2019

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Cybersecurity, TPO, Verification Tools; Tech Tracking Whereabouts; Why Rates Are Where They Are

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Cybersecurity, TPO, Verification Tools; Tech Tracking Whereabouts; Why Rates Are Where They Are

By:
Rob Chrisman

Fri, Apr 19 2024, 11:33 AM

It is “Take Your Child to Work Day” next Thursday which, if you work from home, is probably like a day off from school for the tyke. (I won’t be bringing my son Robbie to work, who, as I write this, is pedaling from Chicago to New York and bunked down last night in Union Home’s Bill Cosgrove’s humble abode.) I do not track his exact whereabouts, but we all know that, in having a smart phone, one gives up pretty much all of their privacy. For example, a new working paper posted to the National Bureau of Economic Research sought to examine the polling data that indicates 22 percent of Americans reported attending religious services on a weekly basis. They did this by looking at geodata from smartphones of 2 million people in 2019, and found that while 73 percent of people did indeed step into a place of worship on a primary day of worship at least once over the course of the year, just 5 percent of Americans studied in fact did so weekly, significantly smaller than the data people reported to pollsters. (Found here, this week’s podcasts are sponsored by Optimal Blue. OB’s smart solutions automate critical functions like pricing, hedging, trading, and social media. More originators and investors rely upon Optimal Blue’s integrated solutions, data, and connections to support their unique business strategies, no matter how complex. Hear an interview between Robbie and me on a variety of topics in mortgage that are germane to the Daily Commentary.)

Lender and Broker Products, Software, and Services

Operations leaders! You don’t want to miss this event if you care about improving your operations! Join Femi Ayi, EVP Operations at Revolution Mortgage, Brooke Smith, Senior Manager, Loan Sourcing Digital Solutions at Fannie Mae, and Jodi Eberhardt, Strategic Integration Director at Freddie Mac, and Richard Grieser, VP, Marketing at Truv, as they highlight different strategies to provide customers with a more transparent, efficient borrowing experience. Freddie Mac’s Loan Product Advisor® asset and income modeler (AIM) and Fannie Mae’s Desktop Underwriter® (DU®) validation service play a critical role for lenders committed to streamlining origination processes and improving loan quality. However, the key to optimizing borrower verification workflows and ensuring compliance is partnering with the right provider that helps lenders improve loan quality and save hundreds of dollars per loan compared to traditional verification providers. Come join us! “Minimizing Risks with GSE Borrower Verifications”, April 24 2:00 PM ET Use code TRUV100 to participate FOR FREE, even if you are not an MBA member! Register now.

“AFR Wholesale® is thrilled to announce the renewal of our partnership with AIME for 2024, underscoring our commitment to the wholesale channel. As we continue our collaboration, we are committed to providing essential resources, comprehensive training, and robust support to independent mortgage professionals and the wholesale channel. This partnership will allow AFR to set new industry standards, promote best practices, and deliver exceptional services to our clients and partners. We also will look to spearhead innovative initiatives aimed at boosting operational efficiencies and enhancing customer experiences. Reflecting on a history of successful collaborations, we are excited about the potential for even greater achievements. This announcement is just the beginning, as AFR plans to unveil several exciting partnerships and updates in the coming weeks. Join us in driving change in mortgage lending. To get involved, contact us at [email protected], 1-800-375-6071, visit AFR.”

In the wake of frequent breaches within our industry, we are reminded of the precarious position mortgage lenders and their customers’ data are currently in. These repeated security incidents emphasize an undeniable truth: robust cybersecurity defenses are not merely an option; they are imperative. A breach can mean the difference between a thriving business and a devastating collapse. There is a very real risk to mortgage companies right now; you’re not just guarding data, you’re safeguarding trust, livelihoods, and the very integrity of the financial system. It’s a responsibility to take seriously, and it’s time to double down on cybersecurity. Richey May’s cybersecurity team is here to help: Check out the latest post detailing the often-overlooked risks in the industry.

Capital Markets

One can’t ignore the U.S. Federal Reserve’s role in interest rates. (The current STRATMOR blog is titled, “Relying on the Fed: How Did This Happen?”) The “experts” have been predicting multiple rate cuts in 2024. Sure enough, the much-awaited Fed pivot has materialized, but it’s not what investors had been expecting. The Fed change was supposed to signal a reverse of its contractionary monetary policy path, keeping rates high, which has been in place since March 2022.

But that is not the message, especially after three consecutive months of stronger-than-expected inflation readings. Fed Chair Jay Powell said, “The recent data have clearly not given us greater confidence and instead indicate that it’s likely to take longer than expected to achieve that confidence. Last year, rebounding supply supported U.S. growth in spending and also employment, alongside a considerable decline in inflation. The more recent data show solid growth and continued strength in the labor market, but also a lack of further progress so far this year on returning to our 2 percent inflation goal.”

As always, the Federal Reserve is watching the data as it comes out. But things will be higher for longer. At least the next rate move is still forecast to be a cut. Things could get rocky for lenders and borrowers if that shifts to a hike, which could happen if price pressures resurface and put a so-called soft landing into doubt. And now we have the yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note up at its highest level since November, above 4.6 percent versus a yield of 4.25 percent in the last week or two and starting the year at 3.88 percent, meaning that the 10-year is now nearing a full point rise for 2024!

