popular are Betterment, Wealthfront, and Future Advisors. Wealthfront, for example, has an excellent white paper on its investment philosophy. It not only shows its asset allocation plans for taxable and retirement accounts, but it also provides an in depth explanation for the asset classes it has chosen.

Investment Books

Any number of investment books provide excellent ideas on asset allocation plans. Two of my favorites are All About Asset Allocation by Ric Ferri and Unconventional Success by David Swenson. I interviewed Ric about his investment philosophy in Podcast 3. I’ve written about David Swenson’s model asset allocation plan as well. Both are worth reviewing.

Bogleheads Forum

The Bogleheads Forum has a wealth of information about investing. Of particular interest to asset allocation plans is what they call Lazy Portfolios. That resource lists a number of asset allocation plans that are easy to implement and maintain. It’s a great resource.

Same Kind of Different as Me

What’s interesting about the above resources is that none of the asset allocation plans is identical. While some are similar, they all take a slightly different approach. So much for the “perfect” asset allocation plan. It doesn’t exist.

As I was pursuing the Bogleheads forum while writing this article, I came across the following comment:

I couldn’t say it better myself.

Alternatives to Stocks

In fact, it’s worth mentioning that plenty of investors look for alternatives to stocks to further diversify their portfolio and have a little fun with their investing, while still growing their nest egg.

For example, Masterworks is an investment platform that lets you buy shares in blue-chip artworks: Pieces by household names like Andy Warhol. The blue-chip art index has outperformed the S&P 500 over the last 18 years, making blockbuster art a quirky but potentially lucrative addition to your personal portfolio. Find out more about Masterworks in our full review.

Of course, all of this raises an important question. How do we choose the asset allocation plan that is best for us?

Related:

The Perfect Asset Allocation Plan for You

Given that there is no one “right” investment plan, the key is to find a solid plan that fits your personality and investment options. You can start with any of the asset allocation models listed above, and then customize it to fit your investing style. To do that, consider these four factors:

  • Risk Tolerance: The starting point is to understand how much volatility you can handle. This comes with experience. As you start to invest, you typically don’t have a lot of money invested. As a result, losing 50% (the 2007-2009 market dropped 57%) seems awful, but the actual dollar loss may not be much. If you have $1 million invested, losing 50% can be traumatic.
  • Complexity: I know some investors that embrace complexity. Their portfolios have literally dozens of asset classes. They don’t invest in one or two international funds, they invest in country-specific ETFs and slice the U.S. market into six or more asset classes. It’s a lot to manage, particularly when it comes time to rebalance. If that kind of complexity is not your cup of tea, keep your portfolio simple. It’s more than reasonable to build a well-diversified portfolio with just three or four asset classes.
  • Boredom: Some would be bored with a 3-fund portfolio. They aren’t interested in a wildly complex portfolio, but they do want some exposure to additional asset classes. These often include REITs, small cap, and emerging markets. If that’s you, and it’s certainly me, expand your portfolio to cover one or more of these asset classes. The key is to find a plan you’ll stick with in good times and bad.
  • Investing Options: Finally, we have to work with the investing options available to us, particularly in a 401k or other workplace retirement plan.

  • Rob Berger is the founder of Dough Roller and the Dough Roller Money Podcast. A former securities law attorney and Forbes deputy editor, Rob is the author of the book Retire Before Mom and Dad. He educates independent investors on his YouTube channel and at RobBerger.com.

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Apache is functioning normally

December 5, 2023 by Brett Tams

It’s a common problem.

You’ve got some cash in a savings account earning a paltry 0.01%. You plan to spend it to buy a home or a car or something else in a few years. How can you invest the money until then to earn some extra interest?

It’s called short-term investing, and it’s tricky. Put your money in the stock market, and it could be gone when you need it. Put it in a traditional savings account, and it earns practically nothing. So, what should you do?

Recently, a listener to our podcast, Michael, emailed me with just this dilemma:

Let’s answer Michael’s question.

What is a Short Term Investment?

What exactly is a short-term investment? Well, there is no official definition. There is no governing body that defines what short-term or long-term investing is. It’s arbitrary.

For me, short-term investing is investing money you’re going to need to spend in fewer than five years.

Why five years? Because most of the time, the stock market doesn’t lose money over a 5-year period. It can, of course. Go back to the 1930s and 40s and you’ll find 5-year periods where the market was crushed, as this Bankrate slideshow demonstrates… 1932 was the worst. The 5-year period ending that year saw a drop of 60.9%.

But that’s rare.

When we have a pretty significant stock market correction or a bear market, it usually takes us at least five years to pull out of it. Of course, that’s not a guarantee. We could hit a bear market, and it could take us 10 years to pull out of it.

Either way, five years is where I draw the line. You may want to draw your own line more conservatively… or even less conservatively, for that matter. What I hope to do today is give you some information that will enable you to make a sound decision.

So, let’s begin.

The 10 Best Short Term Investments

1. Lending Club

Lending Club offers a great option with the potential for better returns. This P2P lending platform makes it easy to invest in loans to individuals and companies.

It’s also perfect for short-term lending. Loans on the platform are for either three or five years. If you know you won’t need the money until then, Lending Club is a reasonable alternative.

I’ve invested in Lending Club loans since the platform was first launched. My current annualized return, including loans that defaulted, is over 8%.

With higher returns, however, comes higher risks. Loans do go into collections and eventually default from time to time. Over the years, I’ve invested in 17 loans that defaulted.

The key is diversity. You can invest in a loan with as little as $25. By diversifying across many loans, you minimize the effect a single default will have on your portfolio.

LendingClub Pros and Cons

  • Very easy to invest in a diversified loan portfolio

  • Potential for high returns on a short-term basis


  • Not FDIC-insured

  • Cannot liquidate the loans early

  • Potential for losses

Expected Annual Return: 5.00 to 7.00+%

Read more: Lending Club Review

Lending Club Disclaimer:

2. Certificate of Deposit

The second option for short-term money is a certificate of deposit. CDs give us a lot more options than a savings account. The term of a CD can range from a few months to more than five years, and the longer the term, the higher the rates.

These higher rates, however, come with added risk. Here’s why.

A CD can be cashed in before it matures. For example, you could invest in a 5-year CD, but decide to withdraw your money after the first year. If this happens, however, most CDs charge a penalty. The amount of the penalty varies by bank and CD product.

As a result, it’s best to keep money in a CD until it matures. For this reason, picking the length of the CD is a critical decision.

