Are you dreaming of owning a piece of the American Southwest? Arizona, with its vibrant desert landscapes, sunny weather, and diverse cultural attractions, offers an irresistible allure for those seeking a new place to call home. However, before embarking on this exciting journey, it’s essential to understand the homebuying process specific to the Grand Canyon State. From navigating local regulations and financial considerations to finding your perfect abode in a downtown Phoenix condo or a serene house in Gilbert, this Redfin article will serve as your comprehensive guide to buying a house in Arizona.
So, fasten your seatbelts as we explore the steps, intricacies, and tips to make your Arizona homebuying experience smooth and successful.
What’s it like to live in Arizona?
With its year-round sunshine and warm climate, Arizonans enjoy an outdoor-centric lifestyle by hiking, golfing, and exploring the vast desert landscapes. The state is also home to several renowned national parks and monuments, including the breathtaking Grand Canyon and the stunning red rocks of Sedona, providing endless opportunities for adventure and exploration. Arizona is also known for its intense summer heat, and protecting yourself and your property when living there is essential. Check out this article to learn more about the pros and cons of living in Arizona.
Arizona housing market insights
The Arizona housing market is experiencing some notable trends and shifts. The median sale price currently stands at $436,100, showing a 6.2% decrease compared to the previous year. Several cities in Arizona have emerged as competitive real estate markets, including Pinetop, Flagstaff, and Cottonwood. Popular cities in the Phoenix area, such as Scottsdale, Chandler, and Gilbert, are also witnessing significant growth and attracting prospective homebuyers. However, the housing supply in Arizona has decreased by 4.7% year-over-year, indicating a tightening market. These data points suggest a dynamic and evolving housing market in Arizona, with fluctuating prices, competitive cities, and limited supply, all of which have implications for buyers.
Finding your perfect location in Arizona
For several reasons, selecting the perfect location for buying a house in Arizona is vital. First and foremost, Arizona offers diverse landscapes and communities, each with its unique charm and amenities. By carefully considering your desired location, you can align your lifestyle preferences with the area’s offerings. Additionally, the location of your home greatly impacts factors such as commuting time, access to essential services, quality of schools, proximity to recreational opportunities, and potential appreciation of property value over time.
If you’re unsure where to start, using tools like a cost of living calculator can help you determine what cities are within your budget. We’ve put together a glimpse of the five popular cities, so you can get an idea.
#1: Tucson, AZ
Median home price: $330,000 Tucson, AZ homes for sale
Moving to Tucson offers a unique and vibrant experience that blends desert beauty, cultural richness, and a relaxed atmosphere. Outdoor enthusiasts can delve into the picturesque trails of Saguaro National Park, embark on invigorating hikes or bike rides in the nearby Catalina Mountains, or indulge in a round of golf on world-class courses. Embracing its rich cultural heritage, Tucson boasts a thriving arts scene featuring captivating museums, art galleries, and the renowned Tucson Gem and Mineral Show. While the cost of living in Tucson exceeds the national average by 4%, there are affordable Tucson suburbs, ensuring a balance between cost-effectiveness and access to the city’s attractions.
#2: Mesa, AZ
Median home price: $440,000 Mesa, AZ homes for sale
As the third-largest city in Arizona, Mesa is known for its suburban neighborhoods, well-maintained parks, and outdoor activities. Moving to Mesa, you’ll enjoy over 300 days of sunshine each year, making it ideal for outdoor enthusiasts. Explore the nearby Superstition Mountains, go hiking or biking in Usery Mountain Regional Park, or enjoy water sports at the nearby Saguaro Lake. Mesa also offers a rich cultural scene, with attractions such as the Mesa Arts Center, which hosts a variety of performances, exhibits, and festivals throughout the year.
#3: Phoenix, AZ
Median home price: $439,950 Phoenix, AZ homes for sale
Known as the Valley of the Sun, Phoenix is a bustling metropolis with a thriving economy, vibrant culture, and many amenities. With a move to Phoenix, residents can enjoy an abundance of sunshine throughout the year, allowing for a wide range of outdoor activities such as hiking, golfing, and exploring the scenic desert landscapes. Phoenix is home to major sports teams, including the Phoenix Suns and the Arizona Diamondbacks, offering exciting opportunities for sports enthusiasts. Additionally, if you’re looking for affordable Phoenix suburbs, several options provide a more budget-friendly housing market while offering access to the city’s amenities.
#4: Flagstaff, AZ
Median home price: $645,000 Flagstaff, AZ homes for sale
Flagstaff enjoys all four seasons, attracting residents who revel in the mesmerizing hues of autumn, the snowy winters that offer thrilling skiing and snowboarding opportunities at Arizona Snowbowl, and the mild summers perfect for hiking and camping. If you’re a lover of stars, moving to Flagstaff will grant you the chance to experience the Lowell Observatory, where residents can delve into the wonders of the night sky. It’s worth noting that the cost of living in Flagstaff is 14% higher than the National Average. Still, the city’s unique offerings and natural beauty make it a worthwhile investment for those seeking an exceptional living experience.
#5: Scottsdale, AZ
Median home price: $830,000 Scottsdale, AZ homes for sale
Scottsdale is renowned for its world-class resorts, spas, and golf courses, attracting visitors and residents seeking relaxation and indulgence. Scottsdale’s Old Town showcases a charming blend of historic charm and modern sophistication with its trendy boutiques, art galleries, and renowned dining establishments. Moving to Scottsdale can be expensive, with the cost of living exceeding the national average by 13%. If you want to stay on a budget, there are affordable suburbs outside downtown.
The homebuying process in Arizona
If the allure of Arizona has swept you away, and you have your heart set on a specific city or neighborhood, it’s time to dive into the homebuying process.
1. Prioritize your finances
Getting your finances in order is crucial when buying a house in Arizona. You can position yourself for a smooth and successful homebuying journey with careful financial planning and preparation. Start by assessing your credit score and addressing any issues to ensure you qualify for favorable loan terms. Next, determine your budget and calculate how much you can comfortably afford, considering factors like down payment, closing costs, and monthly mortgage payments. Using tools like an affordability calculator can help you determine your budget.
Various programs are available for first-time homebuyers in Arizona, including the Pathway to Purchase, which can assist with up to $20,000 in down payment and closing cost assistance.
2. Get pre-approved from a lender
Securing a pre-approval when buying a home in Arizona can provide numerous advantages. By obtaining pre-approval from a reputable lender, you clearly understand your financial standing and borrowing capacity. This knowledge empowers you to set a realistic budget, ensuring you focus on homes within your price range. Pre-approval also enhances your credibility as a buyer, demonstrating to sellers that you are serious and financially qualified.
3. Connect with a local agent in Arizona
Working with a local agent during the homebuying process in Arizona is of utmost importance. Local agents possess invaluable knowledge and expertise specific to the Arizona real estate market, which can significantly benefit buyers. They are well-versed in the intricacies of different neighborhoods, market trends, and pricing dynamics across the state. So whether you need a real estate agent in Tucson or an agent in Phoenix, they’re here to help.
4. Start touring homes
When touring homes in Arizona, keep a discerning eye and consider key factors that can influence your decision. First, pay attention to the home’s location and neighborhood. Consider proximity to schools, amenities, and commute times to ensure it aligns with your lifestyle. Assess the property’s condition, checking for any signs of wear, structural issues, or potential maintenance needs. Look for natural lighting, functional layouts, and ample storage space that meet your requirements.
5. Make the offer
The offer is a critical aspect of the homebuying process in Arizona, carrying significant weight in determining whether your dream home becomes a reality. Crafting a strong offer is essential to stand out in a competitive market. Consider the listing price, property condition, and local market trends to determine a fair and competitive offer. Your offer should include the purchase price, contingencies, and desired timelines for inspections, financing, and closing.
6. Close on the house
The closing process is a pivotal moment in the homebuying process in Arizona, where all the necessary paperwork is finalized, and ownership of the property is transferred. It’s a critical step that requires careful attention to detail and a thorough review of the closing documents. During the closing, you will sign various legal documents, including the mortgage, deed, and other necessary paperwork. It’s essential to carefully review and understand these documents before signing to ensure you know the terms and obligations.
If you’re new to the process and still have questions, Redfin is here to help. The First-Time Homebuyer Guide goes into more detail about each step in the homebuying process.
Factors to consider when buying a house in Arizona
Due to Arizona’s geographical location, there are distinct factors to consider when buying a home.
Climate and weather
When buying a house in Arizona, it is crucial to consider the climate and weather, as well as the impact climate change is having in the state. Arizona offers a diverse range of climates, with hot summers exceeding 100 degrees Fahrenheit (38 degrees Celsius) in desert areas like Phoenix and Tucson. These cities are also known for their mild and pleasant winters, attracting snowbirds and retired individuals seeking warmer temperatures. On the other hand, the northern parts of the state, including Flagstaff and Sedona, provide a cooler and more moderate climate, with snowy winters and comfortable summers. Homebuyers must take into account their preferences and tolerance for extreme heat or cold when selecting a location within Arizona.
Additionally, the state’s unique desert climate presents both advantages and challenges. Efficient cooling systems and proper insulation are necessary to combat the intense summer heat, while the dry weather increases the risk of drought and wildfires, prompting homeowners to consider shade availability, outdoor living spaces, and landscaping options to mitigate the sun’s impact.
Dual agency
Arizona allows for dual agency in real estate transactions, which refers to a real estate agent representing both the buyer and the seller in the same transaction. In dual agency, the agent acts as a neutral intermediary, facilitating the transaction and ensuring a fair process for both parties. However, it’s important to note that dual agency requires all parties’ informed consent.
Buying a house in Arizona: Bottom line
Navigating the homebuying process in Arizona requires careful consideration and strategic decision-making. From understanding the importance of location to getting finances in order, securing pre-approval, and working with local agents, each step plays a vital role in achieving a successful and satisfying home purchase. By being well-informed, proactive, and adaptable, homebuyers can confidently navigate the Arizona real estate landscape and find their perfect place to call home in this beautiful southwestern state.
Buying a house in Arizona FAQ
What are the requirements for buying a home in Arizona?
To start it off, a down payment is necessary, although the specific amount can vary depending on factors such as the loan type and lender requirements. A good credit score is also crucial, with a minimum score of around 620 often preferred for conventional loans. Income and employment verification is required to demonstrate the ability to repay the mortgage. Lenders assess the debt-to-income ratio to ensure borrowers can manage their monthly payments. It is advisable to conduct a property appraisal and home inspection to determine the value and condition of the property.
What is a typical down payment on a house in Arizona?
A typical down payment on a house in Arizona can vary depending on various factors. Generally, it ranges from 3% to 20% of the purchase price. The percentage often depends on the loan type, lender requirements, and the borrower’s financial situation. For conventional loans, a down payment of around 20% is ideal for avoiding private mortgage insurance (PMI). However, options are available for lower down payment percentages, such as 3% or 5%, particularly for first-time homebuyers or through government-backed loan programs like FHA loans.
What credit score do I need to buy a house in Arizona?
When buying a house in Arizona, the credit score requirement can vary depending on the type of loan and the lender’s criteria. Generally, a good credit score is preferred to qualify for favorable mortgage terms. A minimum credit score of around 620 or higher is typically required for conventional loans. However, loan programs, such as FHA loans, offer more flexibility and can accommodate borrowers with lower credit scores, sometimes as low as 580. It’s important to note that a higher credit score generally improves your chances of securing a mortgage with competitive interest rates and favorable terms.