As today’s podcast interview alluded, it’s been pretty quiet out there in terms of market-moving news. Weekly jobless claims showed no change from last week’s level and there was a better-than-expected Philadelphia Fed survey for April yesterday, which prompted some selling. Investors bought plenty of Treasuries to close 2023 and open 2024, betting on several rate cuts this year from the Fed. However, Fed speakers hammering home patient rhetoric on interest rates (several more Fed speakers reiterated yesterday that they do not feel urgency to cut rates at this time) due to a reluctance of the U.S. economy to cool, has forced investors to abandon bets on a rally, giving way to a wave of selling.

Accordingly, mortgage rates surged in the latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey from Freddie Mac, with the 30-year rate above 7 percent for the first time this year. For the week ending April 18, the 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates jumped 22 basis points and 23 basis points versus the prior week to 7.10 percent and 6.39 percent, respectively. Those rates are 71 basis points and 63 basis points higher than this time last year.

Inflation is back below 3 percent, but hotter-than-expected readings for the rental category of housing in the first few months of the year are a big reason the Fed has held back on the rate cuts that Wall Street has been hoping for. Markets seeing the biggest rent declines are the ones where there’s been the most construction. The Northeast and Midwest have experienced lingering high inflation, while the West and South have seen it moderate rapidly.

Existing-home sales fell 4.3 percent in March to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.19 million, a widely expected decline given the recent slip in purchase mortgage applications and solid gains registered in the first two months of 2024 from increased supply and a temporary dip in mortgage rates. Sales were down 3.7 percent from the previous year. The median existing-home sales price rose 4.8 percent from a year ago to $393,500, the ninth consecutive month of year-over-year price gains and the highest price ever for the month of March. The inventory of unsold existing homes grew 4.7 percent from one month ago to the equivalent of 3.2 months’ supply at the current monthly sales pace.

There is no data of note on today’s economic calendar, though there is one Fed speaker, Chicago President Goolsbee. For capital markets folks, today is Class D 48-hours. We begin the day with Agency MBS prices better by .125-.250, the 10-year yielding 4.59 after closing yesterday at 4.65 percent, and the 2-year is at 4.96.

Employment

“At Evergreen Home Loans, our mission is simple: equip our clients with affordable strategies to not only buy a home but to make a winning offer. Our unique approach helps families secure their futures and build generational wealth. As we navigate a fluctuating housing market, Evergreen Home Loans remains committed to innovation and client success. Our tailored solutions emphasize stability and long-term prosperity, ensuring that homeownership is a reality for first-time buyers and seasoned investors alike. By fostering a supportive environment and providing strategic financial guidance, we empower our clients to turn their dreams of homeownership into tangible assets that benefit generations. We’re expanding our team and invite skilled loan officers and branch managers to explore the career opportunities we offer. Join us in making a difference and shaping the future of homeownership. To view all openings visit: Careers.”

Synergy One Lending continues to reemerge as one of the industry success stories in 2024. The addition of 12 new branches and the successful expansion of the company’s footprint into several new markets has provided an even stronger foundation of profitable growth as it prepares for even more ahead. A vision with a P&L structure built to grow market share, relentless execution and adoption of leading-edge technology and a culture that is focused on their 3 core values (delighted customers, inspired employees and a pristine reputation) are leading indicators of the company’s trajectory. Be part of it and Make Your Mark by reaching out to Aaron Nemec at (208) 794-7786 or Eric Kulbe at (303) 717-0293.

Geneva Financial, operating in 48 states, announced that Jessie Ermel has joined its leadership team as Chief Compliance Officer where Jessie will drive quality control and compliance for the company’s mortgage operations.

Our industry lost another veteran recently with the death of Alabama’s John Johnson. John was CEO and co-founder of MortgageAmerica, Inc. from 1978 to 2012. But John’s mortgage career began in 1966 at Colonial Mortgage Company and then Molton-Allen & Williams. He served as the Mortgage Bankers Association of Alabama President in 1980-1981 and chaired the organization’s Convention in 1982. John was awarded the Certified Mortgage Banker designation in 1982. was a member of the Board of Directors of the Mortgage Bankers Association of America from 1999-2003, served as Chairman of the Residential Board of Governors in 2001-2002, and was Chairman of the Board of Directors for MERS in 2006. Guys like this helped make our industry what it is today, and he’ll be missed.

 Download our mobile app to get alerts for Rob Chrisman’s Commentary.

Source: mortgagenewsdaily.com

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LOS ANGELES (AP) — The spring homebuying season is off to a sluggish start as home shoppers contend with elevated mortgage rates and rising prices.

Sales of previously occupied U.S. homes fell 4.3% in March from the previous month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.19 million, the National Association of Realtors said Thursday. That’s the first monthly decline in sales since December and follows a nearly 10% monthly sales jump in February.

Existing home sales also fell 3.7% compared with March last year. The latest sales still came in slightly higher than the 4.16 million pace economists were expecting, according to FactSet.

A modest pullback in mortgage rates early this year helped lift home sales in January and February, but rates mostly ticked up in February and March, when many of the home sales that were finalized last month would have taken place.

AP correspondent Shelley Adler reports on the spring homebuying season.

Mortgage rates have risen the past three weeks, with the average rate on a 30-year mortgage moving this week above 7% to its highest level since late November, mortgage buyer Freddie Mac said Thursday.