So, you end up having this delicate dance- you want a long CD term so that you can make the most interest. But you don’t want to pay a penalty if you take the money out early.

CD Pros and Cons

  • FDIC insured

  • CD terms ranging from 6 months to 5 years or longer

  • Higher interest rates on longer term CDs

  • Can create a CD ladder


  • Still relatively low interest rates

  • Penalty for early withdrawal

Expected Annual Return: 1.00 to 2.50%

Here is a list of banks that offer high-yield CD options:

3. Investing With Betterment

Betterment presents an interesting opportunity for short-term investors. It’s not an investment. Rather, it’s an online company that makes investing in stock and bond ETFs easy.

The service can be used for all types of investing, including long-term retirement investing. To use Betterment in the shorter term, you must get the asset allocation right.

Learn More: The Perfect Asset Allocation Plan

Betterment lets investors decide how much to put in stock ETFs and how much to put in bond ETFs. For short-term investing, a 50/50 allocation protects against the downside while allowing for potentially higher returns.

Here’s the 50/50 asset allocation with Betterment:

The 50% in stocks gives us a chance to earn greater returns. The 50% in bonds helps protect short-term investors from a market crash.

There are no guarantees, of course. But looking at a 50/50 portfolio during the 2008-2009 market crash gives us some comfort.

Using PortfolioAnalyzer, I assumed we invested $10,000 at the start of 2008. Assuming we needed the money three years later, how would our 50/50 portfolio perform over a 3-year period. Remember that in 2008, a total U.S. stock index fund lost more than 37%.

Here are the backtested results of our 50/50 portfolio:

The portfolio still lost money in 2008, although far less than the 37% that the market dropped. And what was our final portfolio value at the end of 2010? It grew to $11,014, for an annual return of 3.27%.

While 3.27% is not a great return, remember that 2008 was a very bad year for stocks. Shift our time period one year forward (2009-2011) and our annual return jumps nearly 11%.

As a result, a 50/50 portfolio with Betterment is a reasonable choice for those needing the money in three to five years.

Betterment Pros and Cons

  • Very easy to implement

  • Money can be withdrawn at any time

  • Potential for much higher returns

  • Fees are very low


  • Not FDIC-insured

  • Potential for capital losses

Expected Annual Return: 0 to 10+%

Learn More: Betterment Review

4. Online Savings Account

Traditional banks pay as little as 0.01% on a savings account. That’s as close to zero percent as you can get.

One option for short-term savings that pay more is to go with an online bank. While the rates are still nothing to brag about, the top online savings accounts today pay about 0.50%. Chime® is now paying an APY of 2.00%, which is right in line with the best online savings accounts available. Chime offers a terrific online savings and checking account geared toward savers. You can see the top current rates here.

Online Saving Account Pros and Cons

  • FDIC insured

  • Funds can be withdrawn at any time

  • Rates better than a brick and mortar bank

  • No monthly fees


  • Interest rates are still low

  • Inflation exceeds the rates

Expected Annual Return: 1.30%

Here are some high-yield savings account options:

5. Municipal Bonds

There is a significant downside to bonds: taxes. Interest earned on bonds is taxed, as are any capital gains.

One option to reduce the tax burden is municipal bonds (known as “munis”). These bonds are typically free of federal income tax and may be free from state income tax, too. Munis are an excellent option for those in the higher federal tax brackets.

I’ve invested in Vanguard’s Intermediate-Term Tax-Exempt Fund (VWIUX) in the past. SEC yields on these funds are lower than similar taxable bonds. The comparison must be made on an after-tax basis. This fund currently sports an SEC yield of almost 2%.

Municipal Bonds Pros and Cons

  • Potential for higher returns

  • Tax advantages

  • Easy access to funds without penalty


  • Potential for losses

  • Not ideal for those in lower tax brackets

Expected Annual Return: 2 to 5% (after tax)

6. Short Term Bonds

Our third option is short or intermediate-term bond funds. More specifically, we want to look at low-cost index mutual funds and ETFs. Both Vanguard and Fidelity offer several options.

Here, you have some important choices to make. Do you want a fund that invests just in U.S. government bonds or one that also invests in corporate bonds? Do you want a short-term bond fund or an intermediate-term bond fund?

Like everything else in life, these choices involve trade-offs.

U.S. Government bonds are more secure than corporate bonds, but they pay less. Short-term bonds are less sensitive to interest rate fluctuations than intermediate-term bonds, but they pay less. Today, short-term government bonds do not pay much more than an online savings account. For example, the SEC yield on Vanguard’s short-term Treasury fund is just 1.25%.

For my money, I want to do better than that in a bond fund. While intermediate-term funds can lose money in a given year, they are reasonably stable. Vanguard’s Intermediate-Term Bond Index Fund (VBILX), for instance, costs just 0.07% and sports an SEC yield of over 2.50%.

A review of the performance of VBILX shows that it lost money in only one of the past ten years:

Short Term Bonds Pros and Cons

  • While not FDIC-insured, still reasonably secure

  • Intermediate-term bonds can yield significantly higher rates than a savings account

  • Money can be withdrawn from the fund when needed


  • Not FDIC-insured

  • Can lose money

  • Rates are historically low

Expected Annual Return: 1.00 to 6.00%

7. Bulletshares

There is a downside to traditional bond funds. They can experience capital losses as funds sell some bonds to buy new ones. If interest rates have risen, the fund incurs a loss on the sale of bonds.

Enter Guggenheim’s Bulletshares. These ETFs combine the potential returns of a bond fund with the fixed maturity of a CD. I first learned about Bulletshares from Jeanne J. Fisher, MBA, CFP, CPFA of ARGI Financial Group.

Traditional bond funds continue in perpetuity. The fund management regularly sells bonds as maturities age and replaces them with new bonds with longer maturities. In contrast, Bulletshares have a defined term of one to ten years.

At the end of the term, assets are returned to existing shareholders. And unlike CDs, a shareholder can sell his or her ETF shares at any time without penalty.

Related: What Are ETFs (and Are They a Strong Investment Option)?

Bulletshares come in two flavors: (1) corporate bonds and (2) high-yield corporate bonds. The first invests in investment-grade corporate bonds. The second buys bonds issued by corporations with a credit rating below investment grade. It involves more risk but offers higher returns.

As an example, the Guggenheim BulletShares 2020 High Yield Corporate Bond ETF has a current yield to maturity of over 5%.