High above the Las Vegas Strip, solar panels blanketed the roof of Mandalay Bay Convention Center — 26,000 of them, rippling across an area larger than 20 football fields.
From this vantage point, the sun-dappled Mandalay Bay and Delano hotels dominated the horizon, emerging like comically large golden scepters from the glittering black panels.Snow-tipped mountains rose to the west.
It was a cold winter morning in the Mojave Desert. But there was plenty of sunlight to supply the solar array.
“This is really an ideal location,” said Michael Gulich, vice president of sustainability at MGM Resorts International.
The same goes for the rest of Las Vegas and its sprawling suburbs.
Advertisement
Sin City already has more solar panels per person than any major U.S. metropolis outside Hawaii, according to one analysis. And the city is bursting with single-family homes, warehouses and parking lots untouched by solar.
L.A. Times energy reporter Sammy Roth heads to the Las Vegas Valley, where giant solar fields are beginning to carpet the desert. But what is the environmental cost? (Video by Jessica Q. Chen, Maggie Beidelman / Los Angeles Times)
There’s enormous opportunity to lower household utility bills and cut climate pollution — without damaging wildlife habitat or disrupting treasured landscapes.
But that hasn’t stopped corporations from making plans to carpet the desert surrounding Las Vegas with dozens of giant solar fields — some of them designed to supply power to California. The Biden administration has fueled that growth, taking steps to encourage solar and wind energy development across vast stretches of public lands in Nevada and other Western states.
Those energy generators could imperil rare plants and slow-footed tortoises already threatened by rising temperatures.
They could also lessen the death and suffering from the worsening heat waves, fires, droughts and storms of the climate crisis.
Researchers have found there’s not nearly enough space on rooftops to supply all U.S. electricity — especially as more people drive electric cars. Even an analysis funded by rooftop solar advocates and installers found that the most cost-effective route to phasing out fossil fuels involves six times more power from big solar and wind farms than from smaller local solar systems.
But the exact balance has yet to be determined. And Nevada is ground zero for figuring it out.
The outcome could be determined, in part, by billionaire investor Warren Buffett.
The so-called Oracle of Omaha owns NV Energy, the monopoly utility that supplies electricity to most Nevadans. NV Energy and its investor-owned utility brethren across the country can earn huge amounts of money paving over public lands with solar and wind farms and building long-distance transmission lines to cities.
But by regulatory design, those companies don’t profit off rooftop solar. And in many cases, they’ve fought to limit rooftop solar — which can reduce the need for large-scale infrastructure and result in lower returns for investors.
Mike Troncoso remembers the exact date of Nevada’s rooftop solar reckoning.
It was Dec. 23, 2015, and he was working for SolarCity. The rooftop installer abruptly ceased operations in the Silver State after NV Energy helped persuade officials to slash a program that pays solar customers for energy they send to the power grid.
Advertisement
“I was out in the field working, and we got a call: ‘Stop everything you’re doing, don’t finish the project, come to the warehouse,’” Troncoso said. “It was right before Christmas, and they said, ‘Hey, guys, unfortunately we’re getting shut down.’”
After a public outcry, Nevada lawmakers partly reversed the reductions to rooftop solar incentives. Since then, NV Energy and the rooftop solar industry have maintained an uneasy political ceasefire. Installations now exceed pre-2015 levels.
Today, Troncoso is Nevada branch manager for Sunrun, the nation’s largest rooftop solar installer. The company has enough work in the state to support a dozen crews, each named for a different casino. On a chilly winter morning before sunrise, they prepared for the day ahead — laying out steel rails, hooking up microinverters and loading panels onto powder-blue trucks.
But even if Sunrun’s business continues to grow, it won’t eliminate the need for large solar farms in the desert.
Some habitat destruction is unavoidable — at least if we want to break our fossil fuel addiction. The key questions are: How many big solar farms are needed, and where should they be built? Can they be engineered to coexist with animals and plants?
Advertisement
And if not, should Americans be willing to sacrifice a few endangered species in the name of tackling climate change?
To answer those questions, Los Angeles Times journalists spent a week in southern Nevada, touring solar construction sites, hiking up sand dunes and off-roading through the Mojave. We spoke with NV Energy executives, conservation activists battling Buffett’s company and desert rats who don’t want to see their favorite off-highway vehicle trails cut off by solar farms.
Odds are, no one will get everything they want.
Support our journalism
Your support helps us deliver the news that matters most. Subscribe to the Los Angeles Times.
The tortoise in the coal mine
Biologist Bre Moyle easily spotted the small yellow flag affixed to a scraggly creosote bush — one of many hardy plants sprouting from the caliche soil, surrounded by rows of gleaming steel trusses that would soon hoist solar panels toward the sky.
Advertisement
Moyle leaned down for a closer look, gently pulling aside branches to reveal a football-sized hole in the ground. It was the entrance to a desert tortoise burrow — one of thousands catalogued by her employer, Primergy Solar, during construction of one of the nation’s largest solar farms on public lands outside Las Vegas.
“I wouldn’t stand on this side of it,” Moyle advised us. “If you walk back there, you could collapse it, potentially.”
I’d seen plenty of solar construction sites in my decade reporting on energy. But none like this.
Instead of tearing out every cactus and other plant and leveling the land flat — the “blade and grade” method — Primergy had left much of the native vegetation in place and installed trusses of different heights to match the ground’s natural contours. The company had temporarily relocated more than 1,600 plants to an on-site nursery, with plans to put them back later.
The Oakland-based developer also went to great lengths to safeguard desert tortoises — an iconic reptile protected under the federal Endangered Species Act, and the biggest environmental roadblock to building solar in the Mojave.
Desert tortoises are sensitive to global warming, residential sprawl and other human encroachment on their habitat. The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service has estimated tortoise populations fell by more than one-third between 2004 and 2014.
Scientists consider much of the Primergy site high-quality tortoise habitat. It also straddles a connectivity corridor that could help the reptiles seek safer haven as hotter weather and more extreme droughts make their current homes increasingly unlivable.
Before Primergy started building, the company scoured the site and removed 167 tortoises, with plans to let them return and live among the solar panels once the heavy lifting is over. Two-thirds of the project site will be repopulated with tortoises.
Workers removed more tortoises during construction. As of January, the company knew of just two tortoises killed — one that may have been hit by a car, and another that may have been entombed in its burrow by roadwork, then eaten by a kit fox.
Primergy Vice President Thomas Regenhard acknowledged the company can’t build solar here without doing any harm to the ecosystem — or spurring opposition from conservation activists. But as he watched union construction workers lift panels onto trusses, he said Primergy is “making the best of the worst-case situation” for solar opponents.
“What we’re trying to do is make it the least impactful on the environment and natural resources,” he said. “What we’re also doing is we’re sharing that knowledge, so that these projects can be built in a better way moving forward.”
Advertisement
The company isn’t saving tortoises out of the goodness of its profit-seeking heart.
The U.S. Bureau of Land Management conditioned its approval of the solar farm, called Gemini, on a long list of environmental protection measures — and only after some bureau staffers seemingly contemplated rejecting the project entirely.
Documents obtained under the Freedom of Information Act by the conservation group Defenders of Wildlife show the bureau’s Las Vegas field office drafted several versions of a “record of decision” that would have denied the permit application for Gemini. The drafts listed several objections, including harm to desert tortoises, loss of space for off-road vehicle drivers and disturbance of the Old Spanish National Historic Trail, which runs through the project site.
Separately, Primergy reached a legal settlement with conservationists — who challenged the project’s federal approval in court — in which the company agreed to additional steps to protect tortoises and a plant known as the three-corner milkvetch.
Advertisement
The company estimates just 2.5% of the project site will be permanently disturbed — far less than the 33% allowed by Primergy’s federal permit. Regenhard is hopeful the lessons learned here will inform future solar development on public lands.
“This is something new. So we’re refining a lot of the processes,” he said. “We’re not perfect. We’re still learning.”
By the time construction wraps this fall, 1.8 million panels will cover nearly 4,000 football fields’ worth of land, just off the 15 Freeway. They’ll be able to produce 690 megawatts of power — as much as 115,000 typical home solar systems. And they’ll be paired with batteries, to store energy and help NV Energy customers keep running their air conditioners after sundown.
Unlike many solar fields, Gemini is close to the population it will serve — just a few dozen miles from the Strip. And the affected landscape is far from visually stunning, with none of the red-rock majesty found at nearby Valley of Fire State Park.
But desert tortoises don’t care if a place looks cool to humans. They care if it’s good tortoise habitat.
Moyle, Primergy’s environmental services manager, pointed to a small black structure at the bottom of a fence along the site’s edge — a shade shelter for tortoises. Workers installed them every 800 feet, so that if any relocated reptiles try to return to the solar farm too early, they don’t die pacing along the fence in the heat.
“They have a really, really good sense of direction,” Moyle said. “They know where their homes are. They want to come back.”
Primergy will study what happens when tortoises do come back. Will they benefit from the shade of the solar panels? Or will they struggle to survive on the industrialized landscape?
And looming over those uncertainties, a more existential query: With global warming beginning to devastate human and animal life around the world, should we really be slowing or stopping solar development to save a single type of reptile?
Newsletter
Stay tuned for more Repowering the West
Get our Boiling Point newsletter for the next installment in this series — and behind-the-scenes stories.
You may occasionally receive promotional content from the Los Angeles Times.
Moyle was ready with an answer: Tortoises are a keystone species. If they’re doing well, it’s a good sign of a healthy ecosystem in which other desert creatures — such as burrowing owls, kit foxes and American badgers — are positioned to thrive, too.
And as the COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated, human survival is inextricably linked with a healthy natural world.
“We take one thing out, we don’t know what sort of disastrous effect it’s going to have on everything else,” Moyle said.
We do, however, know the consequences of relying on fossil fuels: entire towns burning to the ground, Lake Mead three-quarters empty, elderly Americans baking to death in their overheated homes. With worse to come.
The shifting sands of time
A few miles south, another solar project was rising in the desert. This one looked different.
Advertisement
A fleet of bulldozers, scrapers, excavators and graders was nearly done flattening the land — a beige moonscape devoid of cacti and creosote. The solar panel support trusses were all the same height, forming an eerily rigid silver sea.
When I asked Carl Glass — construction manager for DEPCOM Power, the contractor building this project for Buffett’s NV Energy — why workers couldn’t leave vegetation in place like at Gemini, he offered a simple answer: drainage. Allowing the land to retain its natural contours, he said, would make it difficult to move stormwater off the site during summer monsoons.
Safety was another consideration, said Dani Strain, NV Energy’s senior manager for the project. Blading and grading the land meant workers wouldn’t have to carry solar panels and equipment across ground studded with tripping hazards.
“It’s nicer for the environment not to do it,” Strain said. “But it creates other problems. You can’t have everything.”
This kind of solar project has typified development in the Mojave Desert.
Advertisement
And it helps explain why the Center for Biological Diversity’s Patrick Donnelly has fought so hard to limit that development.
The morning after touring the solar construction sites, we joined Donnelly for a hike up Big Dune, a giant pile of sand covering five square miles and towering 500 feet above the desert floor, 90 miles northwest of Las Vegas. The sun was just beginning its ascent over the Mojave, bathing the sand in a smooth umber glow beneath pockets of wispy cloud.
On weekends, Donnelly said, the dune can be overrun by thousands of off-road vehicles. But on this day, it was quiet.