The trend is a setback for home shoppers this spring homebuying season, traditionally the housing market’s busiest time of the year.

“Home sales essentially remain stuck because (the) mortgage rate has been stable and inventory is not really rising,” said Lawrence Yun, the NAR’s chief economist.

Despite the pullback in sales, the national median home sales price climbed 4.8% from a year earlier to $393,500. That’s the highest median sales price for any March on records going back to 1999 and marks the ninth month in a row that prices have risen compared to a year earlier.

The latest surge in prices reflects the heightened competition many home shoppers are facing. Consider, 60% of homes purchased in March sold within less than a month of hitting the market. And 29% of homes sold above their initial list price, up from 28% in March last year, Yun said.

“Inventory is simply not there,” he said.

While the supply of homes on the market remains below the historical average, the typical increase in homes for sale that happens ahead of the spring homebuying season gave home shoppers a wider selection of properties to choose from.

At the end of last month, there were 1.11 million unsold homes on the market, a 4.7% increase from February and up 14.4% from a year earlier, the NAR said. That’s still well short of the 1.7 million homes on the market in March 2019, before the pandemic.

The available inventory at the end of last month amounted to a 3.2-month supply, going by the current sales pace. That’s up from a 2.9-month supply in February and a 2.7-month supply in March last year. In a more balanced market between buyers and sellers, there is a 4- to 5-month supply.

That shortage of homes on the market means home sellers generally having an edge on buyers, especially those vying for the most affordable homes, which often fetch multiple offers.

The U.S. housing market is coming off a deep, 2-year sales slump triggered by a sharp rise in mortgage rates and a dearth of homes on the market. Sales of previously occupied U.S. homes sank to a nearly 30-year low last year, tumbling 18.7% from 2022 as the average rate on a 30-year mortgage surged to a 23-year high of 7.79%, according to Freddie Mac.

The average rate on a 30-year mortgage got as low as 6.67% in mid January, but has been creeping higher, reaching 7.1% this week. When mortgage rates rise, they can add hundreds of dollars a month in costs for borrowers, limiting how much they can afford.

Mortgage rates have mostly drifted higher in recent weeks as stronger-than-expected reports on employment and inflation stoked doubt among bond investors over how soon the Federal Reserve will move to lower its benchmark interest rate.

Home loan borrowing rates are influenced by several factors, including how the bond market reacts to the Fed’s interest rate policy and the moves in the 10-year Treasury yield, which lenders use as a guide to pricing home loans.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury jumped to around 4.66% on Tuesday — its highest level since early November — after top officials at the Federal Reserve suggested the central bank may hold its main interest steady for a while. The central bank wants to get more confidence that inflation is sustainably heading toward its target of 2%.

Many economists still expect that mortgage rates will ease modestly this year, which could give homebuyers who can’t afford to pay all cash for a home more purchasing power.

“The 30-year-fixed mortgage rate could rise for few months to maybe even 7.5% before settling back down to 6.5% by the end of the year,” Yun said. In January, NAR forecast the average rate would drop to 6.1% by year’s end.

Economists at Realtor.com also project that the rate could average 6.5% by the end of this year.

For now, first-time homebuyers who don’t have any home equity to put toward their down payment continue to have a tough time getting into the housing market, though they accounted for 32% of all homes sold last month, an increase from 26% in February and 28% in March last year. That’s still well short of the 40% of sales they’ve accounted for historically.

Prospective homebuyers are facing competition from buyers who can afford to buy a home in cash. Some 28% of homes sold last month were purchased entirely with cash, down from 33% in February, but up from 27% a year ago, the NAR said.

Source: apnews.com

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The disco ball, while always beautiful, has undergone a glow-up in the 21st century. No longer relegated to the nightlife scene that birthed it, the mirrorball crept into our weddings, our homes, our earlobes. Then it escaped its spherical form entirely—now martini glasses, cowgirl boots, even mushrooms gleam with silver-tiled radiance. What could they possibly disco next?

Sofie Berarducci has some ideas. 

The 24-year-old entrepreneur honed her design savvy building furniture in her parents’ garage during the pandemic. When she returned to college in San Francisco, she had to settle for smaller projects. One night, while watching The Bachelor, she and a handful of friends covered a Styrofoam mushroom from Michaels in shiny, mirrored tiles. “Anytime someone would come over and see it in my room, they’d love it,” Berarducci recalls. “It was such a showstopper.” 

After graduating in 2019, Berarducci started crafting more disco mushrooms as Christmas presents. She posted surplus ’shrooms on Facebook Marketplace, where they sold out overnight. “People were messaging me, ‘Where can I buy more?’” Berarducci recalls. 

Berarducci capitalized on the disco fever with an Etsy shop and, eventually, a business account on Instagram. She developed new products, pivoting from Styrofoam bases to 3D-printed fruit, liquor bottles, and other fun shapes. Berarducci was still working full-time at a San Diego marketing agency, running her side hustle with help from family. “In the morning, my mom and I would pack orders together, go drop them off at UPS, and go do our nine-to-five,” she says. “Five would hit, and we would turn on a movie and get to tiling.” 

Six months in, she decided to launch the brand’s e-commerce site and quit her job to focus on Sofiest Designs. “It was kind of a huge risk,” she adds, “but I haven’t looked back.” After all, the gamble paid off handsomely: In addition to 80,000 Instagram followers, Sofiest Designs boasts partnerships with Urban Outfitters, Free People, Dormify, and Aerie. Berarducci has designed custom disco doodads for celebs such as Lizzo, Kourtney Kardashian, and Shania Twain, and outlets like Architectural Digest, HGTV, Apartment Therapy, and Time have taken notice. 