Bulletshares Pro and Cons

  • Potential for higher returns

  • ETF shares can be sold at any time

  • Fixed maturity dates


  • Not FDIC-insured

  • Funds can lose money

Expected Annual Return: 1.50 to 5.50%

8. Wealthfront

Like Betterment, Wealthfront is a robo-advisor that makes investing easy. I list it here in addition to Betterment for one reason: It’s free.

Well, it’s free for your first $5,000 if you sign up using a DoughRoller link. After that, the cost is similar to Betterment. For both, you pay the very low fees charged by the ETFs. You also pay a Betterment or Wealthfront fee of about 25 basis points.

With Wealthfront, however, the 25 basis point fee is waived for the first $5,000.

Wealthfront Pros and Cons

  • Very easy to implement

  • Money can be withdrawn at any time

  • Potential for much higher returns

  • Fees are very low


  • Not FDIC-insured

  • Potential for capital losses

Expected Annual Return: 0 to 10%

Read more: Wealthfront Review

9. Worthy Bonds

Worthy Bonds offers you an opportunity to earn 5% on your money, with an investment of as little as $10. It’s a peer-to-peer investment site, where you can invest money in bonds issued by small businesses. The bonds aren’t guaranteed by a government agency, like FDIC, but many of them are collateralized by business inventory.

When you use the Worthy Bonds mobile app, you can automatically add funds to your investment account. Similar to many micro-savings apps, Worthy Bonds uses spending round-ups to move small amounts of money into your investment account as you spend. For example, if you pay $4.10 for a cup of coffee, the app will charge your account an even $5. $4.10 will go to pay the merchant, and $0.90 will go into your investment account. Once you accumulate an even $10 in round-ups, the funds can be used to purchase a bond.

Worthy Bonds Pros and Cons

  • Invest with as little as $10

  • An investment of $1,000 can be diversified across 100 different bonds

  • Interest is credited weekly

  • There are no fees charged on your account

  • Earn interest at more than twice the rate of inflation


  • Pays simple interest only, and does not compound for higher returns

  • The maximum investment is not more than 10% of your net worth or annual income, or $100,000

Expected Annual Return: 5%

Read more: Worthy Bonds Review – A Worthy Investment for Everyone

10. SmartyPig

The final investment option on our list offers an interesting twist to online savings accounts. SmartyPig combines a high yield with savings goals. As of August 2018, SmartyPig currently offers a high yield savings APY of 1.55%.

Now, the savings goals. With SmartyPig, you set specific savings goals. You can set multiple goals, or just one. You then add to the account until you reach your goal. In this way, SmartyPig is ideal for short-term savers.

Related: 6 Keys to Setting Financial Priorities

SmartyPig Pros and Cons

  • FDIC-insured

  • Potential for returns higher than most online banks

  • Makes saving for a specific goal very easy


  • Low rate compared to other options

Expected Annual Return: 1.00+% (depending on account balance)

Is the Stock Market a Good Place for Short-Term Investing?

We could stop here. After all, the above short-term investing options should cover most situations. Yet many will ask one remaining question: Why not just put all our money in the stock market?

It’s an understandable question. Particularly when the market is rising, missing out on money can be painful. It’s funny, though. Nobody asks me this question in a bear market.

And that’s the point. With the stock market, you can lose money over a short period of time.

Thinking Long Term: Sweat In Up Markets So You Don’t Bleed In Down Markets

Let’s return to 2007 and run a test. We’ll use the Vanguard S&P 500 index fund as a proxy for the market. And we’ll assume we have $10,000 at the start of 2007, that we’ll need to use in three to five years.

How would a $10,000 investment have performed? At the end of three years, we would have $8,395, for an annual return of -5.66%. At the end of five years, we would have $9,837, for an annual return of -0.33%

Yes, 2008 was a bad year. But again, that’s the point. Investing 100% of short-term money in the stock market presents a significant risk of loss of capital. Fortunately, we have better ways to invest for the short term.

Public is an app that helps you invest in individual stocks, even if you don’t have much money to commit. What makes it good for short-term investments is its lack of fees. There is no commission to buy or sell a stock so you can move your money in and out of the market at will without worrying about minimum investment terms. Read our Public app review

How to Manage Your Short Term Investments

Track and Analyze your Short-Term Investments for Free: Managing investments can be a hassle. You may have multiple IRAs, multiple 401ks, as well as taxable accounts. And then there are bank accounts. The easiest way to track and analyze all your investments, regardless of where they are located, is with Empower’s free financial dashboard.

Empower enables you to connect all of your 401(k), 403(b), IRAs, and other investment accounts in one place. Once connected, you can see the performance of all of your investments and evaluate your asset allocation.

With Empower’s Retirement Fee Analyzer you can see just how much your 401k and other investments are costing you. I was shocked to learn that the fees in my 401(k) could cost me over $200,000!

Empower also offers a free Retirement Planner. This tool will show you if you are on track to retire on your terms.

If all of this is overwhelming and not something you want to handle on your own, you may want to think about working with a financial advisor or investment advisor. We suggest visiting Paladin Registry, where you can fill out a form online to tell them what you are looking for. It’s free to use and Paladin Registry will email you a list of three highly-rated professionals that match your needs. From there you can interview each one and choose the best fit.

Happy investing!

  • Rob Berger is the founder of Dough Roller and the Dough Roller Money Podcast. A former securities law attorney and Forbes deputy editor, Rob is the author of the book Retire Before Mom and Dad. He educates independent investors on his YouTube channel and at RobBerger.com.

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Source: doughroller.net

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Apache is functioning normally

December 2, 2023 by Brett Tams
Apache is functioning normally

Real estate finished November as the second best performing group in the S&P 500 Index adding 12%, trailing slightly behind tech’s 13% gain. The momentum was fueled by bets the central bank may begin cutting rates as early as next year.

RELATED: Mortgage rates will decline further, economic signs indicate

In November, the interest-rate sensitive sector was a market outperformer as investors poured capital into the group. A pullback in Treasury yields has also supported trader optimism that the worst of it could be over. Additionally, U.S. real estate investment trusts, which have been beaten-down by surging interest rates and economic uncertainty, are now flashing signs of strength.

The group rallied 12% in November versus the S&P 500’s 9% gain, notching its best month since 2011. Bank of America said it’s overweight the real estate sector ahead of 2024, with Jeffrey Spector calling the REIT sector equity’s “diamond in the rough.” He listed American Homes 4 Rent, Americold Realty Trust, Empire State Realty Trust, Kimco Realty Corp., Prologis Inc. and Welltower Inc. as his top picks in a note to clients Friday.