Energy companies have proposed more than a dozen solar farms on public lands surrounding Big Dune — some with overlapping footprints. Donnelly doesn’t oppose all of them. But he thinks federal agencies should limit solar to the least ecologically sensitive parts of Nevada, instead of letting companies pitch projects almost anywhere they choose.
“Developers are looking at this as low-hanging fruit,” he said. “The idea is, this is where California can build all of its solar.”
We trekked slowly up the dune, our bodies casting long shadows in the early morning light. When we took a breather and looked back down, a trail of footprints marked our path. Donnelly assured us a windy day would wipe them away.
Advertisement
“This is why I live here, man,” he said. “It’s the most beautiful place on Earth, in my mind.”
Donnelly broke his back in a rock-climbing accident, so he used a walking stick to scale the dune. He lives not far from here, at the edge of Death Valley National Park, and works as the nonprofit Center for Biological Diversity’s Great Basin director.
As we resumed our journey, the wind blowing hard, I asked Donnelly to rank the top human threats to the Mojave. He was quick to answer: The climate crisis was No. 1, followed by housing sprawl, solar development and off-road vehicles.
“There’s no good solar project in the desert. But there’s less bad,” he said. “And we’re at a point now where we have to settle for less bad, because the alternatives are more bad: more coal, more gas, climate apocalypse.”
That hasn’t stopped Donnelly and his colleagues from fighting renewable energy projects they fear would wipe out entire species — even little-known plants and animals with tiny ranges, such as Tiehm’s buckwheat and the Dixie Valley toad.
“I’m not a religious guy,” Donnelly said. “But all God’s creatures great and small.”
After a steep stretch of sand, we stopped along a ridge with sweeping views. To our west were the Funeral Mountains, across the California state line in Death Valley National Park — and far beyond them Mt. Whitney, its snow-covered facade just barely visible. To our east was Highway 95, cutting across the Amargosa Valley en route from Las Vegas to Reno.
It’s along this highway that so many developers want to build.
Advertisement
“We would be in a sea of solar right now,” Donnelly said.
Having heard plenty of rural residents say they don’t want to look at such a sea, I asked Donnelly if this was a bad spot for solar because it would ruin the glorious views. He told me he never makes that argument, “because honestly, views aren’t really the primary concern at this moment. The primary concern is stopping the biodiversity crisis and the climate crisis.”
“There are certain places where we shouldn’t put solar because it’s a wild and undisturbed landscape,” he said.
As far as he’s concerned, though, the Amargosa Valley isn’t one of those landscapes, what with Highway 95 running through it. The same goes for Dry Lake Valley, where NV Energy’s solar construction site is already surrounded by energy infrastructure.
What Donnelly would like to see is better planning.
He pointed to California, where state and federal officials spent eight years crafting a desert conservation plan that allows solar and wind farms across a few hundred thousand acres while setting aside millions more for protection. He thinks a similar process is crucial in Nevada, where four-fifths of the land area is owned by the federal government — more than any other state.
Advertisement
If Donnelly had his way, regulators would put the kibosh on solar farms immediately adjacent to Big Dune. He’s worried they could alter the movement of sand across the desert floor, affecting several rare beetles that call the dune home.
But if the feds want to allow solar projects along the highway to the south, near the Area 51 Alien Center?
“Might not be the end the world,” Donnelly said.
He shot me a grin.
“You know, one thing I like to do …”
Without warning, he took off racing down the dune, carried by momentum and love for the desert. He laughed as he reached a natural stopping point, calling for us to join him. His voice sounded free and full of possibility.
Some solar panels on the horizon wouldn’t have changed that.
Shout it from the rooftops
Laura Cunningham and Kevin Emmerich were a match made in Mojave Desert heaven.
Advertisement
Cunningham was a wildlife biologist, Emmerich a park ranger when they met nearly 30 years ago at Death Valley. She studied tortoises for government agencies and later a private contractor. He worked with bighorn sheep and gave interpretive talks. They got married, bought property along the Amargosa River and started their own conservation group, Basin and Range Watch.
And they’ve been fighting solar development ever since.
That’s how we ended up in the back of their SUV, pulling open a rickety cattle gate off Highway 95 and driving past wild burros on a dirt road through Nevada’s Bullfrog Hills, 100 miles northwest of Las Vegas.
They had told us Sarcobatus Flat was stunning, but I was still surprised by how stunning. I got my first look as we crested a ridge. The gently sloping valley spilled down toward Death Valley National Park, whose snowy mountain peaks towered over a landscape dotted with thousands of Joshua trees.
“Everything we’re looking at is proposed for solar development,” Cunningham said.
Advertisement
Most environmentalists agree we need at least some large solar farms. Cunningham and Emmerich are different. They’re at the vanguard of a harder-core desert protection movement that sees all large-scale solar farms on public lands as bad news.
Why had so many companies converged on Sarcobatus Flat?
The main answer is transmission. NV Energy is seeking federal approval to build the 358-mile Greenlink West electric line, which would carry thousands of megawatts of renewable power between Reno and Las Vegas along the Highway 95 corridor.
The dirt road curved around a small hill, and suddenly we found ourselves on the valley floor, surrounded by Joshua trees. Some looked healthy; others had bark that had been chewed by rodents seeking water, a sign of drought stress. Scientists estimate the Joshua tree’s western subspecies could lose 90% of its range as the world gets hotter and droughts get more intense.
But asked whether climate change or solar posed a bigger threat to Sarcobatus Flat, Cunningham didn’t hesitate.
“Oh, solar development hands down,” she said.
Nearly 20 years ago, she said, she helped relocate desert tortoises to make way for a test track in California. One of them tried to return home, walking 20 miles before hitting a fence. It paced back and forth and eventually died of heat exhaustion.
Solar farms, she said, pose a similar threat to tortoises. And at Sarcobatus Flat, they would cover a high-elevation area that could otherwise serve as a climate refuge for Joshua trees, giving them a relatively cool place to reproduce as the planet heats up.
“It makes no sense to me that we’re going to bulldoze them down and throw them into trash piles. It’s just crazy,” she said.
In Cunningham and Emmerich’s view, every sun-baked parking lot in L.A. and Vegas and Phoenix should have a solar canopy, every warehouse and single-family home a solar roof. It’s a common argument among desert defenders: Why sacrifice sensitive ecosystems when there’s an easy alternative for fighting climate change? Especially when rooftop solar can reduce strain on an overtaxed electric grid and — when paired with batteries — help people keep their lights on during blackouts?
The answer isn’t especially satisfying to conservationists.
For all the virtues of rooftop solar, it’s an expensive way to generate clean power — and keeping energy costs low is crucial to ensure that lower-income families can afford electric cars, another key climate solution. A recent report from investment bank Lazard pegged the cost of rooftop solar at 11.7 cents per kilowatt-hour on the low end, compared with 2.4 cents for utility solar.
Even when factoring in pricey long-distance electric lines, utility-scale solar is typically cheaper, several experts told me.
“It’s three to six times more expensive to put solar on your roof than to put it in a large-scale project,” said Jesse Jenkins, an energy systems researcher at Princeton University. “There may be some added value to having solar in the Los Angeles Basin instead of the middle of the Mojave Desert. But is it 300% to 600% more value? Probably not. It’s probably not even close.”
There’s a practical challenge, too.
The National Renewable Energy Laboratory has estimated U.S. rooftops could generate 1,432 terawatt-hours of electricity per year — just 13% of the power America will need to replace most of its coal, oil and gas, according to research led by Jenkins.
Add in parking lots and other areas within cities, and urban solar systems might conceivably supply one-quarter or even one-third of U.S. power, several experts told The Times — in an unlikely scenario where they’re installed in every suitable spot.
Energy researcher Chris Clack’s consulting firm has found that dramatic growth in rooftop and other small-scale solar installations could reduce the costs of slashing climate pollution by half a trillion dollars. But even Clack said rooftops alone won’t cut it.
“Realistically, 80% is going to end up being utility grid no matter what,” he said.
Advertisement
All those industrial renewable energy projects will have to go somewhere.
Sarcobatus Flat may not be the answer. Federal officials classified all three solar proposals there as “low priority,” citing their proximity to Death Valley and potential harm to tortoise habitat. One developer withdrew its application last year.
Before leaving the area, Cunningham pointed to a wooden marker, one of at least half a dozen stretching out in a line. I walked over to take a closer look and discovered it was a mining claim for lithium — a main ingredient in electric-car batteries.
If solar development didn’t upend this valley, lithium extraction might.
On the beaten track
Advertisement
The four-wheeler jerked violently as Erica Muxlow pressed her foot to the gas, sending us flying down a rough dirt road with no end in sight but the distant mountains. Five-point safety straps were the only things stopping us from flying out of our seats, the vehicle leaping through the air as we reached speeds of 40 mph, then 50 mph, the wind whipping our faces.
It was like riding Disneyland’s Matterhorn Bobsleds — just without the Yeti.
Ahead of us, Muxlow’s neighbor Jimmy Lewis led the way on an electric blue motorcycle, kicking up a stream of sand. He wanted us to see thousands of acres of public lands outside his adopted hometown of Pahrump, in Nevada’s Nye County, that could soon be blocked by solar projects — cutting off access to off-highway vehicle enthusiasts such as himself.
“You could build an apartment complex or a shopping mall here, and it would be the same thing to me,” he said.
To progressive-minded Angelenos or San Franciscans, preserving large chunks of public land for gas-guzzling, environmentally destructive dirt bikes might sound like a terrible reason not to build solar farms that would lessen the climate crisis.
Advertisement
But here’s the reality: Rural Westerners such as Lewis will play a key role in determining how much clean energy gets built.
Not long before our Nevada trip, Nye County placed a six-month pause on new renewable energy projects, citing local concerns about loss of off-road vehicle trails. Similar fears have stymied development across the U.S., with rural residents attacking solar and wind farms as industrial intrusions on their way of life — and local governments throwing up roadblocks.
For Lewis, the conflict is deeply personal.
He moved here from Southern California more than a decade ago, trading life by the beach for a five-acre plot where he runs an off-roading school and test-drives motorcycles for manufacturers. His warehouse was packed with dozens of dirt bikes.
“This is my life. Motorcycles, motorcycles, motorcycles,” he said, laughing.
Lewis has worked to stir up opposition to three local solar farm proposals. So far, his efforts have been in vain.
One project is already under construction. Peering through a fence, we saw row after row of trusses, waiting for their photovoltaic panels. It’s called Yellow Pine, and it’s being built by Florida-based NextEra Energy to supply power to California.
Advertisement
Lewis learned about Yellow Pine when he was riding one of his favorite trails and was surprised to find it cut off. He compared the experience to riding the best roller-coaster at a theme park, only to have it grind to a halt three-quarters of the way through.
“I don’t want my playground taken away from me,” he said.
“Me neither!” a voice called out from behind us.
We turned and were greeted by Shannon Salter, an activist who had previously spent nine months camping near the Yellow Pine site to protest the habitat destruction. She and Lewis had never met, but they quickly realized they had common cause.
“It’s the opposite of green!” Salter said.
“On my roof, not my backyard,” Lewis agreed.
Never mind that conservationists have long decried the ecological damage from desert off-roading. Salter and Lewis both cared about these lands. Neither wanted to see the solar industry lay claim to them. They talked about staying in touch.
It’s easy to imagine similar alliances forming across the West, the clean energy transition bringing together environmentalists and rural residents in a battle to defend their lifestyles, their landscapes and animals that can’t fight for themselves.