Though her company ships out 15 to 20 orders per day, Berarducci continues to hand-make each product in a San Marcos warehouse with the help of a small team of family and friends. “My business is part e-commerce manufacturer and part art,” she explains. “It’s still really time intensive. I’m touching every single [piece].” 

All those hours tiling haven’t stopped her from pushing Sofiest Designs forward. She added additional, less shiny homewares in the form of surreal shelving and pastel lamps and partnered with other woman-owned small businesses to expand the company’s e-commerce offerings. You can shop seven other makers’ products on Berarducci’s site. 

Courtesy of Sofiest Designs

Nevertheless, what Berarducci calls “disco therapy” remains core to her company’s ethos. “The disco ball is timeless and gorgeous, but it hadn’t been remodeled in, like, 50 years,” she says. “We wanted to make something more appropriate for Gen Z. Our goal is to make disco items that double as art for your home that you can have forever.” 

We tapped Berarducci to share some of her favorite home décor products from small businesses (including her own). Here are 10 fun finds to spruce up your bedroom, bar cart, or coffee table. 

10 Unique Room Décor Accents to Spice Up Your Space

Courtesy of Big Night

Big Night Clock, $110

Big Night

This cheeky clock is “so cute for your kitchen area—I love the pop of red,” Berarducci says. “The martini at the five o’clock hand is the perfect little detail.” The timepiece captures two trends: the fervor for food-centric décor and, of course, Gen Z’s love for disco-inspired details.

Courtesy of Sofiest Designs

Glass Tile Decorative Tray, $65

Subtle Art Studio

“This tray makes for the most stunning accent piece on your vanity or bar cart,” Berarducci says. “It’s an easy way to elevate your space.” San Jose–based Subtle Art Studio slings several products made with retro-inspired glass tiles, including coasters, incense holders, and photo stands.

Courtesy of Nata Concept Store

Olive Candle, $21

Nata Concept Store

“Why not add an olive candle to your home décor?” Berarducci suggests. “Style with your martini glasses and mixers on a bar cart. So cute!” Novelty candles have made a splash as a playful, affordable way to accessorize your house, and this one stands out for its lovely floral scent.

Courtesy of Sofiest Designs

Checkered Ceramic Vase, $120 

Alicja Ceramics

Another of Berarducci’s small business partners, Alicja Ceramics crafts and paints each of her funky vases by hand. “These are my go-to for all my flower arrangements,” Berarducci adds. “The checkered print against the florals makes for the coolest contrast.” 

Courtesy of Sofiest Designs

Disco Strawberry, $52.50

Sofiest Designs 

TikTok’s beloved “unexpected red” theory holds that introducing a touch of crimson will enliven any room. Try out the technique with Berarducci’s sparkly strawberry. “My favorite way to show off this strawberry is to style it on a kitchen shelf or use it as a dining-table centerpiece,” she says.

Courtesy of Abbode

Custom Icons Pillow, $155

Abbode

New York embroidery shop Abbode is all about customization. This pillow case takes things a step beyond monogramming, allowing customers to select and request symbols that represent their most formative experiences or favorite things. “These make for the perfect customized housewarming gift—for your friend or for yourself,” Berarducci says.

Courtesy of Piecework Puzzles

Buns Out, $40

Piecework Puzzles 

“Boring puzzles are out,” Bararducci declares. “Challenge your brain and create a masterpiece with Piecework’s ‘Buns Out’ puzzle.” After you’ve put the final piece in place, brush Mod Podge over the lot and frame it as a conversation-starting work of art.

Courtesy of Yellowpop

Custom Neon Sign, from $159

Yellowpop 

Whatever your catchphrase is, immortalize it in neon lights. Yellowpop offers one-of-a-kind LED signs with 14 different color options. “This is a great way to personalize your space in a unique and timeless way,” Berarducci says. “I created a custom ‘Sofiest Designs’ sign for my warehouse and absolutely love it!” 

Coutesy of Sofiest Designs

Wobble Table Lamp, $120

Sofiest Designs 

This wiggly lamp from Sofiest Designs comes in four easy-to-style colors: powder pink, muted orange, soft green, and creamsicle orange. You can select a lampshade in one of those same hues to mix and match. “This is my favorite of our lamps,” Berarducci says. “It looks good in any space and any colorway.” 

Courtesy of Coming Soon

Concrete Shelf, $650

Concrete Cat

This eye-catching shelf is an art piece in itself. “The concrete coloring brings [it] to the next level,” Berarducci adds. A groove at the back of the shelf helps secure thin items like records, photos, and (SDM’s personal favorite) magazines for display.

Source: sandiegomagazine.com

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Two-thirds of business owners who are mothers say creating generational wealth for their children is a major reason they launched their business, according to a survey of 1,000 mothers and business owners conducted for SoFi in March 2024. Nearly half (48%) also expect their kids to take over some day, intending to pass the business onto the next generation.

Even so, nearly half (42%) of entrepreneurs who are mothers feel they are treated differently by society than entrepreneurs who are fathers.