Battered office landlord stocks have placed a overcast on the REIT sector as a whole, though office only represents a sliver of the group. Investors have been fleeing the office sector as fears of remote work and elevated borrowing costs destabilize the sector.

“Real estate has seen the biggest de-rating since 2021 among all industries on concerns over office, but office is less than 5% of real estate’s market cap,” he said.

While Bank of America remains cautious on the market entering 2024, it still sees real estate as underappreciated. 

For homebuilding stocks, the bulk of the monthly advance was made during the first three sessions of November after the Federal Reserve announced it would hold its benchmark rate steady for a second meeting. The index posted three back-to-back gains of more than 4%, ultimately sending the index to post its biggest monthly gain since 2020.

The recent pullback in mortgage rates is likely to further support the sector’s gains, enabling builders to buy down rates to 5.5%, a level that has previously helped demand, Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Drew Reading said. 

“This would actually make new home payments more favorable versus resales heading into the spring selling season, so the timing is great for the group,” he noted.

Although builder confidence has been on the decline, Capital Economics U.S. Property Economist Thomas Ryan says the sentiment is a misrepresentation of where larger public builders actually stand, as the gauge is largely comprised of smaller private builders. 

As such, the typical strong correlation between NAHB homebuilder confidence and housing starts has broken down recently, he said. That divergence was underscored in November after the confidence gauge fell to its lowest level this year, despite housing starts unexpectedly rising to the highest in three months.

“While smaller homebuilders are finding it increasingly difficult to access the credit required to maintain construction activity, their giant competitors are in an extremely strong financial position,” Ryan wrote. 

The real estate sector still lags behind the broader market year-to-date, but according to Bank of America, the group may be a bright spot heading into 2024.

Source: nationalmortgagenews.com

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Apache is functioning normally

November 28, 2023 by Brett Tams

Let’s chat about the stock market. Specifically, let’s think about average investors like me and you. And let’s ask: how much money do we need to invest to become a millionaire?

First, we need to set some ground rules. It’d be easy to say, “If you invested in Apple stock in 2002, you could have 1000x‘d your money…boom, you’re a millionaire.”

But that’s not how reality pans out. In fact, we need to apply logical rules to our investing framework. The rules that I espouse on The Best Interest (and that matter for today’s article) include…

  • Dollar-cost averaging. It’s too hard to determine when the market is overvalued or undervalued. Instead, the long-term investor should commit to a consistent investing schedule (e.g. $300 every month, or 10% of every paycheck, or $10,000 yearly). In fact, waiting to “buy the dip” is demonstrably dumb.
  • Investing (in stocks) for decades. Simply put, stocks are not a short-term investment. They’re decades-plus. The data shows why.
  • Diversifying, a.k.a. buying the whole market. History proves how challenging it is to find the “needle in the haystack” in the stock market. This article dives into further detail.
  • Buy-and-Hold’ing. We don’t sell our investments when the headlines get scary. We hold. The past month has provided a terrific real-life example of why that is, as did the transition from 2022 to 2023.
  • We reinvest our dividends. This rule is a bit in the weeds but a complete no-brainer.

Make sense? Let’s now put these rules to work. I went back to 1950 and grabbed all the S&P 500 data (which will act as our proxy for “the stock market”) through today.

Then I asked, “If an investor followed our rules, how much would they have needed to save and invest to become a millionaire?”

***Important note: I’m also inflation-adjusting all this data to 2023 values. Being a millionaire in 1950 was drastically different than being a millionaire today. Hence, everything you see below is adjusted to modern terms to make our understanding easier.

We know compound interest is a powerful tool, so we expect millionaire status to get progressively easier over longer investing periods. But we also know the market can be volatile. Two 20-year periods can provide drastically different investment returns.

So let’s compare 10-year periods against 20-, 30-, and 40-year periods. And we’ll look at all 10-year periods from 1950 to today (same for 20-, 30-, and 40-year periods) to show how much variability/volatility exists.

The Data: Becoming a Millionaire in the Stock Market

This chart shows every 10-year period from 1950 to today.

  • We label each period by its first year; the X-axis shows that.
  • We then look at the stock market returns for each period to ask, “What annual investment would have gotten us to $1 million over this period?” The Y-axis shows that dollar amount.
  • e.g. the left-most bar represents the period from 1950 to 1959. Over that period, a $42,463 annual investment would have grown to a $1M portfolio.

For these 10-year periods, the average investor (the dotted red line) needed to invest $71,595 yearly to reach $1 million.

But the data that sticks out to me is the number of periods with a required investment above $100,000 annually. The 1965 and 1999 starting years are prime examples.

This is a glaring problem! If you’re investing ~$150,000 for 10 years (for a $1.5M total investment) and only end up with $1 million, you lost significant capital. Not good.

My takeaway: even over 10 years, the stock market can be volatile. We need to zoom out further. Let’s look at the 20-year data.

The average investor (in red) must commit $27,203 annually to become a millionaire. For those keeping track, that’s a $544,069 outlay over 20 years that grows into $1,000,000.

This data shows a few periods at or above the $50,000-per-year mark ($50K times 20 years = $1M). In other words, these periods showed near-zero, outright zero, or negative returns over 20 years. Examples include the period starting 1955, ’58-’60, ’62

But most periods provided legitimate, absolute returns. That’s great.

But can the average person save $27,203 per year? Then repeat that for 20 years? And this begs a bigger question that we won’t chase down today: is $1M the right goal in the first place. This is good food for thought.

Let’s move on to the 30-year chart.

The average investor (in red) must commit $11,347 annually to become a millionaire. That’s a $340,432 outlay over 30 years that grows into $1,000,000.

None of these periods flirt with zero or negative returns. The “worst” period was 1952 – 1981, which required a ~$23K annual investment (or ~$695K total) to grow into $1M.

And finally, the 40-year data…

The average investor (in red) must commit $4725 annually to become a millionaire. That’s a $189K outlay over 40 years that grows into $1,000,000.

Again, none of these periods flirt with zero or negative returns. The “worst” period was 1969 – 2008, which required a $7500 annual investment (or $299K total) to grow into $1M.

The Power of Long-Term Investing

The 30-year and 40-year charts are particularly encouraging if you break them down into monthly terms.

$1000 per month is powerful.

  • For most 30-year periods, $1000-per-month made you a millionaire.
  • For all but three 40-year periods, $1000-per-month made you a multi-millionaire.

“But $1000 per month is a lot!”

I hear you. But between 401(k) contributions, employer matching, IRA contributions, after-tax investing, etc…$1000 per month is a reasonable goal.