Newsletter
Your guide to our clean energy future
Get our Boiling Point newsletter for the latest on the power sector, water wars and more — and what they mean for California.
You may occasionally receive promotional content from the Los Angeles Times.
It’s also easy to imagine major cities that badly need lots of solar and wind power — Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Phoenix — brushing off those complaints as insignificant compared with the climate emergency, or as fueled by right-wing misinformation.
But many of concerns raised by critics are legitimate. And their voices are only getting louder.
As night fell over the Mojave, Lewis shared his idea that any city buying electricity from a desert solar farm should be required to install a certain amount of rooftop solar back home first — on government buildings, at least. It only seemed fair.
“Some people see the desert as just a wasteland,” Lewis said. “I think it’s beautiful.”
The view from Black Mountain
Advertisement
So how do we build enough renewable energy to replace fossil fuels without destroying too many ecosystems, or stoking too much political opposition from rural towns, or moving too slowly to save the planet?
Few people could do more to ease those tensions than Buffett.
Our conversation kept returning to the legendary investor as we hiked Black Mountain, just outside Vegas, on our last morning in the Silver State. We were joined by Jaina Moan, director of external affairs for the Nature Conservancy’s Nevada chapter. She had promised a view of massive solar fields from the peak — but only after a 3.5-mile trek with 2,000 feet of elevation gain.
“It’ll be a little StairMaster at the end,” she warned us.
The homes and hotels and casinos of the Las Vegas Valley retreated behind us as we climbed, looking ever smaller and more insignificant against the vast open desert. It was an illusion that will prove increasingly difficult to maintain as Sin City and its suburbs continue their march into the Mojave. Nevada politicians from both parties are pushing for legislation that would let federal officials auction off additional public lands for residential and commercial development.
Vegas and other Western cities could limit the need for more suburbs — and sprawling solar farms — by growing smarter, Moan said. Urban areas could embrace density, to help people drive fewer miles and reduce the demand for new power supplies to fuel electric vehicles. They could invest in electric buses and trains — and use less water, which would save a lot of energy.
Advertisement
“As our spaces become more crowded, we’re going to have to come up with more creative ideas,” Moan said.
That’s where Buffett could make things easier.
The billionaire’s Berkshire Hathaway company owns electric utilities that serve millions of people, from California to Nevada to Illinois. Those utilities, Moan said, could buck the industry trend of urging policymakers to reduce financial incentives for rooftop solar and instead encourage the technology — along with other small-scale clean energy solutions, such as local microgrids.
That would limit the need for big solar farms — at least somewhat.
Berkshire and other energy giants could also build solar on lands already altered by humans, such as abandoned mines, toxic Superfund sites, reservoirs, landfills, agricultural areas, highway corridors and canals that carry water to farms and cities.
The costs are typically higher than building on undisturbed public lands. And in many cases there are technical challenges yet to be resolved. But those kinds of “creative solutions” could at least lessen the loss of biodiversity, Moan said.
“There’s money to be made there, and there’s good to be done,” she said.
Advertisement
It’s hard to know what Buffett thinks. A Berkshire spokesperson declined my request to interview him.
Tony Sanchez, NV Energy’s executive vice president for business development and external relations, was more forthcoming.
“The problem for us with rooftop solar,” he said, is that it’s “not controlled at all by us.” As a result, NV Energy can’t decide when and how rooftop solar power is used — and can’t rely on that power to help balance supply and demand on the grid.
Over time, Sanchez predicted, a lot more rooftop solar will get built. But he couldn’t say how much.
Rooftop solar faces a similarly uncertain future in California, where state officials voted last year to slash incentive payments, calling them an unfair subsidy. Industry leaders have warned of a dramatic decline in installations.
As we neared the top of Black Mountain, the solar farms on the other side came into view. They stretched across the Eldorado Valley far below — black rectangles that could help save life on Earth while also destroying bits and pieces of it.
Advertisement
Moan believes the key to balancing clean energy and conservation is “go slow to go fast.” Government agencies, she said, should work with conservation activists, small-town residents and Native American tribes to study and map out the best places for clean energy, then reward companies that agree to build in those areas with faster approvals. Solar and wind development would slow down in the short term but speed up in the long run, with quicker environmental reviews and less risk of lawsuits.
It’s a tantalizing concept — but I confessed to Moan that I worried it would backfire.
What if the sparring factions couldn’t agree on the best spots to build solar and wind farms, and instead wasted years arguing? Or what if they did manage to hammer out some compromises, only for a handful of unhappy people or groups to take them to court, gumming up the works? Couldn’t “go slow to go fast” end up becoming “go slow to go slow”?
In other words, should we really bet our collective future on human beings working together, rather than fighting?
Moan was sympathetic to my fears. She also didn’t see another way forward.
Advertisement
“We really need to think holistically about saving everything,” she said.
The sad truth is, not everything can be saved. Not if we want to keep the world livable for people and animals alike.
Some beloved landscapes will be left unrecognizable. Some families will be stuck paying high energy bills to monopoly utilities, even as some utility investors make less money. Some tortoises will probably die, pacing along fences in the heat.
The alternative is worse.
Support our journalism
Your support helps us deliver the news that matters most. Subscribe to the Los Angeles Times.
Today is all about the Federal Reserve. Their two-day FOMC meeting wraps up today and we could see mortgage rates adjust when they release their written statement at 2:00pm. It’s important for anyone thinking about buying a home or refinancing their current mortgage to tune in and see what happens. Read on for more details.
[embedded content]
Market Outlook 3.19.18 from Total Mortgage on Vimeo.
Where are mortgage rates going?
All eyes on the Fed – rates could adjust this afternoon
The Federal Reserve is front and center today for financial market participants as it’s the final day of their Federal Open Market Committee meeting. The meeting will formally conclude this afternoon at 2:00pm with the release of a written statement outlining their current monetary policy outlook.
It has been widely anticipated for a couple months now by investors and analysts alike that the Fed will decide to raise the nation’s benchmark interest rate–the federal funds rate–by a quarter point, bringing the target range up to 1.50%-1.75%.
Since the markets have already priced this decision in, we won’t see an immediate jump higher for rates once it’s finally written in stone. However, that is not the only thing that investors will be looking for at today’s meeting.
What everyone really wants to learn from this meeting is how the Fed feels about more rate hikes in 2018. Over the past few months we’ve gotten a variety of pundits debating whether or not the Fed will take a more aggressive or cautious approach throughout the year.
For a while there in February when the inflation reports were really coming out strong it seemed as though there might actually be a case for four rate hikes. Now, with recent inflation readings coming in on the softer side it’s not looking like that will happen.
You never know what the Fed will say, though, which is why everyone and their mother will be tuned in at 2:00pm to get the details. Today’s event is also notable because it’s the first time we will get a post-meeting press conference from the new Fed Chair, Jerome Powell.
He will speak for about an hour starting around 2:30pm, fielding questions from journalists. The written statement is of course a huge insight into the inner-workings of the Fed but more often than not we learn more about the situation and rationale behind the decisions from the post-meeting dialogue.
Investors are getting anxious today as they anticipate the Fed’s rate increase, moving more into stocks and out of bonds. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note (which is the best market indicator of where mortgage rates are going) has moved up to its highest position in a month at 2.90%.
Mortgage rates typically move in the same direction as the 10-year yield, and are similarly seeing some upward pressure today.
Rate/Float Recommendation
Lock now before rates increase further
Despite all of the fuss in the markets today, our outlook remains the same: mortgage rates should steadily rise in 2018, so most borrowers will likely get the better deal on a purchase or refinance by locking in a rate sooner rather than later.
Learn what you can do to get the best interest rate possible.
Today’s economic data:
Existing Home Sales
Existing home sales ticked up to an annualized rate of 5.540 million.
EIA Petroleum Status Report
FOMC Meeting Announcement and Press Conference
See above for details
Notable events this week:
Monday:
Tuesday:
FOMC Meeting Begins
Wednesday:
Existing Home Sales
EIA Petroleum Status Report
FOMC Meeting Announcement and Press Conference
Thursday:
Jobless Claims
FHFA House Price Index
PMI Composite Flash
Friday:
Fedspeak
Durable Goods
New Home Sales
*Terms and conditions apply.
Carter Wessman
Carter Wessman is originally from the charming town of Norfolk, Massachusetts. When he isn’t busy writing about mortgage related topics, you can find him playing table tennis, or jamming on his bass guitar.
While the mainstream mortgage rate indices continue operating in the mid-to-upper 6% range, actual rates are moving higher into the 7% range by the time we account for the additional costs required to get the average lender into the high 6’s. In other words, a 30yr fixed rate in the 6’s is most often seen with the addition of upfront costs to buy down the rate these days. Because those upfront costs can vary from scenario to scenario, our index accounts for them in the rate itself, thus allowing us to track just one number that is always able to be compared to other points in the past.
At the moment, there are only a few days in the recent past (May 25th and 26th) that have seen rates any higher than todays. Before that, you’d have to go back at least another 2 months. Even then, you wouldn’t get to obviously higher rates until late 2022.
Today’s increase wasn’t that big in and of itself. It simply added on to a losing streak that began last Thursday after several economic reports suggested more resilience than expected. In general, an unexpectedly resilient economy puts upward pressure on rates. Fears about “more of the same” could be behind some of today’s weakness as the next two days bring several important economic reports. Ultimately, inflation and the economy will determine when the tide turns for rising rate momentum.
The HousingWire award spotlight series highlights the individuals and organizations that have been recognized through our Editors’ Choice Awards. Nominations for HousingWire’s 2023 HW Vanguards are open until July 28, 2023. Click here to nominate someone from your organization today.
The 2023 HW Vanguard awards are now open for nominations! This prestigious award recognizes the c-suite executives making an unmistakable impact on the housing ecosystem. These leaders are inspiring their organizations and moving markets forward, each and every day.
One common thread among all of the HW Vanguard honorees is outstanding leadership abilities. HousingWire reached out to the 2022 HW Vanguard honorees to hear more about their leadership strategies and asked: In your opinion, what trait or behavior that makes an effective leader?
Take a look below at what we heard from two of last year’s winners:
“Asking for help and being ready to say ‘yes’ when asked for help. Saying you believe that it ‘takes a village’ and actually acting on that belief are two different things; actively engaging in the marketplace of mutual help has served me extremely well in leadership roles.” — Alex Lofton, co-founder and CEO of Landed
“I believe the one trait that makes an effective leader outside of integrity is the ability to always be able to pivot immediately from problems to solutions. Great leaders never dwell on obstacles, but always find opportunities.” — Dale Vermillion, founder and CEO of Mortgage Champions
Don’t miss the chance to nominate an industry executive for the 2023 HW Vanguards award! Nominations close Friday, July 28, 2023.
With the news this month that the housing market hit a milestone by showing the first year-over-year price decline in recent memory, homeowners who’d considered finally selling their home this year are finding themselves discouraged yet again.
What happened, they might wonder, to the not-so-distant glory days of frantic bidding wars and over-ask offers? Plenty of frustrated owners seem worried that the window for a fast and lucrative home sale might be shutting fast.
But here’s the reality: The U.S. housing market is no monolith. Although it’s true that many of the hottest markets of the past few years have seen prices fall in the wake of higher mortgage interest rates that broadly dampened home shoppers’ buying power, there are still cities where buyers continue to snatch up homes quickly and where sellers are getting their full asking price—or more.
This is why the Realtor.com® data team dug in to find the U.S. real estate markets that most favor sellers. (Sorry, buyers!)