According to the latest Census data, women own 13.8 million businesses across the U.S., employing 10 million workers and generating $3.9 trillion in revenue. Those businesses make up 39.1% of all U.S. businesses, a 13.6% increase from 2019 to 2023, according to the Small Business Administration.

Many entrepreneurs who are mothers – or mompreneurs, a term that was coined in the 1990s – have a long-term plan to grow their business, with 86% of those who have another job saying they want to devote themselves full-time to their own company eventually. More than half are actively working to educate their children on being entrepreneurs themselves.

The challenges in finding a balance between work and home are genuine, however, with mompreneurs feeling shortchanged on both sleep and time to spend with family and friends. And two-thirds feel judged by others for pursuing their entrepreneurial goals while being a parent to begin with.

Source: Based on a survey conducted between March 18-24 2024, of 1,000 female business owners aged 18 and over who have at least one child and live in the U.S.

Young Children and Businesses?

Our survey showed 29% of the respondents said their oldest child was 6 to 10 years old when they started their business, followed by 15% saying their oldest child was a teenager between 13 and 18. Another 14% started their business when their oldest child was just 3 to 5 years old.

A majority (74%) of our respondents were married or living with a partner, and most of the respondents had one child or two. As for the children’s ages, 51% had kids between 5 and 13, and 34% had teenagers between 13 and 18.

Among our survey respondents, the largest age group (37%) was 35 to 44 and the second largest (27%) was 25 to 34. As for education, the largest group (33%) had a university degree, but those who had a high school degree (28%) came in a close second.

Living in the Present, Envisioning a Better Future

A majority of the mompreneurs in this survey said desires for financial independence and personal growth motivated them to launch their own business.

So has being a mother made it harder or easier to run a business? Survey respondents said being a parent enhanced their entrepreneurial skills in a myriad ways:

•   Improved problem-solving skills: 60%

•   Enhanced multitasking abilities: 51%

•   Increased empathy and understanding: 46%

•   Greater resilience in the face of challenges: 46%

Two-thirds of respondents (66%) said creating generational wealth for their children was a big reason for launching their business.

And nearly half (48%) said they are confident their children will take over their business eventually. Many mompreneurs are already phasing in their kids when it comes to learning about business.

When asked how they involve their children in entrepreneurial activities, the respondents answered this way (multiple selections were possible):

•   Educating them about entrepreneurship: 55%

•   Introducing them to the business environment: 43%

•   Assigning age-appropriate tasks related to the business: 41%

•   Including them in decision-making processes: 31%

Work-Life Balance: Can It Be Found?

Running a business and raising children are tasks that are hard enough, but nearly two-thirds (62%) of survey respondents said they have another job in addition to the business they own. Interestingly, 50% of those with household incomes under $100K don’t have a different job aside from their business, compared to 17% of those with household incomes of over $100K.

Incredibly, for those who had a full-time or part-time job apart from their own small business, 26% still spent between 20 and 30 hours per week on their own company.

Something has to give, timewise, and our survey broke it down. When asked what they have to sacrifice to balance entrepreneurship and parenthood, this is what our respondents said (multiple selections were possible):

•   Sleep: 48%

•   Spending time with friends and family: 48%

•   Hobbies: 38%

•   Exercise: 28%

•   Diet: 21%

•   None of the above – I don’t have to make any sacrifices: 16%

Asked what challenges female entrepreneurs who have children face, they answered as follows (multiple selection were possible):

•   Balancing work and family time: 58%

•   Balancing multiple roles: 42%

•   Managing stress and burnout: 40%

•   Access to funding or financial resources: 38%

•   Overcoming societal expectations about mothers who start their own businesses: 26%

•   Navigating discrimination or bias: 18%

Having help at home in the form of a partner or other adults can go a long way, but 37% of respondents, the largest group, said it was mostly them alone left with the mental load of home responsibilities. However, an even split between the respondent and their partner came in a close second at 35%.

When the mompreneurs did get help, the percentages broke down in interesting ways.

Here’s how partners and extended family members offered support (multiple selections were possible):

•   Assisting with childcare during work hours: 30%

•   Providing emotional support: 20%

•   Collaborating on business-related tasks: 16%

•   Helping with housework: 14%

•   Offering financial assistance: 11%

In terms of stress relief, respondents said they balanced self-care with roles as parent and entrepreneur:

•   Participating in hobbies or leisure activities: 51%

•   Scheduled breaks and downtime: 47%

•   Regular exercise or physical activity: 45%

•   Seeking professional help or counseling: 40%

Gender Disparities Revealed

While women-owned businesses are more prevalent in America than ever before, our respondents said that they experience inequity.

More than two in five respondents (42%) said they felt that entrepreneurs who are mothers are treated differently than entrepreneurs who are fathers. Only one in five (21%) said they thought mothers and fathers who owned business were treated equally.

More than 60% of mompreneurs said they felt “judged by others for pursuing entrepreneurial goals while being a parent.”

Making matters worse, the respondents said that this disapproval came into play if they sought financial support to grow their business.

When asked if they felt that being an entrepreneur and parent has affected their access to venture capital or other forms of financial support for their business, they answered:

•   Yes: 43%

•   No: 34%

•   I haven’t tried to secure additional funding for my business: 21%

The Takeaway

Women own 13.8 million businesses in the United States, making up 39.1% of all businesses. Their numbers keep growing, yet nearly half of these mompreneurs feel society treats them differently than owners who are fathers, and balancing work and home is a challenge.