If you’re in your 20s or 30s, set your baseline investing goal at $1000 per month. You’ll be setting yourself up for terrific long-term success.

What If You Don’t Have 3+ Decades?

If you’re reading this at age 50, you might not have 3 or 4 decades to wait for the stock market’s compound magic. What to do?

Let’s consult our trusty bucket method. Think about your current assets and savings based on when you’ll need them in the future…

  • The money you need in your 50s –> Avoid the stock market. Too risky.
  • The money you’ll need from age 60-65 –> you can introduce some stocks, but as we’ve seen today, positive returns aren’t guaranteed.
  • The money you’ll need from age 66-70 –> stocks are becoming increasingly enticing…
  • The money you’ll need from age 70+ –> 100% stocks is reasonable.

In summary, a fair portion of this 50-year-old’s assets should not be exposed to the stock market. Bonds, for example, are more appropriate.

Despite that, some of their money still has a 20-30+ year timeline. That money should be exposed to a risk asset like stocks.

Financial planning provides the backbone for these types of allocation decisions.

Just Start…

My investing journey started at age 22 with my first employer’s 401(k). Unsure what I was doing, I decided to learn.

11 years later, here I am.

There’s no guarantee the stock market will make me a millionaire. But history is on my side, and I’m controlling what I can (e.g. my monthly savings rate) to make it happen.

I encourage you to do the same.

Thank you for reading! If you enjoyed this article, join 7000+ subscribers who read my 2-minute weekly email, where I send you links to the smartest financial content I find online every week.

-Jesse

Want to learn more about The Best Interest’s back story? Read here.

Looking for a great personal finance book, podcast, or other recommendation? Check out my favorites.

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Apache is functioning normally

November 25, 2023 by Brett Tams

If you’re learning about the investing world, you might come across the term ‘index fund’ as they are a trendy way to invest these days.

Investing powerhouses like Warren Buffett and Tony Robbins wholeheartedly recommend investing in index funds. In fact, LeBron James recently asked Buffet for investing advice on CNBC, and Buffett said James couldn’t go wrong with investing in them for 30 or 40 years.

What is an index fund?

An index fund is a type of investment vehicle, available as either a mutual fund or an exchange-traded fund (ETF), that is designed to track a specific financial market index. Its goal is to replicate the performance of indices like the S&P 500 or Dow Jones Industrial Average.

How do index funds work?

Index funds achieve their goal by mirroring the composition of the index they track. This involves including a range of stocks or bonds in their portfolio that match those in the index, providing investors with diversified market exposure. The fund’s performance is directly tied to the performance of the tracked index, offering a balance of risk and return influenced by the overall market segment.

Index Funds vs. Mutual Funds vs. ETFs: Understanding the Differences

Index Funds: The Basics

Index funds are passively managed and aim to mirror the performance of a specific market index. They offer a diversified portfolio at a low cost, aligning closely with market returns.

Mutual Funds: Active Management

In contrast, mutual funds are often actively managed. Fund managers actively buy and sell stocks or bonds, attempting to outperform the market. This strategy incurs higher fees and presents a greater risk, but also the potential for higher returns.

Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs): A Hybrid Approach

ETFs combine features of both index funds and mutual funds. Most ETFs are passively managed, like index funds, but they trade on stock exchanges, similar to individual stocks. This provides greater liquidity and trading flexibility. ETFs generally have a lower expense ratio than mutual funds and offer tax efficiency due to their unique trading structure.

Key Differences in Trading

A significant difference between index funds and ETFs is their trading mechanism. Index funds are traded at the end of the day based on their net asset value (NAV), while ETFs are traded throughout the day at market prices, offering more flexibility for investors.

Understanding Key Stock Market Indexes

Before delving into the world of index funds, it’s crucial to understand the benchmarks they often aim to replicate. Stock market indexes like the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Russell 3000 serve as key barometers for the overall health and trends of the financial markets.

These indexes, each with their unique characteristics and components, are essential in assessing market performance and guiding investment strategies. In the following section, we will explore each of these prominent indexes in detail, shedding light on their significance and how they influence the composition and performance of various index funds.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones, often simply called the Dow, is one of the oldest and most well-known stock market indices in the United States. It tracks the performance of 30 large, publicly-owned companies listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the NASDAQ.

The Dow serves as a barometer for the overall health of the U.S. stock market and includes leading companies across various industries, such as technology, finance, and consumer goods.

S&P 500

The Standard & Poor’s 500, commonly known as the S&P 500, is a broader stock market index compared to the Dow. It includes 500 of the largest companies listed on U.S. stock exchanges.

The S&P 500 is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and is used by investors as a benchmark for the overall performance of the U.S. stock market. The index is diverse, covering multiple sectors, which makes it a popular choice.

Nasdaq Composite Index

The Nasdaq Composite Index represents over 3,300 companies listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange, a global electronic marketplace for buying and selling securities.

This index is heavily weighted towards technology companies, making it a popular measure of the performance of the tech sector. It includes not only large-cap companies but also smaller, innovative firms, reflecting a broad spectrum of the tech industry.

Russell 3000

The Russell 3000 Index is a market-capitalization-weighted stock market index that aims to be a benchmark of the entire U.S. stock market. It tracks the performance of the 3,000 largest publicly-traded companies in the United States, which represent about 98% of the investable U.S. equity market.

The index is comprehensive and includes both large-cap and small-cap companies, offering a broad view of the U.S. stock market. The Russell 3000 is further divided into the Russell 1000 (large-cap companies) and the Russell 2000 (small-cap companies).

Pros and Cons of Investing in Index Funds

Pros:

  • Diversification: By investing in an index fund, you gain exposure to a broad array of securities, which mitigates the risk of focusing too heavily on individual stocks or sectors. This diversification is a key advantage, especially for risk-averse investors.
  • Cost-effectiveness: Index funds are known for their lower management fees, as their passive strategy requires less intervention and research, making them a cost-efficient choice for long-term investment.
  • Ease of use: These funds are straightforward, ideal for both novice and experienced investors. They eliminate the complexity of selecting individual stocks, providing a simple yet effective investment option.
  • Consistent returns: Historically, they have demonstrated a consistent performance, often rivaling or surpassing actively managed funds, especially when considering the impact of lower fees over time.