The best places for sellers generally have persistently low housing inventory, strong demand from buyers, and often—but not always—lower prices that have room to swell. These are generally affordable metropolitan areas in the Northeast with a few in the Midwest.
Three of the metros on our list—Hartford, CT, Worcester, MA, and Providence, RI—are so close, you could tour homes in all of them in a single day. Our ranking also has one spot in the South and a somewhat bizarre outlier in California—more on that later.
To figure out if an area is a buyer’s or seller’s market, Pamela Ermen likes to track the change in the number of closed sales per month, compared with the change in the number of new listings per month.
“When sales are going up and inventory is going down, that’s a real seller’s market,” says Ermen, a Virginia Beach–based Realtor® at Re/Max and a speaker and coach at Real Estate Guidance.
Still, sellers who focus solely on low inventory can wrongly conclude that they can list their home at a higher price than an agent might advise. That can lead to their property languishing on the market not receiving strong offers. Meanwhile, buyers who focus only on the number of sales going down might wrongly think there’s less competition. That might result in heartache when they find out the hard way that many homes are still getting multiple offers.
To find true seller-friendly places, the Realtor.com data team looked at the May 2023 listing data for the 100 largest metropolitan areas. Then we ranked each based on the number of days that the median listing is on the market, combined with the portion of listings that have had the price reduced. These metrics tell us where homes are selling faster than average and with fewer sellers having to reduce their price to make the sale.
We selected just one metro area per state to ensure geographical diversity. (Metros include the main city and surrounding towns, suburbs, and smaller urban areas.)
Here’s where sellers can expect the market to be most tilted in their favor this summer.
Median list price: $265,000 Median days on the market: 13 Listings with a price reduction: 1 in 17
Rochester, on the western edge of New York along the southern shore of Lake Ontario, not only is at the top of our seller’s saviors list—it’s also in a class of its own. Rochester had both the lowest number of days on the market and the lowest portion of listings with a price reduction. But this is nothing new for the so-called Flower City.
The metro area has become a mainstay of the Realtor.com hottest real estate markets list. It’s also where sellers are usually still getting their asking price, and where buyers can find one of the largest selections of homes for less than $200,000. Plus, home prices are well below the national median list price of $441,500 in May.
These affordable homes have made the area appealing to locals, out-of-towners, and investors.
“If you’re priced right in our market, you can expect to still sell in about one week,” says Jenna May, a local real estate agent at Keller Williams Realty.
When the market was at its pandemic peak in 2022, and even before anyone had heard of COVID-19, Rochester was still leading the nation in the low number of days on the market. Demand here for homes is high and seems destined to stay that way.
“There are people who are offering $80,000 over listing price and not getting the home,” says May. “It’s that competitive.”
Median list price: $424,925 Median days on the market: 19 Listings with a price reduction: 1 in 14
The capital city of Connecticut is also no stranger to the Realtor.com list of the nation’s hottest real estate markets. Hartford is the largest population hub in the state, with 1.2 million residents.
It also boasts home prices that are about 5% below the national median.
“The Northeast has been well undervalued compared with other markets—and not just for years, but for decades,” says Lisa Barrall-Matt, a senior broker at Berkshire Hathaway in West Hartford.
Homes in the Hartford area have been priced $100,000 less than comparable homes in other markets, Barrall-Matt says, for so long that she began to take it for granted.
Now, she’s feeling vindicated: “I used to say, ‘Why aren’t prices higher?’ Now I’m saying, ‘Where’s the ceiling?’”
Median list price: $622,500 Median days on the market: 24 Listings with a price reduction: 1 in 13
Portland became a popular pandemic destination for Northeasterners looking for a scenic, coastal city with some great restaurants, entertainment, and a brewery scene. The area has a rich history, having a Native American presence dating more than 10,000 years before becoming an early Colonial settlement.
The above-average prices in this artsy city on Casco Bay aren’t keeping sellers from enjoying quick sales. In fact, few listings are getting marked down. The demand for housing here is just so strong. Portland has been featured on our list of the best places to retire in 2022, and it has one of the last year’s hottest neighborhoods: Windham, just on the northwestern edge of Portland proper.
Prices in Portland have grown significantly faster during the pandemic—from May 2019 to now—than they did in most of the country. Where prices rose about 40% nationally, prices in Portland have grown by about 62%. Just since this time last year, prices rose 17%.
A newer four-bedroom home in South Portland that’s within walking distance of Fore River is listed for $650,000, close to the area average.
Median list price: $517,450 Median days on the market: 19 Listings with a price reduction: 1 in 10
Worcester, about 40 miles west of Boston, was nicknamed the “Heart of the Commonwealth” because of its central location in Massachusetts.
This medium-sized metro has a name that’s fun to say, like “rooster” but with a W. But it simply doesn’t have enough homes to match the high interest from potential buyers, according to Nick McNeil, a local Realtor with the Lux Group.
“The amount of demand and the absolute lack of inventory is nuts,” he says. “And there’s not much room for new construction in this area, with tight regulations on what can be built.”
Until there’s some kind of change in the supply and demand dynamic in the area, McNeil says, it’s going to be hard for buyers, and relatively easy for sellers—as long as they’re not also trying to buy.
“The best situation you can be in is if you can sell now,” he says.
Median list price: $384,250 Median days on the market: 25 Listings with a price reduction: 1 in 10
Amid the rolling hills of Eastern Pennsylvania’s Lehigh Valley, about 60 miles northwest of Philadelphia, Allentown has a few things going for sellers right now. The portion of homes with a price reduction is about half the national average, and homes are selling about 40% faster.
Like some other places on this list, the homes in this historic steel town are priced below the national average. But local incomes are a bit higher than average, offering buyers more affordability. That’s helping the real estate market to remain competitive as buyers seek out deals.
Allentown offers a mix of urban, suburban, and rural lifestyles, making it broadly attractive for buyers.
What’s especially notable about the area is the price growth over the past several years. Allentown metro prices have risen by 78% since before the pandemic, ahead of all the other places on this list.
For about the local median price in Allentown, buyers can find a five-bedroom bungalow in the Hamilton Park neighborhood west of downtown Allentown.
Median list price: $374,950 Median days on the market: 29 Listings with a price reduction: 1 in 11
Perched on the western shore of Lake Michigan in southeastern Wisconsin, Milwaukee is known for its breweries, including Miller and Pabst. It’s also where Harley-Davidson was founded. And it’s been a staple of housing affordability for some time.
However, prices have been rising in Milwaukee’s metro area: They rose by around 11% compared with this time last year.
The median number of days on the market is below the average now, just like it was before the pandemic. The same goes for the portion of listings with a price reduction. This is all very good news for home sellers hoping for a quick, profitable sale.
For $375,000, a buyer can get a large, four-bedroom home just 5 minutes from hiking trails, a golf course, and a dog park, all along the shoreline.
Median list price: $386,973 Median days on the market: 29 Listings with a price reduction: 1 in 9
The Virginia Beach metro area, a popular vacation spot for beach, maritime history, and seafood lovers, is another place where incomes are higher than average and home prices are lower.
Last year, sellers could count on getting multiple offers, usually leading to potential buyers bidding up the price, says Virginia Beach–based Realtor Ermen. Now, it’s not as easy to figure out that pricing sweet spot. If the home is listed too high, that’s when there’s eventually pressure to reduce the price.
In the month of May, even with a low number of price reductions, Erman says, “90% of price reductions were made before the listing hit the average time on market.”
That indicates sellers are getting antsy, and probably would have been better off pricing the home lower to begin with. But homes that are priced to sell are still moving briskly.
Median list price: $1,530,000 Median days on the market: 25 Listings with a price reduction: 1 in 9
San Jose is the oddball on this list.
Nestled in the heart of Silicon Valley, it is one of the most expensive real estate markets in the nation. Homes in this San Francisco Bay Area hot spot cost more than triple the national average, which means real estate attracts a very specific buyer.
Because San Jose is a global technology hub, its population is very diverse, and not just racially or ethnically. Roughly 40% of residents were born outside of the U.S., according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Most significantly, many residents have tons of money to spend, whether they’re high-salaried tech employees or they have had an entrepreneurial startup windfall.
Local real estate agents will tell you that San Jose is simply insulated from many of the market dynamics because the clientele is so wealthy. If they’re making an all-cash purchase, they don’t have to worry about higher mortgage rates. And that’s a big boon for sellers.
Median list price: $539,950 Median days on the market: 31 Listings with a price reduction: 1 in 10
Providence, home to Brown University and the Rhode Island School of Design, is a bustling town filled with older homes. About 50 miles southwest of Boston, it’s one of the medium-sized, Northeastern metros on our list that are enjoying especially strong housing markets right now.
Providence prices are significantly above the national average, but compared with nearby Boston, where the median list price is north of $850,000, Providence is a downright bargain.
Plus, it’s got a lot going for it. It boasts beautiful scenery along the Seekonk River, a thriving arts scene, and good jobs. The headquarters for CVS is located in nearby Woonsocket.
In Providence, for $550,000, a little above the local average, buyers can find a midcentury two-bedroom home with classic brick construction about 15 minutes from downtown.
Median list price: $229,950 Median days on the market: 31 Listings with a price reduction: 1 in 9
Home prices in this Rust Belt city, which has struggled in more recent years, are still dramatically lower than the national average—about 45% less expensive. And with the focus of buyers on affordability, it’s no wonder that Toledo has taken off.
In the past year, median list prices in Toledo have risen by 25% (10% per square foot), which is quite a bit higher than before the pandemic.
For less than the median list price in Toledo, buyers can get a massive, six-bedroom home in Toledo’s Old West End neighborhood, just northwest of downtown.
Nationally known as a hub of scientific progress thanks to its connection to NASA (Houston, we have a problem), Houston is also one of America’s most desirable cities in terms of diversity, entertainment, food and cost of living.
When it comes to hidden gems around the city, there are more than a few that longtime Houston locals want to keep to themselves. We’re here to open up the door to you and highlight some of Bayou City’s best places for food, drinks, entertainment and outdoor excursions.
SOURCE: FACEBOOK.COM/PHATEATERY
Underrated Houston Restaurants
The Houston culinary scene is defined by an entirely unique combination of flavors that reflects the diverse population of the city. These flavors include traditional Texas barbecue, Viet-Cajun seafood, creative breakfast tacos and crispy chicken, just to name a few. Listed below are eight great restaurants that are sure to show off the best of what the Houston culinary scene has to offer.
Phat Eatery
You simply can’t talk about the Houston food scene without mentioning Phat Eatery. Headed up by James Beard-nominated chef/owner, Alex Au-Yeung, this strip mall-based gem is hidden away a little over a half hour outside of Houston in Katy and well worth every minute of the drive it takes to get there. Phat Eatery serves up Malaysian fare with a passion that is seldom seen in any industry. Known for an unbeatable selection of appetizers, a great atmosphere and dim sum that is to die for, Phat Eatery is something you need to experience to understand.
Theodore Rex
Ever wonder what the “T” in “T-Rex” stands for? Well, turns out it’s not tyrannosaurus, it’s actually Theodore. If you ask Theodore Rex chef and owner Justin Yu, that is. This New American restaurant serves up elegant dishes in an elevated space but somehow manages not to feel stuffy at all. Great, vibes, artisanal drinks and food made with care, sound good? The menu may be small but it sure is mighty. Regulars will likely recommend you try everything at least once.