If you’re seeking financing for your business, SoFi can help. On SoFi’s marketplace, you can shop top providers today to access the capital you need. Find a personalized business financing option today in minutes.

With SoFi’s marketplace, it’s fast and easy to search for your small business financing options.


SoFi’s marketplace is owned and operated by SoFi Lending Corp. See SoFi Lending Corp. licensing information below. Advertising Disclosures: SoFi receives compensation in the event you obtain a loan through SoFi’s marketplace. This affects whether a product or service is featured on this site and could affect the order of presentation. SoFi does not include all products and services in the market. All rates, terms, and conditions vary by provider.


External Websites: The information and analysis provided through hyperlinks to third-party websites, while believed to be accurate, cannot be guaranteed by SoFi. Links are provided for informational purposes and should not be viewed as an endorsement.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

SOSB0424037

Source: sofi.com

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The Upshot

A Huge Number of Homeowners Have Mortgage Rates Too Good to Give Up

On a scale not seen in decades, many Americans are stuck in homes they would rather leave.

Emily Badger and

April 15, 2024

Something deeply unusual has happened in the American housing market over the last two years, as mortgage rates have risen to around 7 percent.

Rates that high are not, by themselves, historically remarkable. The trouble is that the average American household with a mortgage is sitting on a fixed rate that’s a whopping three points lower.

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Average fixed mortgage rates

8%

Existing
mortgages

6%

3.2-
point
gap

Rates on
new loans

4%

Rates on new home loans now far surpass rates locked in by Americans with existing
mortgages.

2%

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2023

Average fixed mortgage rates

8%

Existing
mortgages

6%

3.2-
point
gap

Rates on
new loans

4%

Rates on new home loans now far surpass rates locked in by Americans with existing
mortgages.

2%

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2023

Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency analysis. Note: New loan figures show the predicted rate that existing mortgage holders could get on the same mortgages at new market conditions.

The gap that has jumped open between these two lines has created a nationwide lock-in effect — paralyzing people in homes they may wish to leave — on a scale not seen in decades. For homeowners not looking to move anytime soon, the low rates they secured during the pandemic will benefit them for years to come. But for many others, those rates have become a complication, disrupting both household decisions and the housing market as a whole.

new research from economists at the Federal Housing Finance Agency, this lock-in effect is responsible for about 1.3 million fewer home sales in America during the run-up in rates from the spring of 2022 through the end of 2023. That’s a startling number in a nation where around five million homes sell annually in more normal times — most of those to people who already own.

These locked-in households haven’t relocated for better jobs or higher pay, and haven’t been able to downsize or acquire more space. They also haven’t opened up homes for first-time buyers. And that’s driven up prices and gummed up the market.

Share of existing mortgages with rates below or above new market rates Percentage point difference from rates on new mortgages BELOW
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
ABOVE
Federal Housing Finance Agency analysis. Note: Data covers all fixed-rate mortgages in the U.S.

Distribution of fixed rates held by existing mortgage holders
1999
Before the dot-com recession
2005
During the housing boom
2011
Emerging from the Great Recession
2019
On the eve of the pandemic
2023
Post-pandemic

Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency analysis. Note: Data shown captures the fourth quarter of each year.

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Source: nytimes.com

Apache is functioning normally

American renters are fearful that their home-owning aspirations are increasingly getting out of reach, according to a recent survey by the real-estate platform Redfin, amid an environment of high home prices and elevated mortgage rates.

Almost 40 percent of the renters polled told surveyors they did not believe they would own a home of their own, up from 27 percent in a similar survey Redfin conducted in May and June. Part of the struggle for these Americans is that homes are beyond what they can afford. Securing a down payment can prove elusive, and high mortgage rates may discourage them from acquiring property.

Read more: How to Get a Mortgage in 2024

The Redfin survey sampled about 3,000 U.S. residents in February, and its analysis of renters’ expectations came from a 1,000 renters in the poll.

Mortgage rates in particular have stayed elevated over the past six months. After hitting a peak of 8 percent—the highest level since the turn of the century—mortgage rates declined to the mid-6 percent range at the end of the year and into 2024. In recent weeks, however, the cost of home loans have ticked up to above 7 percent, depressing activity in the mortgage market.

A “for rent” sign in front of a home in Miami on July 12, 2023. Renters increasingly see the dream of owning a home as beyond their reach, according to a Redfin survey.
A “for rent” sign in front of a home in Miami on July 12, 2023. Renters increasingly see the dream of owning a home as beyond their reach, according to a Redfin survey.
Joe Raedle/Getty Images

On April 11, the 30-year fixed rate rose to almost 7.4 percent, Mortgage News Daily reported, the highest levels since November 2023. The rise follows news that suggests borrowing costs may stay elevated for longer than economists initially anticipated.

High mortgage rates now mean that first-time buyers must earn about $76,000 to afford what the industry describes as a starter home, which is an 8 percent increase from a year ago and almost 100 percent higher than it was before the pandemic, Redfin said. It added that home prices have soared more than 40 percent since 2019, as buyers took advantage of low borrowing costs during the pandemic to acquire houses, increasing demand, escalating competition and pushing up prices.

Read more: Compare Top Mortgage Lenders

“Buying a home has become increasingly out of reach for many Americans due to the one-two punch of high home prices and high mortgage rates,” Redfin wrote.