Cons:

  • Capped growth potential: While index funds aim for market-matching returns, this approach limits the potential for significantly outperforming the market, a possibility in more aggressive investment strategies.
  • Vulnerability to market shifts: Being tied to market indices, index funds are subject to the ups and downs of the market. During market downturns, these funds will also experience declines.
  • Static strategy: The passive nature of index funds means they don’t capitalize on short-term market opportunities that active managers might exploit, leading to potential missed gains.
  • Performance deviation: Some tracking error is possible in index funds, where the fund’s performance might slightly differ from that of its benchmark index, due to various factors like fund expenses or timing issues.
  • Overconcentration risk: Certain index funds, especially those weighted by market capitalization, may have significant exposure to larger companies, potentially overlooking smaller, yet promising, market segments.

How to Invest in Index Funds

Investing in index funds can be a straightforward process if you follow these steps:

1. Define Your Investment Goals

Consider what you aim to achieve with your investment in index funds. Are you seeking long-term growth for retirement, or are you interested in short-term gains? Understanding your financial goals will guide your choice of index funds.

2. Conduct Thorough Research

Research various index funds to find the one that best matches your investment goals. Look at factors like company size, geographic focus, industry sectors, and asset types. Remember, even a broad market index fund can offer ample diversification, as suggested by investment experts.

3. Choose the Right Index Funds

When selecting an index fund, prioritize low costs. Even small differences in fees can significantly impact long-term returns. Compare funds with similar objectives, and pay attention to their management costs.

4. Select a Purchase Platform

Decide whether to buy index funds directly from a mutual fund company or through a brokerage. Also, consider ETFs, which are similar to mutual funds but trade like stocks. Assess factors like fund selection, convenience, trading costs, and availability of commission-free options.

5. Make Your Purchase

Open an investment account (such as a brokerage account, IRA, or Roth IRA) to buy shares of the index fund. Determine the amount you want to invest based on your budget and the fund’s share price.

6. Monitor Your Investments

Regularly review your index funds to ensure they are performing as expected and align with your investment goals. Keep an eye on the fund’s fees and performance compared to its benchmark index. Adjust your investments if necessary.

Final Thoughts

Many financial experts, like Warren Buffett, highly recommend index funds as a way to invest. They offer the advantage of being liquid assets, and it may not require a significant amount of money to begin investing in them. Furthermore, as mentioned previously, they typically have low fees.

Index funds are also a conservative way to invest. Because they follow indices made up of many companies, you spread out the risk. If one company in the index has a terrible week, chances are there’s another company doing well enough to balance it out. When you invest in individual stocks with just one company, you don’t have that cushion if a company starts to do poorly.

Of course, as with any investment decision, do your research. Learn as much as you can about them and the costs associated with buying them before investing.

Frequently Asked Questions

Are index funds a safe investment option?

Yes, they are generally considered a safe investment choice. They offer diversification by tracking a broad market index like the S&P 500, which spreads risk across various stocks. This means if one stock underperforms, others may balance it out.

Additionally, their low expense ratios make them a cost-effective option. While no investment is risk-free, index funds tend to provide stable, consistent returns over the long term, making them a favored choice for many investors.

What is the average rate of return on index funds?

There are many index funds, so it’s impossible to list the rate of return as a whole. You can research the history of a particular index fund to see the returns in a specific year. However, it’s more beneficial to look at returns over the long term.

Historically, the market as a whole averages from 7-10% in returns. Some years, like during the 2008-2009 recession, show terrible returns, while others show spectacular returns.

Can you lose money with an index fund?

Yes. When you buy an index fund, you’re investing in the stock market. The market is unpredictable. You could lose money one day and earn money the next. Either way, financial experts still point to index funds as a good investment option, as they usually have substantial long-term returns and low expense ratios.

What is the best index fund?

There are many top-rated index funds. Of course, the best one depends on the timeframe in which one measures it. However, there are some that have shown a strong rate of return with low fees. Here are some examples:

  • Schwab S&P 500 Index Fund
  • Fidelity Spartan 500 Index Investor Shares
  • Vanguard 500 Index Fund Investor Shares
  • Vanguard Total Stock Market Index
  • Fidelity Total Stock Market Index

Again, no one knows which funds will perform the best in any given year. However, some of the companies listed above are known for low fees and solid financial products. Take your time to research the best brokerage company for you. Some require very little money to start investing, while others might require a lot more.

How do you make money with an index fund?

You earn money from an index fund primarily through capital gains and dividends. As the fund’s underlying stocks or bonds increase in value, the value of the fund rises, leading to capital gains.

When you sell your fund shares at a higher price than you bought them, you realize these gains. Additionally, many index funds distribute dividends received from the stocks within the fund to shareholders, which can be reinvested or taken as cash payouts.

Can I invest in index funds with a small amount of money?

Yes, you can invest in index funds with a small amount of money. Many of them have low minimum investment requirements, making them accessible to investors with limited capital.

Source: crediful.com

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Apache is functioning normally

November 20, 2023 by Brett Tams

Since investors don’t have (functional) crystal balls, figuring out how to know when to buy a stock, in an effort to time the market and generate the biggest return, is difficult. While you shouldn’t necessarily try to time the market, if you are trading and incorporating some knowledge and tactics around when to buy a stock as a part of your larger financial plan, you’ll want to do what you can to fine-tune your strategy.

Trading stocks, of course, is fairly risky, and investors will want to keep that in mind. But with some practice and knowledge, you may be able to figure out the best time to buy stocks, and other variables, to help you try to boost your portfolio.

The Best Times to Buy Stocks

As noted, it’s generally not a good idea to try and time the market. But that’s not to say that there are larger market forces at work that result in certain trends. With that in mind, there can be good times of the day, days of the week, and even months to buy stocks that could generate bigger returns – though nothing is guaranteed.

The Best Time of Day to Buy Stocks

First and foremost, remember when the stock market is open and when trading is occurring. The New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq, two of the largest and most active stock exchanges, are open 9:30 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET, Monday through Friday.

With that, the best time of the day, in terms of price action, is usually in the morning, in the hours immediately after the market opens up until around 11:30 a.m. ET, or so. That’s generally when most trading happens, leading to the biggest price fluctuations and chances for investors to take advantage.

The Best Day of the Week to Buy Stocks

If investors are aiming to trade during times of relative volatility, then they’ll want to utilize a trading strategy that aims to crowd their activity near the beginning and end of the week. Monday is probably the best day to trade stocks, since there is likely considerable volatility pent up over the weekend.

That said, Friday can also be a good day to trade, as investors make moves to prepare their portfolios for a couple of days off. The middle of the week tends to be the least volatile.

The Best Month to Buy Stocks

When thinking about the best months to buy stocks, examining historic performance can be helpful. For instance, looking at monthly returns from 2000 to 2020, the best months to buy are usually April, October, and November. Conversely, the month with the worst historic performance is September.