Afrikoko
Afrikoko is undeniably one of, if not the, best West African restaurants in Houston. Opened with the goal of giving the people around Braeburn a place to experience Ghanaian cuisine, Afrikoko serves up authentic stews, fufu, jollof rice and more for lunch and dinner seven days a week.
Loro
Loro is an Asian smokehouse and bar that serves up smoked meats with an Asian fusion twist. Running the show are two James Beard winners in Chef Tyson Cole and Aaron Franklin. Needless to say, when you walk through the doors at Loro, you’re in not just good hands, but quite possibly the best hands. Stop by and chow down on some of Houston’s tastiest brisket, enjoy a slice of classic peach cobbler and let loose with happy hour deals and delicious cocktails including house-made frozen drinks.
Nobie’s
The fine people behind Nobie’s set out to create a restaurant that gave off strong living room vibes. They succeeded. Nobie’s welcoming atmosphere is entirely unique and curated through an obvious attention to detail that’s apparent from the moment you walk in. Spinning vinyl records and churning out great food Wednesday – Sunday, this New American restaurant specializes in artisan pizza, crowd-pleasing small plates and rustic main dishes you aren’t likely to find anywhere else. Be warned, they unapologetically play their records at near-full volume. If you are sensitive to noise, be sure to reserve a table on the patio ahead of time!
Lankford’s Grocery and Market
Lankford’s Grocery and Market is a classic no-frills spot to grab a big breakfast, traditional chicken fried steak or even authentic enchiladas. Established in 1937 and featured on Guy Fierri’s Diners, Drive-Ins and Dives, where Guy highly recommended the Firehouse Burger, this gem is perfect for a quick bite in a nostalgic setting.
Street to Kitchen
If you’re looking to find authentic Thai flavors in Houston, look no further than Street to Kitchen. Known around the city for its legendary drunken noodles, this casual stop is located next to a gas station and offers limited parking. Be sure to make a reservation beforehand if you don’t want to wait as Street to Kitchen has quickly become the go-to spot for Houstonians looking to scratch that authentic Thai food itch.
Blood Brothers BBQ
Hot links, pork ribs, jalapeño cheddar sausage and even fried rice grace the menu at this casual spot for top-notch barbecue with an Asian-Cajun flair. Established in 2013, Blood Bros BBQ is located in the nearby Bellaire area about fifteen minutes south of Houston. Ask around and you’ll hear all about their pork belly burnt ends, jalapeño creamed corn and banh mi offerings.
SOURCE: FACEBOOK.COM/RABBITSGOTTHEGUNHTX
Houston hot spots for drinks
From cold beers to craft cocktails in a scenic setting, Houston is full of fun spots to chill out and enjoy a drink with those closest to you. Here are three Houston hotspots that are making waves now.
Rabbit’s Got the Gun
Nestled comfortably in the heart of Houston’s Northside neighborhood, Rabbit’s Got the Gun is a small craft bar known for its mural-adorned walls, meticulously crafted cocktails and on-site taco truck. Opened with the goal of being more of an experience than simply a place to get a drink, Rabbit’s Got the Gun is consistent with the vibe and constant with the quality. Can’t ask for much more out of a neighborhood hangout.
NettBar
Large outdoor area? Check. Dog-friendly? Check. Cold beers and fun games? Double check. NettBar is one of those all-day-hangout-type-places. You can get there around lunch, head out at closing and feel like you had a full day when you get home. Located south of Houston’s Greater Heights neighborhood, this locally-adored bar was built around a structure that has existed at their location since the 1950s. This watering hole has been a meeting place for families, young professionals, and people passing through town since they first opened their doors.
Trash Panda Drinking Club
Not to disrespect any of the other businesses appearing on this list, but you just can’t beat a name like Trash Panda Drinking Club. Accompanied by a great name, this little neighborhood dive bar has just the right mix of punk rock attitude and instagramable aesthetics. Stop in, enjoy a craft cocktail and see for yourself.
SOURCE: FACEBOOK.COM/MOBETTERBREWSHTX
Best under-the-radar coffee shops in Houston
With artisan lattes, creative cold brews and great vibes, these four coffee shops and cafes are the most ideal places in Houston to start your day.
Mo’ Better Brews
Mo’ Better Brews is a 100% vegan coffee shop, breakfast spot, restaurant, bar, community hangout and so much more. Truly a one-of-a-kind shop, Mo’ Better Brews sets out to accomplish a lot and does it all extremely well. Ideal for a get-together with old friends, a quiet morning on your own, or a chill night out with that special someone, Mo’ Better Brews is the coffee shop that does it all and looks darn good doing it.
Slowpokes
Beyond having a great name, Slowpokes is a stellar coffee shop. With three locations around the Houston area in the Greenway Upper Kirby area, Spring Ranch and Independence Heights, Slowpokes serves as a morning pick-me-up stop for a substantial percentage of Houston locals. If you’re hungry, Slowpokes also serves up breakfast food, sandwiches, snacks and local goods in addition to happy hour drinks for the 21-and-over crowd.
Day 6 Coffee Co.
Located about a block off Market Square Park, Day 6 Coffee Co. is a brick-walled coffee shop with a great vibe. Natural light, hanging plants, skilled baristas and tasty baked goods are just a few of the attributes that keep locals and passersby alike coming back and making this quintessential coffee shop a staple in their morning routines.
The Nook Cafe and Bar
The Nook Cafe and Bar is an industrial-style space filled with local art. This cozy cafe was established in 2013 by a group of University of Houston alumni. They opened this shop with the simple goal of improving the quality of life for UH students and the residents that live around the campus. Now with ten years of business under their belt, it’s safe to say this hip coffee shop has done just that.
SOURCE: FACEBOOK.COM/SCOTTGERTNERSRHYTHMROOM
Houston’s live entertainment options
There’s no shortage of talented performers in Houston. Luckily for you, there’s also no shortage of stage time. Check out these top spots for live entertainment in Houston and catch a show tonight.
Scott Gertner’s Rhythm Room
This Louisiana-style restaurant and live performance venue serves up casual plates and inventive cocktails in a cool setting. Scott Gertner’s Rhythm Room is a staple in the Rice Military neighborhood. Famous for its steak night and live jazz, Scott Gertner’s is an ode to the past in the best possible way. Catch a live show and experience it for yourself.
The Secret Group
The Secret Group is a small bar with a rooftop patio that hosts a number of different types of live shows like standup comedy, concerts, emo karaoke, 90s nights and more. This off-the-wall watering hole is a great place to make new memories with old friends and is always good for people-watching and low-pressure performances.
Dan Electro’s
Since the late 80s, Dan Electro’s has been the premier spot in Houston’s historic Greater Heights area for live music. Walk through the doors at this storied venue and you’re liable to catch a show of almost any musical genre. The only constant here is quality. Quality on the stage, quality behind the bar and quality people filling the space. Stop in and enjoy the real Houston in all its glory!
Miller Outdoor Theater
Maybe not technically a hidden gem, Miller Outdoor Theater is Houston’s premier amphitheater and, as such, hosts everything from community theater and chorus events to movie nights to touring concert acts. Perfect for a family night, romantic evening or low-key outing with friends, Miller Outdoor Theater is located right next to Rice University and worth checking out if you find yourself in the area on a nice day.
SOURCE: FACEBOOK.COM/BUFFALOBAYOU
Four things to do outside in Houston
You can’t come to Houston and not enjoy the great outdoors. Here are a few suggestions to help you reconnect with mother nature during your time in Bayou City.
Buffalo Bayou
The Buffalo Bayou is a slow-moving body of water—technically not a river—that runs through Houston and feeds into Galveston Bay and eventually the Gulf of Mexico. Extensive efforts are underway to clean up the Bayou and a lot of progress has been made thus far. If you’re hoping to spend a day around the water, you’re in luck. Boat tours and ample walking paths near the water allow anyone to soak up the sun, sit on (or by) the water and watch the day go by.
Rooftop Cinema Club
Only operating in seven U.S. cities, Rooftop Cinema Club is the top organization for setting up al fresco movie viewing experiences. The team at Rooftop Cinema Club scouts out locations that provide breathtaking city views and sets up the entire theater experience. They provide seats, personal listening devices and a full food and drink menu. Pair that with a curated selection of iconic movies and you’re in for a beautiful night under the stars.
Memorial Park
First opened in 1924, Memorial Park is closing in on 100 years of providing Houston locals with a green area to escape the urban sprawl and reconnect with the natural world. One of the largest urban parks in the country, Memorial Park is located right across from the Memorial neighborhood and is frequented by neighborhood dog walkers, midday workout warriors, artists looking for inspiration, children playing and more.
Rice University Loop
Unknown even to some Houston locals, the Rice University Loop is a six-mile jogging trail centered around the Rice Campus, south of Downtown Houston. This trail is not just for Rice University students and is open to the public. Perfect for getting those steps in on a Sunday morning or a leisurely stroll after a long day at work, this treelined trail is a tranquil retreat hidden in Houston’s urban jungle.
SOURCE: FACEBOOK.COM/POSTHOUSTON
Bonus gem
Not hidden by any means, but POST Houston is somewhere you need to know about if you don’t already.
POST Houston
Decidedly not a hidden gem, POST Houston is a massive former U.S. Postal Service complex that has been transformed into Houston’s “hub for culture, food and recreation.” The spaces features a large co-working space, multiple restaurants in an elevated food hall-style setting, bars, event venues and a “Texas-sized” rooftop garden. Ask anyone who has been before, it’s easy to spend a whole day in this large complex filled with Houston hotspots.
Houston has it all
Whether you’re an outdoor enthusiast, a dedicated foodie, a weekend warrior or anything in between, Houston has what you’re looking for. Check out some of the spots listed above and find your new favorite place.
From soaking in a hot bath to indulging in self-care treatments like face masks and beauty routines, our bathrooms are like relaxation sanctuaries in our apartments. Close the door, and you have a tiny space all to yourself for some much-needed and well-deserved R&R. But tiny apartment bathrooms can also feel cramped and compact, with not enough space to create a soothing atmosphere. Luckily, there are tons of small ways you can turn that tiny bathroom into a snug and cozy oasis. Here are 20 small bathroom ideas so you can update your small bathroom and convert it into the self-care haven of your dreams.
20 ideas to make your small bathroom a spa
From investing in some plush, indulgent towels to adding shelving, these 20 small-bathroom-approved ideas will make any tiny apartment bathroom feel like an upscale spa.
1. Add plants
From helping purify your bathroom air to creating a natural, outdoorsy look, plants are a great and easy addition to your bathroom. In order to maximize space, hang them from the ceiling or use ledges and shelves.
2. Declutter and remove unnecessary items
Keeping things spic-and-span is key to creating a spa-like setting in your bathroom. Having too many things out on your counter or shelves is visually chaotic. Think about it: When you go to a spa, are lots of things left out and about? No, they keep things clean and neat so you can focus on getting grounded. Remove unnecessary items and keep your on-display goods to a minimum.
3. Keep it clean
Make this a habit and always clean up after yourself so your bathroom doesn’t become cluttered again. Clean it on a regular basis as well. Having a clean and organized space goes a long way to creating a soothing, relaxing environment. If you want to add bathroom decor, keep it simple and streamlined.
4. Make sure you have lots of storage options
One of the best ways to keep clutter to a minimum is by having lots of storage options. It’s your bathroom, so you still need a lot of stuff: toiletries, towels, beauty supplies. Take advantage of storage options like cabinets and cupboards to hide things out of sight and out of mind. You’ll have fast and easy access to all the things you need while creating the illusion of clutter-free minimalism. If you prefer on-display organization, wooden baskets and stylish organizers are another option.