Renters being unable to buy homes has in turn contributed to increased competition and price jumps in the rental market. The median asking rent is at $2,000 in the U.S., close to the record high it reached in 2022, Redfin said. Still, despite the elevated cost of rent, renting may be a more affordable option than homeownership.

“Housing costs are high across the board, but renting is a more affordable and realistic option for many Americans right now—especially those who have never owned a home and aren’t able to tap into equity from a previous sale,” said Daryl Fairweather, Redfin’s chief economist. “While owning a home is usually a sound long-term investment, the barriers to entry and upfront costs of buying are higher than renting.”

To purchase a house, a buyer would need about $60,000 as a down payment for a home loan, an amount that is out of reach for many Americans.

Fairweather added, “The sheer expense of purchasing a home is causing the American Dream of homeownership to lose some of its shine.”

Uncommon Knowledge

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

Source: newsweek.com

Apache is functioning normally

A cup and handle pattern is something identified by stock traders or investors analyzing data related to certain securities. Traders analyzing stock charts can identify a cup and handle pattern, which comprises a period of falling values followed by a “breakout,” and use it to help inform their trading decisions.

The cup and handle pattern is one of many that investors may identify and use to help make investing decisions.

What Is a Cup and Handle Pattern?

The cup and handle security trading pattern is a bullish continuation pattern used in technical analysis. When the pattern appears on a stock chart, it shows a period of price consolidation followed by a price breakout. The pattern is called cup and handle because it has two distinct parts: the cup and the handle.

The cup pattern forms after an advance and looks like a bowl with a round bottom. It forms after a price advance. After that pattern forms, a “handle” forms to the right of the cup within a trading range. Finally, there is a breakout above the range of the handle, showing a bullish continuation of the prior advance.

Stock broker William O’Neil identified the cup and handle stock pattern and introduced it in his 1988 book, How to Make Money in Stocks.

💡 Quick Tip: When you’re actively investing in stocks, it’s important to ask what types of fees you might have to pay. For example, brokers may charge a flat fee for trading stocks, or require some commission for every trade. Taking the time to manage investment costs can be beneficial over the long term.

How the Cup and Handle Works

The cup-and-handle candlestick pattern starts with the formation of the “cup,” which looks like a bowl. The two sides of the cup are not always the same height but in a perfect scenario they would be. Once the cup forms, the stock price pulls back, forming a “handle” out to the right of the cup. The handle shows price consolidation happening before a price breakout occurs.

The handle is smaller than the cup and generally doesn’t retrace more than ⅓ of the cup’s advance, staying in the upper part of the cup range. It can also form a triangle shape. If the handle forms at the bottom price range of the cup, the pattern may indicate that this is not a good time to trade. It may take six months or longer for the cup pattern to form, but the handle forms much faster, ideally within four weeks.

The entire pattern can also form within minutes or days. Technical analysts watching the cup-and-handle pattern try to buy when the price breaks out from the handle. This is marked by when the price moves above the old resistance level, which is the top of the right side of the cup. The more volume in the breakout the stronger the buy signal.

To estimate the price target the stock might hit after the breakout, a trader would measure the distance from the bottom of the cup to the top of the right side of the cup and then add that number to the buy signal point. If the left and right sides of the cup are different heights, the smaller side would give a more conservative price target, and the taller would be a more aggressive target.

What Does a Cup and Handle Pattern Tell Traders?

The cup-and-handle is a candlestick pattern that indicates a cup-shaped price consolidation. This involves a downward price movement, a stabilization period, then a price increase of about the same amount as the downward movement.

This is followed by a sideways pullback between the high and low of the cup shape, forming the handle. Then, a price breakout indicates increasing trade volume. However, as with any trading pattern, a cup-and-handle pattern does not guarantee the stock price will continue on a bullish trajectory, it’s just a trading indicator.

The cup and handle is a bullish pattern that can show a continuation or a reversal from a bearish trend into a bullish trend. Either way it indicates that the stock price will likely rise following the pattern.

Example of a Cup and Handle Pattern

An example of a cup and handle pattern would be if a cup shape forms between $48 and $50. A handle should then form between $49 and $50, ideally closer to $50. Then the price should break out above the price range of the handle.

💡 Quick Tip: Look for an online brokerage with low trading commissions as well as no account minimum. Higher fees can cut into investment returns over time.

Does the Cup and Handle Pattern Work?

The cup-and-handle pattern is one strategy that traders can use to get a sense of the market and inform their investing decisions. However, it is not a perfect tool.

Like any trading pattern, the cup and handle should be used in conjunction with other trend indicators and signals to make informed trading decisions. Although the cup and handle pattern can be a useful and easy to understand pattern to find entry and exit points, it does have some drawbacks.

The cup-and-handle pattern may form over the course of a day, weeks, months, or even a year. This makes it challenging to figure out exactly when to place a purchase order. Generally it forms over a month to a year, but identifying the exact breakout point is not easy.

Also, the depth of the cup can be a confusing part of the pattern. A shallow or a deep cup might be a false signal. The cup also doesn’t always form a handle at all, and the liquidity of the stock also affects the strength of the trading signal.

How to Trade a Cup and Handle Pattern

Traders wait for the handle pattern to form, which may either be in the shape of a sideways handle or a triangle. When the stock price breaks out above the top of the handle, that indicates completion of the cup-and-handle pattern, and creates a signal that stock price could continue to rise.