Again, these “best times to buy stocks” in terms of times, days, and months aren’t guarantees of anything, but are merely based on historical performance. That can be good to keep in mind.

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When Should You Buy Stocks

There’s a difference between “can” and “should” – and investors trying to discern when they should buy stocks should really consider their personal preferences, risk tolerance, and investment strategies. The right time to buy a stock is when an investor has done their research and feels confident that a stock price will rise in the short or long term, and that they’re willing to hold onto it until it does.

It helps to be informed when considering whether to buy stocks, and one way to do that is to learn about the company itself. Interested investors can find many company’s financial reports and earnings reports from government databases or private company research reports.

While ultimately it may be a good idea to buy stocks across different industries in order to diversify, it sometimes helps to start with a business or industry one is familiar with. Knowing about the company can help put the earnings reports into context.

Understanding the value of stocks is often, if not always tied to understanding the business those stocks represent a share in. Is the company a good investment? Does it have sound financials and growth potential? Here are helpful questions to consider when contemplating buying a stock:

What is the price range at which you’re willing to buy? If an investor has a company in mind, setting a price range at which they would want to buy stock in that company may help inform their decision. One can do this through analysts’ reports and consensus price targets, which average all analyst opinions.

Does the stock appear undervalued? There are different ways to determine value. The most common valuation metric is a price-earnings ratio (or P/E), which takes the price per share and divides it by earnings per share. The lower the number, the less the value. Generally for U.S. companies, a P/E below 15 is considered a good value and a P/E over 20 is considered a bad value. You can also compare the company’s P/E to others in the industry.

Another way to look at value is a discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis, which takes projected cash values and discounts them back to the present. This ultimately gives an investor a theoretical price target; if the actual price is below the target, then in theory, it’s undervalued and a good buy.
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When Is the Worst Time to Buy Stocks?

Just as there are the purported best times to buy stocks, there are also the worst times to buy stocks, too. Given that investors may be looking for relatively volatile times in the market to buy stocks, relatively calm periods during the trading day may be the worst times to buy. Those hours would be during the middle of the day, perhaps from 11:30 a.m. ET until 3 p.m. ET.

In terms of days of the week? Tuesdays, Wednesdays, and Thursdays may be worse than Mondays or Fridays, barring any market-moving news or other volatility-inducing events. Finally, September, February, and May tend to be the weakest-performing months for the stock market, dating back nearly a century.
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How Do You Know When to Hold Stocks?

Knowing when to hold a stock often comes down to one’s investment strategy. With a passive investment approach, investors invest in various stocks with the intention of holding them for an indefinite amount of time. This is also known as a buy and hold investment strategy.

With this type of investing, investors attempt to match a market index such as the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. So, they select stocks in that market index coinciding with the same percentages in that index.

One benefit of the buy and hold strategy is that the tax rate on long-term capital gains (from stocks that an investor has owned for more than one year) are much lower than that of short-term capital gains.

For many, if not most investors, if you’re going to buy a stock, it may be a good strategy to hold onto it for a while. When an investor buys an undervalued stock, it could take a few years for it to reach its “correct” valuation. And of course, there’s always a risk it will never reach what the investor has determined is the correct valuation.

Not everyone holds onto their stocks for a long time, but there are risks to day trading that may inspire some to become buy-and-holders.

How Do You Know When to Sell a Stock?

Just like how a decision to hold a stock largely depends on an individual investor’s specific strategy, so does the choice as to whether or not to sell.

Some investors rely on a rule of thumb that states that the stock market reaches a high point in May or June and then goes down over the summer until September or October. While that can sometimes be observed in overall market behavior — partially because traders (just like lots of people) go on vacation in the summer and partially because it’s a bit of a self-fulfilling prophecy — it doesn’t mean an individual stock will definitely go down over the summer.

Taking this advice, however, — and other, similar types of advice – should be taken with a grain of salt. Again, the choice of whether to sell a stock is up to you, and the research you’ve put into making the decision.

The Takeaway

Knowing when to buy, sell, and hold stocks can be less confusing when an investor does the research into company health, overall market conditions, and their own financial needs as relates to personal short-term and long-term goals.

One of the easiest ways to buy and sell stocks or manage any investment portfolio is to open an online taxable brokerage account. This is often appealing to investors who want to take more of an active investing approach and buy and sell stocks. Investors would typically pay fees based on the account and the number of trades they make.

Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an investment account with SoFi Invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, but other fees apply (full fee disclosure here).

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

FAQ

Is it best to buy stocks when they are down?

The best time to buy a stock is when an investor has done their research and due diligence, and decided that the investment fits their overall strategy. With that in mind, buying a stock when it is down may be a good idea – and better than buying a stock when it is high. But there are always risks to take into consideration.

Should I buy stocks at night?

Investors can engage in after-hours trading, but there are unique risks to doing so, and orders won’t execute until the market opens. Interested investors may want to try after-hours trading to get a feel for it before fully incorporating it into their strategy.

What are the worst months for the stock market?

Based on past performance, the worst months for the stock market tend to be in the early fall and summer. September is usually the worst, but October, June, and August can be bad as well.


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Apache is functioning normally

November 18, 2023 by Brett Tams

Riding high on favorable legislation (the CHIPS and Science Act) and strong demand for faster and more efficient AI chips, the semiconductor industry has outperformed the broader market by a wide margin this year.

One company leading the pack is NVIDIA (NVDA), with a year-to-date gain of more than 200%. It has consistently been among the top S&P 500 performers for 2023.

Many semiconductor stocks are growth stocks — that means they can go through wild price swings in the short term. But if you don’t have the risk appetite for individual stocks, you can also invest in semiconductor exchange-traded funds, or ETFs. These ETFs expose investors to numerous parts of the semiconductor industry and can pad one stock’s downside with another’s gains.

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7 best semiconductor ETFs by year-to-date performance

Below is a list of the top seven ETFs in the VettaFi ETF database that have substantial exposure to semiconductor stocks like NVIDIA, ordered by year-to-date performance.

Company name

Year-to-date return

VanEck Semiconductor ETF

iShares Semiconductor ETF

Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF

First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF

Invesco Semiconductors ETF

Columbia Seligman Semiconductor and Technology ETF

SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF

Source: VettaFi. Stock data is current as of Nov. 14, 2023 and is intended for informational purposes only. This list excludes leveraged and single-stock ETFs.