5. Use up vertical space by adding shelves
In small apartment bathrooms, space comes at a premium. There often isn’t a ton of room on the floor, so you can maximize storage and style with open shelves. Creating sharp, clean lines, open shelving is a very on-trend way to use up vertical wall space. You can use them to store rolled-up towels, display plants and decor items or place toiletries. Just be sure to not over-crowd them or the effect won’t work as well.
6. Invest in a fancy showerhead
Treating yourself to a new showerhead is a super-easy way to make your bathroom more luxurious and indulgent. Available in tons of different materials and colors, you can choose options like gold or brass to accent your walls and floor. The type of showerhead matters too, from giant rain showers to multi-setting heads with different flows and pressure settings.
7. Get a bath tray
If you have a bathtub in your apartment bathroom, purchase a sleek and stylish bath tray or caddy to use during bathtime. Wooden ones are the best way to go, as the look mimics the refined, natural air of a spa. With a caddy, you can turn any bathtime into spa time, with a spot for books, snacks, candles or a glass of wine. Plus, they’re small and compact, making them easy to store away in between uses.
8. Elevate the floor with stick-and-peel tiles
One of the biggest challenges facing renters who want to upgrade any space in their apartment is the risk of damage. You want to make the space your own but don’t want to create lasting changes or damages that endanger your security deposit. An easy way to do this is by using stick-and-peel tiles. Available in tons of cool colors and designs, you can choose from a wide range of options that fits your bathroom’s look and aesthetic. Not only are they easy to install, but they easily come off come moving time as well.
9. Purchase plush towels
We all love those ultra-soft and fluffy towels you find at spas. Well, you can have those at home too. Find high-end towels from top brands and stores in your desired colors and prepare yourself to feel snuggled and cozy. Keeping them rolled up and on display is another way to recreate that quintessential spa look.
10. Get a towel warmer
Another great thing about spas? Your towels are usually already pre-warmed, enfolding you in soft, cozy fabric after you emerge from the pool or sauna. But did you know you can do that at home yourself? Towel warmers are available in a wide range of styles, from small bins you can tuck into a corner to towel racks you can attach to the wall if you don’t have much floor space. With a towel warmer, a pre-heated towel is ready and waiting for you after your bath, completing the spa experience.
11. Paint it white or neutral tones
Color is key to making a space feel relaxing and at ease. Opt for soothing tones like white or neutral colors like tan, beige or delicate pastel hues. Plus, you can always paint over it when it’s time to leave. Adding a neutral stick-and-peel wallpaper is another option.
12. Hang eucalyptus in the shower
The scent of eucalyptus is a near-ubiquitous spa sensory experience. And it makes sense why. This heavenly-smelling plant has tons of health benefits, from promoting relaxation to even helping relieve cold and sickness symptoms. While you could always light a eucalyptus candle or diffuse eucalyptus oil, why not go for the real deal? Purchase a bundle of eucalyptus at the store, smoosh the leaves slightly with a rolling pin and leave it to hang under your showerhead. Come shower time, the hot water will help release the scent, perfuming your bathroom just like a spa.
13. Add candles
From infusing your bathroom with relaxing scents to creating a soft, cozy glow, candles are an affordable and easy way to elevate your bathroom. Many also come in cute, stylish packaging, which goes the extra mile in helping create a look. Light candles while enjoying your bath for a soothing sensory experience.
14. Scent the space with a diffuser
Another way to add scent to your spa bathroom is with an infuser. Design-forward ones will match your aesthetic and you can customize the scent based on your mood.
15. Get cool, boldly patterned bathmats
For a pop of color or pattern, zhuzh up your bathroom floor with a fun bathmat. Different styles and sizes can make the floor more visually interesting, plus it feels great underfoot.
16. Use wooden accents
From natural scents to organic materials, spas love to use natural, outdoorsy elements to create a soothing, healing environment. Along with plants, using wood accents will help recreate the look. This could range from woven laundry baskets to natural wood shelves. It’ll make the space feel both rustic and natural, yet clean and sophisticated.
17. Invest in high-end toiletries
Going to spas, you’ll notice that they always use higher-end toiletries for things like soap, shampoo and body wash. From the texture to the scent to the packaging, fancy toiletries will make you look and feel more luxurious. These can also function as statement pieces, sitting out on your bathroom counter or shelves as the sole decor.
18. Create soft lighting
Lighting is key to creating that soft, soothing spa atmosphere. Instead of using a harsh overhead light, add backlighting behind your mirror, a cute hanging light fixture or even battery-powered light fixtures that attach to walls. Adding a dimmer option is another way to create the right mood. You can keep the light low when you’re trying to relax or ramp it up when you’re getting ready and need full lighting.
19. Get a design-forward shower curtain
In small bathrooms, shower curtains can take up a ton of visual space. If that’s the case in your bathroom, you want to make that space fit your aesthetic. Instead of generic shower curtains, find ones with interesting textures, stylish patterns or soothing colors.
20. It’s bidet time
Looking to be on-trend with your bathroom amenities? Add a bidet to your toilet. Popularized by the Japanese, bidets make even using the bathroom feel fancy and luxurious. Get a deep, complete clean after relieving yourself and leave feeling more refreshed than ever.
Save your money on a spa and treat yourself at home with these small bathroom ideas
As nice as it is to have a spa day, you can’t always find the time to fit it into your schedule or budget. Creating an at-home spa in your bathroom lets you indulge in much-needed self-care whenever you need it.
Still looking for a new place to spruce up the bathroom? Take a look here first.
Profitability Analysis, Closed-End 2nd Products; Ginnie Ticket Primer for Government Program Lenders
<meta name="smartbanner:author" content="We now have a native iPhone and Android app. Download the NEW APP”>
This website requires Javascrip to run properly.
Profitability Analysis, Closed-End 2nd Products; Ginnie Ticket Primer for Government Program Lenders
By: Rob Chrisman
1 Hour, 19 Min ago
Hey, I’ve got news for you: 2023 is half over. Sometimes reality bites, and vendors and lenders can’t sit there, wringing their hands, waiting for things to get better on their own. Are lenders suddenly going to make huge margins on lots of volume in the second half? Are LOs who were doing 2-3 loans a month in the first half suddenly going to do 4-6? Are vendor reps suddenly going to double their clients? Are rates going to plummet? Is the number of houses for sale going to skyrocket? Banks, credit unions, and depositories are certainly doing something. An analysis of call reports shows that mortgage banking income at banks and thrifts increased by 36 percent on a sequential basis. JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo individually more than doubled their MB income from the fourth quarter to the first. Others, like Truist and PNC followed, as Inside Mortgage Finance points out. That said, to the surprise of no one, mortgage-banking income at banks and thrifts was down 38 percent from the first quarter of 2022. (Today’s podcast can be found here and this week’s is sponsored by Gallus, the premier business intelligence tool for the mortgage industry. With hassle-free insights and user-friendly functionality, Gallus empowers you to make faster, data-driven decisions for enhanced profitability. Hear an interview with Gallus Insights’ Augie Del Rio on how mortgage companies are best leveraging data in a high-rate environment.)
Lender and Broker Software, Services, and Products
Artificial intelligence (AI) is here, and as everyone works to determine how AI can enhance business processes, many are also scratching their heads over the new challenges. If you’re attending the American Legal and Financial Network (ALFN) Answers 2023, don’t miss the panel on Tuesday, July 18, “AI: Like It or Not, It’s Here. Are You Ready? Ethical and Business Challenges to the Utilization of Technology in a Default World.” This lunch session will cover current and future AI uses for industry law firms, service providers and others. Black Knight SVP of Servicing Technologies & Product Innovation Dana Federspiel will participate in this informative discussion to share her expertise in default processing within the mortgage industry. Take advantage of this opportunity to gain a better understanding of the intersection between AI and its potential uses in our industry. Contact Black Knight to learn more about solutions for today’s market challenges.
“I love chasing borrowers down for appraisal fees” said no one ever. With Fee Chaser by LenderLogix, you definitely won’t be saying that. Give your borrowers an easy, secure way to pay their appraisal, lock-in and condo doc fees with Fee Chaser’s seamless integration into Encompass® by ICE Mortgage Technology™. It can even handle first mortgage payments. Head over to LenderLogix and get a demo texted to your phone.
“Did you know that by yearend 2022, a remarkable 82 percent of homeowners enjoyed an interest rate below 5 percent, and an impressive 92 percent of homeowners had an interest rate below 6 percent? Consequently, there has been a decline in the demand for traditional cash-out refinancing. This is exactly where Vista Point’s Closed-End Second loan proves valuable! Rather than discarding the original low interest rate, a second loan creates a blended rate giving your borrower a lower payment solution while tapping their built-up equity. Discover the potential savings for your specific situation by visiting here and see how much your borrower can reduce their monthly mortgage payment by using our Closed-End Second Cash-Out Equity Solution. Give your borrower access to the cash they need without sacrificing their advantageous interest rate, with second line amounts up to $550K and combined lien amounts up to $2.5M. For more information, please contact us.”
Does your mortgage accounting team dream about having the ability to analyze the profitability of each loan the company originates? For Smartfi Home Loans, this dream came true with its new, industry-focused finance system, Loan Vision. Smartfi found they were able to gain efficiency and improve their processes with the help of Loan Vision’s immense drill down capabilities. “With Loan Vision, there is this wealth of information at your fingertips,” says Bill Berg, Finance, Technology, and Servicing Leader at Smartfi®. “To understand the ins and outs at the loan level, there’s a tremendous amount of analytical power there. I’m not sure how you would be able to successfully understand your business without it.” Interested in learning more about how your General Ledger should be helping you maximize efficiencies in your accounting department and gain access to financials faster? Contact Carl Wooloff to schedule a call today.
Government Loans and Servicing
Traditionally FHA and VA loans have a higher profit margin than other loan types. But originating them is not a walk in the park. James Hedvall, Chief Capital Markets Officer with Doorway Home Loans, put down some notes he titled a, “GNMA Primer.”
“I’ve been in this business for many years and have seen things done well and things done poorly. And I receive a fair number of questions regarding secondary execution. One typical question is whether a lender should pursue obtaining their ‘Ginnie Ticket,’ or to become a GNMA Approved Issuer.
“Having the ability to take FHA, VA, and USDA loans, turn them into securities, is a powerful tool for well-equipped secondary groups. Why? Well, first it allows you to underwrite straight to AUS findings, manual underwrites and originating loans that are outside correspondent overlays, provide competitive pricing and service to underserved communities, as well as allowing for efficient execution into the capital markets. However, there are a few considerations that need to be understood, because it’s not for every originator.”
James writes, “There are approximately 350 issuers spread across large and small depositories, credit unions, servicers, and independent mortgage bankers. The approval process, sometimes referred to sarcastically within capital markets circles as the GNMA Denial Department, can be long and challenging. There are plenty of cases out there where relatively large originators, with good balance sheets, are rejected by Ginnie Mae. I have witnessed first-hand the approval process a few times, and my best piece of advice is that ‘all battles are won, before they’re ever fought.’ Successful applicants have a few things in common: good financial standing, very competent Secondary and Accounting departments, plenty of operational redundancies, strong quality control oversight, last but not least, updated and complete Policies and Procedures which cover the entire origination cycle.