Although the cup-and-handle pattern can be a strong buy indicator, it does not guarantee that prices will go up. The stock price may rise, fall again, then continue to rise. Or it might rise and then simply fall.

One way to avoid significant losses when this happens is to set a stop-loss on trades with your broker. Day traders may want to close out the trade before the market closes.

Cup-and-Handle Patterns in Crypto

While the cup-and-handle pattern has traditionally been used for stock trading, it can also be used in crypto trading. Cup and handle patterns have formed in Bitcoin and Ethereum charts in recent years. Bitcoin formed a cup and handle pattern in 2019, and Ethereum formed one in 2021. The basic guidelines and indicators are the same for crypto as for stocks.

Recommended: Crypto Technical Analysis: What It Is & How to Do One

The Takeaway

Stock patterns are signals that form a certain recognizable shape when charted graphically, making them easy to spot and trade. They can help traders find entry or exit points, estimate price targets and potential risk. The cup-and-handle pattern is a useful and easy to follow trading pattern to help traders spot entry points for bullish trades.

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FAQ

Is cup and handle pattern bullish?

Yes, the cup and handle pattern is considered a bullish market signal, and investors may take it as a sign that they should go “long” on an investment or specific market position.

How reliable is cup and handle pattern?

The cup and handle pattern is merely an indicator, and not a promise or sure sign that something is going to happen. As such, investors should be careful not to take it as a sure thing. That said, investors may do well to use it in conjunction with other trading strategies and methods, and along with other trend markers.

What are the rules for the cup and handle pattern?

The cup and handle pattern doesn’t have “rules” per se, but instead, is a pattern that forms on a stock chart. That form shows a stock price decreasing in price over a short period of time, then stabilizing, forming a “cup,” which is then followed by a rise in value, creating the “handle.”

What is the weekly timeframe for the cup and handle pattern?

Cup and handle patterns can emerge on a stock chart over several months, but many times, over a handful of weeks.

Photo credit: iStock/jacoblund

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For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.

Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.

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Crypto: Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies aren’t endorsed or guaranteed by any government, are volatile, and involve a high degree of risk. Consumer protection and securities laws don’t regulate cryptocurrencies to the same degree as traditional brokerage and investment products. Research and knowledge are essential prerequisites before engaging with any cryptocurrency. US regulators, including FINRA , the SEC , and the CFPB , have issued public advisories concerning digital asset risk. Cryptocurrency purchases should not be made with funds drawn from financial products including student loans, personal loans, mortgage refinancing, savings, retirement funds or traditional investments. Limitations apply to trading certain crypto assets and may not be available to residents of all states.

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Source: sofi.com

Apache is functioning normally

As artificial intelligence continues to grow in prominence, mortgage professionals “must carefully evaluate and manage” their use of AI and “focus on deriving the benefits while avoiding potentially catastrophic risks.”

That’s one of the key conclusions reached by the BlackFin Group in a recently published white paper, “Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Mortgage Banking.” The paper was co-authored by several BlackFin executives and mortgage technology leaders from other organizations, including Chuck Iverson at Mason-McDuffie Mortgage and Maria Moskver at Cloudvirga.

The paper notes that “AI is not a homogenous technology” and offers a variety of uses across the mortgage ecosystem, from origination and servicing to default solutions and asset sales. The authors outline six of the most common types of AI — machine learning, deep learning, natural language processing, generative AI, expert systems and cognitive computing — while excluding two others (rule-based systems and robotic process automation) that are less relevant to their definition of AI.

They argue that understanding the technology is imperative when choosing a specific tool to deploy.

“In our view, what distinguishes AI is the ability to address situations that are not precisely like the ones it has previously addressed,” the authors state.

Data from Precedence Research shows that the size of the global AI market is estimated to grow from $454 billion in 2022 to $2.5 trillion in 2032. But even with this expected influx of investment capital and user demand, BlackFin’s paper finds that mortgage companies are struggling today to implement AI tools in an efficient manner.

The authors cite some examples, including automated document processing and underwriting systems, in which a company’s expenses have increased but productivity hasn’t.

“Lenders frequently comment on the lack of ROI on technology as costs have risen, even if much of that increase can be attributed to an increase in sales compensation,” the authors write.

They go on to describe the potential significance of AI in multiple areas of mortgage lending. It can reduce the costs to manufacture or service a loan. It can accomplish tasks that humans or other types of technology cannot. And it can fundamentally change the origination and servicing processes. But the authors also stress that none of this should be expected to happen quickly.

“There is little evidence so far that AI can fundamentally transform our industry in the next 5-10 years — there are too many structural and regulatory impediments for that to be the case,” they wrote.

“I think if you want to innovate, you need to be able to think long-term. I don’t think anyone’s ever innovated in the short-term,” Rechat CEO Shayan Hamidi recently told HousingWire. “So you need to be able to have the appetite for that: be willing to take the risks and be willing to be patient for quite some time. And I think AI is one of those things. You can do some fun, cool stuff with it very quickly, but then if you want to start doing meaningful things, it’s a big long-term investment, at least today.”

BlackFin Group — founded in 2019 and based in Englewood, Colorado — is a management consulting firm that helps to guide strategic decisions and find innovative solutions for banks, nonbanks and credit unions across the country. In 2022, it launched a practice dedicated to reverse mortgages.

Source: housingwire.com