Types of semiconductor ETFs

All of the funds shown above are thematic ETFs, but there are a few other types of semiconductor ETFs to be aware of, such as single-stock ETFs and leveraged ETFs.

  • Single-stock ETFs, such as the GraniteShares 1.5x Long NVDA Daily ETF (NVDL), seek to deliver some multiple of the daily returns of an individual semiconductor stock. (The fund in question returns 1.5 times the daily return of NVIDIA, for example). These tend to be used for high-risk, short-term speculation on a single company.

  • Leveraged ETFs, such as the Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Shares (SOXL), seek to deliver some multiple of the daily return of an entire index — three times the return of the NYSE Semiconductor Index, in the case of the Direxion fund. Like single-stock ETFs, they are often used for speculative trading.

  • Thematic ETFs, such as the First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF, are basically just semiconductor index funds, and may be used for more long-term investing.

How to buy semiconductor ETFs

Then, you’ll need to determine how semiconductor ETFs fit into your portfolio — and which kind you want. If you’re day trading with a little bit of “play money,” and you don’t mind taking on a lot of risk for a potential short-term profit, single-stock ETFs or leveraged ETFs in the semiconductor space might be what you’re looking for.

If you’re looking to invest in semiconductor stocks for the long-term, however, you may find a thematic semiconductor ETF to be less volatile.

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Neither the author nor editor owned shares in the aforementioned investments at the time of publication.

Source: nerdwallet.com

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Apache is functioning normally

November 18, 2023 by Brett Tams

A 401(k) is an employer-sponsored retirement plan that allows employees to contribute a portion of each paycheck. Many employers also match a certain amount of employee contributions. Typically, 401(k) plans are tax-deferred, meaning the money you contribute isn’t taxed until you withdraw from your account. 

Our 401(k) calculator below can help you determine what your 401(k) balance will be when you retire.


Estimated 401(k) Balance at Retirement

Contributions

Employer Match

Balance

Results Summary

Current 401(k) balance
Years to invest
Annual rate of return
Annual salary
Expected annual salary increase
Percent to contribute
Your contribution
Your employer’s contribution
Total Contribution

How to Use the 401(k) Retirement Calculator

The 401(k) calculator estimates how much money you will have in your 401(k) by retirement based on your age, current balance, amount you contribute, and employer match. It can help you determine when you will be financially ready for retirement. 

In the fields above, use the toggle to adjust the numbers based on your personal information and 401(k) account. Click “Calculate” to see your future balance. You will also be able to see your total contributions and total employer match contributions.

Remember that taxes don’t get factored into this 401(k) calculator. The taxes you’ll pay on your 401(k) depend on the tax bracket you’re in when you withdraw from your account. Additionally, check that you aren’t contributing more than the current IRS contribution limits. For 2023, the contribution limits are $22,500 or $30,000 if you’re above age 50. 

Basic Investing Terms to Know

Below are the definitions of the investing terms referenced in the 401(k) calculator: 

  • Current age: Your age as of today.
  • Retirement age: The age you plan to retire. Currently, Social Security benefits are available at age 66 but rise to age 67 if you were born in 1960 or later. 
  • Current 401(k) balance: The amount of money saved in your 401(k) as of today. 
  • Annual salary: The amount of income you earn from an employer over one calendar year before deductions and taxes. Do not include other streams of income. 
  • Annual salary increase: The percentage you expect your annual salary to increase yearly. On average, employees receive a 4.6% pay increase each year. 
  • Percent to contribute: The percentage of your annual salary you contribute to your 401(k). 
  • Employer match: The percentage of your annual contributions that your employer matches. For example, your employer might match 50% of your yearly contributions. 
  • Employer maximum: The maximum salary percentage your employer will match. For example, your employer might only match up to 6% of your salary, regardless of how much you contribute. 
  • Annual rate of return: The percentage an investment gains or loses. This number will depend on the investments you choose. On average, the S&P 500® has gained 10.7% annually since its conception in 1957. It’s important to note that these rates vary over time and can only be used as an estimate. 
  • Payments per year: The number of pay periods annually. 

How a 401(K) Works 

A 401(k) is a retirement savings account employers specifically offer as part of a company’s benefits plan. Employees contribute a portion of each paycheck to their 401(k) account, and often, employers match a portion of employee contributions. 

You don’t pay taxes on the money that you initially contribute. Once you turn 59 ½, your withdrawals will get taxed as ordinary income. You will incur a 10% tax penalty if you withdraw money from your 401(k) before you reach age 59 ½. To avoid this, make sure you have an emergency fund for shorter-term expenses. 

401(k) plans allow you to invest in exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, and target-date funds. When maximizing your 401(k), it’s important to have an investment strategy. You can work with a retirement adviser to help create a strategy that works for you. 

What Are the Benefits of a 401(k)? 

There are two main benefits of investing in a 401(k). The first advantage is that 401(k) plans are tax-deferred, meaning you don’t pay taxes until you withdraw your savings. This lowers your current taxable income. For example, if you currently make $60,000 and contribute 10% of your salary to a 401(k), you are reducing your taxable income by $6,200. As a result, you’ll only get taxed on $54,000 instead of your full salary. This is beneficial because you will likely be in a lower tax bracket after you retire. 

The second main benefit of contributing to a 401(k) is the employer matching contribution, meaning that your company contributes a certain amount of money to your 401(k) based on the amount you contribute. The percentage that your company matches, if at all, depends on your specific employer. The most common 401(k) matching formula is 50 cents on the dollar, up to 6% of an employee’s salary. 

401(k) FAQs

Below, we’ve answered some common questions regarding 401(k) retirement plans. 

How Much Should I Have in My 401(k)? 

The amount of money you should have saved in your 401(k) depends on your age. For example, by age 30, you should have the equivalent of your annual salary in your 401(k). Some experts recommend you have 10 times your annual salary by age 67. 

What Percentage of My Salary Should Go to My 401(k)?

Most financial experts recommend contributing 10–15% of your income to a retirement plan. In the U.S., individuals contribute a median of 12% of their salary. 

How Much Will My 401(k) Be Worth in 10 Years?

To find out how much your 401(k) will be worth in 10 years, plug your specific information into the above 401(k) calculator and set your retirement age as your age 10 years from today. 

As you can see, contributing to a 401(k) can allow you to invest your money easily. It’s important to note that while a 401(k) has many benefits, it’s not the only way to save for retirement. Other ways to prepare for retirement include paying off debt, following a budget, and improving your credit score. 

Need help managing your credit? ExtraCredit® gives you access to five features that make monitoring your credit a breeze. 

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