“For those interested in servicing, when you’re approved to issue GNMA bonds, you will be servicing your loans (PIIT agreements aside). This is why you deliver to the GSEs and issue GNMA bonds in the first place; originators should have a strategy with servicing and its intricate oversite, even if they are utilizing a sub-servicer. Historically, servicing GNMA loans (primarily FHA & VA) is costlier than its conforming cousin. A good sub-servicer can minimize this financial burden.
“In terms of keeping, maintaining, and tracking documents, if you’re FNMA/FHLMC approved, you certainly know what a document custodian does. More times than not, when I hear complaints about a custodian, it has to do with a problem on GNMA loans, as they will be the ones who review your loan collateral and initially certifies your pools for trade (most pools are traded after getting initial certification, although not a requisite).
“Ideally, a good custodian will perform a single document review that accommodates all requirements at once. This eliminates “exception surprises” at the time of sale due to different requirements delaying settlement. Choosing your custodian wisely can save headaches down the road, headaches which normally cause delays in settlements, resulting in an erosion of gain-on-sale.
“In the capital markets, broker/dealers come into play. Outside Secondary Marketing, Broker/Dealers are normally given very little thought by originators. If you’re hedging a pipeline for mandatory execution, broker/dealers are the ones your Secondary group trades forward TBA contracts with, that off-set interest rate exposure from the time the loan is locked, until the time the loan funds and gets committed. But for Issuers, they play an important role in the execution of GNMA pools as they are the ones who are buying them from the Issuer. A good relationship with your broker/dealer goes further than just execution. They can also help with pool formation and optimization. Without going down the rabbit-hole on coupons vs note rates vs high balance di-minimus requirements, B/D’s can help you build out pools that can increase the spread that is willing to be paid above (and sometimes below) what TBA’s are trading at; what you hear as the ‘spec pool pay up.’
“Lenders must pay attention to operations within the Originator. A strong Secondary Marketing team is imperative. Having a good Secondary Manager who understands the entire process: what can be pooled, when can it be pooled, when to create a pool in GinnieNet, and purview into the whole mortgage pipeline not just funded loans, helps in the dozens of moving parts in the process. A strong CFO/Accounting Dept who understands the financial risk of issuing GNMA securities pays dividends.
“Some may not know, but part of the financial risk in issuing has to do with covering P&I shortages every month. GNMA doesn’t buy loans directly like FNMA & FHLMC do. They act primarily as an insurance company, guaranteeing that bond holders receive timely payments of cash flow (for this service GNMA charges 6 bps on every loan, referred to as their Guarantee Fee, or G-Fee). When borrowers are late with payments, or miss payments, it’s the responsibility of the issuer to make up for the missed P&I payment to the holder of that security. This can be a huge outflow of cash per month considering your responsibility is to EVERY bond that has ever been issued by the originator. Anyone issuing GNMA securities back in early 2020 when COVID hit, and the term “forbearance” went mainstream, remembers that moment. Possessing the capital to weather P&I shortages is an absolute must.
“Most often overlooked is your Trailing/Final Docs department. Your last responsibility as an issuer is to make sure that trailing docs (final title/deed or mortgage) get to your custodian for final certification. This needs to be done within 365 days of issuance. This may not be a huge problem for some, but states like Hawaii come to mind, where turn times of county recorders are historically slow and getting a certified copies of anything may take months.”
James wrapped up with, “Everything above is scrutinized by GNMA during the approval process. As I mentioned before, possessing the right individuals, having strong relationships with vendors, and possessing very strong operational controls should be viewed as a requirement before submitting your application.” Thank you, James!
Capital Markets
Many mortgage rates are firmly in the 7 percent range now, and certainly 6 and 6.5 percent pass through mortgage securities are the norm for hedging. We might just be here for the remainder of 2023. The solid economic news certainly doesn’t point to lower rates any time soon.
Monday was a quiet day for those in the mortgage industry, with few locks, many people out of the office, and an early close ahead of the Independence Day holiday. Markets shook off warnings about cooling growth and a slowdown in manufacturing, likely because the highlight of the week will be Friday’s fresh look at the labor market, with June Nonfarm Payroll data following May’s big upward payroll surprise. U.S. IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI remained in contractionary territory for the eighth consecutive month in the final reading for June while the ISM Manufacturing Index fell further into contractionary territory. The manufacturing sector continues to operate in a state of contraction as optimism about the second half of 2023 weakens amid recession concerns. Some would argue that investors are still too optimistic about the prospects for economic growth and the ability of the Fed to stamp out inflation.
There was a better-than-expected Construction Spending report for May, in at +0.9 percent month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, total construction spending was up 2.4 percent due to renewed strength in new single-family construction despite a jump in mortgage rates. Economic data over the last week continued to show a resilient U.S. economy. The final estimate of first quarter GDP was unexpectedly revised higher from 1.3 percent to 2.0 percent as additional data on consumer expenditures contributed to the increase. The personal consumption expenditures index (4.1 percent) remained well above the Fed’s target. Home price data from Case-Shiller indexes showed increasing prices in April while building permits increased 5.6 percent to an annualized rate of 1.496 million units in May. The lack of existing homes for sale has led to price increases on the limited available for sale inventory as well as an increase in new construction. Consumer confidence reached its highest level since January 2022 due to a strong labor market and receding fears of recession. We also learned last week that consumer confidence rose to its highest level in 17 months in June amid a brighter take on the current situation and a less dire assessment of the future.
Markets return to a relatively quiet calendar today, though there is some potential market moving potential from the release of the minutes from the June 13/14 FOMC meeting, Redbook same store sales, May factory orders, and remarks from New York Fed President Williams. We begin Wednesday with Agency MBS prices little changed from Monday and the 10-year yielding 3.86 after closing Monday at 3.86 percent; the 2-year is up to 4.91 percent.
Jobs
“In our most recent Chrisman post, MWF announced our Growth Strategy into the mid-west and Southeast markets. Most recently, we are pleased to announce the addition of Jeff Hemm RVP in Idaho and the Pacific NW, and the expansion of our new Branch in North Carolina. Jeff is a well-known leader in our industry and will bring a strong leadership presence in our new markets. MWF is excited to have TJ Powell on our team and the entire North Carolina team as we grow in new markets and expand in Florida. “I’m proud of our Team and the efforts to expand the MWF family in new areas. This is part of our written growth strategy and an important part of our overall company expansion,” Ed Adams, SVP Production. For information about our growth plans and career opportunities, contact Ed Adams.”
“Is your firm interested in launching a wholesale mortgage enterprise that’s mission-driven? Our group has a combined 100-year history in mortgage banking (operations, sales, underwriting, and capital markets) with a proven track record of generating over $2 billion annually over the last three decades. There are two participation opportunities: investment or joint venture. Our team includes an experienced and trusted sales force, operators, tech stack, warehouse lines, and take-out investors. Although we are currently based in California, we are actively working towards expanding to the East Coast and Southeast regions. Our expertise lies in Non-QM; however, we offer conventional and will offer government loans as well. Our focus is on serving underserved communities, and our long-term goal is to become a CDFI to ensure fair lending practices. If interested, please reach out to Chrisman LLC’s Anjelica Nixt to forward your note.
Download our mobile app to get alerts for Rob Chrisman’s Commentary.
Share via Social Media:
All social media shares will include the image and link to this page.
The era of low mortgage rates is over. Embracing this reality will hasten your owning a house that meets your needs.
Low rates flourished for 11 years, as the 30-year mortgage remained below 5% from February 2011 to April 2022. Since then, it has remained mostly above 5%, averaging 6.72% in June in Freddie Mac’s weekly survey.
Some forecasters predict that rates will decline over the next 12 months. But they don’t foresee rates dropping below 5% anytime soon. If you want to buy a home, it’s tempting to be in denial that this is happening. But as you start to accept that we’re now in a time of higher rates, you can achieve closure (literally, when you close on the purchase of a home).
“People are still working through their five stages of grief on this mortgage rate stuff,” says Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist for Bright MLS, the real estate listing service for the mid-Atlantic region. “And I think you have to reach the stage of acceptance at some point that certainly rates aren’t going to come down to where we were back during 2020 and 2021.” (When the median 30-year rate was 2.99%.)
Forecasters predict a modest decline in rates
Let’s brighten that grim outlook by detailing how Fannie Mae, the Mortgage Bankers Association and the National Association of Realtors all forecast a gradual, moderate decline in mortgage rates through at least the first three months of 2024.
Those three organizations are not alone in their prediction that mortgage rates will go down, but no one expects rates to plunge back to where they were two years ago.
“I still think we’re going to see rates stabilizing and then moving slowly down this year and we’re going to end 2023 at 6%,” Sturtevant says.
Danielle Hale, chief economist for Realtor.com, said in an email that “our base expectation is that it will take until the end of this year or early next year before mortgage rates get back to 6%.”
A dissenting voice comes from Zillow, where senior economist Orphe Divounguy said by email, “Buyers should not count on any dramatic rate falls in the next few years.” Mortgage rates, he said, will end 2023 above 6%.
One takeaway from these forecasts: Sure, mortgage rates might drop a little. Maybe. If the forecasters are right. But if you hold out for dramatically lower rates, you’ll probably wait in vain. And if they do fall substantially after you buy, you can refinance.
Inflation is the wild card
What if you want to do your own research? Economists monitor tons of data when forecasting mortgage rates. But if you ask them what regular folks should keep an eye on, they reply as one: inflation.
According to Hale, “It’s not linked one-to-one with mortgage rates, but an easing in the pace of general price increases will help bring mortgage rates down for two reasons.”
For starters, diminished inflation will hasten the end of Federal Reserve rate increases. Second, lenders will “stop baking in a larger inflation premium into mortgage rates.” They do that “to account for the fact that future dollars that are used to pay back the investment aren’t as valuable,” Hale explained.
Most people gauge inflation by the price of gasoline and eggs. Your boss’s boss’s boss swears by the consumer price index. The monetary policymakers at the Federal Reserve rely on an inflation measurement called core PCE, for personal consumption expenditures. “Core” means that energy and food (gasoline and eggs) are stripped out because their prices are volatile.
The Fed’s goal is to keep core PCE around 2%, but it has been higher than 3% for more than two years. From January through April (the latest data available), core PCE was 4.6% or 4.7%. Core CPI has been higher but falling.
“As long as inflation eases, that’s the main factor that will bring our mortgage rate down,” says Nadia Evangelou, senior economist and director of real estate research for the National Association of Realtors.
But if inflation stays spitefully high, mortgage rates will remain elevated.
If you’re pining for 3% rates — they’re not coming back
Let’s say the Fed eventually succeeds in taming inflation to 2%. That will be worth celebrating, but it doesn’t necessarily mean mortgage rates will wander south of 5%.
The Mortgage Bankers Association forecasts the 30-year mortgage will dip below 5% toward the end of 2024, but Fannie Mae and the Realtors don’t predict rates will fall that far.
Do what makes you happy
It’s not realistic to put a home purchase on hold in the hope that mortgage rates will return to 2020 and 2021, when the 30-year mortgage held its breath under 4% the entire time. The median rate over the past 30 years is 5.77%. That’s the reality that we’ve returned to.
If you want to buy your first home, you’re probably going to pay well above 5% on a 30-year mortgage, and you’ll have to establish a budget with that in mind. If you’re a homeowner, you dread giving up your current low-rate mortgage and getting a higher-rate loan on the next house. That’s understandable, but as Miranda Lambert once sang, “there’s freedom in a broken heart.”
Whether you’re looking for a bigger place or a smaller home, or one better located for schools or your commute, you might end up satisfied — even after trading a low rate for a higher rate.